Curated Betting Card

Belmont Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 4.

2026-09-18 Race 4 Morning Card
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Belmont Park · full board
Strongest play
R1
Ifweonlyhavelove #4
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Runyon Canyon #3
10/1 ML
Deepest field
R2
16 runners
16
Pace shape
R6
Duel
2 E / 4 EP
Card Overview
Race day summary
Belmont Park presents a high-class, competitive nine-race program headlined by the $1,000,000 Stakes in Race 5 featuring international star Forever Young against seasoned older dirt routers. The turf courses will see heavy action across five separate grass events, where trainer Chad Brown holds major hands in Races 1, 4, 7, and 9. Field sizes are robust throughout the afternoon, demanding tactical positioning out of the gate and sharp attention to middle-market runners who can capitalize on potential early pace collapses.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$150,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/4 Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time1:30 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
European import #4 Ifweonlyhavelove makes her North American debut for trainer Miguel Clement off steady morning trials, but she must outkick established Chad Brown trainee #1 Mary Lois, who has hit the board in four straight starts including consecutive solid efforts at Saratoga.
Today's shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
2
P
4
S
1

Honest Pace · E: 1 EP: 2 P: 4 S: 1

Enough pressure for a fair pace; no style is handed the race.

From comments · 8/10 styled · display only

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.3%
Price horse: Mary Lois (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Ifweonlyhavelove E Neutral
J Castellano
M Clement
 6/1
21
★★★★☆
67.2
 Top Pick
1 Mary Lois EP Fits
F Prat
C C Brown
 3/1
17
★★★★☆
63.7
 Value Play
7 Stand the Rain P Neutral
M Franco
M Clement
 5/2
12
★★★☆☆
59.1
  
3 Runyon Canyon EP Fits
J Rosario
N D Drysdale
 10/1
11
★★★☆☆
57.6
 Longshot
9 Osmosis S Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
T A Pletcher
 4/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.6
  
8 Sister Jean P Neutral
J A Torres
D Beckman
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
53.5
  
6 Fancy n' Flight —
S Marin
J R Lee
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
49.8
  
5 Lisa Joy P Neutral
A Fresu
C R McGaughey III
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
49.8
  
10 Miss Snaffles —
C Maragh
G R Thompson
 50/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.5
  
2 One Bad Habit P Neutral
A Murgia
R Keithan
 50/1
2
★★☆☆☆
34.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Ifweonlyhavelove
E Neutral
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M Clement
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.2
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Mary Lois
EP Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse
7
Stand the Rain
P Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M Clement
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Runyon Canyon
EP Fits
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
N D Drysdale
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.6
Post · Horse
9
Osmosis
S Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T A Pletcher
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse
8
Sister Jean
P Neutral
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
D Beckman
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
Post · Horse
6
Fancy n' Flight
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J R Lee
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.8
Post · Horse
5
Lisa Joy
P Neutral
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.8
Post · Horse
10
Miss Snaffles
—
Jockey
C Maragh
Trainer
G R Thompson
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.5
Post · Horse
2
One Bad Habit
P Neutral
Jockey
A Murgia
Trainer
R Keithan
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 34.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old Foaled In New York State And Approved By The New
Purse$150,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:04 PM ET
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A sprawling field of sixteen juvenile state-bred fillies tests endurance at seven furlongs, where #7 Under the Moon looks to build upon an encouraging debut second at Saratoga against late interest from #12 Davidson.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 9.8%
Price horse: Davidson (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Under the Moon —
K Carmouche
J Sharp
 4/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.8
 Top Pick
12 Davidson —
M Franco
C R McGaughey III
 7/2
9
★★★☆☆
52.4
 Value Play
11 Frosty Blaze —
J Lezcano
M Dini
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.2
 Longshot
2 Harlow Drive
S Marin
J C Englehart
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
50.6
  
9 Cream of the Crop —
A Fresu
J B Begg
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
50.4
  
6 Winning Fashion —
F Prat
J R Abreu
 3/1
6
★★★☆☆
47.5
  
14 Buccherita —
K Davis
P J Quick
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.5
  
13 Early and Often —
J Castellano
M A Hennig
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.1
  
3 Luck Penny —
J Alvarado
G Weaver
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.8
  
16 Lady Azul —
H K Harkie
D K Synnefias
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.9
  
10 Mom's On Break —
J R Velazquez
A J Green
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.4
  
5 Call Me Rosie —
J Castellano
O Noda
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.0
  
15 Cara's Chrome —
D Davis
M E Friedman
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.5
  
1 Cyber Baby —
J Rosario
M Clement
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.5
  
4 Lilyluvsyellow —
L R Rivera, Jr.
D K Synnefias
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.4
  
8 As Pretty She Is —
R Maragh
A Arriaga
 30/1
4
★★☆☆☆
39.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Under the Moon
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J Sharp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.8
Post · Horse Value Play
12
Davidson
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Frosty Blaze
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
M Dini
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.2
Post · Horse
2
Harlow Drive
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J C Englehart
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.6
Post · Horse
9
Cream of the Crop
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
J B Begg
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
Post · Horse
6
Winning Fashion
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
J R Abreu
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.5
Post · Horse
14
Buccherita
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
P J Quick
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
Post · Horse
13
Early and Often
—
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M A Hennig
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
Post · Horse
3
Luck Penny
—
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
G Weaver
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.8
Post · Horse
16
Lady Azul
—
Jockey
H K Harkie
Trainer
D K Synnefias
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.9
Post · Horse
10
Mom's On Break
—
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
A J Green
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.4
Post · Horse
5
Call Me Rosie
—
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
O Noda
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.0
Post · Horse
15
Cara's Chrome
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M E Friedman
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.5
Post · Horse
1
Cyber Baby
—
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
M Clement
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.5
Post · Horse
4
Lilyluvsyellow
—
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
D K Synnefias
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.4
Post · Horse
8
As Pretty She Is
—
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
A Arriaga
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$150,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:39 PM ET
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Six and a half furlongs on the lawn brings together experienced runners and high-profile firsters, centering on whether #15 Southern Kiss can overcome an outside draw after hitting the board in both career outings.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 10.7%
Price horse: Queenly (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
15 Southern Kiss E —
D Davis
M E Casse
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
54.5
 Top Pick
14 Queenly —
M Franco
G Weaver
 9/2
10
★★★☆☆
53.1
 Value Play
3 Melodies —
S Marin
L Schultz
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
50.9
  
12 Inflect —
F Prat
C C Brown
 7/2
8
★★★☆☆
50.4
  
11 Midriff Princess —
M Franco
T A Pletcher
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
48.2
 Longshot
9 Fiora —
R Santana, Jr.
P Antonacci
 4/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.1
  
7 Blazing Beauty —
A Fresu
J R Abreu
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.8
  
6 Mariska —
K Carmouche
R R Rodriguez
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.6
  
10 Classy Runner
J Castellano
J P Terranova II
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.5
  
13 So Angelina P —
R Maragh
A Arriaga
 50/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.4
  
2 Twice the Fun —
J Lezcano
R Mott
 6/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.4
  
16 Shook Up the World —
J Alvarado
T Morley
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.8
  
8 Lady Girvin —
J R Velazquez
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.3
  
5 Bobby's Honour —
J Alvarado
T Morley
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.2
  
1 Delta Sun —
R Maragh
D G Donk
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.7
  
4 Mia On Tap —
L R Rivera, Jr.
D K Synnefias
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
15
Southern Kiss
E —
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M E Casse
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.5
Post · Horse Value Play
14
Queenly
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
G Weaver
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse
3
Melodies
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
L Schultz
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse
12
Inflect
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Midriff Princess
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
T A Pletcher
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.2
Post · Horse
9
Fiora
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
P Antonacci
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
Post · Horse
7
Blazing Beauty
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
J R Abreu
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
Post · Horse
6
Mariska
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.6
Post · Horse
10
Classy Runner
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
J P Terranova II
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.5
Post · Horse
13
So Angelina
P —
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
A Arriaga
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.4
Post · Horse
2
Twice the Fun
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
R Mott
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.4
Post · Horse
16
Shook Up the World
—
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
T Morley
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.8
Post · Horse
8
Lady Girvin
—
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.3
Post · Horse
5
Bobby's Honour
—
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
T Morley
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.2
Post · Horse
1
Delta Sun
—
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
D G Donk
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.7
Post · Horse
4
Mia On Tap
—
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
D K Synnefias
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Three
Purse$162,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/4 Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:15 PM ET
Field Size14
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Chad Brown holds a formidable uncoupled pair in this competitive turf allowance, with #13 Asbury Park returning from an ultra-sharp Saratoga runner-up effort to battle barnmate #8 Early Adopter and several seasoned allowance rivals.
Today's shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
4
P
2
S
5

Honest Pace · E: 0 EP: 4 P: 2 S: 5

Enough pressure for a fair pace; no style is handed the race.

From comments · 11/14 styled · display only

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 8.8%
Price horse: Early Adopter (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
13 Asbury Park —
F Prat
C C Brown
 7/2
9
★★★★☆
70.3
 Top Pick
8 Early Adopter S Neutral
M Franco
C C Brown
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
69.5
 Value Play
14 Emergence EP Fits
S Marin
J Ness
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
69.4
 Longshot
6 Write Off Jerry S Neutral
D Davis
J Ness
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
69.1
  
11 Noble Confessor EP Fits
A Fresu
T A Pletcher
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
68.7
  
10 A Bourbon for Toby S Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
T Morley
 3/1
8
★★★★☆
68.7
  
4 Ciao Chuck P Neutral
F Prat
M A Hennig
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
67.7
  
3 Mutaawid —
K Carmouche
A J Green
 6/1
7
★★★★☆
67.3
  
1 Adios Cole S Neutral
J Alvarado
S Wilensky
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
66.8
  
12 Paros P Neutral
R Silvera
G Rodriguez
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
66.5
  
9 Rothschild EP Fits
J R Velazquez
N W Casse
 4/1
6
★★★★☆
64.3
  
5 Daunt EP Fits
J Castellano
R Ribaudo
 20/1
6
★★★★☆
63.2
  
7 Discreet Dancer —
J Lezcano
A Sano
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
62.6
  
2 Sherlock's Jewel S Neutral
J A Torres
J Sharp
 8/1
5
★★★★☆
62.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
13
Asbury Park
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.3
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Early Adopter
S Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse Longshot
14
Emergence
EP Fits
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J Ness
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse
6
Write Off Jerry
S Neutral
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
J Ness
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
11
Noble Confessor
EP Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
T A Pletcher
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse
10
A Bourbon for Toby
S Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T Morley
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse
4
Ciao Chuck
P Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M A Hennig
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
3
Mutaawid
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
A J Green
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse
1
Adios Cole
S Neutral
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
S Wilensky
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.8
Post · Horse
12
Paros
P Neutral
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
G Rodriguez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse
9
Rothschild
EP Fits
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
N W Casse
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse
5
Daunt
EP Fits
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
R Ribaudo
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse
7
Discreet Dancer
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
A Sano
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
2
Sherlock's Jewel
S Neutral
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J Sharp
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $1,000,000
Purse$1,000,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/4 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:14 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The $1,000,000 Stakes brings international star #7 Forever Young back to the races off a spring campaign, but he faces a demanding challenge against sharp Saratoga allowance winner #4 Phileas Fogg and Bill Mott's in-form #2 Stars and Stripes.
Today's shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
0
S
2

Favors Front · E: 1 EP: 1 P: 0 S: 2

Light early pressure; the front end should get its way.

From comments · 4/7 styled · display only

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 17.0%
Price horse: Phileas Fogg (4/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Forever Young E Fits
R Sakai
Y Yahagi
 3/5
17
★★★★☆
75.4
 Top Pick
4 Phileas Fogg EP Fits
K Carmouche
G Rodriguez
 4/1
16
★★★★☆
74.9
 Value Play
2 Stars and Stripes —
J R Velazquez
W I Mott
 15/1
14
★★★★☆
73.0
 Longshot
1 Baeza S Neutral
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
72.3
  
3 Chunk of Gold —
J A Torres
E W West
 12/1
13
★★★★☆
71.5
  
5 Banishing —
J Rosario
D Jacobson
 12/1
13
★★★★☆
71.2
  
6 Render Judgment S Neutral
M Franco
K G McPeek
 20/1
12
★★★★☆
70.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Forever Young
E Fits
Jockey
R Sakai
Trainer
Y Yahagi
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.4
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Phileas Fogg
EP Fits
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
G Rodriguez
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.9
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Stars and Stripes
—
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
W I Mott
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.0
Post · Horse
1
Baeza
S Neutral
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.3
Post · Horse
3
Chunk of Gold
—
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
E W West
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.5
Post · Horse
5
Banishing
—
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
D Jacobson
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.2
Post · Horse
6
Render Judgment
S Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
K G McPeek
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or Claiming Pri
Purse$162,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:49 PM ET
Field Size14
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The red-hot #14 Carc Brothers rides a four-race winning streak into this turf route, but drawing the far outside post leaves him vulnerable to tactical pressure from #5 A Little At First and #8 Inspeightofcharlie.
Today's shape Duel
E
2
EP
4
P
2
S
4

Duel · E: 2 EP: 4 P: 2 S: 4 · #14 Carc Brothers, #8 Inspeightofcharlie

Two early runners likely to hook up; pressers and closers benefit. Early: #14 Carc Brothers, #8 Inspeightofcharlie.

From comments · 12/14 styled · display only

PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 13.7%
Price horse: A Little At First (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
14 Carc Brothers E Misfit
M Franco
R Atras
 2/1
14
★★★★☆
76.1
 Top Pick
5 A Little At First P Fits
J Castellano
H De Paz
 5/2
8
★★★★☆
68.1
 Value Play
8 Inspeightofcharlie E Misfit
J Alvarado
B Tagg
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
67.8
 Longshot
3 Conman —
R Santana, Jr.
T Morley
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
67.5
  
12 Miztertonic —
J Rosario
K Brion
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
67.4
  
10 The Paddock Pastor S Fits
J R Velazquez
A J Green
 10/1
7
★★★★☆
65.9
  
2 Cable Ready EP Neutral
N Alvarado
L K Dixon
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
65.8
  
9 Shared Success EP Neutral
S Marin
J B Begg
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
65.7
  
4 Jaxer S Fits
F Prat
H G Motion
 4/1
7
★★★★☆
65.3
  
13 Straight Arrow S Fits
J Lezcano
M Dini
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
65.3
  
11 Smooth Breeze P Fits
M Franco
J R Abreu
 10/1
6
★★★★☆
64.4
  
7 Ramblin' Wreck S Fits
L R Rivera, Jr.
D Gargan
 15/1
5
★★★★☆
61.2
  
6 Mo Trump EP Neutral
K Carmouche
M A Ferraro
 15/1
5
★★★★☆
60.8
  
1 Terminal Velocity EP Neutral
A Fresu
L Bartkowski
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
59.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
14
Carc Brothers
E Misfit
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
R Atras
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.1
Post · Horse Value Play
5
A Little At First
P Fits
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
H De Paz
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Inspeightofcharlie
E Misfit
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
B Tagg
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse
3
Conman
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T Morley
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse
12
Miztertonic
—
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
K Brion
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.4
Post · Horse
10
The Paddock Pastor
S Fits
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
A J Green
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse
2
Cable Ready
EP Neutral
Jockey
N Alvarado
Trainer
L K Dixon
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
9
Shared Success
EP Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J B Begg
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.7
Post · Horse
4
Jaxer
S Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
H G Motion
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
13
Straight Arrow
S Fits
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
M Dini
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
11
Smooth Breeze
P Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
J R Abreu
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.4
Post · Horse
7
Ramblin' Wreck
S Fits
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
D Gargan
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.2
Post · Horse
6
Mo Trump
EP Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M A Ferraro
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse
1
Terminal Velocity
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
L Bartkowski
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$150,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:24 PM ET
Field Size13
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Two-year-old colts stretch out to a one-turn mile, where Chad Brown trainee #11 Card Man looks to improve on his debut second at Saratoga against Brad Cox contender #6 Cybersteel.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 18.5%
Price horse: Cybersteel (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
11 Card Man —
F Prat
C C Brown
 2/1
18
★★★★☆
62.8
 Top Pick
6 Cybersteel —
S Marin
B H Cox
 6/1
13
★★★☆☆
57.0
 Value Play
2 E Z Speaker —
D Davis
M E Casse
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
51.2
 Longshot
5 Casino E —
K Carmouche
M E Casse
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
50.1
  
10 Bletchley —
M Franco
C C Brown
 9/2
8
★★★☆☆
49.6
  
1 Stone Aged —
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
48.2
  
7 Backlash —
J R Velazquez
T A Pletcher
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.4
  
4 Iron Confessor —
R Maragh
A J Green
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.3
  
8 Live —
R Santana, Jr.
T A Pletcher
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.0
  
3 Grand Larceny —
J Castellano
D Beckman
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.6
  
9 Daredevil Kaz —
L R Rivera, Jr.
D K Synnefias
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.5
  
13 Louden —
J Lezcano
W I Mott
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.2
  
12 Vapor Trail —
K Davis
M E Friedman
 50/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
11
Card Man
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Cybersteel
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
B H Cox
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse Longshot
2
E Z Speaker
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M E Casse
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.2
Post · Horse
5
Casino
E —
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M E Casse
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
10
Bletchley
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.6
Post · Horse
1
Stone Aged
—
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.2
Post · Horse
7
Backlash
—
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
T A Pletcher
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.4
Post · Horse
4
Iron Confessor
—
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
A J Green
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.3
Post · Horse
8
Live
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T A Pletcher
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
Post · Horse
3
Grand Larceny
—
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
D Beckman
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.6
Post · Horse
9
Daredevil Kaz
—
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
D K Synnefias
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.5
Post · Horse
13
Louden
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
W I Mott
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.2
Post · Horse
12
Vapor Trail
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
M E Friedman
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 13-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $55,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Mai
Purse$112,500
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:59 PM ET
Field Size15
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A contentious sprint for $55,000 claiming non-winners of two pits California shipper #14 Ghazaaly against in-form New York dirt runners #1 Art Fair and #6 Momentum Files.
Today's shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
4
P
2
S
2

Fast Pace · E: 5 EP: 4 P: 2 S: 2 · #14 Ghazaaly, #12 Nash Potatoes, #4 Barker

Three or more early runners; expect a meltdown. Early: #14 Ghazaaly, #12 Nash Potatoes, #4 Barker.

From comments · 13/15 styled · display only

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 9.5%
Price horse: Art Fair (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
14 Ghazaaly E Misfit
J Rosario
D Jacobson
 7/2
10
★★★★☆
70.8
 Top Pick
1 Art Fair EP Neutral
K Carmouche
H De Paz
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
67.6
 Value Play
6 Momentum Files EP Neutral
J Lezcano
R R Rodriguez
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
67.5
 Longshot
8 Neigh Baby S Fits
S Marin
J C Englehart
 10/1
7
★★★★☆
67.1
  
11 Sea Vista P Fits
J Castellano
M J Trombetta
 9/2
7
★★★★☆
67.0
  
15 Social Hour EP Neutral
S Marin
D Jacobson
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
66.3
  
5 Swaging P Fits
A Fresu
W Potts
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
66.1
  
12 Nash Potatoes E Misfit
M Franco
S I Schauer
 5/1
7
★★★★☆
65.5
  
9 Seeker's Hope EP Neutral
J Alvarado
G Rodriguez
 6/1
6
★★★★☆
65.3
  
10 Moment's Notice —
F Prat
J Sharp
 6/1
6
★★★★☆
65.0
  
4 Barker E Misfit
R Santana, Jr.
L Rice
 12/1
6
★★★★☆
64.9
  
3 Freaky E Misfit
D Davis
R Handal
 12/1
6
★★★★☆
64.7
  
13 Disparate Impact E Misfit
J Lezcano
M Arenas
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
62.0
  
2 Math Tutor —
J Rosario
I Kantarmaci
 15/1
5
★★★★☆
61.3
  
7 Master Freud S Fits
R Maragh
A Arriaga
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
58.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
14
Ghazaaly
E Misfit
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
D Jacobson
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Art Fair
EP Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
H De Paz
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Momentum Files
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse
8
Neigh Baby
S Fits
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J C Englehart
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse
11
Sea Vista
P Fits
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M J Trombetta
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
15
Social Hour
EP Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
D Jacobson
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
5
Swaging
P Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
W Potts
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse
12
Nash Potatoes
E Misfit
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
S I Schauer
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
9
Seeker's Hope
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
G Rodriguez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
10
Moment's Notice
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
J Sharp
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
4
Barker
E Misfit
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
L Rice
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse
3
Freaky
E Misfit
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Handal
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse
13
Disparate Impact
E Misfit
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
M Arenas
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.0
Post · Horse
2
Math Tutor
—
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse
7
Master Freud
S Fits
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
A Arriaga
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 15-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$157,500
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time6:34 PM ET
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The Friday finale is a wide-open seven-furlong turf sprint where #6 Maria Callas seeks her second career win against late charger #12 Neshika and recent maiden winner #11 Garden of Grace.
Today's shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
2
P
4
S
4

Fast Pace · E: 3 EP: 2 P: 4 S: 4 · #6 Maria Callas, #8 Scorch, #5 Dancingwithdestiny

Three or more early runners; expect a meltdown. Early: #6 Maria Callas, #8 Scorch, #5 Dancingwithdestiny.

From comments · 13/16 styled · display only

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 9.1%
Price horse: Neshika (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Maria Callas E Misfit
M Franco
C C Brown
 7/2
9
★★★★☆
63.4
 Top Pick
12 Neshika EP Neutral
J Rosario
M J Maker
 4/1
9
★★★★☆
63.4
 Value Play
11 Garden of Grace S Fits
F Prat
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
61.0
 Longshot
7 Long Legged Queen S Fits
R Santana, Jr.
J R Lee
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
60.8
  
1 Tuthilltown —
D Davis
M Miceli
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
60.4
  
8 Scorch E Misfit
J Lezcano
F Abreu
 6/1
7
★★★★☆
60.2
  
4 Sinead P Fits
A Fresu
J R Abreu
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.2
  
9 She's Our Tiz S Fits
K Carmouche
M Giangiulio
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.1
  
5 Dancingwithdestiny E Misfit
K Davis
M Dini
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.0
  
3 Fabulous Fox EP Neutral
L R Rivera, Jr.
M A Ferraro
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.5
  
16 Now Or Nevermore —
M Murrill
C Banks
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
10 Amy's Light S Fits
R Gutierrez
E Pringle
 50/1
6
★★★☆☆
55.7
  
13 Vernon Valley —
J A Torres
R Mott
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.3
  
14 Juliet On Approach P Fits
M Franco
J B Begg
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
52.0
  
15 On a Summer Day P Fits
C Maragh
J S Pregman, Jr.
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.8
  
2 Kaaterskill P Fits
O Hernandez Moreno
B G Dunham
 50/1
3
★★★☆☆
44.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Maria Callas
E Misfit
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse Value Play
12
Neshika
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
M J Maker
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Garden of Grace
S Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
Post · Horse
7
Long Legged Queen
S Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
J R Lee
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse
1
Tuthilltown
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M Miceli
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
8
Scorch
E Misfit
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
F Abreu
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.2
Post · Horse
4
Sinead
P Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
J R Abreu
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.2
Post · Horse
9
She's Our Tiz
S Fits
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M Giangiulio
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse
5
Dancingwithdestiny
E Misfit
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
M Dini
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse
3
Fabulous Fox
EP Neutral
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
M A Ferraro
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse
16
Now Or Nevermore
—
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
C Banks
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
10
Amy's Light
S Fits
Jockey
R Gutierrez
Trainer
E Pringle
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.7
Post · Horse
13
Vernon Valley
—
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Mott
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.3
Post · Horse
14
Juliet On Approach
P Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
J B Begg
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.0
Post · Horse
15
On a Summer Day
P Fits
Jockey
C Maragh
Trainer
J S Pregman, Jr.
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.8
Post · Horse
2
Kaaterskill
P Fits
Jockey
O Hernandez Moreno
Trainer
B G Dunham
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
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