Curated Betting Card

Belmont Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 8.

2026-09-19 Race 8 Morning Card
View Verified Recap for this Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
  Unlock Live Updates
Card signals
Belmont Park · full board
Strongest play
R5
Titan Ready #8
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Lucky Loretta #1
7/2 ML
Deepest field
R6
16 runners
16
Pace shape
R3
Lone Speed
#6 John Jay
Card Overview
Race day summary
Belmont Park presents a competitive 10-race program on September 19, 2026, headlined by the $175,000 turf sprint stakes in Race 9 alongside deep state-bred allowance and maiden fields. The sequence features a mix of short-priced logicals from leading barns like Brad Cox and Bill Mott, balanced by chaotic turf routes where late-running longshots offer substantial exotic value. With firm conditions expected across the grass courses, tracking early contested paces will be the critical angle, particularly in Races 4, 8, and 9.
Races 10 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:05 PM ET
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Bill Mott holds the upper hand in this compact mile maiden with #3 Groves and #5 Wharfie, but #3 Groves must prove she can stretch her Saratoga runner-up form around two turns while holding off Chad Brown's well-bred first-time starter #2 Expiration Date.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 25.9%
Price horse: Wharfie (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Groves —
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 2/1
26
★★★☆☆
51.3
 Top Pick
5 Wharfie —
J Lezcano
W I Mott
 7/2
23
★★★☆☆
49.3
 Value Play
2 Expiration Date —
R Santana, Jr.
C C Brown
 3/1
20
★★★☆☆
47.5
  
1 Lucky Loretta —
E J Zayas
D Beckman
 7/2
16
★★★☆☆
43.9
 Longshot
4 Gun Broker —
J Rosario
D Gargan
 3/1
16
★★★☆☆
43.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Groves
—
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Wharfie
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
W I Mott
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.3
Post · Horse
2
Expiration Date
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
C C Brown
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.5
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Lucky Loretta
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
D Beckman
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
4
Gun Broker
—
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
D Gargan
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Three
Purse$108,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time12:40 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#2 Boston's Phinest enters riding a sharp three-race winning streak with back-to-back 92 speed figures, but she must prove her gate-to-wire style can hold up against the graded-caliber closing kick of #1 Alyeska.
Today's shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
2
S
0

Duel · E: 2 EP: 1 P: 2 S: 0 · #6 Queen Martina, #8 So Sophia

Two early runners likely to hook up; pressers and closers benefit. Early: #6 Queen Martina, #8 So Sophia.

From comments · 5/8 styled · display only

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.0%
Price horse: Boston's Phinest (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Alyeska EP Neutral
D Davis
C C Brown
 5/1
17
★★★★☆
67.5
 Top Pick
2 Boston's Phinest P Fits
A Fresu
B R Brown
 2/1
16
★★★★☆
67.1
 Value Play
3 Heat Missile —
K Carmouche
M E Casse
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
64.4
  
4 Filly Freedom —
S Marin
C C Brown
 10/1
12
★★★★☆
62.8
 Longshot
7 Shades of Jade P Fits
R Santana, Jr.
P Antonacci
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
62.4
  
5 Life's Dynamic —
J Rosario
A Delacour
 9/2
12
★★★★☆
61.6
  
6 Queen Martina E Misfit
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
60.4
  
8 So Sophia E Misfit
K Davis
A Arriaga
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
52.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Alyeska
EP Neutral
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
C C Brown
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Boston's Phinest
P Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
B R Brown
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse
3
Heat Missile
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M E Casse
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.4
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Filly Freedom
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
C C Brown
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
7
Shades of Jade
P Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
P Antonacci
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse
5
Life's Dynamic
—
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
A Delacour
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
Post · Horse
6
Queen Martina
E Misfit
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
8
So Sophia
E Misfit
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
A Arriaga
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Three
Purse$108,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:15 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#4 Ice Chocolat holds the top composite speed rating in this seven-furlong turf allowance, but he faces a stern stamina test from #2 Fond Farewell, who returns from a layoff boasting back figures of 97 and 94.
Today's shape Lone Speed
E
1
EP
0
P
4
S
0

Lone Speed · E: 1 EP: 0 P: 4 S: 0 · #6 John Jay

One early runner and nobody to press it. Early: #6 John Jay.

From comments · 5/9 styled · display only

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.4%
Price horse: Fond Farewell (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Ice Chocolat P Neutral
K Carmouche
L Rice
 5/1
17
★★★★☆
73.5
 Top Pick
2 Fond Farewell —
R Santana, Jr.
W Walden
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
69.5
 Value Play
8 Final Verdict —
A Fresu
E R Barker
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
67.9
  
9 War Stride P Neutral
J Rosario
G Weaver
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
66.5
 Longshot
5 Run Curtis Run P Neutral
J Alvarado
F Abreu
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
66.1
  
3 Bridle a Butterfly —
S Marin
B H Cox
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
65.3
  
7 Candytown —
J Lezcano
T A Pletcher
 7/2
10
★★★★☆
64.7
  
1 Attfield P Neutral
E J Zayas
T Morley
 9/2
8
★★★★☆
62.2
  
6 John Jay E Fits
L R Rivera, Jr.
P B McBurney
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
61.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Ice Chocolat
P Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
L Rice
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.5
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Fond Farewell
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
W Walden
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
8
Final Verdict
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
E R Barker
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse Longshot
9
War Stride
P Neutral
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
G Weaver
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse
5
Run Curtis Run
P Neutral
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
F Abreu
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse
3
Bridle a Butterfly
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
B H Cox
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
7
Candytown
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
T A Pletcher
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse
1
Attfield
P Neutral
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
T Morley
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.2
Post · Horse
6
John Jay
E Fits
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
P B McBurney
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStarter Allowance / Claiming
Purse$52,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:50 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#9 Red State looks to rebound from a tough Saratoga beat as the morning-line favorite, but #7 Kid Billy cuts back to six furlongs with a class drop and a string of sub-49 morning works for Rudy Rodriguez.
Today's shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
2
P
2
S
0

Honest Pace · E: 1 EP: 2 P: 2 S: 0

Enough pressure for a fair pace; no style is handed the race.

From comments · 5/9 styled · display only

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.9%
Price horse: Red State (8/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Kid Billy —
A Fresu
R R Rodriguez
 8/1
16
★★★★☆
66.8
 Top Pick
9 Red State E Neutral
J Lezcano
W I Mott
 8/5
14
★★★★☆
65.0
 Value Play
8 Tenebris EP Fits
L R Rivera, Jr.
M Vera
 12/1
13
★★★★☆
64.0
 Longshot
5 Big Hat Willie P Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
L Shivmangal
 6/1
13
★★★★☆
63.8
  
6 Disarmed —
D A Rivera
R R Rodriguez
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
60.2
  
4 Uncle Jim —
D Davis
R Atras
 5/1
10
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
3 Go Irish P Neutral
J Rosario
M Kantarmaci
 3/1
8
★★★☆☆
56.9
  
1 Graywing EP Fits
F Villa Pino
E E Jones
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
56.1
  
2 Neuschwanstein —
K Davis
J Romero
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
55.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Kid Billy
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.8
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Red State
E Neutral
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
W I Mott
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Tenebris
EP Fits
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
M Vera
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
5
Big Hat Willie
P Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
L Shivmangal
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse
6
Disarmed
—
Jockey
D A Rivera
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.2
Post · Horse
4
Uncle Jim
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Atras
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
3
Go Irish
P Neutral
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
M Kantarmaci
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.9
Post · Horse
1
Graywing
EP Fits
Jockey
F Villa Pino
Trainer
E E Jones
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse
2
Neuschwanstein
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
J Romero
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time2:25 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#8 Titan Ready has run second in all three career starts against stiff maiden special weight company, but he must avoid another runner-up trip as #5 River of Deceit looks to turn the tables from Saratoga.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 27.1%
Price horse: River of Deceit (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Titan Ready E —
S Marin
B H Cox
 2/1
27
★★★★☆
69.4
 Top Pick
5 River of Deceit P —
J Alvarado
T Morley
 7/2
14
★★★☆☆
59.7
 Value Play
2 Loyal Prince —
J Rosario
D S Ryan
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
56.1
 Longshot
9 Jersey Guy —
K Davis
M Giddings
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
52.2
  
7 Songbird Prince —
R Santana, Jr.
T Morley
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.1
  
4 Captain G —
D Davis
M E Casse
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
47.9
  
11 Con's the Man —
A Fresu
B P Walsh
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.5
  
6 Ideation —
K Carmouche
J Sisterson
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.5
  
3 City of Mischief —
J Lezcano
W I Mott
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.5
  
1 Prove Me Wrong —
E J Zayas
D Beckman
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.4
  
10 Air Devil —
R Maragh
J M Antonucci
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Titan Ready
E —
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
B H Cox
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse Value Play
5
River of Deceit
P —
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
T Morley
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Loyal Prince
—
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
D S Ryan
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse
9
Jersey Guy
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
M Giddings
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.2
Post · Horse
7
Songbird Prince
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T Morley
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
Post · Horse
4
Captain G
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M E Casse
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
Post · Horse
11
Con's the Man
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
B P Walsh
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.5
Post · Horse
6
Ideation
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J Sisterson
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.5
Post · Horse
3
City of Mischief
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
W I Mott
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.5
Post · Horse
1
Prove Me Wrong
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
D Beckman
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.4
Post · Horse
10
Air Devil
—
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
J M Antonucci
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old Foaled In New York State And Approved By The New York Sta
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:00 PM ET
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A massive 16-horse state-bred juvenile field creates heavy traffic concerns, forcing #10 Captain George to duplicate his Saratoga debut speed figure of 77 while navigating an outside draw against #16 Tinian.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 9.5%
Price horse: Tinian (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Captain George —
R Santana, Jr.
A J Green
 5/1
10
★★★☆☆
54.0
 Top Pick
16 Tinian S —
D Davis
M E Casse
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
52.9
 Value Play
8 Raise the Roof —
S Marin
H De Paz
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
52.4
  
7 Equilibrate —
J Lezcano
C C Brown
 3/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.0
  
9 Monaco Crown S —
R Gutierrez
M J Maker
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.8
  
2 Solo Stryker S —
D Davis
M E Friedman
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
49.6
 Longshot
12 McMoon E —
E J Zayas
G Weaver
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
49.2
  
3 Challenge Me —
A Fresu
B R Brown
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
48.0
  
1 Farmer Jim —
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.1
  
5 Falconer —
J Rosario
M Clement
 6/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.1
  
14 Ed Charles —
J Alvarado
C J Englehart
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.8
  
11 Island Pal —
K Carmouche
M E Casse
 6/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.8
  
4 Rapidly Royal —
K Davis
J W Ferraro
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.1
  
15 Santis —
R Maragh
M J Maker
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.4
  
6 Cream and Crimson —
L R Rivera, Jr.
J P Terranova II
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.8
  
13 Cuylle P —
K Davis
R Keithan
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
Captain George
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
A J Green
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.0
Post · Horse Value Play
16
Tinian
S —
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M E Casse
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse
8
Raise the Roof
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
H De Paz
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse
7
Equilibrate
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
C C Brown
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.0
Post · Horse
9
Monaco Crown
S —
Jockey
R Gutierrez
Trainer
M J Maker
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.8
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Solo Stryker
S —
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M E Friedman
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.6
Post · Horse
12
McMoon
E —
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
G Weaver
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
Post · Horse
3
Challenge Me
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
B R Brown
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.0
Post · Horse
1
Farmer Jim
—
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
Post · Horse
5
Falconer
—
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
M Clement
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.1
Post · Horse
14
Ed Charles
—
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
C J Englehart
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.8
Post · Horse
11
Island Pal
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M E Casse
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.8
Post · Horse
4
Rapidly Royal
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
J W Ferraro
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.1
Post · Horse
15
Santis
—
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
M J Maker
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.4
Post · Horse
6
Cream and Crimson
—
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
J P Terranova II
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.8
Post · Horse
13
Cuylle
P —
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
R Keithan
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStarter Allowance / Claiming
Purse$48,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:35 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#7 Special Ops carries back-class including a 93 speed figure from earlier this year, but he must hold off habitual runner-up #4 Majestic Arc and the late-surging #9 Chips and Fish in an 11-horse sprint.
Today's shape Duel
E
2
EP
3
P
4
S
1

Duel · E: 2 EP: 3 P: 4 S: 1 · #4 Majestic Arc, #10 Rebalancing

Two early runners likely to hook up; pressers and closers benefit. Early: #4 Majestic Arc, #10 Rebalancing.

From comments · 10/11 styled · display only

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 13.1%
Price horse: Chips and Fish (12/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Special Ops P Fits
D Davis
R Atras
 3/1
13
★★★★☆
63.2
 Top Pick
9 Chips and Fish —
L R Rivera, Jr.
A Arriaga
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.9
 Value Play
3 Unauthorized P Fits
R Santana, Jr.
R Brisset
 4/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.1
  
4 Majestic Arc E Misfit
K Davis
L Shivmangal
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
58.6
 Longshot
2 Mike's Magic EP Neutral
J Rosario
M Kantarmaci
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
58.1
  
5 Kaz Oil Changer EP Neutral
S Marin
D K Synnefias
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
57.6
  
1 Rule Sixty Two EP Neutral
J Alvarado
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 9/2
9
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
10 Rebalancing E Misfit
A Fresu
W Potts
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
57.1
  
6 Supreme Good P Fits
R Maragh
K G McPeek
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
54.8
  
11 Next Level Beau S Fits
J Lezcano
W Potts
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
54.1
  
8 Strategicoperation P Fits
C Hargrove
A Arriaga
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
52.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Special Ops
P Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Atras
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Chips and Fish
—
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
A Arriaga
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
3
Unauthorized
P Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
R Brisset
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Majestic Arc
E Misfit
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
L Shivmangal
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
Post · Horse
2
Mike's Magic
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
M Kantarmaci
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
Post · Horse
5
Kaz Oil Changer
EP Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
D K Synnefias
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.6
Post · Horse
1
Rule Sixty Two
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
10
Rebalancing
E Misfit
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
W Potts
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse
6
Supreme Good
P Fits
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
K G McPeek
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.8
Post · Horse
11
Next Level Beau
S Fits
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
W Potts
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.1
Post · Horse
8
Strategicoperation
P Fits
Jockey
C Hargrove
Trainer
A Arriaga
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Two Ra
Purse$105,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:10 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Graded stakes-placed #6 Pandagate makes his long-awaited return off a 13-month layoff for Christophe Clement, but he faces race-ready rivals in #1 Chief Wallabee and 15-1 longshot #5 Cocktailsnkringle.
Today's shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
2
S
1

Duel · E: 2 EP: 1 P: 2 S: 1 · #3 Enforced Agenda, #8 Leon Blue

Two early runners likely to hook up; pressers and closers benefit. Early: #3 Enforced Agenda, #8 Leon Blue.

From comments · 6/10 styled · display only

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.6%
Price horse: Cocktailsnkringle (15/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Pandagate P Fits
D Davis
M Clement
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
72.0
 Top Pick
5 Cocktailsnkringle —
A Fresu
S I Schauer
 15/1
12
★★★★☆
70.8
 Value Play
1 Chief Wallabee —
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 1/1
11
★★★★☆
70.0
 Longshot
7 Freddie B S Fits
R Maragh
K G McPeek
 4/1
10
★★★★☆
68.7
  
9 Willintoriskitall P Fits
J Rosario
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
68.4
  
4 Envision EP Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
W Walden
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
67.7
  
3 Enforced Agenda E Misfit
S Marin
G Weaver
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
67.1
  
10 Magnanimous Max —
J Lezcano
L Rice
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
67.0
  
2 Gulfy —
K Carmouche
G Rodriguez
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
66.6
  
8 Leon Blue E Misfit
L R Rivera, Jr.
M Giddings
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
65.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Pandagate
P Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M Clement
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.0
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Cocktailsnkringle
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
S I Schauer
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Chief Wallabee
—
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.0
Post · Horse
7
Freddie B
S Fits
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
K G McPeek
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse
9
Willintoriskitall
P Fits
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.4
Post · Horse
4
Envision
EP Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
W Walden
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
3
Enforced Agenda
E Misfit
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
G Weaver
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse
10
Magnanimous Max
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
2
Gulfy
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
G Rodriguez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
Post · Horse
8
Leon Blue
E Misfit
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
M Giddings
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $175,000
Purse$175,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:45 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The $175,000 feature features intense pace pressure among a dozen turf sprinters, leaving the race wide open for European group winner #9 Tabiti to make an explosive return against the razor-sharp #11 Highway Harmony.
Today's shape Duel
E
2
EP
2
P
1
S
3

Duel · E: 2 EP: 2 P: 1 S: 3 · #9 Tabiti, #8 Movin' On Up

Two early runners likely to hook up; pressers and closers benefit. Early: #9 Tabiti, #8 Movin' On Up.

From comments · 8/12 styled · display only

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 12.2%
Price horse: Highway Harmony (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Tabiti E Misfit
S Marin
B H Cox
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
75.2
 Top Pick
11 Highway Harmony EP Neutral
E J Zayas
A J Green
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
70.9
 Value Play
8 Movin' On Up E Misfit
K Carmouche
S A Joseph, Jr.
 4/1
9
★★★★☆
70.6
  
2 Lovely Emma EP Neutral
A Fresu
P Eurton
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
69.6
 Longshot
10 Leslie's Humor —
D Davis
C C Brown
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
69.6
  
1 Love Cervere S Fits
J Rosario
M Clement
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
69.3
  
12 Sweet Brown Sugar S Fits
J Alvarado
R Atras
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
69.1
  
5 Flamingo Way —
E Ruiz
P T Aristone
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
69.1
  
3 Capturing —
R Santana, Jr.
T A Pletcher
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
67.7
  
4 Quiet Confidence —
J Lezcano
J T Ryerson
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
67.4
  
6 Obstreperous P Fits
V Cheminaud
M V Simone
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
67.1
  
7 Delightful Flame S Fits
K Davis
D P Duggan
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
65.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Tabiti
E Misfit
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
B H Cox
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.2
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Highway Harmony
EP Neutral
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
A J Green
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.9
Post · Horse
8
Movin' On Up
E Misfit
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Lovely Emma
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
P Eurton
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.6
Post · Horse
10
Leslie's Humor
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
C C Brown
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.6
Post · Horse
1
Love Cervere
S Fits
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
M Clement
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
Post · Horse
12
Sweet Brown Sugar
S Fits
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
R Atras
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
5
Flamingo Way
—
Jockey
E Ruiz
Trainer
P T Aristone
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
3
Capturing
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T A Pletcher
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
4
Quiet Confidence
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
J T Ryerson
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.4
Post · Horse
6
Obstreperous
P Fits
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
M V Simone
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse
7
Delightful Flame
S Fits
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
D P Duggan
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward Foaled In New York State And Approved By The
Purse$84,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/8 Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time5:20 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#2 Emotionlyavailble looks to capitalize on a drop back into maiden special weight company for Brad Cox, but he must negotiate nine furlongs on turf while holding off Todd Pletcher's #4 Big Frosty and longshot #1 Lobbyist.
Today's shape No Speed
E
0
EP
0
P
2
S
2

No Speed · E: 0 EP: 0 P: 2 S: 2 · early order unreliable

Nobody wants the lead; early order unreliable.

early order unreliable

From comments · 4/11 styled · display only

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 16.0%
Price horse: Big Frosty (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Emotionlyavailble P Fits
S Marin
B H Cox
 2/1
16
★★★★☆
61.1
 Top Pick
4 Big Frosty —
J Rosario
T A Pletcher
 5/2
14
★★★☆☆
58.6
 Value Play
9 Beau Cheval S Neutral
K Carmouche
J Sharp
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
57.7
 Longshot
7 Bourboncentric S Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
T Morley
 4/1
11
★★★☆☆
55.4
  
10 D C Boy's —
D Davis
M J Maker
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
54.8
  
1 Lobbyist —
R Maragh
D G Donk
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
53.1
  
8 Uncle Barrie P Fits
C Gonzalez
R Metivier
 50/1
7
★★★☆☆
48.3
  
11 The Great Eight —
K Carmouche
B R Brown
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
47.2
  
5 Aggression —
A Fresu
A J Green
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.7
  
6 Zip for Rick —
O Hernandez Moreno
R E Legall
 50/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.7
  
3 Talwyn —
K Davis
C R Figueroa, Jr.
 30/1
4
★★☆☆☆
39.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Emotionlyavailble
P Fits
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
B H Cox
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Big Frosty
—
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
T A Pletcher
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Beau Cheval
S Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J Sharp
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
7
Bourboncentric
S Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T Morley
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse
10
D C Boy's
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M J Maker
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.8
Post · Horse
1
Lobbyist
—
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
D G Donk
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse
8
Uncle Barrie
P Fits
Jockey
C Gonzalez
Trainer
R Metivier
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.3
Post · Horse
11
The Great Eight
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
B R Brown
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.2
Post · Horse
5
Aggression
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
A J Green
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.7
Post · Horse
6
Zip for Rick
—
Jockey
O Hernandez Moreno
Trainer
R E Legall
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.7
Post · Horse
3
Talwyn
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
C R Figueroa, Jr.
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro