Curated Betting Card

Belmont Park

Data-driven full-card analysis with compact access to every race on the board.

2026-09-30 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Belmont Park · full board
Strongest play
R1
Foolin #1
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Mission Integrity #4
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R8
14 runners
14
Pace shape
R3
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
Belmont Park presents an eight-race program highlighted by sharp state-bred allowance sprinters in Race 7 and turf maidens in the Race 8 finale. Form holds strong early with juvenile maidens in Race 1, but mid-card dirt sprints feature competitive claiming conditions that offer live price angles underneath. The turf courses play fair with tactical speed rewarded at six furlongs in Race 3, while late runners will find sufficient ground to rally in the two-turn outer turf closer.
Races 8 Status Live View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:10 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexTwo Years Old Open
EligibilityMaiden
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The opener turns on whether #1 Foolin can convert his proven Saratoga class edge from the rail against a pair of well-meant first-time starters. Foolin pairs competitive speed figures of 58 and 75 against unstarted rivals #6 Joven and #7 Horizontal Rain, making his break from the inside post the defining tactical question of the race.
PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 35.0%
Price horse: Joven (3/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Foolin —
R Santana, Jr.
T A Pletcher
 7/2
35
★★★☆☆
55.4
 Top Pick
6 Joven —
F Prat
D Gargan
 3/1
19
★★★☆☆
50.1
 Value Play
7 Horizontal Rain —
M Franco
B P Walsh
 4/1
16
★★★☆☆
48.6
  
5 Donegal Luster —
J R Velazquez
T A Pletcher
 2/1
10
★★★☆☆
44.8
  
4 Mission Integrity —
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
43.9
 Longshot
2 Spahi —
E J Zayas
D Beckman
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
40.8
  
3 I'm America —
D Davis
J M Antonucci
 15/1
5
★★☆☆☆
39.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Foolin
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T A Pletcher
35
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Joven
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
D Gargan
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
7
Horizontal Rain
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
B P Walsh
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
5
Donegal Luster
—
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
T A Pletcher
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Mission Integrity
—
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
2
Spahi
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
D Beckman
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.8
Post · Horse
3
I'm America
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
J M Antonucci
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming
Purse$44,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:41 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old and Upward Fillies and Mares
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The extended seven-and-a-half-furlong trip tests the stamina of #8 Looks First, who cuts back slightly after grinding out mid-Atlantic allowance efforts with figures of 75 and 78. She must track down persistent front-runner #5 Miss Lao and class-dropper #6 Heavenly Light before the long Belmont stretch takes its toll.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
0
S
1

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #5 Miss Lao, #1 Securitylightning, #7 Princess Becca.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.9%
Price horse: Heavenly Light (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Looks First —
M Franco
H De Paz
 7/2
21
★★★★☆
68.3
 Top Pick
6 Heavenly Light —
F Prat
L Rice
 4/1
18
★★★★☆
67.1
 Value Play
5 Miss Lao E Misfit
S Gonzalez
M Kantarmaci
 5/1
15
★★★★☆
65.6
  
1 Securitylightning E Misfit
R Santana, Jr.
W Potts
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
62.3
 Longshot
7 Princess Becca E Misfit
D Davis
O Noda
 5/2
10
★★★★☆
62.0
  
2 Curlin's Magic —
J Nolasco
M Arenas
 20/1
10
★★★★☆
61.7
  
3 Pistol Liz Ablazen S Fits
D A Rivera
G Rodriguez
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.6
  
9 Ah Ca Ira —
C Elliott
L K Dixon
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
58.9
  
4 Santagata EP Neutral
C Maragh
C Bhigroog
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
48.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Looks First
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
H De Paz
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Heavenly Light
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
L Rice
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse
5
Miss Lao
E Misfit
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
M Kantarmaci
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.6
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Securitylightning
E Misfit
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
W Potts
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
Post · Horse
7
Princess Becca
E Misfit
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
O Noda
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.0
Post · Horse
2
Curlin's Magic
—
Jockey
J Nolasco
Trainer
M Arenas
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
Post · Horse
3
Pistol Liz Ablazen
S Fits
Jockey
D A Rivera
Trainer
G Rodriguez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse
9
Ah Ca Ira
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
L K Dixon
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.9
Post · Horse
4
Santagata
EP Neutral
Jockey
C Maragh
Trainer
C Bhigroog
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$105,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time2:12 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old and Upward Open
EligibilityNon-winners of two races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Brad Cox's #7 Light Fantastic seeks a third consecutive victory off sharp Saratoga figures of 84 and 88, but faces intense pace pressure from the rail out. The outcome hinges on whether #5 Joker On Fire, second in three straight Spa sprints with figures up to 93, can finally break through or if he forces a pace duel that sets the race up for #4 Fireballin.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
3
P
4
S
0

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #5 Joker On Fire, #2 Three Mile Gold.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.6%
Price horse: Fireballin (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Light Fantastic EP Neutral
S Marin
B H Cox
 5/1
23
★★★★☆
64.7
 Top Pick
4 Fireballin P Fits
K Davis
M J Maker
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
61.1
 Value Play
5 Joker On Fire E Misfit
J Lezcano
B N Levine
 3/1
15
★★★★☆
61.0
  
9 Stormy Birthday P Fits
F Prat
R Ribaudo
 7/2
13
★★★☆☆
59.7
  
6 True Legend EP Neutral
M Franco
G Weaver
 9/2
10
★★★☆☆
58.1
  
8 Van Vollenhoven P Fits
J Castellano
D P Duggan
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
55.2
  
1 Manor Park P Fits
D Davis
J B Begg
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
54.6
  
2 Three Mile Gold E Misfit
E J Zayas
T Moubarak
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
54.5
 Longshot
3 Until Last Call EP Neutral
C Elliott
J T Ryerson
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Light Fantastic
EP Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
B H Cox
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Fireballin
P Fits
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
M J Maker
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse
5
Joker On Fire
E Misfit
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
B N Levine
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
Post · Horse
9
Stormy Birthday
P Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
R Ribaudo
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse
6
True Legend
EP Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
G Weaver
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
Post · Horse
8
Van Vollenhoven
P Fits
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
D P Duggan
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.2
Post · Horse
1
Manor Park
P Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
J B Begg
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.6
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Three Mile Gold
E Misfit
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
T Moubarak
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.5
Post · Horse
3
Until Last Call
EP Neutral
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
J T Ryerson
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$105,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:43 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old and Upward Fillies and Mares
EligibilityNon-winners of two races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Chad Brown trainee #8 Material Girl returns from an extended 16-month layoff possessing the highest class baseline in the field, highlighted by a maiden-breaking 81 speed figure. She faces immediate pressure from #3 Dangerous Affair, an honest filly with back-to-back 83 speed figures who has also been freshened ahead of this sprint.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
0
P
2
S
3

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #8 Material Girl, #3 Dangerous Affair, #6 Shehanah.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.2%
Price horse: Dangerous Affair (7/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Material Girl E Misfit
M Franco
C C Brown
 3/1
22
★★★★☆
66.0
 Top Pick
3 Dangerous Affair E Misfit
R Santana, Jr.
J M Antonucci
 7/2
18
★★★★☆
64.2
 Value Play
6 Shehanah E Misfit
J Castellano
C J Englehart
 12/1
15
★★★★☆
62.5
 Longshot
1 Central to Success P Fits
K Davis
R E Reid, Jr.
 2/1
12
★★★★☆
60.9
  
5 Kaz Farm Girl S Fits
S Marin
D K Synnefias
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
60.6
  
2 Combat Move S Fits
J Lezcano
L Rice
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.4
  
4 Sheza Bernardini S Fits
S Orellana
A Martinez
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
56.7
  
7 Bouquetry P Fits
D Davis
T A Hills
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Material Girl
E Misfit
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Dangerous Affair
E Misfit
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
J M Antonucci
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Shehanah
E Misfit
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
C J Englehart
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse
1
Central to Success
P Fits
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
R E Reid, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
Post · Horse
5
Kaz Farm Girl
S Fits
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
D K Synnefias
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.6
Post · Horse
2
Combat Move
S Fits
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
Post · Horse
4
Sheza Bernardini
S Fits
Jockey
S Orellana
Trainer
A Martinez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
Post · Horse
7
Bouquetry
P Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
T A Hills
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$38,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:14 PM ET
Field Size12
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old and Upward Open
EligibilityMaiden
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A sprawling field of 12 maiden claimers centers on #4 Mr R T, who has hit the board in four straight starts at Saratoga and Belmont with figures in the mid-60s to low-70s. The major question is whether he can finally seal the deal at seven furlongs or if Linda Rice trainee #3 Chess Match rebounds with blinkers off a bullet Saratoga work.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
2
P
4
S
0

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #4 Mr R T, #8 Tampa Storm, #10 Johnny Bay Goode.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 19.0%
Price horse: Chess Match (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Mr R T E Misfit
K Carmouche
R Samsundar
 6/1
19
★★★★☆
60.9
 Top Pick
3 Chess Match P Fits
F Prat
L Rice
 9/2
17
★★★☆☆
60.0
 Value Play
2 Lough Currane P Fits
M Franco
J P Terranova II
 5/1
16
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
7 Chris's Song EP Neutral
A Fresu
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.9
 Longshot
8 Tampa Storm E Misfit
J Lezcano
C J Englehart
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.2
  
10 Johnny Bay Goode E Misfit
J Castellano
W Potts
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.2
  
11 Portadown Lad —
C Elliott
J W Ferraro
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.0
  
1 Holding Power —
R Santana, Jr.
M Clement
 6/1
4
★★★☆☆
47.6
  
12 Trapping Hands P Fits
H K Harkie
R Samsundar
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
47.5
  
6 Bellamy P Fits
C Maragh
R E Legall
 50/1
3
★★★☆☆
46.1
  
9 In Front Runner —
E J Zayas
A Sano
 6/1
3
★★★☆☆
46.1
  
5 Easemyworriedmind EP Neutral
D Davis
M A Hennig
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
44.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Mr R T
E Misfit
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
R Samsundar
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Chess Match
P Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
L Rice
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
2
Lough Currane
P Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
J P Terranova II
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Chris's Song
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse
8
Tampa Storm
E Misfit
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
C J Englehart
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
Post · Horse
10
Johnny Bay Goode
E Misfit
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
W Potts
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
Post · Horse
11
Portadown Lad
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
J W Ferraro
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
1
Holding Power
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M Clement
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
Post · Horse
12
Trapping Hands
P Fits
Jockey
H K Harkie
Trainer
R Samsundar
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.5
Post · Horse
6
Bellamy
P Fits
Jockey
C Maragh
Trainer
R E Legall
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
Post · Horse
9
In Front Runner
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
A Sano
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
Post · Horse
5
Easemyworriedmind
EP Neutral
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M A Hennig
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or Claiming Pri
Purse$108,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:45 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old and Upward Fillies and Mares
EligibilityNon-winners of three races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This one-mile dirt allowance features a clash of prominent stables as Linda Rice's #3 Sweetest Princess takes on Todd Pletcher's #7 Grazie. Sweetest Princess boasts an 89 speed figure two starts back and rapid morning works, but she must prove she can hold off Grazie, who crushed Saratoga rivals last out by daylight with an impressive 91 figure.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
2
P
2
S
0

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.0%
Price horse: Grazie (1/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Sweetest Princess EP Fits
M Franco
L Rice
 8/1
21
★★★★☆
72.3
 Top Pick
7 Grazie EP Fits
F Prat
T A Pletcher
 1/1
20
★★★★☆
72.1
 Value Play
1 Lady Rose E Neutral
J Lezcano
L Rice
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
68.9
  
5 Midtown Lights —
E J Zayas
S A Joseph, Jr.
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
67.6
  
2 Grace and Grit —
S Marin
A J Green
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
67.5
  
6 Fast and Frisky P Neutral
D Davis
G E Charlerie
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
65.0
 Longshot
8 Malu —
R Santana, Jr.
G Rodriguez
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
63.0
  
4 Rina's Revenge P Neutral
J Castellano
K G McPeek
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
59.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Sweetest Princess
EP Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.3
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Grazie
EP Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
T A Pletcher
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.1
Post · Horse
1
Lady Rose
E Neutral
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.9
Post · Horse
5
Midtown Lights
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse
2
Grace and Grit
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
A J Green
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Fast and Frisky
P Neutral
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
G E Charlerie
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
8
Malu
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
G Rodriguez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse
4
Rina's Revenge
P Neutral
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
K G McPeek
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Two Ra
Purse$105,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:16 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old and Upward Open
EligibilityNon-winners of two races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A competitive state-bred allowance sprint at six and one-half furlongs pits late-surging #4 Shoot the Nickel against prominent pace factor #1 Sculcos Folly. Shoot the Nickel arrives off a sharp 93 speed figure win at Saratoga, but #1 Sculcos Folly boasts a career-best 96 figure and the speed to control the race from the rail.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
2
P
2
S
1

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #9 Dr Ruben M, #6 Criteria.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.7%
Price horse: Sculcos Folly (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Shoot the Nickel S Fits
R Santana, Jr.
L Rice
 10/1
17
★★★★☆
70.9
 Top Pick
1 Sculcos Folly —
J R Velazquez
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 5/2
16
★★★★☆
70.6
 Value Play
2 Village Person EP Neutral
K Carmouche
S Klesaris
 12/1
14
★★★★☆
69.2
 Longshot
9 Dr Ruben M E Misfit
A Fresu
D F O'Neill
 4/1
13
★★★★☆
68.8
  
7 Oil Capital P Fits
J Lezcano
L Rice
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
66.4
  
5 Caldo Candy P Fits
S Marin
J R Abreu
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
66.0
  
6 Criteria E Misfit
F Prat
C C Brown
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
65.2
  
3 Mo the Merrier EP Neutral
D Davis
M Miceli
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
64.2
  
8 Golden Tornado —
M Franco
D Gargan
 5/1
5
★★★★☆
60.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Shoot the Nickel
S Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
L Rice
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.9
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Sculcos Folly
—
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Village Person
EP Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
S Klesaris
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.2
Post · Horse
9
Dr Ruben M
E Misfit
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
D F O'Neill
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
Post · Horse
7
Oil Capital
P Fits
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.4
Post · Horse
5
Caldo Candy
P Fits
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J R Abreu
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse
6
Criteria
E Misfit
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
3
Mo the Merrier
EP Neutral
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M Miceli
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
8
Golden Tornado
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
D Gargan
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward Foaled In New York State A
Purse$56,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:47 PM ET
Field Size14
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old and Upward Fillies and Mares
EligibilityState-bred maiden
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Heavy favorite #10 Amazing Gracer drops into state-bred company possessing speed figures of 81 and 84, but she must overcome an awkward outside post in a 14-horse field going two turns. If she gets hung wide around the clubhouse turn, longshot #12 No Need to Panic has the late kick to stage an upset after showing flashes with a 77 figure at Saratoga.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
2
P
3
S
1

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 28.2%
Price horse: Raynham Hall (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Amazing Gracer —
M Franco
J R Abreu
 6/5
28
★★★★☆
63.7
 Top Pick
8 Raynham Hall P Neutral
K Carmouche
R R Rodriguez
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.3
 Value Play
12 No Need to Panic P Neutral
A Fresu
M Miceli
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.5
 Longshot
3 Addagirl Addie —
S Marin
B R Brown
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.2
  
14 Stella Fortuna S Neutral
D Davis
M Miceli
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.0
  
11 Whatta Weekend E Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
D P Duggan
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
51.9
  
13 Shiv —
J Alvarado
A J Kingsley, Jr.
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
51.7
  
4 Two Clicks EP Fits
J Castellano
B N Levine
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.3
  
1 Adroit P Neutral
K Davis
J W Ferraro
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.1
  
2 Not Tapping —
J R Velazquez
T Morley
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
48.8
  
6 Lake Ariel EP Fits
C Elliott
D G Donk
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
46.6
  
7 Iwokeuplikethis —
F Prat
M Nevin
 12/1
2
★★★☆☆
41.5
  
5 Montevertine —
E J Zayas
H Bond
 30/1
2
★★☆☆☆
39.3
  
9 City War —
H K Harkie
L Gyarmati
 50/1
1
★★☆☆☆
34.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
Amazing Gracer
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
J R Abreu
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Raynham Hall
P Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.3
Post · Horse Longshot
12
No Need to Panic
P Neutral
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M Miceli
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
Post · Horse
3
Addagirl Addie
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
B R Brown
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.2
Post · Horse
14
Stella Fortuna
S Neutral
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M Miceli
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.0
Post · Horse
11
Whatta Weekend
E Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
D P Duggan
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.9
Post · Horse
13
Shiv
—
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
A J Kingsley, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
4
Two Clicks
EP Fits
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
B N Levine
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.3
Post · Horse
1
Adroit
P Neutral
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
J W Ferraro
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
Post · Horse
2
Not Tapping
—
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
T Morley
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
Post · Horse
6
Lake Ariel
EP Fits
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
D G Donk
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.6
Post · Horse
7
Iwokeuplikethis
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M Nevin
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.5
Post · Horse
5
Montevertine
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
H Bond
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.3
Post · Horse
9
City War
—
Jockey
H K Harkie
Trainer
L Gyarmati
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 34.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
  Go Pro