Curated Betting Card

Belmont Park

Data-driven full-card analysis with compact access to every race on the board.

2026-10-02 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Belmont Park · full board
Strongest play
R3
Extravaganzoo #1
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Essence L Vee #1
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R4
12 runners
12
Pace shape
R2
Lone Speed
#4 Mendel
Card Overview
Race day summary
Belmont's Friday nine-race program features balanced turf sprints and competitive dirt allowances, highlighted by a contentious $175,000 turf stakes in Race 8. Competitive betting opportunities emerge early with viable favorites in Races 2 and 3, while large-field maiden events later in the card provide ample price value underneath. The turf courses should favor runners positioned just off honest early fractions, while tactical speed remains an asset across the main track distances.
Races 9 Status Live View Morning
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Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance Optional Claiming
Purse$37,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:10 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The opener turns on whether #6 Amelia's Echo can translate back-to-back Saratoga graded and allowance experience into a winning trip against #5 That'sthefactjack, who showed good punch when breaking maiden ground and fired a bullet 59.58 five-furlong drill on September 23.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
3
P
4
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Big Heleonora and #6 Amelia's Echo go for the lead together. 3691278
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 3691278
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Big Heleonora is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 3691278

Not placed (not enough race history): #5 That'sthefactjack.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.1%
Price horse: That'sthefactjack (7/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Amelia's Echo EP Fits
M Franco
I Kantarmaci
 5/2
22
★★★★☆
60.3
 Top Pick
5 That'sthefactjack —
E J Zayas
D L Schettino
 7/2
16
★★★☆☆
57.7
 Value Play
8 Expecto Patronum P Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
M Giangiulio
 4/1
14
★★★☆☆
56.5
  
1 Essence L Vee P Neutral
C Hargrove
M A Hennig
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
55.7
 Longshot
7 Successful Agenda P Neutral
P Lopez
J Sharp
 10/1
12
★★★☆☆
55.0
  
3 Big Heleonora EP Fits
J Lezcano
M Nevin
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.9
  
9 Queen Sally EP Fits
R Maragh
J W Ferraro
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
2 Icy Legs P Neutral
C Elliott
D S Lalman
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
50.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Amelia's Echo
EP Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
Post · Horse Value Play
5
That'sthefactjack
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
D L Schettino
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
8
Expecto Patronum
P Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M Giangiulio
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Essence L Vee
P Neutral
Jockey
C Hargrove
Trainer
M A Hennig
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.7
Post · Horse
7
Successful Agenda
P Neutral
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J Sharp
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.0
Post · Horse
3
Big Heleonora
EP Fits
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
M Nevin
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.9
Post · Horse
9
Queen Sally
EP Fits
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
J W Ferraro
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse
2
Icy Legs
P Neutral
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
D S Lalman
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Only one horse wants the lead. It should get an easy trip up front. Wants the lead: #4 Mendel.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens allowed 2 Lbs
Purse$175,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:43 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This 6 1/2-furlong turf dash matches #3 Calling Mr. Mo, who earned a sharp 78 speed figure when second at Saratoga, against #2 Scalene, a debut winner who earned an 81 figure and holds the tactical edge inside.
Pace shape Lone Speed
E
1
EP
0
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Lone Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Mendel is the only one who wants the lead and should get it easily. #5 Saratoga Tea drops to the back. 465
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Mendel is loose on the lead with nobody pressing. 465
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 Mendel is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 465

Not placed (not enough race history): #1 Road Show, #2 Scalene, #3 Calling Mr. Mo, #7 Soldier's Glory.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.7%
Price horse: Scalene (7/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Calling Mr. Mo —
M Franco
M Clement
 8/5
23
★★★☆☆
55.9
 Top Pick
2 Scalene —
J Castellano
R Ribaudo
 7/2
21
★★★☆☆
55.4
 Value Play
7 Soldier's Glory —
R Santana, Jr.
J M Antonucci
 2/1
18
★★★☆☆
53.9
  
1 Road Show —
D Davis
M E Casse
 9/2
16
★★★☆☆
53.2
  
5 Saratoga Tea S Misfit
E J Zayas
R Brisset
 10/1
15
★★★☆☆
52.4
 Longshot
6 Cuylle P Neutral
R Silvera
R Keithan
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.2
  
4 Mendel E Fits
K Davis
M Giddings
 30/1
2
★★☆☆☆
36.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Calling Mr. Mo
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M Clement
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Scalene
—
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
R Ribaudo
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse
7
Soldier's Glory
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
J M Antonucci
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.9
Post · Horse
1
Road Show
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M E Casse
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Saratoga Tea
S Misfit
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
R Brisset
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse
6
Cuylle
P Neutral
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
R Keithan
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.2
Post · Horse
4
Mendel
E Fits
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
M Giddings
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 36.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens allowed 2 Lbs
Purse$175,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time2:16 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Trainer George Weaver holds the keys to this six-horse turf sprint with #1 Extravaganzoo towering on figures (83 and 79 last two) while stablemate #3 Tiger Line steps up after a convincing maiden score at Saratoga.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 30.3%
Price horse: Tiger Line (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Extravaganzoo P —
M Franco
G Weaver
 6/5
30
★★★★☆
61.3
 Top Pick
3 Tiger Line —
K Carmouche
G Weaver
 9/2
19
★★★☆☆
57.3
 Value Play
2 Gold Fashioned —
J E Morelos
J M Antonucci
 7/2
16
★★★☆☆
55.9
  
4 Legacy Lady E —
R Santana, Jr.
J Delgado
 6/1
15
★★★☆☆
55.1
  
7 Boomesherang —
E J Zayas
G Weaver
 10/1
11
★★★☆☆
53.0
 Longshot
6 Cafe Rose —
F H Da Silva
T Birdwell
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
50.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Extravaganzoo
P —
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
G Weaver
30
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Tiger Line
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
G Weaver
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
Post · Horse
2
Gold Fashioned
—
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
J M Antonucci
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse
4
Legacy Lady
E —
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
J Delgado
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.1
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Boomesherang
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
G Weaver
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse
6
Cafe Rose
—
Jockey
F H Da Silva
Trainer
T Birdwell
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$56,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:49 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A sprawling twelve-horse juvenile filly sprint pits Saratoga runner-up #10 Risky Mission against #9 Dry Drastic, with both fillies needing to overcome outside posts against several well-bred first-time starters.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 14.5%
Price horse: Dry Drastic (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Risky Mission —
K Carmouche
R R Rodriguez
 6/1
14
★★★☆☆
51.4
 Top Pick
9 Dry Drastic —
M Franco
G Weaver
 7/2
14
★★★☆☆
51.3
 Value Play
12 B My Lady —
R Santana, Jr.
A J Green
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
50.1
  
4 Smoted —
S Marin
B H Cox
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
49.4
  
7 Cream Puff —
K Davis
B R Brown
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
47.1
 Longshot
5 Solo Belle —
J Alvarado
A J Green
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
45.8
  
1 McLight —
J Castellano
B N Levine
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.4
  
6 So Angelina P —
D A Rivera
A Arriaga
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.0
  
3 Cara's Chrome —
R Silvera
M E Friedman
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.0
  
8 Empirical March —
C Elliott
K G McPeek
 6/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.4
  
11 Jackpot Judy —
L R Rivera, Jr.
W Potts
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.3
  
2 Freshly Minted P —
A Fresu
R R Rodriguez
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
Risky Mission
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Dry Drastic
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
G Weaver
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
12
B My Lady
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
A J Green
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
4
Smoted
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
B H Cox
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Cream Puff
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
B R Brown
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.1
Post · Horse
5
Solo Belle
—
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
A J Green
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.8
Post · Horse
1
McLight
—
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
B N Levine
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.4
Post · Horse
6
So Angelina
P —
Jockey
D A Rivera
Trainer
A Arriaga
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.0
Post · Horse
3
Cara's Chrome
—
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
M E Friedman
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.0
Post · Horse
8
Empirical March
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
K G McPeek
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.4
Post · Horse
11
Jackpot Judy
—
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
W Potts
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.3
Post · Horse
2
Freshly Minted
P —
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #9 The Markinater, #5 Rossbeigh, #4 Two Ducks.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Open
Purse$53,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:23 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Seven furlongs on the lawn brings together twelve contenders where #2 Azizam's back class (93 speed figure at Monmouth) must withstand the sharp recent form of #7 Chips and Fish, who missed by a neck over this course on September 19.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
4
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Two Ducks, #5 Rossbeigh and #9 The Markinater all go for the lead. #2 Azizam and #6 King Puck drop to the back. 459181031362
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Two Ducks, #5 Rossbeigh and #9 The Markinater keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 459181031362
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 Hong Kong Phooey has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 King Puck, #10 Diliello and #3 Out of the Fog. Tiring: #1 Peyton, #4 Two Ducks and #5 Rossbeigh. 861031321459

Not placed (not enough race history): #7 Chips and Fish, #11 Leo's Reward.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 12.8%
Price horse: Chips and Fish (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Azizam S Fits
J Castellano
G Weaver
 3/1
13
★★★★☆
62.9
 Top Pick
7 Chips and Fish —
M Franco
A Arriaga
 5/1
13
★★★★☆
62.8
 Value Play
13 I Can See That P Fits
R Santana, Jr.
B N Levine
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
62.7
  
11 Leo's Reward —
P Lopez
J Sharp
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
60.9
  
9 The Markinater E Misfit
S Marin
D K Synnefias
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
60.3
 Longshot
10 Diliello P Fits
J Alvarado
T Morley
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.8
  
5 Rossbeigh E Misfit
A Fresu
J B Begg
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.5
  
4 Two Ducks E Misfit
K Carmouche
C F Martin
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.4
  
8 Hong Kong Phooey P Fits
J Lezcano
R R Rodriguez
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.0
  
6 King Puck S Fits
R Gutierrez
K Brion
 8/1
4
★★★☆☆
53.6
  
3 Out of the Fog P Fits
J E Morelos
J M Antonucci
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
52.6
  
1 Peyton EP Neutral
O Hernandez Moreno
D L Schettino
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
52.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Azizam
S Fits
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
G Weaver
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Chips and Fish
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
A Arriaga
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
13
I Can See That
P Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
B N Levine
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
11
Leo's Reward
—
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J Sharp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
Post · Horse Longshot
9
The Markinater
E Misfit
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
D K Synnefias
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
Post · Horse
10
Diliello
P Fits
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
T Morley
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse
5
Rossbeigh
E Misfit
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
J B Begg
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
4
Two Ducks
E Misfit
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
C F Martin
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
Post · Horse
8
Hong Kong Phooey
P Fits
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.0
Post · Horse
6
King Puck
S Fits
Jockey
R Gutierrez
Trainer
K Brion
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.6
Post · Horse
3
Out of the Fog
P Fits
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
J M Antonucci
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
Post · Horse
1
Peyton
EP Neutral
Jockey
O Hernandez Moreno
Trainer
D L Schettino
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #3 Bernin Hot, #5 Khozeiress.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Open
Purse$68,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:57 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A demanding one-turn mile on the main track features a clash between Saratoga allowance winner #3 Bernin Hot and the Linda Rice-trained #10 My Noble Knight, who brings back-to-back triple-digit and high-80s speed figures.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
4
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Bernin Hot should break on top. #10 My Noble Knight and #8 Inexorable drop to the back. 35729810
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Bernin Hot and #5 Khozeiress keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 35729810
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Castle Chaos has taken over in front. Moving forward: #9 Makes Sense, #8 Inexorable and #7 Pineapple Man. Tiring: #3 Bernin Hot and #5 Khozeiress. 29871035

Not placed (not enough race history): #1 Frizzante, #11 Le Gris.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.0%
Price horse: My Noble Knight (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Bernin Hot E Misfit
M Franco
I Kantarmaci
 9/2
15
★★★★☆
69.6
 Top Pick
10 My Noble Knight P Fits
J Lezcano
L Rice
 7/2
14
★★★★☆
69.2
 Value Play
5 Khozeiress E Misfit
R Santana, Jr.
J Delgado
 10/1
14
★★★★☆
68.8
 Longshot
7 Pineapple Man EP Neutral
S Marin
I Kantarmaci
 10/1
13
★★★★☆
68.3
  
2 Castle Chaos P Fits
J E Morelos
M Kantarmaci
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
66.7
  
1 Frizzante —
C Elliott
G DiPrima
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
65.4
  
9 Makes Sense P Fits
L R Rivera, Jr.
C Summers
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
64.7
  
8 Inexorable P Fits
D Davis
B R Brown
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
64.5
  
11 Le Gris —
R Silvera
R R Rodriguez
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
63.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Bernin Hot
E Misfit
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.6
Post · Horse Value Play
10
My Noble Knight
P Fits
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.2
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Khozeiress
E Misfit
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
J Delgado
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
Post · Horse
7
Pineapple Man
EP Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
2
Castle Chaos
P Fits
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
M Kantarmaci
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
1
Frizzante
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
G DiPrima
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse
9
Makes Sense
P Fits
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
C Summers
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse
8
Inexorable
P Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
B R Brown
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
11
Le Gris
—
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:31 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Trainer Todd Pletcher sends out #10 Originality off a runner-up debut with an 86 speed figure, but he will have to run down #9 Sir Duke and handle the pace pressure from inside challenger #3 Gordy.
PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 16.3%
Price horse: Originality (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Sir Duke —
S Marin
I Kantarmaci
 15/1
16
★★★☆☆
57.7
 Top Pick
10 Originality —
J Castellano
T A Pletcher
 2/1
16
★★★☆☆
57.4
 Value Play
3 Gordy EP —
A Fresu
M Giangiulio
 20/1
13
★★★☆☆
55.9
 Longshot
1 Relative Risk —
R Silvera
L Bartkowski
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
54.1
  
7 Royal Enclosure —
E J Zayas
J R Abreu
 5/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.5
  
6 Good Illusion P —
K Carmouche
D Gargan
 20/1
9
★★★☆☆
52.9
  
4 Zimmer —
P Lopez
M Stidham
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
48.3
  
11 Bluebeard —
R Santana, Jr.
C C Brown
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
48.3
  
2 Midnight Rocket —
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
46.3
  
8 Senior Lender —
M Franco
C C Brown
 6/1
4
★★★☆☆
46.0
  
12 Blueberryhillkeke —
R Maragh
J W Ferraro
 50/1
3
★★★☆☆
42.8
  
5 Ace in Hand —
C Elliott
K G McPeek
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
42.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Sir Duke
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Originality
—
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
T A Pletcher
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Gordy
EP —
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M Giangiulio
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse
1
Relative Risk
—
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
L Bartkowski
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.1
Post · Horse
7
Royal Enclosure
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
J R Abreu
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
Post · Horse
6
Good Illusion
P —
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
D Gargan
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse
4
Zimmer
—
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
M Stidham
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.3
Post · Horse
11
Bluebeard
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
C C Brown
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.3
Post · Horse
2
Midnight Rocket
—
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.3
Post · Horse
8
Senior Lender
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
Post · Horse
12
Blueberryhillkeke
—
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
J W Ferraro
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.8
Post · Horse
5
Ace in Hand
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
K G McPeek
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #2 Silent Heart, #8 Clever Mischief, #5 Itsallcomintogetha.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $175,000
Purse$175,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:05 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The $175,000 feature features a rematch between #4 Sounds Like a Plan, who exploded with a 115 speed figure when runner-up at Saratoga, and Chad Brown's #6 Intellect, who bested similar stakes rivals with a 105 figure in August.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
0
S
4

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Silent Heart and #8 Clever Mischief go for the lead together. #7 Souper Forces and #9 Air Recruit drop to the back. 28546397
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Silent Heart, #8 Clever Mischief and #5 Itsallcomintogetha keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 28546397
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Intellect has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Capitol Hill, #9 Air Recruit and #7 Souper Forces. Tiring: #2 Silent Heart, #8 Clever Mischief and #5 Itsallcomintogetha. 63974285

Not placed (not enough race history): #1 Cosmic Year.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.1%
Price horse: Intellect (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Sounds Like a Plan EP Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
H De Paz
 7/2
18
★★★★☆
78.6
 Top Pick
6 Intellect S Fits
M Franco
C C Brown
 3/1
16
★★★★☆
77.8
 Value Play
3 Capitol Hill S Fits
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
75.6
 Longshot
2 Silent Heart E Misfit
J Lezcano
M J Maker
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
75.2
  
9 Air Recruit S Fits
P Lopez
A Delacour
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
74.2
  
7 Souper Forces S Fits
A Fresu
M J Trombetta
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
73.2
  
1 Cosmic Year —
D Davis
C C Brown
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
72.9
  
8 Clever Mischief E Misfit
J Castellano
B P Walsh
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
69.5
  
5 Itsallcomintogetha E Misfit
R Silvera
L Bartkowski
 20/1
5
★★★★☆
66.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Sounds Like a Plan
EP Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
H De Paz
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.6
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Intellect
S Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.8
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Capitol Hill
S Fits
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.6
Post · Horse
2
Silent Heart
E Misfit
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
M J Maker
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.2
Post · Horse
9
Air Recruit
S Fits
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
A Delacour
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.2
Post · Horse
7
Souper Forces
S Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M J Trombetta
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse
1
Cosmic Year
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
C C Brown
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.9
Post · Horse
8
Clever Mischief
E Misfit
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
B P Walsh
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
5
Itsallcomintogetha
E Misfit
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
L Bartkowski
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #1 La Tasmania, #2 One Last Knock, #5 Vajra.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Two Ra
Purse$105,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time5:38 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The finale is a 12-horse turf sprint where European import #12 Amangani brings a 93 speed figure from Saratoga into a matchup against South American group winner #1 La Tasmania, who makes her U.S. debut for Mike Maker.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
2
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Vajra, #2 One Last Knock and #1 La Tasmania all go for the lead. #6 Queen Juno drops to the back. 52198346
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Vajra, #2 One Last Knock and #1 La Tasmania keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 52193486
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Code has taken over in front. Moving forward: #4 New Rose and #6 Queen Juno. Tiring: #5 Vajra, #2 One Last Knock and #1 La Tasmania. 34698521

Not placed (not enough race history): #7 Ratu Jawa, #10 Only for Now, #11 Peppermint Twist, #12 Amangani.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 12.5%
Price horse: La Tasmania (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
12 Amangani —
R Santana, Jr.
P Antonacci
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
63.5
 Top Pick
1 La Tasmania E Misfit
D Davis
M J Maker
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
63.2
 Value Play
10 Only for Now —
M Franco
M Clement
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
61.3
 Longshot
2 One Last Knock E Misfit
C Elliott
K Brion
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
60.6
  
6 Queen Juno S Fits
K Carmouche
J Sharp
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
60.4
  
3 Code P Fits
A Fresu
T A Pletcher
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
60.3
  
7 Ratu Jawa —
P Lopez
D J Seyler
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
5 Vajra E Misfit
E J Zayas
R Brisset
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
8 Some Ride EP Neutral
J Castellano
A W Dutrow
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
58.5
  
9 Bette Davis Eyes EP Neutral
J Lezcano
N D Drysdale
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
58.0
  
11 Peppermint Twist —
J Alvarado
G Weaver
 4/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.6
  
4 New Rose P Fits
J E Morelos
J M Antonucci
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
54.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
12
Amangani
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
P Antonacci
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse Value Play
1
La Tasmania
E Misfit
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M J Maker
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Only for Now
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M Clement
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse
2
One Last Knock
E Misfit
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
K Brion
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.6
Post · Horse
6
Queen Juno
S Fits
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J Sharp
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
3
Code
P Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
T A Pletcher
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
Post · Horse
7
Ratu Jawa
—
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
D J Seyler
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
5
Vajra
E Misfit
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
R Brisset
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
8
Some Ride
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
A W Dutrow
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
9
Bette Davis Eyes
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
N D Drysdale
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.0
Post · Horse
11
Peppermint Twist
—
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
G Weaver
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse
4
New Rose
P Fits
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
J M Antonucci
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro