Curated Betting Card

Belmont Park

Data-driven full-card analysis with compact access to every race on the board.

2026-10-07 Morning Card
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This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Belmont Park · full board
Strongest play
R1
Weighted Average #3
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Agia Marina #7
10/1 ML
Deepest field
R5
12 runners
12
Pace shape
R3
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
Belmont Park presents a competitive nine-race program featuring a blend of juvenile maidens on the main track and deep turf allowances over the grass courses. Favorable pace advantages highlight early turf routes, notably in Race 1 with Chad Brown trainee Weighted Average stepping in with strong credentials. Several middle and late sequence turf sprints present wide-open fields where forward placement and class relief will dictate value across the exotic pools.
Races 9 Status Live View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Three
Purse$108,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/4 Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time1:10 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Chad Brown trainee #3 Weighted Average brings high-class Churchill Downs form and consecutive speed figures in the mid-90s, but must prove ready off a layoff against #1 Don't Jinx It and #2 Thankfulness, who both possess recency and competitive turf sprint figures.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
1
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Agia Marina should break on top. #5 Y'allreadyforthis and #2 Thankfulness drop to the back. 7341625
  2. Middle around the turn #7 Agia Marina sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 7431625
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Agia Marina is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 7431625

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 35.9%
Price horse: Don't Jinx It (2/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Weighted Average EP Fits
F Prat
C C Brown
 6/5
36
★★★★☆
75.5
 Top Pick
1 Don't Jinx It P Neutral
M Franco
M Clement
 2/1
19
★★★★☆
70.2
 Value Play
2 Thankfulness S Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
M Clement
 4/1
16
★★★★☆
68.6
  
7 Agia Marina E Fits
A Fresu
A J Green
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
65.0
 Longshot
6 Amie's Symphony S Neutral
J Castellano
M J Trombetta
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
63.4
  
4 Lady Firefoot —
E J Zayas
S I Schauer
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
62.9
  
5 Y'allreadyforthis S Neutral
K Davis
A Arriaga
 50/1
2
★★★☆☆
49.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Weighted Average
EP Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
36
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.5
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Don't Jinx It
P Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M Clement
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.2
Post · Horse
2
Thankfulness
S Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M Clement
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Agia Marina
E Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
A J Green
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
6
Amie's Symphony
S Neutral
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M J Trombetta
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse
4
Lady Firefoot
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
S I Schauer
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
5
Y'allreadyforthis
S Neutral
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
A Arriaga
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:43 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Brad Cox juvenile #6 Very Clever stretches out to a mile following an educational fourth on debut at Saratoga, but she faces immediate pressure from Todd Pletcher trainee #1 Badittude, who boasts two prior route-distance experiences.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 29.5%
Price horse: Badittude (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Very Clever —
M Franco
B H Cox
 2/1
30
★★★☆☆
55.8
 Top Pick
1 Badittude —
R Santana, Jr.
T A Pletcher
 3/1
18
★★★☆☆
51.5
 Value Play
7 Mioruilt —
F Prat
C C Brown
 5/2
15
★★★☆☆
50.1
  
3 Ready Set Roll —
D Davis
C C Brown
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
49.0
 Longshot
5 Tinker Taylor —
J Lezcano
W I Mott
 4/1
8
★★★☆☆
45.1
  
2 Keshi —
K Carmouche
W I Mott
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.8
  
4 Boxajoe N Tootzrol —
P Pena
O S Barrera III
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Very Clever
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
B H Cox
30
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Badittude
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T A Pletcher
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse
7
Mioruilt
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Ready Set Roll
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
C C Brown
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.0
Post · Horse
5
Tinker Taylor
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
W I Mott
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.1
Post · Horse
2
Keshi
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
W I Mott
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
Post · Horse
4
Boxajoe N Tootzrol
—
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
O S Barrera III
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #5 Schlomo, #8 Strategicoperation.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Open
Purse$40,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:16 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Speed-and-fade veteran #5 Schlomo cuts back to six and a half furlongs with Manny Franco aboard, but must hold off local runner #7 Screaming Uncle, who enters off a solid third-place effort over this track.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Schlomo and #8 Strategicoperation go for the lead together. #1 All the Luck drops to the back. 58724631
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Schlomo and #8 Strategicoperation keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 58726431
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Screaming Uncle has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 Superpower and #1 All the Luck. Tiring: #5 Schlomo and #8 Strategicoperation. 76241583

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 19.6%
Price horse: Screaming Uncle (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Schlomo E Misfit
M Franco
I Kantarmaci
 4/1
20
★★★★☆
64.8
 Top Pick
7 Screaming Uncle EP Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
G E Charlerie
 7/2
17
★★★★☆
63.8
 Value Play
1 All the Luck S Fits
L R Rivera, Jr.
P B McBurney
 15/1
13
★★★★☆
61.3
 Longshot
3 Mission Critical —
K Carmouche
J C Englehart
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
60.7
  
2 Toscano —
S Marin
I Kantarmaci
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
60.3
  
6 Superpower P Fits
C Elliott
G E Charlerie
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.4
  
4 Gypsy Dreaming —
R Maragh
P J Quick
 4/1
9
★★★☆☆
58.5
  
8 Strategicoperation E Misfit
C Hargrove
A Arriaga
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
55.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Schlomo
E Misfit
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Screaming Uncle
EP Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
G E Charlerie
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse Longshot
1
All the Luck
S Fits
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
P B McBurney
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse
3
Mission Critical
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J C Englehart
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse
2
Toscano
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
Post · Horse
6
Superpower
P Fits
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
G E Charlerie
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
Post · Horse
4
Gypsy Dreaming
—
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
P J Quick
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
8
Strategicoperation
E Misfit
Jockey
C Hargrove
Trainer
A Arriaga
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Two Ra
Purse$105,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 5/16 Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time2:49 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Marathon turf specialists collide at eleven furlongs, where Kentucky Downs class dropper #8 Harrow must handle outside positioning to turn back Chad Brown's steadily progressing #6 Iron Sight and Saratoga winner #4 Urgency.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
1
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #8 Harrow should break on top. #3 Frosted Over and #5 Likeness drop to the back. 81462753
  2. Middle around the turn #8 Harrow sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 81462753
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 Harrow is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 81462753

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.8%
Price horse: Iron Sight (8/5 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Harrow E Fits
E J Zayas
S A Joseph, Jr.
 6/1
21
★★★★☆
72.5
 Top Pick
6 Iron Sight —
F Prat
C C Brown
 8/5
19
★★★★☆
71.8
 Value Play
4 Urgency EP Fits
M Franco
L Rice
 5/1
17
★★★★☆
70.6
  
1 Mutaawid —
K Carmouche
A J Green
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
69.0
  
7 Promissio S Neutral
A Fresu
L Gaudet
 20/1
11
★★★★☆
67.1
 Longshot
5 Likeness S Neutral
J Lezcano
C R McGaughey III
 4/1
7
★★★★☆
63.5
  
2 Polar Bear Plunge P Neutral
H K Harkie
N C Follett
 30/1
6
★★★★☆
61.9
  
3 Frosted Over S Neutral
C Elliott
J W Ferraro
 20/1
5
★★★★☆
60.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Harrow
E Fits
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Iron Sight
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.8
Post · Horse
4
Urgency
EP Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse
1
Mutaawid
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
A J Green
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Promissio
S Neutral
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
L Gaudet
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse
5
Likeness
S Neutral
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse
2
Polar Bear Plunge
P Neutral
Jockey
H K Harkie
Trainer
N C Follett
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
3
Frosted Over
S Neutral
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
J W Ferraro
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$45,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:23 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Saffie Joseph trainee #4 Audible Johnny brings a distinct figure advantage into this 12-horse maiden sprint, but he will have to fend off #1 Max O Nidas breaking from the inside rail and first-time starter #7 Hotshotmcgilicudy.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 33.1%
Price horse: Max O Nidas (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Audible Johnny E —
M J Husbands
S A Joseph, Jr.
 2/1
33
★★★☆☆
58.3
 Top Pick
1 Max O Nidas —
M Franco
M Nevin
 7/2
17
★★★☆☆
52.8
 Value Play
7 Hotshotmcgilicudy —
S Marin
B H Cox
 4/1
9
★★★☆☆
47.7
  
3 Vapor Trail —
C Elliott
M E Friedman
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.4
  
11 Papa Vegas —
K Davis
T F Proctor
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.1
 Longshot
12 Maddenbleu —
A Fresu
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.5
  
2 Uncle Gene
C Maragh
A R Margotta, Jr.
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.3
  
10 Medieval —
E J Zayas
I Kantarmaci
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.8
  
8 Wartoendallwars —
O Hernandez Moreno
W Potts
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.2
  
5 Ogugua —
D A Rivera
R R Rodriguez
 15/1
3
★★☆☆☆
39.1
  
9 Negril Badness —
D Lopez
M A Simmonds
 30/1
3
★★☆☆☆
39.0
  
6 Loan Ranger —
L R Rivera, Jr.
M Giddings
 30/1
3
★★☆☆☆
38.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Audible Johnny
E —
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
33
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Max O Nidas
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M Nevin
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
7
Hotshotmcgilicudy
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
B H Cox
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse
3
Vapor Trail
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
M E Friedman
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.4
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Papa Vegas
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
T F Proctor
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.1
Post · Horse
12
Maddenbleu
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.5
Post · Horse
2
Uncle Gene
Jockey
C Maragh
Trainer
A R Margotta, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.3
Post · Horse
10
Medieval
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.8
Post · Horse
8
Wartoendallwars
—
Jockey
O Hernandez Moreno
Trainer
W Potts
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.2
Post · Horse
5
Ogugua
—
Jockey
D A Rivera
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.1
Post · Horse
9
Negril Badness
—
Jockey
D Lopez
Trainer
M A Simmonds
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.0
Post · Horse
6
Loan Ranger
—
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
M Giddings
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #3 Hard Circle, #8 Pineland.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $55,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Mai
Purse$75,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:57 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Mike Maker-trained #3 Hard Circle looks to snap a streak of runner-up turf finishes against a deep 11-horse field, but will need to negotiate late traffic against Saratoga victor #6 Final Denile and stretch-running #11 English Law.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
2
P
1
S
4

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Hard Circle and #8 Pineland go for the lead together. #10 Vintage Vino and #5 Outsource drop to the back. 3829147611510
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Hard Circle and #8 Pineland keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 3829714611510
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Back in the Saddle has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 Final Denile, #11 English Law and #5 Outsource. Tiring: #3 Hard Circle and #8 Pineland. 7261195110438

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 24.5%
Price horse: English Law (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Hard Circle E Misfit
F Prat
M J Maker
 7/2
24
★★★★☆
76.8
 Top Pick
11 English Law S Fits
J Lezcano
M Miceli
 6/1
13
★★★★☆
71.4
 Value Play
6 Final Denile S Fits
M Franco
H De Paz
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
70.8
 Longshot
4 Debt Limit —
J Castellano
M Arenas
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
68.1
  
1 Edgerton —
S Marin
M Stidham
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
67.7
  
8 Pineland E Misfit
D Davis
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 9/2
7
★★★★☆
66.0
  
5 Outsource S Fits
E J Zayas
T Morley
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
65.7
  
2 In the Dark EP Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
C Baker
 6/1
6
★★★★☆
65.1
  
10 Vintage Vino S Fits
J E Morelos
M Kantarmaci
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
64.5
  
9 Hammerhead EP Neutral
A Fresu
M Kantarmaci
 10/1
5
★★★★☆
62.5
  
7 Back in the Saddle P Fits
O Hernandez Moreno
C Goberdhan
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
59.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Hard Circle
E Misfit
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M J Maker
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.8
Post · Horse Value Play
11
English Law
S Fits
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
M Miceli
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Final Denile
S Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
H De Paz
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse
4
Debt Limit
—
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M Arenas
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
Post · Horse
1
Edgerton
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M Stidham
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
8
Pineland
E Misfit
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse
5
Outsource
S Fits
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
T Morley
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.7
Post · Horse
2
In the Dark
EP Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
C Baker
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse
10
Vintage Vino
S Fits
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
M Kantarmaci
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
9
Hammerhead
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M Kantarmaci
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse
7
Back in the Saddle
P Fits
Jockey
O Hernandez Moreno
Trainer
C Goberdhan
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #3 Dinner Royale, #9 Takahama.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $50,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Mai
Purse$65,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:31 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Speed-figure standout #1 Salt Spartan exits a runner-up performance over this track where he earned an 88 figure, but must navigate the rail route against #8 Come Full Circle, who has placed in three straight high-class dirt tests.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
2
P
1
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Dinner Royale should break on top. #6 Sociably Johnny and #11 Big Brooklyn drop to the back. 3924110587116
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Dinner Royale and #9 Takahama keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 3924110857116
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 Corvus is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #8 Come Full Circle, #2 Who's Your Zaddy and #1 Salt Spartan. Tiring: #3 Dinner Royale and #9 Takahama. 4821107116539

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 22.7%
Price horse: Come Full Circle (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Salt Spartan EP Neutral
F Prat
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 4/1
23
★★★★☆
69.5
 Top Pick
8 Come Full Circle P Fits
M Franco
J Sharp
 7/2
17
★★★★☆
67.1
 Value Play
7 Smilensaycheese S Fits
J Castellano
J W Ferraro
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
62.6
  
3 Dinner Royale E Misfit
R Santana, Jr.
A J Green
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
61.0
  
10 Maximum Heat —
J Lezcano
O S Barrera III
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
60.5
 Longshot
2 Who's Your Zaddy EP Neutral
S Marin
O Noda
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
59.6
  
4 Corvus —
C Elliott
I Kantarmaci
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.6
  
5 How Much Is Enough —
D Davis
L Rice
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.1
  
6 Sociably Johnny S Fits
E J Zayas
L Rice
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.0
  
11 Big Brooklyn S Fits
A Fresu
C F Martin
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.8
  
9 Takahama E Misfit
K Carmouche
M Giangiulio
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
52.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Salt Spartan
EP Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Come Full Circle
P Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
J Sharp
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse
7
Smilensaycheese
S Fits
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
J W Ferraro
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
3
Dinner Royale
E Misfit
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
A J Green
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Maximum Heat
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
O S Barrera III
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
2
Who's Your Zaddy
EP Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
O Noda
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse
4
Corvus
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
Post · Horse
5
How Much Is Enough
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
L Rice
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
Post · Horse
6
Sociably Johnny
S Fits
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
L Rice
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.0
Post · Horse
11
Big Brooklyn
S Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
C F Martin
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
9
Takahama
E Misfit
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M Giangiulio
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #4 Aperitif, #2 Artistic Success.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $50,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Mai
Purse$65,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time5:05 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A sprawling 12-horse turf sprint features #9 Garden of Grace aiming to step forward off a recent local fourth, facing stiff competition from Maryland shipper #4 Aperitif and Florida invader #10 Mobay Princess.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
4
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Artistic Success and #4 Aperitif go for the lead together. #7 Quick Power Nap drops to the back. 241051286913117
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Artistic Success and #4 Aperitif keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 241086951271311
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 Emergency Nine has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 On a Summer Day, #9 Garden of Grace and #7 Quick Power Nap. Tiring: #2 Artistic Success and #4 Aperitif. 869107512241311

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 13.9%
Price horse: Aperitif (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Garden of Grace P Fits
F Prat
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
64.0
 Top Pick
4 Aperitif E Misfit
J Castellano
E M Merryman
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
64.0
 Value Play
12 Tuthilltown —
D Davis
M Miceli
 3/1
13
★★★★☆
63.7
  
10 Mobay Princess EP Neutral
E J Zayas
V Barboza, Jr.
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
62.6
 Longshot
7 Quick Power Nap P Fits
A Fresu
W Potts
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.7
  
1 Mobile —
M Franco
H G Motion
 5/2
8
★★★☆☆
59.7
  
2 Artistic Success E Misfit
C Elliott
I Kantarmaci
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.6
  
5 Pelican Pride —
S Marin
F Abreu
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
58.4
  
8 Emergency Nine P Fits
R Santana, Jr.
M Clement
 5/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.4
  
11 Sabby Sunset —
H K Harkie
I Kantarmaci
 50/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.2
  
6 On a Summer Day P Fits
C Maragh
J S Pregman, Jr.
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
52.0
  
3 Miss American Pie —
K Davis
D L Schettino
 50/1
1
★★★☆☆
42.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Garden of Grace
P Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Aperitif
E Misfit
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
E M Merryman
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
12
Tuthilltown
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M Miceli
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Mobay Princess
EP Neutral
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
7
Quick Power Nap
P Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
W Potts
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse
1
Mobile
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
H G Motion
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse
2
Artistic Success
E Misfit
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse
5
Pelican Pride
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
F Abreu
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse
8
Emergency Nine
P Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M Clement
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.4
Post · Horse
11
Sabby Sunset
—
Jockey
H K Harkie
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.2
Post · Horse
6
On a Summer Day
P Fits
Jockey
C Maragh
Trainer
J S Pregman, Jr.
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.0
Post · Horse
3
Miss American Pie
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
D L Schettino
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #10 Cravings, #1 Lucky Louisa, #3 Dawn After Dawn.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $55,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Mai
Purse$75,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:38 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Mark Casse runner #12 Ori must overcome the far outside post in this 12-horse turf mile, squaring off against Linda Rice trainee #6 Griselda, who ran an impressive 92 speed figure when second at Saratoga.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
2
P
3
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Lucky Louisa, #3 Dawn After Dawn and #10 Cravings all go for the lead. #9 Linarite and #4 Bertrille drop to the back. 131025811127649
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Lucky Louisa, #3 Dawn After Dawn and #10 Cravings keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 131025128761149
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 Bertrille has taken over in front. Moving forward: #12 Ori, #7 Lotus Petal and #6 Griselda. Tiring: #2 Hauntress, #5 Money Trail and #1 Lucky Louisa. 412769821151310

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 17.8%
Price horse: Griselda (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
12 Ori P Fits
J Castellano
M E Casse
 2/1
18
★★★★☆
70.5
 Top Pick
6 Griselda P Fits
M Franco
L Rice
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
67.1
 Value Play
10 Cravings E Misfit
R Santana, Jr.
S I Schauer
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
66.6
 Longshot
1 Lucky Louisa E Misfit
L R Rivera, Jr.
M V Simone
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
65.2
  
5 Money Trail EP Neutral
D Davis
M Miceli
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
64.5
  
8 Private Property —
K Carmouche
M Nevin
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
63.6
  
9 Linarite S Fits
C Elliott
M Miceli
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
63.2
  
3 Dawn After Dawn E Misfit
S Marin
M Stidham
 20/1
6
★★★★☆
61.9
  
11 Salt Princess —
A Fresu
D G Donk
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
61.9
  
4 Bertrille S Fits
K Davis
C Baker
 12/1
6
★★★★☆
60.8
  
7 Lotus Petal P Fits
J E Morelos
J M Antonucci
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
59.5
  
2 Hauntress EP Neutral
C Maragh
A Arriaga
 50/1
1
★★★☆☆
47.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
12
Ori
P Fits
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M E Casse
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Griselda
P Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Cravings
E Misfit
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
S I Schauer
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
Post · Horse
1
Lucky Louisa
E Misfit
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
M V Simone
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
5
Money Trail
EP Neutral
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M Miceli
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
8
Private Property
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M Nevin
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse
9
Linarite
S Fits
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
M Miceli
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse
3
Dawn After Dawn
E Misfit
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M Stidham
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
11
Salt Princess
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
D G Donk
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
4
Bertrille
S Fits
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
C Baker
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse
7
Lotus Petal
P Fits
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
J M Antonucci
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
2
Hauntress
EP Neutral
Jockey
C Maragh
Trainer
A Arriaga
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro