Curated Betting Card

Belmont Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 4.

2026-10-08 Race 4 Morning Card
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Card signals
Belmont Park · full board
Strongest play
R5
Stream It #8
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Flying Hawley #3
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R9
11 runners
11
Pace shape
R1
Lone Speed
#6 Guns of Roses
Card Overview
Race day summary
Belmont Park's nine-race program features competitive turf routes and testing dirt miles, highlighted by multiple competitive maiden and allowance events. Front-running speed figures to be tested across the one-turn mile configurations on the main track, while the inner turf courses should reward tactical stalking trips over deep closing moves. Value seekers will find attractive pricing against vulnerable favorites in Race 1 and Race 8, while Chad Brown, Linda Rice, and Christophe Clement send out strong logical contenders throughout the afternoon.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Only one horse wants the lead. It should get an easy trip up front. Wants the lead: #6 Guns of Roses.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:10 PM ET
Field Size6
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies And Mares
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Fillies And Mares Three
Storyline
A compact field of six turns into a tactical battle where #2 Moonlit looks to build on an 83 speed figure earned at Saratoga, but #1 Hedge Book holds the rail and has fired two sharp sub-49 morning drills for Chad Brown. If #6 Guns of Roses aggressively pushes the pace from the outside, it could soften Moonlit and create an upset lane for late-running #3 Flying Hawley.
Pace shape Lone Speed
E
1
EP
0
P
2
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Lone Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Guns of Roses is the only one who wants the lead and should get it easily. #5 Full of Tact and #1 Hedge Book drop to the back. 642315
  2. Middle around the turn #6 Guns of Roses is loose on the lead with nobody pressing. 642315
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Guns of Roses is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 642351

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 27.5%
Price horse: Hedge Book (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Moonlit P Neutral
S Marin
M Clement
 2/1
28
★★★★☆
64.8
 Top Pick
1 Hedge Book S Misfit
M Franco
C C Brown
 3/1
24
★★★★☆
63.5
 Value Play
4 Noble Glow P Neutral
F Prat
C C Brown
 7/2
17
★★★★☆
60.8
  
5 Full of Tact S Misfit
J Lezcano
O S Barrera III
 5/1
13
★★★☆☆
58.6
  
6 Guns of Roses E Fits
D Davis
S A Joseph, Jr.
 4/1
12
★★★☆☆
58.0
  
3 Flying Hawley —
E J Zayas
C R McGaughey III
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
52.2
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Moonlit
P Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M Clement
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Hedge Book
S Misfit
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse
4
Noble Glow
P Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse
5
Full of Tact
S Misfit
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
O S Barrera III
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
Post · Horse
6
Guns of Roses
E Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.0
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Flying Hawley
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/8 Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time1:43 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens
Storyline
The nine-furlong turf trip centers on whether #1 Pay the Piper can finally break his maiden from the inside gate after posting consecutive Saratoga speed figures of 88 and 87. Pressure will come from #7 Pax Mundi, who invades after running a solid 90 figure at Kentucky Downs, and #9 Ollie Luke Out, who matches figures but must negotiate a wide journey.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
1
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Pax Mundi should break on top. #1 Pay the Piper and #3 Let's Be Frank drop to the back. 782564931
  2. Middle around the turn #7 Pax Mundi sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 782564931
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Pax Mundi is still in front. Moving forward: #4 Donnadoyawanna and #9 Ollie Luke Out. 782495631

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.8%
Price horse: Pax Mundi (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Pay the Piper S Neutral
F Prat
C C Brown
 5/2
24
★★★★☆
70.3
 Top Pick
7 Pax Mundi E Fits
S Marin
J F D'Angelo
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
65.9
 Value Play
9 Ollie Luke Out S Neutral
D Davis
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
65.7
  
3 Let's Be Frank S Neutral
A Fresu
M W McCarthy
 9/2
12
★★★★☆
64.7
  
2 Languid —
J Lezcano
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 20/1
10
★★★★☆
63.0
 Longshot
8 Royal's Pride EP Fits
R Santana, Jr.
W I Mott
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
62.6
  
4 Donnadoyawanna P Neutral
K Carmouche
T A Pletcher
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
60.4
  
5 Old Time Rocknroll —
J Castellano
L Rice
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
60.1
  
6 Majority Interest —
M Franco
C C Brown
 4/1
2
★★★☆☆
47.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Pay the Piper
S Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.3
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Pax Mundi
E Fits
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse
9
Ollie Luke Out
S Neutral
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.7
Post · Horse
3
Let's Be Frank
S Neutral
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M W McCarthy
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Languid
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse
8
Royal's Pride
EP Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
W I Mott
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
4
Donnadoyawanna
P Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
T A Pletcher
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
5
Old Time Rocknroll
—
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
L Rice
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse
6
Majority Interest
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #8 Luz de Guia, #4 Paul's Recovery.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $55,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Mai
Purse$75,000
Claiming$55,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:16 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitywhich have never won a race other than maiden, claiming price $55,000 or less
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For horses three years old and upward which have never won a race other than maiden, claiming price $55,000 or less
Storyline
The main question at one mile and a sixteenth is whether #3 Ez Roll can turn consecutive runner-up efforts and an explosive 47.70 workout into a winning punch against #7 Sequential, who earned a massive 97 speed figure when finishing third at Saratoga last month. With #2 La Houligan stepping up off a gate-to-wire Delaware score, early fractions could be sharp.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
2
P
3
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Paul's Recovery should break on top. #2 La Houligan and #3 Ez Roll drop to the back. 485761932
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Paul's Recovery and #8 Luz de Guia keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 485761932
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Sidearm has taken over in front. Moving forward: #1 Get a Job, #9 Franklin Delano and #3 Ez Roll. Tiring: #4 Paul's Recovery and #8 Luz de Guia. 619573248

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.0%
Price horse: Sequential (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Ez Roll S Fits
D Davis
R Handal
 5/2
24
★★★★☆
73.8
 Top Pick
7 Sequential EP Neutral
F Prat
O Noda
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
69.2
 Value Play
5 Nuanced EP Neutral
M Franco
C C Brown
 4/1
13
★★★★☆
68.4
  
6 Sidearm P Fits
K Carmouche
E R Barker
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
67.2
  
1 Get a Job P Fits
S Marin
F Abreu
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
66.8
 Longshot
2 La Houligan S Fits
J Lezcano
G Compton
 20/1
10
★★★★☆
66.4
  
9 Franklin Delano P Fits
R Santana, Jr.
T A Pletcher
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
64.0
  
8 Luz de Guia E Misfit
K Davis
N P Zito
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
63.2
  
4 Paul's Recovery E Misfit
O Hernandez Moreno
P J Quick
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
56.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Ez Roll
S Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Handal
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.8
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Sequential
EP Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
O Noda
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.2
Post · Horse
5
Nuanced
EP Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.4
Post · Horse
6
Sidearm
P Fits
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
E R Barker
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.2
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Get a Job
P Fits
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
F Abreu
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.8
Post · Horse
2
La Houligan
S Fits
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
G Compton
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.4
Post · Horse
9
Franklin Delano
P Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T A Pletcher
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
8
Luz de Guia
E Misfit
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
N P Zito
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse
4
Paul's Recovery
E Misfit
Jockey
O Hernandez Moreno
Trainer
P J Quick
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward Foaled In New York State And Approved By The
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:49 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For
Storyline
New York-bred maidens square off over the turf course where #6 Kotlikoff tries to duplicate his sharp 81 speed figure runner-up effort from Saratoga, but #4 Before the Wind rallied nicely to miss by just a neck in his last start and could turn the tables with a clean run from midpack.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.5%
Price horse: Before the Wind (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Kotlikoff —
M Franco
W I Mott
 5/2
22
★★★★☆
60.7
 Top Pick
4 Before the Wind E —
J Castellano
E M Merryman
 8/1
19
★★★☆☆
59.2
 Value Play
8 Professor Proton —
R Gutierrez
M A Hennig
 5/1
13
★★★☆☆
56.1
 Longshot
5 Tango Tango —
D Davis
J Hooper
 5/1
13
★★★☆☆
56.1
  
2 My Togo —
R Santana, Jr.
C C Brown
 9/2
13
★★★☆☆
55.8
  
3 Tizio —
E J Zayas
H Bond
 3/1
12
★★★☆☆
55.3
  
1 Brilliant Fury —
L R Rivera, Jr.
D P Duggan
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.0
  
7 Nothingbutnitro S —
K Davis
R G Davis
 50/1
2
★★☆☆☆
38.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Kotlikoff
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
W I Mott
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Before the Wind
E —
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
E M Merryman
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Professor Proton
—
Jockey
R Gutierrez
Trainer
M A Hennig
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse
5
Tango Tango
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
J Hooper
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse
2
My Togo
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
C C Brown
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse
3
Tizio
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
H Bond
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.3
Post · Horse
1
Brilliant Fury
—
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
D P Duggan
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
7
Nothingbutnitro
S —
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
R G Davis
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$59,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:23 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Three Years Old And Upward at one mile
Storyline
Trainer Linda Rice holds the keys to this one-mile maiden test with uncoupled stablemates #8 Stream It and #9 Fightforallegiance, who both exit runner-up finishes with 87 and 91 speed figures at the NYRA tracks. The main tactical challenge comes from #1 Salvation, who breaks from the rail with back class and several runner-up tries.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 27.6%
Price horse: Fightforallegiance (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Stream It —
M Franco
L Rice
 5/2
28
★★★★☆
67.8
 Top Pick
9 Fightforallegiance E —
J Lezcano
L Rice
 2/1
22
★★★★☆
65.8
 Value Play
1 Salvation —
R Santana, Jr.
M Kantarmaci
 5/2
16
★★★★☆
63.3
  
5 Private Flight —
K Carmouche
R Samsundar
 20/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.1
 Longshot
4 Instantly —
S Marin
I Kantarmaci
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
57.0
  
2 Knowledge Sharing —
F Prat
C C Brown
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
54.6
  
7 Mr R T P —
R Silvera
R Samsundar
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
54.0
  
3 Chili Palmer —
L R Rivera, Jr.
C Summers
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.6
  
6 Thatboyain'tright —
D Davis
R Handal
 20/1
1
★★★☆☆
41.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Stream It
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Fightforallegiance
E —
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
1
Salvation
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M Kantarmaci
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Private Flight
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
R Samsundar
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse
4
Instantly
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse
2
Knowledge Sharing
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.6
Post · Horse
7
Mr R T
P —
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
R Samsundar
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.0
Post · Horse
3
Chili Palmer
—
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
C Summers
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.6
Post · Horse
6
Thatboyain'tright
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Handal
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$105,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/8 Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:57 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitywhich have never won two races, or claiming price, or starter allowance
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three-year-olds and upward which have never won two races, or claiming price, or starter allowance
Storyline
A high-quality nine-furlong turf allowance pits #1 Willpowered, who has hit the board in four consecutive turf routes with figures up to 90, against Chad Brown trainee #2 Coach Ryan, a convincing winner at Saratoga two back with an 84 figure. With #4 Crescendo's Rein bringing a 94 speed figure into the fray from upstate, the stretch run will be intensely fought.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
1
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Crescendo's Rein should break on top. #7 Blue Pill and #6 Charles J drop to the back. 45823167
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Crescendo's Rein sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 45823167
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 Crescendo's Rein is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 45823167

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 27.5%
Price horse: Coach Ryan (9/5 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Willpowered S Neutral
F Prat
M Clement
 3/1
28
★★★★☆
71.7
 Top Pick
2 Coach Ryan —
M Franco
C C Brown
 9/5
25
★★★★☆
71.0
 Value Play
4 Crescendo's Rein E Fits
A Fresu
C Baker
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
66.5
 Longshot
8 Honoree —
J Lezcano
C R McGaughey III
 5/2
14
★★★★☆
65.7
  
6 Charles J S Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
J R Lee
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
3 Sweet Tone P Neutral
J Cruz
R J Rohena
 50/1
6
★★★☆☆
59.0
  
5 McDiesel EP Fits
C Elliott
R R Rodriguez
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
7 Blue Pill S Neutral
K Davis
J W Ferraro
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
50.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Willpowered
S Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M Clement
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.7
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Coach Ryan
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Crescendo's Rein
E Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
C Baker
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse
8
Honoree
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.7
Post · Horse
6
Charles J
S Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
J R Lee
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
3
Sweet Tone
P Neutral
Jockey
J Cruz
Trainer
R J Rohena
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.0
Post · Horse
5
McDiesel
EP Fits
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse
7
Blue Pill
S Neutral
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
J W Ferraro
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old Which Have Sold Or Rna'd For $65,000 Or Less In Their Mos
Purse$80,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:31 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Two Years Old which have sold or RNA'd for $65,000 or less in their most recent auction
Storyline
Juvenile turf routers face off at one mile and a sixteenth where Brad Cox trainee #8 George St. looks to graduate after a runner-up finish with a 77 speed figure at Saratoga. He faces a challenge from #10 Proper Jack, who steps up for Chad Brown after a debut third at Monmouth, and experienced #3 Jersey Guy, who already owns three turf route starts.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.2%
Price horse: Proper Jack (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 George St. —
S Marin
B H Cox
 5/2
23
★★★☆☆
57.9
 Top Pick
10 Proper Jack —
F Prat
C C Brown
 5/1
15
★★★☆☆
54.2
 Value Play
3 Jersey Guy —
K Davis
M Giddings
 10/1
15
★★★☆☆
54.2
 Longshot
4 Sun Gate —
R Santana, Jr.
B P Walsh
 7/2
11
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
2 Hetch Hetchy —
A Fresu
M Clement
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
50.3
  
1 Nodin P —
J Lezcano
O S Barrera III
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
48.3
  
6 Hunting Goodwill —
M Franco
H De Paz
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
47.2
  
5 Best Screenplay —
K Carmouche
J Sisterson
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
47.1
  
9 Executive Force —
R Gutierrez
M A Hennig
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
40.5
  
7 Raging Bullet —
C Elliott
W Potts
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
40.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
George St.
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
B H Cox
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.9
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Proper Jack
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.2
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Jersey Guy
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
M Giddings
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.2
Post · Horse
4
Sun Gate
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
B P Walsh
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
2
Hetch Hetchy
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M Clement
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.3
Post · Horse
1
Nodin
P —
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
O S Barrera III
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.3
Post · Horse
6
Hunting Goodwill
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
H De Paz
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.2
Post · Horse
5
Best Screenplay
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J Sisterson
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.1
Post · Horse
9
Executive Force
—
Jockey
R Gutierrez
Trainer
M A Hennig
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.5
Post · Horse
7
Raging Bullet
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
W Potts
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #2 Party in the Army, #1 Unbroken Chain.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or Claiming Pri
Purse$108,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:05 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitywhich have never won three races or claiming price
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three-year-olds and upward which have never won three races or claiming price
Storyline
A contentious six-furlong sprint sees #2 Party in the Army drop back into an allowance-level spot after finishing second and third at Saratoga with speed figures of 74 and 92, but he must hold off #3 Vekinda, who enters fresh off a sharp maiden-breaking victory at Saratoga with a 90 figure for George Weaver.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
2
P
2
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Party in the Army and #1 Unbroken Chain go for the lead together. #5 Radio Red and #4 Grand Opening drop to the back. 21786345
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Party in the Army and #1 Unbroken Chain keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 21786453
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Bold Fortune is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #8 Factually Correct, #6 What's Up Bro and #4 Grand Opening. Tiring: #2 Party in the Army and #1 Unbroken Chain. 78645213

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 19.7%
Price horse: Vekinda (4/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Party in the Army E Misfit
F Prat
J C Englehart
 3/1
20
★★★★☆
70.8
 Top Pick
3 Vekinda —
M Franco
G Weaver
 4/1
17
★★★★☆
69.7
 Value Play
4 Grand Opening P Fits
K Davis
W R Bailes
 5/1
14
★★★★☆
68.2
  
8 Factually Correct EP Neutral
C Elliott
R Samsundar
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
68.1
 Longshot
5 Radio Red P Fits
K Carmouche
D Gargan
 5/2
13
★★★★☆
67.3
  
7 Bold Fortune —
D Davis
G Weaver
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
65.0
  
1 Unbroken Chain E Misfit
S Marin
E R Barker
 20/1
6
★★★★☆
61.3
  
6 What's Up Bro EP Neutral
H K Harkie
N C Follett
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
58.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Party in the Army
E Misfit
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
J C Englehart
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Vekinda
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
G Weaver
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse
4
Grand Opening
P Fits
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
W R Bailes
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.2
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Factually Correct
EP Neutral
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
R Samsundar
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
Post · Horse
5
Radio Red
P Fits
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
D Gargan
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse
7
Bold Fortune
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
G Weaver
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
1
Unbroken Chain
E Misfit
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
E R Barker
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse
6
What's Up Bro
EP Neutral
Jockey
H K Harkie
Trainer
N C Follett
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming
Purse$37,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:38 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The finale is a wide-open 11-horse one-turn mile where #6 Lexington Pike aims to rebound from two fifth-place finishes at Saratoga behind an 86 speed figure earned earlier this summer, while Linda Rice's #4 I'm Worthy cuts back in distance after running fourth at Saratoga with an 81 figure.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
6
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Rebalancing should break on top. #11 Magnum's Macrobrst drops to the back. 5741039216811
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Rebalancing sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 5741039268111
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Rebalancing is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 5741039268111

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 20.1%
Price horse: I'm Worthy (8/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Lexington Pike P Neutral
M Franco
R Atras
 6/1
20
★★★★☆
66.2
 Top Pick
4 I'm Worthy —
K Carmouche
L Rice
 8/5
18
★★★★☆
65.1
 Value Play
9 The Obliterator P Neutral
D Davis
G DiPrima
 10/1
13
★★★★☆
62.3
 Longshot
10 Whitby EP Fits
R Santana, Jr.
M A Hennig
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.3
  
2 Red Miller P Neutral
E J Zayas
J P Terranova II
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
58.6
  
8 Jeter P Neutral
S Marin
M E Gorham
 5/1
8
★★★☆☆
58.5
  
7 Good Bali —
P Pena
L Shivmangal
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
55.8
  
1 Mentor —
L R Rivera, Jr.
K J Breen
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
55.6
  
5 Rebalancing E Fits
D A Rivera
W Potts
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
53.5
  
3 Monte Avi P Neutral
C Elliott
M A Hennig
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
53.2
  
11 Magnum's Macrobrst P Neutral
R Silvera
D G Donk
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
52.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Lexington Pike
P Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
R Atras
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse Value Play
4
I'm Worthy
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
L Rice
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse Longshot
9
The Obliterator
P Neutral
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
G DiPrima
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
Post · Horse
10
Whitby
EP Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M A Hennig
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
Post · Horse
2
Red Miller
P Neutral
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
J P Terranova II
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
Post · Horse
8
Jeter
P Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M E Gorham
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
7
Good Bali
—
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
L Shivmangal
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse
1
Mentor
—
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
K J Breen
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse
5
Rebalancing
E Fits
Jockey
D A Rivera
Trainer
W Potts
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
Post · Horse
3
Monte Avi
P Neutral
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
M A Hennig
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
Post · Horse
11
Magnum's Macrobrst
P Neutral
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
D G Donk
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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