Curated Betting Card

Belmont Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 5.

2026-10-09 Race 5 Morning Card
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Card signals
Belmont Park · full board
Strongest play
R2
City Blocks #5
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Getting Serious #4
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R6
16 runners
16
Pace shape
R2
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
The Belmont Park card presents a sharp mix of competitive turf allowances, state-bred maiden sprints, and contentious dirt routes. Favorable conditions and firm footing on the lawn will reward horses positioned within striking distance, highlighted by Growth Trajectory heading the opener and City Blocks standing out as a primary win threat in Race 2. Several large-field maiden turf contests later on the program offer compelling price alternatives, rewarding disciplined exacta structures over expansive horizontal tickets.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Three
Purse$108,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:10 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Chad Brown holds the tactical keys with #1 Growth Trajectory saving ground from the rail and uncoupled stablemate #6 Marketplaceofideas breaking from the outside, creating an immediate tactical decision on who controls the pocket entering the clubhouse turn.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
4
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 La Ceiba should break on top. #4 Getting Serious drops to the back. 325614
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 325614
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 La Ceiba is still in front. Moving forward: #4 Getting Serious. 325614

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 29.8%
Price horse: Marketplaceofideas (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Growth Trajectory EP Fits
F Prat
C C Brown
 9/5
30
★★★★☆
73.3
 Top Pick
6 Marketplaceofideas EP Fits
M Franco
C C Brown
 3/1
19
★★★★☆
69.3
 Value Play
5 Good Long Cry EP Fits
J Lezcano
G Weaver
 7/2
17
★★★★☆
68.7
  
2 Stillthinkingofyou EP Fits
C Elliott
D S Ryan
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
67.3
  
4 Getting Serious S Neutral
S Marin
C R McGaughey III
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
65.8
 Longshot
3 La Ceiba E Neutral
A Fresu
M Clement
 4/1
7
★★★★☆
61.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Growth Trajectory
EP Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
30
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.3
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Marketplaceofideas
EP Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
Post · Horse
5
Good Long Cry
EP Fits
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
G Weaver
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse
2
Stillthinkingofyou
EP Fits
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
D S Ryan
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Getting Serious
S Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
3
La Ceiba
E Neutral
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M Clement
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #5 City Blocks, #6 Pinky Brier.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or Claiming Pri
Purse$108,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:43 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Linda Rice sends out a formidable pair, but the race turns on whether #5 City Blocks can replicate her Saratoga form and clear #1 Queens Cat, who flashed sharp early speed and earned an 88 speed figure two starts back.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
1
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 City Blocks and #6 Pinky Brier go for the lead together. #3 Kay Cup drops to the back. 561243
  2. Middle around the turn #5 City Blocks and #6 Pinky Brier keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 561324
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Queens Cat is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #3 Kay Cup. Tiring: #5 City Blocks and #6 Pinky Brier. 135624

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 33.9%
Price horse: Queens Cat (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 City Blocks E Misfit
F Prat
L Rice
 2/1
34
★★★★☆
74.1
 Top Pick
1 Queens Cat —
N Alvarado
L K Dixon
 5/1
18
★★★★☆
68.5
 Value Play
4 Nina Kay —
J Lezcano
L Rice
 4/1
17
★★★★☆
68.1
  
3 Kay Cup P Fits
R Santana, Jr.
J R Abreu
 5/2
14
★★★★☆
66.4
  
2 Irish Fortune —
E J Zayas
T Morley
 4/1
10
★★★★☆
63.6
  
6 Pinky Brier E Misfit
A Fresu
G Rodriguez
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
62.4
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
City Blocks
E Misfit
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
L Rice
34
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.1
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Queens Cat
—
Jockey
N Alvarado
Trainer
L K Dixon
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse
4
Nina Kay
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
Post · Horse
3
Kay Cup
P Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
J R Abreu
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.4
Post · Horse
2
Irish Fortune
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
T Morley
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Pinky Brier
E Misfit
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
G Rodriguez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward Foaled In New York State A
Purse$49,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:16 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
State-bred maiden fillies tackle seven furlongs where #4 Magic in My Eyes looks to finally break through after a competitive 71 speed figure at Saratoga, but she must hold off Florida shipper #7 San Antonio Sara who displays sharp gate works.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 32.8%
Price horse: San Antonio Sara (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Magic in My Eyes —
M Franco
A J Green
 4/1
33
★★★☆☆
59.7
 Top Pick
7 San Antonio Sara S —
E J Zayas
S A Joseph, Jr.
 9/2
22
★★★☆☆
56.1
 Value Play
6 Suited Connectors —
R Santana, Jr.
M Clement
 3/1
9
★★★☆☆
48.9
  
3 Sparks Will Fly —
J Lezcano
L Rice
 7/2
9
★★★☆☆
48.5
  
5 Adroit P —
R Maragh
J W Ferraro
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.0
  
9 Mischievous Jo —
R Silvera
D L Schettino
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.6
  
10 Mia Sophia —
P Pena
E J DeLauro
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.9
  
2 Quell —
C Elliott
R Ribaudo
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.4
 Longshot
1 Midnight Honor —
K Davis
B Tagg
 15/1
3
★★☆☆☆
38.6
  
8 Iwokeuplikethis P —
K Carmouche
M Nevin
 20/1
2
★★☆☆☆
34.0
  
11 Tiz Improbable —
J Infante
M Richards
 30/1
1
★★☆☆☆
33.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Magic in My Eyes
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
A J Green
33
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse Value Play
7
San Antonio Sara
S —
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse
6
Suited Connectors
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M Clement
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.9
Post · Horse
3
Sparks Will Fly
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.5
Post · Horse
5
Adroit
P —
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
J W Ferraro
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
Post · Horse
9
Mischievous Jo
—
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
D L Schettino
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.6
Post · Horse
10
Mia Sophia
—
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
E J DeLauro
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Quell
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
R Ribaudo
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.4
Post · Horse
1
Midnight Honor
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
B Tagg
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.6
Post · Horse
8
Iwokeuplikethis
P —
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M Nevin
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 34.0
Post · Horse
11
Tiz Improbable
—
Jockey
J Infante
Trainer
M Richards
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 33.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:49 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A competitive juvenile turf mile centers on whether #7 Doves and Hawks can step forward second-out for Chad Brown after an encouraging runner-up debut, or if #4 Queen Paola turns the tables with superior raw experience from Saratoga.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 29.4%
Price horse: Queen Paola (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Doves and Hawks —
F Prat
C C Brown
 2/1
29
★★★☆☆
59.0
 Top Pick
4 Queen Paola —
R Santana, Jr.
M Clement
 7/2
18
★★★☆☆
54.6
 Value Play
5 Zipline —
D Davis
M E Casse
 6/1
16
★★★☆☆
54.0
  
3 Numerology —
A Fresu
H G Motion
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
49.4
 Longshot
1 Royal Victoria —
M Franco
W I Mott
 5/1
8
★★★☆☆
47.8
  
2 Princess Amari —
S Marin
M Clement
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
47.7
  
8 D'oro's Girl —
J Lezcano
L Rice
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
46.6
  
6 Bubble and Squeak —
K Carmouche
T A Pletcher
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Doves and Hawks
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
29
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.0
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Queen Paola
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M Clement
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.6
Post · Horse
5
Zipline
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M E Casse
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.0
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Numerology
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
H G Motion
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
Post · Horse
1
Royal Victoria
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
W I Mott
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.8
Post · Horse
2
Princess Amari
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M Clement
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse
8
D'oro's Girl
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.6
Post · Horse
6
Bubble and Squeak
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
T A Pletcher
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming / Allowance Optional Claiming
Purse$44,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:23 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This two-turn dirt route is wide open, hinging on whether #3 Expensive Cut can sustain his late punch from the inside stalls while #5 Interlock Empire attempts to control the race on the front end off a recent Aqueduct spin.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
3
P
3
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Expensive Cut, #7 Three Technique and #9 Pineapple Man all go for the lead. 37942510168
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 37942510618
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Expensive Cut is still in front. Moving forward: #2 Tizmarkus, #5 Interlock Empire and #6 Ambition. Tiring: #9 Pineapple Man. 37254910618

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.3%
Price horse: Interlock Empire (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Expensive Cut EP Fits
R Santana, Jr.
R Atras
 9/2
15
★★★★☆
70.6
 Top Pick
5 Interlock Empire P Neutral
D Davis
E Ibrahim
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
69.8
 Value Play
10 Peek P Neutral
M Franco
R R Rodriguez
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
68.7
  
2 Tizmarkus P Neutral
J Lezcano
J W Ferraro
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
67.8
  
6 Ambition S Neutral
C Elliott
R Atras
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
67.2
 Longshot
1 Apalta —
R Silvera
R R Rodriguez
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
66.7
  
4 Register —
S Gonzalez
I Kantarmaci
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
65.4
  
9 Pineapple Man EP Fits
S Marin
I Kantarmaci
 7/2
8
★★★★☆
65.0
  
7 Three Technique EP Fits
R Gutierrez
W Potts
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
63.3
  
8 Sanzio —
J Cruz
R J Rohena
 20/1
5
★★★★☆
61.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Expensive Cut
EP Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
R Atras
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Interlock Empire
P Neutral
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
E Ibrahim
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse
10
Peek
P Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse
2
Tizmarkus
P Neutral
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
J W Ferraro
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Ambition
S Neutral
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
R Atras
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.2
Post · Horse
1
Apalta
—
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
4
Register
—
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse
9
Pineapple Man
EP Fits
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
7
Three Technique
EP Fits
Jockey
R Gutierrez
Trainer
W Potts
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse
8
Sanzio
—
Jockey
J Cruz
Trainer
R J Rohena
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old Foaled In New York State And Approved By The New York Sta
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:57 PM ET
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A massive 16-horse state-bred maiden turf sprint forces #16 Fire Marshal to overcome an extreme outside post, relying on his standout 80 speed figure at Saratoga to cross over against inside contenders like #11 Tinian.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.4%
Price horse: Tinian (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
16 Fire Marshal —
F Prat
M J Maker
 3/1
24
★★★★☆
62.0
 Top Pick
11 Tinian S —
D Davis
M E Casse
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
55.0
 Value Play
9 Borago —
M Franco
A J Green
 7/2
10
★★★☆☆
54.2
  
10 Jordan the Caddy
J Lezcano
L Rice
 5/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.8
  
13 Lee's Onthe Loose —
R Santana, Jr.
A DeVaux
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.0
  
7 Pyralis —
E J Zayas
R N Falcone, Jr.
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.5
  
8 Businessisbusiness —
S Marin
M Clement
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
49.3
 Longshot
12 Miracle Morrow —
F Prat
R Brisset
 9/2
5
★★★☆☆
49.2
  
14 Tartah —
E J Zayas
R N Falcone, Jr.
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
47.2
  
2 Bet On Zion —
R Silvera
R R Rodriguez
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
46.6
  
1 Steelhorsingaround —
K Carmouche
J C Englehart
 12/1
3
★★★☆☆
44.4
  
3 A Lot of Gold —
R Maragh
J S Pregman, Jr.
 12/1
3
★★★☆☆
43.3
  
6 Oldfields Star —
R Santana, Jr.
M J Maker
 12/1
2
★★★☆☆
42.4
  
15 Billy Bucchero —
D Davis
M E Casse
 12/1
2
★★★☆☆
41.0
  
5 Rapidly Royal —
K Davis
J W Ferraro
 20/1
2
★★★☆☆
40.2
  
4 Hyperborean Spirit —
C Elliott
J T Ryerson
 15/1
2
★★☆☆☆
38.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
16
Fire Marshal
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M J Maker
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.0
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Tinian
S —
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M E Casse
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.0
Post · Horse
9
Borago
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
A J Green
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.2
Post · Horse
10
Jordan the Caddy
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
13
Lee's Onthe Loose
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
A DeVaux
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.0
Post · Horse
7
Pyralis
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
R N Falcone, Jr.
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Businessisbusiness
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M Clement
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.3
Post · Horse
12
Miracle Morrow
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
R Brisset
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
Post · Horse
14
Tartah
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
R N Falcone, Jr.
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.2
Post · Horse
2
Bet On Zion
—
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.6
Post · Horse
1
Steelhorsingaround
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J C Englehart
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.4
Post · Horse
3
A Lot of Gold
—
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
J S Pregman, Jr.
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.3
Post · Horse
6
Oldfields Star
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M J Maker
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.4
Post · Horse
15
Billy Bucchero
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M E Casse
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.0
Post · Horse
5
Rapidly Royal
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
J W Ferraro
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.2
Post · Horse
4
Hyperborean Spirit
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
J T Ryerson
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old Which Have Sold Or Rna'd For $65,000 Or Less In T
Purse$80,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:31 PM ET
Field Size13
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A sprawling 13-horse turf route for auction-restricted 2-year-old fillies tests whether #9 All Show can convert back-to-back Saratoga placings into a win, or if #12 Market Perception takes a leap forward second-out for Chad Brown.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 15.6%
Price horse: Market Perception (12/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 All Show —
M Franco
A J Green
 9/5
16
★★★☆☆
56.3
 Top Pick
12 Market Perception —
F Prat
C C Brown
 12/1
12
★★★☆☆
54.3
 Value Play
11 Yo Stella E —
P Lopez
D S Ryan
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
53.9
 Longshot
4 Luna Dancer —
S Marin
J B Begg
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
1 Illustrating —
R Santana, Jr.
M J Maker
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
6 Hammers Nickel P —
D Davis
R Handal
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
51.8
  
7 Bourbon Madness P —
A Fresu
M A Hennig
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
49.2
  
2 Bobby's Honour —
E J Zayas
T Morley
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
47.9
  
3 New to Me —
K Carmouche
L Schultz
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
47.4
  
8 Flag Is Up —
J Lezcano
B T Russell
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
46.4
  
13 Get My Good Side —
S Marin
A J Green
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
42.4
  
10 Magnum's Monsoon —
R Silvera
D G Donk
 15/1
2
★★☆☆☆
39.4
  
5 Funny Words —
C Elliott
J T Ryerson
 20/1
2
★★☆☆☆
39.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
All Show
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
A J Green
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse Value Play
12
Market Perception
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.3
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Yo Stella
E —
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
D S Ryan
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.9
Post · Horse
4
Luna Dancer
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J B Begg
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse
1
Illustrating
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M J Maker
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse
6
Hammers Nickel
P —
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Handal
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.8
Post · Horse
7
Bourbon Madness
P —
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M A Hennig
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
Post · Horse
2
Bobby's Honour
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
T Morley
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
Post · Horse
3
New to Me
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
L Schultz
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.4
Post · Horse
8
Flag Is Up
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
B T Russell
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.4
Post · Horse
13
Get My Good Side
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
A J Green
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.4
Post · Horse
10
Magnum's Monsoon
—
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
D G Donk
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.4
Post · Horse
5
Funny Words
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
J T Ryerson
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 13-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $55,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Mai
Purse$75,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:05 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Linda Rice holds a powerful hand in this mile claimer, where #6 Adrian aims to break through after multiple graded/allowance placings against stablemate #4 Baseball Lady, who dominated at this track two weeks ago.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
2
P
2
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Power of Women should break on top. #8 Starwood and #7 Ur Desire drop to the back. 24135678
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 24136578
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Power of Women is still in front. Moving forward: #3 Spying, #6 Adrian and #7 Ur Desire. 24136785

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 29.2%
Price horse: Baseball Lady (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Adrian P Neutral
M Franco
L Rice
 5/2
29
★★★★☆
73.0
 Top Pick
4 Baseball Lady EP Fits
K Carmouche
L Rice
 7/2
18
★★★★☆
68.7
 Value Play
3 Spying P Neutral
S Marin
J C Englehart
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
65.0
 Longshot
2 Power of Women E Neutral
D Davis
H De Paz
 5/1
11
★★★★☆
64.6
  
8 Starwood S Neutral
F Prat
G Weaver
 3/1
10
★★★★☆
64.2
  
1 Bourbon Serengeti EP Fits
R Santana, Jr.
R R Rodriguez
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
63.3
  
5 Lady Wisdom —
S Gonzalez
M Kantarmaci
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
62.4
  
7 Ur Desire S Neutral
E J Zayas
J P Terranova II
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
54.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Adrian
P Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
29
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.0
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Baseball Lady
EP Fits
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
L Rice
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Spying
P Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J C Englehart
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
2
Power of Women
E Neutral
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
H De Paz
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
8
Starwood
S Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
G Weaver
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
1
Bourbon Serengeti
EP Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse
5
Lady Wisdom
—
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
M Kantarmaci
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse
7
Ur Desire
S Neutral
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
J P Terranova II
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward Foaled In New York State A
Purse$56,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time5:38 PM ET
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The finale is a 16-horse state-bred turf sprint where #2 Ticket to Ride and #4 Midtown Mischief renew their Saratoga rivalry after finishing second and third separated by mere inches while earning matching 76 speed figures.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
2
P
5
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #12 Sassy Sats should break on top. #6 Midnight Blue and #1 Dancing Miracle drop to the back. 12325157841410131116916
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 12235157841410139111616
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Ticket to Ride is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #4 Midtown Mischief, #14 Alesiamae and #10 Avery's Wonderland. 21235154714101389161116

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 15.2%
Price horse: Midtown Mischief (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Ticket to Ride —
E J Zayas
S A Joseph, Jr.
 4/1
15
★★★☆☆
59.4
 Top Pick
4 Midtown Mischief P Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
M J Maker
 3/1
15
★★★☆☆
59.2
 Value Play
10 Avery's Wonderland P Neutral
F Prat
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
56.5
 Longshot
12 Sassy Sats E Neutral
M Franco
R Handal
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.7
  
5 Daylight Dreamer EP Fits
K Carmouche
J C Englehart
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
55.3
  
6 Midnight Blue S Neutral
A Fresu
J S Pregman, Jr.
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.8
  
13 You Know Better P Neutral
E J Zayas
J R Abreu
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
52.0
  
14 Alesiamae P Neutral
M Franco
J Sharp
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.4
  
1 Dancing Miracle S Neutral
C Elliott
F Abreu
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.8
  
8 Shake Em Off —
R Silvera
M Nevin
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.0
  
3 Luckbeourlady EP Fits
C Gonzalez
M Clement
 8/1
4
★★★☆☆
47.8
  
7 Raised —
K Davis
M Giddings
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.2
  
15 Ultra Cameo —
S Gonzalez
B A Hawthorne
 15/1
2
★★★☆☆
41.3
  
11 Sonoranite —
D A Rivera
D G Donk
 15/1
1
★★☆☆☆
39.3
  
9 Ms Nikki D P Neutral
P Pena
J W Ferraro
 50/1
1
★★☆☆☆
39.0
  
16 Peggie Castle —
D A Rivera
D G Donk
 30/1
1
★★☆☆☆
32.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Ticket to Ride
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Midtown Mischief
P Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M J Maker
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Avery's Wonderland
P Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse
12
Sassy Sats
E Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
R Handal
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.7
Post · Horse
5
Daylight Dreamer
EP Fits
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J C Englehart
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.3
Post · Horse
6
Midnight Blue
S Neutral
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
J S Pregman, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
13
You Know Better
P Neutral
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
J R Abreu
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.0
Post · Horse
14
Alesiamae
P Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
J Sharp
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
Post · Horse
1
Dancing Miracle
S Neutral
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
F Abreu
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.8
Post · Horse
8
Shake Em Off
—
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
M Nevin
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.0
Post · Horse
3
Luckbeourlady
EP Fits
Jockey
C Gonzalez
Trainer
M Clement
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.8
Post · Horse
7
Raised
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
M Giddings
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.2
Post · Horse
15
Ultra Cameo
—
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
B A Hawthorne
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.3
Post · Horse
11
Sonoranite
—
Jockey
D A Rivera
Trainer
D G Donk
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.3
Post · Horse
9
Ms Nikki D
P Neutral
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
J W Ferraro
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.0
Post · Horse
16
Peggie Castle
—
Jockey
D A Rivera
Trainer
D G Donk
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 32.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
  Go Pro