Curated Betting Card

Belmont Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 11.

2026-10-10 Race 11 Morning Card
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Belmont Park · full board
Strongest play
R7
Irish Goodbye #2
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Value Driven #6
6/1 ML
Deepest field
R11
15 runners
15
Pace shape
R6
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
Belmont Park presents an 11-race card featuring competitive juvenile sprints, high-caliber turf routes, and reliable class standouts. The featured 10th race brings together a deep field of turf routers where Caroline St. Beat looks to parlay elite tactical form into graded-caliber success. Strong favorites anchor early maiden events, notably Hullabaloo Ray Ray in the opener and Irish Goodbye in Race 7, while mid-card turf events offer compelling price angles on mid-tier stalkers.
Races 11 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:05 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The juvenile opener hinges on whether #7 Hullabaloo Ray Ray can duplicate his fast Saratoga debut figure while stretching out an extra half-furlong, or if Chad Brown's well-bred duo of #4 Art Museum and first-timer #6 Value Driven can overhaul him late.
PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 36.8%
Price horse: Art Museum (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Hullabaloo Ray Ray —
J Lezcano
T F Proctor
 1/1
37
★★★☆☆
58.1
 Top Pick
4 Art Museum —
M Franco
C C Brown
 2/1
24
★★★☆☆
54.6
 Value Play
6 Value Driven —
R Santana, Jr.
C C Brown
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
48.0
 Longshot
5 Louisiana Baby —
K Carmouche
H De Paz
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.7
  
1 Iron Charger —
D Davis
D Gargan
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
44.0
  
3 Souper Lawrence —
S Marin
M J Trombetta
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
43.6
  
2 Bellissimo d'Oro P —
K Davis
N P Zito
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Hullabaloo Ray Ray
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
T F Proctor
37
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Art Museum
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.6
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Value Driven
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
C C Brown
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.0
Post · Horse
5
Louisiana Baby
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
H De Paz
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.7
Post · Horse
1
Iron Charger
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
D Gargan
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.0
Post · Horse
3
Souper Lawrence
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M J Trombetta
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.6
Post · Horse
2
Bellissimo d'Oro
P —
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
N P Zito
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge. No true front-runner here; the lone presser is likely to inherit the lead.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance
Purse$58,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:38 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Veteran turf performer #1 Ice Chocolat draws the rail and drops into a spot where his mid-90s speed figures dominate, but forwardly placed #3 Ocean Atlantique could dictate an uncontested tempo on the front end.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
0
EP
1
P
4
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 High Tide should break on top. 21834567
  2. Middle around the turn #2 High Tide sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 21834567
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 High Tide is still in front. Moving forward: #7 Heathguard. 21834756

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 26.6%
Price horse: Ocean Atlantique (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Ice Chocolat P Neutral
K Carmouche
L Rice
 8/5
27
★★★★☆
74.6
 Top Pick
3 Ocean Atlantique P Neutral
S Marin
O Noda
 8/1
18
★★★★☆
71.3
 Value Play
7 Heathguard S Neutral
M Franco
I Kantarmaci
 9/2
15
★★★★☆
69.5
  
5 Belouni —
D Davis
J R Abreu
 7/2
11
★★★★☆
67.0
  
4 Late Call P Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
I Kantarmaci
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
65.1
  
8 Classic Creation P Neutral
A Fresu
J P Terranova II
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
65.1
 Longshot
6 Ramblin' Wreck —
J Lezcano
D Gargan
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
64.0
  
2 High Tide EP Fits
O Hernandez Moreno
N Chatterpaul
 50/1
5
★★★★☆
60.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Ice Chocolat
P Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
L Rice
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.6
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Ocean Atlantique
P Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
O Noda
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.3
Post · Horse
7
Heathguard
S Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
5
Belouni
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
J R Abreu
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
4
Late Call
P Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Classic Creation
P Neutral
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
J P Terranova II
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse
6
Ramblin' Wreck
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
D Gargan
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
2
High Tide
EP Fits
Jockey
O Hernandez Moreno
Trainer
N Chatterpaul
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:11 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A contentious group of two-year-old fillies sees #4 Saintly Villain looking to capitalize on race experience after a solid third at Saratoga, while Chad Brown unveils well-regarded debutante #2 Morella.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.2%
Price horse: Morella (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Saintly Villain —
R Maragh
T Morley
 7/2
22
★★★☆☆
51.7
 Top Pick
2 Morella —
M Franco
C C Brown
 3/1
18
★★★☆☆
50.0
 Value Play
5 Keen Interest —
R Santana, Jr.
C C Brown
 5/1
16
★★★☆☆
48.7
  
6 Lookin' Fine —
A Fresu
C R McGaughey III
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
46.9
 Longshot
7 Binesi —
D Davis
B T Russell
 10/1
12
★★★☆☆
46.4
  
1 Summer Memories —
K Carmouche
T A Pletcher
 5/2
11
★★★☆☆
45.4
  
3 Mercury Marauder —
E J Zayas
T Morley
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
44.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Saintly Villain
—
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
T Morley
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Morella
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
5
Keen Interest
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
C C Brown
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.7
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Lookin' Fine
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.9
Post · Horse
7
Binesi
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
B T Russell
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.4
Post · Horse
1
Summer Memories
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
T A Pletcher
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.4
Post · Horse
3
Mercury Marauder
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
T Morley
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Nobody wants the lead, so the early running order is hard to predict.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance
Purse$40,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:44 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The two-turn route features #7 Sara's Shaman dropping into a favorable spot after tackling tough Saratoga allowance fields, but #2 Shattuck brings fresh two-turn form and a bullet four-furlong workout.
Pace shape No Speed
E
0
EP
0
P
2
S
2

Early running order is unreliable.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up No Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate Nobody wants the lead, so #3 Mo Kreesa may end up there by default. 3516724
  2. Middle around the turn A slow pace keeps the field bunched together. 3567124
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Mo Kreesa is still in front. Tiring: #1 Ice Shot. 3567124

Nobody wants the lead, so the early order here is a rough guess.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 26.8%
Price horse: Shattuck (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Sara's Shaman —
M Franco
R Atras
 2/1
27
★★★★☆
68.3
 Top Pick
2 Shattuck S Neutral
K Carmouche
J Sharp
 9/2
17
★★★★☆
64.5
 Value Play
5 American Grant P Fits
R Santana, Jr.
B R Brown
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
63.6
  
4 Jackson Heights —
E J Zayas
I Kantarmaci
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
63.1
  
6 Leftembehind —
A Fresu
R R Rodriguez
 7/2
12
★★★★☆
61.6
  
1 Ice Shot S Neutral
T Hazelwood
B Kelly
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.7
 Longshot
3 Mo Kreesa P Fits
C Elliott
M A Hennig
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
52.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Sara's Shaman
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
R Atras
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Shattuck
S Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J Sharp
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
5
American Grant
P Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
B R Brown
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse
4
Jackson Heights
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
6
Leftembehind
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Ice Shot
S Neutral
Jockey
T Hazelwood
Trainer
B Kelly
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse
3
Mo Kreesa
P Fits
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
M A Hennig
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old Foaled In New York State And Approved By The New York Sta
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:17 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
New York-bred juveniles clash at six furlongs where #6 Miracle Michael looks to build on his strong runner-up debut at Saratoga, facing pressure from a sharp-working #1 George's Pal Vinny.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.2%
Price horse: George's Pal Vinny (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Miracle Michael —
J Castellano
B N Levine
 3/1
21
★★★☆☆
54.1
 Top Pick
1 George's Pal Vinny —
K Carmouche
D Gargan
 4/1
14
★★★☆☆
50.9
 Value Play
8 Blustery Day
M Franco
A J Green
 6/1
14
★★★☆☆
50.5
  
7 Neptuneroad Richie EP —
D Davis
T A Hills
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
49.5
  
3 Southside Samurai —
S Marin
H De Paz
 5/1
11
★★★☆☆
48.5
  
5 Tartah —
C Elliott
R N Falcone, Jr.
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
46.7
  
9 Billy Bucchero —
E J Zayas
M E Casse
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
44.3
  
4 Ridgewood Honor —
A Fresu
C F Martin
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.2
  
2 Themistocles —
R Santana, Jr.
M J Maker
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.2
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Miracle Michael
—
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
B N Levine
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.1
Post · Horse Value Play
1
George's Pal Vinny
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
D Gargan
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse
8
Blustery Day
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
A J Green
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
Post · Horse
7
Neptuneroad Richie
EP —
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
T A Hills
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.5
Post · Horse
3
Southside Samurai
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
H De Paz
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.5
Post · Horse
5
Tartah
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
R N Falcone, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.7
Post · Horse
9
Billy Bucchero
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
M E Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.3
Post · Horse
4
Ridgewood Honor
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
C F Martin
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.2
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Themistocles
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M J Maker
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #5 Paradise Valley, #4 Twenty Four Mamba.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance Optional Claiming
Purse$75,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:50 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A competitive six-furlong sprint sees several proven triple-digit figure earners clash, with steady front-runner #5 Paradise Valley trying to stave off veteran sprinter #6 Baby Yoda and class dropper #7 Lunar Module.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
3
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Twenty Four Mamba and #5 Paradise Valley go for the lead together. #7 Lunar Module drops to the back. 4532167
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Twenty Four Mamba and #5 Paradise Valley keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 4532167
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Pair of Socks has taken over in front. Moving forward: #2 Run Classic, #1 Gold Luck and #6 Baby Yoda. Tiring: #4 Twenty Four Mamba and #5 Paradise Valley. 3216475

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 19.4%
Price horse: Baby Yoda (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Paradise Valley E Misfit
S Marin
I Kantarmaci
 9/2
19
★★★★☆
71.5
 Top Pick
6 Baby Yoda P Fits
K Carmouche
M Giangiulio
 2/1
17
★★★★☆
70.6
 Value Play
7 Lunar Module S Fits
M Franco
J C Englehart
 10/1
16
★★★★☆
69.9
 Longshot
2 Run Classic P Fits
E J Zayas
W Potts
 6/1
16
★★★★☆
69.8
  
4 Twenty Four Mamba E Misfit
R Santana, Jr.
F Abreu
 5/2
14
★★★★☆
68.5
  
1 Gold Luck P Fits
D Davis
R Atras
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
64.9
  
3 Pair of Socks EP Neutral
C Elliott
J W Ferraro
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
64.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Paradise Valley
E Misfit
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.5
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Baby Yoda
P Fits
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M Giangiulio
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Lunar Module
S Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
J C Englehart
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.9
Post · Horse
2
Run Classic
P Fits
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
W Potts
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse
4
Twenty Four Mamba
E Misfit
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
F Abreu
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse
1
Gold Luck
P Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Atras
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse
3
Pair of Socks
EP Neutral
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
J W Ferraro
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge. No true front-runner here; the lone presser is likely to inherit the lead.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward Foaled In New York State And Approved By The
Purse$49,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:23 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Heavy favorite #2 Irish Goodbye looks poised to break his maiden at short odds for Brad Cox, but the seven-and-a-half furlong trip gives late-running #4 Sfumato a legitimate chance to run him down if the pace gets contentious.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
0
EP
1
P
0
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Chris's Song should break on top. 632451789
  2. Middle around the turn #6 Chris's Song sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 632451789
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Chris's Song is still in front. Moving forward: #1 Violin. 624135789

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 49.7%
Price horse: Chris's Song (10/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Irish Goodbye S Misfit
M Franco
B H Cox
 3/5
50
★★★★☆
70.5
 Top Pick
6 Chris's Song EP Fits
A Fresu
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
56.9
 Value Play
4 Sfumato S Misfit
J Lezcano
W I Mott
 9/2
10
★★★☆☆
56.8
 Longshot
7 Kings Landyn —
C Elliott
M Miceli
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
55.2
  
5 Hellz Kitchen —
R Santana, Jr.
M J Maker
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
53.8
  
8 Always Honest —
R Gutierrez
J M Jimenez
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.5
  
1 Violin S Misfit
R Silvera
J M Jimenez
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.0
  
3 Portadown Lad —
R Maragh
J W Ferraro
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
48.6
  
9 True Adirondacker —
E J Zayas
W Potts
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
43.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Irish Goodbye
S Misfit
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
B H Cox
50
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Chris's Song
EP Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.9
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Sfumato
S Misfit
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
W I Mott
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse
7
Kings Landyn
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
M Miceli
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.2
Post · Horse
5
Hellz Kitchen
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M J Maker
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.8
Post · Horse
8
Always Honest
—
Jockey
R Gutierrez
Trainer
J M Jimenez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
Post · Horse
1
Violin
S Misfit
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
J M Jimenez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
3
Portadown Lad
—
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
J W Ferraro
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
9
True Adirondacker
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
W Potts
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #1 Two Out Hero, #3 Big Destroyer, #2 Learntodiscover.

Race Details
Class & Money
Typemaiden, claiming, or starterallowed 4 Lbs
Purse$175,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:56 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A wide-open turf sprint sees Canadian shipper #1 Two Out Hero taking on Mid-Atlantic raider #8 Doubting Thomas, with the main question being whether #1 can work out a clean trip from the tricky rail post.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
4
P
0
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Two Out Hero, #2 Learntodiscover and #3 Big Destroyer all go for the lead. #8 Doubting Thomas and #7 Intricate Spirit drop to the back. 123956478
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Two Out Hero, #2 Learntodiscover and #3 Big Destroyer keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 123956478
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Intricate Spirit has taken over in front. Moving forward: #8 Doubting Thomas and #5 Iron Palace. Tiring: #1 Two Out Hero, #2 Learntodiscover and #3 Big Destroyer. 785964123

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.1%
Price horse: Doubting Thomas (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Two Out Hero E Misfit
R M Hernandez
K Attard
 8/5
17
★★★★☆
68.7
 Top Pick
8 Doubting Thomas S Fits
J Ruiz
M J Trombetta
 6/1
16
★★★★☆
67.9
 Value Play
3 Big Destroyer E Misfit
A Fresu
M Clement
 5/1
13
★★★★☆
66.4
 Longshot
7 Intricate Spirit S Fits
M Franco
M Clement
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
65.1
  
4 Proton EP Neutral
S Marin
H G Motion
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
64.6
  
2 Learntodiscover E Misfit
R Santana, Jr.
B P Walsh
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
62.9
  
9 Feline Curious EP Neutral
J Lezcano
K Danner
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
62.3
  
5 Iron Palace EP Neutral
E J Zayas
G Weaver
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
62.1
  
6 Six O Clock EP Neutral
D Davis
A Delacour
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
61.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Two Out Hero
E Misfit
Jockey
R M Hernandez
Trainer
K Attard
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Doubting Thomas
S Fits
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
M J Trombetta
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Big Destroyer
E Misfit
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M Clement
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.4
Post · Horse
7
Intricate Spirit
S Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M Clement
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse
4
Proton
EP Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
H G Motion
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
2
Learntodiscover
E Misfit
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
B P Walsh
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
9
Feline Curious
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
K Danner
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
Post · Horse
5
Iron Palace
EP Neutral
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
G Weaver
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
6
Six O Clock
EP Neutral
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
A Delacour
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge. No true front-runner here; the lone presser is likely to inherit the lead.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward Foaled In New York State A
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:29 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Bill Mott's #7 Liberty's Advance brings consistent maiden form and a fast recent morning drill, but must overcome second-choice #3 Promise Me Amelody who flashed superior speed at Saratoga two back.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
0
EP
1
P
2
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Run Flat should break on top. 23674158
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Run Flat sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 23674158
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Run Flat is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 23674158

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 24.8%
Price horse: Promise Me Amelody (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Liberty's Advance P Neutral
J Lezcano
W I Mott
 4/1
25
★★★☆☆
56.5
 Top Pick
3 Promise Me Amelody —
M Franco
M Clement
 2/1
23
★★★☆☆
55.7
 Value Play
4 Into the Unknown P Neutral
C Elliott
R Sells
 9/2
16
★★★☆☆
52.8
  
6 Okay Annie —
D Davis
D P Duggan
 3/1
15
★★★☆☆
52.0
  
1 All Bright —
E J Zayas
O S Barrera III
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
47.7
 Longshot
5 Our Sweet Harpie —
K Carmouche
S Klesaris
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.5
  
8 Startowne Road —
K Davis
C R Figueroa, Jr.
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.7
  
2 Run Flat EP Fits
P Chandra
C Goberdhan
 20/1
2
★★☆☆☆
37.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Liberty's Advance
P Neutral
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
W I Mott
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Promise Me Amelody
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M Clement
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.7
Post · Horse
4
Into the Unknown
P Neutral
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
R Sells
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
6
Okay Annie
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
D P Duggan
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.0
Post · Horse Longshot
1
All Bright
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
O S Barrera III
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse
5
Our Sweet Harpie
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
S Klesaris
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.5
Post · Horse
8
Startowne Road
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
C R Figueroa, Jr.
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.7
Post · Horse
2
Run Flat
EP Fits
Jockey
P Chandra
Trainer
C Goberdhan
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #4 Lennox the Grey, #2 Protect and Defend.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes
Purse$200,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 3/16 Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time5:02 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The day's stakes feature turns on whether rising grass star #6 Caroline St. Beat can extend his winning streak after a massive 106 speed figure at Kentucky Downs, or if seasoned distance specialists like #4 Lennox the Grey and #9 Third Coast can wear him down late.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
2
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Protect and Defend should break on top. #1 Print and #8 Chambersville drop to the back. 246379581
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Protect and Defend and #4 Lennox the Grey keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 264379581
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Caroline St. Beat is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #5 Bull Shoals, #1 Print and #8 Chambersville. Tiring: #2 Protect and Defend and #4 Lennox the Grey. 635179824

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 24.8%
Price horse: Lennox the Grey (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Caroline St. Beat —
M Franco
M Clement
 7/5
25
★★★★☆
78.8
 Top Pick
4 Lennox the Grey E Misfit
A Fresu
A Delacour
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
73.0
 Value Play
9 Third Coast EP Neutral
J Lezcano
T F Proctor
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
72.8
  
1 Print S Fits
R Santana, Jr.
R Ribaudo
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
72.6
  
8 Chambersville P Fits
J Castellano
K G McPeek
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
69.7
 Longshot
7 Versailles Road EP Neutral
E J Zayas
T A Pletcher
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
69.3
  
5 Bull Shoals P Fits
K Carmouche
J M Antonucci
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
68.8
  
3 Heeere's Johnny —
D Davis
R Handal
 10/1
7
★★★★☆
68.3
  
2 Protect and Defend E Misfit
S Marin
C R McGaughey III
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
67.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Caroline St. Beat
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M Clement
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.8
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Lennox the Grey
E Misfit
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
A Delacour
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.0
Post · Horse
9
Third Coast
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
T F Proctor
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.8
Post · Horse
1
Print
S Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
R Ribaudo
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.6
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Chambersville
P Fits
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
K G McPeek
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse
7
Versailles Road
EP Neutral
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
T A Pletcher
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
Post · Horse
5
Bull Shoals
P Fits
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J M Antonucci
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
Post · Horse
3
Heeere's Johnny
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Handal
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
2
Protect and Defend
E Misfit
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 11
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward Foaled In New York State And Approved By The
Purse$56,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:35 PM ET
Field Size15
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A sprawling 15-horse turf maiden wraps up the card where morning line favorite #1 Gilbane has the pedigree and figures to win from the rail, but traffic trouble in a massive field opens the door for wide-rallying alternatives like #12 Classic Commander.
PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 24.7%
Price horse: Classic Commander (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Gilbane S —
M Franco
A J Green
 9/5
25
★★★★☆
63.1
 Top Pick
12 Classic Commander —
S Marin
I Kantarmaci
 6/1
15
★★★☆☆
59.0
 Value Play
9 Bourboncentric S —
R Santana, Jr.
T Morley
 3/1
13
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
7 Fresh Start —
C Elliott
D G Donk
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.2
 Longshot
15 Pilot Knob E —
R Maragh
B R Brown
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.3
  
14 Aggression —
M Franco
I Kantarmaci
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.3
  
3 Zip for Rick P —
R Bowen
R E Legall
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.2
  
4 Surfside Dan —
E J Zayas
H Bond
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.1
  
10 Nowucme Nowudont —
J Lezcano
M J Maker
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
48.8
  
2 The Great Eight —
K Carmouche
B R Brown
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
48.0
  
13 Lobbyist —
E J Zayas
D G Donk
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
46.1
  
6 Imperial Anthem —
D Davis
C J Englehart
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
5 Talwyn —
K Davis
C R Figueroa, Jr.
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
44.2
  
8 Rocolino —
D A Rivera
L Shivmangal
 50/1
1
★★☆☆☆
37.1
  
11 Strobe Light P —
F Villa Pino
J W Ferraro
 50/1
1
★★☆☆☆
36.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Gilbane
S —
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
A J Green
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse Value Play
12
Classic Commander
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.0
Post · Horse
9
Bourboncentric
S —
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T Morley
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Fresh Start
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
D G Donk
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
Post · Horse
15
Pilot Knob
E —
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
B R Brown
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.3
Post · Horse
14
Aggression
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.3
Post · Horse
3
Zip for Rick
P —
Jockey
R Bowen
Trainer
R E Legall
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
Post · Horse
4
Surfside Dan
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
H Bond
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
Post · Horse
10
Nowucme Nowudont
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
M J Maker
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
Post · Horse
2
The Great Eight
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
B R Brown
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.0
Post · Horse
13
Lobbyist
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
D G Donk
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
Post · Horse
6
Imperial Anthem
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
C J Englehart
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
5
Talwyn
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
C R Figueroa, Jr.
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.2
Post · Horse
8
Rocolino
—
Jockey
D A Rivera
Trainer
L Shivmangal
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.1
Post · Horse
11
Strobe Light
P —
Jockey
F Villa Pino
Trainer
J W Ferraro
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 36.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 15-horse field.
  Go Pro