Curated Betting Card

Belmont Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 1.

2026-10-14 Race 1 Morning Card
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Belmont Park · full board
Strongest play
R2
Favorable Scenario #2
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Roadhouse Warrior #7
20/1 ML
Deepest field
R8
12 runners
12
Pace shape
R3
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
Belmont Park presents an eight-race Wednesday program balanced between competitive turf routes and testing dirt sprints. The afternoon highlights include a high-class, five-horse allowance sprint in Race 6 featuring battle-tested runners with triple-digit speed figures, alongside a heavy turf presence highlighted by prominent conditioners Chad Brown, Graham Motion, and Richard Dutrow Jr. While favorites hold strong positional advantages in races two and three, several deep-field turf events present vulnerable favorites that invite targeted price plays.
Races 8 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Nobody wants the lead, so the early running order is hard to predict.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old Foaled In New York State And Approved By The New York Sta
Purse$56,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:10 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
New York-bred juveniles stretch out around one turn where Linda Rice uncouples two runners against Monmouth shipper #5 Vintage Wiz. The race hinges on whether #5 Vintage Wiz can transfer his runner-up route form from New Jersey to Belmont's main track while facing early pressure from #4 After the Beep.
Pace shape No Speed
E
0
EP
0
P
2
S
1

Early running order is unreliable.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up No Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate Nobody wants the lead, so #1 Our Warrior may end up there by default. 1542367
  2. Middle around the turn A slow pace keeps the field bunched together. 1542367
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Our Warrior is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 1542367

Nobody wants the lead, so the early order here is a rough guess.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.3%
Price horse: After the Beep (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Vintage Wiz P Fits
J Castellano
A R Margotta, Jr.
 6/1
23
★★★☆☆
54.5
 Top Pick
4 After the Beep S Neutral
K Carmouche
B A Hawthorne
 9/2
20
★★★☆☆
53.1
 Value Play
2 Zack the Grey —
R Santana, Jr.
L Rice
 7/2
16
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
1 Our Warrior P Fits
J Lezcano
L Rice
 2/1
15
★★★☆☆
50.9
  
6 Be in Monty's Mind —
M Franco
K G McPeek
 4/1
11
★★★☆☆
48.1
  
3 Vals Bro —
D Davis
R Handal
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
47.9
  
7 Roadhouse Warrior —
C Elliott
M Giddings
 20/1
4
★★☆☆☆
38.5
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Vintage Wiz
P Fits
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
A R Margotta, Jr.
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.5
Post · Horse Value Play
4
After the Beep
S Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
B A Hawthorne
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse
2
Zack the Grey
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
L Rice
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse
1
Our Warrior
P Fits
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse
6
Be in Monty's Mind
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
K G McPeek
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.1
Post · Horse
3
Vals Bro
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Handal
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Roadhouse Warrior
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
M Giddings
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance
Purse$62,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:43 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Chad Brown trainee #2 Favorable Scenario stands as the heaviest favorite of the afternoon off back-to-back Saratoga turf performances that produced speed figures of 94 and 99. The tactical question is whether #3 Griffin's Wharf or #5 Overseer can capitalize if the favorite encounters traffic along the inner rail.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
2
P
5
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Pnutbutter Whiskey and #5 Overseer go for the lead together. 15362478
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 15362487
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Pnutbutter Whiskey is still in front. Tiring: #5 Overseer. 13625487

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 40.1%
Price horse: Global Asset (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Favorable Scenario P Neutral
M Franco
C C Brown
 3/5
40
★★★★☆
74.2
 Top Pick
7 Global Asset —
J Ruiz
P Antonacci
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
65.5
 Value Play
3 Griffin's Wharf P Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
T Morley
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
65.0
 Longshot
5 Overseer EP Fits
D Davis
T A Hills
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
63.5
  
4 Omaha Storm P Neutral
S Marin
M A Hennig
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.8
  
6 Gamblin George P Neutral
C Maragh
J A Kelley
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
1 Pnutbutter Whiskey EP Fits
K Davis
J A Kelley
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
8 Chess Match P Neutral
A Fresu
R R Rodriguez
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
54.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Favorable Scenario
P Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
40
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.2
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Global Asset
—
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
P Antonacci
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Griffin's Wharf
P Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T Morley
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
5
Overseer
EP Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
T A Hills
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse
4
Omaha Storm
P Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M A Hennig
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.8
Post · Horse
6
Gamblin George
P Neutral
Jockey
C Maragh
Trainer
J A Kelley
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
1
Pnutbutter Whiskey
EP Fits
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
J A Kelley
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
8
Chess Match
P Neutral
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #5 Miss Lao, #3 Ah Ca Ira.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming
Purse$35,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:16 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Saratoga maiden winner #1 Bellacose faces seasoned claiming mare #5 Miss Lao, who cut out sharp fractions to post a winning speed figure of 82 two starts back. The duel hinges on whether #1 Bellacose can use the rail draw to wire the field or if #5 Miss Lao will take command turning for home.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
3
P
1
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Miss Lao and #3 Ah Ca Ira go for the lead together. #4 Luna Moth drops to the back. 5316724
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Miss Lao and #3 Ah Ca Ira keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 5316742
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Bellacose has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 Oscar Bound, #7 Sabby Sunset and #4 Luna Moth. Tiring: #5 Miss Lao and #3 Ah Ca Ira. 1674532

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 33.4%
Price horse: Bellacose (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Miss Lao E Misfit
A Fresu
M Kantarmaci
 5/2
33
★★★★☆
67.7
 Top Pick
1 Bellacose EP Neutral
M Franco
J Sharp
 3/1
22
★★★★☆
64.2
 Value Play
3 Ah Ca Ira E Misfit
C Elliott
L K Dixon
 5/1
11
★★★☆☆
58.2
  
4 Luna Moth P Fits
P Pena
M E Friedman
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
57.9
 Longshot
6 Oscar Bound EP Neutral
E J Zayas
M Giddings
 7/2
10
★★★☆☆
57.4
  
7 Sabby Sunset EP Neutral
H K Harkie
I Kantarmaci
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
55.7
  
2 Caradise —
D Davis
M E Friedman
 5/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Miss Lao
E Misfit
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M Kantarmaci
33
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Bellacose
EP Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
J Sharp
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
3
Ah Ca Ira
E Misfit
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
L K Dixon
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.2
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Luna Moth
P Fits
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
M E Friedman
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.9
Post · Horse
6
Oscar Bound
EP Neutral
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
M Giddings
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
Post · Horse
7
Sabby Sunset
EP Neutral
Jockey
H K Harkie
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.7
Post · Horse
2
Caradise
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M E Friedman
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time2:49 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
An eight-horse field of juvenile turf sprinters features Todd Pletcher firsters #1 Legislation and #8 Framer taking on experienced runners #2 Sol Mayor and #3 Geneva Lake. The outcome centers on whether #2 Sol Mayor can duplicate his Monmouth runner-up effort on the grass against an untested wave of blueblood first-time starters.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.9%
Price horse: Geneva Lake (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Sol Mayor E —
J Castellano
J Delgado
 7/2
19
★★★☆☆
51.5
 Top Pick
3 Geneva Lake —
J Lezcano
T F Proctor
 9/2
16
★★★☆☆
49.9
 Value Play
7 Con's the Man —
M Franco
B P Walsh
 6/1
14
★★★☆☆
49.1
  
6 Songbird Prince —
E J Zayas
T Morley
 6/1
14
★★★☆☆
48.7
  
8 Framer
K Carmouche
T A Pletcher
 3/1
12
★★★☆☆
47.6
  
1 Legislation —
S Marin
T A Pletcher
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
45.1
  
5 Brothers Walsh —
R Santana, Jr.
T Morley
 4/1
9
★★★☆☆
44.9
  
4 Mambo Jazz —
K Cecil
J Gutierrez-Herrera
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.0
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Sol Mayor
E —
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
J Delgado
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Geneva Lake
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
T F Proctor
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.9
Post · Horse
7
Con's the Man
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
B P Walsh
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
Post · Horse
6
Songbird Prince
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
T Morley
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.7
Post · Horse
8
Framer
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
T A Pletcher
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
Post · Horse
1
Legislation
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
T A Pletcher
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.1
Post · Horse
5
Brothers Walsh
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T Morley
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.9
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Mambo Jazz
—
Jockey
K Cecil
Trainer
J Gutierrez-Herrera
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $50,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Mai
Purse$65,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:23 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A full field of ten turf routers lines up where perennial bridesmaid #3 Sammy C Note has finished second in three consecutive starts with matching 90 speed figures. The question is whether #3 Sammy C Note finally seals the victory or gets reeled in late by double-digit price runners #9 Blame It On K J or #10 Metatron.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
3
P
1
S
4

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Solo Empire should break on top. #9 Blame It On K J and #10 Metatron drop to the back. 28476135109
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 28476135109
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Solo Empire is still in front. Moving forward: #6 Naguile, #3 Sammy C Note and #5 Foto. 28476351091

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.8%
Price horse: Blame It On K J (10/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Sammy C Note S Neutral
A Fresu
M Miceli
 7/5
22
★★★★☆
71.0
 Top Pick
9 Blame It On K J S Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
D P Duggan
 10/1
15
★★★★☆
67.7
 Value Play
6 Naguile P Neutral
M Franco
M J Maker
 4/1
13
★★★★☆
66.4
  
7 Salt Spartan EP Fits
D Davis
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 3/1
11
★★★★☆
65.4
  
2 Solo Empire E Neutral
C Elliott
R R Rodriguez
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
65.0
  
10 Metatron S Neutral
S Marin
K Brion
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
62.2
 Longshot
1 Beau Cheval —
K Carmouche
J Sharp
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
62.1
  
4 Take a Stance EP Fits
J Castellano
M Nevin
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
61.8
  
8 Outtawaterbury EP Fits
C Maragh
R G Davis
 50/1
3
★★★☆☆
54.8
  
5 Foto S Neutral
K Davis
D P Duggan
 20/1
2
★★★☆☆
52.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Sammy C Note
S Neutral
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M Miceli
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Blame It On K J
S Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
D P Duggan
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
6
Naguile
P Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M J Maker
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.4
Post · Horse
7
Salt Spartan
EP Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse
2
Solo Empire
E Neutral
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Metatron
S Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
K Brion
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.2
Post · Horse
1
Beau Cheval
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J Sharp
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
4
Take a Stance
EP Fits
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M Nevin
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse
8
Outtawaterbury
EP Fits
Jockey
C Maragh
Trainer
R G Davis
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.8
Post · Horse
5
Foto
S Neutral
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
D P Duggan
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #1 Disco Time, #4 My World.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Four R
Purse$110,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:57 PM ET
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Five established sprinters square off over six and a half furlongs in the card's fastest contest, featuring Brad Cox trainee #1 Disco Time returning from a layoff to meet in-form rivals #5 Over and Ollie and #3 Be You. The race turns on whether #1 Disco Time can reproduce his 104 speed figure from Tampa off morning workouts against #5 Over and Ollie's blistering Saratoga form.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
1
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Disco Time and #4 My World go for the lead together. #3 Be You drops to the back. 14253
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Disco Time and #4 My World keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 14253
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Acoustic Ave is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #3 Be You. Tiring: #1 Disco Time and #4 My World. 25314

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.6%
Price horse: Disco Time (1/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Over and Ollie —
A Fresu
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 3/1
25
★★★★☆
74.3
 Top Pick
1 Disco Time E Misfit
M Franco
B H Cox
 1/1
23
★★★★☆
73.8
 Value Play
2 Acoustic Ave —
J Lezcano
L Rice
 8/1
22
★★★★☆
73.2
 Longshot
3 Be You P Fits
K Carmouche
T A Pletcher
 2/1
17
★★★★☆
71.0
  
4 My World E Misfit
S Marin
B H Cox
 10/1
14
★★★★☆
69.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Over and Ollie
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.3
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Disco Time
E Misfit
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
B H Cox
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.8
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Acoustic Ave
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse
3
Be You
P Fits
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
T A Pletcher
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse
4
My World
E Misfit
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
B H Cox
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #10 A Little At First, #7 Inspeightofcharlie.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or Claiming Pri
Purse$108,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/8 Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time4:31 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A competitive field of ten turf stayers tackles nine furlongs where Graham Motion-trained #2 Jack and Jim drops into starter conditions off graded-level company at Saratoga. The race hinges on whether #2 Jack and Jim can overcome potential race rust to catch loose-on-the-lead candidate #10 A Little At First.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
2
P
3
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #10 A Little At First and #7 Inspeightofcharlie go for the lead together. 10745182396
  2. Middle around the turn #10 A Little At First and #7 Inspeightofcharlie keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 10754183962
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Ramblin' Wreck is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #3 Cable Ready, #9 Clear Conscience and #6 Smooth Breeze. Tiring: #7 Inspeightofcharlie and #10 A Little At First. 53496182710

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 25.3%
Price horse: A Little At First (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Jack and Jim —
M Franco
H G Motion
 3/1
25
★★★★☆
69.8
 Top Pick
10 A Little At First E Misfit
J Castellano
H De Paz
 2/1
12
★★★★☆
63.5
 Value Play
3 Cable Ready P Fits
N Alvarado
L K Dixon
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
62.7
 Longshot
6 Smooth Breeze P Fits
S Marin
J R Abreu
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
62.6
  
7 Inspeightofcharlie E Misfit
K Davis
B Tagg
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
61.5
  
1 Shared Success EP Neutral
D Davis
J B Begg
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
60.7
  
9 Clear Conscience P Fits
A Fresu
I Kantarmaci
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
60.2
  
5 Ramblin' Wreck —
J Lezcano
D Gargan
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.0
  
4 Terminal Velocity EP Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
L Bartkowski
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.8
  
8 Rabaja —
E J Zayas
H Bond
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
53.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Jack and Jim
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
H G Motion
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse Value Play
10
A Little At First
E Misfit
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
H De Paz
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Cable Ready
P Fits
Jockey
N Alvarado
Trainer
L K Dixon
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
6
Smooth Breeze
P Fits
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J R Abreu
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
7
Inspeightofcharlie
E Misfit
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
B Tagg
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse
1
Shared Success
EP Neutral
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
J B Begg
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse
9
Clear Conscience
P Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.2
Post · Horse
5
Ramblin' Wreck
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
D Gargan
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.0
Post · Horse
4
Terminal Velocity
EP Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
L Bartkowski
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse
8
Rabaja
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
H Bond
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$45,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:05 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The finale brings together twelve maiden turf fillies where Kenneth McPeek trainee #7 Raging Bloom seeks to graduate following an 86 speed figure at Saratoga. The race centers on whether #7 Raging Bloom can negotiate a clean trip through a chaotic 12-horse field against solid local contender #8 Loveontheleftbank.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
3
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #8 Loveontheleftbank should break on top. #3 Paraiba Blue and #5 Raynham Hall drop to the back. 824961011211753
  2. Middle around the turn #8 Loveontheleftbank sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 842961011211753
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 Loveontheleftbank is still in front. Tiring: #2 One Bad Habit. 849261011211753

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 20.2%
Price horse: Loveontheleftbank (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Raging Bloom S Neutral
M Franco
K G McPeek
 3/1
20
★★★☆☆
59.5
 Top Pick
8 Loveontheleftbank E Fits
D Davis
J T Ryerson
 8/1
15
★★★☆☆
57.1
 Value Play
4 Devilish Grin —
R Santana, Jr.
A J Green
 5/2
14
★★★☆☆
56.3
  
6 Limited Vintage —
J Castellano
A J Kingsley, Jr.
 10/1
11
★★★☆☆
54.6
 Longshot
5 Raynham Hall S Neutral
A Fresu
R R Rodriguez
 10/1
11
★★★☆☆
54.5
  
9 No Tide —
J Ruiz
P Antonacci
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.2
  
10 Tres Leches —
K Carmouche
R Mott
 6/1
5
★★★☆☆
47.7
  
1 Amicus Curiae P Neutral
L R Rivera, Jr.
B N Levine
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
44.7
  
3 Paraiba Blue S Neutral
O Hernandez Moreno
J S Pregman, Jr.
 50/1
3
★★★☆☆
43.6
  
12 No Difference P Neutral
D A Rivera
A Arriaga
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
42.7
  
2 One Bad Habit EP Fits
C Gonzalez
R Keithan
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
40.2
  
11 Tavern Talk P Neutral
R Bowen
J Ashley
 50/1
2
★★☆☆☆
39.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Raging Bloom
S Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
K G McPeek
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Loveontheleftbank
E Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
J T Ryerson
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse
4
Devilish Grin
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
A J Green
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Limited Vintage
—
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
A J Kingsley, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.6
Post · Horse
5
Raynham Hall
S Neutral
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.5
Post · Horse
9
No Tide
—
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
P Antonacci
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
Post · Horse
10
Tres Leches
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
R Mott
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse
1
Amicus Curiae
P Neutral
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
B N Levine
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.7
Post · Horse
3
Paraiba Blue
S Neutral
Jockey
O Hernandez Moreno
Trainer
J S Pregman, Jr.
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.6
Post · Horse
12
No Difference
P Neutral
Jockey
D A Rivera
Trainer
A Arriaga
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.7
Post · Horse
2
One Bad Habit
EP Fits
Jockey
C Gonzalez
Trainer
R Keithan
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.2
Post · Horse
11
Tavern Talk
P Neutral
Jockey
R Bowen
Trainer
J Ashley
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro