Curated Betting Card

Belmont Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 5.

2026-10-16 Race 5 Morning Card
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Belmont Park · full board
Strongest play
R5
Fire Marshal #1
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
The Gabe Digger #6
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R9
12 runners
12
Pace shape
R6
Lone Speed
#6 Italianne
Card Overview
Race day summary
Belmont Park presents a nine-race program balanced between promising juvenile development races and competitive turf events. Form stands up well in the middle of the card, where Fire Marshal looks formidable in Race 5 and Ganderella brings proven local turf credentials to Race 6. Bettors will find the sharpest value opportunities across the late turf sprints and routes, especially in Race 8 where a competitive allowance field offers attractive longshot options.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old Which Have Sold Or Rna'd For $65,000 Or Less In Their Mos
Purse$80,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:10 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A field of seven juvenile auction graduates contest a one-turn mile where #6 The Gabe Digger brings three consecutive on-the-board finishes from Colonial Downs against #1 Rhythm Riot, who ships in off an improved runner-up effort at Delaware Park earning a race-best recent speed figure of 69.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.7%
Price horse: Rhythm Riot (8/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 The Gabe Digger —
F Pennington
J T Kirby
 8/1
25
★★★☆☆
56.8
 Top Pick
1 Rhythm Riot —
R Santana, Jr.
J Delgado
 8/5
24
★★★☆☆
56.6
 Value Play
3 Cybertapping —
M Franco
L Rice
 5/2
17
★★★☆☆
53.4
  
5 Chambered P —
J Castellano
K G McPeek
 6/1
13
★★★☆☆
51.4
  
2 Tutto a Posto —
F Prat
M A Hennig
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
50.5
  
4 Malachi Miracle —
C Elliott
K G McPeek
 5/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.7
  
7 Diamond Juan P —
P Pena
J M Jimenez
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
The Gabe Digger
—
Jockey
F Pennington
Trainer
J T Kirby
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Rhythm Riot
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
J Delgado
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.6
Post · Horse
3
Cybertapping
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.4
Post · Horse
5
Chambered
P —
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
K G McPeek
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse
2
Tutto a Posto
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M A Hennig
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
Post · Horse
4
Malachi Miracle
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
K G McPeek
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.7
Post · Horse
7
Diamond Juan
P —
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
J M Jimenez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:43 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Seven juvenile maidens stretch out to one mile where #1 E Z Speaker looks to build on his strong runner-up finish over the track, while facing well-bred first-time starters from the Todd Pletcher and Chad Brown barns in #4 Dream More and #6 Nevada.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 19.9%
Price horse: Dream More (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 E Z Speaker S —
D Davis
M E Casse
 7/2
20
★★★☆☆
52.3
 Top Pick
4 Dream More
R Santana, Jr.
T A Pletcher
 5/2
18
★★★☆☆
51.3
 Value Play
6 Nevada —
F Prat
C C Brown
 3/1
17
★★★☆☆
51.0
  
2 Louden —
J Lezcano
W I Mott
 9/2
14
★★★☆☆
49.5
  
3 D. C.'s Army —
C Elliott
K G McPeek
 6/1
14
★★★☆☆
49.3
  
7 Shahnameh —
M Franco
C C Brown
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
45.8
 Longshot
5 El Mercado —
K Carmouche
T A Pletcher
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
E Z Speaker
S —
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M E Casse
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.3
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Dream More
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T A Pletcher
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
6
Nevada
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse
2
Louden
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
W I Mott
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.5
Post · Horse
3
D. C.'s Army
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
K G McPeek
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.3
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Shahnameh
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.8
Post · Horse
5
El Mercado
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
T A Pletcher
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance
Purse$48,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:16 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A field of eight turf routers clash at a mile and a sixteenth where #8 Putonahappyface seeks to parlay consecutive high speed figures into a victory against last-out local winner #1 Key Actress from the Linda Rice barn.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
5
P
2
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Key Actress, #5 Smokin Hot Blonde and #7 Queen Sally all go for the lead. 15783246
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 15783246
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Mermaid has taken over in front. Not much changes from the early order. 21578346

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.0%
Price horse: Key Actress (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Putonahappyface EP Fits
A Fresu
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 4/1
21
★★★★☆
64.4
 Top Pick
1 Key Actress EP Fits
F Prat
L Rice
 3/1
20
★★★★☆
64.2
 Value Play
2 Mermaid P Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
I Kantarmaci
 2/1
16
★★★★☆
62.1
  
6 Nickel Saver —
S Marin
P Antonacci
 7/2
15
★★★★☆
61.8
  
4 Twirly P Neutral
M Franco
M Kantarmaci
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
61.3
  
3 Luckforyou EP Fits
P Pena
J Romero
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
53.3
 Longshot
7 Queen Sally EP Fits
R Maragh
J W Ferraro
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.9
  
5 Smokin Hot Blonde EP Fits
K Davis
J A Kelley
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
48.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Putonahappyface
EP Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.4
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Key Actress
EP Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
L Rice
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
2
Mermaid
P Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
6
Nickel Saver
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
P Antonacci
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse
4
Twirly
P Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M Kantarmaci
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Luckforyou
EP Fits
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
J Romero
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.3
Post · Horse
7
Queen Sally
EP Fits
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
J W Ferraro
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.9
Post · Horse
5
Smokin Hot Blonde
EP Fits
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
J A Kelley
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old Foaled In New York State And Approved By The New
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:49 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
New York-bred juvenile fillies sprint six furlongs where 2-1 morning-line choice #4 Under the Moon brings back-to-back runner-up efforts against first-time starter #2 Daddy's Ready, who enters with a sterling workout rating for Linda Rice.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.8%
Price horse: In the Queue (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Under the Moon —
K Carmouche
J Sharp
 2/1
23
★★★☆☆
56.1
 Top Pick
6 In the Queue —
F Prat
M J Maker
 6/1
16
★★★☆☆
53.3
 Value Play
2 Daddy's Ready
J Lezcano
L Rice
 6/1
14
★★★☆☆
51.7
 Longshot
3 Judysdancin Tonite —
R Santana, Jr.
C C Brown
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
50.3
  
5 Golden Chick —
S Marin
B H Cox
 9/2
9
★★★☆☆
48.6
  
1 Cy'fashion —
M Franco
C C Brown
 3/1
9
★★★☆☆
48.5
  
9 White Star E —
P Pena
F Abreu
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
47.1
  
7 As Pretty She Is
A Fresu
A Arriaga
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.3
  
8 Lilyluvsyellow —
L R Rivera, Jr.
D K Synnefias
 30/1
3
★★☆☆☆
38.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Under the Moon
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J Sharp
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse Value Play
6
In the Queue
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M J Maker
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.3
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Daddy's Ready
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
3
Judysdancin Tonite
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
C C Brown
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.3
Post · Horse
5
Golden Chick
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
B H Cox
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
1
Cy'fashion
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.5
Post · Horse
9
White Star
E —
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
F Abreu
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.1
Post · Horse
7
As Pretty She Is
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
A Arriaga
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.3
Post · Horse
8
Lilyluvsyellow
—
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
D K Synnefias
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old Which Have Sold Or Rna'd For $65,000 Or Less In Their Mos
Purse$80,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:23 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A ten-horse field of auction-restricted juvenile turf sprinters features a dominant standout in #1 Fire Marshal, whose Saratoga turf runner-up performance towers over the credentials of his nine rivals.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 31.5%
Price horse: Coastal Evacuation (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Fire Marshal —
S Marin
M J Maker
 7/2
32
★★★☆☆
59.8
 Top Pick
5 Coastal Evacuation —
R Maragh
A R Margotta, Jr.
 5/1
14
★★★☆☆
52.8
 Value Play
3 Boer War —
R Santana, Jr.
G Weaver
 9/2
12
★★★☆☆
51.6
  
7 Summer Brother —
M Franco
K G McPeek
 4/1
10
★★★☆☆
50.4
  
6 Gus's Boy —
E J Zayas
D L Schettino
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
48.6
 Longshot
8 Shake My Hand —
K Carmouche
B R Brown
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.3
  
9 Justin Knows All —
A Fresu
R R Rodriguez
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.1
  
10 Worth Waiting For —
J Lezcano
R E Reid, Jr.
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.9
  
4 Papa Vegas —
P Pena
A Arriaga
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.6
  
2 Riddle Me This —
D Davis
M J Trombetta
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Fire Marshal
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M J Maker
32
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Coastal Evacuation
—
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
A R Margotta, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
3
Boer War
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
G Weaver
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.6
Post · Horse
7
Summer Brother
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
K G McPeek
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Gus's Boy
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
D L Schettino
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
8
Shake My Hand
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
B R Brown
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.3
Post · Horse
9
Justin Knows All
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.1
Post · Horse
10
Worth Waiting For
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
R E Reid, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
4
Papa Vegas
—
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
A Arriaga
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.6
Post · Horse
2
Riddle Me This
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M J Trombetta
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Only one horse wants the lead. It should get an easy trip up front. Wants the lead: #6 Italianne.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward Foaled In New York State A
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:57 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
New York-bred maiden fillies and mares contest a one-mile turf route in a rematch between #1 Ganderella and #5 Felixyn, who finished separated by less than a length over this course on September 20 with 76 and 80 speed figures respectively.
Pace shape Lone Speed
E
1
EP
0
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Lone Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Italianne is the only one who wants the lead and should get it easily. #5 Felixyn drops to the back. 639247815
  2. Middle around the turn #6 Italianne is loose on the lead with nobody pressing. 639124785
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Italianne is still in front. Moving forward: #1 Ganderella. 639124785

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 30.1%
Price horse: Felixyn (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Ganderella P Neutral
F Prat
J P Terranova II
 8/5
30
★★★★☆
64.6
 Top Pick
5 Felixyn S Misfit
D Davis
T Morley
 2/1
24
★★★★☆
62.6
 Value Play
3 Jarndyce —
S Marin
K Raven
 12/1
16
★★★☆☆
59.5
 Longshot
6 Italianne E Fits
M Franco
T Morley
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
8 Fifty Shades Free —
E J Zayas
J R Abreu
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.5
  
9 Alesiamae P Neutral
K Carmouche
J Sharp
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.0
  
2 Burgundie Rose —
R Bowen
E Pringle
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
7 Vicked —
D A Rivera
D G Donk
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
44.0
  
4 Lady Vortex —
R Santana, Jr.
B N Levine
 12/1
2
★★☆☆☆
40.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Ganderella
P Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
J P Terranova II
30
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Felixyn
S Misfit
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
T Morley
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Jarndyce
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
K Raven
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
6
Italianne
E Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
T Morley
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
8
Fifty Shades Free
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
J R Abreu
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
Post · Horse
9
Alesiamae
P Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J Sharp
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
2
Burgundie Rose
—
Jockey
R Bowen
Trainer
E Pringle
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
7
Vicked
—
Jockey
D A Rivera
Trainer
D G Donk
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.0
Post · Horse
4
Lady Vortex
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
B N Levine
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 40.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Only one horse wants the lead. It should get an easy trip up front. Wants the lead: #3 First Call Bob.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Two Ra
Purse$105,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:31 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Seven route runners square off in a non-winners-of-two allowance where morning-line favorite #2 Papa Yo looks to rebound from a third-place Saratoga effort with a 93 speed figure against #1 Moe Eighty Eight, who ran a massive 106 figure at Aqueduct earlier in his career.
Pace shape Lone Speed
E
1
EP
0
P
1
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Lone Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 First Call Bob is the only one who wants the lead and should get it easily. #6 Three B's and #2 Papa Yo drop to the back. 3145726
  2. Middle around the turn #3 First Call Bob is loose on the lead with nobody pressing. 3145726
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 First Call Bob is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 3154726

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.4%
Price horse: Willintoriskitall (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Papa Yo S Misfit
M Franco
L Rice
 8/5
24
★★★★☆
71.7
 Top Pick
5 Willintoriskitall P Neutral
F Prat
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 5/1
17
★★★★☆
68.8
 Value Play
1 Moe Eighty Eight —
R Santana, Jr.
A J Green
 9/5
17
★★★★☆
68.7
 Longshot
4 Cocktailsnkringle —
R Silvera
S I Schauer
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
65.9
  
7 Filoso S Misfit
K Carmouche
C Summers
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
64.5
  
6 Three B's S Misfit
J Lezcano
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
63.8
  
3 First Call Bob E Fits
A Fresu
E J DeLauro
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
62.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Papa Yo
S Misfit
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.7
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Willintoriskitall
P Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Moe Eighty Eight
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
A J Green
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse
4
Cocktailsnkringle
—
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
S I Schauer
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse
7
Filoso
S Misfit
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
C Summers
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
6
Three B's
S Misfit
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse
3
First Call Bob
E Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
E J DeLauro
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge. No true front-runner here; the lone presser is likely to inherit the lead.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Three
Purse$108,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time5:05 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A ten-horse turf sprint features a competitive battle among top turf sprinters where #5 Bosun seeks to confirm his field-best 70.46 rating against #6 No Evidence, who beat him by a head in a 99-figure thriller at Saratoga on September 4.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
0
EP
1
P
4
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #8 Amoudi Bay should break on top. #5 Bosun and #6 No Evidence drop to the back. 81410297365
  2. Middle around the turn #8 Amoudi Bay sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 81410297365
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 Amoudi Bay is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 81410297365

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.9%
Price horse: No Evidence (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Bosun S Misfit
M Franco
J Sharp
 4/1
18
★★★★☆
70.5
 Top Pick
6 No Evidence S Misfit
F Prat
M Clement
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
68.5
 Value Play
9 Heart Headed P Neutral
K Carmouche
M J Maker
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
67.0
  
1 Final Verdict —
A Fresu
E R Barker
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
66.2
  
3 Flat to Da Mat S Misfit
D Davis
M J Maker
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
64.2
  
4 War Stride P Neutral
S Marin
G Weaver
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
64.0
 Longshot
8 Amoudi Bay EP Fits
J Castellano
L Schultz
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
63.4
  
2 Attfield P Neutral
E J Zayas
T Morley
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
63.2
  
10 Candytown —
R Santana, Jr.
T A Pletcher
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
63.0
  
7 Mischievous Angel P Neutral
J Lezcano
J R Abreu
 20/1
5
★★★★☆
60.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Bosun
S Misfit
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
J Sharp
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse Value Play
6
No Evidence
S Misfit
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M Clement
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse
9
Heart Headed
P Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M J Maker
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
1
Final Verdict
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
E R Barker
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
3
Flat to Da Mat
S Misfit
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M J Maker
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse Longshot
4
War Stride
P Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
G Weaver
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
8
Amoudi Bay
EP Fits
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
L Schultz
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse
2
Attfield
P Neutral
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
T Morley
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse
10
Candytown
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T A Pletcher
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse
7
Mischievous Angel
P Neutral
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
J R Abreu
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old Foaled In New York State And Approved By The New
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:38 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A wide-open field of twelve juvenile state-bred maiden fillies stretches out to a mile and a sixteenth on turf where #12 Seismic Activity and #4 Twice the Fun bring the most established route credentials into a race full of longshot possibilities.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 15.6%
Price horse: Twice the Fun (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
12 Seismic Activity —
F Prat
J C Englehart
 10/1
16
★★★☆☆
51.3
 Top Pick
4 Twice the Fun —
J Lezcano
W I Mott
 5/2
16
★★★☆☆
51.3
 Value Play
10 Mom's On Break —
S Marin
A J Green
 6/1
14
★★★☆☆
50.1
  
1 Coursiere —
L R Rivera, Jr.
D G Donk
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
45.6
 Longshot
7 Naughty Nancy —
M Franco
L Schultz
 7/2
8
★★★☆☆
45.2
  
3 Baby Dancer —
K Davis
M Giddings
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
44.5
  
8 Mc Cruiser —
D Davis
D Gargan
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
44.2
  
6 Nater Tot —
K Carmouche
R Atras
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.1
  
11 The Paper Lady —
E J Zayas
J W Ferraro
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.1
  
2 Cara's Chrome —
P Pena
M E Friedman
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.6
  
9 Convincing —
R Maragh
D S Ryan
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.4
  
5 Stars and Tapit —
R Santana, Jr.
T A Pletcher
 6/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
12
Seismic Activity
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
J C Englehart
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Twice the Fun
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
W I Mott
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
10
Mom's On Break
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
A J Green
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Coursiere
—
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
D G Donk
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.6
Post · Horse
7
Naughty Nancy
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Schultz
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.2
Post · Horse
3
Baby Dancer
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
M Giddings
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.5
Post · Horse
8
Mc Cruiser
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
D Gargan
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.2
Post · Horse
6
Nater Tot
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
R Atras
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.1
Post · Horse
11
The Paper Lady
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
J W Ferraro
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.1
Post · Horse
2
Cara's Chrome
—
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
M E Friedman
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.6
Post · Horse
9
Convincing
—
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
D S Ryan
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.4
Post · Horse
5
Stars and Tapit
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T A Pletcher
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro