Curated Betting Card

Belmont Park

Data-driven full-card analysis with compact access to every race on the board.

2026-10-21 Morning Card
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Belmont Park · full board
Strongest play
R1
Show Me the Munny #6
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Klimt Master #2
30/1 ML
Deepest field
R8
11 runners
11
Pace shape
R2
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
The Belmont Park program features competitive fields across both main track and turf routes, anchored by trainer Linda Rice holding prime contenders in early dirt events. The turf sprints present tightly clustered speed figures where tactical gate speed will dictate race outcomes, particularly in the fifth and seventh races. Bettors can lean into legitimate class advantages in the short-field dirt races while demanding overlay odds on late-running turf horses who require honest fractions up front.
Races 8 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge. No true front-runner here; the lone presser is likely to inherit the lead.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$52,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:10 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Trainer Linda Rice saddles the two logical choices in this seven-furlong maiden heat, where #6 Show Me the Munny brings a career-best 80 speed figure from Fair Grounds and must hold off uncoupled stablemate #3 Big Time Story, who drops back to one turn after facing stiffer maiden special weight company at Oaklawn Park.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
0
EP
1
P
2
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Show Me the Munny should break on top. 642315
  2. Middle around the turn #6 Show Me the Munny sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 634215
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Show Me the Munny is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 624315

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 44.7%
Price horse: Big Time Story (5/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Show Me the Munny EP Fits
M Franco
L Rice
 3/1
45
★★★★☆
60.9
 Top Pick
3 Big Time Story —
F Prat
L Rice
 5/2
30
★★★☆☆
57.6
 Value Play
1 Midnight Rocket —
J Lezcano
W I Mott
 4/5
10
★★★☆☆
48.4
  
2 Klimt Master P Neutral
F Villa Pino
E E Jones
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.5
 Longshot
4 Blueberryhillkeke P Neutral
R Maragh
J W Ferraro
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.6
  
5 Ace in Hand —
C Elliott
K G McPeek
 10/1
2
★★☆☆☆
36.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Show Me the Munny
EP Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
45
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Big Time Story
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
L Rice
30
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.6
Post · Horse
1
Midnight Rocket
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
W I Mott
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.4
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Klimt Master
P Neutral
Jockey
F Villa Pino
Trainer
E E Jones
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
Post · Horse
4
Blueberryhillkeke
P Neutral
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
J W Ferraro
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.6
Post · Horse
5
Ace in Hand
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
K G McPeek
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 36.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #1 Heavenly Light, #8 Thirteen Red Flags.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Fillies & Mares
Purse$44,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:42 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Heavy morning-line favorite #5 Tough Street brings back-to-back Saratoga speed figures of 80 and 67 into this one-mile event, but must prove she can finish after repeatedly settling for minor awards, leaving the door open for #7 Summer Flower who owns a dominant 87 speed figure earned at Monmouth this summer.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
1
S
5

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Heavenly Light should break on top. #6 That's Funny and #3 Pistol Liz Ablazen drop to the back. 18542736
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Heavenly Light and #8 Thirteen Red Flags keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 18542736
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Tough Street has taken over in front. Moving forward: #4 Santagata, #2 Pens Street and #7 Summer Flower. Tiring: #1 Heavenly Light and #8 Thirteen Red Flags. 54273618

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 41.0%
Price horse: Heavenly Light (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Tough Street P Fits
M Franco
L Rice
 6/5
41
★★★★☆
78.0
 Top Pick
1 Heavenly Light E Misfit
F Prat
L Rice
 5/2
22
★★★★☆
72.9
 Value Play
7 Summer Flower S Fits
D Davis
M Miceli
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
66.3
 Longshot
2 Pens Street S Fits
R Santana, Jr.
K LaRose
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
64.6
  
3 Pistol Liz Ablazen S Fits
D A Rivera
G Rodriguez
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
63.6
  
6 That's Funny S Fits
K Davis
M Clarke
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
59.5
  
8 Thirteen Red Flags E Misfit
A Fresu
A Chichakly
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
58.6
  
4 Santagata S Fits
O Hernandez Moreno
C Bhigroog
 30/1
1
★★★☆☆
48.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Tough Street
P Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
41
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.0
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Heavenly Light
E Misfit
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
L Rice
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.9
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Summer Flower
S Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M Miceli
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
2
Pens Street
S Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
K LaRose
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
3
Pistol Liz Ablazen
S Fits
Jockey
D A Rivera
Trainer
G Rodriguez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse
6
That's Funny
S Fits
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
M Clarke
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
8
Thirteen Red Flags
E Misfit
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
A Chichakly
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
Post · Horse
4
Santagata
S Fits
Jockey
O Hernandez Moreno
Trainer
C Bhigroog
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$38,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:16 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Morning-line chalk #6 Oath returns from a six-month freshening off an uncharacteristic 38 speed figure at Keeneland, facing an honest distance test against #4 Immaculate Moon, who has Saratoga foundation and sharp four-furlong morning drills for trainer David Gargan.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Oath should break on top. #7 Bombs Away and #8 Luciana's Honor drop to the back. 62531487
  2. Middle around the turn #6 Oath sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 62531487
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Oath is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 62531487

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 27.3%
Price horse: Immaculate Moon (2/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Oath E Fits
M Franco
L Rice
 8/5
27
★★★☆☆
55.0
 Top Pick
4 Immaculate Moon P Neutral
P Pena
D Gargan
 2/1
18
★★★☆☆
51.6
 Value Play
5 Madeline's Agenda —
R Santana, Jr.
J R Abreu
 9/2
14
★★★☆☆
49.5
  
3 Al Muheerah EP Fits
S Marin
M Dini
 10/1
13
★★★☆☆
48.5
  
7 Bombs Away S Neutral
E J Zayas
B N Levine
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
48.2
 Longshot
8 Luciana's Honor P Neutral
C Elliott
M A Hennig
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.5
  
1 Miss Snaffles —
J A Gomez
G R Thompson
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
40.8
  
2 Mia Sophia —
K Davis
E J DeLauro
 20/1
4
★★☆☆☆
39.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Oath
E Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.0
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Immaculate Moon
P Neutral
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
D Gargan
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.6
Post · Horse
5
Madeline's Agenda
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
J R Abreu
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.5
Post · Horse
3
Al Muheerah
EP Fits
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M Dini
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.5
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Bombs Away
S Neutral
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
B N Levine
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.2
Post · Horse
8
Luciana's Honor
P Neutral
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
M A Hennig
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.5
Post · Horse
1
Miss Snaffles
—
Jockey
J A Gomez
Trainer
G R Thompson
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.8
Post · Horse
2
Mia Sophia
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
E J DeLauro
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or Claiming Pri
Purse$108,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:49 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Six turf competitors square off at seven and one half furlongs, where #6 All of It looks to capitalize on a class drop from high-level Saratoga turf allowances against Chad Brown trainee #2 Maria Callas, who arrives off an authoritative local victory earned with an 82 speed figure.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
2
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Maria Callas should break on top. #1 Disco Star and #6 All of It drop to the back. 243561
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 245361
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Maria Callas is still in front. Moving forward: #6 All of It and #1 Disco Star. 245361

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.2%
Price horse: Maria Callas (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 All of It P Neutral
S Marin
M Clement
 5/2
22
★★★★☆
66.1
 Top Pick
2 Maria Callas E Neutral
M Franco
C C Brown
 2/1
20
★★★★☆
65.2
 Value Play
4 Brokealltherules EP Fits
F Prat
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 7/2
18
★★★★☆
64.1
  
1 Disco Star S Neutral
J Castellano
M E Casse
 5/1
16
★★★★☆
63.5
  
5 Sweet Anniversary —
K Carmouche
M A Ferraro
 9/2
15
★★★★☆
63.0
  
3 Hello Beauty EP Fits
J Lezcano
P J Quick
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
58.1
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
All of It
P Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M Clement
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Maria Callas
E Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
4
Brokealltherules
EP Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.1
Post · Horse
1
Disco Star
S Neutral
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M E Casse
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse
5
Sweet Anniversary
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M A Ferraro
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Hello Beauty
EP Fits
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
P J Quick
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #5 Joker On Fire, #1 Dancing Bear, #4 Sir Walta.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $50,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Mai
Purse$65,000
Claiming$50,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:23 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A field of eight turf sprinters tests six furlongs where #5 Joker On Fire returns off consecutive runner-up efforts at Saratoga with figures of 93 and 86, but must avoid getting caught in a speed duel with #6 Rhyton and rail runner #1 Dancing Bear.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
2
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Sir Walta, #1 Dancing Bear and #5 Joker On Fire all go for the lead. #6 Rhyton drops to the back. 41532786
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Sir Walta, #1 Dancing Bear and #5 Joker On Fire keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 41523678
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Royal Browne has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 Rhyton. Tiring: #4 Sir Walta, #1 Dancing Bear and #5 Joker On Fire. 26378415

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 28.3%
Price horse: Rhyton (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Joker On Fire E Misfit
J Lezcano
B N Levine
 9/5
28
★★★★☆
68.5
 Top Pick
6 Rhyton P Fits
F Prat
M Clement
 7/2
17
★★★★☆
64.3
 Value Play
1 Dancing Bear E Misfit
K Carmouche
J L Lawrence II
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
62.8
 Longshot
3 B Provocateur EP Neutral
A Fresu
R R Rodriguez
 5/1
13
★★★★☆
61.6
  
2 Royal Browne P Fits
R Santana, Jr.
F Abreu
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
61.1
  
4 Sir Walta E Misfit
J Castellano
D P Duggan
 3/1
9
★★★☆☆
58.4
  
7 Racerx —
L R Rivera, Jr.
M A Ferraro
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
53.1
  
8 Peyton —
O Hernandez Moreno
D L Schettino
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
46.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Joker On Fire
E Misfit
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
B N Levine
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Rhyton
P Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M Clement
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Dancing Bear
E Misfit
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J L Lawrence II
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
3
B Provocateur
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
Post · Horse
2
Royal Browne
P Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
F Abreu
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse
4
Sir Walta
E Misfit
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
D P Duggan
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse
7
Racerx
—
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
M A Ferraro
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse
8
Peyton
—
Jockey
O Hernandez Moreno
Trainer
D L Schettino
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge. No true front-runner here; the lone presser is likely to inherit the lead.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Open
Purse$37,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/8 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:57 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Stretching out to nine furlongs on the main track, #3 I'm Worthy seeks to capitalize on his solid Oaklawn form and an 81 Saratoga figure, while #7 Good Bali and #1 Corvus test whether his suspect stamina will hold up under extended pressure.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
0
EP
1
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Takahama should break on top. #5 Magnum's Macrobrst drops to the back. 6134725
  2. Middle around the turn #6 Takahama sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 6134725
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Corvus is in front, running an even pace. Tiring: #6 Takahama. 1346725

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 36.8%
Price horse: Good Bali (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 I'm Worthy —
K Carmouche
L Rice
 1/2
37
★★★★☆
64.3
 Top Pick
7 Good Bali —
R Santana, Jr.
L Shivmangal
 8/1
17
★★★☆☆
57.9
 Value Play
1 Corvus —
J Nolasco
I Kantarmaci
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.3
 Longshot
4 Paul's Recovery —
O Hernandez Moreno
P J Quick
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.1
  
5 Magnum's Macrobrst S Neutral
D A Rivera
D G Donk
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.0
  
2 Supreme Good P Neutral
C Elliott
K G McPeek
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.7
  
6 Takahama EP Fits
A Fresu
M Giangiulio
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
I'm Worthy
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
L Rice
37
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Good Bali
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
L Shivmangal
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.9
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Corvus
—
Jockey
J Nolasco
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.3
Post · Horse
4
Paul's Recovery
—
Jockey
O Hernandez Moreno
Trainer
P J Quick
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse
5
Magnum's Macrobrst
S Neutral
Jockey
D A Rivera
Trainer
D G Donk
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse
2
Supreme Good
P Neutral
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
K G McPeek
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
6
Takahama
EP Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M Giangiulio
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #5 Denver's Alley, #8 Aperitif, #3 Now Or Nevermore.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$105,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:31 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This six-furlong turf allowance features Gulfstream shipper #5 Denver's Alley making her local debut off an 82 speed figure, where she must hold off #1 Arinata who drops in class for Linda Rice and breaks from the rail with Flavien Prat.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
3
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Now Or Nevermore and #5 Denver's Alley go for the lead together. #4 Kaaterskill and #1 Arinata drop to the back. 35826714
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Now Or Nevermore, #5 Denver's Alley and #8 Aperitif keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 35826714
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Long Legged Queen has taken over in front. Moving forward: #1 Arinata and #4 Kaaterskill. Tiring: #5 Denver's Alley, #3 Now Or Nevermore and #8 Aperitif. 71462538

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.8%
Price horse: Arinata (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Denver's Alley E Misfit
J Castellano
M Lerman
 6/1
24
★★★★☆
65.2
 Top Pick
1 Arinata P Fits
F Prat
L Rice
 7/2
21
★★★★☆
64.0
 Value Play
8 Aperitif E Misfit
A Fresu
E M Merryman
 5/2
18
★★★★☆
62.6
  
7 Long Legged Queen P Fits
R Santana, Jr.
J R Lee
 5/1
12
★★★☆☆
59.0
  
3 Now Or Nevermore E Misfit
R Bowen
C Banks
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
57.0
  
6 Vernon Valley —
J Lezcano
W I Mott
 9/2
9
★★★☆☆
56.7
  
2 Carmen Amalia EP Neutral
D A Rivera
D G Donk
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
53.6
 Longshot
4 Kaaterskill P Fits
P Pena
B G Dunham
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
46.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Denver's Alley
E Misfit
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M Lerman
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Arinata
P Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
L Rice
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
8
Aperitif
E Misfit
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
E M Merryman
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
7
Long Legged Queen
P Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
J R Lee
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.0
Post · Horse
3
Now Or Nevermore
E Misfit
Jockey
R Bowen
Trainer
C Banks
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse
6
Vernon Valley
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
W I Mott
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Carmen Amalia
EP Neutral
Jockey
D A Rivera
Trainer
D G Donk
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.6
Post · Horse
4
Kaaterskill
P Fits
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
B G Dunham
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Nobody wants the lead, so the early running order is hard to predict.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward Foaled In New York State And Approved By The
Purse$56,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time5:05 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
An 11-horse New York-bred turf maiden sprint poses serious traffic challenges, where outside-drawn #11 Twenty One Red must use her superior Saratoga back class to clear rivals and outkick persistent maiden runner #7 Richies Love.
Pace shape No Speed
E
0
EP
0
P
3
S
1

Early running order is unreliable.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up No Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate Nobody wants the lead, so #6 Rocolino may end up there by default. 6793124115810
  2. Middle around the turn A slow pace keeps the field bunched together. 6791241153810
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Rocolino is still in front. Tiring: #3 Engraved. 6791234115810

Nobody wants the lead, so the early order here is a rough guess.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 21.1%
Price horse: Richies Love (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
11 Twenty One Red —
F Prat
G Weaver
 9/2
21
★★★☆☆
57.7
 Top Pick
7 Richies Love P Fits
K Carmouche
M Miceli
 3/1
14
★★★☆☆
54.4
 Value Play
5 Sweetnessthrtyfour —
R Santana, Jr.
M Miceli
 8/1
14
★★★☆☆
54.4
 Longshot
2 Dinghy Bar —
J Castellano
J P Terranova II
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
3 Engraved S Neutral
M Franco
L Rice
 7/2
10
★★★☆☆
51.7
  
1 Tizlawry —
R Maragh
C J Englehart
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
49.7
  
4 Thespian —
J Lezcano
B G Dunham
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
49.0
  
8 Aggression —
A Fresu
I Kantarmaci
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
45.8
  
10 Gokboru —
D Davis
D P Duggan
 10/1
3
★★★☆☆
40.4
  
6 Rocolino P Fits
D A Rivera
L Shivmangal
 20/1
2
★★☆☆☆
38.9
  
9 Nothingbutnitro P Fits
K Davis
R G Davis
 50/1
2
★★☆☆☆
38.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
11
Twenty One Red
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
G Weaver
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Richies Love
P Fits
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M Miceli
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Sweetnessthrtyfour
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M Miceli
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse
2
Dinghy Bar
—
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
J P Terranova II
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse
3
Engraved
S Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
1
Tizlawry
—
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
C J Englehart
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.7
Post · Horse
4
Thespian
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
B G Dunham
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.0
Post · Horse
8
Aggression
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.8
Post · Horse
10
Gokboru
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
D P Duggan
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.4
Post · Horse
6
Rocolino
P Fits
Jockey
D A Rivera
Trainer
L Shivmangal
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.9
Post · Horse
9
Nothingbutnitro
P Fits
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
R G Davis
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro