Curated Betting Card

Belmont Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 6.

2026-10-23 Race 6 Morning Card
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This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Belmont Park · full board
Strongest play
R2
Cut Down the Nets #5
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Trinitarian #3
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R9
13 runners
13
Pace shape
R7
Lone Speed
#1 Harmonique
Card Overview
Race day summary
Belmont Park presents a competitive nine-race program highlighted by a pair of $175,000 turf stakes in Races 5 and 8 alongside the $200,000 nine-furlong turf feature in Race 9. While Cut Down the Nets shapes up as a commanding favorite in the second race, the juvenile maiden contests and middle turf allowances feature evenly matched fields where mid-price runners and first-time starters command respect. The late turf stakes sequence demands structured exacta play across balanced fields with multiple running styles represented.
Races 9 Status Live View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old Foaled In New York State And Approved By The New York Sta
Purse$56,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:10 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For maidens, two years old foaled in New York State and approved by the New York State Energy and
Storyline
Speed figures are thin across this opening juvenile maiden sprint, where #4 McMoon looks to rebound from a double-digit defeat after posting a competitive 71 speed figure at Saratoga three back. The race turns on whether #5 Greek God moves forward in his second lifetime start after failing to fire at Saratoga, or if debuter #3 Trinitarian is ready to strike at first asking.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.8%
Price horse: Greek God (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 McMoon E —
E J Zayas
G Weaver
 1/1
25
★★★☆☆
51.0
 Top Pick
5 Greek God —
S Marin
M E Casse
 7/2
22
★★★☆☆
50.0
 Value Play
6 El Woodsie —
J Castellano
K J Breen
 5/1
16
★★★☆☆
47.1
  
7 Private Banker EP —
K Davis
J W Ferraro
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
43.4
  
1 Negril Badness —
R Bowen
M A Simmonds
 20/1
10
★★★☆☆
43.3
  
3 Trinitarian —
D A Rivera
C Baker
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
42.3
 Longshot
2 Mindful Leo —
O Hernandez Moreno
D L Schettino
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
41.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
McMoon
E —
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
G Weaver
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Greek God
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M E Casse
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
6
El Woodsie
—
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
K J Breen
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.1
Post · Horse
7
Private Banker
EP —
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
J W Ferraro
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.4
Post · Horse
1
Negril Badness
—
Jockey
R Bowen
Trainer
M A Simmonds
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.3
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Trinitarian
—
Jockey
D A Rivera
Trainer
C Baker
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.3
Post · Horse
2
Mindful Leo
—
Jockey
O Hernandez Moreno
Trainer
D L Schettino
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old Foaled In New York State And Approved By The New York Sta
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:43 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For maidens, two years old foaled in New York State and approved by the New York State Energy and
Storyline
#5 Cut Down the Nets stretches out to a mile boasting a class edge and a field-best 79 speed figure earned at Saratoga, making him the card's most prohibitive favorite. The key tactical question is whether #2 Just You Baby can close the gap after finishing just behind him at Belmont on September 25.
PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 40.7%
Price horse: Just You Baby (8/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Cut Down the Nets —
S Marin
A J Green
 5/2
41
★★★★☆
61.0
 Top Pick
2 Just You Baby —
R Santana, Jr.
J R Abreu
 8/5
19
★★★☆☆
54.7
 Value Play
3 Island Pal —
M Franco
M E Casse
 4/1
17
★★★☆☆
53.7
  
6 Frequency Shift —
F Prat
C C Brown
 7/2
13
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
1 Cartridge —
K Carmouche
J C Englehart
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.2
 Longshot
4 Mo's Law —
C Elliott
M A Hennig
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Cut Down the Nets
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
A J Green
41
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Just You Baby
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
J R Abreu
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
3
Island Pal
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M E Casse
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.7
Post · Horse
6
Frequency Shift
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Cartridge
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J C Englehart
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.2
Post · Horse
4
Mo's Law
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
M A Hennig
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Three
Purse$108,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time2:16 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitywhich have never won three races or state-bred allowance
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For horses which have never won three races or state-bred allowance
Storyline
A contentious turf sprint brings together #5 Obstreperous, who ran a sharp 89 speed figure when second at Delaware, and European import #4 Queen Martina, who posted a 90 figure in her US debut at Belmont. The outcome hinges on whether #5 Obstreperous can clear early from mid-pack or if #4 Queen Martina runs him down in the final sixteenth.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
2
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Queen Martina should break on top. #5 Obstreperous and #6 Shades of Jade drop to the back. 48273165
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 48723165
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 Queen Martina is still in front. Moving forward: #1 Xmas in Cairo, #6 Shades of Jade and #5 Obstreperous. 47823165

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.8%
Price horse: Queen Martina (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Obstreperous S Neutral
S Marin
M V Simone
 6/1
19
★★★★☆
69.9
 Top Pick
4 Queen Martina E Neutral
M Franco
W I Mott
 2/1
18
★★★★☆
69.7
 Value Play
8 River Seine EP Fits
A Fresu
M Nevin
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
66.0
  
2 Kuwaitya EP Fits
D Davis
M Arenas
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
65.7
  
1 Xmas in Cairo P Neutral
K Carmouche
B G Dunham
 20/1
11
★★★★☆
65.2
  
6 Shades of Jade P Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
P Antonacci
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
65.2
  
3 Sporting Lady —
J Castellano
K Brion
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
63.6
 Longshot
7 Quiet Confidence —
J Lezcano
J T Ryerson
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
63.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Obstreperous
S Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M V Simone
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.9
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Queen Martina
E Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
W I Mott
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse
8
River Seine
EP Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M Nevin
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse
2
Kuwaitya
EP Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M Arenas
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.7
Post · Horse
1
Xmas in Cairo
P Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
B G Dunham
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
6
Shades of Jade
P Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
P Antonacci
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Sporting Lady
—
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
K Brion
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse
7
Quiet Confidence
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
J T Ryerson
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:49 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexfillies
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For maiden fillies two years old
Storyline
Six first-time starters challenge two proven fillies in this six-furlong sprint, where #5 Mysticious seeks to build on a runner-up finish that produced a 70 speed figure at Belmont. The central conflict is whether experience wins the day against well-bred Chad Brown debutante #4 Limiting Factor.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 26.1%
Price horse: Tia Melanie (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Mysticious E —
E J Zayas
R Brisset
 3/1
26
★★★☆☆
56.6
 Top Pick
2 Tia Melanie —
S Marin
M Clement
 5/2
23
★★★☆☆
55.6
 Value Play
4 Limiting Factor —
F Prat
C C Brown
 9/2
15
★★★☆☆
52.0
  
6 Funkadelic —
M Franco
W I Mott
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
47.6
  
9 C'Mon Over Valerie —
J Lezcano
W I Mott
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.6
  
8 Little Mo Better —
A Fresu
M A Hennig
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.4
  
3 Good Vintage —
R Santana, Jr.
A J Green
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.4
  
7 Delta Breeze —
K Carmouche
M Giangiulio
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.8
 Longshot
1 Rags to Roses —
R Maragh
C Baker
 20/1
3
★★☆☆☆
39.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Mysticious
E —
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
R Brisset
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.6
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Tia Melanie
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M Clement
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse
4
Limiting Factor
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.0
Post · Horse
6
Funkadelic
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
W I Mott
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
Post · Horse
9
C'Mon Over Valerie
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
W I Mott
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.6
Post · Horse
8
Little Mo Better
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M A Hennig
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.4
Post · Horse
3
Good Vintage
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
A J Green
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.4
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Delta Breeze
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M Giangiulio
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.8
Post · Horse
1
Rags to Roses
—
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
C Baker
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $175,000
Purse$175,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:23 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexfillies and mares
AllowanceNon-winners of a graded stakes
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For fillies and mares three years old and upward. Non-winners of a graded stakes
Storyline
The first of two $175,000 turf features centers on Chad Brown trainee #7 Oversubscribed, who returns from a spring layoff boasting back-to-back speed figures of 100 and 97. The question is whether she can fire off the bench against race-fit California invader #5 Spirited Boss, who recorded triple-digit figures at Santa Anita earlier this year.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
5
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Spirited Boss should break on top. #3 Epic Style drops to the back. 512487963
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Spirited Boss sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 514287963
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Spirited Boss is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 514879623

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.8%
Price horse: Spirited Boss (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Oversubscribed P Neutral
F Prat
C C Brown
 5/2
23
★★★★☆
77.9
 Top Pick
5 Spirited Boss E Fits
M Franco
J F D'Angelo
 8/1
17
★★★★☆
75.2
 Value Play
1 Cupids Crush EP Fits
J A Hernandez
M Robertson
 12/1
13
★★★★☆
73.1
 Longshot
3 Epic Style S Misfit
A Fresu
M Stidham
 7/2
10
★★★★☆
71.3
  
2 Somnium —
R Santana, Jr.
E M Merryman
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
70.7
  
6 Fast Market P Neutral
S Marin
J P Terranova II
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
69.8
  
9 Wind Flower P Neutral
J Lezcano
W I Mott
 3/1
8
★★★★☆
69.1
  
4 Civetta P Neutral
J Castellano
B P Walsh
 10/1
6
★★★★☆
66.5
  
8 New Rose P Neutral
U Rispoli
J M Antonucci
 30/1
4
★★★★☆
63.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Oversubscribed
P Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.9
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Spirited Boss
E Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.2
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Cupids Crush
EP Fits
Jockey
J A Hernandez
Trainer
M Robertson
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.1
Post · Horse
3
Epic Style
S Misfit
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M Stidham
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.3
Post · Horse
2
Somnium
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
E M Merryman
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.7
Post · Horse
6
Fast Market
P Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J P Terranova II
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse
9
Wind Flower
P Neutral
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
W I Mott
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
4
Civetta
P Neutral
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
B P Walsh
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse
8
New Rose
P Neutral
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
J M Antonucci
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #3 Dr Ruben M, #5 Rome's Conquest.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Two Ra
Purse$105,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:57 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitywhich have never won two races or state-bred allowance
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For horses which have never won two races or state-bred allowance
Storyline
Six furlongs on the main track features a clash between the seasoned #7 Village Person, who ran consecutive 88 speed figures in Virginia, and #6 Nash Potatoes, who arrives on a two-race winning streak with an 89 figure at Belmont. The race hinges on whether #7 Village Person can work out a trip from the outside post to deny #6 Nash Potatoes an easy front-running trip.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
2
P
2
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Rome's Conquest and #3 Dr Ruben M go for the lead together. #8 Mo the Merrier drops to the back. 53417268
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Rome's Conquest and #3 Dr Ruben M keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 53417682
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Oil Capital is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #6 Nash Potatoes, #4 Emphasis and #7 Village Person. Tiring: #5 Rome's Conquest and #3 Dr Ruben M. 16478532

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.5%
Price horse: Nash Potatoes (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Village Person EP Neutral
K Carmouche
S Klesaris
 8/1
18
★★★★☆
69.5
 Top Pick
6 Nash Potatoes P Fits
M Franco
S I Schauer
 5/1
18
★★★★☆
69.1
 Value Play
3 Dr Ruben M E Misfit
A Fresu
D F O'Neill
 7/2
17
★★★★☆
68.9
  
1 Oil Capital —
J Lezcano
L Rice
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
66.9
  
2 Bogus Operandi —
F Prat
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 4/1
11
★★★★☆
65.0
  
5 Rome's Conquest E Misfit
S Marin
J G Arnett
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
64.9
 Longshot
8 Mo the Merrier P Fits
D Davis
M Miceli
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
61.5
  
4 Emphasis EP Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
T A Pletcher
 9/2
4
★★★☆☆
56.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Village Person
EP Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
S Klesaris
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Nash Potatoes
P Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
S I Schauer
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
3
Dr Ruben M
E Misfit
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
D F O'Neill
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.9
Post · Horse
1
Oil Capital
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse
2
Bogus Operandi
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Rome's Conquest
E Misfit
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J G Arnett
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse
8
Mo the Merrier
P Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M Miceli
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse
4
Emphasis
EP Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T A Pletcher
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Only one horse wants the lead. It should get an easy trip up front. Wants the lead: #1 Harmonique.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Two Ra
Purse$105,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:31 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Eligibilitywhich have never won two races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward which have never won two races
Storyline
A wide-open one-mile allowance centers on #6 Scarlett's Halo, who drops into easier company after posting figures of 86 and 91 against tough out-of-town fields. The key question is whether she can reel in #2 Adrian, an impressive wire-to-wire winner over the track on October 9 who earned an 85 speed figure.
Pace shape Lone Speed
E
1
EP
0
P
5
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Lone Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Harmonique is the only one who wants the lead and should get it easily. #4 Gridlock and #10 Minnesota Munny drop to the back. 15827936104
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Harmonique is loose on the lead with nobody pressing. 15827396104
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Harmonique is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 15827361094

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.6%
Price horse: Adrian (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Scarlett's Halo P Neutral
F Prat
C C Brown
 6/1
17
★★★★☆
72.0
 Top Pick
2 Adrian P Neutral
M Franco
L Rice
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
70.9
 Value Play
10 Minnesota Munny P Neutral
J Lezcano
L Rice
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
70.5
 Longshot
3 Jadorlinija P Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
M Clement
 2/1
12
★★★★☆
69.0
  
7 Street View P Neutral
S Marin
S I Schauer
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
68.8
  
4 Gridlock S Misfit
J Castellano
M V Simone
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
67.7
  
5 Next On Stage —
C Elliott
F Abreu
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
64.9
  
8 Higher Force —
K Carmouche
J Sharp
 10/1
6
★★★★☆
63.8
  
1 Harmonique E Fits
A Fresu
N D Drysdale
 10/1
5
★★★★☆
62.4
  
9 Sparkling Mama —
R Silvera
D L Schettino
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
57.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Scarlett's Halo
P Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.0
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Adrian
P Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.9
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Minnesota Munny
P Neutral
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse
3
Jadorlinija
P Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M Clement
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse
7
Street View
P Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
S I Schauer
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
Post · Horse
4
Gridlock
S Misfit
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M V Simone
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
5
Next On Stage
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
F Abreu
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse
8
Higher Force
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J Sharp
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse
1
Harmonique
E Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
N D Drysdale
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse
9
Sparkling Mama
—
Jockey
R Silvera
Trainer
D L Schettino
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $175,000
Purse$175,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:05 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
AllowanceNon-winners of a graded stakes
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward. Non-winners of a graded stakes
Storyline
The $175,000 turf stakes at seven furlongs brings California stakes winner #8 Gratefully back from a summer freshening following a massive 110 speed figure at Santa Anita. The decisive question is whether she returns at full strength to hold off in-form rivals #3 Little Jamie and #7 Love Cervere.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
3
P
3
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Little Jamie should break on top. #6 Ashikidah and #7 Love Cervere drop to the back. 38925110476
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 38952141076
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Little Jamie is still in front. Moving forward: #5 Spinning Colors, #1 Capturing and #4 Jody's Pride. Tiring: #9 Abientot. 35819421076

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.2%
Price horse: Little Jamie (12/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Gratefully EP Fits
U Rispoli
R N Falcone, Jr.
 4/1
16
★★★★☆
76.2
 Top Pick
3 Little Jamie EP Fits
S Marin
S A Joseph, Jr.
 12/1
14
★★★★☆
74.9
 Value Play
7 Love Cervere S Neutral
M Franco
M Clement
 5/2
12
★★★★☆
73.7
  
1 Capturing P Neutral
F Prat
T A Pletcher
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
73.1
  
6 Ashikidah S Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
P Antonacci
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
72.9
 Longshot
2 Vive Veuve —
K Carmouche
J Sharp
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
72.4
  
10 Table Flirt —
J Lezcano
W I Mott
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
71.1
  
9 Abientot EP Fits
D Davis
M E Casse
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
69.6
  
5 Spinning Colors P Neutral
J Castellano
M A Hennig
 20/1
5
★★★★☆
66.2
  
4 Jody's Pride P Neutral
E J Zayas
J R Abreu
 6/1
4
★★★★☆
63.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Gratefully
EP Fits
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
R N Falcone, Jr.
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.2
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Little Jamie
EP Fits
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.9
Post · Horse
7
Love Cervere
S Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M Clement
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.7
Post · Horse
1
Capturing
P Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
T A Pletcher
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.1
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Ashikidah
S Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
P Antonacci
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.9
Post · Horse
2
Vive Veuve
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J Sharp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.4
Post · Horse
10
Table Flirt
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
W I Mott
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
Post · Horse
9
Abientot
EP Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M E Casse
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.6
Post · Horse
5
Spinning Colors
P Neutral
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M A Hennig
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
4
Jody's Pride
P Neutral
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
J R Abreu
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #5 Vauntingly, #11 Tulip.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $200,000
Purse$200,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/8 Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time5:38 PM ET
Field Size13
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The $200,000 feature is a wide-open nine-furlong turf event where Irish import #5 Vauntingly makes her North American debut for trainer Joseph O'Brien. The central tension is whether her European class translates immediately over local stakes performers #7 Crossover Capital and #11 Tulip.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
3
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Vauntingly and #11 Tulip go for the lead together. #9 Ivy Girl and #8 Bohemian drop to the back. 51164210731121389
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Vauntingly and #11 Tulip keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 51164210173812139
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Miss Fulton Gal has taken over in front. Moving forward: #8 Bohemian and #9 Ivy Girl. Tiring: #5 Vauntingly and #11 Tulip. 14682107931312511

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 16.8%
Price horse: Crossover Capital (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Vauntingly E Misfit
A Fresu
J P O'Brien
 4/1
17
★★★★☆
75.5
 Top Pick
7 Crossover Capital —
F Prat
C C Brown
 3/1
15
★★★★☆
74.5
 Value Play
2 Bless Her EP Neutral
M Franco
H G Motion
 7/2
11
★★★★☆
71.6
  
11 Tulip E Misfit
S Marin
W Walden
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
71.0
 Longshot
8 Bohemian P Fits
U Rispoli
J Sharp
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
70.2
  
3 Americathegreat —
J Castellano
M E Casse
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
69.5
  
4 Queen of Hawaii —
J Ruiz
P Antonacci
 9/2
7
★★★★☆
67.6
  
10 Silly Season EP Neutral
S Marin
C C Brown
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
67.2
  
12 Paula's Choice —
K Carmouche
J Sharp
 20/1
4
★★★★☆
64.0
  
1 Miss Fulton Gal P Fits
D Davis
M E Gorham
 20/1
4
★★★★☆
63.5
  
13 That's How We Love —
R Santana, Jr.
P Antonacci
 8/1
3
★★★★☆
61.8
  
6 Cosmic Candy Girl EP Neutral
C Elliott
J T Ryerson
 30/1
3
★★★★☆
60.9
  
9 Ivy Girl S Fits
R Santana, Jr.
A J Green
 30/1
3
★★★★☆
60.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Vauntingly
E Misfit
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
J P O'Brien
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.5
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Crossover Capital
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.5
Post · Horse
2
Bless Her
EP Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
H G Motion
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.6
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Tulip
E Misfit
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
W Walden
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse
8
Bohemian
P Fits
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
J Sharp
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.2
Post · Horse
3
Americathegreat
—
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M E Casse
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
4
Queen of Hawaii
—
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
P Antonacci
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse
10
Silly Season
EP Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
C C Brown
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.2
Post · Horse
12
Paula's Choice
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J Sharp
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
1
Miss Fulton Gal
P Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M E Gorham
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse
13
That's How We Love
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
P Antonacci
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse
6
Cosmic Candy Girl
EP Neutral
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
J T Ryerson
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
Post · Horse
9
Ivy Girl
S Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
A J Green
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 13-horse field.
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