Curated Betting Card

Belmont Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 5.

2026-10-24 Race 5 Morning Card
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This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Belmont Park · full board
Strongest play
R3
Munnings Express #3
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
River Tay #3
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R11
12 runners
12
Pace shape
R1
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
Belmont Park presents a premier 11-race card highlighted by an array of competitive turf routes and high-purse state-bred stakes. Favorites appear standout in Race 3 with Munnings Express and Race 4 with Grazie, offering reliable anchors in the early sequences. The second half of the card shifts into deep, contested handicap and stakes fields where turf sprinters and two-turn dirt routers provide attractive mid-priced value opportunities.
Races 11 Status Live View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #5 Midnightloveaffair, #8 So Sophia.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $55,000 Or Less Or Which Have Started In A Maiden Auction Race
Purse$75,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:05 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Trainer Brad Cox cuts #6 Bella Knows back to six and a half furlongs on the turf after two even fourth-place efforts at Saratoga. The race hinges on whether #4 Cravings can convert her sharp dirt form and runner-up finish over this track into turf sprint success against seasoned turf types.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
5
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Midnightloveaffair and #8 So Sophia go for the lead together. #6 Bella Knows and #3 River Tay drop to the back. 582149736
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Midnightloveaffair and #8 So Sophia keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 582149736
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Hauntress has taken over in front. Moving forward: #1 Voluntary, #4 Cravings and #9 Samartina. Tiring: #5 Midnightloveaffair and #8 So Sophia. 214937658

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 28.3%
Price horse: Cravings (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Bella Knows S Fits
M Franco
B H Cox
 2/1
28
★★★★☆
69.8
 Top Pick
4 Cravings EP Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
S I Schauer
 5/1
17
★★★★☆
65.5
 Value Play
5 Midnightloveaffair E Misfit
A Fresu
B N Levine
 3/1
13
★★★★☆
63.4
  
1 Voluntary EP Neutral
K Carmouche
M R Matz
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
62.0
  
7 Oklahoma Smoke EP Neutral
F Prat
J R Abreu
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
62.0
  
3 River Tay P Fits
D Davis
B R Brown
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
58.5
 Longshot
9 Samartina EP Neutral
J Lezcano
R S Lerman
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.2
  
8 So Sophia E Misfit
K Davis
A Arriaga
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
50.9
  
2 Hauntress EP Neutral
D A Rivera
A Arriaga
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
45.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Bella Knows
S Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
B H Cox
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Cravings
EP Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
S I Schauer
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
5
Midnightloveaffair
E Misfit
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
B N Levine
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse
1
Voluntary
EP Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M R Matz
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.0
Post · Horse
7
Oklahoma Smoke
EP Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
J R Abreu
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.0
Post · Horse Longshot
3
River Tay
P Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
B R Brown
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
9
Samartina
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
R S Lerman
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.2
Post · Horse
8
So Sophia
E Misfit
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
A Arriaga
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse
2
Hauntress
EP Neutral
Jockey
D A Rivera
Trainer
A Arriaga
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens allowed 2 Lbs
Purse$200,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:38 PM ET
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Chad Brown trainee #3 Cash Burn broke her maiden at first asking at Saratoga and stretches out to a mile off a two-month freshening. She faces a stern stretch-out test from #4 Sun Kissed Bliss, who has posted two straight wins and brings sharp local training form.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 28.6%
Price horse: Sun Kissed Bliss (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Cash Burn —
F Prat
C C Brown
 2/1
29
★★★★☆
62.6
 Top Pick
4 Sun Kissed Bliss —
K Carmouche
J Sharp
 5/2
26
★★★★☆
61.8
 Value Play
5 B Yutiful Carly —
R Santana, Jr.
H De Paz
 9/5
19
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
1 Davidson —
M Franco
C R McGaughey III
 9/2
16
★★★☆☆
57.6
  
2 Fantasy Fortune —
E J Zayas
J T Ryerson
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.6
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Cash Burn
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C C Brown
29
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Sun Kissed Bliss
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J Sharp
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse
5
B Yutiful Carly
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
H De Paz
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
1
Davidson
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.6
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Fantasy Fortune
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
J T Ryerson
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #3 Munnings Express, #5 Venetta.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $200,000
Purse$200,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:11 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Linda Rice sends out heavy hitter #3 Munnings Express in this $200,000 sprint, where his high-end figures stand out against six rivals. The main hurdle will be keeping tabs on #5 Venetta, an efficient three-time winner who worked five furlongs in a blistering 59.60 on October 16.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
2
P
1
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Munnings Express and #5 Venetta go for the lead together. #6 Kay Cup drops to the back. 351246
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Munnings Express and #5 Venetta keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 351246
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Queens Cat is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #2 Celtic Dawn, #4 Sunday Girl and #6 Kay Cup. Tiring: #3 Munnings Express and #5 Venetta. 124635

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 40.7%
Price horse: Venetta (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Munnings Express E Misfit
M Franco
L Rice
 1/1
41
★★★★☆
78.6
 Top Pick
5 Venetta E Misfit
F Prat
D Gargan
 5/2
21
★★★★☆
72.8
 Value Play
6 Kay Cup P Fits
R Santana, Jr.
J R Abreu
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
68.5
  
2 Celtic Dawn EP Neutral
A Fresu
C F Martin
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
67.8
 Longshot
4 Sunday Girl EP Neutral
K Davis
D P Duggan
 9/2
8
★★★★☆
64.2
  
1 Queens Cat —
N Alvarado
L K Dixon
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
64.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Munnings Express
E Misfit
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
41
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.6
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Venetta
E Misfit
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
D Gargan
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.8
Post · Horse
6
Kay Cup
P Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
J R Abreu
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Celtic Dawn
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
C F Martin
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse
4
Sunday Girl
EP Neutral
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
D P Duggan
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
1
Queens Cat
—
Jockey
N Alvarado
Trainer
L K Dixon
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $250,000
Purse$250,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/8 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:44 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Todd Pletcher sends out #4 Grazie in search of a third consecutive victory after pairing speed figures of 91 and 89 in route company. Her principal challenger is #3 Valtellina, who arrives off back-to-back dominant wins with figures of 94 and 95.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
2
P
2
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Bernietakescharge should break on top. 245361
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 245361
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Bernietakescharge is still in front. Moving forward: #3 Valtellina and #6 Racing Colors. 234561

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 33.5%
Price horse: Valtellina (8/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Grazie EP Fits
F Prat
T A Pletcher
 7/5
34
★★★★☆
77.0
 Top Pick
3 Valtellina P Neutral
D Davis
R Handal
 8/5
24
★★★★☆
74.0
 Value Play
2 Bernietakescharge E Neutral
K Carmouche
D L Schettino
 2/1
19
★★★★☆
72.1
  
1 Boxed Wine —
R Santana, Jr.
L Rice
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
65.8
 Longshot
5 Iron Orchard EP Fits
M Franco
S M Asmussen
 3/1
9
★★★★☆
65.8
  
6 Racing Colors P Neutral
H K Harkie
N C Follett
 30/1
6
★★★★☆
62.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Grazie
EP Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
T A Pletcher
34
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.0
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Valtellina
P Neutral
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Handal
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.0
Post · Horse
2
Bernietakescharge
E Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
D L Schettino
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.1
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Boxed Wine
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
L Rice
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
5
Iron Orchard
EP Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
S M Asmussen
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
6
Racing Colors
P Neutral
Jockey
H K Harkie
Trainer
N C Follett
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $200,000
Purse$200,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/8 Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time2:17 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A select field of six turf routers square off in this nine-furlong stakes, where #6 George Briggs, #1 Sounds Like a Plan, and #3 Spirit of St Louis all shared a high speed figure of 115 when finishing closely together at Saratoga on August 28. The trip and pace shape will determine who gets first jump in the stretch run.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
3
P
0
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Sounds Like a Plan, #2 Funny Factor and #4 Annexperience all go for the lead. #5 Chummers and #3 Spirit of St Louis drop to the back. 124635
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 124635
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Sounds Like a Plan is still in front. Moving forward: #6 George Briggs, #3 Spirit of St Louis and #5 Chummers. 124635

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 28.0%
Price horse: Sounds Like a Plan (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 George Briggs S Neutral
F Prat
M Clement
 2/1
28
★★★★☆
79.8
 Top Pick
1 Sounds Like a Plan EP Fits
R Santana, Jr.
H De Paz
 3/1
28
★★★★☆
79.8
 Value Play
3 Spirit of St Louis S Neutral
M Franco
C C Brown
 9/5
25
★★★★☆
79.0
  
2 Funny Factor EP Fits
K Carmouche
C J Englehart
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
71.2
 Longshot
4 Annexperience EP Fits
J Alvarado
J C Englehart
 10/1
5
★★★★☆
64.4
  
5 Chummers S Neutral
D Davis
R Handal
 6/1
4
★★★★☆
63.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
George Briggs
S Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M Clement
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.8
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Sounds Like a Plan
EP Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
H De Paz
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.8
Post · Horse
3
Spirit of St Louis
S Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.0
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Funny Factor
EP Fits
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
C J Englehart
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.2
Post · Horse
4
Annexperience
EP Fits
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
J C Englehart
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.4
Post · Horse
5
Chummers
S Neutral
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Handal
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #4 Boston's Phinest, #6 Latest Edition.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $200,000
Purse$200,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:50 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Wesley Ward speedster #3 Shoot It True seeks to translate her brilliant early pace to Belmont's turf course after posting consecutive graded-caliber speed figures of 107 and 104 earlier this season. She must avoid a duel with late-running turf sprint specialist #9 Annascaul, who is unexposed and dangerous for Christophe Clement.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
1
S
4

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Latest Edition should break on top. #3 Shoot It True and #1 Sweet Brown Sugar drop to the back. 645297813
  2. Middle around the turn #6 Latest Edition and #4 Boston's Phinest keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 645927813
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #9 Annascaul has taken over in front. Moving forward: #5 Highway Harmony, #7 Kaz Farm Girl and #8 Fairy Godmother. Tiring: #6 Latest Edition and #4 Boston's Phinest. 957821634

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 25.5%
Price horse: Annascaul (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Shoot It True S Fits
A Fresu
W A Ward
 1/1
26
★★★★☆
77.4
 Top Pick
9 Annascaul P Fits
F Prat
M Clement
 6/1
16
★★★★☆
73.5
 Value Play
4 Boston's Phinest E Misfit
M Franco
B R Brown
 10/1
15
★★★★☆
72.7
 Longshot
5 Highway Harmony EP Neutral
E J Zayas
A J Green
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
71.1
  
1 Sweet Brown Sugar S Fits
J Alvarado
R Atras
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
69.2
  
2 Silsbee —
K Carmouche
G Weaver
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
69.1
  
8 Fairy Godmother S Fits
D Davis
R Handal
 15/1
5
★★★★☆
63.3
  
6 Latest Edition E Misfit
M Fernandez
E Hernandez
 50/1
4
★★★★☆
62.6
  
7 Kaz Farm Girl S Fits
D Haddock
D K Synnefias
 50/1
3
★★★☆☆
58.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Shoot It True
S Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
W A Ward
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.4
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Annascaul
P Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M Clement
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.5
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Boston's Phinest
E Misfit
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
B R Brown
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.7
Post · Horse
5
Highway Harmony
EP Neutral
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
A J Green
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
Post · Horse
1
Sweet Brown Sugar
S Fits
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
R Atras
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.2
Post · Horse
2
Silsbee
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
G Weaver
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
8
Fairy Godmother
S Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Handal
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse
6
Latest Edition
E Misfit
Jockey
M Fernandez
Trainer
E Hernandez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
7
Kaz Farm Girl
S Fits
Jockey
D Haddock
Trainer
D K Synnefias
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens allowed 2 Lbs
Purse$200,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:23 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Brad Cox unleashes well-regarded three-year-old #5 Hammerin Henry against a competitive one-mile allowance group. The chief question is whether he can topple seasoned dirt rivals #4 Professor Plum, who worked a bullet 47.00 on October 18, and #1 Scramjet, who recorded back-to-back winning figures of 83 and 91 at Saratoga.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.7%
Price horse: Professor Plum (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Hammerin Henry E —
S Marin
B H Cox
 8/1
21
★★★★☆
67.9
 Top Pick
4 Professor Plum —
M Franco
H De Paz
 5/2
18
★★★★☆
66.6
 Value Play
1 Scramjet —
K Carmouche
L Rice
 8/5
15
★★★★☆
65.2
  
6 Inalienable —
R Santana, Jr.
C C Brown
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
64.2
  
3 Covered Option —
A Fresu
L Bartkowski
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
62.9
 Longshot
2 Fullcup P —
J Alvarado
R Mott
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
61.5
  
7 Big Handsome —
F Prat
J R Abreu
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
60.5
  
8 Midnight Raider —
C Elliott
M E Friedman
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
52.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Hammerin Henry
E —
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
B H Cox
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Professor Plum
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
H De Paz
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
Post · Horse
1
Scramjet
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
L Rice
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
6
Inalienable
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
C C Brown
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Covered Option
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
L Bartkowski
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
2
Fullcup
P —
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
R Mott
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse
7
Big Handsome
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
J R Abreu
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
8
Midnight Raider
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
M E Friedman
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #5 Factually Correct, #3 Hit the Post.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $200,000
Purse$200,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:56 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Linda Rice holds a powerful hand in this six-and-a-half furlong stakes with #8 Sacrosanct and #6 Acoustic Ave, both possessing figures in the upper 90s. The major test will be handling #9 Sculcos Folly, who has finished first or second in all four career starts and attracts Flavien Prat.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
4
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Hit the Post and #5 Factually Correct go for the lead together. #7 The Wine Steward and #6 Acoustic Ave drop to the back. 352918467
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Hit the Post and #5 Factually Correct keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 352918467
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Buttah has taken over in front. Moving forward: #8 Sacrosanct, #4 Caldo Candy and #6 Acoustic Ave. Tiring: #3 Hit the Post and #5 Factually Correct. 184296735

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.9%
Price horse: Sculcos Folly (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Sacrosanct P Fits
M Franco
L Rice
 3/1
19
★★★★☆
78.4
 Top Pick
9 Sculcos Folly —
F Prat
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 4/1
17
★★★★☆
77.5
 Value Play
6 Acoustic Ave P Fits
J Lezcano
L Rice
 6/1
13
★★★★☆
75.3
  
5 Factually Correct E Misfit
E J Zayas
R Samsundar
 20/1
10
★★★★☆
73.4
  
2 El Grande O —
A Fresu
I Kantarmaci
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
73.4
  
4 Caldo Candy P Fits
S Marin
J R Abreu
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
72.7
 Longshot
1 Buttah P Fits
R Santana, Jr.
I Kantarmaci
 5/2
10
★★★★☆
72.6
  
7 The Wine Steward S Fits
K Carmouche
M J Maker
 12/1
6
★★★★☆
68.1
  
3 Hit the Post E Misfit
C Elliott
M Giddings
 15/1
5
★★★★☆
67.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Sacrosanct
P Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.4
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Sculcos Folly
—
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.5
Post · Horse
6
Acoustic Ave
P Fits
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.3
Post · Horse
5
Factually Correct
E Misfit
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
R Samsundar
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.4
Post · Horse
2
El Grande O
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.4
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Caldo Candy
P Fits
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J R Abreu
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.7
Post · Horse
1
Buttah
P Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.6
Post · Horse
7
The Wine Steward
S Fits
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M J Maker
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
Post · Horse
3
Hit the Post
E Misfit
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
M Giddings
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $200,000
Purse$200,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:29 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Trainer Horacio De Paz brings #3 Twenty Six Black into this six-furlong turf sprint after running triple-digit speed figures of 100, 102, and 100 in his last three outings. He faces an immediate rematch with #2 Waralo, who edged him by three lengths with a 103 figure on October 1 over this lawn.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
3
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Truman's Commander should break on top. #6 Bosun and #1 Out On Bail drop to the back. 72483516
  2. Middle around the turn #7 Truman's Commander sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 72483516
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Truman's Commander is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 72483516

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.0%
Price horse: Waralo (7/5 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Twenty Six Black P Neutral
M Franco
H De Paz
 2/1
24
★★★★☆
77.7
 Top Pick
2 Waralo EP Fits
J Lezcano
C J Englehart
 7/5
22
★★★★☆
76.9
 Value Play
4 Dakota Country —
A Fresu
M J Maker
 12/1
13
★★★★☆
72.4
  
6 Bosun S Misfit
K Carmouche
J Sharp
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
71.9
  
8 Senbei P Neutral
F Prat
M Clement
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
71.4
 Longshot
5 Bold Journey P Neutral
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 5/1
7
★★★★☆
67.6
  
1 Out On Bail S Misfit
R Santana, Jr.
M J Maker
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
65.6
  
7 Truman's Commander E Fits
E J Zayas
M E Casse
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
64.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Twenty Six Black
P Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
H De Paz
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.7
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Waralo
EP Fits
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
C J Englehart
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.9
Post · Horse
4
Dakota Country
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M J Maker
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.4
Post · Horse
6
Bosun
S Misfit
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J Sharp
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.9
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Senbei
P Neutral
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M Clement
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse
5
Bold Journey
P Neutral
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse
1
Out On Bail
S Misfit
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M J Maker
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.6
Post · Horse
7
Truman's Commander
E Fits
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
M E Casse
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #10 Tricky Business, #5 Leon Blue.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $250,000
Purse$250,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/8 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:02 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Linda Rice saddles #6 Bank Frenzy off a brief layoff in this $250,000 nine-furlong stakes feature. He must hold off #8 Wynstock, who captured two straight races at Saratoga during the summer and shows a bullet-like string of 48.25 half-mile workouts.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
1
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Leon Blue and #10 Tricky Business go for the lead together. #9 Doc Sullivan and #2 Ez Roll drop to the back. 51061873429
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Leon Blue and #10 Tricky Business keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 51061873429
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Bank Frenzy is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #3 Alan Turing, #4 Pandagate and #2 Ez Roll. Tiring: #5 Leon Blue and #10 Tricky Business. 61384729510

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.2%
Price horse: Wynstock (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Bank Frenzy —
M Franco
L Rice
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
76.8
 Top Pick
8 Wynstock —
K Carmouche
J Sharp
 7/2
13
★★★★☆
75.7
 Value Play
9 Doc Sullivan S Fits
S Marin
A J Green
 4/1
13
★★★★☆
75.3
  
4 Pandagate S Fits
D Davis
M Clement
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
75.1
  
2 Ez Roll S Fits
J A Vargas, Jr.
R Handal
 15/1
12
★★★★☆
74.9
  
7 Iron Dome —
R Santana, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 5/1
10
★★★★☆
73.3
  
10 Tricky Business E Misfit
F Prat
G Weaver
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
71.1
 Longshot
3 Alan Turing P Fits
J Alvarado
P J Quick
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
70.9
  
1 Donegal Surges —
J Lezcano
T A Pletcher
 8/1
5
★★★★☆
66.7
  
5 Leon Blue E Misfit
A Fresu
M Giddings
 20/1
5
★★★★☆
66.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Bank Frenzy
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.8
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Wynstock
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J Sharp
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.7
Post · Horse
9
Doc Sullivan
S Fits
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
A J Green
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.3
Post · Horse
4
Pandagate
S Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M Clement
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.1
Post · Horse
2
Ez Roll
S Fits
Jockey
J A Vargas, Jr.
Trainer
R Handal
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.9
Post · Horse
7
Iron Dome
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.3
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Tricky Business
E Misfit
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
G Weaver
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
Post · Horse
3
Alan Turing
P Fits
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
P J Quick
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.9
Post · Horse
1
Donegal Surges
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
T A Pletcher
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
5
Leon Blue
E Misfit
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M Giddings
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 11

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes winners (in order I, II, III), Graded Stakes placed runners (in order I,
Purse$200,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/8 Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time5:35 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A sprawling 12-horse turf marathon concludes the card, where Mike Maker's #9 Gallant Greta steps up after a stakes win at Remington Park. She faces Kenny McPeek's #4 Midnight Concerto, who won two straight allowance races at Saratoga and drew favorably inside.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
3
P
3
S
4

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Being Betty should break on top. #3 Sail With the Wind and #10 National Archive drop to the back. 719825116412103
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 719821156412103
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Being Betty is still in front. Moving forward: #2 Awesome Czech, #11 Starship Pegasus and #6 Bobby M's Girl. Tiring: #8 Nonna Lynne. 719211864123105

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 15.5%
Price horse: Midnight Concerto (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Gallant Greta EP Fits
F Prat
M J Maker
 4/1
16
★★★★☆
75.8
 Top Pick
4 Midnight Concerto S Neutral
M Franco
K G McPeek
 3/1
15
★★★★☆
75.3
 Value Play
2 Awesome Czech P Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
H De Paz
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
73.7
  
3 Sail With the Wind S Neutral
J Alvarado
J C Englehart
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
73.3
 Longshot
10 National Archive S Neutral
S Marin
M Clement
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
72.7
  
8 Nonna Lynne EP Fits
D Davis
C C Brown
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
72.0
  
7 Being Betty E Neutral
A Fresu
L Bartkowski
 7/2
7
★★★★☆
69.2
  
1 Spinning Colors EP Fits
J Lezcano
M A Hennig
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
67.0
  
11 Starship Pegasus P Neutral
K Carmouche
M Nevin
 20/1
4
★★★★☆
64.3
  
5 Victory Hall —
R Gutierrez
T Morley
 30/1
3
★★★★☆
62.1
  
12 Considerate City S Neutral
C Elliott
J W Ferraro
 30/1
3
★★★★☆
61.4
  
6 Bobby M's Girl P Neutral
E J Zayas
D P Duggan
 30/1
3
★★★★☆
61.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Gallant Greta
EP Fits
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M J Maker
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.8
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Midnight Concerto
S Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
K G McPeek
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.3
Post · Horse
2
Awesome Czech
P Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
H De Paz
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.7
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Sail With the Wind
S Neutral
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
J C Englehart
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.3
Post · Horse
10
National Archive
S Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M Clement
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.7
Post · Horse
8
Nonna Lynne
EP Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
C C Brown
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.0
Post · Horse
7
Being Betty
E Neutral
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
L Bartkowski
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.2
Post · Horse
1
Spinning Colors
EP Fits
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
M A Hennig
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
11
Starship Pegasus
P Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
M Nevin
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse
5
Victory Hall
—
Jockey
R Gutierrez
Trainer
T Morley
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
12
Considerate City
S Neutral
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
J W Ferraro
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.4
Post · Horse
6
Bobby M's Girl
P Neutral
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
D P Duggan
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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