Curated Betting Card

Belmont Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 1.

2026-10-29 Race 1 Morning Card
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This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Belmont Park · full board
Strongest play
R5
Bounce Back #3
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Mambo Wishes #3
15/1 ML
Deepest field
R5
12 runners
12
Pace shape
R3
Fast Pace
3 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
Belmont Park presents an eight-race program featuring competitive state-bred maiden affairs on the dirt and contentious turf sprints and routes. The feature races showcase clear-cut turf contenders in #3 Calvin's Ride (Race 2) and juvenile filly #3 Bounce Back (Race 5), both of whom bring superior recent speed figures into their respective spots. Value hunters should look to capitalize on under-the-radar prices in the turf sprints, where horses like #1 Final Denile and #7 Solaia offer enticing prices against lukewarm favorites. The card concludes with a chaotic 12-horse juvenile turf route where exercising strict bankroll discipline and demanding board value is the recommended approach.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward Foaled In New York State And Approved By The
Purse$49,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:10 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The opener at one mile on dirt hinges on whether #6 D C Boy's can run back to his competitive 65 speed figure from September while stretching out, or if consistent underneath runner #1 Kings Landyn finally breaks through after posting figures of 68, 65, and 61 in consecutive maiden starts.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.1%
Price horse: Kings Landyn (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 D C Boy's S —
R Santana, Jr.
M J Maker
 2/1
23
★★★☆☆
55.8
 Top Pick
1 Kings Landyn —
C Elliott
M Miceli
 4/1
23
★★★☆☆
55.7
 Value Play
7 Mo Curls P —
J Lezcano
R R Rodriguez
 5/2
16
★★★☆☆
52.6
  
5 True Adirondacker —
E J Zayas
W Potts
 5/1
12
★★★☆☆
50.1
  
2 Aggression —
M Franco
I Kantarmaci
 4/1
10
★★★☆☆
48.7
  
3 Mambo Wishes —
R Gutierrez
L L Lugovich
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
47.6
 Longshot
4 Nickerson —
P Pena
F Abreu
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
D C Boy's
S —
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M J Maker
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Kings Landyn
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
M Miceli
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.7
Post · Horse
7
Mo Curls
P —
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
Post · Horse
5
True Adirondacker
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
W Potts
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
2
Aggression
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.7
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Mambo Wishes
—
Jockey
R Gutierrez
Trainer
L L Lugovich
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
Post · Horse
4
Nickerson
—
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
F Abreu
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$105,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:41 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Turf router #3 Calvin's Ride brings top-tier 96 and 90 speed figures into this starter allowance, but must negotiate 1 1/16 miles against #1 Final Denile, who exits a strong 93 speed figure at Belmont and saves ground from the rail.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
3
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Crescendo's Rein should break on top. #5 Oat Coutour and #1 Final Denile drop to the back. 439287615
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Crescendo's Rein sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 439287615
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 Crescendo's Rein is still in front. Moving forward: #1 Final Denile. 439281657

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 26.9%
Price horse: Final Denile (10/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Calvin's Ride —
M Franco
K Rice
 7/2
27
★★★★☆
73.7
 Top Pick
1 Final Denile S Neutral
S Marin
H De Paz
 10/1
16
★★★★☆
69.1
 Value Play
4 Crescendo's Rein E Fits
K Carmouche
C Baker
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
67.5
  
8 Sammy C Note P Neutral
A Fresu
M Miceli
 3/1
11
★★★★☆
66.4
  
6 Sir Oscar P Neutral
J Castellano
G Weaver
 6/1
7
★★★★☆
62.7
  
5 Oat Coutour S Neutral
J Lezcano
C J Englehart
 6/1
7
★★★★☆
62.1
  
2 Stormy Birthday P Neutral
P Pena
R Ribaudo
 8/1
6
★★★★☆
61.5
 Longshot
9 Six Fortyfive EP Fits
D Davis
M Dini
 12/1
6
★★★★☆
61.5
  
7 Ohonte's Own —
R Santana, Jr.
T Morley
 12/1
6
★★★★☆
61.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Calvin's Ride
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
K Rice
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.7
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Final Denile
S Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
H De Paz
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
4
Crescendo's Rein
E Fits
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
C Baker
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse
8
Sammy C Note
P Neutral
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M Miceli
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.4
Post · Horse
6
Sir Oscar
P Neutral
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
G Weaver
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
5
Oat Coutour
S Neutral
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
C J Englehart
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Stormy Birthday
P Neutral
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
R Ribaudo
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse
9
Six Fortyfive
EP Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M Dini
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse
7
Ohonte's Own
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T Morley
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #3 Kolomio, #2 Sara's Shaman, #4 Chief Liam.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance Optional Claiming
Purse$52,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:12 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A compact field of six two-turn dirt runners features #6 Expensive Cut wheeling back on seven days' rest following a 76 speed figure, facing #3 Kolomio, who boasts a blistering 47.00 bullet half-mile workout and an edge in back-class.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
0
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Sara's Shaman, #3 Kolomio and #4 Chief Liam all go for the lead. #5 Golden Ice drops to the back. 234615
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Sara's Shaman, #3 Kolomio and #4 Chief Liam keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 234615
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Expensive Cut has taken over in front. Moving forward: #5 Golden Ice and #1 Quick to Accuse. Tiring: #2 Sara's Shaman, #4 Chief Liam and #3 Kolomio. 651243

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.4%
Price horse: Kolomio (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Expensive Cut P Fits
M Franco
I Kantarmaci
 6/1
22
★★★★☆
70.6
 Top Pick
3 Kolomio E Misfit
K Carmouche
C Baker
 5/1
22
★★★★☆
70.5
 Value Play
1 Quick to Accuse P Fits
R Santana, Jr.
F Abreu
 8/5
20
★★★★☆
69.7
  
5 Golden Ice S Fits
F Martinez
B J Dunn
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
67.0
 Longshot
2 Sara's Shaman E Misfit
S Gonzalez
M Kantarmaci
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
66.6
  
4 Chief Liam E Misfit
J Castellano
K G McPeek
 3/1
6
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Expensive Cut
P Fits
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Kolomio
E Misfit
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
C Baker
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse
1
Quick to Accuse
P Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
F Abreu
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Golden Ice
S Fits
Jockey
F Martinez
Trainer
B J Dunn
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
2
Sara's Shaman
E Misfit
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
M Kantarmaci
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
Post · Horse
4
Chief Liam
E Misfit
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
K G McPeek
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$59,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time2:43 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Speedy maiden #11 Empress New Groove breaks from the far outside post trying to clear a crowded 11-horse field, but faces an intriguing test from Ward trainee #1 Akademy Lady, who returns with steady works after racing overseas.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
3
P
3
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Oath should break on top. #4 Badiane and #9 Saint Tropez drop to the back. 3182111057694
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 3182111057694
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Akademy Lady is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #7 Solaia and #4 Badiane. 1382117105694

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 25.7%
Price horse: Akademy Lady (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
11 Empress New Groove EP Fits
P Lopez
S A Joseph, Jr.
 7/2
26
★★★★☆
61.3
 Top Pick
1 Akademy Lady —
A Fresu
W A Ward
 9/2
22
★★★★☆
60.1
 Value Play
9 Saint Tropez P Neutral
M Franco
P Antonacci
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
53.9
  
7 Solaia P Neutral
C Elliott
R Atras
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.3
 Longshot
8 Amended Dreamer —
E J Zayas
J M Antonucci
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
50.6
  
4 Badiane S Neutral
S Marin
C C Brown
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
49.6
  
6 Magnum's Microbrst P Neutral
K Carmouche
D G Donk
 9/2
6
★★★☆☆
48.8
  
3 Oath E Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
L Rice
 6/1
5
★★★☆☆
48.0
  
5 Ilenas Kaz Way —
P Pena
S I Schauer
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
44.9
  
2 Tres Leches EP Fits
J Lezcano
C J Englehart
 15/1
2
★★★☆☆
41.6
  
10 One Bad Habit EP Fits
C Gonzalez
R Keithan
 50/1
2
★★☆☆☆
38.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
11
Empress New Groove
EP Fits
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Akademy Lady
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
W A Ward
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse
9
Saint Tropez
P Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
P Antonacci
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.9
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Solaia
P Neutral
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
R Atras
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
8
Amended Dreamer
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
J M Antonucci
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.6
Post · Horse
4
Badiane
S Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
C C Brown
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.6
Post · Horse
6
Magnum's Microbrst
P Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
D G Donk
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
Post · Horse
3
Oath
E Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
L Rice
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.0
Post · Horse
5
Ilenas Kaz Way
—
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
S I Schauer
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.9
Post · Horse
2
Tres Leches
EP Fits
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
C J Englehart
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.6
Post · Horse
10
One Bad Habit
EP Fits
Jockey
C Gonzalez
Trainer
R Keithan
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:14 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Juvenile filly #3 Bounce Back stands out on paper off runner-up finishes with speed figures of 88 and 76, but must prove she can finish off seven furlongs against #12 Mariska, who ran an 81 figure on debut.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 36.4%
Price horse: Mariska (12/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Bounce Back —
A Fresu
M E Casse
 9/5
36
★★★★☆
63.8
 Top Pick
12 Mariska —
K Carmouche
R R Rodriguez
 12/1
12
★★★☆☆
54.4
 Value Play
5 Attachment —
R Santana, Jr.
G Weaver
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
53.4
 Longshot
6 Numerology —
S Marin
H G Motion
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
51.7
  
2 Peaceably —
D Davis
M J Trombetta
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
49.4
  
9 My One Regret —
P Lopez
C Summers
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
49.2
  
7 Time Is Sweet —
M Franco
C C Brown
 4/1
5
★★★☆☆
46.3
  
8 Critiquer —
J Castellano
R Ribaudo
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
43.9
  
10 Ms Liu —
E J Zayas
J M Antonucci
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
42.8
  
4 Amphibious —
J Lezcano
C R McGaughey III
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
42.8
  
1 Bonne Nuit —
C Elliott
G Weaver
 12/1
3
★★★☆☆
42.0
  
11 Keshi —
K Davis
W I Mott
 20/1
2
★★☆☆☆
38.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Bounce Back
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M E Casse
36
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse Value Play
12
Mariska
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Attachment
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
G Weaver
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.4
Post · Horse
6
Numerology
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
H G Motion
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
2
Peaceably
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
M J Trombetta
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
Post · Horse
9
My One Regret
—
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
C Summers
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
Post · Horse
7
Time Is Sweet
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
C C Brown
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.3
Post · Horse
8
Critiquer
—
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
R Ribaudo
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
10
Ms Liu
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
J M Antonucci
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.8
Post · Horse
4
Amphibious
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.8
Post · Horse
1
Bonne Nuit
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
G Weaver
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.0
Post · Horse
11
Keshi
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
W I Mott
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old Foaled In New York State And Approved By The New
Purse$56,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:45 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A wide-open state-bred juvenile dirt sprint features #9 Dry Drastic seeking a breakthrough after a pair of placings, but #2 Risky Mission has the pedigree and early foot from an inside gate to wire this field if she rebounds to her Saratoga form.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.2%
Price horse: Risky Mission (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Dry Drastic —
K Carmouche
G Rodriguez
 5/2
17
★★★☆☆
48.7
 Top Pick
2 Risky Mission E —
M Franco
R R Rodriguez
 7/2
17
★★★☆☆
48.5
 Value Play
5 Snapper Time —
S Marin
J T Ryerson
 12/1
12
★★★☆☆
45.4
  
3 Underwood —
C Elliott
T A Hills
 9/2
11
★★★☆☆
45.0
  
8 Maybe Yes Maybe No —
J Lezcano
D S Ryan
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
44.0
 Longshot
7 She Said So —
R Maragh
J Duarte, Jr.
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
43.2
  
1 Jackpot Judy —
P Pena
W Potts
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
42.9
  
6 Broccoli Rabe —
A Fresu
C F Martin
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
42.6
  
4 Call Me Rosie —
R Bowen
O Noda
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
41.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Dry Drastic
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
G Rodriguez
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.7
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Risky Mission
E —
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.5
Post · Horse
5
Snapper Time
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J T Ryerson
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.4
Post · Horse
3
Underwood
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
T A Hills
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.0
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Maybe Yes Maybe No
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
D S Ryan
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.0
Post · Horse
7
She Said So
—
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
J Duarte, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.2
Post · Horse
1
Jackpot Judy
—
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
W Potts
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.9
Post · Horse
6
Broccoli Rabe
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
C F Martin
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.6
Post · Horse
4
Call Me Rosie
—
Jockey
R Bowen
Trainer
O Noda
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Two Ra
Purse$105,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time4:16 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Speed will be on display at 5 1/2 furlongs as #1 Money Makes Money breaks from the rail off consecutive figures of 89 and 87, but must resist late pressure from Clement trainee #3 Grunge, who owns a 90 speed figure at Saratoga.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
2
P
3
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Disparate Impact should break on top. #5 Pivotal Moment and #3 Grunge drop to the back. 42617835
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 42617835
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 Disparate Impact is still in front. Moving forward: #1 Money Makes Money, #7 Run Curtis Run and #8 The Pauly Factor. 42617835

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.2%
Price horse: Grunge (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Money Makes Money P Neutral
K Carmouche
R Diodoro
 5/1
21
★★★★☆
70.6
 Top Pick
3 Grunge S Neutral
M Franco
M Clement
 5/2
18
★★★★☆
69.4
 Value Play
5 Pivotal Moment S Neutral
S Marin
M Clement
 3/1
17
★★★★☆
68.6
  
2 Capanaparo EP Fits
P Lopez
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
66.3
 Longshot
6 Antares EP Fits
R Santana, Jr.
M J Maker
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
66.0
  
7 Run Curtis Run P Neutral
C Elliott
F Abreu
 4/1
10
★★★★☆
63.8
  
4 Disparate Impact E Neutral
J Lezcano
M Arenas
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
62.3
  
8 The Pauly Factor P Neutral
R Bowen
W D Gayle
 30/1
1
★★★☆☆
46.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Money Makes Money
P Neutral
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
R Diodoro
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Grunge
S Neutral
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
M Clement
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse
5
Pivotal Moment
S Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M Clement
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Capanaparo
EP Fits
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
6
Antares
EP Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M J Maker
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse
7
Run Curtis Run
P Neutral
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
F Abreu
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse
4
Disparate Impact
E Neutral
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
M Arenas
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
Post · Horse
8
The Pauly Factor
P Neutral
Jockey
R Bowen
Trainer
W D Gayle
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old Foaled In New York State And Approved By The New York Sta
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:47 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The finale is a 12-horse state-bred maiden turf route where #9 Jordan the Caddy seeks to build on an encouraging 74 speed figure on debut, while #11 Challenge Me looks to improve off a solid 70 speed figure.
PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 21.1%
Price horse: Challenge Me (10/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Jordan the Caddy —
M Franco
L Rice
 3/1
21
★★★☆☆
56.9
 Top Pick
11 Challenge Me —
A Fresu
B R Brown
 10/1
12
★★★☆☆
52.1
 Value Play
5 Nystateofmind —
J Castellano
G Weaver
 4/1
11
★★★☆☆
51.4
  
10 Farmer Jim —
J Lezcano
W I Mott
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
50.9
  
4 Neptuneroad Richie EP —
D Davis
T A Hills
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
50.6
  
3 Bet On Zion —
P Pena
R R Rodriguez
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
47.6
  
12 Max Cap —
S Marin
M E Casse
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.8
  
2 Arawak —
R Santana, Jr.
M J Maker
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.1
 Longshot
6 Leftus —
C Elliott
T Morley
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
45.3
  
1 Blue Monster —
K Carmouche
J S Pregman, Jr.
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.9
  
8 Charge the Mound —
E J Zayas
W I Mott
 8/1
3
★★☆☆☆
40.0
  
7 Adhiraj —
R Bowen
K Raven
 30/1
3
★★☆☆☆
39.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Jordan the Caddy
—
Jockey
M Franco
Trainer
L Rice
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.9
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Challenge Me
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
B R Brown
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
Post · Horse
5
Nystateofmind
—
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
G Weaver
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse
10
Farmer Jim
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
W I Mott
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse
4
Neptuneroad Richie
EP —
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
T A Hills
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.6
Post · Horse
3
Bet On Zion
—
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
Post · Horse
12
Max Cap
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M E Casse
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.8
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Arawak
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M J Maker
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
Post · Horse
6
Leftus
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
T Morley
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.3
Post · Horse
1
Blue Monster
—
Jockey
K Carmouche
Trainer
J S Pregman, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
8
Charge the Mound
—
Jockey
E J Zayas
Trainer
W I Mott
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 40.0
Post · Horse
7
Adhiraj
—
Jockey
R Bowen
Trainer
K Raven
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro