Curated Betting Card

Belmont Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 9.

2026-10-30 Race 9 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Belmont Park · full board
Strongest play
R1
Outlaw Man #2
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Sir Duke #5
8/5 ML
Deepest field
R9
14 runners
14
Pace shape
R8
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
A packed ten-race program at Belmont Park offers high-level turf handicapping alongside sharp maiden and allowance dirt sprints. The afternoon feature comes in Race 6 with the $175,000 turf stakes, where graded-class competitor Grayosh holds a distinct form and speed edge over a solid group of turf routers. Bettors will find the strongest straight-wager opportunities in Race 1 with heavy favorite Outlaw Man and in Race 4 with juvenile standout Goodproblemtohave, while wide-open turf fields in Races 2, 9, and 10 demand tactical exactas targeted at double-digit longshots.
Races 10 Status Live View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time11:40 AM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The opener revolves entirely around post 2 Outlaw Man, who towers over this compact maiden group on speed ratings but must negotiate seven furlongs first off the bench for the Joseph barn. If the favorite falters under pressure, post 5 Sir Duke enters with proven local dirt form and recent speed figures of 76 and 75 that make him a live alternative.
PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 57.7%
Price horse: Originality (2/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Outlaw Man —
V Cheminaud
S A Joseph, Jr.
 5/1
58
★★★★☆
70.3
 Top Pick
6 Originality —
J Lezcano
T A Pletcher
 2/1
13
★★★☆☆
57.8
 Value Play
5 Sir Duke EP —
S Marin
I Kantarmaci
 8/5
12
★★★☆☆
57.1
 Longshot
3 Legal Gambit —
R Santana, Jr.
C C Brown
 3/1
11
★★★☆☆
56.3
  
4 Enticed Master —
F Villa Pino
E E Jones
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
1 Jack Riley —
D Davis
R Handal
 8/1
2
★★★☆☆
43.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Outlaw Man
—
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
58
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.3
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Originality
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
T A Pletcher
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Sir Duke
EP —
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse
3
Legal Gambit
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
C C Brown
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse
4
Enticed Master
—
Jockey
F Villa Pino
Trainer
E E Jones
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
1
Jack Riley
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Handal
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #5 Counter Move, #1 Tacticality, #7 Pineland.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $55,000 Or Less Or Which Have Started In A Maiden Auction Race
Purse$75,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:15 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A contentious ten-horse turf sprint hinges on whether #5 Counter Move can replicate his sharp local victory from September 24 where he recorded a 90 speed figure. He faces stiff early pressure from inside speed #1 Tacticality and class-dropper #8 Bridle a Butterfly stretching out from Saratoga sprints.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
0
P
4
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Catch a Tiger, #1 Tacticality and #5 Counter Move all go for the lead. #9 Neigh Baby and #10 Razorcat drop to the back. 41578632109
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Catch a Tiger, #1 Tacticality and #5 Counter Move keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 41578632109
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Tall Paul has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Hamilton's Way, #2 Moment's Notice and #10 Razorcat. Tiring: #4 Catch a Tiger, #1 Tacticality and #5 Counter Move. 63821094157

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.3%
Price horse: Bridle a Butterfly (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Counter Move E Misfit
S Marin
G Weaver
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
65.0
 Top Pick
8 Bridle a Butterfly —
L R Rivera, Jr.
B H Cox
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
64.0
 Value Play
9 Neigh Baby S Fits
A Cruz
J C Englehart
 10/1
13
★★★★☆
64.0
 Longshot
2 Moment's Notice P Fits
J Rodriguez
J Sharp
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
63.1
  
1 Tacticality E Misfit
A Fresu
R R Rodriguez
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
62.9
  
7 Pineland E Misfit
C Elliott
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 4/1
11
★★★★☆
62.7
  
3 Hamilton's Way P Fits
R Santana, Jr.
M J Maker
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
62.5
  
6 Tall Paul P Fits
J Lezcano
J P Terranova II
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.2
  
10 Razorcat P Fits
D Davis
L Schultz
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
4 Catch a Tiger E Misfit
K Davis
N P Zito
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Counter Move
E Misfit
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
G Weaver
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Bridle a Butterfly
—
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Neigh Baby
S Fits
Jockey
A Cruz
Trainer
J C Englehart
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
2
Moment's Notice
P Fits
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
J Sharp
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
1
Tacticality
E Misfit
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
7
Pineland
E Misfit
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
3
Hamilton's Way
P Fits
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M J Maker
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse
6
Tall Paul
P Fits
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
J P Terranova II
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.2
Post · Horse
10
Razorcat
P Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
L Schultz
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
4
Catch a Tiger
E Misfit
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
N P Zito
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward Foaled In New York State A
Purse$49,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:50 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
New York-bred maiden fillies clash at six furlongs where #5 Sparks Will Fly aims to break through after a game runner-up finish on October 9, but must hold off Wesley Ward first-time starter #7 Pink Carats who has trained steadily for this unveiling.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 27.0%
Price horse: Pink Carats (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Sparks Will Fly P —
J Lezcano
L Rice
 2/1
27
★★★☆☆
52.2
 Top Pick
7 Pink Carats —
A Fresu
W A Ward
 5/2
16
★★★☆☆
48.1
 Value Play
6 Quell —
R Santana, Jr.
R Ribaudo
 4/1
14
★★★☆☆
46.6
  
4 Adroit P —
R Maragh
J W Ferraro
 20/1
12
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
2 Our Sweet Harpie —
P Pena
S Klesaris
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
44.8
  
3 Tiffany's Gem —
S Marin
H Bond
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
43.7
 Longshot
8 Fire Baton
C Elliott
J T Ryerson
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
40.8
  
1 Angie's Angel —
K Davis
J W Ferraro
 30/1
2
★★☆☆☆
30.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Sparks Will Fly
P —
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
L Rice
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.2
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Pink Carats
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
W A Ward
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.1
Post · Horse
6
Quell
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
R Ribaudo
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.6
Post · Horse
4
Adroit
P —
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
J W Ferraro
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
2
Our Sweet Harpie
—
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
S Klesaris
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Tiffany's Gem
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
H Bond
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.7
Post · Horse
8
Fire Baton
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
J T Ryerson
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.8
Post · Horse
1
Angie's Angel
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
J W Ferraro
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 30.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old Which Have Sold Or Rna'd For $65,000 Or Less In T
Purse$80,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:25 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Juvenile auction fillies sprint six and a half furlongs in an eight-horse scramble where #7 Goodproblemtohave brings proven Belmont form and a field-topping 75 summer figure, while Mark Casse trainee #5 Quoted looks to rebound after faltering at Saratoga.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 26.0%
Price horse: Quoted (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Goodproblemtohave —
J Rodriguez
A J Green
 7/2
26
★★★☆☆
55.4
 Top Pick
5 Quoted —
S Marin
M E Casse
 9/2
16
★★★☆☆
51.1
 Value Play
4 Hot Night
A Fresu
M J Trombetta
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
49.5
 Longshot
3 Scottish Brittany —
D Davis
J R Abreu
 5/2
13
★★★☆☆
49.4
  
6 Quiet Storm —
R Maragh
J M Antonucci
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
48.4
  
2 Buzzer Beater —
R Santana, Jr.
I Kantarmaci
 5/1
10
★★★☆☆
47.1
  
8 Vekoma Dream —
L R Rivera, Jr.
C Summers
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
43.8
  
1 My Beauty Queen —
P Pena
J M Jimenez
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
40.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Goodproblemtohave
—
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
A J Green
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Quoted
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M E Casse
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Hot Night
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M J Trombetta
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.5
Post · Horse
3
Scottish Brittany
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
J R Abreu
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
Post · Horse
6
Quiet Storm
—
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
J M Antonucci
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.4
Post · Horse
2
Buzzer Beater
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
I Kantarmaci
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.1
Post · Horse
8
Vekoma Dream
—
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
C Summers
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.8
Post · Horse
1
My Beauty Queen
—
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
J M Jimenez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old Foaled In New York State And Approved By The New
Purse$56,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:00 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A field of nine New York-bred juvenile fillies stretch out to a route of ground on the grass, where debutante #4 Say Wallahi Bro lands in a prime spot for Chad Brown against #1 Fire Angel, who drops in class and adds distance after three tough Saratoga sprints.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.0%
Price horse: Fire Angel (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Say Wallahi Bro —
S Marin
C C Brown
 3/1
22
★★★☆☆
47.6
 Top Pick
1 Fire Angel —
A Fresu
G Weaver
 6/1
16
★★★☆☆
45.1
 Value Play
2 Double Max —
R Santana, Jr.
M Clement
 7/2
16
★★★☆☆
44.8
  
9 Luna Dancer EP —
D Davis
J B Begg
 4/1
11
★★★☆☆
41.5
  
5 Mass Confusion —
J Rodriguez
A J Green
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
40.8
 Longshot
6 Surprise Audit —
L R Rivera, Jr.
J P Terranova II
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
40.7
  
3 Early and Often —
J Lezcano
M A Hennig
 8/1
8
★★☆☆☆
38.6
  
7 Freshly Minted P —
C Elliott
R R Rodriguez
 15/1
4
★★☆☆☆
33.0
  
8 Cyber Baby —
C Gonzalez
M Clement
 12/1
3
★★☆☆☆
31.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Say Wallahi Bro
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
C C Brown
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Fire Angel
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
G Weaver
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.1
Post · Horse
2
Double Max
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M Clement
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
Post · Horse
9
Luna Dancer
EP —
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
J B Begg
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.5
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Mass Confusion
—
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
A J Green
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.8
Post · Horse
6
Surprise Audit
—
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
J P Terranova II
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.7
Post · Horse
3
Early and Often
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
M A Hennig
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.6
Post · Horse
7
Freshly Minted
P —
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
R R Rodriguez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 33.0
Post · Horse
8
Cyber Baby
—
Jockey
C Gonzalez
Trainer
M Clement
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 31.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES Purse $175,000
Purse$175,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/8 Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time2:35 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The afternoon's $175,000 stakes feature at nine furlongs turns on whether #7 Grayosh can overcome his outside post and translate his graded-stakes class and triple-digit Saratoga figures against a formidable front-runner in #1 Storm Miami.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
2
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Grayosh should break on top. #3 Ontario drops to the back. 7645123
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 7654123
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Storm Miami has taken over in front. Moving forward: #2 Mischief in Motion and #3 Ontario. Tiring: #6 Princess Attitude, #7 Grayosh and #4 Starship Athena. 1256743

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 27.0%
Price horse: Storm Miami (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Grayosh E Neutral
S Marin
C C Brown
 5/2
27
★★★★☆
76.5
 Top Pick
1 Storm Miami P Neutral
J Rodriguez
A J Green
 3/1
18
★★★★☆
73.1
 Value Play
5 Miwa —
R Santana, Jr.
J Sharp
 7/2
14
★★★★☆
71.1
  
6 Princess Attitude EP Fits
A Fresu
V H Oliver
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
68.9
 Longshot
2 Mischief in Motion P Neutral
A Cruz
M J Trombetta
 4/1
11
★★★★☆
68.8
  
3 Ontario S Neutral
D Davis
J Sharp
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
67.9
  
4 Starship Athena EP Fits
J Lezcano
M Nevin
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
66.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Grayosh
E Neutral
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
C C Brown
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.5
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Storm Miami
P Neutral
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
A J Green
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.1
Post · Horse
5
Miwa
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Princess Attitude
EP Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
V H Oliver
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.9
Post · Horse
2
Mischief in Motion
P Neutral
Jockey
A Cruz
Trainer
M J Trombetta
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
Post · Horse
3
Ontario
S Neutral
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
J Sharp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse
4
Starship Athena
EP Fits
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
M Nevin
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:15 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Ten two-year-old maidens assemble for a six-furlong sprint where European import #5 Abersoch makes his stateside debut on dirt against Pletcher second-timer #7 Donegal Luster, who exits a solid third-place run at Belmont with a 64 speed figure.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.0%
Price horse: Donegal Luster (8/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Abersoch —
A Fresu
D Beckman
 10/1
15
★★★☆☆
49.5
 Top Pick
7 Donegal Luster —
R Santana, Jr.
T A Pletcher
 8/5
13
★★★☆☆
48.2
 Value Play
3 Bubble Market —
S Marin
G Weaver
 4/1
11
★★★☆☆
46.9
  
1 Rufus the Red —
D Davis
T Morley
 12/1
11
★★★☆☆
46.7
 Longshot
10 First to Engage —
K Davis
B Tagg
 5/1
11
★★★☆☆
46.6
  
2 Bellissimo d'Oro P —
V Cheminaud
N P Zito
 20/1
9
★★★☆☆
44.8
  
6 Call Attendant EP —
R Maragh
T Morley
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.5
  
4 Hundreds —
J Rodriguez
J P Terranova II
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.0
  
9 Supreme Verdict —
J Lezcano
W I Mott
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
43.9
  
8 Like a Rock —
C Elliott
K G McPeek
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
43.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Abersoch
—
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
D Beckman
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.5
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Donegal Luster
—
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T A Pletcher
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.2
Post · Horse
3
Bubble Market
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
G Weaver
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.9
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Rufus the Red
—
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
T Morley
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.7
Post · Horse
10
First to Engage
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
B Tagg
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.6
Post · Horse
2
Bellissimo d'Oro
P —
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
N P Zito
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
Post · Horse
6
Call Attendant
EP —
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
T Morley
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.5
Post · Horse
4
Hundreds
—
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
J P Terranova II
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.0
Post · Horse
9
Supreme Verdict
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
W I Mott
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
8
Like a Rock
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
K G McPeek
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #3 Salvation, #4 Luz de Guia.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $55,000 Or Less Or Which Have Started In A Maiden Auction Race
Purse$75,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:55 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A competitive eleven-horse one-mile dirt claimer sees #3 Salvation look to confirm his local victory from October 8 where he earned an 88 speed figure, but he must hold off #2 Sequential, who finished right behind him that afternoon earning a 91 figure.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
3
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Salvation and #4 Luz de Guia go for the lead together. #2 Sequential and #1 Freaky drop to the back. 3411857910612
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Salvation and #4 Luz de Guia keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 3411879105162
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 First Call Bob is in front, running an even pace. Moving forward: #1 Freaky, #7 Into the Light and #9 First Blessing. Tiring: #11 Art Fair, #3 Salvation and #4 Luz de Guia. 8179101125634

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 13.4%
Price horse: Sequential (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Salvation E Misfit
R Santana, Jr.
M Kantarmaci
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
66.2
 Top Pick
2 Sequential S Fits
L R Rivera, Jr.
O Noda
 5/2
13
★★★★☆
65.8
 Value Play
7 Into the Light P Fits
A Fresu
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 10/1
12
★★★★☆
65.1
 Longshot
11 Art Fair EP Neutral
V Cheminaud
H De Paz
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
65.0
  
1 Freaky S Fits
D Davis
R Handal
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
64.8
  
4 Luz de Guia E Misfit
R Maragh
N P Zito
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
62.7
  
5 Tapwrits Temper —
C Elliott
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
62.5
  
9 First Blessing P Fits
P Pena
J M Jimenez
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
60.8
  
8 First Call Bob —
K Davis
E J DeLauro
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
59.7
  
10 Swiss Army Knife P Fits
J Rodriguez
R Metivier
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
56.7
  
6 Holding Power —
S Marin
J C Englehart
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
54.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Salvation
E Misfit
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
M Kantarmaci
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Sequential
S Fits
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
O Noda
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Into the Light
P Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse
11
Art Fair
EP Neutral
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
H De Paz
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
1
Freaky
S Fits
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
R Handal
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse
4
Luz de Guia
E Misfit
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
N P Zito
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
5
Tapwrits Temper
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse
9
First Blessing
P Fits
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
J M Jimenez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse
8
First Call Bob
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
E J DeLauro
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse
10
Swiss Army Knife
P Fits
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
R Metivier
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
Post · Horse
6
Holding Power
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J C Englehart
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #12 Di Natale, #6 Come to Mama, #13 Viable Asset.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Two Ra
Purse$105,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time4:35 PM ET
Field Size14
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A massive 14-horse turf sprint features European import #2 Yaupon de Replay making his US debut for Saffie Joseph Jr. against ultra-consistent turf sprinter #12 Di Natale, who has hit the board in four straight starts with speed figures up to 93.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
3
P
2
S
4

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #13 Viable Asset, #7 One Last Knock and #6 Come to Mama all go for the lead. #11 Aporia and #1 Only for Now drop to the back. 1376122958141043111
  2. Middle around the turn #13 Viable Asset, #7 One Last Knock and #6 Come to Mama keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 1376122958141043111
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 Queen Juno has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Mezcal Mama, #1 Only for Now and #11 Aporia. Tiring: #9 Vajra, #5 Bette Davis Eyes and #13 Viable Asset. 4311121014985136712

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 18.5%
Price horse: Di Natale (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Yaupon de Replay EP Neutral
V Cheminaud
S A Joseph, Jr.
 6/1
18
★★★★☆
69.7
 Top Pick
12 Di Natale E Misfit
D Davis
W A Ward
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
66.3
 Value Play
11 Aporia S Fits
S Marin
M Clement
 7/2
9
★★★★☆
63.9
  
6 Come to Mama E Misfit
J Lezcano
S White
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
62.1
 Longshot
13 Viable Asset E Misfit
C Elliott
F Abreu
 5/1
7
★★★★☆
61.7
  
8 One More Guitar —
K Davis
T F Proctor
 20/1
6
★★★★☆
60.5
  
9 Vajra EP Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
R Brisset
 5/1
6
★★★☆☆
59.9
  
10 Code P Fits
A Cruz
T A Pletcher
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
59.5
  
4 Queen Juno S Fits
J Rodriguez
J Sharp
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
59.3
  
7 One Last Knock E Misfit
C Elliott
K Brion
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
1 Only for Now S Fits
A Fresu
M Clement
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
58.9
  
3 Mezcal Mama S Fits
R Maragh
J Duarte, Jr.
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
58.1
  
14 Best Girl Magic P Fits
R Maragh
J Duarte, Jr.
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
5 Bette Davis Eyes EP Neutral
L R Rivera, Jr.
N D Drysdale
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
54.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Yaupon de Replay
EP Neutral
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse Value Play
12
Di Natale
E Misfit
Jockey
D Davis
Trainer
W A Ward
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
11
Aporia
S Fits
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M Clement
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.9
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Come to Mama
E Misfit
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
S White
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
13
Viable Asset
E Misfit
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
F Abreu
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
Post · Horse
8
One More Guitar
—
Jockey
K Davis
Trainer
T F Proctor
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
9
Vajra
EP Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
R Brisset
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
10
Code
P Fits
Jockey
A Cruz
Trainer
T A Pletcher
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
4
Queen Juno
S Fits
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
J Sharp
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
Post · Horse
7
One Last Knock
E Misfit
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
K Brion
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
1
Only for Now
S Fits
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M Clement
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.9
Post · Horse
3
Mezcal Mama
S Fits
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
J Duarte, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
Post · Horse
14
Best Girl Magic
P Fits
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
J Duarte, Jr.
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
5
Bette Davis Eyes
EP Neutral
Jockey
L R Rivera, Jr.
Trainer
N D Drysdale
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge. No true front-runner here; the lone presser is likely to inherit the lead.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:15 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The finale sends eleven two-year-olds seven furlongs over the turf, where European import #5 A I Nation tests US maiden company for Nick Zito against experienced local maiden #9 River of Deceit, who exits two solid runner-up finishes with speed figures of 78 and 81.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
0
EP
1
P
4
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Captain Cody should break on top. 1451092367811
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Captain Cody sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 1451092367811
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Captain Cody is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 1451092367811

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.1%
Price horse: River of Deceit (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 A I Nation P Neutral
V Cheminaud
N P Zito
 15/1
23
★★★☆☆
57.4
 Top Pick
9 River of Deceit P Neutral
R Santana, Jr.
T Morley
 3/1
22
★★★☆☆
57.1
 Value Play
1 Captain Cody EP Fits
A Adorno
J C Servis
 4/1
15
★★★☆☆
53.7
  
4 And the Runner Is P Neutral
A Fresu
M E Casse
 9/5
11
★★★☆☆
51.2
  
10 Nodin P Neutral
R Bowen
O S Barrera III
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.8
 Longshot
7 Special Warfare —
S Marin
C R McGaughey III
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.8
  
8 Momentary Star —
J Rodriguez
K G McPeek
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.7
  
11 Zodiac Warrior —
C Elliott
J T Ryerson
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.0
  
3 Mambo Jazz —
P Pena
J Gutierrez-Herrera
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.3
  
2 Squadron —
J Lezcano
W I Mott
 12/1
3
★★★☆☆
40.6
  
6 I'm America —
R Maragh
J M Antonucci
 20/1
2
★★☆☆☆
37.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
A I Nation
P Neutral
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
N P Zito
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
Post · Horse Value Play
9
River of Deceit
P Neutral
Jockey
R Santana, Jr.
Trainer
T Morley
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse
1
Captain Cody
EP Fits
Jockey
A Adorno
Trainer
J C Servis
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.7
Post · Horse
4
And the Runner Is
P Neutral
Jockey
A Fresu
Trainer
M E Casse
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.2
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Nodin
P Neutral
Jockey
R Bowen
Trainer
O S Barrera III
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.8
Post · Horse
7
Special Warfare
—
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
Post · Horse
8
Momentary Star
—
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
K G McPeek
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.7
Post · Horse
11
Zodiac Warrior
—
Jockey
C Elliott
Trainer
J T Ryerson
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.0
Post · Horse
3
Mambo Jazz
—
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
J Gutierrez-Herrera
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.3
Post · Horse
2
Squadron
—
Jockey
J Lezcano
Trainer
W I Mott
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.6
Post · Horse
6
I'm America
—
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
J M Antonucci
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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