Curated Betting Card

Churchill Downs

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 4.

2026-06-27 Race 4 Completed
View Verified Recap for this Card
Card signals
Churchill Downs · full board
Strongest play
R7
Splendora #1
Top conf.
Best value
R7
In Just My Heels
20/1 ML
Best longshot
R2
Civic Charm #7
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R1
16 runners
16
Pace race
R2
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Churchill Downs features a full card heavy on maiden races and stakes events. Several fields look wide open with tight ratings, favoring small-stakes exacta and trifecta coverage over straight bets. Standout angles appear in race 1 where Powerline stands clear and in later stakes where longshot value surfaces underneath favorites. Everyday players should focus on workout sharpness and recent speed figures when building tickets.
Races 12 Status Completed View Live
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A maiden special weight sprint for two-year-olds at six furlongs. The field is large and most runners lack prior starts, so recent workouts and trainer patterns will decide the outcome.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 13.1%
Price horse: Antivenom (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
11 Powerline
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 8/5
16
★★★★☆
69.0
 Top Pick
2 Bet On Silver
J Rosario
B P Walsh
 20/1
13
★★★★☆
66.5
  
5 Antivenom
J Castellano
M E Casse
 5/1
7
★★★☆☆
56.9
 Value Play
7 Arminius
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
55.7
 Longshot
3 Salahudin
F Prat
B Baffert
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
55.6
  
12 Celtic Mo
L Saez
E Kenneally
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
53.2
  
16 Cactus Closer
M Garcia
D L Romans
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
53.0
  
4 Twinkle Town
F Geroux
K G McPeek
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.2
  
1 Motivated Mensch
R Bejarano
J P DiVito
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.0
  
10 Conroy
B J Hernandez, Jr.
G R Arnold II
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.0
  
9 Caribbean Warrior
I Ortiz, Jr.
J Sharp
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.0
  
13 Charlie's Clock
A Cedillo
P Miller
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.9
  
15 Eight Hundred
A Calleja
J Hamilton
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.6
  
8 Merit Badge
B Curtis
A M Meah
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.6
  
14 Authentic Gold
E A Roman
P H Lobo
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.0
  
6 Bourbon Byte
C A Torres
I R Wilkes
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
48.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
11
Powerline
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse
2
Bet On Silver
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
B P Walsh
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Antivenom
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M E Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.9
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Arminius
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.7
Post · Horse
3
Salahudin
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B Baffert
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse
12
Celtic Mo
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
E Kenneally
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
Post · Horse
16
Cactus Closer
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
D L Romans
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse
4
Twinkle Town
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
K G McPeek
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.2
Post · Horse
1
Motivated Mensch
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
J P DiVito
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse
10
Conroy
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
G R Arnold II
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
9
Caribbean Warrior
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
13
Charlie's Clock
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
P Miller
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.9
Post · Horse
15
Eight Hundred
Jockey
A Calleja
Trainer
J Hamilton
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.6
Post · Horse
8
Merit Badge
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
A M Meah
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.6
Post · Horse
14
Authentic Gold
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
P H Lobo
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.0
Post · Horse
6
Bourbon Byte
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
I R Wilkes
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A maiden special weight at a mile and a sixteenth. The field is wide open with several runners showing recent starts at Churchill.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.0%
Price horse: Nomolimbo (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Direct Strike
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 7/5
16
★★★★☆
71.1
 Top Pick
10 Our Forefathers
J Rosario
P Eurton
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
69.8
  
9 Money Man
C A Torres
D G Heath
 20/1
12
★★★★☆
68.0
  
7 Civic Charm
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
67.0
 Longshot
1 El Tio
J A Torres
R Medina
 30/1
9
★★★★☆
63.7
  
8 Sassmaster
F Prat
A J Sciametta, Jr.
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
63.7
  
6 Your Wildest Dream
L Saez
N W Casse
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
60.6
  
3 Nomolimbo
J Castellano
D Miller
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
60.5
 Value Play
4 Preside
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 7/2
8
★★★★☆
60.5
  
2 Delancey Street
T Gaffalione
N W Casse
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
52.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Direct Strike
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
Post · Horse
10
Our Forefathers
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
P Eurton
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse
9
Money Man
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
D G Heath
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.0
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Civic Charm
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
1
El Tio
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Medina
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse
8
Sassmaster
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
A J Sciametta, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse
6
Your Wildest Dream
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
N W Casse
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.6
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Nomolimbo
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
D Miller
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
4
Preside
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
2
Delancey Street
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
N W Casse
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A maiden special weight at six and a half furlongs. The top two are separated by less than a point in rating, creating a chaotic race shape.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.1%
Price horse: Equator (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Market Runner
J Alvarado
K LaRose
 6/1
18
★★★★☆
75.2
  
9 Campobasso
F Prat
B Baffert
 3/1
16
★★★★☆
74.2
  
4 Pursuit of Freedom
D Sheehy
P Eurton
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
71.5
  
10 Tagermeen
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 5/2
11
★★★★☆
68.5
  
11 Big Jake
F Geroux
B Baffert
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
67.9
  
8 Equator
A Achard
E G Harty
 30/1
10
★★★★☆
67.4
 Value Play
2 Cierto
J R Velazquez
B P Walsh
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
62.1
  
6 Bridgesong
G Saez
P A Bauer
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
56.3
 Top Pick
3 Turcotte
T Gaffalione
A J Green
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.9
  
1 Roscoe's Brother
J Rosario
M Glatt
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
49.6
  
5 Flashy Rich Deal
A Concepcion
W B Calhoun
 30/1
2
★★☆☆☆
38.7
  
Post · Horse
7
Market Runner
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
K LaRose
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.2
Post · Horse
9
Campobasso
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B Baffert
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.2
Post · Horse
4
Pursuit of Freedom
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
P Eurton
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.5
Post · Horse
10
Tagermeen
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse
11
Big Jake
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B Baffert
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Equator
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
E G Harty
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.4
Post · Horse
2
Cierto
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
B P Walsh
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Bridgesong
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
P A Bauer
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse
3
Turcotte
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
A J Green
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse
1
Roscoe's Brother
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
M Glatt
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.6
Post · Horse
5
Flashy Rich Deal
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W B Calhoun
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A maiden claiming or starter race at a mile and a sixteenth. Final Story stands out on figures but faces several live contenders.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 19.3%
Price horse: Zeus's Echo (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Final Story
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 4/5
19
★★★★☆
78.5
 Top Pick
5 Brave Pilot
J R Velazquez
M W McCarthy
 5/1
16
★★★★☆
76.5
  
2 Non Conforming
L Saez
B A Lynch
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
73.4
 Longshot
8 Blackout Time
J L Ortiz
K G McPeek
 4/1
13
★★★★☆
72.9
  
6 Fourth Dimension
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 15/1
12
★★★★☆
71.5
  
3 Zeus's Echo
F Geroux
C Davis
 30/1
11
★★★★☆
70.8
 Value Play
1 Marauder
F Prat
S M Asmussen
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
69.4
  
4 Steel
T Gaffalione
W I Mott
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
58.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Final Story
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.5
Post · Horse
5
Brave Pilot
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
M W McCarthy
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.5
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Non Conforming
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
B A Lynch
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.4
Post · Horse
8
Blackout Time
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
K G McPeek
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.9
Post · Horse
6
Fourth Dimension
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.5
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Zeus's Echo
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
C Davis
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse
1
Marauder
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
S M Asmussen
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse
4
Steel
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
W I Mott
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Eighth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Stakes · One And One Eighth Miles · Turf drew a 10-horse field where class fit, trip, and current form should separate the main contenders.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.9%
Price horse: Unmerited Favor (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Warming
J R Velazquez
H G Motion
 6/1
15
★★★★★
83.5
  
3 Way to Be Marie
L Saez
E Kenneally
 8/1
14
★★★★★
81.4
 Top Pick
6 Just Basking
C A Torres
I R Wilkes
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
79.3
  
2 Unmerited Favor
F Geroux
K G McPeek
 15/1
11
★★★★☆
78.6
 Value Play
10 Stylish Sue
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
77.8
  
9 Vive Veuve
I Ortiz, Jr.
J Sharp
 5/2
10
★★★★☆
77.2
  
4 Settling Storm
M Garcia
P Matejka
 30/1
9
★★★★☆
75.2
  
5 Tirupati
T Gaffalione
J Thomas
 12/1
6
★★★★☆
70.3
  
8 Pin Up Betty
F Prat
M J Maker
 7/2
6
★★★★☆
70.1
  
7 Footnote
A Crispin
M Torres
 50/1
6
★★★★☆
68.8
  
Post · Horse
1
Warming
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
H G Motion
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★★ 83.5
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Way to Be Marie
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
E Kenneally
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.4
Post · Horse
6
Just Basking
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
I R Wilkes
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.3
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Unmerited Favor
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
K G McPeek
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.6
Post · Horse
10
Stylish Sue
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.8
Post · Horse
9
Vive Veuve
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.2
Post · Horse
4
Settling Storm
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
P Matejka
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.2
Post · Horse
5
Tirupati
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
J Thomas
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.3
Post · Horse
8
Pin Up Betty
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M J Maker
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse
7
Footnote
Jockey
A Crispin
Trainer
M Torres
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Maiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won · Seven Furlongs drew a 12-horse field where class fit, trip, and current form should separate the main contenders.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.8%
Price horse: C K Wonder (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Bring the Smoke
T Gaffalione
D Beckman
 3/1
12
★★★★★
81.0
  
3 Max Got Excited
J A Torres
B Creighton
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
77.6
  
4 Money Supply
J Rosario
D Jacobson
 9/2
9
★★★★☆
76.6
  
11 Echo Again
J Alvarado
N W Casse
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
76.1
  
2 C K Wonder
M Garcia
D L Romans
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
75.1
 Top Pick
9 Keep It Easy
I Ortiz, Jr.
D L Romans
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
75.0
  
5 Kalahari Dreams
L Saez
P A Bauer
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
74.9
  
10 Dive Bomber
C A Torres
A Shorter
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
74.3
  
7 Can't Hush This
A Beschizza
G D Foley
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
73.5
  
1 Vamos Carlitos
E Morales
G D Foley
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
73.3
  
6 Hold My Bourbon
A Concepcion
J F D'Angelo
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
73.3
  
12 Fort Sam
B Curtis
D Fawkes
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
72.3
  
Post · Horse
8
Bring the Smoke
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D Beckman
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.0
Post · Horse
3
Max Got Excited
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
B Creighton
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.6
Post · Horse
4
Money Supply
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
D Jacobson
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.6
Post · Horse
11
Echo Again
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
N W Casse
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.1
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
C K Wonder
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
D L Romans
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.1
Post · Horse
9
Keep It Easy
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
D L Romans
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.0
Post · Horse
5
Kalahari Dreams
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
P A Bauer
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.9
Post · Horse
10
Dive Bomber
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
A Shorter
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.3
Post · Horse
7
Can't Hush This
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
G D Foley
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.5
Post · Horse
1
Vamos Carlitos
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
G D Foley
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.3
Post · Horse
6
Hold My Bourbon
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.3
Post · Horse
12
Fort Sam
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
D Fawkes
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes Daily Double (Races
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Eighth Miles
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Stakes Daily Double (Races · One And One Eighth Miles drew a 5-horse field where class fit, trip, and current form should separate the main contenders.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.1%
Price horse: In Just My Heels (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Immersive
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 8/1
24
★★★★★
84.5
 Longshot
1 Splendora
F Prat
B Baffert
 4/5
22
★★★★★
83.6
 Top Pick
5 Shred the Gnar
L Saez
B A Lynch
 6/5
19
★★★★★
81.1
  
4 In Just My Heels
K J Asmussen
R Moquett
 20/1
19
★★★★★
80.9
 Value Play
2 Regaled
T Gaffalione
D Beckman
 10/1
16
★★★★☆
78.5
  
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Immersive
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★★ 84.5
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Splendora
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B Baffert
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★★★ 83.6
Post · Horse
5
Shred the Gnar
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
B A Lynch
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★★ 81.1
Post · Horse Value Play
4
In Just My Heels
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
R Moquett
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★★ 80.9
Post · Horse
2
Regaled
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D Beckman
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Stakes · One And One Sixteenth Miles · Turf drew a 9-horse field where class fit, trip, and current form should separate the main contenders.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.8%
Price horse: Serac (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Prepped
J L Ortiz
C DeVaux
 6/1
17
★★★★★
83.5
  
6 Alpyland
J Castellano
M E Casse
 8/5
17
★★★★★
83.3
 Top Pick
1 Immortalised
J R Velazquez
B P Walsh
 4/1
16
★★★★★
82.5
  
8 Bust Out
F Prat
M W McCarthy
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
78.7
  
3 Fulmine
C A Torres
N W Casse
 15/1
11
★★★★☆
76.3
  
9 Brave Force
T Gaffalione
J Sisterson
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
75.6
  
5 Serac
J A Torres
N Palmer
 30/1
9
★★★★☆
74.5
 Value Play
4 Thousandsticks
L Saez
B A Lynch
 5/1
4
★★★★☆
63.5
  
7 Comport
B Curtis
E Kenneally
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
59.6
  
Post · Horse
2
Prepped
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C DeVaux
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★★ 83.5
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Alpyland
Jockey
J Castellano
Trainer
M E Casse
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★★ 83.3
Post · Horse
1
Immortalised
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
B P Walsh
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★★ 82.5
Post · Horse
8
Bust Out
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M W McCarthy
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.7
Post · Horse
3
Fulmine
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
N W Casse
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.3
Post · Horse
9
Brave Force
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
J Sisterson
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.6
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Serac
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
N Palmer
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.5
Post · Horse
4
Thousandsticks
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
B A Lynch
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse
7
Comport
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
E Kenneally
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Stakes · Six And One Half Furlongs drew a 7-horse field where class fit, trip, and current form should separate the main contenders.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.0%
Price horse: Gold Sweep (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Built
I Ortiz, Jr.
W M Catalano
 4/1
17
★★★★★
83.5
  
4 Gold Sweep
A Mendoza
J Haran
 20/1
16
★★★★★
83.4
 Value Play
6 Dr. Venkman
J Rosario
M Glatt
 7/2
16
★★★★★
82.6
 Top Pick
2 Cornucopian
F Prat
B Baffert
 1/1
15
★★★★★
82.3
  
1 U Devil You
J R Velazquez
R Mott
 10/1
15
★★★★★
82.1
  
3 Harrodsburg
L Saez
M A Tomlinson
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
78.5
  
5 Extra Anejo
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
73.9
  
Post · Horse
7
Built
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
W M Catalano
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★★ 83.5
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Gold Sweep
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
J Haran
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★★ 83.4
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Dr. Venkman
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
M Glatt
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★★ 82.6
Post · Horse
2
Cornucopian
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B Baffert
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★★★ 82.3
Post · Horse
1
U Devil You
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
R Mott
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★★ 82.1
Post · Horse
3
Harrodsburg
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
M A Tomlinson
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.5
Post · Horse
5
Extra Anejo
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Stakes · One And One Sixteenth Miles · Turf drew a 9-horse field where class fit, trip, and current form should separate the main contenders.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.4%
Price horse: Beach Gold (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Lagynos
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 5/2
18
★★★★★
85.1
 Top Pick
6 Dresden Row
I Ortiz, Jr.
A J Sciametta, Jr.
 7/2
17
★★★★★
84.1
  
1 Silent Heart
L Saez
M J Maker
 10/1
12
★★★★☆
79.4
 Longshot
3 Mercante
F Geroux
B Knippenberg
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
78.1
  
7 Fort Washington
J Alvarado
C R McGaughey III
 5/1
10
★★★★☆
76.4
  
8 Brilliant Berti
B J Hernandez, Jr.
C DeVaux
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
74.2
  
4 Chasing the Crown
F Prat
M J Maker
 9/2
8
★★★★☆
73.7
  
5 Flying Mohawk
T Gaffalione
D Beckman
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
71.4
  
9 Beach Gold
K J Asmussen
P L Biancone
 20/1
6
★★★★☆
69.3
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Lagynos
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★★ 85.1
Post · Horse
6
Dresden Row
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
A J Sciametta, Jr.
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★★ 84.1
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Silent Heart
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
M J Maker
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.4
Post · Horse
3
Mercante
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B Knippenberg
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.1
Post · Horse
7
Fort Washington
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.4
Post · Horse
8
Brilliant Berti
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
C DeVaux
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.2
Post · Horse
4
Chasing the Crown
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M J Maker
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.7
Post · Horse
5
Flying Mohawk
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D Beckman
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Beach Gold
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
P L Biancone
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 11
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Eighth Miles
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Stakes · One And One Eighth Miles drew a 7-horse field where class fit, trip, and current form should separate the main contenders.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.4%
Price horse: Willy D's (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Navajo Warrior
T Gaffalione
S A Joseph, Jr.
 15/1
16
★★★★★
84.7
  
6 Forged Steel
J R Velazquez
S A Joseph, Jr.
 12/1
16
★★★★★
84.4
 Longshot
3 Sovereignty
J Alvarado
W I Mott
 6/5
16
★★★★★
84.3
  
5 Magnitude
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 7/2
15
★★★★★
84.0
 Top Pick
2 White Abarrio
I Ortiz, Jr.
S A Joseph, Jr.
 3/1
14
★★★★★
82.9
  
1 Willy D's
L Saez
M J Maker
 20/1
13
★★★★★
82.0
 Value Play
4 Baeza
F Prat
W I Mott
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
78.3
  
Post · Horse
7
Navajo Warrior
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★★ 84.7
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Forged Steel
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★★ 84.4
Post · Horse
3
Sovereignty
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
W I Mott
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★★ 84.3
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Magnitude
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★★ 84.0
Post · Horse
2
White Abarrio
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★★ 82.9
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Willy D's
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
M J Maker
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★★ 82.0
Post · Horse
4
Baeza
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
W I Mott
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 12
Race Details
Class & Money
Typestakes placed (in order I-II-III), open stakes winners then highest career earni
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
stakes placed (in order I-II-III), open stakes winners then highest career earni · One Mile · Turf drew a 11-horse field where class fit, trip, and current form should separate the main contenders.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.9%
Price horse: Faye's Gold (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Tam Tam
J Alvarado
P A Bauer
 5/1
12
★★★★★
82.5
 Top Pick
8 Ground Support
A Beschizza
K Danner
 3/1
12
★★★★★
82.1
  
3 East Jabip
I Ortiz, Jr.
B A Lynch
 4/1
12
★★★★★
82.0
  
5 Faye's Gold
L Saez
G T Forster
 15/1
12
★★★★★
82.0
 Value Play
11 Turner's Charm
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 10/1
11
★★★★★
80.9
  
7 How About Now
A Concepcion
G R Arnold II
 8/1
11
★★★★★
80.6
 Longshot
1 Mescat
A Crispin
M Torres
 50/1
7
★★★★☆
74.5
  
10 Use Me
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
73.9
  
4 Final Accord
F Prat
M E Casse
 6/1
6
★★★★☆
71.6
  
6 Bohemian
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
 10/1
5
★★★★☆
69.3
  
2 Woodstock
D Sheehy
J Sharp
 30/1
4
★★★★☆
67.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Tam Tam
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
P A Bauer
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★★ 82.5
Post · Horse
8
Ground Support
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
K Danner
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★★ 82.1
Post · Horse
3
East Jabip
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B A Lynch
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★★ 82.0
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Faye's Gold
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
G T Forster
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★★ 82.0
Post · Horse
11
Turner's Charm
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★★ 80.9
Post · Horse Longshot
7
How About Now
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
G R Arnold II
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★★ 80.6
Post · Horse
1
Mescat
Jockey
A Crispin
Trainer
M Torres
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.5
Post · Horse
10
Use Me
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.9
Post · Horse
4
Final Accord
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M E Casse
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.6
Post · Horse
6
Bohemian
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
Post · Horse
2
Woodstock
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Sharp
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro