Curated Betting Card

Churchill Downs

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 5.

2026-06-28 Race 5 Completed
View Verified Recap for this Card
Card signals
Churchill Downs · full board
Strongest play
R1
Ghazaaly #8
Top conf.
Best value
R9
Spun D M C
20/1 ML
Best longshot
R1
Mena #7
15/1 ML
Deepest field
R3
16 runners
16
Pace race
R2
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Churchill Downs offers a wide-open card with several chaotic fields where small stakes on ordered exotics make sense. Lean toward horses showing sharp recent workouts and proven local form rather than pure morning-line favorites. Value angles appear in races 1, 5, and 9 where longshots carry model support above their listed odds.
Races 11 Status Completed View Live
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Claiming race at one and one sixteenth miles featuring a tightly grouped field of eight. Recent local runners mix with shippers from Santa Anita and Oaklawn. Pace shape will decide whether the top-rated horse can hold or if an upset emerges from the middle posts.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 19.6%
Price horse: Mena (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Ghazaaly
E Jaramillo
D F O'Neill
 2/1
20
★★★★☆
77.6
 Top Pick
3 I Don't Get It
E Morales
J Blair
 6/1
18
★★★★☆
76.0
  
4 House United
T Gaffalione
D Jacobson
 4/1
13
★★★★☆
71.3
  
7 Mena
R Bejarano
R Moquett
 15/1
12
★★★★☆
70.1
 Value Play
6 Alternate Reality
I Ortiz, Jr.
J Sharp
 5/2
11
★★★★☆
69.1
  
5 Light the Way
F Prat
M J Maker
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
68.3
  
1 Secret Chat
M Gutierrez
B C Barnett
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
65.1
  
2 Zapruder
M Garcia
D L Romans
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Ghazaaly
Jockey
E Jaramillo
Trainer
D F O'Neill
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.6
Post · Horse
3
I Don't Get It
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J Blair
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.0
Post · Horse
4
House United
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D Jacobson
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.3
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Mena
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
R Moquett
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse
6
Alternate Reality
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
5
Light the Way
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
M J Maker
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
1
Secret Chat
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
B C Barnett
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse
2
Zapruder
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
D L Romans
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Maiden claiming or starter race at six and one half furlongs with a wide-open nine-horse field. Multiple horses exit recent wins at Churchill. Workout sharpness will separate the contenders in this chaotic setup.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.4%
Price horse: Tickin Time Blonde (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Sassy Princess
T Gaffalione
D Jacobson
 6/1
19
★★★★★
83.3
 Top Pick
3 Margoinabubblebath
A Concepcion
M A Tomlinson
 7/2
13
★★★★☆
77.9
  
2 Outrageously
E Morales
J Blair
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
76.5
  
9 Cervaro Della Sala
L Saez
A M Meah
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
75.5
 Longshot
7 Blue Fire
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 3/1
10
★★★★☆
73.5
  
6 Miss Enchanted
C J Lanerie
D L Romans
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
73.4
  
5 Sudden Switch
J A Torres
R Mott
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
73.2
  
8 Taliesin
F Prat
S A Joseph, Jr.
 9/2
9
★★★★☆
72.4
  
4 Tickin Time Blonde
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
68.6
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Sassy Princess
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D Jacobson
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★★ 83.3
Post · Horse
3
Margoinabubblebath
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
M A Tomlinson
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.9
Post · Horse
2
Outrageously
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J Blair
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.5
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Cervaro Della Sala
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
A M Meah
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.5
Post · Horse
7
Blue Fire
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.5
Post · Horse
6
Miss Enchanted
Jockey
C J Lanerie
Trainer
D L Romans
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.4
Post · Horse
5
Sudden Switch
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Mott
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse
8
Taliesin
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.4
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Tickin Time Blonde
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Maiden special weight at six furlongs with a large 16-horse field. Most runners lack prior starts so workouts and trainer patterns matter most. The race is wide open with no dominant contender.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 9.8%
Price horse: Fast Amy (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Luxor Magic
E Esquivel
D F O'Neill
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
63.1
  
9 Mesdemon
A Crispin
M Torres
 30/1
10
★★★★☆
62.4
  
2 Texas Dandelion
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
60.8
  
4 Cruising Again
M Garcia
D L Romans
 7/2
9
★★★★☆
60.3
 Top Pick
3 Fast Amy
F Prat
B P Walsh
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
57.1
 Value Play
5 Ez Miss Sassy
I Ortiz, Jr.
M E Casse
 9/2
7
★★★☆☆
56.1
  
1 Haute in Herre
L Saez
D Beckman
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
53.6
 Longshot
16 Hormesis
B Curtis
K LaRose
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
53.3
  
12 Intraosseous
J Alvarado
K LaRose
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.3
  
10 Dazzling
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.8
  
15 Maroon Tide
A Achard
J Ennis
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
6 Compass Sixty
L Machado
B Colebrook
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.9
  
11 Spectacular Sam
T Gaffalione
R Medina
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.0
  
14 Velvet Beretta
E A Roman
M Douaihy
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.0
  
8 Meleys
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.7
  
13 Ikura
A Cedillo
L Schultz
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.4
  
Post · Horse
7
Luxor Magic
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
D F O'Neill
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
9
Mesdemon
Jockey
A Crispin
Trainer
M Torres
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse
2
Texas Dandelion
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Cruising Again
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
D L Romans
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Fast Amy
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B P Walsh
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse
5
Ez Miss Sassy
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
M E Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Haute in Herre
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
D Beckman
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.6
Post · Horse
16
Hormesis
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
K LaRose
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.3
Post · Horse
12
Intraosseous
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
K LaRose
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.3
Post · Horse
10
Dazzling
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.8
Post · Horse
15
Maroon Tide
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
6
Compass Sixty
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse
11
Spectacular Sam
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
R Medina
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
14
Velvet Beretta
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
M Douaihy
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
8
Meleys
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.7
Post · Horse
13
Ikura
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
L Schultz
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Maiden special weight at five furlongs on turf with a 16-horse field. Many runners have local experience but the surface switch adds uncertainty. Workout sharpness separates the contenders.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 10.0%
Price horse: Soulman (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
15 Dismiss
M Gutierrez
P Matejka
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
73.9
 Top Pick
7 Mr. Vaggio
V R Carrasco
J A Hancock
 15/1
11
★★★★☆
73.6
  
14 Beijing
A Concepcion
W Walden
 9/2
9
★★★★☆
71.2
  
2 Ice Wolf
L Saez
G D Foley
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
70.0
  
1 Soulman
B J Hernandez, Jr.
C A Hartman
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
69.4
 Value Play
10 Stable Hero
E Morales
R L Morse
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
68.0
  
8 Thunder Appeal
J L Ortiz
W A Ward
 4/1
7
★★★★☆
67.8
  
9 Ghost Protocol
G Saez
J K Sweezey
 12/1
6
★★★★☆
65.8
  
12 Telecaster
W Antongeorgi III
H Holsapple
 30/1
6
★★★★☆
64.2
  
5 Red Square
I Ortiz, Jr.
W A Ward
 3/1
4
★★★★☆
60.4
  
13 Mischievous Richie
G Corrales
L Rivelli
 8/1
4
★★★☆☆
59.1
  
3 Quintillion
A Beschizza
D Miller
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
58.5
  
11 Study
B Curtis
M W McCarthy
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
57.2
  
16 Hodl Hard
I Ortiz, Jr.
J Sharp
 4/1
4
★★★☆☆
57.2
  
4 Saint of War
T Gaffalione
G D Foley
 12/1
3
★★★☆☆
54.6
  
6 Untethered
F Prat
C DeVaux
 8/1
2
★★★☆☆
44.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
15
Dismiss
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
P Matejka
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.9
Post · Horse
7
Mr. Vaggio
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
J A Hancock
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.6
Post · Horse
14
Beijing
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W Walden
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.2
Post · Horse
2
Ice Wolf
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
G D Foley
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.0
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Soulman
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
C A Hartman
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse
10
Stable Hero
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
R L Morse
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.0
Post · Horse
8
Thunder Appeal
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
W A Ward
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse
9
Ghost Protocol
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
J K Sweezey
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
12
Telecaster
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
H Holsapple
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
5
Red Square
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
W A Ward
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
13
Mischievous Richie
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
L Rivelli
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse
3
Quintillion
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
D Miller
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
11
Study
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
M W McCarthy
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.2
Post · Horse
16
Hodl Hard
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.2
Post · Horse
4
Saint of War
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
G D Foley
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.6
Post · Horse
6
Untethered
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
C DeVaux
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Rating, Restricted, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Maiden or restricted race at one and one sixteenth miles. Chunk of Gold tops the ratings but faces pressure from several shippers. The race offers a clear top choice with value underneath.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.6%
Price horse: This Is Uscar (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Chunk of Gold
J Alvarado
E W West
 8/5
18
★★★★☆
79.4
 Top Pick
5 Gould's Gold
E Esquivel
K G McPeek
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
76.0
  
6 Publisher
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 5/1
13
★★★★☆
75.2
  
7 Admiral Dennis
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
74.9
  
3 This Is Uscar
E Morales
J Blair
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
72.8
 Value Play
8 Tuscan Sky
F Prat
A J Sciametta, Jr.
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
72.5
  
4 Gun Party
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
71.1
  
1 Tennessee Lamb
J R Velazquez
G R Arnold II
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
68.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Chunk of Gold
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
E W West
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.4
Post · Horse
5
Gould's Gold
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
K G McPeek
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.0
Post · Horse
6
Publisher
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.2
Post · Horse
7
Admiral Dennis
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.9
Post · Horse Value Play
3
This Is Uscar
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J Blair
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.8
Post · Horse
8
Tuscan Sky
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
A J Sciametta, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse
4
Gun Party
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
Post · Horse
1
Tennessee Lamb
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
G R Arnold II
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Rating, Restricted, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Maiden or restricted race at five and one half furlongs on turf. Mae Town leads the ratings but the field is deep with several shippers. Workout patterns will decide the outcome.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.6%
Price horse: Hush It Honey (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Big Trouble
T Gaffalione
G D Foley
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
80.0
 Longshot
2 Mae Town
F Geroux
B A Lynch
 3/1
13
★★★★☆
79.8
 Top Pick
8 Itzel
J Alvarado
M J Maker
 5/1
13
★★★★☆
79.1
  
1 Cynane
F Prat
B H Cox
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
77.1
  
3 Hush It Honey
L Machado
R L Morse
 15/1
11
★★★★☆
76.9
 Value Play
7 Satin Blue
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
75.7
  
9 She's a Tempest
L Saez
E Kenneally
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
75.6
  
5 Buttercream Babe
J R Velazquez
G R Arnold II
 4/1
10
★★★★☆
75.1
  
6 Me Governor
I Ortiz, Jr.
C A David
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
73.3
  
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Big Trouble
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
G D Foley
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 80.0
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Mae Town
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B A Lynch
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.8
Post · Horse
8
Itzel
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
M J Maker
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.1
Post · Horse
1
Cynane
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B H Cox
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.1
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Hush It Honey
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
R L Morse
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.9
Post · Horse
7
Satin Blue
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.7
Post · Horse
9
She's a Tempest
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
E Kenneally
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.6
Post · Horse
5
Buttercream Babe
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
G R Arnold II
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.1
Post · Horse
6
Me Governor
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
C A David
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStarters to be named through the entry box by the usual time of closiing
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Starter allowance at six furlongs with a nine-horse field. Epic Reign leads the ratings but several horses exit recent wins. The race is competitive with no dominant favorite.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.5%
Price horse: Sr Seventyone (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Epic Reign
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
79.0
 Top Pick
5 Valkyrie
D Cannon
K G McPeek
 10/1
12
★★★★☆
78.6
  
2 Pierette
J L Ortiz
M E Casse
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
78.6
  
7 Free Closer
F Geroux
M W McCarthy
 10/1
12
★★★★☆
78.4
 Longshot
4 True Blessing
F Prat
A J Sciametta, Jr.
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
77.7
  
6 Lack of Riesling
I Ortiz, Jr.
P D'Amato
 5/2
11
★★★★☆
77.6
  
8 Sr Seventyone
J R Leparoux
C Anderson
 15/1
11
★★★★☆
77.1
 Value Play
9 Liberty Rings
M A Vasquez
N Palmer
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
75.5
  
1 The Stork Club
J Barbosa
J J Robb
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
74.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Epic Reign
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.0
Post · Horse
5
Valkyrie
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
K G McPeek
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.6
Post · Horse
2
Pierette
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M E Casse
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.6
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Free Closer
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
M W McCarthy
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.4
Post · Horse
4
True Blessing
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
A J Sciametta, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.7
Post · Horse
6
Lack of Riesling
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
P D'Amato
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.6
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Sr Seventyone
Jockey
J R Leparoux
Trainer
C Anderson
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.1
Post · Horse
9
Liberty Rings
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
N Palmer
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.5
Post · Horse
1
The Stork Club
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
J J Robb
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStarters to be named through the entry box by the usual time of closing
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Starter allowance at six furlongs with a nine-horse field. He Is No Lie leads the ratings with strong recent form. The race offers a clear top choice with value underneath.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.5%
Price horse: Blessed Flyer (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 He Is No Lie
E Jaramillo
D F O'Neill
 3/1
16
★★★★★
84.6
 Top Pick
5 Captain Luke
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 5/1
13
★★★★★
81.7
  
4 Sargent Bilko
J L Ortiz
E Kenneally
 6/1
13
★★★★★
81.7
  
8 Hey Tuff Guy
M Gutierrez
B A Lynch
 9/5
13
★★★★★
81.1
  
9 Blessed Flyer
B J Hernandez, Jr.
M A Tomlinson
 15/1
11
★★★★☆
79.5
 Value Play
6 Tolstoy
F Prat
B P Walsh
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
78.4
  
3 Call Me Micky J.
I Ortiz, Jr.
J E Salzman, Jr.
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
77.3
  
2 Tigrado
E A Roman
M Douaihy
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
72.1
  
1 Super Saiyajin
G Corrales
S Donjuan
 30/1
6
★★★★☆
70.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
He Is No Lie
Jockey
E Jaramillo
Trainer
D F O'Neill
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★★ 84.6
Post · Horse
5
Captain Luke
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.7
Post · Horse
4
Sargent Bilko
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
E Kenneally
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.7
Post · Horse
8
Hey Tuff Guy
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
B A Lynch
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★★ 81.1
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Blessed Flyer
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
M A Tomlinson
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.5
Post · Horse
6
Tolstoy
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B P Walsh
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.4
Post · Horse
3
Call Me Micky J.
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
J E Salzman, Jr.
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.3
Post · Horse
2
Tigrado
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
M Douaihy
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.1
Post · Horse
1
Super Saiyajin
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
S Donjuan
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStarters to be named through the entry box at the usual time of closing
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Starter allowance at seven furlongs with an eight-horse field. American Man leads the ratings but Spun D M C offers strong value at a big price. The race features several shippers with solid recent form.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.8%
Price horse: Spun D M C (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 American Man
C A Torres
D Stewart
 12/1
16
★★★★★
83.1
 Top Pick
7 Deep Flame
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 9/5
14
★★★★★
81.8
  
1 Igniter
J R Velazquez
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 12/1
14
★★★★★
81.4
  
2 Spun D M C
M Garcia
R L Morse
 20/1
14
★★★★★
81.0
 Value Play
3 Oscar's Hope
J Alvarado
K LaRose
 10/1
12
★★★★☆
79.6
  
6 Prize Pick
L Saez
B A Lynch
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
78.8
  
4 Brant
F Prat
B Baffert
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
78.3
  
8 Crown the Buckeye
J L Ortiz
M J Maker
 7/2
6
★★★★☆
68.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
American Man
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
D Stewart
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★★ 83.1
Post · Horse
7
Deep Flame
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★★ 81.8
Post · Horse
1
Igniter
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.4
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Spun D M C
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
R L Morse
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.0
Post · Horse
3
Oscar's Hope
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
K LaRose
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.6
Post · Horse
6
Prize Pick
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
B A Lynch
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.8
Post · Horse
4
Brant
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B Baffert
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.3
Post · Horse
8
Crown the Buckeye
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M J Maker
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStarters to be named through the entry box at the usual time of closing
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Starter allowance at one mile with a ten-horse field. Neoequos leads the ratings but Coal Battle offers strong value at a big price. The race features several shippers with solid recent form.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.4%
Price horse: Coal Battle (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Neoequos
F Arrieta
S A Joseph, Jr.
 10/1
13
★★★★★
81.1
 Top Pick
10 Tour Player
T Gaffalione
D Beckman
 9/2
12
★★★★★
80.3
  
7 Crazy Mason
J Alvarado
G D Sacco
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
79.2
  
5 Dragoon Guard
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 4/1
11
★★★★☆
78.5
  
4 Imagination
F Prat
B Baffert
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
78.2
  
8 Nu What's New
L Saez
J P DiVito
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
77.9
  
9 Coal Battle
C J Lanerie
L Briley
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
76.6
 Value Play
3 Owen Almighty
J R Velazquez
B A Lynch
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
73.6
  
1 Moonlight
F Geroux
C M Block
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
71.7
  
6 Hall of Fame
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 8/1
6
★★★★☆
69.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Neoequos
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.1
Post · Horse
10
Tour Player
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
D Beckman
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★★ 80.3
Post · Horse
7
Crazy Mason
Jockey
J Alvarado
Trainer
G D Sacco
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.2
Post · Horse
5
Dragoon Guard
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.5
Post · Horse
4
Imagination
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B Baffert
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.2
Post · Horse
8
Nu What's New
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
J P DiVito
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.9
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Coal Battle
Jockey
C J Lanerie
Trainer
L Briley
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.6
Post · Horse
3
Owen Almighty
Jockey
J R Velazquez
Trainer
B A Lynch
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.6
Post · Horse
1
Moonlight
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
C M Block
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.7
Post · Horse
6
Hall of Fame
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 11
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
Field Size14
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Maiden race for fillies and mares at six and one half furlongs. Moona Lisa leads the ratings with strong recent form. The race offers a clear top choice with value underneath.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.6%
Price horse: That's a Benjamin (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Moona Lisa
F Prat
B Baffert
 5/2
15
★★★★☆
74.2
 Top Pick
6 Zengraya
A Beschizza
G D Foley
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
70.5
  
10 Audra
I Ortiz, Jr.
B H Cox
 3/1
11
★★★★☆
69.9
  
4 Poise
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
66.6
  
14 Sweet Reward
J A Torres
W I Mott
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
65.3
  
13 That's a Benjamin
L Saez
N W Casse
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
64.8
 Value Play
7 Island Barbie
D Sheehy
C Murphy
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
64.0
  
1 Lexi V.
E Morales
G R Arnold II
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
62.8
  
8 Lady Diversity
T Gaffalione
C DeVaux
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
58.7
  
3 Altadena
W Antongeorgi III
D F O'Neill
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
51.8
  
12 Kaykay
F Geroux
B Baffert
 12/1
3
★★★☆☆
50.8
  
11 In Total Awe
A Concepcion
A M Stall, Jr.
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
50.4
  
5 Nucleotide
C A Torres
T Drury, Jr.
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
50.1
  
9 Antandra
A Cedillo
L Schultz
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
48.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Moona Lisa
Jockey
F Prat
Trainer
B Baffert
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.2
Post · Horse
6
Zengraya
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
G D Foley
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse
10
Audra
Jockey
I Ortiz, Jr.
Trainer
B H Cox
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.9
Post · Horse
4
Poise
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
Post · Horse
14
Sweet Reward
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
W I Mott
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse Value Play
13
That's a Benjamin
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
N W Casse
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse
7
Island Barbie
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
C Murphy
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
1
Lexi V.
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
G R Arnold II
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
8
Lady Diversity
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
C DeVaux
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.7
Post · Horse
3
Altadena
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
D F O'Neill
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.8
Post · Horse
12
Kaykay
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B Baffert
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.8
Post · Horse
11
In Total Awe
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
A M Stall, Jr.
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
Post · Horse
5
Nucleotide
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
T Drury, Jr.
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
9
Antandra
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
L Schultz
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
  Go Pro