Curated Betting Card

Churchill Downs

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 8.

2026-09-17 Race 8 Morning Card
View Verified Recap for this Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
  Unlock Live Updates
Card signals
Churchill Downs · full board
Strongest play
R7
So Sandy #7
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Guardian #4
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R3
16 runners
16
Pace shape
R2
Duel
2 E / 5 EP
Card Overview
Race day summary
Churchill Downs presents an eight-race twilight program highlighted by competitive two-turn maiden events, juvenile turf tests, and a tough upper-level dirt allowance in Race 7. Large fields dominate the card, making horizontal sequences challenging and keeping win probabilities flattened across several wide-open maiden sprints. Pace setups will be critical on the main track, particularly in sprint races where speed duels offer tactical closers an advantage, while value hunters should look to Race 7 to oppose an overbet favorite with proven class droppers.
Races 8 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $20,000
Purse$58,000
Claiming$20,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:00 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A field of ten older claimers routes one mile where #10 Stay for the Boom brings winning California form and a standout recent speed figure of 85 from Del Mar, but must overcome an extreme outside post draw around two turns. His main rival #8 Baddest Good Boy owns a competitive 87 speed figure at Churchill Downs and gets a much friendlier tactical stalk-and-pounce trip from post 8.
Today's shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
2
P
3
S
1

Fast Pace · E: 4 EP: 2 P: 3 S: 1 · #10 Stay for the Boom, #5 Alston, #3 Lebombo

Three or more early runners; expect a meltdown. Early: #10 Stay for the Boom, #5 Alston, #3 Lebombo.

From comments · 10/10 styled · display only

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.1%
Price horse: Baddest Good Boy (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Stay for the Boom E Misfit
L Saez
C Davis
 4/1
13
★★★★☆
67.5
 Top Pick
8 Baddest Good Boy S Fits
F Arrieta
D Fawkes
 3/1
13
★★★★☆
66.9
 Value Play
5 Alston E Misfit
J L Ortiz
P Eurton
 2/1
12
★★★★☆
65.7
  
4 Guardian EP Neutral
T Gaffalione
E N Foster
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
64.9
 Longshot
3 Lebombo E Misfit
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 20/1
10
★★★★☆
63.2
  
1 Gallo de Fuego P Fits
G Saez
C Milligan
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
62.6
  
2 One Mor Story E Misfit
A Beschizza
L Wiggins
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
61.3
  
6 Aerate P Fits
E Morales
K LaRose
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
61.2
  
7 Mr Randy P Fits
L Machado
T Girten
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
61.1
  
9 Jinxzi EP Neutral
V R Carrasco
I R Wilkes
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
57.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
Stay for the Boom
E Misfit
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
C Davis
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Baddest Good Boy
S Fits
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
D Fawkes
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse
5
Alston
E Misfit
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
P Eurton
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.7
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Guardian
EP Neutral
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
E N Foster
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse
3
Lebombo
E Misfit
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse
1
Gallo de Fuego
P Fits
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
C Milligan
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
2
One Mor Story
E Misfit
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
L Wiggins
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse
6
Aerate
P Fits
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
K LaRose
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.2
Post · Horse
7
Mr Randy
P Fits
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
T Girten
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse
9
Jinxzi
EP Neutral
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
I R Wilkes
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $50,000
Purse$76,000
Claiming$50,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:29 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
An evenly matched group of 11 turf routers tackles one mile where #6 Heart Spin owns consistent Churchill turf credentials with speed figures of 75 and 77, but must turn back #1 Galatina who enjoys a ground-saving inside draw after hitting the board at Ellis Park with an 83 figure.
Today's shape Duel
E
2
EP
5
P
2
S
2

Duel · E: 2 EP: 5 P: 2 S: 2 · #7 Derry Girl, #2 Love Knicks Hart

Two early runners likely to hook up; pressers and closers benefit. Early: #7 Derry Girl, #2 Love Knicks Hart.

From comments · 11/11 styled · display only

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 14.1%
Price horse: Galatina (15/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Heart Spin S Fits
W A Rodriguez
A Navarrete
 7/2
14
★★★★☆
61.4
 Top Pick
1 Galatina EP Neutral
G Saez
J E Baker
 15/1
13
★★★★☆
60.6
 Value Play
10 Sussudio P Fits
J A Torres
J A Hiles
 5/1
11
★★★☆☆
58.2
  
7 Derry Girl E Misfit
G Corrales
D L Romans
 5/2
11
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
8 Cool American P Fits
D Sheehy
M Lovell
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.4
  
5 Easter Promise EP Neutral
R Bejarano
B D Michael
 9/2
9
★★★☆☆
54.4
  
4 Dreamwifedreamlife S Fits
L Machado
E R Reed
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.2
  
9 Breaking Hearts EP Neutral
E Morales
G Garcia
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
50.9
  
3 Kaybella EP Neutral
B Curtis
R Moquett
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
50.2
  
2 Love Knicks Hart E Misfit
A Beschizza
W M Catalano
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
47.2
  
11 Tiz Wine Time EP Neutral
J A Torres
A J Granitz
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
46.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Heart Spin
S Fits
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
A Navarrete
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.4
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Galatina
EP Neutral
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
J E Baker
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.6
Post · Horse
10
Sussudio
P Fits
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J A Hiles
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.2
Post · Horse
7
Derry Girl
E Misfit
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
D L Romans
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
8
Cool American
P Fits
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M Lovell
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse
5
Easter Promise
EP Neutral
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
B D Michael
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse
4
Dreamwifedreamlife
S Fits
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
E R Reed
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
Post · Horse
9
Breaking Hearts
EP Neutral
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
G Garcia
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse
3
Kaybella
EP Neutral
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
R Moquett
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse
2
Love Knicks Hart
E Misfit
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
W M Catalano
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.2
Post · Horse
11
Tiz Wine Time
EP Neutral
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
A J Granitz
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$92,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time6:00 PM ET
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A wide-open field of 16 juvenile fillies features numerous first-time starters where experienced runner #14 Clever One brings a field-best 77 debut speed figure at Churchill Downs, yet must navigate the extreme outside post against quick-working debutante #16 Treat Me Nice.
PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 12.6%
Price horse: Sing the Blues (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
14 Clever One —
J L Ortiz
M E Casse
 3/1
13
★★★☆☆
56.1
 Top Pick
9 Sing the Blues —
D Machado
W D Cowans
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
50.0
 Value Play
16 Treat Me Nice —
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
48.0
  
4 Katie Jane —
J A Torres
R Mott
 4/1
7
★★★☆☆
46.9
  
15 Tapit Nitro —
L Saez
R G Crichton
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
46.3
 Longshot
13 Flaming Verdict —
J Rosario
M J Maker
 9/2
6
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
7 Absolute Lea W —
A Espinoza
D K Von Hemel
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.4
  
8 Anthology —
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.6
  
1 Enchanted Life —
L Saez
V H Oliver
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.0
  
11 La Noche Negra —
L Fuenmayor
C Munoz
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.9
  
12 Puunene —
L Machado
B Colebrook
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.1
  
5 Avie Mo —
C A Torres
M Williams
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.9
  
6 Fun Control —
G Corrales
L Briley
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.3
  
3 Loaded for Bear —
E Morales
T Drury, Jr.
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.3
  
10 Speight Her Size E —
A Beschizza
T D Vance
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.2
  
2 Aloha Magic —
G Saez
W M Catalano
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
14
Clever One
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M E Casse
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Sing the Blues
—
Jockey
D Machado
Trainer
W D Cowans
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
16
Treat Me Nice
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.0
Post · Horse
4
Katie Jane
—
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Mott
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.9
Post · Horse Longshot
15
Tapit Nitro
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
R G Crichton
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.3
Post · Horse
13
Flaming Verdict
—
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
M J Maker
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
7
Absolute Lea W
—
Jockey
A Espinoza
Trainer
D K Von Hemel
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.4
Post · Horse
8
Anthology
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.6
Post · Horse
1
Enchanted Life
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
V H Oliver
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.0
Post · Horse
11
La Noche Negra
—
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
C Munoz
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
12
Puunene
—
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.1
Post · Horse
5
Avie Mo
—
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
M Williams
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.9
Post · Horse
6
Fun Control
—
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
L Briley
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.3
Post · Horse
3
Loaded for Bear
—
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
T Drury, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.3
Post · Horse
10
Speight Her Size
E —
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
T D Vance
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.2
Post · Horse
2
Aloha Magic
—
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
W M Catalano
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or
Purse$134,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time6:30 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityWhich Have Never Won Three Races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A compact field of seven female sprinters turns on whether Florida shipper #4 Her Town can translate her consistent Gulfstream form off a summer freshening against local specialist #1 High Fashion Kate, who regular clocks upper-80s speed figures at Churchill Downs.
Today's shape Duel
E
2
EP
2
P
2
S
0

Duel · E: 2 EP: 2 P: 2 S: 0 · #6 Madonna of Loreto, #2 She'z the Law

Two early runners likely to hook up; pressers and closers benefit. Early: #6 Madonna of Loreto, #2 She'z the Law.

From comments+notes · 6/7 styled · display only

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 15.6%
Price horse: High Fashion Kate (10/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Her Town EP Neutral
T Gaffalione
S A Joseph, Jr.
 6/1
16
★★★★☆
61.6
 Top Pick
1 High Fashion Kate EP Neutral
E Morales
J Blair
 10/1
15
★★★★☆
61.3
 Value Play
6 Madonna of Loreto E Misfit
L Saez
L Gaudet
 3/1
15
★★★★☆
61.1
  
2 She'z the Law E Misfit
B J Hernandez, Jr.
G D Foley
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
60.3
  
3 Miss Enchanted P Fits
M Garcia
D L Romans
 5/1
14
★★★☆☆
59.9
  
7 Moon Mystique P Fits
D Sheehy
A McKeever
 4/1
13
★★★☆☆
58.7
  
5 Sina —
J Inirio
B Combs
 7/2
13
★★★☆☆
58.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Her Town
EP Neutral
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
Post · Horse Value Play
1
High Fashion Kate
EP Neutral
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J Blair
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse
6
Madonna of Loreto
E Misfit
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
L Gaudet
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse
2
She'z the Law
E Misfit
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
G D Foley
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
Post · Horse
3
Miss Enchanted
P Fits
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
D L Romans
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
7
Moon Mystique
P Fits
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
A McKeever
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.7
Post · Horse
5
Sina
—
Jockey
J Inirio
Trainer
B Combs
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$120,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time6:59 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Juveniles route two turns on the turf where Saratoga runner-up #6 Roscoe Goose brings class and a field-best 79 debut speed figure, but must repel Brad Cox first-time starter #3 Solar Horizon and stretch-out runner #9 Time in Motion.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 14.2%
Price horse: Time in Motion (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Roscoe Goose —
L Saez
R Mott
 5/2
14
★★★☆☆
55.6
 Top Pick
9 Time in Motion —
A Concepcion
W Walden
 7/2
12
★★★☆☆
53.4
 Value Play
7 Travelin —
Y Hazlewood
B A Lynch
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
52.6
 Longshot
1 Silver Jewel P —
M Gutierrez
P Matejka
 20/1
11
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
3 Solar Horizon —
F Geroux
B H Cox
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
49.6
  
5 American Veteran —
J L Ortiz
C DeVaux
 9/2
8
★★★☆☆
47.5
  
11 Very Royal —
C E Franca
J L Aranha
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.6
  
4 Saudiman
J Rosario
R Medina
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
44.9
  
10 Not for Long —
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
44.8
  
2 Banyan —
J Graham
J K Desormeaux
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.5
  
8 Neville —
D Sheehy
M Lovell
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Roscoe Goose
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
R Mott
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Time in Motion
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W Walden
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.4
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Travelin
—
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
B A Lynch
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
Post · Horse
1
Silver Jewel
P —
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
P Matejka
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
3
Solar Horizon
—
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B H Cox
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.6
Post · Horse
5
American Veteran
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C DeVaux
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.5
Post · Horse
11
Very Royal
—
Jockey
C E Franca
Trainer
J L Aranha
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.6
Post · Horse
4
Saudiman
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
R Medina
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.9
Post · Horse
10
Not for Long
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
Post · Horse
2
Banyan
—
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.5
Post · Horse
8
Neville
—
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M Lovell
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$72,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time7:28 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Ten maiden routers clash at 1 1/16 miles where perennial minor award earner #2 Private Show seeks an overdue breakthrough off consecutive runner-up efforts, but must hold off #8 Ingleborough who returns to his preferred distance after recording an 82 speed figure over this track in May.
Today's shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
3
P
3
S
2

Honest Pace · E: 0 EP: 3 P: 3 S: 2

Enough pressure for a fair pace; no style is handed the race.

From comments+notes · 8/10 styled · display only

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.2%
Price horse: Ingleborough (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Private Show S Neutral
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
57.1
 Top Pick
8 Ingleborough P Neutral
L Machado
D L Romans
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
57.0
 Value Play
5 Money Man —
C A Torres
D G Heath
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
56.5
  
4 Hey Dey EP Fits
B J Hernandez, Jr.
T Drury, Jr.
 20/1
10
★★★☆☆
54.7
 Longshot
3 Candy Constitution —
T Gaffalione
W E Morey
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.8
  
9 Macchiato P Neutral
J L Ortiz
S M Asmussen
 7/2
10
★★★☆☆
53.7
  
6 Throttle EP Fits
F Geroux
B H Cox
 3/1
9
★★★☆☆
52.1
  
1 Max Is Him S Neutral
G Corrales
D L Romans
 9/2
9
★★★☆☆
51.8
  
10 Meanstepper P Neutral
L Saez
R Moquett
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.6
  
7 Bridgesong EP Fits
G Saez
P A Bauer
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
50.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Private Show
S Neutral
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Ingleborough
P Neutral
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
D L Romans
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse
5
Money Man
—
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
D G Heath
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Hey Dey
EP Fits
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
T Drury, Jr.
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
3
Candy Constitution
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
W E Morey
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.8
Post · Horse
9
Macchiato
P Neutral
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
S M Asmussen
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.7
Post · Horse
6
Throttle
EP Fits
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B H Cox
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
Post · Horse
1
Max Is Him
S Neutral
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
D L Romans
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.8
Post · Horse
10
Meanstepper
P Neutral
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
R Moquett
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.6
Post · Horse
7
Bridgesong
EP Fits
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
P A Bauer
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Restricted, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Fou
Purse$140,900
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time7:57 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityWhich Have Never Won Four Races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The co-feature of the night pits heavy 9/5 morning line favorite #7 So Sandy against Grade 1-tested class droppers where #5 No Bien Ni Mal and #8 Malarchuk look to capitalize on a potent class edge at generous prices.
Today's shape Fast Pace
E
5
EP
1
P
1
S
2

Fast Pace · E: 5 EP: 1 P: 1 S: 2 · #7 So Sandy, #8 Malarchuk, #5 No Bien Ni Mal

Three or more early runners; expect a meltdown. Early: #7 So Sandy, #8 Malarchuk, #5 No Bien Ni Mal.

From comments+notes · 9/9 styled · display only

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.8%
Price horse: Malarchuk (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 So Sandy E Misfit
J L Ortiz
C DeVaux
 9/5
17
★★★★☆
76.1
 Top Pick
8 Malarchuk E Misfit
U Rispoli
M W McCarthy
 7/2
14
★★★★☆
72.9
 Value Play
5 No Bien Ni Mal E Misfit
J Rosario
P H Lobo
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
72.8
 Longshot
1 Gould's Gold S Fits
E Esquivel
K G McPeek
 9/2
12
★★★★☆
71.1
  
3 Woodcourt E Misfit
L Saez
C Contreras
 20/1
12
★★★★☆
70.6
  
2 Publisher P Fits
T Gaffalione
S M Asmussen
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
69.7
  
6 Gun Party EP Neutral
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
67.5
  
9 Urban Planner S Fits
R Bejarano
D Jacobson
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
65.3
  
4 Touch of Destiny E Misfit
J Graham
J L Aranha
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
53.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
So Sandy
E Misfit
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C DeVaux
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.1
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Malarchuk
E Misfit
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
M W McCarthy
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.9
Post · Horse Longshot
5
No Bien Ni Mal
E Misfit
Jockey
J Rosario
Trainer
P H Lobo
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.8
Post · Horse
1
Gould's Gold
S Fits
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
K G McPeek
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
Post · Horse
3
Woodcourt
E Misfit
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
C Contreras
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse
2
Publisher
P Fits
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
S M Asmussen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse
6
Gun Party
EP Neutral
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse
9
Urban Planner
S Fits
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D Jacobson
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
4
Touch of Destiny
E Misfit
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J L Aranha
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$48,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time8:26 PM ET
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The nightcap draws a massive field of 16 maiden sprinters going 6 1/2 furlongs where California transplant #7 Pursuit of Freedom looks to capitalize on back-class, but must stave off Asmussen trainee #6 Can't Stop Willis who owns steady competitive figures over this main track.
Today's shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
2
P
1
S
3

Fast Pace · E: 4 EP: 2 P: 1 S: 3 · #7 Pursuit of Freedom, #15 Pelican Hill, #10 Halley's Comet

Three or more early runners; expect a meltdown. Early: #7 Pursuit of Freedom, #15 Pelican Hill, #10 Halley's Comet.

From comments · 10/16 styled · display only

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 10.8%
Price horse: Can't Stop Willis (12/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Pursuit of Freedom E Misfit
J L Ortiz
P Eurton
 4/1
11
★★★☆☆
59.5
 Top Pick
6 Can't Stop Willis EP Neutral
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
57.3
 Value Play
2 Stakeholder S Fits
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
 5/2
8
★★★☆☆
55.8
  
13 My King Air —
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
 9/2
8
★★★☆☆
54.9
  
1 Hyperlink P Fits
L Saez
S M Asmussen
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
53.9
  
9 Altimeter —
F Geroux
B H Cox
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.3
  
15 Pelican Hill E Misfit
J Graham
F Nickel
 4/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.4
  
16 Berniedott S Fits
W A Rodriguez
B L King
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.7
  
14 Four Dimes —
W A Rodriguez
C Williams
 5/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.7
  
10 Halley's Comet E Misfit
C A Torres
T Drury, Jr.
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.1
  
11 Act of Parliament —
A Concepcion
W Walden
 6/1
5
★★★☆☆
48.4
  
4 Phantom Slayer S Fits
T Gaffalione
N W Casse
 8/1
4
★★★☆☆
46.2
  
5 Mountain High E Misfit
L Machado
B Colebrook
 8/1
4
★★★☆☆
46.1
  
3 First Class Wink —
R Bejarano
R G Crichton
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
44.0
  
12 Dark Rye —
D Sheehy
M Lovell
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
43.9
  
8 Symbol EP Neutral
I Moncada
T Drury, Jr.
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
43.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Pursuit of Freedom
E Misfit
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
P Eurton
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Can't Stop Willis
EP Neutral
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
Post · Horse
2
Stakeholder
S Fits
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse
13
My King Air
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.9
Post · Horse
1
Hyperlink
P Fits
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.9
Post · Horse
9
Altimeter
—
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B H Cox
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.3
Post · Horse
15
Pelican Hill
E Misfit
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
F Nickel
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse
16
Berniedott
S Fits
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
B L King
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.7
Post · Horse
14
Four Dimes
—
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
C Williams
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.7
Post · Horse
10
Halley's Comet
E Misfit
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
T Drury, Jr.
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
11
Act of Parliament
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W Walden
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.4
Post · Horse
4
Phantom Slayer
S Fits
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
N W Casse
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.2
Post · Horse
5
Mountain High
E Misfit
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
Post · Horse
3
First Class Wink
—
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
R G Crichton
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.0
Post · Horse
12
Dark Rye
—
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M Lovell
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
8
Symbol
EP Neutral
Jockey
I Moncada
Trainer
T Drury, Jr.
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
  Go Pro