Curated Betting Card

Churchill Downs

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 6.

2026-09-27 Race 6 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Churchill Downs · full board
Strongest play
R6
Cromwell #4
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
All Over It #8
20/1 ML
Deepest field
R8
15 runners
15
Pace shape
R3
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
The September 27 program at Churchill Downs presents a balanced 10-race card featuring competitive juvenile maiden sprints, solid allowance turf routes, and testing dirt claiming events. The strongest profile on the card emerges in Race 6 with Cromwell stretching out to nine furlongs, while juvenile dirt events in Races 1, 4, and 7 offer high-upside exotic value among lightly raced prospects. Deep turf fields in Races 8 and 10 close out the sequence with wide-open handicapping puzzles that demand price sensitivity.
Races 10 Status Live View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$92,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:45 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A field of nine juvenile fillies kicks off the card where first-time starters from prominent barns clash with experienced runners. The central question is whether debutante #7 She's Toasty can overcome lack of racing experience against #8 All Over It, who already holds a proven speed figure of 61 over standard dirt.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.8%
Price horse: Flaming Verdict (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 She's Toasty
L Saez
E Kenneally
 7/2
15
★★★☆☆
50.2
 Top Pick
4 Flaming Verdict
T Gaffalione
M J Maker
 3/1
14
★★★☆☆
49.7
 Value Play
8 All Over It EP —
J A Torres
C Munoz
 20/1
14
★★★☆☆
49.2
 Longshot
3 Cowgirl Tuff —
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
 4/1
12
★★★☆☆
46.7
  
6 Treat Me Nice
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 4/1
12
★★★☆☆
46.5
  
5 Hoecakes —
D Machado
B Colebrook
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
44.7
  
1 Pardi Vida —
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
42.0
  
2 Your Choice
A Gomez
T Rivera
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
41.5
  
9 Racheli —
J Graham
J K Desormeaux
 6/1
7
★★☆☆☆
38.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
She's Toasty
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
E Kenneally
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Flaming Verdict
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
M J Maker
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.7
Post · Horse Longshot
8
All Over It
EP —
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
C Munoz
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
Post · Horse
3
Cowgirl Tuff
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.7
Post · Horse
6
Treat Me Nice
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
Post · Horse
5
Hoecakes
—
Jockey
D Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.7
Post · Horse
1
Pardi Vida
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.0
Post · Horse
2
Your Choice
Jockey
A Gomez
Trainer
T Rivera
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.5
Post · Horse
9
Racheli
—
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$120,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:14 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Six maiden fillies and mares route two turns where heavy favorite #1 Skyforge returns off a runner-up effort sporting a recent speed figure of 82. The tactical tension centers on whether #6 She's Our Girl, coming off a blistering five-furlong bullet workout in 59.20, can turn the tables on the favorite at a significantly better price.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
0
EP
1
P
0
S
4

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

No true front-runner here; the lone presser is likely to inherit the lead.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 22.1%
Price horse: Twinklee (9/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Skyforge EP Fits
T Gaffalione
S M Asmussen
 4/5
22
★★★☆☆
58.1
 Top Pick
4 Twinklee S Neutral
E Morales
W M Catalano
 9/2
21
★★★☆☆
57.4
 Value Play
6 She's Our Girl S Neutral
B J Hernandez, Jr.
P Eurton
 3/1
21
★★★☆☆
57.2
 Longshot
2 Al Ghadeer S Neutral
D Sheehy
A McKeever
 6/1
16
★★★☆☆
52.9
  
3 Twas the Law S Neutral
B Curtis
M R Thompson
 15/1
14
★★★☆☆
50.7
  
5 Got What I Got —
J A Torres
J A Hiles
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
41.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Skyforge
EP Fits
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
S M Asmussen
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Twinklee
S Neutral
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
W M Catalano
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
Post · Horse Longshot
6
She's Our Girl
S Neutral
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
P Eurton
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.2
Post · Horse
2
Al Ghadeer
S Neutral
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
A McKeever
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse
3
Twas the Law
S Neutral
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
M R Thompson
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.7
Post · Horse
5
Got What I Got
—
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J A Hiles
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Allowed 2 Lbs
Purse$127,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:43 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Seven turf claimers square off at one mile where #3 Majik Mooney steps up following an emphatic maiden-breaking score at Kentucky Downs that yielded a recent speed figure of 82. The race hinges on whether #7 Bearamour can harness his steady Churchill form to reel in the front-running favorite.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
0
S
0

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #7 Bearamour, #4 That's Fire.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.2%
Price horse: Bearamour (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Majik Mooney —
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
 5/2
23
★★★★☆
64.0
 Top Pick
7 Bearamour E Misfit
J Graham
J K Desormeaux
 5/1
15
★★★☆☆
57.5
 Value Play
6 Hit the High Note —
L Saez
C Davis
 4/1
15
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
1 Spies Like Us —
J Loveberry
D Beckman
 5/1
14
★★★☆☆
56.2
  
2 Sir Hansen EP Neutral
T Gaffalione
M J Maker
 3/1
12
★★★☆☆
54.1
  
4 That's Fire E Misfit
A Espinoza
R C Bryner
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
54.0
  
5 Line Astern —
A Beschizza
K Danner
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
49.5
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Majik Mooney
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Bearamour
E Misfit
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
6
Hit the High Note
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
C Davis
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
1
Spies Like Us
—
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
D Beckman
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse
2
Sir Hansen
EP Neutral
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
M J Maker
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.1
Post · Horse
4
That's Fire
E Misfit
Jockey
A Espinoza
Trainer
R C Bryner
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.0
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Line Astern
—
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
K Danner
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$120,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:13 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Nine two-year-old colts and geldings sprint 5 1/2 furlongs in a maiden special weight pitting Wesley Ward debutant #7 Hazy Horizon against battle-tested #4 Subjugation. The question is whether #4 Subjugation's Saratoga seasoning and 70 peak speed figure can withstand the early foot expected from Ward's firster.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 20.4%
Price horse: Subjugation (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Hazy Horizon —
Y Hazlewood
W A Ward
 4/1
20
★★★☆☆
57.0
 Top Pick
4 Subjugation —
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 6/1
20
★★★☆☆
56.3
 Value Play
6 Yacht Master —
T Gaffalione
B Baffert
 7/2
12
★★★☆☆
48.5
  
8 Kamassa —
J L Ortiz
W M Catalano
 3/1
11
★★★☆☆
47.7
  
5 Timelapse —
L Saez
J P DiVito
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
44.4
 Longshot
1 Creole Mischief —
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 4/1
8
★★★☆☆
43.0
  
2 Just Plain Eugene —
F Arrieta
J A Hancock
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
41.1
  
9 Wolverine —
A Beschizza
S J Cunningham
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
40.9
  
3 Candy Freak —
J A Torres
J Sharp
 15/1
6
★★☆☆☆
39.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Hazy Horizon
—
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
W A Ward
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Subjugation
—
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse
6
Yacht Master
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B Baffert
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.5
Post · Horse
8
Kamassa
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
W M Catalano
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Timelapse
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
J P DiVito
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.4
Post · Horse
1
Creole Mischief
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.0
Post · Horse
2
Just Plain Eugene
—
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
J A Hancock
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.1
Post · Horse
9
Wolverine
—
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
S J Cunningham
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.9
Post · Horse
3
Candy Freak
—
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J Sharp
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $30,000
Purse$62,000
Claiming$30,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:45 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Eight experienced claimers contest a seven-furlong sprint where #6 Kid Twist looks to capitalize on consistency against #7 Greers Ferry. The race turns on whether #7 Greers Ferry can reproduce his 88 speed figure form over this strip off a freshening.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
2
P
1
S
2

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #6 Kid Twist, #7 Greers Ferry.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.3%
Price horse: Greers Ferry (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Kid Twist E Misfit
J L Ortiz
C A David
 3/1
20
★★★★☆
70.8
 Top Pick
7 Greers Ferry E Misfit
R Bejarano
C Santamaria
 4/1
16
★★★★☆
67.6
 Value Play
8 Easy Dial —
F Arrieta
T L Van Berg
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
64.5
  
3 McFasty EP Neutral
J A Torres
C Santamaria
 5/1
13
★★★★☆
63.6
  
5 Valiant Humor S Fits
A Concepcion
S R Radosevich
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
60.9
  
4 White Whale P Fits
B J Hernandez, Jr.
W B Calhoun
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
2 Equilibrium EP Neutral
V R Carrasco
I R Wilkes
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.0
 Longshot
1 Act of Parliament S Fits
L Saez
M A Shirer
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Kid Twist
E Misfit
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C A David
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Greers Ferry
E Misfit
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
C Santamaria
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse
8
Easy Dial
—
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
T L Van Berg
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
3
McFasty
EP Neutral
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
C Santamaria
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse
5
Valiant Humor
S Fits
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
S R Radosevich
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
Post · Horse
4
White Whale
P Fits
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
W B Calhoun
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Equilibrium
EP Neutral
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
I R Wilkes
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.0
Post · Horse
1
Act of Parliament
S Fits
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
M A Shirer
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$120,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/8 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:18 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Eight maiden route prospects go nine furlongs where #4 Cromwell seeks an elusive diploma following three consecutive runner-up or in-the-money efforts with figures of 85, 82, and 82. The pivotal question is whether Brad Cox trainee #6 Top Drawer can bridge the gap in his third career start after an 85 speed figure at Ellis Park.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
2
P
0
S
3

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 24.4%
Price horse: Top Drawer (3/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Cromwell S Neutral
J L Ortiz
C DeVaux
 2/1
24
★★★★☆
66.9
 Top Pick
6 Top Drawer E Neutral
A Concepcion
B H Cox
 3/1
18
★★★★☆
62.3
 Value Play
8 Don's Winner EP Fits
L Saez
J Sharp
 4/1
13
★★★☆☆
57.7
  
7 Liberty Valance S Neutral
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
55.5
  
3 Bold Stand EP Fits
A Achard
E G Harty
 12/1
11
★★★☆☆
55.4
 Longshot
1 El Tio S Neutral
G Corrales
R Medina
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
52.4
  
5 Mr. Tapps —
Y Hazlewood
M W McCarthy
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
48.4
  
2 Safety Off —
J Loveberry
D Beckman
 6/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Cromwell
S Neutral
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
C DeVaux
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Top Drawer
E Neutral
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
B H Cox
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
Post · Horse
8
Don's Winner
EP Fits
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
J Sharp
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
7
Liberty Valance
S Neutral
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Bold Stand
EP Fits
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
E G Harty
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse
1
El Tio
S Neutral
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
R Medina
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse
5
Mr. Tapps
—
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
M W McCarthy
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.4
Post · Horse
2
Safety Off
—
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
D Beckman
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$120,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:50 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Nine two-year-old fillies navigate an extended 7 1/2 furlongs where experienced runner #7 Texas Dandelion aims to rebound from a Saratoga misfire. The tactical issue is whether #3 Foxiest can stretch her speed from a 67 figure debut at Saratoga around two turns for trainer Brad Cox.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.1%
Price horse: Foxiest (6/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Texas Dandelion S —
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
 8/1
17
★★★☆☆
56.3
 Top Pick
3 Foxiest —
L Saez
B H Cox
 6/5
17
★★★☆☆
56.0
 Value Play
8 Special Liberty —
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 6/1
14
★★★☆☆
53.3
  
4 Missy —
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
 5/1
13
★★★☆☆
52.4
  
5 Dantini —
A Concepcion
W Walden
 9/2
12
★★★☆☆
50.5
  
6 My Pal Al —
L Machado
R Medina
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
47.9
 Longshot
2 Sapphire Song —
J A Torres
R Mott
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.4
  
1 She's All Kristi —
M Fernandez
D K Von Hemel
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.0
  
9 Tajin Time —
G Corrales
D L Romans
 20/1
5
★★☆☆☆
37.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Texas Dandelion
S —
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Foxiest
—
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
B H Cox
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
8
Special Liberty
—
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.3
Post · Horse
4
Missy
—
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse
5
Dantini
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W Walden
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
Post · Horse Longshot
6
My Pal Al
—
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
R Medina
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
Post · Horse
2
Sapphire Song
—
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Mott
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.4
Post · Horse
1
She's All Kristi
—
Jockey
M Fernandez
Trainer
D K Von Hemel
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.0
Post · Horse
9
Tajin Time
—
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
D L Romans
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won Two R
Purse$127,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:22 PM ET
Field Size15
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A massive 15-horse turf sprint creates an unpredictable betting environment where morning-line favorite #6 Beach Heist meets #9 Moonlight Dash. The handicapping challenge is separating over a half-dozen runners paired within two speed figure points of each other.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
3
P
0
S
6

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #2 Sweet Sissone, #10 Dashin' Diva.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 9.7%
Price horse: Moonlight Dash (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Beach Heist —
A Concepcion
W Walden
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
66.5
 Top Pick
9 Moonlight Dash S Fits
Y Hazlewood
P A Bauer
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
65.5
 Value Play
1 Mechaya —
F Arrieta
J P DiVito
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
63.7
  
5 Shirley Ann S Fits
J C Bealmear
C Vesty
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
63.7
  
14 Zoe's Prime S Fits
M Meeks
J M Camejo
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
62.3
  
11 Debt Free S Fits
B J Hernandez, Jr.
C Murphy
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
61.7
  
7 Mackinac EP Neutral
L Saez
G R Arnold II
 7/2
7
★★★★☆
61.6
  
15 Storm Cloud Rising EP Neutral
Y Hazlewood
A Cambray
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
61.2
  
2 Sweet Sissone E Misfit
T Gaffalione
G D Foley
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
61.1
  
3 Cactus Cairo S Fits
D Sheehy
R D Walsh
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
12 Lindy Can S Fits
S Pauly
D Hancock
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.3
 Longshot
4 Balright —
R Bejarano
J Dixon, Jr.
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
56.6
  
10 Dashin' Diva E Misfit
G Corrales
L Briley
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
56.4
  
13 Now Or Nevermore —
M Murrill
C Banks
 7/2
4
★★★☆☆
55.1
  
8 Mystic Realm EP Neutral
A Beschizza
E Vaughan
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
54.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Beach Heist
—
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W Walden
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Moonlight Dash
S Fits
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
P A Bauer
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
1
Mechaya
—
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
J P DiVito
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse
5
Shirley Ann
S Fits
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
C Vesty
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse
14
Zoe's Prime
S Fits
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
J M Camejo
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
Post · Horse
11
Debt Free
S Fits
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
C Murphy
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
Post · Horse
7
Mackinac
EP Neutral
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
G R Arnold II
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
Post · Horse
15
Storm Cloud Rising
EP Neutral
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
A Cambray
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.2
Post · Horse
2
Sweet Sissone
E Misfit
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
G D Foley
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse
3
Cactus Cairo
S Fits
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
R D Walsh
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse Longshot
12
Lindy Can
S Fits
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
D Hancock
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
4
Balright
—
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
J Dixon, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.6
Post · Horse
10
Dashin' Diva
E Misfit
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
L Briley
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.4
Post · Horse
13
Now Or Nevermore
—
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
C Banks
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.1
Post · Horse
8
Mystic Realm
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
E Vaughan
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 15-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $50,000 Or Less Or Which Have Broken Their Maiden In A Maiden
Purse$83,000
Claiming$50,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:54 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Ten runners contest a $50,000 claiming route where #4 Funny Uncle towers on raw numbers after earning a 104 speed figure at Colonial Downs. The question is whether #6 Lolo Le Plume can fire fresh off a layoff after showing 90-plus West Coast figures last winter.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
2
P
2
S
3

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #8 Spirit of a Walkon, #7 Consolidated, #10 Rugged Love.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.0%
Price horse: Lolo Le Plume (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Funny Uncle S Fits
J L Ortiz
J Sharp
 5/2
20
★★★★☆
75.4
 Top Pick
6 Lolo Le Plume S Fits
L Saez
R B Hess, Jr.
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
68.7
 Value Play
3 South Bend Tom P Fits
A Concepcion
A M Stall, Jr.
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
68.5
  
8 Spirit of a Walkon E Misfit
B J Hernandez, Jr.
D L Romans
 7/2
12
★★★★☆
67.2
  
7 Consolidated E Misfit
L Machado
A Delacour
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
65.3
 Longshot
10 Rugged Love E Misfit
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
64.0
  
1 Feral EP Neutral
B Curtis
M A Tomlinson
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
62.7
  
9 Jets Rio EP Neutral
R Bejarano
R Moquett
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
59.8
  
2 Bigtimetimmyjim P Fits
G Corrales
L Briley
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
52.5
  
5 Large Risk S Fits
E A Roman
C Contreras
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Funny Uncle
S Fits
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
J Sharp
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.4
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Lolo Le Plume
S Fits
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
R B Hess, Jr.
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse
3
South Bend Tom
P Fits
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
A M Stall, Jr.
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse
8
Spirit of a Walkon
E Misfit
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
D L Romans
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.2
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Consolidated
E Misfit
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
A Delacour
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
10
Rugged Love
E Misfit
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
1
Feral
EP Neutral
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
M A Tomlinson
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
9
Jets Rio
EP Neutral
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
R Moquett
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse
2
Bigtimetimmyjim
P Fits
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
L Briley
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.5
Post · Horse
5
Large Risk
S Fits
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
C Contreras
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or
Purse$134,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 3/8 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:25 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The finale is a grueling 11-furlong turf marathon drawing 11 competitors where #1 Demolition Duke meets recent Kentucky Downs winner #10 Telescopic. The central issue is whether #1 Demolition Duke can overcome traffic from the rail draw to unleash the 105 speed figure form he displayed two starts ago.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
2
P
2
S
4

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #7 Winston, #4 Groveland.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 12.4%
Price horse: Telescopic (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Demolition Duke —
J L Ortiz
M J Maker
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
68.6
 Top Pick
10 Telescopic S Fits
A Concepcion
V H Oliver
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
67.8
 Value Play
7 Winston E Misfit
V R Carrasco
H De Paz
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
67.1
  
6 Proven Advocate S Fits
B J Hernandez, Jr.
J J Gelner
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
67.1
 Longshot
2 The Hidden Chamber P Fits
L Saez
K Danner
 4/1
9
★★★★☆
64.1
  
4 Groveland E Misfit
F Arrieta
E Kenneally
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
63.8
  
5 Guns and Glory EP Neutral
D Sheehy
C A Hartman
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
61.1
  
9 Real Fast P Fits
Y Hazlewood
B L King
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
60.6
  
11 Clyde's Got a Gun S Fits
J Graham
H Pitts
 10/1
7
★★★★☆
60.6
  
8 Warlander EP Neutral
T Gaffalione
M J Maker
 7/2
7
★★★★☆
60.4
  
3 Devil Anse S Fits
W Antongeorgi III
R D Walsh
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Demolition Duke
—
Jockey
J L Ortiz
Trainer
M J Maker
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Telescopic
S Fits
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
V H Oliver
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse
7
Winston
E Misfit
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
H De Paz
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Proven Advocate
S Fits
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
J J Gelner
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse
2
The Hidden Chamber
P Fits
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
K Danner
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.1
Post · Horse
4
Groveland
E Misfit
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E Kenneally
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse
5
Guns and Glory
EP Neutral
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
C A Hartman
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse
9
Real Fast
P Fits
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
B L King
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.6
Post · Horse
11
Clyde's Got a Gun
S Fits
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
H Pitts
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.6
Post · Horse
8
Warlander
EP Neutral
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
M J Maker
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
3
Devil Anse
S Fits
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
R D Walsh
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro