Curated Betting Card

Colonial Downs

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2026-07-11 Morning Card
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Colonial Downs · full board
Strongest play
R8
Sporting Lady #6
Top conf.
Best value
R3
Crystal Frost
15/1 ML
Best longshot
R2
Wicked Luna #10
30/1 ML
Deepest field
R5
10 runners
10
Pace race
R2
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Tony Russo: This card at Colonial has a lot of wide-open fields where the morning line is going to get it wrong on a couple of prices. Maggie Rowan: The standout is Race 8 where the top two are separated by less than a point but the longshot angle is live. Tony Russo: Lean small on most races and focus on exactas rather than trying to beat the chalk everywhere.
Races 10 Status Completed View Morning
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Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Surfaceturf
Post Time12:30 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Cherokee Purple draws the outside post in this mile turf maiden but has the best workout rating in the field at 85.0. Maggie Rowan notes the tight rating cluster means the 6-1 morning line is fair only if the horse handles the turf first time out. Tony Russo wonders whether the layoff horses like Princess Chanty will actually fire or if the race falls to the first-time starter with the sharpest work.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.9%
Price horse: Cherokee Purple (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (7 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Cherokee Purple
S Marin
K Danner
 6/1
21
★★★★☆
66.2
 Top Pick
1 Sally Maclennane
M Chuan
K Brion
 5/1
17
★★★★☆
63.3
  
2 Princess Chanty
P Lopez
C Munoz
 9/2
16
★★★★☆
62.4
  
3 Mightily
J Rosado
J O'Dwyer
 5/1
15
★★★★☆
61.2
 Longshot
4 Last Move
J Toledo
P Schoenthal
 6/1
13
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
5 A La Mode
S Leon
M E Casse
 9/2
13
★★★☆☆
59.1
  
7 Amavida
J Loveberry
J K Desormeaux
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
47.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Cherokee Purple
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
K Danner
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
1
Sally Maclennane
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
K Brion
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse
2
Princess Chanty
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
C Munoz
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Mightily
Jockey
J Rosado
Trainer
J O'Dwyer
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.2
Post · Horse
4
Last Move
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
P Schoenthal
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
5
A La Mode
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
M E Casse
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse
7
Amavida
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time12:59 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Reading Time is the clear top-rated horse at 74.4 but Tony Russo flags the 3-2 morning line as too short for a horse coming off a long layoff. Maggie Rowan points to Wicked Luna's 30-1 price and the 8.7-point rating gap as the real angle. The question is whether the favorite can hold off the longshot in a wide-open claiming field.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.6%
Price horse: Wicked Luna (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (6 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Reading Time
P Lopez
J F Orseno
 3/2
22
★★★★☆
75.6
 Top Pick
3 Boys Go to Jupiter
J E Vargas
K Hohlbein
 12/1
16
★★★★☆
70.6
  
1 Minari
M Chuan
K Brion
 2/1
14
★★★★☆
69.3
  
4 Taco Cat Backwards
J Rosado
M F Meyers
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
63.7
  
7 Fluffy
L Fuenmayor
A M Rodriguez
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
63.4
  
10 Wicked Luna
M Franklin
F G Smith, Jr.
 30/1
9
★★★★☆
61.7
 Value Play
9 Seekingbythestorm
J Panaijo
A E Lizardi
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
60.4
  
8 Good Accelebrate
D Centeno
S S Cooney
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.8
  
6 Iamdependingonyou
H Karamanos
C A Frock
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
54.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Reading Time
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J F Orseno
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.6
Post · Horse
3
Boys Go to Jupiter
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
K Hohlbein
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse
1
Minari
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
K Brion
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
Post · Horse
4
Taco Cat Backwards
Jockey
J Rosado
Trainer
M F Meyers
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse
7
Fluffy
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
A M Rodriguez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Wicked Luna
Jockey
M Franklin
Trainer
F G Smith, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
Post · Horse
9
Seekingbythestorm
Jockey
J Panaijo
Trainer
A E Lizardi
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
8
Good Accelebrate
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
S S Cooney
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse
6
Iamdependingonyou
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
C A Frock
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Post Time1:28 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Crystal Frost tops the ratings at 66.24 in this wide-open maiden claiming sprint. Maggie Rowan highlights the 15-1 morning line as a massive overlay given the 72.5 speed rating. Tony Russo agrees the price is the story but questions whether the rest of the field has enough early speed to set it up.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.2%
Price horse: Crystal Frost (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Crystal Frost
S Vives
R A Barrett
 15/1
18
★★★★☆
66.2
 Top Pick
7 Rocker Roller
S Russell
B T Russell
 3/1
17
★★★★☆
65.4
  
8 With Kindness
S Marin
S R Hernandez, Jr.
 3/2
17
★★★★☆
65.4
  
4 Runtown
H Karamanos
M McGoey
 15/1
15
★★★★☆
63.2
  
6 Honey Drop
P Lopez
M Simms, Jr.
 5/1
10
★★★☆☆
57.0
  
1 English Harbour
J Ruiz
L Robson
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
56.1
  
3 Knight Cheetah
L Fuenmayor
A M Rodriguez
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.5
  
2 Awards Ceremony
J Loveberry
A Delacour
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
53.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Crystal Frost
Jockey
S Vives
Trainer
R A Barrett
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
7
Rocker Roller
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse
8
With Kindness
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
S R Hernandez, Jr.
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse
4
Runtown
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
M McGoey
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse
6
Honey Drop
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
M Simms, Jr.
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse
1
English Harbour
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
L Robson
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse
3
Knight Cheetah
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
A M Rodriguez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
Post · Horse
2
Awards Ceremony
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
A Delacour
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time2:00 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Karate Island leads with a 70.64 rating and 76.2 speed rating in this turf maiden. Maggie Rowan notes the 23.1% win probability is the highest in the field. Tony Russo sees value in Forget the Rules at 20-1 but questions whether the top pick can handle the cutback to five and a half furlongs.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 19.5%
Price horse: Forget the Rules (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Karate Island
J Toledo
B T Russell
 5/2
23
★★★★☆
70.6
 Top Pick
4 Isaiah Fiftythree
J Loveberry
A F Allen III
 10/1
15
★★★★☆
64.3
 Longshot
1 Chimney Sweep
J Barbosa
A Aguirre, Jr.
 5/1
14
★★★★☆
63.7
  
5 City of Bling
J Rosado
J O'Dwyer
 7/2
14
★★★★☆
63.2
  
7 Airbrush
P Lopez
L Gaudet
 3/1
13
★★★★☆
61.9
  
8 Forget the Rules
F Boyce
T L Keefe
 20/1
9
★★★☆☆
56.3
 Value Play
9 Improbable Dream
H Karamanos
G L Williams, Jr.
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
6 Little Boss Man
J G Briceno
K Dennehy
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
48.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Karate Island
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
B T Russell
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Isaiah Fiftythree
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
A F Allen III
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse
1
Chimney Sweep
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
A Aguirre, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse
5
City of Bling
Jockey
J Rosado
Trainer
J O'Dwyer
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse
7
Airbrush
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
L Gaudet
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Forget the Rules
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
T L Keefe
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse
9
Improbable Dream
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
G L Williams, Jr.
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
6
Little Boss Man
Jockey
J G Briceno
Trainer
K Dennehy
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Surfaceturf
Post Time2:33 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Sea Lion tops the ratings at 75.05 in this mile turf claimer. Maggie Rowan points to the 80.7 form rating as the key edge. Tony Russo sees the 20-1 on Julia's a Fox as the real value and questions whether the top pick will get the right trip from the outside post.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.4%
Price horse: Julia's a Fox (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
11 Sea Lion
S Marin
K Danner
 5/2
18
★★★★☆
75.0
 Top Pick
10 Whatsyourbigidea
F Boyce
L Gaudet
 9/2
15
★★★★☆
72.4
  
4 Salty One
J Rocco, Jr.
J E Salzman, Jr.
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
66.5
 Longshot
9 Julia's a Fox
L Fuenmayor
I G Flores
 20/1
10
★★★★☆
66.0
 Value Play
6 Savanasrioguerrera
M J Sanchez
M Shuman
 20/1
10
★★★★☆
65.8
  
5 V Inspired
T Kingsley
T J Wyatt
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
65.6
  
7 Set Ablaze
S Vives
K Dennehy
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
62.8
  
8 Katarzyna
D Centeno
R P Sillaman
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
62.1
  
1 Final Engagement
J Barbosa
J J Robb
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
62.0
  
2 Lady Lena
X Perez
J L Lawrence II
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
56.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
11
Sea Lion
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
K Danner
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.0
Post · Horse
10
Whatsyourbigidea
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
L Gaudet
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.4
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Salty One
Jockey
J Rocco, Jr.
Trainer
J E Salzman, Jr.
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Julia's a Fox
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
I G Flores
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse
6
Savanasrioguerrera
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M Shuman
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
5
V Inspired
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
T J Wyatt
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.6
Post · Horse
7
Set Ablaze
Jockey
S Vives
Trainer
K Dennehy
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
8
Katarzyna
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
R P Sillaman
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
1
Final Engagement
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
J J Robb
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.0
Post · Horse
2
Lady Lena
Jockey
X Perez
Trainer
J L Lawrence II
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
Typemaiden or claiming allowed
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
Post Time3:05 PM ET
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Just Philtored is the top-rated horse at 72.49 but Tony Russo flags the 7-5 morning line as too short. Maggie Rowan sees the 10-1 on Mon Reve as the key value angle. The race turns on whether the favorite can hold off the longshot in a short field.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.2%
Price horse: Mon Reve (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Just Philtored
M J Sanchez
M J Trombetta
 7/5
27
★★★★☆
72.5
 Top Pick
1 Slewperstitus
J Toledo
W R Bailes
 8/5
26
★★★★☆
72.0
  
3 Irish Jig
S Leon
K L Deiter
 6/1
18
★★★★☆
66.1
  
6 Doc's Miracle
P Lopez
G Capuano
 4/1
15
★★★★☆
64.0
  
5 Mon Reve
J Loveberry
V H Oliver
 10/1
14
★★★★☆
62.5
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Just Philtored
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse
1
Slewperstitus
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
W R Bailes
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.0
Post · Horse
3
Irish Jig
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
K L Deiter
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse
6
Doc's Miracle
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
G Capuano
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Mon Reve
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
V H Oliver
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
Typemaiden or claiming or starter allowed
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
Post Time3:37 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Pont Aven leads with a 79.99 rating and 100 speed rating. Maggie Rowan notes the 20.5% win probability is the highest in the field. Tony Russo sees State Conceal at 15-1 as the live longshot and questions whether the top pick will fire off the layoff.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.9%
Price horse: State Conceal (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Pont Aven
M J Sanchez
M J Trombetta
 5/1
20
★★★★☆
80.0
 Top Pick
4 Magic Wallet
J Ruiz
K Magee
 6/1
16
★★★★☆
76.9
  
1 Close the Gate
J Rocco, Jr.
J E Salzman, Jr.
 3/1
16
★★★★☆
76.3
  
8 Tartabull
P Lopez
R G Crichton
 2/1
13
★★★★☆
73.0
  
3 Top Manipulator
F Boyce
T L Keefe
 4/1
11
★★★★☆
70.5
  
6 State Conceal
J Rosado
C Munoz
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
69.0
 Value Play
7 Sav'n Money
J Loveberry
W M Catalano
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
65.8
  
2 G Q Worthy
X Perez
J J Robb
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
63.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Pont Aven
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 80.0
Post · Horse
4
Magic Wallet
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
K Magee
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.9
Post · Horse
1
Close the Gate
Jockey
J Rocco, Jr.
Trainer
J E Salzman, Jr.
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.3
Post · Horse
8
Tartabull
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
R G Crichton
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.0
Post · Horse
3
Top Manipulator
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
T L Keefe
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse Value Play
6
State Conceal
Jockey
J Rosado
Trainer
C Munoz
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse
7
Sav'n Money
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
W M Catalano
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
2
G Q Worthy
Jockey
X Perez
Trainer
J J Robb
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
Typestakes winners, then highest turf earnings in
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time4:07 PM ET
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Sporting Lady is the top-rated horse at 74.93 but Tony Russo flags the 2-1 morning line as too short. Maggie Rowan sees Chickahominy at 12-1 as the live longshot with a 115% EV signal. The race turns on whether the favorite can hold off the price horse in this turf sprint.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 25.7%
Price horse: Chickahominy (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Sporting Lady
M Chuan
K Brion
 2/1
28
★★★★☆
74.9
 Top Pick
1 Quadra
M J Sanchez
R J Hendriks
 5/2
27
★★★★☆
74.3
  
3 Noquestionaboutit
J Ruiz
M J Trombetta
 6/5
22
★★★★☆
71.1
  
2 Chickahominy
P Lopez
K Dennehy
 12/1
15
★★★★☆
65.4
 Value Play
5 Carolina Sun
J Toledo
S S Cooney
 30/1
9
★★★☆☆
58.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Sporting Lady
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
K Brion
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.9
Post · Horse
1
Quadra
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
R J Hendriks
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.3
Post · Horse
3
Noquestionaboutit
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
M J Trombetta
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Chickahominy
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
K Dennehy
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse
5
Carolina Sun
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
S S Cooney
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
Typestakes winners, then highest turf earnings in
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time4:37 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Saxton leads with an 83.26 rating and 98.8 speed rating. Maggie Rowan notes the 27.9% win probability is the highest in the field. Tony Russo sees Crossingthechannel at 5-1 as the value play and questions whether the top pick will get the right trip from post 2.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 25.1%
Price horse: Crossingthechannel (5/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Crossingthechannel
A R Rodriguez
M J Trombetta
 5/1
28
★★★★★
83.4
 Value Play
2 Saxton
S Russell
B T Russell
 7/2
28
★★★★★
83.3
 Top Pick
4 War Humor
J Toledo
W R Bailes
 5/1
19
★★★★☆
77.7
  
3 Determined Kingdom
M J Sanchez
M J Trombetta
 1/1
15
★★★★☆
73.8
 Longshot
5 Go to Bingo
J Ruiz
S S Cooney
 30/1
6
★★★★☆
61.1
  
7 Nancie's Boy
D Centeno
S S Cooney
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
53.4
  
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Crossingthechannel
Jockey
A R Rodriguez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★★ 83.4
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Saxton
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★★ 83.3
Post · Horse
4
War Humor
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
W R Bailes
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.7
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Determined Kingdom
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.8
Post · Horse
5
Go to Bingo
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
S S Cooney
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse
7
Nancie's Boy
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
S S Cooney
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time5:08 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Toocoolforschool leads with a 66.5 rating in this wide-open turf maiden. Maggie Rowan highlights the 14.9% win probability as the best in the field. Tony Russo sees Lucky Lis at 20-1 as the live longshot and questions whether the top pick can handle the outside post.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.3%
Price horse: Lucky Lis (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (6 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
11 Toocoolforschool
S Vives
M Stidham
 9/2
17
★★★★☆
70.5
 Top Pick
3 Italy
P Lopez
M Stidham
 4/5
17
★★★★☆
70.4
  
8 Yaudacity
J Loveberry
D Beckman
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
67.6
  
2 Lucky Lis
J Ruiz
J J Magana
 20/1
11
★★★★☆
64.4
 Value Play
10 Champagne Brunch
S Leon
A Sano
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
63.0
  
1 Super Dreamy
V Cheminaud
D Beckman
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
62.9
 Longshot
4 Brikeli
X Perez
K M Horlacher
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
55.4
  
7 Baby Queen
S Marin
E Azpurua, Jr.
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
53.4
  
6 Caramella Gee
C Maldonado
D L McClure
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.2
  
5 Twenty Four Cara
T Lyapustina
D L McClure
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
11
Toocoolforschool
Jockey
S Vives
Trainer
M Stidham
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse
3
Italy
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
M Stidham
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
Post · Horse
8
Yaudacity
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
D Beckman
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Lucky Lis
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
J J Magana
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.4
Post · Horse
10
Champagne Brunch
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
A Sano
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Super Dreamy
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
D Beckman
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
4
Brikeli
Jockey
X Perez
Trainer
K M Horlacher
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse
7
Baby Queen
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
E Azpurua, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.4
Post · Horse
6
Caramella Gee
Jockey
C Maldonado
Trainer
D L McClure
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse
5
Twenty Four Cara
Jockey
T Lyapustina
Trainer
D L McClure
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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