Curated Betting Card

Colonial Downs

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 7.

2026-07-12 Race 7 Morning Card
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Card signals
Colonial Downs · full board
Strongest play
R1
Baytown Parfait #2
Top conf.
Best value
R2
Belly Dance
30/1 ML
Best longshot
R1
Street Earnings #7
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R8
11 runners
11
Pace race
R3
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Maggie Rowan sees a card heavy on turf maidens where recent works and speed ratings point to a handful of playable favorites in the early races. Tony Russo pushes back that the Colonial turf often flattens the form and the real money will come from the longshots flagged in races 2 and 8. Both agree the card plays best with small exacta coverage rather than big win bets on any single horse.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
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Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Surfaceturf
Post Time12:30 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Baytown Parfait exits a solid third at Delaware with a recent speed figure of 77 and draws the rail for the mile turf claimer, but Tony Russo wonders if the 9/5 morning line is too short given the class drop for Next Level. The question is whether the speed duel between posts 1 and 3 sets it up for the late runners or if the top-rated horse simply runs them down.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 18.1%
Price horse: Wine Collector (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Baytown Parfait
S Marin
J A Gallegos
 7/2
27
★★★★★
81.9
 Top Pick
3 Next Level
J Loveberry
J K Desormeaux
 5/2
15
★★★★☆
73.2
  
6 Flat Top Box
M J Sanchez
J A Gallegos
 10/1
13
★★★★☆
71.4
  
5 Wine Collector
D Centeno
R Sanchez-Salomon
 15/1
12
★★★★☆
70.4
 Value Play
7 Street Earnings
S Leon
M E Casse
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
68.8
 Longshot
1 In a Jam
P Lopez
J G Cook
 7/5
11
★★★★☆
68.7
  
4 Love Me Not
M Chuan
J Ness
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
67.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Baytown Parfait
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J A Gallegos
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★★ 81.9
Post · Horse
3
Next Level
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse
6
Flat Top Box
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J A Gallegos
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Wine Collector
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
R Sanchez-Salomon
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Street Earnings
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
M E Casse
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
Post · Horse
1
In a Jam
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J G Cook
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse
4
Love Me Not
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
J Ness
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Post Time12:59 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Ginger Girl exits a fourth at Laurel with a 69 figure and gets Lopez aboard but the 9/5 morning line makes Tony Russo look elsewhere. The race turns on whether Belly Dance at 30-1 can improve sharply off her recent works or if the top-rated horse simply holds the edge.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 17.8%
Price horse: Belly Dance (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Ginger Girl
P Lopez
J Shankle
 9/5
21
★★★★☆
72.1
 Top Pick
6 Ade
J Ruiz
R Sanchez-Salomon
 9/5
18
★★★★☆
69.7
  
2 Humor Sense
S Marin
G Ochoa
 15/1
15
★★★★☆
66.7
 Longshot
7 Fourfiftyseven
J Loveberry
R A Barrett
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
65.5
  
4 Belly Dance
H Karamanos
G Ochoa
 30/1
12
★★★★☆
63.6
 Value Play
1 Three Run Bolt
J E Vargas
J A Vargas
 3/1
11
★★★★☆
62.1
  
5 Missy Boss
M J Sanchez
A F Allen III
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
62.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Ginger Girl
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J Shankle
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.1
Post · Horse
6
Ade
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
R Sanchez-Salomon
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Humor Sense
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
G Ochoa
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
7
Fourfiftyseven
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
R A Barrett
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Belly Dance
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
G Ochoa
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse
1
Three Run Bolt
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
J A Vargas
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
5
Missy Boss
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
A F Allen III
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Eighth Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time1:28 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Rule Seventy Six brings the best recent speed figure of 74 and a sharp 37.10 work but Tony Russo flags the 2/1 morning line as too short in a wide-open maiden claimer. The race hinges on whether the favorite can handle the stretch-out or if a longshot like Target Market springs the upset.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.8%
Price horse: Joy Division (4/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Rule Seventy Six
N Juarez
S A Joseph, Jr.
 2/1
20
★★★★☆
72.1
 Top Pick
5 Joy Division
J Ruiz
H G Motion
 4/1
18
★★★★☆
70.3
 Value Play
2 Win Street
P Lopez
M J Trombetta
 3/1
18
★★★★☆
70.1
  
9 Hill Country
S Russell
J K Desormeaux
 5/1
15
★★★★☆
67.6
  
1 Target Market
S Marin
J Duarte, Jr.
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
57.2
 Longshot
8 Mo Can Dance
J Loveberry
E W West
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
56.3
  
4 Blame It On Linda
J Panaijo
T Connelly
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.7
  
3 Stillhouse
J Pimentel
K Brion
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.1
  
7 Mr. First
S Leon
M R Yanez
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Rule Seventy Six
Jockey
N Juarez
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.1
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Joy Division
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
H G Motion
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.3
Post · Horse
2
Win Street
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse
9
Hill Country
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Target Market
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J Duarte, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.2
Post · Horse
8
Mo Can Dance
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
E W West
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse
4
Blame It On Linda
Jockey
J Panaijo
Trainer
T Connelly
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
3
Stillhouse
Jockey
J Pimentel
Trainer
K Brion
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
Post · Horse
7
Mr. First
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
M R Yanez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time2:00 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Dandy Vandy exits a third at Laurel with a 62 figure and gets the rail but the wide-open field leaves Tony Russo looking for value underneath. The question is whether the favorite can handle the mile-and-a-sixteenth or if Band On the Run at 12-1 improves off the works.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.1%
Price horse: Watch Me Sparkle (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Dandy Vandy
M Chuan
J Ness
 3/1
16
★★★★☆
70.1
 Top Pick
2 Ability
R Maragh
J Wojczynski
 15/1
13
★★★★☆
66.5
  
4 Sota Summers
S Russell
B T Russell
 7/2
12
★★★★☆
65.5
  
5 Band On the Run
J Loveberry
L Hester
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
65.0
 Longshot
8 Rodina
J Ruiz
A Delacour
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
65.0
  
1 Rotisserie
P Lopez
M E Lauer
 5/1
11
★★★★☆
64.5
  
9 Improbable Tale
J E Vargas
A Delacour
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.9
  
7 Uncommon
M J Sanchez
R J Hendriks
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.5
  
6 Watch Me Sparkle
H Karamanos
A F Allen III
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
58.7
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Dandy Vandy
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
J Ness
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse
2
Ability
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
J Wojczynski
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse
4
Sota Summers
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Band On the Run
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
L Hester
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
8
Rodina
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
A Delacour
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
1
Rotisserie
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
M E Lauer
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
9
Improbable Tale
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
A Delacour
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
7
Uncommon
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
R J Hendriks
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Watch Me Sparkle
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
A F Allen III
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Post Time2:29 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Caritas exits a fourth at Colonial with a 41 figure and gets a sharp 38.62 work but the wide-open sprint leaves Tony Russo hunting longshots. The race turns on whether the favorite can break through or if Unrelentingcourage at 20-1 improves sharply first time out.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.3%
Price horse: Unrelentingcourage (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Caritas
I Villalobos
A M Rodriguez
 5/1
15
★★★☆☆
57.4
 Top Pick
4 Cash for Whiskey
S Leon
T Connelly
 6/1
13
★★★☆☆
55.3
  
9 Good Lookerness
M Chuan
J Ness
 2/1
13
★★★☆☆
55.2
  
2 Sawyer's Song
P Lopez
J Cruz
 10/1
12
★★★☆☆
54.4
 Longshot
6 Rapidash It
S Vives
M Lightner
 12/1
11
★★★☆☆
52.2
  
3 Fridaynightclub
R Maragh
M Lightner
 3/1
10
★★★☆☆
51.0
  
1 Unrelentingcourage
U Casique
R P Clement III
 20/1
9
★★★☆☆
49.4
 Value Play
8 My Maceo
C Montalvo
R P Clement III
 20/1
9
★★★☆☆
49.0
  
5 Go Junior Go
J Panaijo
C Munoz
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
46.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Caritas
Jockey
I Villalobos
Trainer
A M Rodriguez
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
Post · Horse
4
Cash for Whiskey
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
T Connelly
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.3
Post · Horse
9
Good Lookerness
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
J Ness
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.2
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Sawyer's Song
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J Cruz
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse
6
Rapidash It
Jockey
S Vives
Trainer
M Lightner
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.2
Post · Horse
3
Fridaynightclub
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
M Lightner
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Unrelentingcourage
Jockey
U Casique
Trainer
R P Clement III
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
Post · Horse
8
My Maceo
Jockey
C Montalvo
Trainer
R P Clement III
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.0
Post · Horse
5
Go Junior Go
Jockey
J Panaijo
Trainer
C Munoz
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time2:59 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Fields of Grey draws the rail in the maiden special weight turf sprint but the wide-open field leaves Tony Russo looking at Island Bandit at 15-1. The race hinges on whether the favorite can handle the turf or if the longshot with the 50.20 work springs the upset.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.5%
Price horse: Island Bandit (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Fields of Grey
P Lopez
B P Walsh
 4/1
16
★★★★☆
71.5
 Top Pick
4 Fission
M J Sanchez
M J Trombetta
 9/5
16
★★★★☆
71.3
  
1 Do the Right Thing
J Ruiz
H G Motion
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
69.3
  
2 Harewood
S Russell
B T Russell
 5/1
13
★★★★☆
68.4
  
7 Prince of Peace
F Boyce
W R Bailes
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
65.9
  
8 Island Bandit
X Perez
J J Robb
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
64.7
 Value Play
6 Jimmijac
J Panaijo
T Connelly
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.6
  
10 I Feel Lucky
R Maragh
M Lightner
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
51.6
  
9 Chief Ball
S Leon
J A Kelley
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.5
  
5 El Pantera
J Barbosa
R Sanchez-Salomon
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
46.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Fields of Grey
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
B P Walsh
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.5
Post · Horse
4
Fission
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.3
Post · Horse
1
Do the Right Thing
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
H G Motion
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
Post · Horse
2
Harewood
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.4
Post · Horse
7
Prince of Peace
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
W R Bailes
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Island Bandit
Jockey
X Perez
Trainer
J J Robb
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse
6
Jimmijac
Jockey
J Panaijo
Trainer
T Connelly
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.6
Post · Horse
10
I Feel Lucky
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
M Lightner
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.6
Post · Horse
9
Chief Ball
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
J A Kelley
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
Post · Horse
5
El Pantera
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
R Sanchez-Salomon
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Va Restricted, Or State Bred/sired Or Which Have Neve
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And Three Sixteenth Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:27 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Hold Out exits a win at Laurel with a 95 figure and gets Boyce aboard but the wide-open field leaves Tony Russo looking at Crabs N Beer at 20-1. The race turns on whether the favorite can handle the stretch-out or if the longshot with the 47.80 work improves.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.4%
Price horse: Crabs N Beer (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Carcano
S Marin
V H Oliver
 5/2
19
★★★★★
80.8
  
4 Hold Out
F Boyce
S Stettinius
 8/1
16
★★★★☆
78.5
 Top Pick
8 Can Group
M Chuan
J Ness
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
73.9
  
3 Zevon
H Karamanos
D Hodsdon
 15/1
12
★★★★☆
73.9
  
2 Andthewinneris
J Loveberry
W M Catalano
 7/5
11
★★★★☆
72.9
  
6 Read On
J Barbosa
K Magee
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
71.9
  
7 Crabs N Beer
J Pimentel
K Brion
 20/1
10
★★★★☆
71.9
 Value Play
5 Discreet Dancer
J Ruiz
A Sano
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
70.4
  
Post · Horse
1
Carcano
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
V H Oliver
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★★ 80.8
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Hold Out
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
S Stettinius
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.5
Post · Horse
8
Can Group
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
J Ness
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.9
Post · Horse
3
Zevon
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
D Hodsdon
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.9
Post · Horse
2
Andthewinneris
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
W M Catalano
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.9
Post · Horse
6
Read On
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
K Magee
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.9
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Crabs N Beer
Jockey
J Pimentel
Trainer
K Brion
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.9
Post · Horse
5
Discreet Dancer
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
A Sano
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:57 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Mizner exits back-to-back wins with a 92 figure and gets Russell aboard but the 3/1 morning line makes Tony Russo look at Laysen at 30-1. The race turns on whether the favorite can handle the cutback or if the longshot with the 37.60 work springs the upset.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 14.0%
Price horse: Laysen (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Mizner
S Russell
B T Russell
 8/1
18
★★★★★
83.8
 Top Pick
11 Laysen
E Rosario
W T McMahon
 30/1
11
★★★★☆
76.6
 Value Play
10 Doubting Thomas
J Ruiz
M J Trombetta
 3/1
11
★★★★☆
76.5
  
8 Spidey Man
M Chuan
J Ness
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
76.4
  
1 Proton
J E Vargas
H G Motion
 4/1
9
★★★★☆
72.8
  
2 Power Grid
D Centeno
J J Robb
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
72.8
  
4 Twilight Delight
P Lopez
D Leitch
 5/2
8
★★★★☆
71.7
  
7 Chingu
J Panaijo
C Rountree
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
69.0
  
5 Parkes
J Barbosa
S Stettinius
 30/1
6
★★★★☆
66.9
  
9 Jessica's Eyes
X Perez
J J Robb
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
64.2
  
6 Vintur
S Leon
M E Casse
 6/1
4
★★★★☆
62.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Mizner
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★★ 83.8
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Laysen
Jockey
E Rosario
Trainer
W T McMahon
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.6
Post · Horse
10
Doubting Thomas
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
M J Trombetta
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.5
Post · Horse
8
Spidey Man
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
J Ness
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.4
Post · Horse
1
Proton
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
H G Motion
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.8
Post · Horse
2
Power Grid
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
J J Robb
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.8
Post · Horse
4
Twilight Delight
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
D Leitch
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.7
Post · Horse
7
Chingu
Jockey
J Panaijo
Trainer
C Rountree
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse
5
Parkes
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
S Stettinius
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse
9
Jessica's Eyes
Jockey
X Perez
Trainer
J J Robb
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
6
Vintur
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
M E Casse
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time4:27 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Daenerys exits a second at Colonial with a 73 figure and gets Russell aboard but the 5/2 morning line makes Tony Russo look at Cataenjo at 6/1. The race turns on whether the favorite can break through or if the value horse with the 49.20 work improves.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 15.4%
Price horse: Cataenjo (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Daenerys
S Russell
B T Russell
 5/1
18
★★★★☆
75.1
 Top Pick
5 Themis
J Ruiz
A Delacour
 5/2
17
★★★★☆
73.7
  
9 Cataenjo
J Loveberry
L Rivelli
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
71.5
 Value Play
1 Clearly Sophia
P Lopez
K Dennehy
 3/1
10
★★★★☆
66.2
  
6 Penelope's Gift
F Boyce
T L Keefe
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
63.5
 Longshot
10 Kentucky Mule
J Toledo
L Gaudet
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.8
  
4 Icespionage
J E Vargas
J Cruz
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.5
  
11 Dream Chick
S Leon
J A Kelley
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.4
  
2 Janenmike
M J Sanchez
S S Cooney
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
3 Liz's Image
M Franklin
J A Kelley
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.6
  
8 Sunday Lyrics
N Juarez
H I McMahon
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
44.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Daenerys
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.1
Post · Horse
5
Themis
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
A Delacour
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.7
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Cataenjo
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
L Rivelli
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.5
Post · Horse
1
Clearly Sophia
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
K Dennehy
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Penelope's Gift
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
T L Keefe
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse
10
Kentucky Mule
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
L Gaudet
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.8
Post · Horse
4
Icespionage
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
J Cruz
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
11
Dream Chick
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
J A Kelley
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse
2
Janenmike
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
S S Cooney
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
3
Liz's Image
Jockey
M Franklin
Trainer
J A Kelley
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse
8
Sunday Lyrics
Jockey
N Juarez
Trainer
H I McMahon
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro