Curated Betting Card

Colonial Downs

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2026-07-16 Morning Card
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Colonial Downs · full board
Strongest play
R5
Irish Gent #7
Top conf.
Best value
R2
Sailor Sam
20/1 ML
Best longshot
R1
Lady Lyla #1
15/1 ML
Deepest field
R4
11 runners
11
Pace race
R4
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Colonial Downs opens with a tight maiden claimer where speed ratings cluster tightly and longshots show model support. Race 5 stands out as the day's clearest single with Irish Gent at 37.5 percent win probability. Several turf sprints and routes present chaos fields that reward small exacta coverage over heavy win bets. Practical angle centers on using workout ratings and recent figures to separate value underneath favorites in the 12-1 to 30-1 range.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Post Time10:00 AM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Kinda Krazy and Maggies Brew share the highest 20 percent win probability in this six-horse mile maiden claimer, yet the question is whether post-4 Shiv's 20-1 morning line can overcome a 32.5 speed rating after its recent third at Colonial.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.7%
Price horse: Shiv (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Kinda Krazy
J E Vargas
L Gaudet
3/2
21
★★★★☆
60.2
Top Pick
1 Lady Lyla
L Fuenmayor
M Paramo
15/1
21
★★★☆☆
59.7
Longshot
5 Maggies Brew
U Casique
J I Pimental
9/2
18
★★★☆☆
57.6
 
3 Lucky Tin Tin
P Lopez
A F Allen III
5/1
17
★★★☆☆
56.7
 
4 Shiv
T Kingsley
A J Kingsley, Jr.
20/1
14
★★★☆☆
54.4
Value Play
2 Lil Miss Perfect
J G Briceno
K C Boniface
12/1
9
★★★☆☆
46.7
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Kinda Krazy
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
L Gaudet
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.2
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Lady Lyla
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
M Paramo
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse
5
Maggies Brew
Jockey
U Casique
Trainer
J I Pimental
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.6
Post · Horse
3
Lucky Tin Tin
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
A F Allen III
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Shiv
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
A J Kingsley, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse
2
Lil Miss Perfect
Jockey
J G Briceno
Trainer
K C Boniface
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time10:27 AM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Frye Island leads with a 75.7 rating and recent 77 figure at Laurel, but the question is whether post-6 Sailor Sam at 20-1 can turn its 98.7 workout rating into an upset on the Colonial turf.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 19.0%
Price horse: Sailor Sam (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Sailor Sam
N Arroyo Bueno
K J Joy
20/1
21
★★★★☆
76.8
Value Play
2 Jungle Glow
P Lopez
J Ness
7/5
21
★★★★☆
76.3
 
7 Frye Island
J E Vargas
A Farrior
3/1
19
★★★★☆
75.3
Top Pick
3 Sinetic
S Marin
A Machado
4/1
11
★★★★☆
67.3
 
9 Uptowneagleslanded
S Leon
R A Werneth
12/1
11
★★★★☆
66.3
 
5 Beltane
J G Briceno
A Aguirre, Jr.
6/1
9
★★★★☆
63.1
 
8 El Bailador
J Panaijo
C Munoz
20/1
8
★★★★☆
61.9
 
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Sailor Sam
Jockey
N Arroyo Bueno
Trainer
K J Joy
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.8
Post · Horse
2
Jungle Glow
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J Ness
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.3
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Frye Island
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
A Farrior
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.3
Post · Horse
3
Sinetic
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
A Machado
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse
9
Uptowneagleslanded
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
R A Werneth
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
5
Beltane
Jockey
J G Briceno
Trainer
A Aguirre, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
8
El Bailador
Jockey
J Panaijo
Trainer
C Munoz
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Post Time10:54 AM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Souper Athlete tops the field at 29.4 percent win probability, yet the question is whether post-8 Ashley H can press the favorite after its recent fourth at Colonial.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.6%
Price horse: Ashley H (9/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Souper Athlete
M J Sanchez
M J Trombetta
2/1
30
★★★★☆
73.7
Top Pick
8 Ashley H
J Barbosa
A Farrior
9/2
17
★★★★☆
65.5
Value Play
6 Paris by Night
X Perez
J J Robb
4/1
12
★★★★☆
60.5
 
1 Sisu Spirit
R Maragh
M Lightner
3/1
11
★★★☆☆
58.5
 
3 Mo Passion
U Casique
C Munoz
30/1
10
★★★☆☆
57.7
Longshot
7 Chica Feliz
J Panaijo
T Connelly
12/1
10
★★★☆☆
56.8
 
4 Bourbonfordessert
Y O Ortiz
W R Bailes
15/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.0
 
2 Saiyaara
L Fuenmayor
C Munoz
15/1
4
★★★☆☆
45.2
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Souper Athlete
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
30
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.7
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Ashley H
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
A Farrior
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
6
Paris by Night
Jockey
X Perez
Trainer
J J Robb
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
1
Sisu Spirit
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
M Lightner
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Mo Passion
Jockey
U Casique
Trainer
C Munoz
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
7
Chica Feliz
Jockey
J Panaijo
Trainer
T Connelly
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse
4
Bourbonfordessert
Jockey
Y O Ortiz
Trainer
W R Bailes
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse
2
Saiyaara
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
C Munoz
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time11:21 AM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Whatwould Larry Do leads at 16 percent win probability in this wide-open turf maiden, but the question is whether post-14 Polka Dot Jersey at 30-1 can exploit its 88.1 workout rating against more experienced rivals.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.8%
Price horse: Polka Dot Jersey (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (5 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Whatwould Larry Do
M J Sanchez
M J Trombetta
5/1
16
★★★★☆
67.1
Top Pick
2 Cakey
S Russell
B T Russell
6/1
14
★★★★☆
65.2
 
12 Royal Companion
P Lopez
M J Trombetta
3/1
14
★★★★☆
65.0
 
14 Polka Dot Jersey
J Loveberry
M E Lauer
30/1
12
★★★★☆
63.3
Value Play
5 Mountain Mamba
J G Briceno
J Corrales
20/1
9
★★★☆☆
58.9
 
7 Millford Lass
S Marin
K Brion
9/2
8
★★★☆☆
57.5
 
9 Better Every Day
J Toledo
P Schoenthal
12/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.9
 
3 Mischief Springs
G Ashton
S S Cooney
20/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.5
 
6 Virginia Fab
H Karamanos
S S Cooney
30/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.8
 
1 Stoic Reserve
J Barbosa
H A Smith
20/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.8
 
8 Queen of Woodbine
X Perez
J J Robb
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
47.4
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Whatwould Larry Do
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse
2
Cakey
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
12
Royal Companion
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse Value Play
14
Polka Dot Jersey
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
M E Lauer
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse
5
Mountain Mamba
Jockey
J G Briceno
Trainer
J Corrales
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.9
Post · Horse
7
Millford Lass
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
K Brion
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
9
Better Every Day
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
P Schoenthal
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse
3
Mischief Springs
Jockey
G Ashton
Trainer
S S Cooney
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
Post · Horse
6
Virginia Fab
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
S S Cooney
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.8
Post · Horse
1
Stoic Reserve
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
H A Smith
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.8
Post · Horse
8
Queen of Woodbine
Jockey
X Perez
Trainer
J J Robb
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time11:48 AM ET
Field Size4
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Irish Gent towers at 37.5 percent win probability with a 98.8 speed rating, yet the question is whether post-1 La Houligan at 15-1 can close into a contested pace on the turf route.
PLAY Exacta Key
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 34.1%
Price horse: La Houligan (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Irish Gent
C Montalvo
S R Hernandez, Jr.
7/2
40
★★★★☆
78.1
Top Pick
6 Some Performance
P Lopez
B P Walsh
9/5
29
★★★★☆
73.2
 
2 Dr. Park
J Loveberry
P Eurton
3/1
16
★★★★☆
64.3
 
1 La Houligan
M J Sanchez
G Compton
15/1
15
★★★★☆
63.3
Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Irish Gent
Jockey
C Montalvo
Trainer
S R Hernandez, Jr.
40
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.1
Post · Horse
6
Some Performance
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
B P Walsh
29
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse
2
Dr. Park
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
P Eurton
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse Value Play
1
La Houligan
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
G Compton
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 4-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Surfaceturf
Post Time12:15 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
No Objection leads at 15.8 percent win probability in this mile turf maiden, but the question is whether post-7 Skycross can turn its 85.7 workout rating into an upset against the top-rated favorite.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.3%
Price horse: Mighty Mike (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (6 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 No Objection
J Loveberry
C DeVaux
9/5
16
★★★★☆
70.5
Top Pick
7 Skycross
J G Briceno
M Vera
15/1
15
★★★★☆
70.3
Longshot
6 Kiss the Ring
D Centeno
J Cruz
6/1
14
★★★★☆
68.6
 
1 Lex's Game
S Russell
B T Russell
6/1
13
★★★★☆
68.2
 
8 Bourbon Dream
S Marin
F Gutierrez
4/1
10
★★★★☆
64.6
 
9 Boundless Skies
P Lopez
J Duarte, Jr.
5/1
10
★★★★☆
64.6
 
3 Mighty Mike
M Franklin
J A Kelley
30/1
9
★★★★☆
61.7
Value Play
2 M D Fieldstone
J Ruiz
K C Boniface
15/1
8
★★★★☆
60.0
 
4 Bayfront
V Cheminaud
M Clement
8/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.3
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
No Objection
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
C DeVaux
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Skycross
Jockey
J G Briceno
Trainer
M Vera
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.3
Post · Horse
6
Kiss the Ring
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
J Cruz
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse
1
Lex's Game
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.2
Post · Horse
8
Bourbon Dream
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
F Gutierrez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
9
Boundless Skies
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J Duarte, Jr.
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Mighty Mike
Jockey
M Franklin
Trainer
J A Kelley
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
Post · Horse
2
M D Fieldstone
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
K C Boniface
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
4
Bayfront
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
M Clement
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time12:42 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Mo Rewards tops the field at 18.1 percent win probability with a 100 speed rating, yet the question is whether post-11 Hold Your Applause at 30-1 can close into a contested turf route.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.5%
Price horse: Hold Your Applause (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Mo Rewards
P Lopez
J Ness
5/1
22
★★★★★
81.9
Top Pick
3 Tigre
J Ruiz
M McGoey
9/2
17
★★★★☆
78.0
 
1 Arjay
S Marin
K Raven
7/2
13
★★★★☆
73.8
 
7 Bodecream
M J Sanchez
J Ness
5/1
11
★★★★☆
72.1
 
11 Hold Your Applause
D Centeno
T Girten
30/1
9
★★★★☆
69.2
Value Play
6 Italian Symphony
J Barbosa
M E Jones, Jr.
10/1
8
★★★★☆
66.1
 
10 Super Tiz
J E Vargas
J A Vargas
30/1
6
★★★★☆
63.9
 
8 King Nate
J Panaijo
C Rountree
30/1
6
★★★★☆
62.4
 
4 Initforthelove
T Kingsley
L F Gonzalez
30/1
5
★★★☆☆
59.2
 
5 Deep Star
L Fuenmayor
C Munoz
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
56.2
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Mo Rewards
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J Ness
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.9
Post · Horse
3
Tigre
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
M McGoey
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.0
Post · Horse
1
Arjay
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
K Raven
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.8
Post · Horse
7
Bodecream
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.1
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Hold Your Applause
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
T Girten
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.2
Post · Horse
6
Italian Symphony
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
M E Jones, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse
10
Super Tiz
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
J A Vargas
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.9
Post · Horse
8
King Nate
Jockey
J Panaijo
Trainer
C Rountree
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse
4
Initforthelove
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
L F Gonzalez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
5
Deep Star
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
C Munoz
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Surfaceturf
Post Time1:09 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Beautiful Emma leads at 14.9 percent win probability in this mile turf maiden claimer, but the question is whether post-4 Yammy Yammy Bella at 30-1 can press with its 85.2 workout rating.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.0%
Price horse: Yammy Yammy Bella (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Beautiful Emma
S Marin
G Ochoa
8/1
15
★★★★☆
70.5
Top Pick
4 Yammy Yammy Bella
T Kingsley
L F Gonzalez
30/1
13
★★★★☆
68.5
Value Play
8 Light de Night
P Lopez
J Duarte, Jr.
3/1
12
★★★★☆
67.1
 
2 Blazing Bridgette
M J Sanchez
J Ness
2/1
11
★★★★☆
65.8
 
1 Snowglobe
S Leon
J Cruz
9/2
10
★★★★☆
63.9
 
10 Global Consort
J Ruiz
R Richards
8/1
9
★★★★☆
62.1
 
12 Kiss Me for Luck
J Panaijo
B Ramos
30/1
8
★★★★☆
61.3
 
5 Full Exchange
S Vives
A Gardea
30/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.8
 
7 Spring Training
C E Lopez
P Capuano
15/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.6
 
9 Tricker
M Franklin
J McCutchen
30/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.5
 
3 Royal Boxer
J Rosado
N R Morris
20/1
4
★★★☆☆
51.0
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Beautiful Emma
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
G Ochoa
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Yammy Yammy Bella
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
L F Gonzalez
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse
8
Light de Night
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J Duarte, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse
2
Blazing Bridgette
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
1
Snowglobe
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
J Cruz
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.9
Post · Horse
10
Global Consort
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
R Richards
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
12
Kiss Me for Luck
Jockey
J Panaijo
Trainer
B Ramos
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse
5
Full Exchange
Jockey
S Vives
Trainer
A Gardea
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse
7
Spring Training
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
P Capuano
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.6
Post · Horse
9
Tricker
Jockey
M Franklin
Trainer
J McCutchen
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse
3
Royal Boxer
Jockey
J Rosado
Trainer
N R Morris
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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