Curated Betting Card

Colonial Downs

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 2.

2026-07-25 Race 2 Morning Card
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This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Colonial Downs · full board
Strongest play
R1
Emphatic #7
Top conf.
Best value
R7
Adero
10/1 ML
Best longshot
R3
Nancie's Boy #9
10/1 ML
Deepest field
R6
12 runners
12
Pace race
R3
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Colonial Downs presents a solid mid-summer turf and dirt program on July 25, 2026, highlighted by wide-open claiming and maiden special weight events. Several turf routes feature large, deeply-matched fields where tactical speed and sharp late-running figures will dictate the action. Bettors should expect fair opportunities in the vertical pools, particularly in the longer turf events where longshots offer strong expected value.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
PurseNot provided
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:30 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Full Conditions MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse Not provided. Six Furlongs. Maiden Special Weight for six furlongs on dirt.
Storyline
This six-furlong maiden sprint features #7 Emphatic, who towers on composite ratings with a 67.38 mark, setting a clear pace standard over a group searching for early identity. Shimmering Frost enters off a fourth-place finish with a recent speed figure of 60 at Colonial Downs on July 5 and stands as the logical alternative if the favorite misfires.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 31.2%
Price horse: Shimmering Frost (3/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Emphatic
M J Sanchez
B P Walsh
 9/5
37
★★★★☆
67.4
 Top Pick
5 Shimmering Frost
S Marin
M E Casse
 3/1
17
★★★☆☆
55.4
 Value Play
1 Life's Pageant
S Russell
J K Desormeaux
 6/1
15
★★★☆☆
53.8
  
3 That's the Girl
J Loveberry
R Medina
 7/2
14
★★★☆☆
52.4
 Longshot
6 Validida
J Ruiz
M Lightner
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
46.1
  
2 Trinity
F Boyce
H A Smith
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Emphatic
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
B P Walsh
37
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.4
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Shimmering Frost
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M E Casse
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse
1
Life's Pageant
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.8
Post · Horse Longshot
3
That's the Girl
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
R Medina
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse
6
Validida
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
M Lightner
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
Post · Horse
2
Trinity
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
H A Smith
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
PurseNot provided
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time12:59 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Full Conditions MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse Not provided. Five And One Half Furlongs. Maiden Special Weight for five and one-half furlongs on the turf course.
Storyline
A competitive turf sprint for maidens where #4 Intrude enters with the top composite rating of 65.64 and a solid win probability edge over the rest of the group. #6 Love Aficionado breaks from a prime mid-pack slot and offers live morning-line value at 7/2 to test the favorite.
PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 25.1%
Price horse: Love Aficionado (7/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (6 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Intrude
S Marin
W A Ward
 5/2
31
★★★★☆
65.6
 Top Pick
6 Love Aficionado
M J Sanchez
M J Trombetta
 7/2
20
★★★☆☆
58.8
 Value Play
1 Loyal Prince
P Lopez
D S Ryan
 4/1
19
★★★☆☆
58.5
  
9 Bombay
J Loveberry
D Beckman
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.3
 Longshot
7 Monaco Crown
J Toledo
R Sanchez-Salomon
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
43.5
  
5 Jokes Reserve
O Bocachica
C Caramori
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.3
  
8 King Xisco
J G Briceno
J Corrales
 12/1
6
★★☆☆☆
39.6
  
2 What a Deal
N Juarez
S Duffy
 20/1
3
★★☆☆☆
31.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Intrude
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
W A Ward
31
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.6
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Love Aficionado
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.8
Post · Horse
1
Loyal Prince
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
D S Ryan
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Bombay
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
D Beckman
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.3
Post · Horse
7
Monaco Crown
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
R Sanchez-Salomon
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.5
Post · Horse
5
Jokes Reserve
Jockey
O Bocachica
Trainer
C Caramori
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.3
Post · Horse
8
King Xisco
Jockey
J G Briceno
Trainer
J Corrales
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.6
Post · Horse
2
What a Deal
Jockey
N Juarez
Trainer
S Duffy
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 31.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
PurseNot provided
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time1:28 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Full Conditions CLAIMING. Purse Not provided. Five And One Half Furlongs. Claiming race over five and one-half furlongs on the turf course.
Storyline
This wide-open turf claimer drew a chaotic field of eight where #6 Rar enters with top form ratings (91.3) and strong recent speed figures, including a runner-up effort at Penn National on July 9. The race lacks a standout heavy favorite, placing a premium on value runners like #2 Axel Foley and #4 Let Fly.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.9%
Price horse: Rar (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (7 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Rar
C E Lopez
E Perez
 15/1
23
★★★★☆
64.6
 Top Pick
2 Axel Foley
R Latchman
K Gazzier
 8/1
16
★★★☆☆
59.4
  
4 Let Fly
H Karamanos
A F Allen III
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
56.2
  
1 Dynaflame
J Loveberry
A F Allen III
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
53.4
  
3 Blessings Bestowed
U Casique
R P Clement III
 5/1
10
★★★☆☆
52.6
  
9 Nancie's Boy
J G Briceno
S S Cooney
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
52.5
 Longshot
7 El Junior
J Toledo
R Sanchez-Salomon
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
48.8
  
5 Go to Bingo
D Centeno
S S Cooney
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
47.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Rar
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
E Perez
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
2
Axel Foley
Jockey
R Latchman
Trainer
K Gazzier
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
Post · Horse
4
Let Fly
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
A F Allen III
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse
1
Dynaflame
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
A F Allen III
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.4
Post · Horse
3
Blessings Bestowed
Jockey
U Casique
Trainer
R P Clement III
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Nancie's Boy
Jockey
J G Briceno
Trainer
S S Cooney
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.5
Post · Horse
7
El Junior
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
R Sanchez-Salomon
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
Post · Horse
5
Go to Bingo
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
S S Cooney
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
PurseNot provided
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Surfaceturf
Post Time2:00 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Full Conditions MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse Not provided. One Mile. Maiden Claiming event over one mile on the turf course.
Storyline
A tightly grouped turf route for maiden claimers where #2 Dulce Mia tops the rankings on overall form and workouts, offering substantial price upside from a 12/1 morning line. #4 Blue Ice and #5 Ithadtobeblu present alternative pace and class angles in a race lacking a dominant standout.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 14.5%
Price horse: Dulce Mia (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (5 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Dulce Mia
N Arroyo Bueno
K E Hamlin
 12/1
17
★★★☆☆
54.2
 Top Pick
4 Blue Ice
S Vives
A Gardea
 9/2
13
★★★☆☆
50.7
  
5 Ithadtobeblu
N Juarez
H I McMahon
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
49.1
  
7 Limited Vintage
C Montalvo
A J Kingsley, Jr.
 5/1
12
★★★☆☆
48.8
  
1 Hail No
J Loveberry
C B Payne
 4/1
10
★★★☆☆
46.5
  
3 Threshing
J Toledo
J Maldonado
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
45.3
 Longshot
8 Snow Bella
K Gomez
M F Meyers
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
44.8
  
10 Whimmoffortune
T Kingsley
I G Flores
 3/1
8
★★★☆☆
43.5
  
9 Boujeeonabudget
O Bocachica
E Caramori
 20/1
6
★★☆☆☆
39.0
  
6 Lucky Darling
S Diaz, Jr.
O L Figgins III
 30/1
4
★★☆☆☆
34.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Dulce Mia
Jockey
N Arroyo Bueno
Trainer
K E Hamlin
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.2
Post · Horse
4
Blue Ice
Jockey
S Vives
Trainer
A Gardea
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.7
Post · Horse
5
Ithadtobeblu
Jockey
N Juarez
Trainer
H I McMahon
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
Post · Horse
7
Limited Vintage
Jockey
C Montalvo
Trainer
A J Kingsley, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
Post · Horse
1
Hail No
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
C B Payne
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Threshing
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
J Maldonado
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.3
Post · Horse
8
Snow Bella
Jockey
K Gomez
Trainer
M F Meyers
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
Post · Horse
10
Whimmoffortune
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
I G Flores
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.5
Post · Horse
9
Boujeeonabudget
Jockey
O Bocachica
Trainer
E Caramori
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.0
Post · Horse
6
Lucky Darling
Jockey
S Diaz, Jr.
Trainer
O L Figgins III
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 34.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING
PurseNot provided
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Surfaceturf
Post Time2:38 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Full Conditions MAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse Not provided. One Mile. Maiden Optional Claiming event over one mile on the turf course.
Storyline
This turf mile features #2 Trim Castle, who comes in off sharp maiden efforts at Churchill Downs including a speed figure of 80 two back, but faces a tough challenge from #5 Rosebank Red and #4 Kuttawa. The race shapes up as a tactical battle between proven class and developing speed.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.5%
Price horse: Kuttawa (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Trim Castle
J Rosado
J Ennis
 6/5
25
★★★☆☆
58.3
 Top Pick
5 Rosebank Red
P Lopez
G D Sacco
 9/2
22
★★★☆☆
56.3
  
4 Kuttawa
M J Sanchez
J K Desormeaux
 8/1
15
★★★☆☆
50.0
 Value Play
7 My Boy Gary
E Esquivel
K G McPeek
 5/1
13
★★★☆☆
47.8
  
1 Cash for Whiskey
D Centeno
T Connelly
 10/1
11
★★★☆☆
45.4
  
3 Rainonthescarecrow
I Villalobos
M J Trombetta
 5/1
8
★★★☆☆
40.5
  
8 Galahad
O Bocachica
C Caramori
 12/1
7
★★☆☆☆
38.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Trim Castle
Jockey
J Rosado
Trainer
J Ennis
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
5
Rosebank Red
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
G D Sacco
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Kuttawa
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
7
My Boy Gary
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
K G McPeek
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.8
Post · Horse
1
Cash for Whiskey
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
T Connelly
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.4
Post · Horse
3
Rainonthescarecrow
Jockey
I Villalobos
Trainer
M J Trombetta
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.5
Post · Horse
8
Galahad
Jockey
O Bocachica
Trainer
C Caramori
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
PurseNot provided
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:08 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Full Conditions CLAIMING. Purse Not provided. One And One Sixteenth Miles. Claiming race over one and one-sixteenth miles on the turf course.
Storyline
A large and competitive claiming turf route where #3 Stay in Tune leads the ratings on recent consistency, but longshot #11 Encosta lurks as a massive price alternative off strong underlying speed ratings. #5 Set Ablaze also enters in sharp local form after a victory over this course on July 11.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.3%
Price horse: Encosta (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (7 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Stay in Tune
J Ruiz
K Magee
 6/1
16
★★★★☆
69.5
 Top Pick
5 Set Ablaze
S Vives
K Dennehy
 2/1
14
★★★★☆
67.0
  
2 Reading Time
S Marin
J F Orseno
 5/2
10
★★★★☆
63.1
  
11 Encosta
T Kingsley
A J Kingsley, Jr.
 30/1
9
★★★★☆
61.0
 Value Play
7 Joia Rara
O Bocachica
E Caramori
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
60.8
  
10 Lady Embrace
J Rosado
L Gaudet
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
60.0
  
4 Boys Go to Jupiter
J E Vargas
K Hohlbein
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
58.6
  
6 Promaja
D Centeno
M Bowersock
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
55.1
  
9 Good Accelebrate
F Boyce
S S Cooney
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
54.4
  
12 Lady Blake
J Loveberry
J E Baker
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.2
  
8 Silent Melody
J Toledo
B A Brinkman
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.1
  
1 Iamdependingonyou
H Karamanos
C A Frock
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
48.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Stay in Tune
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
K Magee
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
5
Set Ablaze
Jockey
S Vives
Trainer
K Dennehy
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
2
Reading Time
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J F Orseno
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Encosta
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
A J Kingsley, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
Post · Horse
7
Joia Rara
Jockey
O Bocachica
Trainer
E Caramori
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse
10
Lady Embrace
Jockey
J Rosado
Trainer
L Gaudet
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
4
Boys Go to Jupiter
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
K Hohlbein
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
Post · Horse
6
Promaja
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
M Bowersock
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.1
Post · Horse
9
Good Accelebrate
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
S S Cooney
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse
12
Lady Blake
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
J E Baker
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.2
Post · Horse
8
Silent Melody
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
B A Brinkman
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
Post · Horse
1
Iamdependingonyou
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
C A Frock
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, claiming and starter races not considered in allowances)
PurseNot provided
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Eighth Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:38 PM ET
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Full Conditions Maiden, claiming and starter races not considered in allowances). Purse Not provided. One And One Eighth Miles. Allowance race over one and one-eighth miles on the main track.
Storyline
A high-class route test where #3 Barbadian Runner enters on a two-race win streak at Laurel Park, earning massive speed figures of 110 and 112. #2 Adero pushes right alongside as a dangerous value play at 10/1, having finished a close second behind the top choice last out.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.2%
Price horse: Adero (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Adero
M J Sanchez
J Ness
 10/1
24
★★★★☆
76.4
 Value Play
3 Barbadian Runner
F Boyce
H Walters
 6/5
22
★★★★☆
75.4
 Top Pick
5 Aristotle
S Marin
M E Casse
 6/1
21
★★★★☆
74.2
  
4 Inveigled
P Lopez
A Delacour
 8/1
18
★★★★☆
72.6
  
6 Stowaway
J Loveberry
D Beckman
 8/1
15
★★★★☆
69.1
  
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Adero
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.4
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Barbadian Runner
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
H Walters
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.4
Post · Horse
5
Aristotle
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M E Casse
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.2
Post · Horse
4
Inveigled
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
A Delacour
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.6
Post · Horse
6
Stowaway
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
D Beckman
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, claiming and starter races not considered in allowances)
PurseNot provided
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:08 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Full Conditions Maiden, claiming and starter races not considered in allowances). Purse Not provided. Six Furlongs. Allowance race over six furlongs on the main track.
Storyline
An explosive six-furlong sprint where #7 Anakarina brings strong form from Churchill and Oaklawn with a recent speed figure of 100, but faces heavy pressure from local standout #4 Conquerthosewecan. Longshotter #6 Bella Italia offers extreme price upside at 30/1 for a high-percentage barn.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.5%
Price horse: Bella Italia (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (7 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Conquerthosewecan
S Russell
B T Russell
 4/1
22
★★★★☆
77.7
  
7 Anakarina
P Lopez
S A Joseph, Jr.
 2/1
21
★★★★☆
76.6
 Top Pick
8 Outrageously
J Loveberry
J Blair
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
71.1
  
6 Bella Italia
M J Sanchez
B T Russell
 30/1
14
★★★★☆
71.0
 Value Play
5 Gin's Beach Road
S Marin
M E Casse
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
67.3
  
1 Pistol
J Toledo
T L Van Berg
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
66.2
  
3 Dare to Fly
J Rosado
J Ennis
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
61.4
  
Post · Horse
4
Conquerthosewecan
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.7
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Anakarina
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.6
Post · Horse
8
Outrageously
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
J Blair
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Bella Italia
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
B T Russell
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse
5
Gin's Beach Road
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M E Casse
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse
1
Pistol
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
T L Van Berg
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
3
Dare to Fly
Jockey
J Rosado
Trainer
J Ennis
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
PurseNot provided
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Surfaceturf
Post Time4:39 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Full Conditions MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse Not provided. One Mile. Maiden Claiming event over one mile on the turf course.
Storyline
The day concludes with a wide-open turf route for maiden claimers where #5 Hot Cocoa leads a closely matched group after showing competitive form at Gulfstream Park. #7 La Devita and #6 Hay Grace Brennan bring local turf experience to a race where several longshots hold appealing value.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.0%
Price horse: Bree Cola (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (5 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Hot Cocoa
J Loveberry
M Lightner
 10/1
16
★★★☆☆
53.4
 Top Pick
7 La Devita
S Russell
B T Russell
 3/1
16
★★★☆☆
52.8
  
6 Hay Grace Brennan
P Lopez
A F Allen III
 2/1
14
★★★☆☆
51.4
  
2 Yeah Glo
S Vives
K Dennehy
 9/2
12
★★★☆☆
48.2
  
8 Radiant Tones
T Kingsley
S J Lane
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
46.6
  
10 Far Away Eyes
K Gomez
H I McMahon
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
46.5
  
11 Cool Hard Breeze
J Ruiz
S S Cooney
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
42.8
  
9 Bree Cola
J Toledo
M Milosevic
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
40.9
 Value Play
3 Sunday Lyrics
N Juarez
H I McMahon
 30/1
4
★★☆☆☆
32.5
  
4 Classy Look
U Casique
G L Williams, Jr.
 30/1
3
★★☆☆☆
27.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Hot Cocoa
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
M Lightner
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.4
Post · Horse
7
La Devita
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
6
Hay Grace Brennan
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
A F Allen III
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse
2
Yeah Glo
Jockey
S Vives
Trainer
K Dennehy
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.2
Post · Horse
8
Radiant Tones
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
S J Lane
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.6
Post · Horse
10
Far Away Eyes
Jockey
K Gomez
Trainer
H I McMahon
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
Post · Horse
11
Cool Hard Breeze
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
S S Cooney
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.8
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Bree Cola
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
M Milosevic
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.9
Post · Horse
3
Sunday Lyrics
Jockey
N Juarez
Trainer
H I McMahon
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 32.5
Post · Horse
4
Classy Look
Jockey
U Casique
Trainer
G L Williams, Jr.
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 27.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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