Curated Betting Card

Colonial Downs

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 3.

2026-08-14 Race 3 Morning Card
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This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Colonial Downs · full board
Strongest play
R5
Lonesome Boy #6
Top conf.
Best value
R5
Irish Exit
10/1 ML
Best longshot
R1
Tocik Hall #2
12/1 ML
Deepest field
R6
11 runners
11
Pace race
R4
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Colonial Downs hosts a well-balanced card featuring a mix of competitive turf sprints and route races where class droppers and sharp local form figures heavily. Bettors should expect fair turf racing and value opportunities in multi-runner fields, with several wide-open maiden and claiming events demanding selective exotics. Key trainers and logical favorites carry strong win projections, but value plays at double-digit odds offer appealing upside across the afternoon.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$90,000
Trip & Field
Distance122 F
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:35 PM ET
Field Size5
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have
Storyline
Close the Gate heads the field with a top rating of 64.43 and a recent runner-up effort at Colonial Downs with a speed figure of 88, but #2 Tocik Hall looms as a dangerous longshot value play off a sharp maiden victory at Penn National.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.8%
Price horse: Tocik Hall (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Close the Gate
J Rocco, Jr.
J E Salzman, Jr.
 6/5
26
★★★★☆
64.4
 Top Pick
3 State Conceal
P Lopez
C Munoz
 7/2
22
★★★★☆
61.8
  
2 Tocik Hall
M J Sanchez
F W Stites
 12/1
18
★★★☆☆
58.9
 Value Play
1 Sav'n Money
J Loveberry
W M Catalano
 4/1
18
★★★☆☆
58.3
  
6 G Q Worthy
D Centeno
J J Robb
 9/2
15
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Close the Gate
Jockey
J Rocco, Jr.
Trainer
J E Salzman, Jr.
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.4
Post · Horse
3
State Conceal
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
C Munoz
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Tocik Hall
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
F W Stites
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.9
Post · Horse
1
Sav'n Money
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
W M Catalano
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
6
G Q Worthy
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
J J Robb
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $12,500 Or Less In 2025 - 2026 Or Claiming Price $16,000
Purse$36,000
Claiming$16,000
Trip & Field
Distance125 F
Surfaceturf
Post Time1:05 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityClaiming Price Of $12,500 Or Less In 2025 - 2026 Or Claiming Price $16,000
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Battle Call enters off back-to-back local wins on turf, but #3 Class Photo pushes right to his doorstep after finishing a narrow nose back in their July 19 encounter.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 16.2%
Price horse: Class Photo (9/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Battle Call
S Marin
S R Hernandez, Jr.
 9/5
19
★★★★☆
73.6
 Top Pick
3 Class Photo
F Boyce
S Stettinius
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
67.7
 Value Play
8 El de Larry
M J Sanchez
W R Bailes
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
66.3
 Longshot
2 Walter Me Lad
P Lopez
A M Rodriguez
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
64.9
  
10 Ironsides
J Toledo
F Gutierrez
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
64.7
  
1 Righthere Rightnow
S Leon
B Foley
 30/1
10
★★★★☆
64.2
  
4 Be Here
I Villalobos
J Maldonado
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
62.8
  
5 Devil's Harvest
E Esquivel
A M West
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
62.4
  
9 Wine Collector
J Ruiz
R Sanchez-Salomon
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Battle Call
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
S R Hernandez, Jr.
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.6
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Class Photo
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
S Stettinius
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse Longshot
8
El de Larry
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
W R Bailes
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
2
Walter Me Lad
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
A M Rodriguez
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse
10
Ironsides
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
F Gutierrez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse
1
Righthere Rightnow
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
B Foley
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
4
Be Here
Jockey
I Villalobos
Trainer
J Maldonado
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
5
Devil's Harvest
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
A M West
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse
9
Wine Collector
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
R Sanchez-Salomon
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$90,000
Trip & Field
Distance118 M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:36 PM ET
Field Size6
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have
Storyline
Mon Reve leads a tightly grouped field of six fillies and mares, but #1 Velocity Girl drops in class and offers significant upside at a 10/1 morning line price.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 19.5%
Price horse: Velocity Girl (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Mon Reve
S Marin
V H Oliver
 9/5
21
★★★★☆
63.2
 Top Pick
2 Sunflower State
M J Sanchez
J Ness
 5/1
20
★★★★☆
62.2
  
5 Marital Trust
J Ruiz
A Delacour
 2/1
18
★★★★☆
60.5
  
6 Squirrely
P Lopez
J Cibelli
 6/1
15
★★★☆☆
57.7
  
7 Cross of Valor
J Barbosa
A F Allen III
 30/1
13
★★★☆☆
56.2
  
1 Velocity Girl
J Rosado
M F Meyers
 10/1
12
★★★☆☆
55.1
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Mon Reve
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
V H Oliver
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse
2
Sunflower State
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.2
Post · Horse
5
Marital Trust
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
A Delacour
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
6
Squirrely
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J Cibelli
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
7
Cross of Valor
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
A F Allen III
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Velocity Girl
Jockey
J Rosado
Trainer
M F Meyers
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$40,000
Trip & Field
Distance000 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time2:04 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaidens, Two Years Old
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maidens
Storyline
A wide-open field of two-year-old turf maidens features first-time starters and unexposed types where #1 Awesome Law gets top billing for a potent barn.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.7%
Price horse: Cash for Whiskey (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Awesome Law
C E Lopez
B T Russell
 6/1
17
★★★☆☆
50.6
 Top Pick
3 Full Tank
J Loveberry
L Rivelli
 3/1
15
★★★☆☆
48.3
  
6 Rapidash It
S Vives
M Lightner
 30/1
12
★★★☆☆
45.8
  
7 Cash for Whiskey
D Centeno
T Connelly
 10/1
12
★★★☆☆
44.9
 Value Play
2 Tortole
S Marin
K Brion
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
43.9
  
9 Rrrach'em
P Lopez
S S Cooney
 10/1
8
★★☆☆☆
39.2
  
8 Triple Dare
D Cannon
J Wojczynski
 8/1
8
★★☆☆☆
39.0
  
4 Kuttawa
M J Sanchez
J K Desormeaux
 20/1
7
★★☆☆☆
37.8
  
11 Off to Repair
J Rosado
J O'Dwyer
 8/1
6
★★☆☆☆
33.9
  
5 Tulio
J Ruiz
F Gutierrez
 7/2
5
★★☆☆☆
32.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Awesome Law
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
B T Russell
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.6
Post · Horse
3
Full Tank
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
L Rivelli
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.3
Post · Horse
6
Rapidash It
Jockey
S Vives
Trainer
M Lightner
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.8
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Cash for Whiskey
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
T Connelly
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.9
Post · Horse
2
Tortole
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
K Brion
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
9
Rrrach'em
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
S S Cooney
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.2
Post · Horse
8
Triple Dare
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
J Wojczynski
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.0
Post · Horse
4
Kuttawa
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.8
Post · Horse
11
Off to Repair
Jockey
J Rosado
Trainer
J O'Dwyer
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 33.9
Post · Horse
5
Tulio
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
F Gutierrez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 32.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Va Restricted, Or State Bred/state Sired Or Which Hav
Purse$74,000
Trip & Field
Distance000 M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:34 PM ET
Field Size5
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Va Restricted, Or State Bred/state Sired Or Which Hav
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maiden, Claiming, Starter, Va Restricted, Or State Bred/state
Storyline
Lonesome Boy towers on ratings with a 71.2 composite and a win probability of 27.1%, but #3 Irish Exit presents major upset potential at 10/1 for trainer Jamie Ness.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.2%
Price horse: Irish Exit (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Lonesome Boy
M J Sanchez
J Ness
 1/1
27
★★★★☆
71.2
 Top Pick
3 Irish Exit
P Lopez
J Ness
 10/1
26
★★★★☆
70.3
 Value Play
1 Brindano
J E Vargas
S H Pradenas
 12/1
17
★★★★☆
64.3
  
7 Roll On Jesse
J Barbosa
K M Cox
 10/1
16
★★★★☆
63.1
  
5 Power Grid
D Centeno
J J Robb
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
61.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Lonesome Boy
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.2
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Irish Exit
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J Ness
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.3
Post · Horse
1
Brindano
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
S H Pradenas
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse
7
Roll On Jesse
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
K M Cox
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
5
Power Grid
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
J J Robb
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $16,000
Purse$34,500
Claiming$16,000
Trip & Field
Distance000 F
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:05 PM ET
Field Size11
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityClaiming Price $16,000
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A contentious 12-horse turf claimer for a $16,000 tag where #5 The Package brings sharp Gulfstream form, but the race is wide open for exotics.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 11.6%
Price horse: Ticklers (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 The Package
P Lopez
N J Tomlinson
 5/1
13
★★★★☆
61.7
 Top Pick
6 Ticklers
J Toledo
K M Voss
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
61.3
 Value Play
12 Dolce Vino
J Loveberry
J Blair
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
59.4
  
7 U Ain't That Lucky
E Esquivel
K Danner
 5/2
11
★★★☆☆
59.1
  
8 Dame's Rocket
D Cannon
N L Adams
 30/1
10
★★★☆☆
58.3
  
10 Good Accelebrate
F Boyce
S S Cooney
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
56.5
  
9 Storm West
S Marin
J F Orseno
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
56.1
 Longshot
4 Spirit of Victory
J Ruiz
S Klesaris
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
54.7
  
11 Police Woman
S Russell
J Woodit
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
51.8
  
3 Jewish Mother
S Leon
A F Allen III
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.3
  
1 Seekingbythestorm
L Fuenmayor
A E Lizardi
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
45.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
The Package
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
N J Tomlinson
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Ticklers
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
K M Voss
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse
12
Dolce Vino
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
J Blair
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
Post · Horse
7
U Ain't That Lucky
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
K Danner
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse
8
Dame's Rocket
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
N L Adams
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
10
Good Accelebrate
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
S S Cooney
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Storm West
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J F Orseno
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse
4
Spirit of Victory
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
S Klesaris
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
11
Police Woman
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
J Woodit
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.8
Post · Horse
3
Jewish Mother
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
A F Allen III
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.3
Post · Horse
1
Seekingbythestorm
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
A E Lizardi
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Va Restricted, Or State Bred/sired Or Which Have Neve
Purse$74,000
Trip & Field
Distance000 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:36 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Va Restricted, Or State Bred/sired Or Which Have Neve
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maiden, Claiming, Starter, Va Restricted, Or State Bred/sired
Storyline
Can Group earned a big 102 speed figure when finishing third over the track last out, but #10 Tosen Wish brings class upside at 15/1 odds in a competitive turf route.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.7%
Price horse: Tosen Wish (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
11 Can Group
M Chuan
J Ness
 10/1
14
★★★★☆
70.7
 Top Pick
8 Ejtimaa
S Leon
M Dini
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
68.5
  
4 Fuerteventura
M J Sanchez
J Ness
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
68.2
 Longshot
3 Papa Golf
J Toledo
J F D'Angelo
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
67.7
  
5 End of Romance
J Ruiz
H G Motion
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
66.9
  
12 Mister Abarrio
N Juarez
S A Joseph, Jr.
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
66.5
  
9 Covert Law
J Rosado
J A Ortiz
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
66.2
  
10 Tosen Wish
J E Vargas
M E Casse
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
65.5
 Value Play
2 Otago
S Marin
K Danner
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
64.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
11
Can Group
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
J Ness
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.7
Post · Horse
8
Ejtimaa
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
M Dini
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Fuerteventura
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.2
Post · Horse
3
Papa Golf
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
5
End of Romance
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
H G Motion
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse
12
Mister Abarrio
Jockey
N Juarez
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse
9
Covert Law
Jockey
J Rosado
Trainer
J A Ortiz
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Tosen Wish
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
M E Casse
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
2
Otago
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
K Danner
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Fillies & Mares
Purse$25,000
Trip & Field
Distance1167 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time4:08 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityOpen turf event
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Stella Mars leads a bulky 11-horse turf field after consecutive runner-up finishes at Delaware, but #7 Classicals Finale poses a serious threat at 12/1 value.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.9%
Price horse: Classicals Finale (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Stella Mars
P Lopez
J Ness
 5/1
16
★★★★☆
70.1
 Top Pick
6 Birdie Rose
S Marin
S R Hernandez, Jr.
 7/2
13
★★★★☆
67.2
  
2 Cha Cha Chukka
J E Vargas
J Ness
 10/1
13
★★★★☆
66.8
 Longshot
10 Tour Jete
M J Sanchez
M V Simone
 3/1
10
★★★★☆
63.9
  
7 Classicals Finale
D Centeno
R P Sillaman
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
63.6
 Value Play
3 Tic Tic Tic Boom
L Fuenmayor
M McGoey
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
62.6
  
1 Don't Tell Deren
X Perez
J J Robb
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
62.3
  
5 Cheekiest
T Kingsley
S Cundith
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.8
  
9 Buckin' Right
F Boyce
J Shankle
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.1
  
11 Starship Refund
J Panaijo
L Hester
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
47.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Stella Mars
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J Ness
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse
6
Birdie Rose
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
S R Hernandez, Jr.
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.2
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Cha Cha Chukka
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
J Ness
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.8
Post · Horse
10
Tour Jete
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M V Simone
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.9
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Classicals Finale
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
R P Sillaman
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse
3
Tic Tic Tic Boom
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
M McGoey
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
1
Don't Tell Deren
Jockey
X Perez
Trainer
J J Robb
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
Post · Horse
5
Cheekiest
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
S Cundith
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse
9
Buckin' Right
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
J Shankle
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse
11
Starship Refund
Jockey
J Panaijo
Trainer
L Hester
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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