Curated Betting Card

Colonial Downs

Data-driven full-card analysis with compact access to every race on the board.

2026-08-16 Morning Card
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Colonial Downs · full board
Strongest play
R2
Policy Change #2
Top conf.
Best value
R2
Gigline
15/1 ML
Best longshot
R2
Gigline #7
15/1 ML
Deepest field
R6
12 runners
12
Pace race
R4
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Colonial Downs presents a competitive Sunday card featuring several turf sprints and two-year-old maiden dashes. Bettors will find value by leaning into experienced turf runners and live longshots who show strong recent workouts against softer company. Focus on logical top selections in the claiming ranks while utilizing vertical exotics to capture upside in the wide-open turf maidens.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$55,000
Trip & Field
Distance000 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time12:25 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maidens
Storyline
This two-year-old maiden turf sprint features a tightly grouped field where #7 All Nessed Up and #3 Infused hold slight conditioning edges. The race turns on whether #7 All Nessed Up can handle the outside post against stablemate #3 Infused, who exits a fifth-place effort at Parx.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.5%
Price horse: Infused (7/5 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (5 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 All Nessed Up
C E Lopez
J Ness
4/1
23
★★★☆☆
49.5
Top Pick
3 Infused
M Chuan
J Ness
7/5
22
★★★☆☆
48.7
Value Play
6 Duval
J Loveberry
E W West
7/2
19
★★★☆☆
46.9
 
2 Moneta Agenda
R E Mena
J Corrales
30/1
12
★★★☆☆
40.3
Longshot
1 Go Junior Go
L Fuenmayor
C Munoz
5/1
12
★★★☆☆
40.3
 
5 Unrelentingcourage
U Casique
R P Clement III
6/1
11
★★☆☆☆
38.2
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
All Nessed Up
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
J Ness
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.5
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Infused
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
J Ness
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.7
Post · Horse
6
Duval
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
E W West
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.9
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Moneta Agenda
Jockey
R E Mena
Trainer
J Corrales
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.3
Post · Horse
1
Go Junior Go
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
C Munoz
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.3
Post · Horse
5
Unrelentingcourage
Jockey
U Casique
Trainer
R P Clement III
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $12,500
Purse$28,000
Claiming$12,500
Trip & Field
Distance118 M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:52 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This $12,500 claiming test revolves around #2 Policy Change, who towers over the field on speed and class ratings. The primary question is whether #7 Gigline can sustain her Delaware Park form to pressure the favorite around the turn.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 27.1%
Price horse: Gigline (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Policy Change
P Lopez
K J Joy
3/2
32
★★★★☆
71.2
Top Pick
7 Gigline
S Marin
R D Aguayo
15/1
15
★★★☆☆
59.9
Value Play
1 Crowbar Artist
A Cruz
M Robertson
5/1
14
★★★☆☆
58.5
 
3 Revolution Rock
T Kingsley
W R Bailes
8/5
13
★★★☆☆
57.0
 
5 Coco No Loco
G Ashton
G Galligan
15/1
12
★★★☆☆
55.8
 
6 Power Aura
E Esquivel
M Simms, Jr.
10/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.0
 
4 Better Then Lotto
L Fuenmayor
M McGoey
8/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.0
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Policy Change
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
K J Joy
32
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.2
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Gigline
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
R D Aguayo
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
1
Crowbar Artist
Jockey
A Cruz
Trainer
M Robertson
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
3
Revolution Rock
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
W R Bailes
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse
5
Coco No Loco
Jockey
G Ashton
Trainer
G Galligan
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse
6
Power Aura
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
M Simms, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse
4
Better Then Lotto
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
M McGoey
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $30,000 Or Less And Never Won Three Races Or Claiming Price $3
Purse$42,000
Claiming$30,000
Trip & Field
Distance122 M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:19 PM ET
Field Size6
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityNever Won Three Races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Claiming Price Of $30,000 Or Less And Never Won Three Races Or Claiming Price $30,000
Storyline
Six contenders contest this $30,000 claiming event where #6 Richeztoo brings the sharpest current form off a Churchill Downs victory. The race hinges on whether #4 Golden Descent can maintain his speed figures stepping up against a tougher rival.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 24.8%
Price horse: Mr Randy (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Richeztoo
S Marin
S R Hernandez, Jr.
6/5
28
★★★★☆
72.4
Top Pick
3 Captain Mercury
P Lopez
R G Crichton
3/1
19
★★★★☆
66.3
 
4 Golden Descent
K Gomez
C Keil
9/2
17
★★★★☆
65.0
 
5 Mr Randy
D Centeno
T Girten
12/1
13
★★★★☆
60.5
Value Play
2 On the Level
J Loveberry
M A Tomlinson
4/1
12
★★★☆☆
59.7
 
1 Bold Fact
T Kingsley
W R Bailes
8/1
11
★★★☆☆
58.9
Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Richeztoo
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
S R Hernandez, Jr.
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.4
Post · Horse
3
Captain Mercury
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
R G Crichton
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
4
Golden Descent
Jockey
K Gomez
Trainer
C Keil
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Mr Randy
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
T Girten
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
2
On the Level
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
M A Tomlinson
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Bold Fact
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
W R Bailes
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$70,000
Trip & Field
Distance119 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time1:46 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maidens
Storyline
A wide-open field of juvenile turf maidens assembles where #3 Excessif holds a narrow rating edge off a fourth-place debut at Saratoga. The outcome depends on whether first-time starters like #8 Souper Lawrence can outrun more seasoned rivals.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.0%
Price horse: Steel of Fortune (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Excessif
J Ruiz
H G Motion
6/5
17
★★★☆☆
55.5
Top Pick
6 Bombay
J Loveberry
D Beckman
5/1
15
★★★☆☆
53.6
 
8 Souper Lawrence
P Lopez
M J Trombetta
4/1
14
★★★☆☆
51.9
 
1 Golden Corsair
M Chuan
B Kelly
9/2
12
★★★☆☆
50.0
 
5 Steel of Fortune
S Russell
E W West
15/1
11
★★★☆☆
49.2
Value Play
4 Lou's Room
S Marin
G Weaver
10/1
11
★★★☆☆
49.1
Longshot
10 Souper Handsome
S Leon
M E Casse
12/1
10
★★★☆☆
48.2
 
9 Prize Performance
J Loveberry
M E Lauer
30/1
9
★★★☆☆
46.2
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Excessif
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
H G Motion
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
Post · Horse
6
Bombay
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
D Beckman
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.6
Post · Horse
8
Souper Lawrence
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.9
Post · Horse
1
Golden Corsair
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
B Kelly
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Steel of Fortune
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
E W West
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Lou's Room
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
G Weaver
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
Post · Horse
10
Souper Handsome
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
M E Casse
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.2
Post · Horse
9
Prize Performance
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
M E Lauer
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$40,000
Trip & Field
Distance118 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time2:16 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies And Mares
EligibilityFillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maidens, Fillies And Mares Three
Storyline
This filly and mare turf maiden drew eight runners where #8 Improbable Tale holds a narrow edge on numbers. The race turns on whether #4 Romelia can improve off her third-place local finish on July 26.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.4%
Price horse: Romelia (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Improbable Tale
J E Vargas
A Delacour
9/5
18
★★★☆☆
54.9
Top Pick
4 Romelia
P Lopez
K O'Connell
7/2
15
★★★☆☆
52.1
Value Play
7 Watch Me Sparkle
H Karamanos
A F Allen III
5/1
15
★★★☆☆
51.8
 
2 Janenmike
S Marin
S S Cooney
8/1
13
★★★☆☆
49.6
Longshot
3 Rotisserie
J Loveberry
M E Lauer
8/1
11
★★★☆☆
47.8
 
5 Limited Vintage
T Kingsley
A J Kingsley, Jr.
4/1
11
★★★☆☆
47.8
 
1 Stephanie's Rose
J Ruiz
S White
15/1
9
★★★☆☆
44.6
 
6 Full Exchange
L Fuenmayor
A Gardea
30/1
7
★★★☆☆
40.5
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Improbable Tale
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
A Delacour
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.9
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Romelia
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
K O'Connell
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
Post · Horse
7
Watch Me Sparkle
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
A F Allen III
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.8
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Janenmike
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
S S Cooney
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.6
Post · Horse
3
Rotisserie
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
M E Lauer
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.8
Post · Horse
5
Limited Vintage
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
A J Kingsley, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.8
Post · Horse
1
Stephanie's Rose
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
S White
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.6
Post · Horse
6
Full Exchange
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
A Gardea
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$32,000
Trip & Field
Distance124 M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:46 PM ET
Field Size12
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityThree Years Old And Upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maidens, Three
Storyline
A large field of twelve turf maidens lines up where #1 Star Atlas gets a slight nod in a wide-open puzzle. The race is decided by whether #3 Moonlit Frost can overcome a layoff to outkick the locals.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 10.6%
Price horse: Moonlit Frost (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Star Atlas
J Ruiz
M E Eppler
3/1
12
★★★☆☆
51.8
Top Pick
3 Moonlit Frost
M Chuan
D R Dilodovico
9/2
11
★★★☆☆
51.0
Value Play
7 Renovator
T Kingsley
L E Boucher
5/1
11
★★★☆☆
50.8
 
8 Don't Tell Tim
E Esquivel
J Duarte, Jr.
5/1
11
★★★☆☆
50.7
 
5 Mac Daddyness
J Loveberry
L Hester
20/1
10
★★★☆☆
49.0
 
4 Don't Copy Me
S Marin
R D Aguayo
8/1
9
★★★☆☆
48.2
Longshot
2 Legend's Thunder
J E Vargas
L A Ashby
15/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.0
 
11 Little Boss Man
S Leon
K Dennehy
6/1
8
★★★☆☆
45.8
 
10 Keep On Chargin
U Casique
K Dennehy
20/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.6
 
6 Broadside Salvo
D Centeno
S S Cooney
30/1
5
★★★☆☆
40.3
 
12 Band Tour
B Scampton
E McCue
30/1
5
★★☆☆☆
38.9
 
9 Gods of Wrath
L Fuenmayor
M R Yanez
30/1
4
★★☆☆☆
37.2
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Star Atlas
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
M E Eppler
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.8
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Moonlit Frost
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
D R Dilodovico
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse
7
Renovator
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
L E Boucher
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.8
Post · Horse
8
Don't Tell Tim
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
J Duarte, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.7
Post · Horse
5
Mac Daddyness
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
L Hester
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.0
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Don't Copy Me
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
R D Aguayo
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.2
Post · Horse
2
Legend's Thunder
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
L A Ashby
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
Post · Horse
11
Little Boss Man
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
K Dennehy
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.8
Post · Horse
10
Keep On Chargin
Jockey
U Casique
Trainer
K Dennehy
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.6
Post · Horse
6
Broadside Salvo
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
S S Cooney
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.3
Post · Horse
12
Band Tour
Jockey
B Scampton
Trainer
E McCue
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.9
Post · Horse
9
Gods of Wrath
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
M R Yanez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $12,500 Or Less In 2025 - 2026
Purse$36,000
Claiming$12,500
Trip & Field
DistanceFive Furlongs
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:17 PM ET
Field Size6
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityIn 2025 - 2026
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This five-furlong turf sprint features #5 Spinning Glory, who brings exceptional current form after three consecutive wins. The race centers on whether #7 Gift of Gab can match strides early and hold off the favorite.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 24.2%
Price horse: Air One (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Spinning Glory
J Loveberry
L Rivelli
5/2
27
★★★★☆
75.3
Top Pick
7 Gift of Gab
J Toledo
S Stettinius
2/1
20
★★★★☆
70.8
 
2 Sally's Gold
P Lopez
C A Frock
9/5
18
★★★★☆
69.3
 
8 Wonder Girl
H Karamanos
K Magee
10/1
14
★★★★☆
65.9
Longshot
4 Air One
M Rojas
K C Dickey
15/1
13
★★★★☆
64.0
Value Play
6 Granuaile
R E Mena
J Corrales
30/1
8
★★★☆☆
56.1
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Spinning Glory
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
L Rivelli
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.3
Post · Horse
7
Gift of Gab
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
S Stettinius
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse
2
Sally's Gold
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
C A Frock
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Wonder Girl
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
K Magee
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Air One
Jockey
M Rojas
Trainer
K C Dickey
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
6
Granuaile
Jockey
R E Mena
Trainer
J Corrales
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$40,000
Trip & Field
Distance124 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:48 PM ET
Field Size11
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityThree Years Old And Upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maidens, Three
Storyline
The turf finale is a bulky maiden contest where #8 Shakin My Head holds the top rating in a wide-open affair. The race will be won by whichever runner handles the distance best while navigating traffic from the outer gates.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.8%
Price horse: Joseph Potato (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Shakin My Head
S Marin
K Brion
9/2
15
★★★☆☆
55.7
Top Pick
9 Noble Gem
J Rosado
N R Morris
30/1
12
★★★☆☆
52.9
 
12 Joseph Potato
U Casique
K Dennehy
12/1
10
★★★☆☆
50.4
Value Play
6 Sweet Spy
P Lopez
A F Allen III
10/1
10
★★★☆☆
50.1
Longshot
2 Tasker
K Gomez
M F Meyers
3/1
10
★★★☆☆
50.0
 
10 Toque
J Ruiz
S Nagle
5/1
10
★★★☆☆
49.8
 
7 Fiery Debut
B Scampton
E McCue
30/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.5
 
3 I Am Pepe
A Cruz
C A Mancilla
5/2
7
★★★☆☆
45.3
 
1 Nostromo
T Kingsley
D Hodsdon
20/1
7
★★★☆☆
44.2
 
5 River Revival
J G Briceno
S S Cooney
30/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.3
 
11 Really Ready
D V Araujo
P F Nuesch
30/1
5
★★☆☆☆
39.2
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Shakin My Head
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
K Brion
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.7
Post · Horse
9
Noble Gem
Jockey
J Rosado
Trainer
N R Morris
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse Value Play
12
Joseph Potato
Jockey
U Casique
Trainer
K Dennehy
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Sweet Spy
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
A F Allen III
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
2
Tasker
Jockey
K Gomez
Trainer
M F Meyers
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
10
Toque
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
S Nagle
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.8
Post · Horse
7
Fiery Debut
Jockey
B Scampton
Trainer
E McCue
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
Post · Horse
3
I Am Pepe
Jockey
A Cruz
Trainer
C A Mancilla
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.3
Post · Horse
1
Nostromo
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
D Hodsdon
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.2
Post · Horse
5
River Revival
Jockey
J G Briceno
Trainer
S S Cooney
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.3
Post · Horse
11
Really Ready
Jockey
D V Araujo
Trainer
P F Nuesch
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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