Curated Betting Card

Colonial Downs

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 10.

2026-08-22 Race 10 Morning Card
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Colonial Downs · full board
Strongest play
R3
Kerness K #3
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Sorica #9
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R11
12 runners
12
Pace race
R1
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Colonial Downs presents an 11-race card featuring competitive turf routes and sprint claiming action across all divisions. Form edges are sharpest in Race 3, where Kerness K looks to extend a multi-race winning streak, and Race 4, which pits seasoned speed against reliable midpack closers. Several wide-open turf fields offer significant exotic value, particularly through live middle-tier prices such as Pegster in Race 2 and Put a Rock On It in Race 9.
Races 11 Status Completed View Morning
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Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$87,500
Trip & Field
Distance119 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time12:30 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens
Storyline
A field of ten juvenile fillies takes to the turf where experience meets first-time starters. The central tension is whether #4 Millford Lass and #2 Polka Dot Jersey can leverage their prior local outings over a firster group led by well-bred runners like #3 Dantini and #7 Hadid.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.6%
Price horse: Polka Dot Jersey (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Millford Lass
M Chuan
K Brion
 5/2
13
★★★☆☆
51.0
 Top Pick
2 Polka Dot Jersey
J Loveberry
M E Lauer
 9/2
13
★★★☆☆
50.0
 Value Play
3 Dantini
S Marin
W Walden
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
49.3
  
1 Theclockisticking
P Lopez
M J Trombetta
 4/1
11
★★★☆☆
48.3
  
5 Poll Position
D Centeno
M J Trombetta
 5/1
11
★★★☆☆
47.4
  
9 Sorica
M J Sanchez
H I McMahon
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
46.8
 Longshot
7 Hadid
J E Vargas
A Delacour
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
45.8
  
8 Spun for Joy
C E Lopez
C B Payne
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
43.1
  
6 Cuttin' Up
H Karamanos
C B Payne
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
42.0
  
10 Virginia Fab
T Kingsley
S S Cooney
 30/1
5
★★☆☆☆
37.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Millford Lass
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
K Brion
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Polka Dot Jersey
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
M E Lauer
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
3
Dantini
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
W Walden
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.3
Post · Horse
1
Theclockisticking
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.3
Post · Horse
5
Poll Position
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
M J Trombetta
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.4
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Sorica
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
H I McMahon
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.8
Post · Horse
7
Hadid
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
A Delacour
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.8
Post · Horse
8
Spun for Joy
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
C B Payne
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.1
Post · Horse
6
Cuttin' Up
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
C B Payne
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.0
Post · Horse
10
Virginia Fab
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
S S Cooney
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $16,000
Purse$43,125
Claiming$16,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Surfaceturf
Post Time12:59 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three-year-olds and upward. Claiming Price $16,000
Storyline
#6 Sea Lion is the class benchmark in this turf mile, but must prove ready off the bench against fit local runners like #10 Dream Overture and #7 Katarzyna who have recent speed figures in the mid-70s.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.3%
Price horse: Dream Overture (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Sea Lion
S Marin
K Danner
 3/5
20
★★★★☆
66.7
 Top Pick
10 Dream Overture
S Russell
H I McMahon
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
57.6
 Value Play
2 Hovekoma
E Esquivel
J Duarte, Jr.
 10/1
11
★★★☆☆
57.2
 Longshot
7 Katarzyna
D Centeno
R P Sillaman
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
56.3
  
5 Pegster
H Karamanos
D Hodsdon
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
56.2
  
1 Redheadedstepchild
P Lopez
G L Williams, Jr.
 30/1
9
★★★☆☆
53.7
  
4 Hale Bop
S Diaz, Jr.
O L Figgins III
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.0
  
8 Midnight Queen
G Ashton
I G Flores
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.7
  
3 Native Mischief
J Loveberry
D M Bourke
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
49.5
  
9 Alice's Moon
A Espinoza
O L Figgins III
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
48.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Sea Lion
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
K Danner
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Dream Overture
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
H I McMahon
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.6
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Hovekoma
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
J Duarte, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.2
Post · Horse
7
Katarzyna
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
R P Sillaman
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse
5
Pegster
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
D Hodsdon
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse
1
Redheadedstepchild
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
G L Williams, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.7
Post · Horse
4
Hale Bop
Jockey
S Diaz, Jr.
Trainer
O L Figgins III
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse
8
Midnight Queen
Jockey
G Ashton
Trainer
I G Flores
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
3
Native Mischief
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
D M Bourke
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.5
Post · Horse
9
Alice's Moon
Jockey
A Espinoza
Trainer
O L Figgins III
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $8,000 Or Less
Purse$50,000
Claiming$8,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Surfacedirt
Post Time1:29 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward. Claiming Price Of $8,000
Storyline
Speed dominates this six-furlong sprint as red-hot #3 Kerness K seeks his fifth consecutive victory, while #5 Twelve Treasures and #7 Daufuskie Island bring proven 90-plus speed figures capable of testing the favorite.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 29.2%
Price horse: Twelve Treasures (3/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Kerness K
M Chuan
J Ness
 2/1
29
★★★★★
83.2
 Top Pick
5 Twelve Treasures
P Lopez
R Richards
 3/2
20
★★★★☆
77.7
 Value Play
7 Daufuskie Island
C E Lopez
S White
 15/1
13
★★★★☆
71.5
 Longshot
2 Daddy Yankee
S Marin
R Sanchez-Salomon
 20/1
12
★★★★☆
69.3
  
1 Enlighten
G Whitacre
K A Austin
 30/1
10
★★★★☆
67.1
  
6 Concrete Glory
N Juarez
S A Joseph, Jr.
 9/5
9
★★★★☆
65.4
  
4 Celtic Pride
L Fuenmayor
A M Rodriguez
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
60.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Kerness K
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
J Ness
29
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★★ 83.2
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Twelve Treasures
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
R Richards
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.7
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Daufuskie Island
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
S White
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.5
Post · Horse
2
Daddy Yankee
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
R Sanchez-Salomon
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
Post · Horse
1
Enlighten
Jockey
G Whitacre
Trainer
K A Austin
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse
6
Concrete Glory
Jockey
N Juarez
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse
4
Celtic Pride
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
A M Rodriguez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of 16,000 Or Less In 2025-2026
Purse$62,500
Claiming$16,000
Trip & Field
Distance118 M
Surfacedirt
Post Time2:01 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward which have started for a claiming price of $16,000 or less in 2025-2026
Storyline
This one-mile route features a clash between fresh shipper #7 Indy Charges On, who routinely pairs triple-digit figures, and in-form local specialist #6 Zero Blitz coming off a 106 speed figure performance over this track.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.3%
Price horse: Zero Blitz (4/5 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Indy Charges On
C E Lopez
L Gaudet
 4/1
21
★★★★☆
78.1
 Top Pick
6 Zero Blitz
J Ruiz
J Shankle
 4/5
20
★★★★☆
77.8
 Value Play
4 Bold Diversion
S Marin
J Shankle
 3/1
16
★★★★☆
73.7
  
3 Excel Calculator
P Lopez
J Sharp
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
71.8
 Longshot
1 Willie Bird
J Loveberry
L Rivelli
 12/1
13
★★★★☆
70.7
  
5 Union Fleet
J G Briceno
J J Magana
 20/1
11
★★★★☆
69.1
  
2 Air Invasion
C Gil
M Paramo
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Indy Charges On
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
L Gaudet
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.1
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Zero Blitz
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
J Shankle
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.8
Post · Horse
4
Bold Diversion
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J Shankle
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.7
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Excel Calculator
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J Sharp
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.8
Post · Horse
1
Willie Bird
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
L Rivelli
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.7
Post · Horse
5
Union Fleet
Jockey
J G Briceno
Trainer
J J Magana
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
2
Air Invasion
Jockey
C Gil
Trainer
M Paramo
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $8,000 Or Less
Purse$50,000
Claiming$8,000
Trip & Field
Distance123 M
Surfacedirt
Post Time2:29 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward. Claiming Price Of $8,000
Storyline
A competitive nine-horse claiming route where #2 Freedom Road tries to replicate his solid Delaware form against in-form local runner #6 Forrest City, who looks for his second straight Colonial Downs score.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.8%
Price horse: Forrest City (5/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Freedom Road
A Wolfsont
R P Sillaman
 9/5
14
★★★★☆
70.9
 Top Pick
6 Forrest City
T Lyapustina
L Gaudet
 5/1
13
★★★★☆
69.8
 Value Play
7 Omar Comin
W Santiago
W S Sanderson
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
68.6
 Longshot
3 Curlin's Malibu
P Lopez
M J Maker
 8/5
12
★★★★☆
67.9
  
4 Hoodlum
S Marin
M Bowersock
 15/1
11
★★★★☆
66.7
  
5 Bill of Rights
J E Vargas
J Shankle
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
66.6
  
9 Ascendance
R Maragh
R Richards
 20/1
10
★★★★☆
65.8
  
1 Morning Thoughts
J Toledo
R Sanchez-Salomon
 30/1
10
★★★★☆
65.5
  
8 Get Like Mike
L Fuenmayor
M McGoey
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
62.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Freedom Road
Jockey
A Wolfsont
Trainer
R P Sillaman
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.9
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Forrest City
Jockey
T Lyapustina
Trainer
L Gaudet
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Omar Comin
Jockey
W Santiago
Trainer
W S Sanderson
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse
3
Curlin's Malibu
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
M J Maker
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse
4
Hoodlum
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M Bowersock
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
5
Bill of Rights
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
J Shankle
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
Post · Horse
9
Ascendance
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
R Richards
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
1
Morning Thoughts
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
R Sanchez-Salomon
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
8
Get Like Mike
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
M McGoey
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of 16,000 Or Less In 2025-2026
Purse$62,500
Claiming$16,000
Trip & Field
Distance121 M
Surfacedirt
Post Time2:59 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexfillies and mares
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For fillies and mares three years old and upward which have started for a claiming price of $16,000 or less in 2025-2026
Storyline
Multiple-race winner #9 Julee's Legacy brings a stellar four-race winning streak from Charles Town, but faces synthetic/dirt shipper #3 Stylet and consistent Delaware challenger #4 Miguel's Belle in a wide-open female sprint.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.6%
Price horse: Stylet (5/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Julee's Legacy
J Barbosa
M E Jones, Jr.
 3/5
17
★★★★☆
74.9
 Top Pick
3 Stylet
S Marin
S M Kintz
 5/1
14
★★★★☆
71.9
 Value Play
4 Miguel's Belle
P Lopez
M V Simone
 12/1
14
★★★★☆
71.8
 Longshot
2 Miss Interpatation
C Gil
M V Simone
 20/1
11
★★★★☆
67.7
  
5 Tiz Purple
M J Sanchez
J Ness
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
67.4
  
1 Awesome Pic
D Centeno
E Hernandez
 20/1
10
★★★★☆
66.2
  
8 Destination
J G Briceno
M Vera
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
64.9
  
7 Battleshipper
N Arroyo Bueno
K J Joy
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
63.8
  
6 Casa Juanita
J E Vargas
J I Pimental
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Julee's Legacy
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
M E Jones, Jr.
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.9
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Stylet
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
S M Kintz
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.9
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Miguel's Belle
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
M V Simone
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.8
Post · Horse
2
Miss Interpatation
Jockey
C Gil
Trainer
M V Simone
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
5
Tiz Purple
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.4
Post · Horse
1
Awesome Pic
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
E Hernandez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
8
Destination
Jockey
J G Briceno
Trainer
M Vera
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse
7
Battleshipper
Jockey
N Arroyo Bueno
Trainer
K J Joy
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse
6
Casa Juanita
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
J I Pimental
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less In 2025-2026
Purse$75,000
Claiming$25,000
Trip & Field
Distance124 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:31 PM ET
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward which have started for a claiming price of $25,000 or less in 2025-2026
Storyline
A deep ten-horse turf marathon pits New York shipper #7 Shape Note, who scored at Saratoga with a 98 speed figure, against versatile #6 Normandy Hero and course-proven closer #3 Bushido.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.1%
Price horse: Normandy Hero (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Shape Note
J Loveberry
M J Maker
 5/2
14
★★★★☆
76.0
 Top Pick
6 Normandy Hero
M J Sanchez
J Ness
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
74.9
 Value Play
3 Bushido
F Boyce
L Gaudet
 5/2
13
★★★★☆
74.7
  
2 If Not for Luck
S Marin
B J Chapman
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
74.0
  
4 Outlaw Country
J Ruiz
G Ochoa
 30/1
10
★★★★☆
71.0
 Longshot
5 Paynted Warrior
M Chuan
J A Vargas
 4/1
10
★★★★☆
71.0
  
10 Fluid Situation
P Lopez
M J Maker
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
69.7
  
8 Cool Cowboy
E Esquivel
M Simms, Jr.
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
67.8
  
9 Little Roo Roo
W Ho
M E Jones, Jr.
 30/1
6
★★★★☆
63.3
  
1 Mi Dinero
U Casique
R A Werneth
 30/1
6
★★★★☆
62.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Shape Note
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
M J Maker
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.0
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Normandy Hero
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.9
Post · Horse
3
Bushido
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
L Gaudet
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.7
Post · Horse
2
If Not for Luck
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
B J Chapman
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.0
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Outlaw Country
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
G Ochoa
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse
5
Paynted Warrior
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
J A Vargas
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse
10
Fluid Situation
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
M J Maker
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse
8
Cool Cowboy
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
M Simms, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse
9
Little Roo Roo
Jockey
W Ho
Trainer
M E Jones, Jr.
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse
1
Mi Dinero
Jockey
U Casique
Trainer
R A Werneth
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $12,500 Or Less In 2025-2026
Purse$50,000
Claiming$12,500
Trip & Field
Distance120 M
Surfacedirt
Post Time4:03 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexfillies and mares
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For fillies and mares three years old and upward which have started for a claiming price of $12,500 or less in 2025-2026
Storyline
New York invader #6 Coquito drops in class following competitive runs at Saratoga and Aqueduct, but must hold off Delaware winning machine #3 Golden Eib Micrphn who enters riding a three-race win streak.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.0%
Price horse: Golden Eib Micrphn (9/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Coquito
P Lopez
J Sharp
 9/5
16
★★★★☆
73.9
 Top Pick
3 Golden Eib Micrphn
J Toledo
J Maldonado
 9/2
15
★★★★☆
72.9
 Value Play
2 La Girvina
S Marin
S M Kintz
 5/1
13
★★★★☆
70.3
  
1 Castagna
C Gil
A O Mendieta
 30/1
11
★★★★☆
68.3
 Longshot
7 Enigmatic
J Barbosa
D G Eubanks
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
68.1
  
5 Mavilus
W Ho
M E Jones, Jr.
 30/1
10
★★★★☆
66.2
  
8 Lord's Lady
H Karamanos
A F Allen III
 4/1
9
★★★★☆
64.6
  
4 Antonacci Girl
M Chuan
J Ness
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
64.0
  
9 Margaret P
J G Briceno
J J Magana
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Coquito
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J Sharp
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.9
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Golden Eib Micrphn
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
J Maldonado
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.9
Post · Horse
2
La Girvina
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
S M Kintz
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.3
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Castagna
Jockey
C Gil
Trainer
A O Mendieta
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
7
Enigmatic
Jockey
J Barbosa
Trainer
D G Eubanks
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
Post · Horse
5
Mavilus
Jockey
W Ho
Trainer
M E Jones, Jr.
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
8
Lord's Lady
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
A F Allen III
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
4
Antonacci Girl
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
J Ness
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
9
Margaret P
Jockey
J G Briceno
Trainer
J J Magana
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less In 2025-2026
Purse$75,000
Claiming$25,000
Trip & Field
Distance123 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time4:35 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexfillies and mares
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For fillies and mares three years old and upward which have started for a claiming price of $25,000 or less in 2025-2026
Storyline
Churchill Downs and Keeneland veteran #5 Smiling Ellie drops into the mid-Atlantic ranks, but faces formidable local turf form in #6 Dynamic Actress and #3 Put a Rock On It, who both bring winning momentum over this turf course.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.1%
Price horse: Dynamic Actress (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Smiling Ellie
S Marin
M E Casse
 1/1
14
★★★★☆
71.6
 Top Pick
6 Dynamic Actress
P Lopez
J I Pimental
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
70.5
 Value Play
3 Put a Rock On It
J E Vargas
K Magee
 20/1
13
★★★★☆
69.8
 Longshot
9 Stillthinkingofyou
D Centeno
D S Ryan
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
69.0
  
8 Notable Exchange
M J Sanchez
M J Maker
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
69.0
  
7 Goats On a Tree
E Esquivel
K LaRose
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
66.2
  
2 Goodbetterbest
J Loveberry
J Sharp
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
65.8
  
1 Let's Dance Again
I Villalobos
J Maldonado
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
61.5
  
4 Queen Wilhelmina
D Cannon
L Schultz
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
61.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Smiling Ellie
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M E Casse
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.6
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Dynamic Actress
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J I Pimental
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Put a Rock On It
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
K Magee
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse
9
Stillthinkingofyou
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
D S Ryan
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse
8
Notable Exchange
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M J Maker
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse
7
Goats On a Tree
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
K LaRose
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
2
Goodbetterbest
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
J Sharp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
1
Let's Dance Again
Jockey
I Villalobos
Trainer
J Maldonado
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse
4
Queen Wilhelmina
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
L Schultz
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $35,000 Or Less In 2025-2026
Purse$100,000
Claiming$35,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Eighth Miles
Surfacedirt
Post Time5:07 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward which have started for a claiming price of $35,000 or less in 2025-2026
Storyline
A demanding nine-furlong test features #4 Cadet Corps, who has registered multiple triple-digit speed figures this season, squaring off against Delaware Park double-winner #7 Majorca and Churchill shipper #6 Baytown Bruiser.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.3%
Price horse: Majorca (4/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Cadet Corps
P Lopez
K J Breen
 5/1
20
★★★★☆
77.4
 Top Pick
7 Majorca
J Toledo
D G Eubanks
 4/1
16
★★★★☆
73.8
 Value Play
6 Baytown Bruiser
S Marin
B L King
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
72.5
 Longshot
1 Nogradi
M Chuan
K Brion
 2/1
14
★★★★☆
71.6
  
2 Groveland
M J Sanchez
E Kenneally
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
69.7
  
5 American Law
J Loveberry
S E Shaffer
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
67.3
  
3 Just a Fair Shake
F Boyce
D J McKenzie
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
64.6
  
8 Freedom Principle
J Ruiz
G Ochoa
 10/1
6
★★★★☆
60.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Cadet Corps
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
K J Breen
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.4
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Majorca
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
D G Eubanks
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.8
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Baytown Bruiser
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
B L King
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse
1
Nogradi
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
K Brion
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.6
Post · Horse
2
Groveland
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
E Kenneally
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse
5
American Law
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
S E Shaffer
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse
3
Just a Fair Shake
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
D J McKenzie
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
8
Freedom Principle
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
G Ochoa
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 11
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less In 2025-2026
Purse$87,500
Claiming$25,000
Trip & Field
Distance120 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time5:37 PM ET
Field Size12
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward which have started for a claiming price of $25,000 or less in 2025-2026
Storyline
The nightcap is a wide-open 12-horse turf sprint where top-rated #1 Two's a Crowd looks to overcome the rail draw against proven triple-digit figure shipper #10 Westside Tide and consistent turf sprinter #11 Bar Fourteen.
PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 14.9%
Price horse: Westside Tide (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Two's a Crowd
E Gonzalez
D S Ryan
 9/2
16
★★★★☆
79.4
 Top Pick
10 Westside Tide
P Lopez
J Sharp
 5/2
10
★★★★☆
72.1
 Value Play
4 Next Level
M J Sanchez
H I McMahon
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
71.2
  
8 Spanish Noble
C Gil
K O'Connell
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
70.4
  
5 Funny Uncle
J Loveberry
J Sharp
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
70.3
  
2 What Say Thee
J Rosado
H De Paz
 2/1
9
★★★★☆
70.3
  
11 Bar Fourteen
H Karamanos
J Libertini
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
67.7
 Longshot
9 One Time Willard
S Marin
K J Breen
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
67.6
  
6 E Minor
J E Vargas
M Bowersock
 30/1
6
★★★★☆
65.2
  
7 In a Jam
D Cannon
J G Cook
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
65.2
  
12 Malibu Mambo
J Ruiz
M Hinckson
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
61.3
  
3 Mongolian Apple
R Maragh
R Richards
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
60.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Two's a Crowd
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
D S Ryan
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.4
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Westside Tide
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J Sharp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.1
Post · Horse
4
Next Level
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
H I McMahon
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.2
Post · Horse
8
Spanish Noble
Jockey
C Gil
Trainer
K O'Connell
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
Post · Horse
5
Funny Uncle
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
J Sharp
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.3
Post · Horse
2
What Say Thee
Jockey
J Rosado
Trainer
H De Paz
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.3
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Bar Fourteen
Jockey
H Karamanos
Trainer
J Libertini
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
9
One Time Willard
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
K J Breen
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse
6
E Minor
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
M Bowersock
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
7
In a Jam
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
J G Cook
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
12
Malibu Mambo
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
M Hinckson
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse
3
Mongolian Apple
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
R Richards
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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