Curated Betting Card

Colonial Downs

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 2.

2026-09-03 Race 2 Morning Card
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This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Colonial Downs · full board
Strongest play
R3
Gold Charm #4
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Anyoneforsnacks #10
12/1 ML
Deepest field
R8
11 runners
11
Pace race
R1
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Colonial Downs presents an expansive 11-race program highlighted by jump stakes action and competitive turf routes. Short-priced contenders like Shamsat in Race 2 and Gold Charm in Race 3 provide sturdy anchors for multi-race sequences, while the juvenile and turf maiden events feature wide-open fields that demand value-hunting strategies. Bettors should watch the firm turf course closely for early pace biases in the middle routes and sprint dashes.
Races 11 Status Live View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Four Years Old And Upward
Purse$60,000
Trip & Field
Distance2 1/4M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time9:00 AM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A field of older jump maidens where #4 McLovin and #1 Steadfast Resolve both exit runner-up efforts over this course on July 30. The race turns on whether #4 McLovin can build on his sharp six-furlong stamina drill (1:18.17 on August 21) or if #1 Steadfast Resolve turns the tables from the inside fence.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.4%
Price horse: Steadfast Resolve (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 McLovin
B Dalton
K Dalton
 9/2
16
★★★★☆
64.0
 Top Pick
1 Steadfast Resolve
G Watters
N R Morris
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
62.9
 Value Play
3 Thomas Aquinas
E Dwan
T Garner
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
61.7
  
10 Anyoneforsnacks
H Beswick
T McKenna
 12/1
13
★★★★☆
60.2
 Longshot
5 Double Clutch
D Nevin
N R Morris
 7/2
10
★★★☆☆
56.1
  
2 Path to Victory
M Boucher
L E Boucher
 30/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.8
  
9 Lightup Lightup
J Bargary
T Garner
 20/1
9
★★★☆☆
55.4
  
7 Landauer
S Mulqueen
K Brion
 5/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.0
  
6 Deflected
F Procter
K S Neilson
 4/1
5
★★★☆☆
47.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
McLovin
Jockey
B Dalton
Trainer
K Dalton
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Steadfast Resolve
Jockey
G Watters
Trainer
N R Morris
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
3
Thomas Aquinas
Jockey
E Dwan
Trainer
T Garner
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Anyoneforsnacks
Jockey
H Beswick
Trainer
T McKenna
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.2
Post · Horse
5
Double Clutch
Jockey
D Nevin
Trainer
N R Morris
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse
2
Path to Victory
Jockey
M Boucher
Trainer
L E Boucher
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse
9
Lightup Lightup
Jockey
J Bargary
Trainer
T Garner
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse
7
Landauer
Jockey
S Mulqueen
Trainer
K Brion
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse
6
Deflected
Jockey
F Procter
Trainer
K S Neilson
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
Typeallowances
Purse$40,000
Trip & Field
Distance2 1/4M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time9:28 AM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#7 Shamsat arrives off consecutive top-two efforts in Europe, including a victory at Worcester on June 11, and stands as the clear standout. The key question is whether #6 L'Avvocato or a fresh #4 Vintage Year can mount enough pressure to exploit any acclimation hurdles.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 30.2%
Price horse: L'Avvocato (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Shamsat
G Watters
N R Morris
 2/1
30
★★★★☆
70.2
 Top Pick
6 L'Avvocato
F Procter
K S Neilson
 5/1
19
★★★★☆
63.1
 Value Play
4 Vintage Year
J Bargary
J Fisher
 9/2
17
★★★★☆
61.8
 Longshot
3 Renfro's Reception
V Korrell
J Fisher
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
56.9
  
1 Bright Eyed Eagle
S Mulqueen
K S Neilson
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
54.8
  
5 Pleasant Fantasy
B Dalton
K Dalton
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
54.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Shamsat
Jockey
G Watters
Trainer
N R Morris
30
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.2
Post · Horse Value Play
6
L'Avvocato
Jockey
F Procter
Trainer
K S Neilson
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Vintage Year
Jockey
J Bargary
Trainer
J Fisher
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse
3
Renfro's Reception
Jockey
V Korrell
Trainer
J Fisher
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.9
Post · Horse
1
Bright Eyed Eagle
Jockey
S Mulqueen
Trainer
K S Neilson
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.8
Post · Horse
5
Pleasant Fantasy
Jockey
B Dalton
Trainer
K Dalton
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance153 M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time9:56 AM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Stakes action at 153 meters brings together local winners #4 Gold Charm and #2 Camanoe alongside consistent graded-level performer #5 Timetoshine. The tactical tension centers on whether #4 Gold Charm can reproduce her June 29 Colonial victory to hold off the late surge of #5 Timetoshine.
PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 32.2%
Price horse: Timetoshine (4/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Gold Charm
J Bargary
C Murphy
 7/2
32
★★★★☆
75.8
 Top Pick
5 Timetoshine
D Nevin
M Beecher
 4/1
21
★★★★☆
69.5
 Value Play
2 Camanoe
F Procter
J Fisher
 5/2
17
★★★★☆
66.4
  
1 Red Tone
C Tierney
L E Boucher
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
60.9
 Longshot
7 Love Foreverafter
G Watters
N R Morris
 4/1
11
★★★☆☆
59.3
  
3 Madaket's Arrow
B Dalton
K Dalton
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
53.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Gold Charm
Jockey
J Bargary
Trainer
C Murphy
32
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.8
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Timetoshine
Jockey
D Nevin
Trainer
M Beecher
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
2
Camanoe
Jockey
F Procter
Trainer
J Fisher
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.4
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Red Tone
Jockey
C Tierney
Trainer
L E Boucher
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
Post · Horse
7
Love Foreverafter
Jockey
G Watters
Trainer
N R Morris
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
Post · Horse
3
Madaket's Arrow
Jockey
B Dalton
Trainer
K Dalton
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$87,500
Trip & Field
Distance119 M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time10:25 AM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Two-year-old maidens clash where #5 No Substitute makes his second career start after a sharp debut runner-up effort (62 speed figure). He faces seasoned local runners #1 The Gabe Digger and #4 Prince of Peace who both bring multiple 60+ speed figures over the track.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.6%
Price horse: The Gabe Digger (15/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 No Substitute
P Lopez
K J Breen
 6/5
19
★★★☆☆
55.3
 Top Pick
1 The Gabe Digger
M Chuan
J T Kirby
 15/1
17
★★★☆☆
53.6
 Value Play
4 Prince of Peace
J E Lopez
W R Bailes
 7/2
17
★★★☆☆
53.6
  
8 Jack Rabbitness
M J Sanchez
J Ness
 3/1
11
★★★☆☆
47.7
  
7 Scooter's Will
S Marin
M Shuman
 10/1
11
★★★☆☆
47.2
 Longshot
6 Bertiebertbert
C E Lopez
J Ness
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
46.2
  
3 Side Hug
S Leon
A F Allen III
 20/1
9
★★★☆☆
44.4
  
2 Cooptown
K Gomez
K Dennehy
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
40.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
No Substitute
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
K J Breen
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.3
Post · Horse Value Play
1
The Gabe Digger
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
J T Kirby
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.6
Post · Horse
4
Prince of Peace
Jockey
J E Lopez
Trainer
W R Bailes
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.6
Post · Horse
8
Jack Rabbitness
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Scooter's Will
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M Shuman
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.2
Post · Horse
6
Bertiebertbert
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
J Ness
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.2
Post · Horse
3
Side Hug
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
A F Allen III
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.4
Post · Horse
2
Cooptown
Jockey
K Gomez
Trainer
K Dennehy
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$70,000
Trip & Field
Distance119 M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time10:52 AM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A field of seven juvenile first-time starters where trainer intent and pedigree take center stage. The central tension is whether #9 Patricio can convert his solid foundation into a winning debut over well-bred rivals from the Casse barn (#7 Ring for Peace) and Robb barn (#8 Winslow).
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 21.6%
Price horse: Ring for Peace (9/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Patricio
P Lopez
G Ochoa
 15/1
22
★★★☆☆
52.1
 Top Pick
7 Ring for Peace
S Leon
M E Casse
 9/2
14
★★★☆☆
45.5
 Value Play
5 Power of Vino
M J Sanchez
M Simms, Jr.
 12/1
14
★★★☆☆
45.4
  
8 Winslow
X Perez
J J Robb
 5/2
13
★★★☆☆
44.9
  
4 Matowy
S Marin
M Bowersock
 15/1
13
★★★☆☆
44.5
 Longshot
3 Grind It Out
J Rosado
J Duarte, Jr.
 2/1
12
★★★☆☆
43.6
  
2 Belov
J Toledo
J Maldonado
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
43.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Patricio
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
G Ochoa
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Ring for Peace
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
M E Casse
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.5
Post · Horse
5
Power of Vino
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M Simms, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.4
Post · Horse
8
Winslow
Jockey
X Perez
Trainer
J J Robb
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.9
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Matowy
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M Bowersock
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.5
Post · Horse
3
Grind It Out
Jockey
J Rosado
Trainer
J Duarte, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.6
Post · Horse
2
Belov
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
J Maldonado
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Open
Purse$36,000
Trip & Field
Distance000 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time11:19 AM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#1 Create Trouble seeks his third straight victory following a sharp local score on August 8 with a 91 speed figure, but he must hold off #7 Dairago, who has hit the board in three straight starts with figures of 92, 88, and 92. The pace duel between the inside speed and the outside stalkers will decide the outcome.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 19.6%
Price horse: Dairago (3/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Create Trouble
S Russell
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 6/5
20
★★★★☆
69.7
 Top Pick
7 Dairago
S Marin
J K Desormeaux
 3/1
16
★★★★☆
66.7
 Value Play
3 Mugatu
C E Lopez
D G Eubanks
 30/1
14
★★★★☆
65.1
 Longshot
6 Walter Me Lad
P Lopez
A M Rodriguez
 5/1
14
★★★★☆
64.9
  
8 McCullough
M J Sanchez
J Ness
 7/2
14
★★★★☆
64.5
  
5 Righthere Rightnow
S Leon
B Foley
 30/1
12
★★★★☆
62.2
  
2 Oviatt Class
D Cannon
J McCutchen
 20/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Create Trouble
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Dairago
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Mugatu
Jockey
C E Lopez
Trainer
D G Eubanks
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse
6
Walter Me Lad
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
A M Rodriguez
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse
8
McCullough
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
5
Righthere Rightnow
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
B Foley
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.2
Post · Horse
2
Oviatt Class
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
J McCutchen
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Open
Purse$50,000
Trip & Field
Distance118 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time11:46 AM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A seven-horse turf sprint where #7 Joy Division comes in fresh off an August 13 victory over this course and distance. The question is whether #1 Golf Cart Ryder, who owns the field's top turf figure (90 at Colonial on July 6), can rebound from the rail and run him down.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 19.7%
Price horse: Golf Cart Ryder (4/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Joy Division
J Ruiz
A Delacour
 6/1
20
★★★★☆
62.9
 Top Pick
1 Golf Cart Ryder
D Centeno
M J Trombetta
 4/1
18
★★★★☆
61.3
 Value Play
2 Phil's Prince
K Gomez
M F Meyers
 8/1
16
★★★☆☆
59.5
 Longshot
3 If Ever
M Chuan
A Delacour
 8/1
14
★★★☆☆
58.3
  
4 Kuhner
M J Sanchez
W R Bailes
 6/1
13
★★★☆☆
57.1
  
8 Pnutbutter Whiskey
J Panaijo
J A Kelley
 30/1
11
★★★☆☆
54.1
  
5 Red Lad
D Cannon
E Vaughan
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
49.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Joy Division
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
A Delacour
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Golf Cart Ryder
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
M J Trombetta
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Phil's Prince
Jockey
K Gomez
Trainer
M F Meyers
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
3
If Ever
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
A Delacour
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
4
Kuhner
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
W R Bailes
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse
8
Pnutbutter Whiskey
Jockey
J Panaijo
Trainer
J A Kelley
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.1
Post · Horse
5
Red Lad
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
E Vaughan
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$70,000
Trip & Field
Distance119 F
Surfaceturf
Post Time12:13 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
An ultra-wide field of 11 juvenile turf fillies where all entrants lack prior race experience. With morning-line favorite #7 Winterscape separated by only 0.1 points from #6 Bellablaze, this race offers no reliable statistical standout and demands caution.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 13.2%
Price horse: Bellablaze (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Winterscape
P Lopez
M Stidham
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
51.4
 Top Pick
6 Bellablaze
S Russell
B T Russell
 3/1
13
★★★☆☆
51.3
 Value Play
4 Twin Stars
S Leon
M E Casse
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
47.6
  
5 Dreamsmoveon
S Marin
M J Trombetta
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
47.1
  
11 Numerology
M Chuan
H G Motion
 5/1
10
★★★☆☆
46.5
  
2 Germaine Lass
L Reyes
F Gutierrez
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
45.6
  
3 Infinite Aura
J Toledo
M Stidham
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.5
  
12 Miami Beach
J Ruiz
E Azpurua, Jr.
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
42.7
 Longshot
10 Amphibious Assault
D Cannon
J Cruz
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
41.5
  
9 La Loba
K Gomez
J Vazquez
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
41.0
  
1 All Over It
L Fuenmayor
C Munoz
 20/1
6
★★☆☆☆
38.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Winterscape
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
M Stidham
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Bellablaze
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
4
Twin Stars
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
M E Casse
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
Post · Horse
5
Dreamsmoveon
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M J Trombetta
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.1
Post · Horse
11
Numerology
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
H G Motion
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
Post · Horse
2
Germaine Lass
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
F Gutierrez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.6
Post · Horse
3
Infinite Aura
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
M Stidham
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.5
Post · Horse Longshot
12
Miami Beach
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
E Azpurua, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.7
Post · Horse
10
Amphibious Assault
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
J Cruz
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.5
Post · Horse
9
La Loba
Jockey
K Gomez
Trainer
J Vazquez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.0
Post · Horse
1
All Over It
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
C Munoz
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Fillies & Mares
Purse$36,000
Trip & Field
Distance000 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time12:40 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A crowded 11-horse turf field featuring multiple recent winners including #11 Americandreammaker, who has won three of her last four outings (figures of 87 and 84 at Colonial). The race hinges on whether she can overcome the disadvantage of post 11 against seasoned turf closers #10 Mrs. Katz and #3 Synergism.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 13.9%
Price horse: Mrs. Katz (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
11 Americandreammaker
S Leon
B Foley
 7/2
14
★★★★☆
71.2
 Top Pick
10 Mrs. Katz
P Lopez
D S Ryan
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
69.4
 Value Play
3 Synergism
M J Sanchez
J Ness
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
68.3
  
1 Atmidnight
S Marin
J F Orseno
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
67.9
  
9 Enigmatic
J Toledo
D G Eubanks
 20/1
11
★★★★☆
67.1
 Longshot
8 Let's Dance Again
I Villalobos
J Maldonado
 5/1
7
★★★★☆
61.8
  
5 Birdie Rose
M Chuan
A M Rodriguez
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
61.6
  
4 Stay in Tune
C Montalvo
S R Hernandez, Jr.
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
61.1
  
7 Tic Tic Tic Boom
L Fuenmayor
M McGoey
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
60.4
  
6 Tinta Roja
D Centeno
D Rodriguez
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
59.9
  
2 More Than Glory
U Casique
C Munoz
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
57.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
11
Americandreammaker
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
B Foley
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.2
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Mrs. Katz
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
D S Ryan
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse
3
Synergism
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
1
Atmidnight
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J F Orseno
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Enigmatic
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
D G Eubanks
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse
8
Let's Dance Again
Jockey
I Villalobos
Trainer
J Maldonado
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse
5
Birdie Rose
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
A M Rodriguez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
Post · Horse
4
Stay in Tune
Jockey
C Montalvo
Trainer
S R Hernandez, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse
7
Tic Tic Tic Boom
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
M McGoey
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
6
Tinta Roja
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
D Rodriguez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
2
More Than Glory
Jockey
U Casique
Trainer
C Munoz
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$90,000
Trip & Field
Distance122 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time1:07 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#8 Overspent drops into starter/claiming company after earning a 93 speed figure over this course in July, but must tackle #10 Dynacito, who romped to a maiden victory here on July 24 (76 figure). The pace dynamic between #5 King Covee and #2 Jessica's Eyes will dictate how easily the closers can make their bids.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.9%
Price horse: Dynacito (7/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Overspent
S Marin
M Shuman
 6/1
16
★★★★☆
66.8
 Top Pick
10 Dynacito
S Russell
B T Russell
 7/2
14
★★★★☆
64.8
 Value Play
6 Enduring Gold
M J Sanchez
M J Trombetta
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
62.7
  
5 King Covee
F Boyce
P Schoenthal
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
62.2
  
2 Jessica's Eyes
X Perez
J J Robb
 4/1
10
★★★★☆
60.7
  
1 Jigger
P Lopez
A F Allen III
 20/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.3
  
9 Finestkind
S Leon
M E Casse
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.2
 Longshot
4 Roommate Martin
J E Vargas
H I McMahon
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
3 Flying to Work
J Ruiz
R Sanchez-Salomon
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
57.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Overspent
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M Shuman
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.8
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Dynacito
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse
6
Enduring Gold
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
5
King Covee
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
P Schoenthal
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.2
Post · Horse
2
Jessica's Eyes
Jockey
X Perez
Trainer
J J Robb
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse
1
Jigger
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
A F Allen III
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Finestkind
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
M E Casse
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
4
Roommate Martin
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
H I McMahon
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
3
Flying to Work
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
R Sanchez-Salomon
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 11
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$32,000
Trip & Field
Distance124 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time1:34 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The finale is a maiden marathon over 124 meters where morning-line chalk #12 Daw Samaa must overcome an extreme outside post against #6 Hill Country and #7 Great Hunt. The race centers on whether #12 Daw Samaa can clear the pack into the first turn after running second at Delaware with a 68 speed figure.
PASS Skip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 17.7%
Price horse: Hill Country (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
12 Daw Samaa
M J Sanchez
J Ness
 7/5
18
★★★☆☆
57.2
 Top Pick
6 Hill Country
S Russell
J K Desormeaux
 3/1
16
★★★☆☆
55.9
 Value Play
7 Great Hunt
S Marin
G Ochoa
 12/1
14
★★★☆☆
53.4
 Longshot
10 Legend's Thunder
J E Vargas
P F Nuesch
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
49.4
  
9 Harrier
T Kingsley
A J Kingsley, Jr.
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
48.2
  
3 Mac Daddyness
L M Briceno
L Hester
 30/1
9
★★★☆☆
46.3
  
11 Juansinmiedo
I Villalobos
A Gardea
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.9
  
5 Gods of Wrath
L Fuenmayor
M R Yanez
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.9
  
1 Putter Man
G Ashton
T Woolley
 20/1
5
★★☆☆☆
37.4
  
4 Chilly Cheesesteak
W Ho
M Castillo
 20/1
3
★★☆☆☆
31.3
  
2 Please Pat My Back
R Mitchell
A E Lizardi
 30/1
1
★☆☆☆☆
19.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
12
Daw Samaa
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.2
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Hill Country
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Great Hunt
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
G Ochoa
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.4
Post · Horse
10
Legend's Thunder
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
P F Nuesch
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
Post · Horse
9
Harrier
Jockey
T Kingsley
Trainer
A J Kingsley, Jr.
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.2
Post · Horse
3
Mac Daddyness
Jockey
L M Briceno
Trainer
L Hester
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.3
Post · Horse
11
Juansinmiedo
Jockey
I Villalobos
Trainer
A Gardea
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.9
Post · Horse
5
Gods of Wrath
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
M R Yanez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.9
Post · Horse
1
Putter Man
Jockey
G Ashton
Trainer
T Woolley
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.4
Post · Horse
4
Chilly Cheesesteak
Jockey
W Ho
Trainer
M Castillo
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 31.3
Post · Horse
2
Please Pat My Back
Jockey
R Mitchell
Trainer
A E Lizardi
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★☆☆☆☆ 19.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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