Curated Betting Card

Colonial Downs

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 11.

2026-09-07 Race 11 Morning Card
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Card signals
Colonial Downs · full board
Strongest play
R2
Eleos #2
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Lord Donegal #2
12/1 ML
Deepest field
R9
14 runners
14
Pace race
R1
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Colonial Downs presents an 11-race card featuring competitive turf routes, graded stakes-caliber turf sprints, and marathon turf conditions. Firm turf racing dominates the second half of the sequence, where experienced runners from Belmont, Saratoga, and Churchill Downs converge in high-level stakes and allowance company. Value seekers will find live price alternatives in wide-open turf fields such as Race 8 and Race 9, while short-priced favorites face legitimate pace challenges in several maiden and allowance events.
Races 11 Status Completed View Morning
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Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $16,000
Purse$34,500
Claiming$16,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Surfaceturf
Post Time12:00 PM ET
Field Size11
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward. Claiming Price $16,000
Storyline
The opener is a wide-open $16,000 turf mile where #3 Flamenco Star looks to rebound from a troubled seventh-place outing after earning a sharp 71 speed figure at Colonial two back, while #2 Lord Donegal brings steady jump and turf foundation at an appealing 12-1 morning line.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 15.0%
Price horse: Lord Donegal (12/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Flamenco Star
P Lopez
J Duarte, Jr.
 3/1
15
★★★★☆
63.7
 Top Pick
2 Lord Donegal
J Rosado
N R Morris
 12/1
14
★★★★☆
62.9
 Value Play
10 Keen Talent
J E Vargas
A Farrior
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
59.9
  
8 He's a Charmer
J Loveberry
E W West
 5/2
10
★★★☆☆
58.3
  
5 Boss Lily
J Toledo
P Schoenthal
 9/2
10
★★★☆☆
57.4
  
1 Dynaflame
S Leon
A F Allen III
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.8
  
6 Smooth an Easy
C Montalvo
A M Rodriguez
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.8
  
7 Yammy Yammy Bella
C Gil
L F Gonzalez
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.3
  
4 Coco No Loco
G Ashton
G Galligan
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
51.7
  
11 Mo Can Dance
A Concepcion
E W West
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.5
  
9 Deep Star
L Fuenmayor
C Munoz
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
45.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Flamenco Star
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J Duarte, Jr.
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Lord Donegal
Jockey
J Rosado
Trainer
N R Morris
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
10
Keen Talent
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
A Farrior
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
8
He's a Charmer
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
E W West
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
5
Boss Lily
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
P Schoenthal
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
Post · Horse
1
Dynaflame
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
A F Allen III
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
6
Smooth an Easy
Jockey
C Montalvo
Trainer
A M Rodriguez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
7
Yammy Yammy Bella
Jockey
C Gil
Trainer
L F Gonzalez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.3
Post · Horse
4
Coco No Loco
Jockey
G Ashton
Trainer
G Galligan
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
11
Mo Can Dance
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
E W West
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
Post · Horse
9
Deep Star
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
C Munoz
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$70,000
Trip & Field
Distance119 M
Surfacedirt
Post Time12:27 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Three Years Old and
Storyline
Heavy morning-line chalk #2 Eleos owns the best established dirt figures, but #6 Overtime Rules drilled a bullet four furlongs in 48.00 on August 22 and could upset if the favorite fails to stretch his speed past nine furlongs.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 25.9%
Price horse: Fanti (12/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Eleos
A Concepcion
C Munoz
 1/1
26
★★★★☆
61.4
 Top Pick
3 Fanti
L Fuenmayor
C Munoz
 12/1
15
★★★☆☆
52.9
 Value Play
6 Overtime Rules
P Lopez
A Delacour
 4/1
13
★★★☆☆
50.9
 Longshot
5 Short Burn
S Marin
M J Trombetta
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
46.0
  
9 Card Shark
J Ruiz
H G Motion
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
45.9
  
7 Soupersonic Dancer
S Leon
M E Casse
 5/1
9
★★★☆☆
45.4
  
8 Thom Thom
J E Vargas
M E Casse
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
42.0
  
1 Free Costs to Much
J Toledo
D L McClure
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
42.0
  
4 Jess's Vision
U Casique
M R Yanez
 30/1
5
★★☆☆☆
35.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Eleos
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
C Munoz
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.4
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Fanti
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
C Munoz
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Overtime Rules
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
A Delacour
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse
5
Short Burn
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
M J Trombetta
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
Post · Horse
9
Card Shark
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
H G Motion
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.9
Post · Horse
7
Soupersonic Dancer
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
M E Casse
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.4
Post · Horse
8
Thom Thom
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
M E Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.0
Post · Horse
1
Free Costs to Much
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
D L McClure
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.0
Post · Horse
4
Jess's Vision
Jockey
U Casique
Trainer
M R Yanez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 35.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$87,500
Trip & Field
Distance119 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time12:57 PM ET
Field Size13
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maiden
Storyline
A field of 13 juvenile turf route fillies features largely unexposed pedigrees, where #12 Hardscape brings solid stamina backing for trainer Keri Brion against well-bred Delacour trainee #2 Hadid.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 10.9%
Price horse: Gold Brew (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
12 Hardscape
S Marin
K Brion
 4/1
11
★★★☆☆
50.2
 Top Pick
11 Gold Brew
S Leon
W R Bailes
 5/1
10
★★★☆☆
48.3
 Value Play
2 Hadid
J E Vargas
A Delacour
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
48.1
 Longshot
6 Pretty Violent
P Lopez
M J Trombetta
 5/1
9
★★★☆☆
47.9
  
1 Silver Road
F Geroux
B H Cox
 5/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.3
  
9 Springtime Diva
M Chuan
K Brion
 5/1
8
★★★☆☆
45.4
  
5 Last Move
V Cheminaud
P Schoenthal
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.7
  
10 Anfield d'Oro
M J Sanchez
R P Sillaman
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
44.4
  
13 Ai Magic
J Toledo
B Colebrook
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
44.1
  
4 Nial and Pray
I Villalobos
J Corrales
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.8
  
7 Warrior's Dolly
J Loveberry
J K Desormeaux
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.0
  
8 Bedlam At the Park
J Rodriguez
M Shuman
 30/1
5
★★☆☆☆
38.0
  
3 Mischief Springs
G Ashton
S S Cooney
 30/1
5
★★☆☆☆
37.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
12
Hardscape
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
K Brion
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Gold Brew
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
W R Bailes
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.3
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Hadid
Jockey
J E Vargas
Trainer
A Delacour
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.1
Post · Horse
6
Pretty Violent
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
Post · Horse
1
Silver Road
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B H Cox
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.3
Post · Horse
9
Springtime Diva
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
K Brion
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.4
Post · Horse
5
Last Move
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
P Schoenthal
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.7
Post · Horse
10
Anfield d'Oro
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
R P Sillaman
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.4
Post · Horse
13
Ai Magic
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
B Colebrook
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.1
Post · Horse
4
Nial and Pray
Jockey
I Villalobos
Trainer
J Corrales
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.8
Post · Horse
7
Warrior's Dolly
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.0
Post · Horse
8
Bedlam At the Park
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
M Shuman
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.0
Post · Horse
3
Mischief Springs
Jockey
G Ashton
Trainer
S S Cooney
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 13-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$87,500
Trip & Field
Distance119 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time1:27 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Three Years Old and
Storyline
Wesley Ward trainee #3 Fosroc comes off a runner-up local effort with a 70 speed figure but faces a tough challenge if #10 D'oro Cavallo or #2 Paid Vacation find favorable trips in this 10-horse turf route.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.7%
Price horse: Paid Vacation (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Fosroc
P Lopez
W A Ward
 4/5
18
★★★★☆
61.3
 Top Pick
2 Paid Vacation
J Ruiz
T L Keefe
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
56.4
 Value Play
7 Zencat
S Leon
I G Flores
 10/1
12
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
6 Midas Factor
S Russell
B T Russell
 12/1
12
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
10 D'oro Cavallo
M Chuan
M Shuman
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
51.9
 Longshot
5 Irish Nunsense
D Centeno
S S Cooney
 5/1
9
★★★☆☆
50.5
  
1 I Am Pepe
M J Sanchez
C A Mancilla
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
49.8
  
8 Nostromo
J Rodriguez
D Hodsdon
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
48.6
  
9 Mary's Memphis
L Reyes
M Yates
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.1
  
4 Broadside Salvo
G Ashton
S S Cooney
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Fosroc
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
W A Ward
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Paid Vacation
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
T L Keefe
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.4
Post · Horse
7
Zencat
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
I G Flores
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
6
Midas Factor
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse Longshot
10
D'oro Cavallo
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
M Shuman
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.9
Post · Horse
5
Irish Nunsense
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
S S Cooney
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
Post · Horse
1
I Am Pepe
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
C A Mancilla
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.8
Post · Horse
8
Nostromo
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
D Hodsdon
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
9
Mary's Memphis
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
M Yates
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.1
Post · Horse
4
Broadside Salvo
Jockey
G Ashton
Trainer
S S Cooney
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Va Restricted, Or State Bred/state Sired Allowance Or
Purse$72,000
Trip & Field
Distance123 M
Surfacedirt
Post Time1:58 PM ET
Field Size11
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Year Olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Three Year Olds and
Storyline
Brittany Russell trainee #5 Edgy brings back-to-back 90+ speed figures into this allowance marathon, but #6 Break Out enters on a three-race win streak culminating in a 97 speed figure victory over this track.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 15.2%
Price horse: Break Out (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Edgy
S Russell
B T Russell
 8/5
15
★★★★☆
73.0
 Top Pick
6 Break Out
S Leon
M B Campbell
 7/2
12
★★★★☆
70.1
 Value Play
1 Baytown Parfait
P Lopez
M B Campbell
 10/1
12
★★★★☆
70.0
  
9 Ready as Ever
M J Sanchez
J Ness
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
69.4
 Longshot
2 Forrest City
T Lyapustina
L Gaudet
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
67.3
  
7 Masakado
D Centeno
R P Sillaman
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
65.7
  
8 Azam
L Reyes
J F D'Angelo
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
65.5
  
4 Antrax
A Concepcion
C Munoz
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.4
  
10 Limo
F Geroux
M Stidham
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
57.7
  
11 Next Level Beau
C Montalvo
A Gardea
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
53.2
  
3 Master Schemer
L Fuenmayor
D J McKenzie
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Edgy
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.0
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Break Out
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
M B Campbell
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse
1
Baytown Parfait
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
M B Campbell
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.0
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Ready as Ever
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
J Ness
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse
2
Forrest City
Jockey
T Lyapustina
Trainer
L Gaudet
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse
7
Masakado
Jockey
D Centeno
Trainer
R P Sillaman
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.7
Post · Horse
8
Azam
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
4
Antrax
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
C Munoz
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse
10
Limo
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
M Stidham
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
11
Next Level Beau
Jockey
C Montalvo
Trainer
A Gardea
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
Post · Horse
3
Master Schemer
Jockey
L Fuenmayor
Trainer
D J McKenzie
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
Typemaiden or claiming allowed 2 Lbs
Purse$125,000
Trip & Field
Distance122 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time2:31 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward
Storyline
A tight seven-horse turf contest features #5 Bee Crazy seeking consecutive Colonial victories against Wesley Ward-trained #7 Omaha Spirit, who also won over this course on July 5.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 19.5%
Price horse: Omaha Spirit (2/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Bee Crazy
S Marin
K Danner
 4/1
20
★★★★☆
61.4
 Top Pick
7 Omaha Spirit
P Lopez
W A Ward
 2/1
16
★★★☆☆
58.7
 Value Play
2 I Feel Lucky
J Loveberry
M Lightner
 6/1
16
★★★☆☆
58.2
  
4 Excessif
J Ruiz
H G Motion
 5/2
14
★★★☆☆
56.5
  
6 Golden Corsair
M Chuan
B Kelly
 9/2
12
★★★☆☆
54.5
  
3 Regent's Park
F Geroux
J Delgado
 15/1
11
★★★☆☆
53.1
  
1 All Nessed Up
J Rodriguez
J Ness
 12/1
11
★★★☆☆
52.8
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Bee Crazy
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
K Danner
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.4
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Omaha Spirit
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
W A Ward
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.7
Post · Horse
2
I Feel Lucky
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
M Lightner
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.2
Post · Horse
4
Excessif
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
H G Motion
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse
6
Golden Corsair
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
B Kelly
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.5
Post · Horse
3
Regent's Park
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
J Delgado
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse Longshot
1
All Nessed Up
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
J Ness
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
Typemaiden or claiming at a mile or over allowed 2 Lbs
Purse$125,000
Trip & Field
Distance118 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:06 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward
Storyline
#7 Heracles earned an 81 speed figure winning at Gulfstream Park and ships in for trainer Roman Spatz to take on #2 Perfect Dream, who exits Monmouth and Saratoga stakes company.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.5%
Price horse: Perfect Dream (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Heracles
P Lopez
R B Spatz
 6/1
14
★★★☆☆
57.2
 Top Pick
2 Perfect Dream
C Sutherland
J Delgado
 9/2
13
★★★☆☆
55.9
 Value Play
6 Induction
J Ruiz
H G Motion
 6/5
13
★★★☆☆
55.8
  
3 Mightily
S Marin
J O'Dwyer
 6/1
13
★★★☆☆
55.2
  
1 Life's Pageant
S Russell
J K Desormeaux
 10/1
12
★★★☆☆
53.8
 Longshot
4 Popcorn
A Concepcion
J Thomas
 5/1
10
★★★☆☆
52.4
  
9 Fridaynightclub
J Loveberry
M Lightner
 30/1
10
★★★☆☆
52.3
  
5 Call Me Micky J.
J Rocco, Jr.
J E Salzman, Jr.
 30/1
9
★★★☆☆
50.7
  
8 Royal Authentic
C Montalvo
J Vazquez
 30/1
5
★★☆☆☆
40.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Heracles
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
R B Spatz
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.2
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Perfect Dream
Jockey
C Sutherland
Trainer
J Delgado
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse
6
Induction
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
H G Motion
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse
3
Mightily
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
J O'Dwyer
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.2
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Life's Pageant
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.8
Post · Horse
4
Popcorn
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Thomas
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.4
Post · Horse
9
Fridaynightclub
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
M Lightner
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.3
Post · Horse
5
Call Me Micky J.
Jockey
J Rocco, Jr.
Trainer
J E Salzman, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.7
Post · Horse
8
Royal Authentic
Jockey
C Montalvo
Trainer
J Vazquez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 40.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
Typestakes winners (in order I-II-III), then graded stakes placed inorder (I,II,III)
Purse$250,000
Trip & Field
Distance118 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time3:42 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For stakes winners and graded stakes placed runners
Storyline
A high-quality 11-horse turf stakes features #7 Embrace Time, who posted a 100 speed figure at Ellis Park, facing #8 Storm's Wake, a Grade-level performer boasting a 105 figure at Churchill Downs.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 13.3%
Price horse: Storm's Wake (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Embrace Time
M J Husbands
S A Joseph, Jr.
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
76.1
 Top Pick
8 Storm's Wake
S Marin
B A Lynch
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
74.6
 Value Play
4 Striking Finale
D A Herrera
N Ramsey
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
71.8
  
1 Thankfulness
J Ruiz
M Clement
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
70.8
 Longshot
11 Dagmara
F Geroux
B H Cox
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
70.1
  
9 Forget About You
M J Sanchez
B P Walsh
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
70.0
  
6 Dandona
N Juarez
S A Joseph, Jr.
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
68.5
  
2 Soloist
E Esquivel
K G McPeek
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
68.0
  
5 Getting Serious
F Boyce
C R McGaughey III
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
67.7
  
10 Fond of You
P Lopez
M Stidham
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
67.1
  
3 Siouxse
J Rodriguez
H G Motion
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
66.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Embrace Time
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.1
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Storm's Wake
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
B A Lynch
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.6
Post · Horse
4
Striking Finale
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
N Ramsey
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.8
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Thankfulness
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
M Clement
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse
11
Dagmara
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B H Cox
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse
9
Forget About You
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
B P Walsh
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.0
Post · Horse
6
Dandona
Jockey
N Juarez
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse
2
Soloist
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
K G McPeek
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.0
Post · Horse
5
Getting Serious
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
10
Fond of You
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
M Stidham
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse
3
Siouxse
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
H G Motion
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
Typestakes winners (in order I-II-III), then graded stakes placed in order (I,II,III
Purse$500,000
Trip & Field
Distance123 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time4:18 PM ET
Field Size14
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For stakes winners and graded stakes placed runners
Storyline
Joe Sharp trainee #13 Siyouincanada exits back-to-back 99 and 95 speed figure outings at Saratoga, but must overcome a wide draw against local stakes winner #4 Lennox the Grey.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 8.9%
Price horse: Lennox the Grey (15/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
13 Siyouincanada
P Lopez
J Sharp
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
73.3
 Top Pick
4 Lennox the Grey
M J Sanchez
A Delacour
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
72.9
 Value Play
14 Supercharger
A Concepcion
C DeVaux
 5/2
9
★★★★☆
72.8
  
11 The Big Con
J Ruiz
M Clement
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
71.7
 Longshot
7 Gramp's Legacy
J Rosado
J O'Dwyer
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
71.5
  
10 Kravitz
M Chuan
H G Motion
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
71.3
  
5 Fuzzbuster
S Marin
V H Oliver
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
71.0
  
9 Chambersville
E Esquivel
K G McPeek
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
70.3
  
2 Heeere's Johnny
J Rodriguez
R Handal
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
69.6
  
12 Dr. Agne
J Loveberry
C DeVaux
 6/1
6
★★★★☆
68.5
  
1 Go for Rocket
D A Herrera
A Hernandez
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
67.3
  
3 Quiet Power
V Cheminaud
C R McGaughey III
 10/1
6
★★★★☆
66.9
  
8 Tiernanogue
S Russell
B P Walsh
 12/1
5
★★★★☆
65.7
  
6 Drop Shot
C Gil
G D Sacco
 20/1
5
★★★★☆
63.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
13
Siyouincanada
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
J Sharp
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.3
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Lennox the Grey
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
A Delacour
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.9
Post · Horse
14
Supercharger
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
C DeVaux
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.8
Post · Horse Longshot
11
The Big Con
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
M Clement
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.7
Post · Horse
7
Gramp's Legacy
Jockey
J Rosado
Trainer
J O'Dwyer
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.5
Post · Horse
10
Kravitz
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
H G Motion
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.3
Post · Horse
5
Fuzzbuster
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
V H Oliver
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse
9
Chambersville
Jockey
E Esquivel
Trainer
K G McPeek
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.3
Post · Horse
2
Heeere's Johnny
Jockey
J Rodriguez
Trainer
R Handal
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.6
Post · Horse
12
Dr. Agne
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
C DeVaux
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse
1
Go for Rocket
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
A Hernandez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse
3
Quiet Power
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
C R McGaughey III
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse
8
Tiernanogue
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B P Walsh
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.7
Post · Horse
6
Drop Shot
Jockey
C Gil
Trainer
G D Sacco
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
Typemaiden, claiming and starter races not considered)
Purse$150,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Half Miles
Surfaceturf
Post Time4:52 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Marathon turf specialists square off at 12 furlongs where #1 Write Off Jerry looks to convert consecutive 90+ Saratoga figures from the rail against Brad Cox trainee #7 Just a Touch, who boasts back-to-back 107 and 108 speed figures.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.9%
Price horse: Just a Touch (1/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Write Off Jerry
M Chuan
J Ness
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
68.5
 Top Pick
7 Just a Touch
F Geroux
B H Cox
 1/1
13
★★★★☆
67.7
 Value Play
4 Soleil Volant
S Marin
H G Motion
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
66.5
  
3 Crisper
M J Sanchez
T Woolley
 15/1
12
★★★★☆
66.3
 Longshot
5 Prevent
D A Herrera
N J Tomlinson
 20/1
10
★★★★☆
64.2
  
9 Carcano
A Concepcion
V H Oliver
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
64.1
  
8 Mackenzie's Novva
P Lopez
R N Baez
 30/1
10
★★★★☆
63.0
  
6 Hardspun Reason
J Ruiz
H G Motion
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
62.6
  
2 Benjis Benefit
J Toledo
A J Kingsley, Jr.
 30/1
9
★★★★☆
61.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Write Off Jerry
Jockey
M Chuan
Trainer
J Ness
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Just a Touch
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B H Cox
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
4
Soleil Volant
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
H G Motion
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Crisper
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
T Woolley
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
5
Prevent
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
N J Tomlinson
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
9
Carcano
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
V H Oliver
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.1
Post · Horse
8
Mackenzie's Novva
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
R N Baez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse
6
Hardspun Reason
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
H G Motion
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
2
Benjis Benefit
Jockey
J Toledo
Trainer
A J Kingsley, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 11
Race Details
Class & Money
Typestakes on the turf in 2026 allowed 2 Lbs
Purse$150,000
Trip & Field
Distance122 M
Surfaceturf
Post Time5:28 PM ET
Field Size12
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The finale features turf sprint/route veteran #4 Determined Kingdom, who earned a 104 speed figure here two back, facing #10 Petcoff who captured a local stakes on August 9 with a 99 figure.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 11.7%
Price horse: Petcoff (15/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Determined Kingdom
M J Sanchez
M J Trombetta
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
77.8
 Top Pick
10 Petcoff
S Russell
B T Russell
 15/1
12
★★★★☆
77.5
 Value Play
5 Two Seven O
D A Herrera
D Fawkes
 5/1
10
★★★★☆
75.4
  
8 Governor Sam
P Lopez
G Weaver
 7/5
10
★★★★☆
74.6
  
3 Creed's Vision
J Ruiz
A Delacour
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
74.5
 Longshot
7 Louie the Sun King
S Marin
K O'Connell
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
74.0
  
6 Alogon
F Boyce
E T Allard
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
73.0
  
2 Souper Quest
S Leon
M E Casse
 10/1
7
★★★★☆
70.3
  
11 Spirited Sol
M Rojas
K DePasquale
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
69.8
  
1 Victory Achieved
C Marquez
M E Casse
 10/1
7
★★★★☆
69.2
  
12 The Minkster
J Loveberry
C Caramori
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
65.1
  
9 Eamonn
F Geroux
J F Orseno
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
64.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Determined Kingdom
Jockey
M J Sanchez
Trainer
M J Trombetta
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.8
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Petcoff
Jockey
S Russell
Trainer
B T Russell
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.5
Post · Horse
5
Two Seven O
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
D Fawkes
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.4
Post · Horse
8
Governor Sam
Jockey
P Lopez
Trainer
G Weaver
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.6
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Creed's Vision
Jockey
J Ruiz
Trainer
A Delacour
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.5
Post · Horse
7
Louie the Sun King
Jockey
S Marin
Trainer
K O'Connell
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.0
Post · Horse
6
Alogon
Jockey
F Boyce
Trainer
E T Allard
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.0
Post · Horse
2
Souper Quest
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
M E Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.3
Post · Horse
11
Spirited Sol
Jockey
M Rojas
Trainer
K DePasquale
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse
1
Victory Achieved
Jockey
C Marquez
Trainer
M E Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.2
Post · Horse
12
The Minkster
Jockey
J Loveberry
Trainer
C Caramori
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse
9
Eamonn
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
J F Orseno
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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