Curated Betting Card

Ellis Park

Data-driven full-card analysis with compact access to every race on the board.

2026-07-03 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Ellis Park · full board
Strongest play
R5
Grand Premiere #1
Top conf.
Best value
R8
Essential Coffee
20/1 ML
Best longshot
R1
Stella Daniella #5
10/1 ML
Deepest field
R6
16 runners
16
Pace race
R2
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
The Analyst: Nine races with a heavy maiden tilt and several wide-open fields where the top-rated horse sits at a playable price. The Pragmatist: The turf maidens look like the best spots to take a shot underneath the chalk, especially when the morning line inflates the obvious runners.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Shot At Perfection exits the best recent speed figure in the field but drew the widest post in a seven-horse maiden claimer, so the question is whether Stella Daniella can capitalize on the inside speed and hold off the late runners at a price.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.7%
Price horse: Stella Daniella (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Shot At Perfection
F Arrieta
I R Wilkes
 2/1
20
★★★★☆
69.7
 Top Pick
4 Quick to Charm
C A Torres
M E Casse
 5/2
19
★★★★☆
68.7
  
1 Gorrono Ranch
B J Hernandez, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 8/1
16
★★★★☆
66.3
  
3 Mancuso
U Rispoli
P D'Amato
 5/1
14
★★★★☆
64.5
  
2 Ships Inn
A Beschizza
G D Foley
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
63.9
  
7 Point in Time
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
56.3
  
5 Stella Daniella
A Concepcion
L Schultz
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
53.0
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Shot At Perfection
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
I R Wilkes
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse
4
Quick to Charm
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
M E Casse
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse
1
Gorrono Ranch
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
3
Mancuso
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
P D'Amato
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
2
Ships Inn
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
G D Foley
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.9
Post · Horse
7
Point in Time
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Stella Daniella
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
L Schultz
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Lexico has the highest composite rating but has not raced since April, so the question is whether Sweetbitters can take advantage of the long layoff at 15-1.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.9%
Price horse: Sweetbitters (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Lexico
E Morales
D J Habeeb
 3/1
18
★★★★☆
66.1
 Top Pick
1 My Secret Dreams
A Mendoza
G Garcia
 9/2
15
★★★★☆
64.1
  
7 Queen McKinzie
R A Vazquez
S M Asmussen
 5/1
14
★★★★☆
62.4
  
4 Silvertown
S Pauly
G Garcia
 7/2
13
★★★★☆
61.6
  
2 Souperrazzledazzle
Y Hazlewood
C Williams
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
61.2
  
8 Sweetbitters
G Corrales
H De Paz
 15/1
12
★★★★☆
60.4
 Value Play
5 Red Rainbow
W Antongeorgi III
T S Wismer
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
55.6
  
3 Rumbar
L Machado
B Colebrook
 4/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Lexico
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
D J Habeeb
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse
1
My Secret Dreams
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.1
Post · Horse
7
Queen McKinzie
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse
4
Silvertown
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
G Garcia
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
Post · Horse
2
Souperrazzledazzle
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
C Williams
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.2
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Sweetbitters
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
H De Paz
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
5
Red Rainbow
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
T S Wismer
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse
3
Rumbar
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Editor exits a win at Churchill and owns the top speed rating, but Dr Fenn's 20-1 morning line makes the race about whether the longshot can upset the short-priced favorite.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.7%
Price horse: Dr Fenn (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Editor
B J Hernandez, Jr.
J S Radosevich
 5/2
17
★★★★☆
74.7
 Top Pick
3 Nuck Chorris
D Sheehy
M J Maker
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
72.1
  
8 Horse of the Sea
J A Torres
B H Cox
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
72.0
  
1 Damascus Steel
B Curtis
D G Heath
 5/1
14
★★★★☆
71.0
  
6 Mouqeer
A Mendoza
R Atras
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
68.6
  
5 Inordinary
A Beschizza
J Sisterson
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
68.3
  
2 Vaporizer
C A Emigh
B A Vanden Berg
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
67.0
  
7 Dr Fenn
E Morales
T D Vance
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
62.1
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Editor
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
J S Radosevich
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.7
Post · Horse
3
Nuck Chorris
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M J Maker
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.1
Post · Horse
8
Horse of the Sea
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
B H Cox
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.0
Post · Horse
1
Damascus Steel
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
D G Heath
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse
6
Mouqeer
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
R Atras
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse
5
Inordinary
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J Sisterson
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
2
Vaporizer
Jockey
C A Emigh
Trainer
B A Vanden Berg
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Dr Fenn
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
T D Vance
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Tambelina has the highest rating in a wide-open ten-horse maiden special weight, but the question is whether Prevail at 20-1 can steal the race on the outside.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.5%
Price horse: Prevail (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Tambelina
L Machado
B H Cox
 5/2
17
★★★★☆
63.4
 Top Pick
8 Maple Ridge
R A Vazquez
S M Asmussen
 4/1
12
★★★☆☆
58.8
  
2 Speak for Yourself
J A Torres
J C Servis
 9/2
11
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
5 Sheza Go Getter
B J Hernandez, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
56.7
  
1 Mysticious
C A Torres
R Brisset
 5/1
10
★★★☆☆
56.2
  
7 Summer Dream
A Achard
J Ennis
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.0
 Longshot
3 Maroon Tide
D Sheehy
J Ennis
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.1
  
10 Prevail
W Antongeorgi III
H Holsapple
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
50.7
 Value Play
6 Mels Daisy
E Morales
J A Hancock
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
50.2
  
9 Velvet Beretta
E A Roman
M Douaihy
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
50.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Tambelina
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B H Cox
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse
8
Maple Ridge
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.8
Post · Horse
2
Speak for Yourself
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J C Servis
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
5
Sheza Go Getter
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
Post · Horse
1
Mysticious
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Summer Dream
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.0
Post · Horse
3
Maroon Tide
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Ennis
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Prevail
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
H Holsapple
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.7
Post · Horse
6
Mels Daisy
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J A Hancock
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse
9
Velvet Beretta
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
M Douaihy
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Grand Premiere owns a 33 percent win probability and the best recent speed figure, but the question is whether Swerve can close into a moderate pace at 9-2.
PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 25.6%
Price horse: Swerve (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Swerve
B J Hernandez, Jr.
J K Desormeaux
 9/2
19
★★★★☆
73.7
 Value Play
3 Irish Law
L Machado
B P Walsh
 5/1
16
★★★★☆
71.4
  
1 Grand Premiere
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 5/2
14
★★★★☆
68.6
 Top Pick
5 Provider
R Bejarano
P Eurton
 4/1
13
★★★★☆
68.2
 Longshot
8 Mr. All In
J A Torres
W B Calhoun
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
64.3
  
6 Notable Patience
J Elliott
S Hamilton
 30/1
9
★★★★☆
63.0
  
2 Clark's Corner
F Arrieta
I R Wilkes
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
60.1
  
7 Kingsport
A Concepcion
C DeVaux
 7/2
7
★★★☆☆
58.9
  
4 Buckley Gold Water
G Saez
R Medina
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.4
  
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Swerve
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.7
Post · Horse
3
Irish Law
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B P Walsh
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Grand Premiere
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Provider
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
P Eurton
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.2
Post · Horse
8
Mr. All In
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
W B Calhoun
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse
6
Notable Patience
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
S Hamilton
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse
2
Clark's Corner
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
I R Wilkes
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse
7
Kingsport
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
C DeVaux
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.9
Post · Horse
4
Buckley Gold Water
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
R Medina
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Clonmacnoise has the top rating and a 244 percent EV signal at 20-1, so the question is whether the market will let the horse go off at a price that justifies a win bet.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 11.6%
Price horse: Clonmacnoise (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Clonmacnoise
D Sheehy
J Ennis
 20/1
14
★★★★☆
69.1
 Top Pick
6 War Ready
B J Hernandez, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
65.1
  
7 Talleyrand
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 5/2
10
★★★★☆
64.0
  
9 Implied Open
A Concepcion
W Walden
 4/1
7
★★★☆☆
57.8
  
11 Tactical Tune
F Arrieta
N W Casse
 9/2
7
★★★☆☆
57.3
  
14 Tancho
Y Hazlewood
W A Ward
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.8
  
1 Caribbean Warrior
J A Torres
J Sharp
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
53.8
  
4 Town Man
F Geroux
B A Lynch
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
53.3
  
8 Tic Tic Tic
Y Hazlewood
M J Maker
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
5 Authentic Gold
E A Roman
P H Lobo
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
51.7
  
2 He's Saxy
J Elliott
S Hamilton
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
10 Merit Badge
W Antongeorgi III
A M Meah
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.5
  
13 Jackies Einor
E Morales
J A Hancock
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.0
  
15 Mystic D
V R Carrasco
J A Hancock
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.9
  
12 Eight Hundred
A Calleja
J Hamilton
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.6
  
16 Very Classy
G Saez
J L Aranha
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
48.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Clonmacnoise
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Ennis
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
6
War Ready
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse
7
Talleyrand
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
9
Implied Open
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W Walden
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
11
Tactical Tune
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
N W Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
Post · Horse
14
Tancho
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
W A Ward
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse
1
Caribbean Warrior
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J Sharp
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.8
Post · Horse
4
Town Man
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B A Lynch
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.3
Post · Horse
8
Tic Tic Tic
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
M J Maker
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse
5
Authentic Gold
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
P H Lobo
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
2
He's Saxy
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
S Hamilton
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse
10
Merit Badge
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
A M Meah
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
Post · Horse
13
Jackies Einor
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J A Hancock
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
15
Mystic D
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
J A Hancock
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.9
Post · Horse
12
Eight Hundred
Jockey
A Calleja
Trainer
J Hamilton
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.6
Post · Horse
16
Very Classy
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
J L Aranha
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Field Size14
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Icona has the best recent speed figure and top rating, but the question is whether Humbled at 12-1 can upset in a fourteen-horse turf maiden.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 10.6%
Price horse: Humbled (12/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Icona
B J Hernandez, Jr.
B P Walsh
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
78.0
 Top Pick
8 No Other Like You
B Curtis
D Fawkes
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
76.6
  
1 Humbled
R A Vazquez
R Medina
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
74.6
 Value Play
14 Missy Bee
J Graham
E N Foster
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
73.2
  
7 La Cantera
A Concepcion
C A David
 4/1
8
★★★★☆
72.8
  
9 More Galilady
M Gutierrez
D Stewart
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
71.4
  
6 High South
C A Torres
G R Arnold II
 6/1
7
★★★★☆
70.8
  
2 Winning Streep
V Cheminaud
J C Servis
 8/1
6
★★★★☆
69.0
  
10 Kittens Stormy Gal
J Graham
W M Bindner, Jr.
 30/1
6
★★★★☆
68.6
  
13 Jerseys Parade
G Saez
C Meredith
 30/1
6
★★★★☆
67.7
  
4 McKinzie's Glory
E Morales
S E Shaffer
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
66.5
  
11 Annelle
D Sheehy
V H Oliver
 8/1
5
★★★★☆
64.9
  
3 Oscar's Encore
J A Torres
J Sharp
 10/1
5
★★★★☆
64.6
  
12 Viva Vienne
L Machado
I R Wilkes
 20/1
4
★★★★☆
63.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Icona
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
B P Walsh
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.0
Post · Horse
8
No Other Like You
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
D Fawkes
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.6
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Humbled
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
R Medina
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.6
Post · Horse
14
Missy Bee
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
E N Foster
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse
7
La Cantera
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
C A David
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.8
Post · Horse
9
More Galilady
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
D Stewart
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse
6
High South
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
G R Arnold II
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse
2
Winning Streep
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
J C Servis
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse
10
Kittens Stormy Gal
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
W M Bindner, Jr.
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse
13
Jerseys Parade
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
C Meredith
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
4
McKinzie's Glory
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
S E Shaffer
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse
11
Annelle
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
V H Oliver
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse
3
Oscar's Encore
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J Sharp
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
12
Viva Vienne
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
I R Wilkes
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Essential Coffee has the top rating and a 295 percent EV signal at 20-1, so the question is whether the market will let the horse go off at a price that justifies a win bet in the stakes.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.8%
Price horse: Essential Coffee (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Battis Grove
A Concepcion
W Walden
 7/2
16
★★★★★
82.8
  
3 Twirling Aces
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 2/1
14
★★★★★
80.8
  
4 If If If
R Bejarano
C A Hartman
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
79.4
  
1 Kenz
B J Hernandez, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 5/1
10
★★★★☆
76.6
  
5 Bet the Gray
F Arrieta
M Williams
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
76.2
  
6 Angel From Marin
D Sheehy
P Eurton
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
76.0
  
2 Lamorna Inn
F Geroux
B H Cox
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
76.0
  
8 Kayla's Komet
G Saez
W B Calhoun
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
71.3
  
9 Tizianna
E Morales
H Pitts
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
66.5
  
7 Essential Coffee
R A Vazquez
S M Asmussen
 20/1
4
★★★★☆
63.0
 Top Pick
Post · Horse
10
Battis Grove
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W Walden
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★★ 82.8
Post · Horse
3
Twirling Aces
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★★ 80.8
Post · Horse
4
If If If
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
C A Hartman
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.4
Post · Horse
1
Kenz
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.6
Post · Horse
5
Bet the Gray
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M Williams
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.2
Post · Horse
6
Angel From Marin
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
P Eurton
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.0
Post · Horse
2
Lamorna Inn
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B H Cox
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.0
Post · Horse
8
Kayla's Komet
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
W B Calhoun
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.3
Post · Horse
9
Tizianna
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
H Pitts
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Essential Coffee
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden In A Maiden Auction Race And Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Maide
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Abbi Fede has the top rating in a wide-open eleven-horse turf maiden, but the question is whether Bird the Legend at 30-1 can steal the race on the rail.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 11.1%
Price horse: Bird the Legend (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Abbi Fede
B Curtis
J Sharp
 5/2
13
★★★★☆
74.2
 Top Pick
7 Come Out Tonight
A Achard
R Mott
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
71.5
  
11 Intuitive Wisdom
U Rispoli
N Vaccarezza
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
71.5
  
5 Snare
B J Hernandez, Jr.
P J McGee
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
71.0
  
6 Michael's Cove
E Morales
T Newton
 5/1
10
★★★★☆
69.7
  
1 Bird the Legend
F Geroux
R Brisset
 30/1
9
★★★★☆
68.8
 Value Play
3 Tiz Freedom
G Saez
E N Foster
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
68.1
  
8 Just Asap
C A Torres
M E Casse
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
66.7
  
9 Blast Furnace
A Concepcion
K Brion
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
66.3
  
4 Culture War
R A Vazquez
R Medina
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
64.1
  
10 Frontier Justice
F Arrieta
D G Heath
 8/1
6
★★★★☆
63.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Abbi Fede
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
J Sharp
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.2
Post · Horse
7
Come Out Tonight
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
R Mott
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.5
Post · Horse
11
Intuitive Wisdom
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
N Vaccarezza
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.5
Post · Horse
5
Snare
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
P J McGee
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse
6
Michael's Cove
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
T Newton
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Bird the Legend
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
R Brisset
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
Post · Horse
3
Tiz Freedom
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
E N Foster
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
Post · Horse
8
Just Asap
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
M E Casse
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
9
Blast Furnace
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
K Brion
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
4
Culture War
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
R Medina
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.1
Post · Horse
10
Frontier Justice
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
D G Heath
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro