Curated Betting Card

Ellis Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 1.

2026-07-04 Race 1 Morning Card
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Card signals
Ellis Park · full board
Strongest play
R5
Eye Witness #5
Top conf.
Best value
R4
Lecompte's Run
15/1 ML
Best longshot
R1
Lolly Poppin #1
30/1 ML
Deepest field
R9
10 runners
10
Pace race
R3
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
The Analyst sees a card stacked with tight rating clusters where recent speed figures in the low 80s separate contenders from the rest. The Pragmatist keeps reminding everyone that the morning-line favorites are getting bet down hard and the real plays sit in the 10-1 to 15-1 range that still have live works and class drops. Ellis Park's turf races look especially vulnerable to pace melt-downs that favor closers.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Lindy Can exits a pair of third-place finishes with speed figures of 81 and 69 while Lolly Poppin has shown nothing but poor efforts; the question is whether the 30-1 shot can finally put it together against a field that has not broken through yet.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.8%
Price horse: Lolly Poppin (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Lindy Can
E Morales
D Hancock
 8/1
20
★★★★☆
69.1
 Top Pick
5 Heavenly Mary
A Cedillo
R Medina
 6/1
18
★★★★☆
67.7
  
6 She's Our Ten
R Bejarano
P Eurton
 3/1
15
★★★★☆
65.2
  
2 Annie Bee
A Beschizza
M A Shirer
 4/1
15
★★★★☆
65.1
  
3 Parisinthespring
L Machado
V H Oliver
 5/2
14
★★★★☆
63.8
  
1 Lolly Poppin
J Padron-Barcenas
F Salas
 30/1
11
★★★☆☆
59.7
 Value Play
7 Love Divine
R A Vazquez
S M Asmussen
 7/2
6
★★★☆☆
52.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Lindy Can
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
D Hancock
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
5
Heavenly Mary
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
R Medina
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
6
She's Our Ten
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
P Eurton
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
2
Annie Bee
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
M A Shirer
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse
3
Parisinthespring
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
V H Oliver
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Lolly Poppin
Jockey
J Padron-Barcenas
Trainer
F Salas
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse
7
Love Divine
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Lord Majesty sits on a 97.5 speed rating and 25 percent win probability but The Pragmatist flags the 2-1 morning line as too short for a horse that has not won since April.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.3%
Price horse: Fifty Cent Dollars (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Lord Majesty
F Arrieta
C Milligan
 2/1
22
★★★★★
83.1
 Top Pick
7 Global Sensation
B J Hernandez, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 6/1
16
★★★★☆
77.7
 Longshot
6 Gee No Hollander
A Concepcion
K LaRose
 7/5
14
★★★★☆
76.2
  
1 Imperial Ruler
E Morales
I Bahena
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
75.7
  
3 Catamount
D Sheehy
A M Meah
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
74.8
  
4 Fifty Cent Dollars
R A Vazquez
S M Asmussen
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
73.2
 Value Play
5 Illini
G Saez
S Donjuan
 20/1
10
★★★★☆
70.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Lord Majesty
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
C Milligan
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★★ 83.1
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Global Sensation
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.7
Post · Horse
6
Gee No Hollander
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
K LaRose
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.2
Post · Horse
1
Imperial Ruler
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
I Bahena
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.7
Post · Horse
3
Catamount
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
A M Meah
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.8
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Fifty Cent Dollars
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse
5
Illini
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
S Donjuan
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Pelican Bay exits a 76 figure and sits on the highest rating at 59.6, but Blazy at 15-1 carries a live 15 percent model probability that The Pragmatist says the public is ignoring.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.5%
Price horse: Blazy (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Pelican Bay
B Curtis
K LaRose
 3/1
21
★★★★☆
70.3
 Top Pick
8 Silver Sniper
F Arrieta
E N Foster
 5/1
16
★★★★☆
66.8
  
3 Blazy
J C Bealmear
R Thompson
 15/1
16
★★★★☆
66.2
 Value Play
6 Bienville
R A Vazquez
S M Asmussen
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
63.2
  
7 Stomp
Y Hazlewood
R Moquett
 4/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.0
  
4 Pelican Hill
D Sheehy
P Eurton
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
58.4
  
2 By the Mark
B J Hernandez, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
55.5
  
1 Boonesboro
D Cannon
B A Lynch
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
54.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Pelican Bay
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
K LaRose
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.3
Post · Horse
8
Silver Sniper
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E N Foster
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.8
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Blazy
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
R Thompson
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
6
Bienville
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse
7
Stomp
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
R Moquett
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.0
Post · Horse
4
Pelican Hill
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
P Eurton
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse
2
By the Mark
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
Post · Horse
1
Boonesboro
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
B A Lynch
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Ohana Lulu carries the highest rating at 60 and a 90 form rating, yet The Pragmatist questions whether the 23 percent win probability justifies the short morning line on a turf debutante.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.3%
Price horse: Lecompte's Run (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Ohana Lulu
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 5/2
29
★★★★☆
71.3
 Top Pick
1 Smoke
D Sheehy
B P Walsh
 7/2
25
★★★★☆
69.4
  
9 Baytown Ona
M Nicholls
P McEntee
 30/1
11
★★★☆☆
57.0
  
2 Cold Justice
C A Torres
R Brisset
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
54.6
 Longshot
7 Tangerine Time
A Concepcion
R Mott
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.6
  
3 Lecompte's Run
A Achard
J Ennis
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.7
 Value Play
11 High Class Broad
A Gomez
J Orantes
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.9
  
4 Today Isa Gift
J Graham
J K Desormeaux
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
43.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Ohana Lulu
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
29
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.3
Post · Horse
1
Smoke
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
B P Walsh
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse
9
Baytown Ona
Jockey
M Nicholls
Trainer
P McEntee
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Cold Justice
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.6
Post · Horse
7
Tangerine Time
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
R Mott
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Lecompte's Run
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
11
High Class Broad
Jockey
A Gomez
Trainer
J Orantes
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
4
Today Isa Gift
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Eye Witness owns a 100 speed rating and 25 percent win probability, but The Pragmatist flags the 2-1 morning line and wants Furious Anger on top as the 10-1 upset.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.9%
Price horse: Furious Anger (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Eye Witness
J A Torres
J K Sweezey
 2/1
21
★★★★☆
74.7
 Top Pick
2 Lucky Shot
G Corrales
C Banks
 9/2
18
★★★★☆
72.4
  
1 Penrod
V R Carrasco
D Hancock
 6/1
17
★★★★☆
71.7
  
6 Martini Blu
Y Hazlewood
R Moquett
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
69.2
  
4 Baladine
F Arrieta
H Holsapple
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
68.9
  
3 Furious Anger
M Gutierrez
M Salas
 10/1
14
★★★★☆
68.9
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Eye Witness
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J K Sweezey
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.7
Post · Horse
2
Lucky Shot
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
C Banks
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.4
Post · Horse
1
Penrod
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
D Hancock
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.7
Post · Horse
6
Martini Blu
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
R Moquett
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.2
Post · Horse
4
Baladine
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
H Holsapple
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.9
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Furious Anger
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
M Salas
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Patrol Squad Six and Prepped sit within 0.4 rating points of each other at the top, so the race turns on which horse handles the added distance on the turf.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.4%
Price horse: Prepped (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Prepped
A Concepcion
C DeVaux
 9/2
16
★★★★☆
77.2
 Value Play
2 Patrol Squad Six
M Garcia
D L Romans
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
76.6
 Top Pick
5 Royal Causeway
C A Torres
D Stewart
 6/1
13
★★★★☆
74.5
  
3 Exonerate
J A Torres
B H Cox
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
73.5
  
1 Doctrine
F Geroux
B H Cox
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
72.7
  
4 Zakinthos
R Bejarano
B A Lynch
 7/2
10
★★★★☆
70.9
  
8 Highly Connected
R A Vazquez
M Williams
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
67.6
 Longshot
7 Forum
D Sheehy
R Brisset
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
67.5
  
6 Beautiful War
L Machado
D Fawkes
 6/1
7
★★★★☆
65.0
  
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Prepped
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
C DeVaux
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.2
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Patrol Squad Six
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
D L Romans
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.6
Post · Horse
5
Royal Causeway
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
D Stewart
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.5
Post · Horse
3
Exonerate
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
B H Cox
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.5
Post · Horse
1
Doctrine
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B H Cox
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.7
Post · Horse
4
Zakinthos
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
B A Lynch
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.9
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Highly Connected
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
M Williams
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse
7
Forum
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
R Brisset
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse
6
Beautiful War
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
D Fawkes
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Antivenom carries the highest rating at 66 but The Pragmatist flags the 2-1 morning line and wants Clonmacnoise on top as the live longshot with the best workout pattern.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 19.3%
Price horse: Jackies Einor (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Clonmacnoise
D Sheehy
J Ennis
 8/1
31
★★★★☆
73.3
 Longshot
5 Antivenom
F Arrieta
M E Casse
 2/1
19
★★★★☆
66.1
 Top Pick
9 Subjugation
R A Vazquez
S M Asmussen
 4/1
12
★★★☆☆
58.4
  
1 Patriots Quest
C A Torres
M E Casse
 9/2
11
★★★☆☆
57.7
  
2 Jackies Einor
E Morales
J A Hancock
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
50.8
 Value Play
3 Mystic D
V R Carrasco
J A Hancock
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
49.9
  
7 Beach Vibe
A Concepcion
D Simpson
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
49.9
  
6 Very Classy
G Saez
J L Aranha
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
49.7
  
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Clonmacnoise
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Ennis
31
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.3
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Antivenom
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M E Casse
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse
9
Subjugation
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse
1
Patriots Quest
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
M E Casse
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Jackies Einor
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J A Hancock
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.8
Post · Horse
3
Mystic D
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
J A Hancock
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.9
Post · Horse
7
Beach Vibe
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
D Simpson
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.9
Post · Horse
6
Very Classy
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
J L Aranha
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
Typestakes winners (in order I-II-III) then those horses having accumulated the high
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Two Seven O owns the highest rating at 76.6 and three straight wins, but The Pragmatist questions whether the 20 percent win probability justifies the short morning line against a deep field.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.1%
Price horse: Tiz Mary's Comet (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Two Seven O
F Arrieta
D Fawkes
 9/2
17
★★★★★
81.7
 Top Pick
6 Spun D M C
M Garcia
R L Morse
 5/1
16
★★★★★
81.1
  
3 Reb Five
E Morales
M E Casse
 5/2
16
★★★★★
81.1
  
2 Squad Goals
V R Carrasco
A Rice
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
78.5
 Longshot
5 Trouble Calling
B Curtis
G D Foley
 2/1
14
★★★★☆
78.3
  
1 Capovivo
Y Hazlewood
L Rivelli
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
77.8
  
4 Tiz Mary's Comet
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
72.5
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Two Seven O
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
D Fawkes
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★★ 81.7
Post · Horse
6
Spun D M C
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
R L Morse
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.1
Post · Horse
3
Reb Five
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
M E Casse
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★★ 81.1
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Squad Goals
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
A Rice
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.5
Post · Horse
5
Trouble Calling
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
G D Foley
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.3
Post · Horse
1
Capovivo
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
L Rivelli
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.8
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Tiz Mary's Comet
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Eighth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Sumood exits a 101 figure and sits on the highest rating at 75.4, but The Pragmatist flags the 17 percent win probability and wants Curlin's Malibu at 20-1 underneath.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.9%
Price horse: Curlin's Malibu (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Sumood
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 5/1
17
★★★★☆
79.5
 Top Pick
4 Skyro
J Graham
C A Hartman
 6/1
16
★★★★☆
78.5
  
9 Sugoi
E Morales
I Bahena
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
73.5
 Longshot
8 Siesta Key
L Machado
B H Cox
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
71.8
  
3 Curlin's Malibu
D Sheehy
M J Maker
 20/1
10
★★★★☆
70.9
 Value Play
6 Demolition Duke
Y Hazlewood
M J Maker
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
67.3
  
13 Real Fast
A Beschizza
B L King
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
67.2
  
5 Royal Majesty
J A Torres
W I Mott
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
67.0
  
10 Clyde's Got a Gun
C A Torres
H Pitts
 9/2
7
★★★★☆
67.0
  
7 Risk Manager
F Arrieta
E N Foster
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
63.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Sumood
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.5
Post · Horse
4
Skyro
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
C A Hartman
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.5
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Sugoi
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
I Bahena
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.5
Post · Horse
8
Siesta Key
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B H Cox
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.8
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Curlin's Malibu
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M J Maker
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.9
Post · Horse
6
Demolition Duke
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
M J Maker
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse
13
Real Fast
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
B L King
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.2
Post · Horse
5
Royal Majesty
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
W I Mott
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
10
Clyde's Got a Gun
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
H Pitts
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
7
Risk Manager
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E N Foster
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro