Curated Betting Card

Ellis Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 2.

2026-07-05 Race 2 Morning Card
View Verified Recap for this Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
  Unlock Live Updates
Card signals
Ellis Park · full board
Strongest play
R1
Romantic Lead #1
Top conf.
Best value
R1
American Bear
15/1 ML
Best longshot
R1
American Bear #6
15/1 ML
Deepest field
R4
14 runners
14
Pace race
R3
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
The Analyst likes the data edges in the early claimers while The Pragmatist keeps warning that short-priced favorites are getting hammered. A couple of Baffert and Cox runners sit on workable prices in the maidens, but the turf routes look like chaos fields where exotics will decide the day. The Pragmatist keeps circling back to the same line: small tickets, demand value, and don't force the chalk.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Claimingnot listed
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceDirt
Field Size6
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilityclaiming
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Full Conditions CLAIMING. One Mile. Claiming race at one mile
Storyline
Romantic Lead exits a sharp second at BTP with a 72 figure and gets the rail at a mile, but The Pragmatist wonders if American Bear's fresh works and 15-1 morning line make him the real price play in a short field.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.8%
Price horse: American Bear (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Romantic Lead
L Machado
F Nickel
 4/1
32
★★★★☆
72.8
 Top Pick
6 American Bear
G Saez
I Bahena
 15/1
19
★★★★☆
65.3
 Value Play
5 Jinxzi
V R Carrasco
I R Wilkes
 3/1
16
★★★★☆
62.5
  
4 Culprit
R Bejarano
D Jacobson
 7/5
13
★★★☆☆
59.7
  
3 Whiskey Shot
R A Vazquez
S M Asmussen
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
57.0
  
2 Timberline
F Arrieta
M Williams
 7/2
9
★★★☆☆
53.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Romantic Lead
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
F Nickel
32
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.8
Post · Horse Value Play
6
American Bear
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
I Bahena
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
5
Jinxzi
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
I R Wilkes
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse
4
Culprit
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D Jacobson
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse
3
Whiskey Shot
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse
2
Timberline
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M Williams
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Claimingnot listed
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size6
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilityclaiming
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Full Conditions CLAIMING. Six Furlongs. Claiming race at six furlongs
Storyline
Gallo de Fuego has the best recent figures at 86 twice but The Pragmatist notes the tight ratings across the field mean the 8-1 Drewvictory is the only price worth chasing.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.9%
Price horse: Drewvictory (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Ship Ship Hooray
A Concepcion
K Danner
 2/1
21
★★★★☆
78.0
  
3 Gallo de Fuego
G Saez
C Milligan
 9/2
18
★★★★☆
76.0
 Top Pick
1 Guardian
R Bejarano
D Jacobson
 3/1
18
★★★★☆
75.9
  
6 Forty Love
C A Torres
M L Rouck
 6/1
17
★★★★☆
74.8
  
4 Mitty's Griddy
J A Torres
J Sharp
 7/2
14
★★★★☆
72.3
  
2 Drewvictory
M Garcia
L Briley
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
68.7
 Value Play
Post · Horse
5
Ship Ship Hooray
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
K Danner
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.0
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Gallo de Fuego
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
C Milligan
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.0
Post · Horse
1
Guardian
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D Jacobson
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.9
Post · Horse
6
Forty Love
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
M L Rouck
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.8
Post · Horse
4
Mitty's Griddy
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J Sharp
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.3
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Drewvictory
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
L Briley
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Claimingnot listed
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilityclaiming
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Full Conditions CLAIMING. Five And One Half Furlongs. Claiming race at five and one half furlongs
Storyline
Colonel Compton drops from allowance company with a pair of 79 figures and The Pragmatist sees the 10-1 morning line as the day's clearest longshot angle in a wide-open sprint.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.8%
Price horse: Colonel Compton (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Historic
G Saez
L D Johnston
 4/1
21
★★★★☆
74.9
  
7 Colonel Compton
M Gutierrez
G F House
 10/1
17
★★★★☆
71.4
 Top Pick
6 Jack Charles
A Beschizza
W M Catalano
 5/1
15
★★★★☆
70.1
  
8 Lucius Verus
A Concepcion
A M West
 2/1
14
★★★★☆
68.1
  
2 Army Wildcatter
A Achard
J Ennis
 7/2
12
★★★★☆
66.0
  
5 Coal Fired
F Arrieta
E N Foster
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
4 Mo Hair Sam
V R Carrasco
J A Hancock
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
58.6
  
3 Gray Is Okay
E Morales
D J Habeeb
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
57.9
  
Post · Horse
1
Historic
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
L D Johnston
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.9
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Colonel Compton
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
G F House
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse
6
Jack Charles
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
W M Catalano
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse
8
Lucius Verus
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
A M West
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
Post · Horse
2
Army Wildcatter
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse
5
Coal Fired
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E N Foster
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
4
Mo Hair Sam
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
J A Hancock
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
Post · Horse
3
Gray Is Okay
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
D J Habeeb
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Claimingnot listed
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Field Size14
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitymaiden
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Full Conditions MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. One Mile. Maiden special weight at one mile on turf
Storyline
Castiglione gets the rail and the best workout rating in a wide-open turf mile, but The Pragmatist flags Take a Picture at 15-1 as the only realistic longshot with any upside.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.4%
Price horse: Take a Picture (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Bardstown Road
F Geroux
K G McPeek
 5/2
16
★★★★☆
68.3
  
5 Silver Jewel
D Machado
P Matejka
 20/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.8
  
12 Gamerboy
A Achard
G L Laureano
 30/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
11 Play It Again
A Concepcion
M E Casse
 4/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
14 Camping Siete
G Saez
I Bahena
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
58.6
  
3 Castiglione
B J Hernandez, Jr.
C DeVaux
 9/2
8
★★★☆☆
58.5
 Top Pick
4 Agate
U Rispoli
K Danner
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
58.1
  
6 Sky Warrior
C A Torres
M E Casse
 5/1
7
★★★☆☆
55.1
  
8 Take Charge Beach
S Pauly
G Garcia
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
13 Take a Picture
A Cedillo
P Miller
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.2
 Value Play
1 Lost in the Fight
O Mojica, Jr.
P McEntee
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
48.8
  
2 Perfect Mo
F Arrieta
E N Foster
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
48.6
  
10 Baytown Da Vinci
M Nicholls
P McEntee
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
44.6
  
9 Mad Mo
D Sheehy
J Ennis
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
44.1
  
Post · Horse
7
Bardstown Road
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
K G McPeek
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
5
Silver Jewel
Jockey
D Machado
Trainer
P Matejka
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse
12
Gamerboy
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
G L Laureano
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
11
Play It Again
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
M E Casse
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
14
Camping Siete
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
I Bahena
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Castiglione
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
C DeVaux
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
4
Agate
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
K Danner
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
Post · Horse
6
Sky Warrior
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
M E Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.1
Post · Horse
8
Take Charge Beach
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
G Garcia
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse Value Play
13
Take a Picture
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
P Miller
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
Post · Horse
1
Lost in the Fight
Jockey
O Mojica, Jr.
Trainer
P McEntee
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
Post · Horse
2
Perfect Mo
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E N Foster
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
10
Baytown Da Vinci
Jockey
M Nicholls
Trainer
P McEntee
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.6
Post · Horse
9
Mad Mo
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Ennis
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won
Claimingnot listed
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size6
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitymaiden claiming
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Full Conditions Maiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won. Six Furlongs. Maiden claiming or starter at six furlongs
Storyline
French Blue has the best recent figures and Baffert connections but The Pragmatist sees the 9-5 morning line as too short and wants Vicki Rose at 12-1 on the upset.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.8%
Price horse: Vicki Rose (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 French Blue
F Geroux
B Baffert
 9/5
20
★★★★☆
75.9
 Top Pick
4 If If If
D Sheehy
C A Hartman
 9/2
19
★★★★☆
75.7
  
5 Vicki Rose
L Machado
P Matejka
 12/1
18
★★★★☆
74.3
 Value Play
1 Rational Theory
B J Hernandez, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 4/1
17
★★★★☆
73.8
  
2 Overcome Adversity
F Arrieta
M A Shirer
 5/2
15
★★★★☆
72.0
  
3 True Princess
G Saez
L Briley
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
67.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
French Blue
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B Baffert
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.9
Post · Horse
4
If If If
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
C A Hartman
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.7
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Vicki Rose
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
P Matejka
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.3
Post · Horse
1
Rational Theory
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.8
Post · Horse
2
Overcome Adversity
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M A Shirer
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.0
Post · Horse
3
True Princess
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
L Briley
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won
Claimingnot listed
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitymaiden claiming
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Full Conditions Maiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won. One Mile. Maiden claiming or starter at one mile on turf
Storyline
Tirupati brings the highest speed rating of 100 but The Pragmatist sees Jerseys Parade at 30-1 as the extreme longshot angle in another wide-open turf race.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.8%
Price horse: Jerseys Parade (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Cozy Curlin Kitten
R Bejarano
D F O'Neill
 10/1
15
★★★★☆
72.8
  
5 Poppy the Princess
E Morales
T Newton
 15/1
13
★★★★☆
71.0
 Longshot
6 Tirupati
U Rispoli
J Thomas
 5/2
13
★★★★☆
70.8
 Top Pick
1 Jerseys Parade
A Beschizza
C Meredith
 30/1
12
★★★★☆
69.7
 Value Play
3 Temptable
J A Torres
W I Mott
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
68.9
  
9 Bourbon Memory
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
67.0
  
4 Queens Command
G Saez
J Sharp
 5/1
10
★★★★☆
66.2
  
2 Reining Flowers
A Achard
J A Ortiz
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
64.3
  
8 Daisy Flyer
A Concepcion
G R Arnold II
 4/1
7
★★★★☆
61.8
  
Post · Horse
7
Cozy Curlin Kitten
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D F O'Neill
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.8
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Poppy the Princess
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
T Newton
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Tirupati
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
J Thomas
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.8
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Jerseys Parade
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
C Meredith
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse
3
Temptable
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
W I Mott
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.9
Post · Horse
9
Bourbon Memory
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
4
Queens Command
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
J Sharp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
2
Reining Flowers
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J A Ortiz
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse
8
Daisy Flyer
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
G R Arnold II
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Claimingnot listed
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitymaiden
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Full Conditions MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Six Furlongs. Maiden special weight at six furlongs
Storyline
Embry Show has the best recent figures and Baffert connections but The Pragmatist flags the 2-1 morning line as too short and wants Dontworryboutnothn at 15-1 on the upset.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.3%
Price horse: Dontworryboutnothn (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Embry Show
F Geroux
B Baffert
 2/1
16
★★★★☆
72.6
 Top Pick
4 Pursuit of Freedom
R Bejarano
P Eurton
 4/1
15
★★★★☆
71.4
  
1 Lifes Reward
B J Hernandez, Jr.
C A Hartman
 12/1
14
★★★★☆
71.0
  
3 Dontworryboutnothn
Y Hazlewood
D Jacobson
 15/1
13
★★★★☆
69.4
 Value Play
2 Puteketeke
D Sheehy
M J Maker
 6/1
13
★★★★☆
69.4
  
10 Owie
A Beschizza
C Davis
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
62.8
  
6 Native Brew
R A Vazquez
S M Asmussen
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
59.1
  
7 Steel Golden
F Arrieta
A M West
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
9 Top Drawer
A Concepcion
B H Cox
 9/2
6
★★★☆☆
57.3
  
5 Roman Rogue
C A Torres
D Stewart
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
52.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Embry Show
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B Baffert
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.6
Post · Horse
4
Pursuit of Freedom
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
P Eurton
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse
1
Lifes Reward
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
C A Hartman
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Dontworryboutnothn
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
D Jacobson
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse
2
Puteketeke
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M J Maker
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse
10
Owie
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
C Davis
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
6
Native Brew
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse
7
Steel Golden
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
A M West
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
9
Top Drawer
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
B H Cox
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
Post · Horse
5
Roman Rogue
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
D Stewart
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
Typestakes winners (in order I-II-III) then those horses having accumulated the high
Claimingnot listed
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitystakes
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Full Conditions stakes winners (in order I-II-III) then those horses having accumulated the high. Five And One Half Furlongs. Stakes race at five and one half furlongs on turf
Storyline
Beach Heist has the best class rating and recent 97 figure but The Pragmatist sees the 7-5 morning line as too short and wants Sweet Sissone at 20-1 on the upset.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 19.7%
Price horse: Sweet Sissone (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Beach Heist
A Concepcion
W Walden
 7/5
20
★★★★★
81.6
 Top Pick
8 Triskelion
C A Torres
G R Arnold II
 5/1
17
★★★★☆
79.3
  
3 Gigabit
M Pedroza, Jr.
R Hernandez
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
76.2
  
4 Sweet Sissone
A Beschizza
G D Foley
 20/1
13
★★★★☆
75.3
 Value Play
5 Victory Music
U Rispoli
M J Maker
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
74.4
  
2 Sutura
M Garcia
J Sisterson
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
71.8
  
7 Just a Minute
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
 6/1
7
★★★★☆
66.7
  
6 Woodstock
G Saez
J Sharp
 10/1
7
★★★★☆
66.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Beach Heist
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W Walden
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★★ 81.6
Post · Horse
8
Triskelion
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
G R Arnold II
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.3
Post · Horse
3
Gigabit
Jockey
M Pedroza, Jr.
Trainer
R Hernandez
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.2
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Sweet Sissone
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
G D Foley
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.3
Post · Horse
5
Victory Music
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
M J Maker
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.4
Post · Horse
2
Sutura
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
J Sisterson
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.8
Post · Horse
7
Just a Minute
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
6
Woodstock
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
J Sharp
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won
Claimingnot listed
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Field Size12
Eligibility & Weights
Eligibilitymaiden claiming
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Full Conditions Maiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won. One And One Sixteenth Miles. Maiden claiming or starter at one and one sixteenth miles on turf
Storyline
Infinite Sky has the best recent form and Cox connections but The Pragmatist sees Trust Account at 5-1 as the best price in another wide-open turf route.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.0%
Price horse: Trust Account (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Infinite Sky
L Machado
B H Cox
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
74.9
 Top Pick
8 Trust Account
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 5/1
10
★★★★☆
72.5
 Value Play
7 Market Chill
U Rispoli
C C Brown
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
72.1
  
11 Call the Bullpen
J A Torres
C A David
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
71.9
 Longshot
9 Embrace Time
F Geroux
B H Cox
 9/2
9
★★★★☆
71.3
  
1 Rhythm Lady
Y Hazlewood
M J Maker
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
70.7
  
12 Noshametohergame
F Arrieta
E Kenneally
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
70.0
  
5 Backgammon
C A Torres
M E Casse
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
67.2
  
10 Majestical
R Bejarano
P Eurton
 20/1
6
★★★★☆
65.7
  
2 Temple Goddess
J Elliott
J Corrigan
 20/1
6
★★★★☆
65.0
  
4 Surprise Ending
B J Hernandez, Jr.
B P Walsh
 10/1
6
★★★★☆
63.8
  
3 Take Charge Macy
R A Vazquez
P Miller
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
61.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Infinite Sky
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B H Cox
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.9
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Trust Account
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse
7
Market Chill
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
C C Brown
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.1
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Call the Bullpen
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
C A David
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.9
Post · Horse
9
Embrace Time
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B H Cox
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.3
Post · Horse
1
Rhythm Lady
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
M J Maker
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.7
Post · Horse
12
Noshametohergame
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E Kenneally
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.0
Post · Horse
5
Backgammon
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
M E Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.2
Post · Horse
10
Majestical
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
P Eurton
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.7
Post · Horse
2
Temple Goddess
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
J Corrigan
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
4
Surprise Ending
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
B P Walsh
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse
3
Take Charge Macy
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
P Miller
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro