Curated Betting Card

Ellis Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 4.

2026-07-06 Race 4 Morning Card
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Card signals
Ellis Park · full board
Strongest play
R1
Tiffany Twist #4
Top conf.
Best value
R8
Kokomo Joe
30/1 ML
Best longshot
R3
Tuskegee Airmen #1
10/1 ML
Deepest field
R2
16 runners
16
Pace race
R2
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
The Analyst: Ellis Park opens with a tight claiming mile and then a string of wide-open maidens where the numbers point to small-stake plays on the top-rated horse and a couple of live longshots. The Pragmatist: Chalk will be vulnerable all day; the real money is in the exotics where the model likes the 8-1 to 30-1 shots that the public is ignoring. Standout races are the seventh and eighth where the longshot angles are strongest.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Tiffany Twist tops the speed ratings at 98.8 but Miranda's Rocky sits only three points behind on raw speed and gets the Pragmatist nod at 8-1.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsTrifecta Play
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 17.8%
Price horse: Miranda's Rocky (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Tiffany Twist
G Saez
C Santamaria
 4/1
19
★★★★☆
74.5
 Top Pick
2 Big Dig
B Curtis
A Shorter
 9/5
18
★★★★☆
73.8
  
5 Argan
E Morales
K G Miller
 7/2
18
★★★★☆
73.6
  
1 Bourbon Serengeti
R Bejarano
D Jacobson
 9/2
16
★★★★☆
71.9
  
3 Little Dixie
Y Hazlewood
T Moreno
 5/1
15
★★★★☆
71.7
  
6 Miranda's Rocky
A Beschizza
T D Vance
 8/1
15
★★★★☆
71.1
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Tiffany Twist
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
C Santamaria
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.5
Post · Horse
2
Big Dig
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
A Shorter
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.8
Post · Horse
5
Argan
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
K G Miller
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.6
Post · Horse
1
Bourbon Serengeti
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D Jacobson
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.9
Post · Horse
3
Little Dixie
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
T Moreno
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.7
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Miranda's Rocky
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
T D Vance
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Both Sides of Bad leads the turf ratings but the Pragmatist sees value in Bearister at 9-2 and the 30-1 shots Ando and Blazing that carry strong model support.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 10.0%
Price horse: Bearister (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Both Sides of Bad
J A Torres
J Sharp
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
69.7
 Top Pick
4 Bearister
J Graham
J K Desormeaux
 9/2
9
★★★★☆
65.8
 Value Play
6 He's a Charmer
L Machado
E W West
 7/2
9
★★★★☆
65.7
  
15 Cptbobsbtwentynine
E Morales
J Blair
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
64.4
 Longshot
16 Ando
A Beschizza
J B Roberts
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
62.6
  
8 Blazing
J Elliott
M Lovell
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
62.0
  
13 Al Amjaad
A Beschizza
D G Heath
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
61.5
  
5 Feeling Grand
A Concepcion
K Danner
 5/1
6
★★★☆☆
59.8
  
3 In America
F Geroux
F Bogle
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
56.8
  
11 Roktar
G Saez
J Dixon, Jr.
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
12 Hamlet
B J Hernandez, Jr.
P J McGee
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.6
  
9 Snowdrift
D Sheehy
B P Walsh
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.6
  
1 Interest Only
A Achard
R Mott
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
55.0
  
7 Positive Equity
D Cannon
G Weaver
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
51.7
  
2 Mendelsstrone
B Curtis
E Kenneally
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
50.8
  
14 It's Final
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
49.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
Both Sides of Bad
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J Sharp
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Bearister
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
6
He's a Charmer
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
E W West
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.7
Post · Horse Longshot
15
Cptbobsbtwentynine
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J Blair
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.4
Post · Horse
16
Ando
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J B Roberts
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
8
Blazing
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
M Lovell
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.0
Post · Horse
13
Al Amjaad
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
D G Heath
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse
5
Feeling Grand
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
K Danner
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse
3
In America
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
F Bogle
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse
11
Roktar
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
J Dixon, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
12
Hamlet
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
P J McGee
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse
9
Snowdrift
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
B P Walsh
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse
1
Interest Only
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
R Mott
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.0
Post · Horse
7
Positive Equity
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
G Weaver
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
2
Mendelsstrone
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
E Kenneally
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.8
Post · Horse
14
It's Final
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Exploration leads with an 80.12 rating and a bullet 38.80 work but Tuskegee Airmen sits only a half-point behind and carries a 10-1 longshot flag.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.2%
Price horse: Tuskegee Airmen (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Exploration
R Bejarano
D Jacobson
 4/1
16
★★★★★
80.1
 Top Pick
1 Tuskegee Airmen
F Arrieta
D Jacobson
 10/1
15
★★★★☆
79.7
 Value Play
5 Tap Me a Song
G Saez
C Santamaria
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
78.6
  
4 Banned for Life
R A Vazquez
S M Asmussen
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
75.8
  
7 Sinner's Sin
Y Hazlewood
R Moquett
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
75.7
  
6 Risk It
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
74.7
  
8 Taylor's Version
M Garcia
D L Romans
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
74.5
  
2 Barksdale
A Beschizza
M A Shirer
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
73.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Exploration
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D Jacobson
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★★ 80.1
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Tuskegee Airmen
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
D Jacobson
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.7
Post · Horse
5
Tap Me a Song
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
C Santamaria
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.6
Post · Horse
4
Banned for Life
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.8
Post · Horse
7
Sinner's Sin
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
R Moquett
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.7
Post · Horse
6
Risk It
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.7
Post · Horse
8
Taylor's Version
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
D L Romans
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.5
Post · Horse
2
Barksdale
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
M A Shirer
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Scarlett Begonia is the 2-1 morning-line favorite but the Pragmatist wants to fade her for the 10-1 By Her Decree that carries the upset-hedge signal.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 10.8%
Price horse: By Her Decree (10/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Scarlett Begonia
L Machado
B H Cox
 2/1
13
★★★★☆
65.8
 Top Pick
6 By Her Decree
A Beschizza
J O'Dwyer
 10/1
12
★★★★☆
64.2
 Value Play
5 She Ain't Jokin
F Arrieta
M E Casse
 9/2
7
★★★☆☆
57.0
  
11 Jazz Queen
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
55.5
  
3 Molly McIver
B J Hernandez, Jr.
K LaRose
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
54.7
  
7 Miss Anna
C A Torres
B P Walsh
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
54.6
  
13 Speak for Yourself
J A Torres
J C Servis
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.5
  
10 Jerri Jo
J A Torres
R Mott
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.2
  
14 Mysticious
C A Torres
R Brisset
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.0
  
16 Mels Daisy
E Morales
J A Hancock
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.1
  
8 Avalon Rose
W Antongeorgi III
R B Hess, Jr.
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.0
  
15 Velvet Beretta
M Garcia
M Douaihy
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.8
  
12 Easy Loving
D Sheehy
J Ennis
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.7
  
9 Todayisagoodday
Y Hazlewood
R B Hess, Jr.
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.2
  
1 Just Epic
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.0
  
2 Seismic Shift
A Cedillo
I R Wilkes
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
48.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Scarlett Begonia
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B H Cox
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse Value Play
6
By Her Decree
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J O'Dwyer
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
5
She Ain't Jokin
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M E Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse
11
Jazz Queen
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
Post · Horse
3
Molly McIver
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
K LaRose
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
7
Miss Anna
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
B P Walsh
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.6
Post · Horse
13
Speak for Yourself
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J C Servis
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.5
Post · Horse
10
Jerri Jo
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Mott
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.2
Post · Horse
14
Mysticious
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.0
Post · Horse
16
Mels Daisy
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J A Hancock
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
Post · Horse
8
Avalon Rose
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
R B Hess, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse
15
Velvet Beretta
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
M Douaihy
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.8
Post · Horse
12
Easy Loving
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Ennis
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.7
Post · Horse
9
Todayisagoodday
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
R B Hess, Jr.
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
Post · Horse
1
Just Epic
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.0
Post · Horse
2
Seismic Shift
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
I R Wilkes
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
British Empress leads the turf ratings at 69.12 but Sussudio at 30-1 and Got Gone at 12-1 both carry strong longshot price flags.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 11.4%
Price horse: Sussudio (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 British Empress
F Geroux
L Robson
 5/1
13
★★★★☆
69.1
 Top Pick
7 Galatina
G Saez
W M Catalano
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
68.3
  
3 Got Gone
A Achard
J Ennis
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
68.0
 Longshot
9 Twolatebabydoll
C A Torres
T Newton
 5/2
11
★★★★☆
66.8
  
1 Ocean Ripple
R Bejarano
D Jacobson
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
65.1
  
11 Romany Road
F Arrieta
B Williamson
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
64.2
  
8 Austin High
B J Hernandez, Jr.
T Drury, Jr.
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
63.5
  
6 Sussudio
A Beschizza
J A Hiles
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
62.4
 Value Play
10 Wella
D Machado
A Navarrete
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
59.5
  
5 Smokin Hot Blonde
H L Hoskins
J A Kelley
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.9
  
12 Honor Azteca
J Graham
J K Desormeaux
 10/1
3
★★★☆☆
48.5
  
4 B D's Angel
J Elliott
W E Duvall
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
44.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
British Empress
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
L Robson
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
7
Galatina
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
W M Catalano
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Got Gone
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.0
Post · Horse
9
Twolatebabydoll
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
T Newton
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.8
Post · Horse
1
Ocean Ripple
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D Jacobson
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse
11
Romany Road
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
B Williamson
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
8
Austin High
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
T Drury, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Sussudio
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J A Hiles
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse
10
Wella
Jockey
D Machado
Trainer
A Navarrete
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
5
Smokin Hot Blonde
Jockey
H L Hoskins
Trainer
J A Kelley
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse
12
Honor Azteca
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.5
Post · Horse
4
B D's Angel
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
W E Duvall
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden In A Maiden Auction Race And Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Maide
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Gypsan leads at 74.64 but Thea at 3-1 and Full Dolly at 15-1 are the Pragmatist's value angles in another wide-open maiden.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.6%
Price horse: Thea (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Gypsan
B J Hernandez, Jr.
C A Hartman
 6/1
16
★★★★☆
74.6
 Top Pick
5 Thea
A Cedillo
L Schultz
 3/1
15
★★★★☆
73.5
 Value Play
8 Promisemeanempire
A Beschizza
M A Shirer
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
72.0
  
1 Angel Bella
L Machado
D Beckman
 5/1
13
★★★★☆
71.5
  
3 Full Dolly
C A Torres
T Drury, Jr.
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
69.1
 Longshot
2 Call Me Precious
Y Hazlewood
C Williams
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
67.9
  
7 Alas
J A Torres
R Brisset
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
62.9
  
9 Dancewhenyoucan
B Curtis
M A Shirer
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
61.9
  
4 Lost Chord
F Arrieta
I R Wilkes
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
59.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Gypsan
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
C A Hartman
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.6
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Thea
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
L Schultz
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.5
Post · Horse
8
Promisemeanempire
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
M A Shirer
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.0
Post · Horse
1
Angel Bella
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
D Beckman
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.5
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Full Dolly
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
T Drury, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
2
Call Me Precious
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
C Williams
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse
7
Alas
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
9
Dancewhenyoucan
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
M A Shirer
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
4
Lost Chord
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
I R Wilkes
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Right to Win leads at 76.91 but Professor Higgins at 20-1 and Fast Solution at 15-1 both carry longshot price flags that the Pragmatist loves.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.5%
Price horse: Professor Higgins (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Right to Win
F Geroux
L Robson
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
76.9
 Top Pick
3 Fountain Lake
A Concepcion
J A Ortiz
 4/1
13
★★★★☆
74.4
  
5 Two Beers by Ten
D Sheehy
M J Maker
 3/1
13
★★★★☆
74.4
  
8 Fast Solution
F Arrieta
H Holsapple
 15/1
13
★★★★☆
73.9
 Longshot
1 Lucky Mischief
R Bejarano
R Hiles
 5/1
11
★★★★☆
72.2
  
7 Domingo
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
70.7
  
6 Professor Higgins
W Antongeorgi III
H Holsapple
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
68.5
 Value Play
2 Rocky Joy
G Saez
J L Aranha
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
68.3
  
4 Survivin'onaprayer
J Elliott
S Hamilton
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
65.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Right to Win
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
L Robson
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.9
Post · Horse
3
Fountain Lake
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J A Ortiz
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.4
Post · Horse
5
Two Beers by Ten
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M J Maker
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.4
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Fast Solution
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
H Holsapple
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.9
Post · Horse
1
Lucky Mischief
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
R Hiles
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.2
Post · Horse
7
Domingo
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.7
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Professor Higgins
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
H Holsapple
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse
2
Rocky Joy
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
J L Aranha
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
4
Survivin'onaprayer
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
S Hamilton
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Rebel Instinct leads at 80.33 but the Pragmatist wants to fade the 9-5 favorite for the 30-1 Kokomo Joe and 20-1 Quarry that carry the strongest longshot flags.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.7%
Price horse: Kokomo Joe (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Rebel Instinct
F Geroux
B H Cox
 9/5
14
★★★★★
80.3
 Top Pick
5 Volendam
Y Hazlewood
M J Maker
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
78.9
  
11 Quarry
A Cedillo
M Simms, Jr.
 20/1
12
★★★★☆
78.0
 Longshot
3 Kokomo Joe
D Machado
M P Sims
 30/1
9
★★★★☆
73.0
 Value Play
9 Join
G Saez
S A Kurtz
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
72.4
  
6 Corona de Oro
B J Hernandez, Jr.
D Stewart
 7/2
8
★★★★☆
72.1
  
4 Vintage Cowboy
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
71.8
  
7 Ezum
L Machado
B H Cox
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
71.7
  
1 Inordinary
A Beschizza
J Sisterson
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
69.8
  
10 Super Happy
C A Torres
L Briley
 20/1
6
★★★★☆
68.1
  
2 Ring Curl
W Antongeorgi III
T S Wismer
 20/1
4
★★★★☆
61.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Rebel Instinct
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B H Cox
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★★ 80.3
Post · Horse
5
Volendam
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
M J Maker
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.9
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Quarry
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
M Simms, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.0
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Kokomo Joe
Jockey
D Machado
Trainer
M P Sims
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.0
Post · Horse
9
Join
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
S A Kurtz
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.4
Post · Horse
6
Corona de Oro
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
D Stewart
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.1
Post · Horse
4
Vintage Cowboy
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.8
Post · Horse
7
Ezum
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B H Cox
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.7
Post · Horse
1
Inordinary
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J Sisterson
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse
10
Super Happy
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
L Briley
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
Post · Horse
2
Ring Curl
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
T S Wismer
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Field Size13
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Paseo leads at 66.87 but Marcheline at 12-1 carries the strongest longshot price flag and the Pragmatist makes it the key value play.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 10.4%
Price horse: Marcheline (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Paseo
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
66.9
 Top Pick
11 Good Conduct
F Geroux
C DeVaux
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
66.7
  
4 Paris Twilight
D Sheehy
B P Walsh
 5/1
11
★★★★☆
66.5
  
1 Marcheline
A Concepcion
V H Oliver
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
65.9
 Value Play
2 Wonzee Weather
D Machado
D Miller
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
61.9
  
10 Marble Arch
C A Torres
R Medina
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
61.0
  
8 Define
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
59.9
  
3 Butterfly Jasmine
V R Carrasco
W M Catalano
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
59.8
  
6 Queen of Capri
J A Torres
R Mott
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
59.8
  
13 Determined Dancer
A Concepcion
C DeVaux
 9/2
7
★★★☆☆
58.7
  
5 Lightning Run
A Beschizza
J Sharp
 8/1
4
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
7 Nectar of the Gods
G Saez
K LaRose
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
47.9
  
12 Evie's Eyebrows
C E Franca
R Isbell, Jr.
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
40.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Paseo
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse
11
Good Conduct
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
C DeVaux
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
4
Paris Twilight
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
B P Walsh
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Marcheline
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
V H Oliver
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse
2
Wonzee Weather
Jockey
D Machado
Trainer
D Miller
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
10
Marble Arch
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Medina
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
Post · Horse
8
Define
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
3
Butterfly Jasmine
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
W M Catalano
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse
6
Queen of Capri
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Mott
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse
13
Determined Dancer
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
C DeVaux
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.7
Post · Horse
5
Lightning Run
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J Sharp
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
7
Nectar of the Gods
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
K LaRose
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
Post · Horse
12
Evie's Eyebrows
Jockey
C E Franca
Trainer
R Isbell, Jr.
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 13-horse field.
  Go Pro