Curated Betting Card

Ellis Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 7.

2026-07-09 Race 7 Morning Card
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This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Ellis Park · full board
Strongest play
R3
Nuck Chorris #3
Top conf.
Best value
R6
Clonmacnoise
20/1 ML
Best longshot
R2
Sweetbitters #8
15/1 ML
Deepest field
R6
16 runners
16
Pace race
R2
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Tony Russo: Ellis Park opens with a bunch of wide-open maidens where the morning line is already pushing chalk too hard. Maggie Rowan: The turf routes in races 5, 7 and 9 look like the best spots for price horses underneath, especially when the pace figures to melt. Tony Russo: Chalk players will get burned on the sprint maidens; the real money is in the exactas that include the longshot angles we flagged.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
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Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Shot At Perfection is the 2-1 morning-line favorite off two sharp recent tries, but Tony Russo wonders if the layoff and the tight rating cluster make him vulnerable to Gorrono Ranch at 8-1.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.7%
Price horse: Gorrono Ranch (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Shot At Perfection
F Arrieta
I R Wilkes
 2/1
20
★★★★☆
69.7
 Top Pick
4 Quick to Charm
C A Torres
M E Casse
 5/2
19
★★★★☆
68.7
  
1 Gorrono Ranch
B J Hernandez, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 8/1
18
★★★★☆
67.9
 Value Play
3 Mancuso
U Rispoli
P D'Amato
 5/1
14
★★★★☆
64.5
  
2 Ships Inn
A Beschizza
G D Foley
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
63.9
  
7 Point in Time
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
56.3
  
5 Stella Daniella
A Concepcion
L Schultz
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
52.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Shot At Perfection
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
I R Wilkes
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse
4
Quick to Charm
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
M E Casse
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Gorrono Ranch
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse
3
Mancuso
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
P D'Amato
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
2
Ships Inn
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
G D Foley
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.9
Post · Horse
7
Point in Time
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse
5
Stella Daniella
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
L Schultz
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceDirt
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
My Secret Dreams and Lexico sit almost dead even on ratings, but Sweetbitters at 15-1 carries the strongest longshot price flag of the day.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.5%
Price horse: Sweetbitters (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 My Secret Dreams
A Mendoza
G Garcia
 9/2
17
★★★★☆
65.3
 Top Pick
6 Lexico
E Morales
D J Habeeb
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
62.9
  
4 Silvertown
S Pauly
G Garcia
 7/2
14
★★★★☆
62.7
  
2 Souperrazzledazzle
Y Hazlewood
C Williams
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
60.9
  
7 Queen McKinzie
R A Vazquez
S M Asmussen
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
60.7
  
8 Sweetbitters
G Corrales
H De Paz
 15/1
12
★★★★☆
60.4
 Value Play
5 Red Rainbow
W Antongeorgi III
T S Wismer
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
56.2
  
3 Rumbar
L Machado
B Colebrook
 4/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
My Secret Dreams
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
6
Lexico
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
D J Habeeb
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
4
Silvertown
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
G Garcia
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
2
Souperrazzledazzle
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
C Williams
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
Post · Horse
7
Queen McKinzie
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Sweetbitters
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
H De Paz
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
5
Red Rainbow
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
T S Wismer
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse
3
Rumbar
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Nuck Chorris towers with an 82.5 rating and a 100 form rating, but the 9-2 morning line still offers value according to the model.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 21.3%
Price horse: Nuck Chorris (9/2 ML) · Preferred value
Exotic Ticket Pack (5 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Nuck Chorris
D Sheehy
M J Maker
 9/2
26
★★★★★
82.5
 Top Pick
4 Editor
B J Hernandez, Jr.
J S Radosevich
 5/2
16
★★★★☆
75.3
  
8 Horse of the Sea
J A Torres
B H Cox
 3/1
13
★★★★☆
71.8
  
1 Damascus Steel
B Curtis
D G Heath
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
70.6
  
6 Mouqeer
A Mendoza
R Atras
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
69.7
  
5 Inordinary
A Beschizza
J Sisterson
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
66.2
 Longshot
2 Vaporizer
C A Emigh
B A Vanden Berg
 10/1
7
★★★★☆
61.8
  
7 Dr Fenn
E Morales
T D Vance
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
59.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Nuck Chorris
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M J Maker
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★★ 82.5
Post · Horse
4
Editor
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
J S Radosevich
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.3
Post · Horse
8
Horse of the Sea
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
B H Cox
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.8
Post · Horse
1
Damascus Steel
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
D G Heath
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse
6
Mouqeer
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
R Atras
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Inordinary
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J Sisterson
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
2
Vaporizer
Jockey
C A Emigh
Trainer
B A Vanden Berg
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse
7
Dr Fenn
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
T D Vance
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Tambelina leads the field at 16.5% win probability, but the 20-1 Prevail carries the longshot price flag that Tony Russo wants to wheel.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.3%
Price horse: Prevail (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Tambelina
L Machado
B H Cox
 5/2
16
★★★★☆
63.3
 Top Pick
8 Maple Ridge
R A Vazquez
S M Asmussen
 4/1
13
★★★☆☆
59.7
  
2 Speak for Yourself
J A Torres
J C Servis
 9/2
11
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
5 Sheza Go Getter
B J Hernandez, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
57.1
  
1 Mysticious
C A Torres
R Brisset
 5/1
10
★★★☆☆
56.2
  
7 Summer Dream
A Achard
J Ennis
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.0
 Longshot
3 Maroon Tide
D Sheehy
J Ennis
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.1
  
10 Prevail
W Antongeorgi III
H Holsapple
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
50.7
 Value Play
6 Mels Daisy
E Morales
J A Hancock
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
50.2
  
9 Velvet Beretta
E A Roman
M Douaihy
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
50.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Tambelina
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B H Cox
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse
8
Maple Ridge
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse
2
Speak for Yourself
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J C Servis
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
5
Sheza Go Getter
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse
1
Mysticious
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Summer Dream
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.0
Post · Horse
3
Maroon Tide
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Ennis
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Prevail
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
H Holsapple
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.7
Post · Horse
6
Mels Daisy
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J A Hancock
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse
9
Velvet Beretta
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
M Douaihy
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Grand Premiere and Swerve are separated by just 0.3 points in win probability, yet Notable Patience at 30-1 carries the day's biggest price flag.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.6%
Price horse: Notable Patience (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Swerve
B J Hernandez, Jr.
J K Desormeaux
 9/2
19
★★★★☆
73.9
  
3 Irish Law
L Machado
B P Walsh
 5/1
16
★★★★☆
71.4
  
1 Grand Premiere
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 5/2
14
★★★★☆
68.6
 Top Pick
5 Provider
R Bejarano
P Eurton
 4/1
13
★★★★☆
68.2
  
8 Mr. All In
J A Torres
W B Calhoun
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
64.3
  
6 Notable Patience
J Elliott
S Hamilton
 30/1
9
★★★★☆
63.0
 Value Play
2 Clark's Corner
F Arrieta
I R Wilkes
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
60.1
  
7 Kingsport
A Concepcion
C DeVaux
 7/2
7
★★★☆☆
58.9
  
4 Buckley Gold Water
G Saez
R Medina
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.4
  
Post · Horse
9
Swerve
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.9
Post · Horse
3
Irish Law
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B P Walsh
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Grand Premiere
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse
5
Provider
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
P Eurton
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.2
Post · Horse
8
Mr. All In
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
W B Calhoun
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Notable Patience
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
S Hamilton
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse
2
Clark's Corner
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
I R Wilkes
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse
7
Kingsport
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
C DeVaux
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.9
Post · Horse
4
Buckley Gold Water
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
R Medina
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Clonmacnoise leads at 14.9% win probability but carries a 20-1 morning line that Tony Russo says is the best price flag on the card.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 11.9%
Price horse: Clonmacnoise (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (6 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Clonmacnoise
D Sheehy
J Ennis
 20/1
15
★★★★☆
69.5
 Top Pick
6 War Ready
B J Hernandez, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
65.1
  
7 Talleyrand
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 5/2
10
★★★★☆
64.0
  
9 Implied Open
A Concepcion
W Walden
 4/1
7
★★★☆☆
57.8
  
11 Tactical Tune
F Arrieta
N W Casse
 9/2
7
★★★☆☆
57.3
  
14 Tancho
Y Hazlewood
W A Ward
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.8
  
1 Caribbean Warrior
J A Torres
J Sharp
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
54.7
  
4 Town Man
F Geroux
B A Lynch
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
54.6
  
8 Tic Tic Tic
Y Hazlewood
M J Maker
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
16 Very Classy
G Saez
J L Aranha
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.5
  
2 He's Saxy
J Elliott
S Hamilton
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
5 Authentic Gold
E A Roman
P H Lobo
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
51.0
  
10 Merit Badge
W Antongeorgi III
A M Meah
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.5
  
12 Eight Hundred
A Calleja
J Hamilton
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
49.6
  
15 Mystic D
V R Carrasco
J A Hancock
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
42.8
  
13 Jackies Einor
E Morales
J A Hancock
 30/1
2
★★★☆☆
40.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Clonmacnoise
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Ennis
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
6
War Ready
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse
7
Talleyrand
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
9
Implied Open
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W Walden
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
11
Tactical Tune
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
N W Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
Post · Horse
14
Tancho
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
W A Ward
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse
1
Caribbean Warrior
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J Sharp
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
4
Town Man
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B A Lynch
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.6
Post · Horse
8
Tic Tic Tic
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
M J Maker
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse
16
Very Classy
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
J L Aranha
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.5
Post · Horse
2
He's Saxy
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
S Hamilton
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse
5
Authentic Gold
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
P H Lobo
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse
10
Merit Badge
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
A M Meah
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
Post · Horse
12
Eight Hundred
Jockey
A Calleja
Trainer
J Hamilton
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.6
Post · Horse
15
Mystic D
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
J A Hancock
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.8
Post · Horse
13
Jackies Einor
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J A Hancock
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Field Size14
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Icona leads the turf mile at 11.4% win probability, but No Other Like You at 8-1 is the value play Tony Russo wants to wheel underneath.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 10.0%
Price horse: No Other Like You (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (6 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Icona
B J Hernandez, Jr.
B P Walsh
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
78.0
 Top Pick
8 No Other Like You
B Curtis
D Fawkes
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
76.6
 Value Play
1 Humbled
R A Vazquez
R Medina
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
74.6
  
14 Missy Bee
J Graham
E N Foster
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
73.2
  
7 La Cantera
A Concepcion
C A David
 4/1
8
★★★★☆
72.8
  
6 High South
C A Torres
G R Arnold II
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
71.9
  
9 More Galilady
M Gutierrez
D Stewart
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
71.4
  
2 Winning Streep
V Cheminaud
J C Servis
 8/1
6
★★★★☆
69.0
  
10 Kittens Stormy Gal
J Graham
W M Bindner, Jr.
 30/1
6
★★★★☆
68.7
  
3 Oscar's Encore
J A Torres
J Sharp
 10/1
6
★★★★☆
67.9
  
4 McKinzie's Glory
E Morales
S E Shaffer
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
66.5
  
11 Annelle
D Sheehy
V H Oliver
 8/1
5
★★★★☆
64.8
  
12 Viva Vienne
L Machado
I R Wilkes
 20/1
4
★★★★☆
63.5
  
13 Jerseys Parade
G Saez
C Meredith
 30/1
4
★★★★☆
62.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Icona
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
B P Walsh
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.0
Post · Horse Value Play
8
No Other Like You
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
D Fawkes
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.6
Post · Horse
1
Humbled
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
R Medina
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.6
Post · Horse
14
Missy Bee
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
E N Foster
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse
7
La Cantera
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
C A David
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.8
Post · Horse
6
High South
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
G R Arnold II
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.9
Post · Horse
9
More Galilady
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
D Stewart
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse
2
Winning Streep
Jockey
V Cheminaud
Trainer
J C Servis
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse
10
Kittens Stormy Gal
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
W M Bindner, Jr.
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse
3
Oscar's Encore
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J Sharp
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse
4
McKinzie's Glory
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
S E Shaffer
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse
11
Annelle
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
V H Oliver
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse
12
Viva Vienne
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
I R Wilkes
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse
13
Jerseys Parade
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
C Meredith
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Battis Grove leads the stakes at 14.6% win probability, but Essential Coffee at 20-1 carries the strongest longshot price flag of the sprint.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.1%
Price horse: Essential Coffee (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (7 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Battis Grove
A Concepcion
W Walden
 7/2
16
★★★★★
82.8
 Top Pick
3 Twirling Aces
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 2/1
14
★★★★★
80.8
  
4 If If If
R Bejarano
C A Hartman
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
79.4
  
1 Kenz
B J Hernandez, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 5/1
11
★★★★☆
78.0
  
2 Lamorna Inn
F Geroux
B H Cox
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
76.2
  
5 Bet the Gray
F Arrieta
M Williams
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
76.2
  
6 Angel From Marin
D Sheehy
P Eurton
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
76.0
  
8 Kayla's Komet
G Saez
W B Calhoun
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
71.3
  
9 Tizianna
E Morales
H Pitts
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
66.5
  
7 Essential Coffee
R A Vazquez
S M Asmussen
 20/1
4
★★★★☆
64.3
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
Battis Grove
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W Walden
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★★ 82.8
Post · Horse
3
Twirling Aces
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★★ 80.8
Post · Horse
4
If If If
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
C A Hartman
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.4
Post · Horse
1
Kenz
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.0
Post · Horse
2
Lamorna Inn
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B H Cox
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.2
Post · Horse
5
Bet the Gray
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M Williams
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.2
Post · Horse
6
Angel From Marin
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
P Eurton
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.0
Post · Horse
8
Kayla's Komet
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
W B Calhoun
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.3
Post · Horse
9
Tizianna
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
H Pitts
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Essential Coffee
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
S M Asmussen
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden In A Maiden Auction Race And Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Maide
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Abbi Fede leads the final turf mile at 14% win probability, but Bird the Legend at 30-1 carries the biggest price flag of the day.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.4%
Price horse: Bird the Legend (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (7 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Abbi Fede
B Curtis
J Sharp
 5/2
15
★★★★☆
76.7
 Top Pick
7 Come Out Tonight
A Achard
R Mott
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
73.7
 Longshot
6 Michael's Cove
E Morales
T Newton
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
73.7
  
11 Intuitive Wisdom
U Rispoli
N Vaccarezza
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
71.1
  
5 Snare
B J Hernandez, Jr.
P J McGee
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
70.3
  
1 Bird the Legend
F Geroux
R Brisset
 30/1
9
★★★★☆
68.7
 Value Play
4 Culture War
R A Vazquez
R Medina
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
66.0
  
3 Tiz Freedom
G Saez
E N Foster
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
65.3
  
9 Blast Furnace
A Concepcion
K Brion
 6/1
6
★★★★☆
63.1
  
10 Frontier Justice
F Arrieta
D G Heath
 8/1
6
★★★★☆
63.1
  
8 Just Asap
C A Torres
M E Casse
 10/1
6
★★★★☆
62.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Abbi Fede
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
J Sharp
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.7
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Come Out Tonight
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
R Mott
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.7
Post · Horse
6
Michael's Cove
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
T Newton
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.7
Post · Horse
11
Intuitive Wisdom
Jockey
U Rispoli
Trainer
N Vaccarezza
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
Post · Horse
5
Snare
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
P J McGee
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.3
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Bird the Legend
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
R Brisset
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse
4
Culture War
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
R Medina
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse
3
Tiz Freedom
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
E N Foster
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
9
Blast Furnace
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
K Brion
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
10
Frontier Justice
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
D G Heath
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
8
Just Asap
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
M E Casse
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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