Curated Betting Card

Ellis Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 2.

2026-07-10 Race 2 Morning Card
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Card signals
Ellis Park · full board
Strongest play
R1
Bourbon and Spice #1
Top conf.
Best value
R2
Mint Driven
20/1 ML
Best longshot
R1
Stephens Dream #4
12/1 ML
Deepest field
R9
15 runners
15
Pace race
R3
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Tony Russo: The card opens with a couple of claiming sprints that look playable small and then settles into a string of wide-open fields where the numbers are bunched. Maggie Rowan: Gift Giving and Cruisin in Harmony stand out on the figures, but the rest of the day is about finding the right price underneath in exactas. Tony Russo: Keep stakes tiny and lean on the part-wheels the desk flagged.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
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Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Post Time11:50 AM CT
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Bourbon and Spice exits a sharp second at Indiana with an 84 figure while the rest of the field is coming off longer layoffs or weaker efforts — the question is whether Stephens Dream can improve enough first time at Ellis to upset at 12-1.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.4%
Price horse: Stephens Dream (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Bourbon and Spice
S Pauly
E Moger, Jr.
 3/1
29
★★★★☆
79.1
 Top Pick
2 Belle Ofthe Dance
G Saez
C Santamaria
 7/2
16
★★★★☆
69.8
  
6 McSniper
M Garcia
K LaRose
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
65.3
  
5 Poppy Woppy
B Curtis
S M Asmussen
 9/2
12
★★★★☆
65.3
  
4 Stephens Dream
E Morales
S E Shaffer
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
64.3
 Value Play
7 Lady Pippa
A Concepcion
R Medina
 4/1
11
★★★★☆
64.3
  
3 Ashes and Diamonds
F Arrieta
J E Baker
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
64.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Bourbon and Spice
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E Moger, Jr.
29
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.1
Post · Horse
2
Belle Ofthe Dance
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
C Santamaria
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse
6
McSniper
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
K LaRose
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
5
Poppy Woppy
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Stephens Dream
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
S E Shaffer
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse
7
Lady Pippa
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
R Medina
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse
3
Ashes and Diamonds
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
J E Baker
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:19 PM CT
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Gift Giving is the only horse with two recent wins and a 90.4 form rating on turf — the question is whether Mint Driven at 20-1 can overcome a six-month layoff and still hit the board.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 16.3%
Price horse: Mint Driven (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Gift Giving
R Bejarano
D Jacobson
 7/2
22
★★★★☆
76.2
 Top Pick
8 Never Really Know
F Arrieta
N W Casse
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
69.4
  
4 Storm Bay
W Antongeorgi III
T S Wismer
 9/2
12
★★★★☆
67.3
  
9 Couldyoubeloved
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
64.5
  
5 Barbratina
C A Torres
J Sharp
 3/1
10
★★★★☆
63.6
  
7 Mint Driven
A Beschizza
B L King
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
63.3
 Value Play
3 La Scatta
J Graham
H Pitts
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
60.5
  
2 Lady Blake
J J Radosevich
J E Baker
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
60.4
  
6 Theprincessfactor
B Curtis
S M Asmussen
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Gift Giving
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D Jacobson
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.2
Post · Horse
8
Never Really Know
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
N W Casse
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse
4
Storm Bay
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
T S Wismer
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse
9
Couldyoubeloved
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
5
Barbratina
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
J Sharp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Mint Driven
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
B L King
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse
3
La Scatta
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
H Pitts
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
2
Lady Blake
Jockey
J J Radosevich
Trainer
J E Baker
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
6
Theprincessfactor
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
S M Asmussen
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Post Time12:48 PM CT
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Carol's Melody exits a sharp 88 figure win and has the field's best speed rating of 85 — the question is whether Ashkenazi at 15-1 can improve off a troubled trip last out.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.2%
Price horse: Ashkenazi (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Carol's Melody
G Saez
E N Foster
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
76.4
 Top Pick
3 Mascara
C A Torres
R Diodoro
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
72.7
  
7 Up the Creek
F Arrieta
M Williams
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
72.2
  
4 Ashkenazi
M Gutierrez
R Hiles
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
70.5
 Value Play
9 Turkish Pistachio
S Pauly
G Garcia
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
70.4
  
6 Split Success
A Cedillo
M A Shirer
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
69.9
  
11 Wild Acclaim
B Curtis
S M Asmussen
 12/1
8
★★★★☆
68.3
  
1 Final Shipman
R Bejarano
D Jacobson
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
68.0
  
5 Pulstar
A Achard
M A Howard
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
67.6
  
10 Tiz in Sight
D Sheehy
C A Hartman
 4/1
7
★★★★☆
66.1
  
8 Magic Seeker
C A Emigh
B A Vanden Berg
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
62.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Carol's Melody
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
E N Foster
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.4
Post · Horse
3
Mascara
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Diodoro
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.7
Post · Horse
7
Up the Creek
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M Williams
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.2
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Ashkenazi
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
R Hiles
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse
9
Turkish Pistachio
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
G Garcia
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
Post · Horse
6
Split Success
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
M A Shirer
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.9
Post · Horse
11
Wild Acclaim
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
S M Asmussen
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
1
Final Shipman
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D Jacobson
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.0
Post · Horse
5
Pulstar
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
M A Howard
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse
10
Tiz in Sight
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
C A Hartman
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse
8
Magic Seeker
Jockey
C A Emigh
Trainer
B A Vanden Berg
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:16 PM CT
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Arthur's Court has the best recent speed figure of 83 and a 91.2 speed rating on turf — the question is whether Kamaina Cruiser at 20-1 can overcome a long layoff and hit the board.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 11.0%
Price horse: Kamaina Cruiser (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Arthur's Court
B Curtis
A Shorter
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
73.4
 Top Pick
6 You Belong Here
G Saez
R Atras
 6/1
13
★★★★☆
72.8
  
8 Game Point
M Gutierrez
M P Sims
 5/1
11
★★★★☆
70.7
  
4 Kamaina Cruiser
D Sheehy
K Wittek
 20/1
11
★★★★☆
70.1
 Value Play
11 One Mor Story
A Beschizza
L Wiggins
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
69.1
 Longshot
10 Higginsville
E Morales
C A Hartman
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
66.2
  
1 Protective
A Achard
M A Howard
 6/1
7
★★★★☆
63.7
  
3 Casa Cielo
Y Hazlewood
W A Ward
 4/1
6
★★★★☆
61.7
  
12 Extravagant Prince
O Villarreal
W P McCall III
 20/1
6
★★★★☆
60.3
  
7 Dr Fenn
J Graham
T D Vance
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
57.8
  
5 Mister Positivity
S Pauly
E N Foster
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
56.5
  
9 Blue Coast
W Antongeorgi III
G F House
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
52.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Arthur's Court
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
A Shorter
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.4
Post · Horse
6
You Belong Here
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
R Atras
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.8
Post · Horse
8
Game Point
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
M P Sims
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.7
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Kamaina Cruiser
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
K Wittek
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse Longshot
11
One Mor Story
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
L Wiggins
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
10
Higginsville
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
C A Hartman
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
1
Protective
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
M A Howard
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse
3
Casa Cielo
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
W A Ward
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
Post · Horse
12
Extravagant Prince
Jockey
O Villarreal
Trainer
W P McCall III
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
Post · Horse
7
Dr Fenn
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
T D Vance
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
5
Mister Positivity
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E N Foster
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse
9
Blue Coast
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
G F House
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Post Time1:44 PM CT
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Lady Law has the field's best recent speed figure of 80 and a 77.5 speed rating — the question is whether Fraud Alert at 30-1 can improve enough off a poor last start to upset.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.7%
Price horse: Fraud Alert (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Lady Law
L Machado
W B Calhoun
 5/1
18
★★★★☆
68.7
 Top Pick
1 Twinklee
E Morales
W M Catalano
 7/2
16
★★★★☆
67.0
  
9 Sweet Reward
A Concepcion
W I Mott
 4/1
15
★★★★☆
65.5
  
6 She's Our Girl
B Curtis
P Eurton
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
64.3
  
4 Babysitter
H L Hoskins
J A Ortiz
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.7
 Longshot
8 Skyforge
Y Hazlewood
S M Asmussen
 9/2
8
★★★☆☆
57.1
  
7 Fraud Alert
M Garcia
R L Morse
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
56.8
 Value Play
3 Ile de La Cite
D Cannon
B P Walsh
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
55.7
  
5 Alesiamae
G Saez
J Sharp
 15/1
3
★★★☆☆
43.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Lady Law
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
W B Calhoun
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse
1
Twinklee
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
W M Catalano
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
9
Sweet Reward
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W I Mott
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
6
She's Our Girl
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
P Eurton
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Babysitter
Jockey
H L Hoskins
Trainer
J A Ortiz
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse
8
Skyforge
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
S M Asmussen
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Fraud Alert
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
R L Morse
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse
3
Ile de La Cite
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
B P Walsh
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.7
Post · Horse
5
Alesiamae
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
J Sharp
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:12 PM CT
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Elegant Evelyn has the top rating of 67.59 in a debut-heavy field — the question is whether Crack On at 12-1 can overcome a troubled trip last out and win at first asking on turf.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.0%
Price horse: Crack On (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Elegant Evelyn
A Concepcion
B P Walsh
 8/1
16
★★★★☆
67.6
 Top Pick
3 Crack On
D Sheehy
J Corrigan
 12/1
13
★★★★☆
65.3
 Value Play
1 Homeawayfromhome
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
61.4
  
9 Into Fashion
A Achard
R Mott
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
60.5
  
5 Epic Fashionista
F Arrieta
M E Casse
 7/2
8
★★★☆☆
57.7
  
7 Glycogen
Y Hazlewood
J C Servis
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
56.5
  
11 Kissed You Anyway
D Machado
P Matejka
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
55.9
  
6 Never Gonna Stop
M Garcia
N W Casse
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
55.0
  
8 Lady Maximum
G Corrales
S Donjuan
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
12 Heart of a Gunner
L Machado
E Kenneally
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
52.6
  
4 Aria Thunder
J Rocco, Jr.
N G Goodwin
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.7
  
10 Syrax
C A Torres
I R Wilkes
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Elegant Evelyn
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
B P Walsh
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Crack On
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Corrigan
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
1
Homeawayfromhome
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.4
Post · Horse
9
Into Fashion
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
R Mott
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
5
Epic Fashionista
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M E Casse
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
7
Glycogen
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
J C Servis
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse
11
Kissed You Anyway
Jockey
D Machado
Trainer
P Matejka
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse
6
Never Gonna Stop
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
N W Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.0
Post · Horse
8
Lady Maximum
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
S Donjuan
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse
12
Heart of a Gunner
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
E Kenneally
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
Post · Horse
4
Aria Thunder
Jockey
J Rocco, Jr.
Trainer
N G Goodwin
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
10
Syrax
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
I R Wilkes
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Post Time2:42 PM CT
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Cruisin in Harmony has the top rating of 85.11 and a recent win — the question is whether Sr Seventyone at 8-1 can overcome a two-month layoff and challenge in the stakes.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 19.2%
Price horse: Sr Seventyone (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Cruisin in Harmony
V Lara
H E Lynch
 5/1
23
★★★★★
85.1
 Top Pick
2 Sweet Mary
F Arrieta
C Santamaria
 4/1
16
★★★★☆
79.5
  
3 Sr Seventyone
C Stoddard
C Anderson
 8/1
15
★★★★☆
78.4
 Value Play
1 Crowning Victoria
B Curtis
S M Asmussen
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
77.3
  
6 Indigyat
V Lebron
K Danner
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
74.2
  
7 Glory Run
A Achard
J Ennis
 3/1
9
★★★★☆
71.4
  
5 Estardotoo
A Concepcion
J Zawitz
 9/2
8
★★★★☆
68.5
  
4 Techwerkian
S Pauly
R Hernandez
 10/1
5
★★★★☆
62.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Cruisin in Harmony
Jockey
V Lara
Trainer
H E Lynch
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★★ 85.1
Post · Horse
2
Sweet Mary
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
C Santamaria
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.5
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Sr Seventyone
Jockey
C Stoddard
Trainer
C Anderson
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.4
Post · Horse
1
Crowning Victoria
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
S M Asmussen
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.3
Post · Horse
6
Indigyat
Jockey
V Lebron
Trainer
K Danner
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.2
Post · Horse
7
Glory Run
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse
5
Estardotoo
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Zawitz
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse
4
Techwerkian
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
R Hernandez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:12 PM CT
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Twirling Claire has the top rating of 75.8 and a recent speed figure of 86 — the question is whether Fancy Fascinator at 15-1 can improve off a troubled trip and hit the board.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.0%
Price horse: Fancy Fascinator (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Twirling Claire
E Morales
G D Foley
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
76.1
 Top Pick
6 True Passion
M Garcia
L Briley
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
75.8
  
3 Fancy Fascinator
S Pauly
E Moger, Jr.
 15/1
11
★★★★☆
72.9
 Value Play
2 Mechaya
R Bejarano
J P DiVito
 7/2
10
★★★★☆
71.8
  
5 Briland
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
70.5
  
8 Lucy McGee
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
69.4
  
7 My Sweetheart
C A Torres
M E Casse
 5/1
7
★★★★☆
66.7
  
11 Lit Ship
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 4/1
7
★★★★☆
66.4
  
9 Bourbon Notes
F Arrieta
I R Wilkes
 10/1
7
★★★★☆
65.3
  
4 Storm Cloud Rising
G Corrales
A Cambray
 50/1
6
★★★★☆
62.4
  
10 Vinno Ronnie
G Saez
T D Vance
 50/1
5
★★★★☆
61.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Twirling Claire
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
G D Foley
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.1
Post · Horse
6
True Passion
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
L Briley
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.8
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Fancy Fascinator
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E Moger, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.9
Post · Horse
2
Mechaya
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
J P DiVito
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.8
Post · Horse
5
Briland
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse
8
Lucy McGee
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse
7
My Sweetheart
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
M E Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
11
Lit Ship
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.4
Post · Horse
9
Bourbon Notes
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
I R Wilkes
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
4
Storm Cloud Rising
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
A Cambray
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse
10
Vinno Ronnie
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
T D Vance
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Post Time3:42 PM CT
Field Size15
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Lily's Revenge has the top rating of 67.4 and a recent speed figure of 66 — the question is whether Respected Mind at 20-1 can overcome a long layoff and improve enough to upset.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 9.4%
Price horse: Respected Mind (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Respected Mind
G Saez
C D Pomier
 20/1
11
★★★★☆
68.5
 Value Play
14 Lily's Revenge
V R Carrasco
E Caramori
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
67.7
 Top Pick
4 Pretty Patriotic
C A Torres
T Drury, Jr.
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
66.7
  
10 Countthetrue
V R Carrasco
W M Catalano
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
66.4
  
11 Starfinder
A Cedillo
P Miller
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
64.6
  
6 Grace Marie
L Machado
B H Cox
 6/1
8
★★★★☆
62.6
  
1 Doctor Approved
A Concepcion
W B Calhoun
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
62.1
  
13 Crazy Hot Mess
A Espinoza
P Miller
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
59.4
  
3 Sweet Venture
F Arrieta
E Kenneally
 4/1
5
★★★☆☆
57.3
  
15 Today Isa Gift
J Graham
J K Desormeaux
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
56.3
  
5 Measurement
A Beschizza
J E Baker
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.6
  
7 For the Win
D Cannon
G Weaver
 5/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.2
  
2 Marblehead
Y Hazlewood
J C Servis
 8/1
4
★★★☆☆
54.1
  
12 Phantom Fire
S Pauly
E Moger, Jr.
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
9 Going Shopping
E Morales
C A Hartman
 30/1
1
★★☆☆☆
30.4
  
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Respected Mind
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
C D Pomier
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse Top Pick
14
Lily's Revenge
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
E Caramori
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
4
Pretty Patriotic
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
T Drury, Jr.
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
10
Countthetrue
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
W M Catalano
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.4
Post · Horse
11
Starfinder
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
P Miller
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
6
Grace Marie
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B H Cox
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
1
Doctor Approved
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W B Calhoun
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
13
Crazy Hot Mess
Jockey
A Espinoza
Trainer
P Miller
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
Post · Horse
3
Sweet Venture
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E Kenneally
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
Post · Horse
15
Today Isa Gift
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse
5
Measurement
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J E Baker
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse
7
For the Win
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
G Weaver
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.2
Post · Horse
2
Marblehead
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
J C Servis
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.1
Post · Horse
12
Phantom Fire
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E Moger, Jr.
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse
9
Going Shopping
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
C A Hartman
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 30.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 15-horse field.
  Go Pro