Curated Betting Card

Ellis Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 3.

2026-07-17 Race 3 Morning Card
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Card signals
Ellis Park · full board
Strongest play
R3
Right and Tight #2
Top conf.
Best value
R5
Silverback
30/1 ML
Best longshot
R1
Vivis in Front #6
20/1 ML
Deepest field
R6
14 runners
14
Pace race
R1
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Ellis Park opens with a card heavy on maiden and claiming races, where wide-open fields point to small-stake exotic coverage rather than straight win bets. Baffert's Salahudin stands out in the fifth as the most likely winner, while several races feature longshot angles like Vivis in Front and Silverback that offer price value. Turf races in the sixth and ninth add pace and surface variables that reward careful coverage underneath favorites. Practical play centers on ordered exactas and restrained trifectas in the chaos fields.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
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Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Post Time11:50 AM CT
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Nanzig carries the highest win probability in this nine-horse maiden claimer after a pair of recent starts at Churchill and Indiana, yet Vivis in Front sits at 20-1 morning line despite a solid class rating of 72 and a sharp recent workout pattern.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.7%
Price horse: Vivis in Front (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Nanzig
F Arrieta
A Navarrete
 4/1
17
★★★★☆
64.8
 Top Pick
8 Olympic Star
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 7/2
14
★★★★☆
61.6
  
5 Command the Stars
C A Torres
S J Cunningham
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
61.5
  
6 Vivis in Front
J Graham
J L Hancock
 20/1
13
★★★★☆
60.7
 Value Play
2 Nola Louise
E Morales
T Newton
 12/1
11
★★★☆☆
58.2
  
3 Diagram
A Concepcion
W B Calhoun
 5/1
11
★★★☆☆
57.8
  
4 Haywinii
L Machado
B Colebrook
 9/2
8
★★★☆☆
54.1
  
1 Diamond Tiara
M Meeks
B Williamson
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
9 Hollypop
R Bejarano
D F O'Neill
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
46.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Nanzig
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
A Navarrete
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse
8
Olympic Star
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
Post · Horse
5
Command the Stars
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
S J Cunningham
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Vivis in Front
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J L Hancock
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse
2
Nola Louise
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
T Newton
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.2
Post · Horse
3
Diagram
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W B Calhoun
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
4
Haywinii
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.1
Post · Horse
1
Diamond Tiara
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
B Williamson
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse
9
Hollypop
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D F O'Neill
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Post Time12:19 PM CT
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Protomagic tops the field with a 73.34 rating and recent runner-up efforts at Churchill, but Progeny at 12-1 morning line shows a 91.2 speed rating that the market has overlooked.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.4%
Price horse: Progeny (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (9 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Protomagic
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 4/1
16
★★★★☆
73.3
 Top Pick
5 Story Hour
C A Torres
R Medina
 8/1
15
★★★★☆
73.0
 Longshot
8 Liuzza
E Morales
T Newton
 5/2
14
★★★★☆
71.6
  
4 Talkin in Cursive
J A Torres
M A Shirer
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
68.7
  
6 Progeny
R Bejarano
J G Cook
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
68.5
 Value Play
3 Mombayla
J D Ramos
I Bahena
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
68.3
  
7 Swiftwind
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
67.2
  
2 Lady Dreamer
M Garcia
L Briley
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
66.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Protomagic
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.3
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Story Hour
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Medina
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.0
Post · Horse
8
Liuzza
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
T Newton
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.6
Post · Horse
4
Talkin in Cursive
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
M A Shirer
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Progeny
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
J G Cook
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse
3
Mombayla
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
I Bahena
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
7
Swiftwind
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.2
Post · Horse
2
Lady Dreamer
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
L Briley
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Post Time12:48 PM CT
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Right and Tight leads with a 68.06 rating and strong recent form at Turf Paradise, while Crevalla de Vil at 12-1 morning line brings a 67.5 speed rating that could surprise in this eight-horse field.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 18.1%
Price horse: Crevalla de Vil (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (9 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Right and Tight
E A Roman
F Lucarelli
 6/1
20
★★★★☆
68.1
 Top Pick
8 Muriel Sax
J D Ramos
I Bahena
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
63.6
  
7 She's Gotta Go
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
62.1
  
3 Noroomformischief
D Sheehy
J Ennis
 9/2
13
★★★★☆
61.8
  
5 Crevalla de Vil
C A Torres
A Shorter
 12/1
12
★★★☆☆
59.9
 Value Play
1 Heavenly Mary
A Cedillo
R Medina
 4/1
11
★★★☆☆
59.4
  
6 Raised
Y Hazlewood
R Moquett
 5/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.1
  
4 Perpetua
B J Hernandez, Jr.
T Drury, Jr.
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
51.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Right and Tight
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
F Lucarelli
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
Post · Horse
8
Muriel Sax
Jockey
J D Ramos
Trainer
I Bahena
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse
7
She's Gotta Go
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
3
Noroomformischief
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Ennis
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Crevalla de Vil
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
A Shorter
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
1
Heavenly Mary
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
R Medina
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
Post · Horse
6
Raised
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
R Moquett
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse
4
Perpetua
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
T Drury, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
Post Time1:16 PM CT
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Lexi's Melody tops the ten-horse field with a 68.8 rating and recent runner-up effort, yet Bright Lady Day at 20-1 morning line shows a 72.5 speed rating that creates a clear price angle.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 11.5%
Price horse: Bright Lady Day (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (9 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Lexi's Melody
E Morales
N Troiani
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
71.0
 Top Pick
6 Foolish Front Fifi
J Graham
J L Hancock
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
66.7
 Longshot
1 Prince of Broadway
F Arrieta
L Rice
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
66.6
  
5 Quinn's Promise
B J Hernandez, Jr.
K LaRose
 5/2
11
★★★★☆
66.2
  
3 Go Go Playmate
J A Torres
L Rice
 5/1
10
★★★★☆
65.7
  
8 Warm Up the Bus
D Sheehy
M A Tomlinson
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
65.4
  
2 Cloud Number Nine
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
65.3
  
9 Ducat
A Beschizza
S A Kurtz
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
62.9
  
7 Nightmare Fuel
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
62.1
  
4 Bright Lady Day
H L Hoskins
C J Jackson
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
59.3
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
Lexi's Melody
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
N Troiani
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Foolish Front Fifi
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J L Hancock
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
1
Prince of Broadway
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
L Rice
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
Post · Horse
5
Quinn's Promise
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
K LaRose
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
3
Go Go Playmate
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
L Rice
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.7
Post · Horse
8
Warm Up the Bus
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M A Tomlinson
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse
2
Cloud Number Nine
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
9
Ducat
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
S A Kurtz
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
7
Nightmare Fuel
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Bright Lady Day
Jockey
H L Hoskins
Trainer
C J Jackson
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
Post Time1:44 PM CT
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Salahudin enters with a 73.75 rating for Baffert in this ten-horse maiden special weight, but Silverback at 30-1 morning line carries a 90 form rating that creates the day's clearest longshot angle.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.8%
Price horse: Silverback (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Salahudin
F Geroux
B Baffert
 3/1
22
★★★★☆
73.8
 Top Pick
3 Jokester
D Cannon
G Weaver
 9/2
17
★★★★☆
69.8
  
6 Radnor Lake
L Machado
B H Cox
 7/2
13
★★★★☆
66.5
  
4 Silverback
B Curtis
J Sharp
 30/1
12
★★★★☆
64.9
 Value Play
8 Round Up
F Arrieta
E N Foster
 30/1
9
★★★★☆
60.5
  
2 Windsock
C A Torres
R Brisset
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
58.1
  
9 Toledo Bend
E Morales
J A Ortiz
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
55.6
  
7 Mid American
Y Hazlewood
J P DiVito
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.1
  
1 Hickory
A Concepcion
C DeVaux
 5/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.2
  
5 Mo Misery
A Cedillo
R Medina
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
46.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
Salahudin
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B Baffert
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.8
Post · Horse
3
Jokester
Jockey
D Cannon
Trainer
G Weaver
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse
6
Radnor Lake
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B H Cox
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Silverback
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
J Sharp
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse
8
Round Up
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E N Foster
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
2
Windsock
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
Post · Horse
9
Toledo Bend
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J A Ortiz
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse
7
Mid American
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
J P DiVito
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
Post · Horse
1
Hickory
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
C DeVaux
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse
5
Mo Misery
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
R Medina
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:12 PM CT
Field Size14
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Step Forward leads this fourteen-horse turf maiden with a 76.2 rating and recent win at Churchill, while Rose Ruler at 5-1 morning line brings a 96.7 form rating that keeps it live in a wide-open field.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 8.3%
Price horse: Rose Ruler (5/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (5 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Step Forward
A Concepcion
M E Casse
 7/2
11
★★★★☆
79.4
 Top Pick
2 Rose Ruler
D Sheehy
J Ennis
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
76.3
 Value Play
13 Initialize
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
76.2
 Longshot
7 First Resort
B Curtis
E G Harty
 3/1
8
★★★★☆
74.7
  
10 Schwarzmeier
J A Torres
P Eurton
 4/1
7
★★★★☆
74.1
  
14 Alder
R Bejarano
D Jacobson
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
73.9
  
3 Secret Chat
F De La Cruz
B C Barnett
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
73.9
  
11 Doctor Jeff
A Concepcion
K Magee
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
73.6
  
4 Mister Mmmmm
G Corrales
S Donjuan
 10/1
7
★★★★☆
73.1
  
12 Big Boat
R Bejarano
J P DiVito
 10/1
7
★★★★☆
72.8
  
5 Moon Sniper
F Geroux
D Miller
 8/1
6
★★★★☆
69.7
  
8 Mischievous Rogue
C A Emigh
B A Vanden Berg
 8/1
6
★★★★☆
69.5
  
1 Knicks Glory
A Mendoza
D Stewart
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
68.8
  
9 Hogie the Player
W Antongeorgi III
T S Wismer
 30/1
5
★★★★☆
68.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Step Forward
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
M E Casse
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.4
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Rose Ruler
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Ennis
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.3
Post · Horse Longshot
13
Initialize
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.2
Post · Horse
7
First Resort
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
E G Harty
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.7
Post · Horse
10
Schwarzmeier
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
P Eurton
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.1
Post · Horse
14
Alder
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D Jacobson
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.9
Post · Horse
3
Secret Chat
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
B C Barnett
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.9
Post · Horse
11
Doctor Jeff
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
K Magee
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.6
Post · Horse
4
Mister Mmmmm
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
S Donjuan
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.1
Post · Horse
12
Big Boat
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
J P DiVito
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.8
Post · Horse
5
Moon Sniper
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
D Miller
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse
8
Mischievous Rogue
Jockey
C A Emigh
Trainer
B A Vanden Berg
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
1
Knicks Glory
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
D Stewart
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
Post · Horse
9
Hogie the Player
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
T S Wismer
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Post Time2:42 PM CT
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Highly Flammable tops the eight-horse field with a 75.5 rating and recent runner-up efforts, yet Tripp's Promise at 15-1 morning line shows a 91.2 speed rating that creates a strong price play.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.9%
Price horse: Tripp's Promise (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Highly Flammable
G Corrales
S Donjuan
 6/1
16
★★★★☆
78.6
 Top Pick
5 Ghazaaly
R Bejarano
D Jacobson
 2/1
16
★★★★☆
77.9
  
8 Speedstorm
B Curtis
R Moquett
 5/1
15
★★★★☆
77.1
  
2 Wonder Mist
Y Hazlewood
W A Ward
 7/2
14
★★★★☆
75.8
  
3 Tripp's Promise
M Garcia
D L Romans
 15/1
12
★★★★☆
73.9
 Value Play
6 Tom Cat Tuesday
E Morales
G Garcia
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
72.7
  
1 Spellmaker
R Arrieta
H Irion
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
69.4
  
7 Map to the Stars
F Arrieta
A Hernandez
 6/1
7
★★★★☆
66.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Highly Flammable
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
S Donjuan
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.6
Post · Horse
5
Ghazaaly
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D Jacobson
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.9
Post · Horse
8
Speedstorm
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
R Moquett
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.1
Post · Horse
2
Wonder Mist
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
W A Ward
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.8
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Tripp's Promise
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
D L Romans
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.9
Post · Horse
6
Tom Cat Tuesday
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
G Garcia
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.7
Post · Horse
1
Spellmaker
Jockey
R Arrieta
Trainer
H Irion
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse
7
Map to the Stars
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
A Hernandez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:12 PM CT
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Telescopic leads this eleven-horse turf maiden with a 76.58 rating and recent runner-up at Churchill, while Jus Too Fly at 50-1 morning line carries a 75.2 form rating that creates the day's biggest price angle.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.4%
Price horse: Jus Too Fly (50/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Telescopic
A Concepcion
V H Oliver
 5/2
14
★★★★☆
76.6
 Top Pick
10 Royal Guard
F Geroux
B H Cox
 2/1
13
★★★★☆
76.2
  
4 Rapoport
Y Hazlewood
M J Maker
 10/1
13
★★★★☆
75.3
 Longshot
6 My Boy Tony
F Arrieta
E Kenneally
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
72.8
  
1 Jus Too Fly
W Antongeorgi III
A Decker
 50/1
9
★★★★☆
70.9
 Value Play
9 Lazlo
F De La Cruz
M J Maker
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
70.7
  
11 Kicking Clear
J Graham
S A Kurtz
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
67.4
  
5 Taunting
A Beschizza
J E Baker
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
65.7
  
3 King of Ashes
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
65.0
  
7 Theodore George
D Sheehy
M W McCarthy
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
64.6
  
8 Devil Anse
A Cedillo
R D Walsh
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
58.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Telescopic
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
V H Oliver
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.6
Post · Horse
10
Royal Guard
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B H Cox
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.2
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Rapoport
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
M J Maker
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.3
Post · Horse
6
My Boy Tony
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E Kenneally
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.8
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Jus Too Fly
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
A Decker
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.9
Post · Horse
9
Lazlo
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
M J Maker
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.7
Post · Horse
11
Kicking Clear
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
S A Kurtz
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.4
Post · Horse
5
Taunting
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J E Baker
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.7
Post · Horse
3
King of Ashes
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
7
Theodore George
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M W McCarthy
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
8
Devil Anse
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
R D Walsh
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:42 PM CT
Field Size14
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Dismiss tops the fourteen-horse turf maiden special weight with a 72.45 rating and recent runner-up efforts, while Dontworryboutnothn at 4-1 morning line brings a 85 speed rating that keeps it live underneath.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 11.4%
Price horse: Dontworryboutnothn (4/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
14 Dismiss
M Gutierrez
P Matejka
 5/2
13
★★★★☆
72.5
 Top Pick
1 Mr. Vaggio
V R Carrasco
J A Hancock
 10/1
13
★★★★☆
72.4
 Longshot
12 Dontworryboutnothn
Y Hazlewood
D Jacobson
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
71.8
 Value Play
3 Thunder Appeal
Y Hazlewood
W A Ward
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
71.8
  
5 Zap d'Etat
F De La Cruz
G F House
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
66.2
  
8 Grande Sorpreso
F Arrieta
I R Wilkes
 7/2
8
★★★★☆
65.5
  
2 Quintillion
A Beschizza
D Miller
 6/1
7
★★★★☆
62.9
  
11 Final Countdown
A Bendezu
R Pompell
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
58.1
  
9 Hodl Hard
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 9/2
4
★★★☆☆
54.7
  
7 Smooth Transition
J A Torres
J C Servis
 8/1
4
★★★☆☆
54.2
  
13 Blessed Town
W Antongeorgi III
T S Wismer
 6/1
4
★★★☆☆
53.5
  
6 No Politics
D Sheehy
M Lovell
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
52.6
  
4 Hank's Tune
S Pauly
E N Foster
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
48.6
  
10 Tour Pro
M Gutierrez
S L Anderson
 15/1
2
★★★☆☆
46.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
14
Dismiss
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
P Matejka
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Mr. Vaggio
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
J A Hancock
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.4
Post · Horse Value Play
12
Dontworryboutnothn
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
D Jacobson
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.8
Post · Horse
3
Thunder Appeal
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
W A Ward
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.8
Post · Horse
5
Zap d'Etat
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
G F House
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
8
Grande Sorpreso
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
I R Wilkes
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
2
Quintillion
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
D Miller
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
11
Final Countdown
Jockey
A Bendezu
Trainer
R Pompell
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
Post · Horse
9
Hodl Hard
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
7
Smooth Transition
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J C Servis
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.2
Post · Horse
13
Blessed Town
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
T S Wismer
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
Post · Horse
6
No Politics
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M Lovell
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
Post · Horse
4
Hank's Tune
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E N Foster
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
10
Tour Pro
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
S L Anderson
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
  Go Pro