Curated Betting Card

Ellis Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 5.

2026-07-18 Race 5 Morning Card
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This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Ellis Park · full board
Strongest play
R1
Define #7
Top conf.
Best value
R7
Taqdeer
12/1 ML
Best longshot
R6
Zat's the One #2
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R3
12 runners
12
Card Overview
Race day summary
Ellis Park opens with several maiden events that lack prior form, producing pass recommendations in races 3, 5, 6 and 7. Playable races cluster around top-rated runners such as Define, Valentine Eve, Skyro and Banishing where small-stake win and exacta coverage is advised. Value angles surface in races 1, 2, 4 and 9 where second choices sit at fair morning-line odds relative to their ratings. The card favors selective exacta part-wheels over broad coverage given tight rating clusters in most live races.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
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Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time11:50 AM CT
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Define opens as the 2-1 morning-line choice with the field's highest speed rating of 65.2, yet Determined Dancer sits only 1.1 rating points behind and draws the inside post. The question is whether Define can translate that narrow edge into a front-running score or if Determined Dancer's rail trip produces the upset.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.4%
Price horse: Determined Dancer (5/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Define
D Sheehy
B P Walsh
 2/1
24
★★★★☆
60.0
 Top Pick
2 Determined Dancer
A Concepcion
C DeVaux
 5/2
22
★★★☆☆
58.9
 Value Play
3 She's On a Roll
C A Torres
S E Shaffer
 9/2
14
★★★☆☆
52.2
  
5 Cearnach
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
 5/1
12
★★★☆☆
49.2
  
6 Eleonora
F Arrieta
E Kenneally
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
47.7
  
4 Ibis
J A Torres
R Mott
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
45.6
 Longshot
1 Evie's Eyebrows
C E Franca
R Isbell, Jr.
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
42.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Define
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
B P Walsh
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.0
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Determined Dancer
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
C DeVaux
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.9
Post · Horse
3
She's On a Roll
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
S E Shaffer
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.2
Post · Horse
5
Cearnach
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
Post · Horse
6
Eleonora
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E Kenneally
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Ibis
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Mott
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.6
Post · Horse
1
Evie's Eyebrows
Jockey
C E Franca
Trainer
R Isbell, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Post Time12:19 PM CT
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Valentine Eve draws post 10 with the highest rating at 60.18 but must overcome the outside post against a field that includes Tiz Candy at 4/1 morning line. The race turns on whether the Asmussen runner can clear the field early or if Tiz Candy closes the gap late.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.3%
Price horse: Tiz Candy (4/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Valentine Eve
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 2/1
23
★★★★☆
60.2
 Top Pick
7 Tiz Candy
F Arrieta
E Kenneally
 4/1
13
★★★☆☆
51.4
 Value Play
1 Mo Town Foxy Brown
A Mendoza
G Garcia
 9/2
12
★★★☆☆
50.2
  
3 Bride
W Antongeorgi III
T D Vance
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
47.6
  
8 Southern Way
C A Torres
R Brisset
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.2
 Longshot
9 Going Shopping
E Morales
C A Hartman
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.2
  
4 Youhadme At Merlot
D Sheehy
J Ennis
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
42.4
  
5 First Glance
G Saez
L Briley
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
42.4
  
2 Bevi Wins
S Pauly
E Moger, Jr.
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.4
  
6 Dama Diamante
V R Carrasco
T Humphries
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
Valentine Eve
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.2
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Tiz Candy
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E Kenneally
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse
1
Mo Town Foxy Brown
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse
3
Bride
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
T D Vance
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Southern Way
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.2
Post · Horse
9
Going Shopping
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
C A Hartman
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.2
Post · Horse
4
Youhadme At Merlot
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Ennis
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.4
Post · Horse
5
First Glance
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
L Briley
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.4
Post · Horse
2
Bevi Wins
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E Moger, Jr.
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.4
Post · Horse
6
Dama Diamante
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
T Humphries
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Post Time12:48 PM CT
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
McKinsense tops the field at 57.05 but the race is loaded with first-time starters that carry no workout or race data. The central question is whether any of the debut runners can overcome the lack of evidence at the windows.
PASS
No play — Debut-heavy field without enough workout/race evidence or a clear morning-line clue
Top win chance: 14.0%
Price horse: D Bigalow (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 McKinsense
R Bejarano
R L Morse
 5/2
17
★★★☆☆
57.0
 Top Pick
3 D Bigalow
C A Torres
D Fawkes
 7/2
13
★★★☆☆
52.9
 Value Play
2 Wingfoot
J A Torres
L Rice
 9/2
11
★★★☆☆
50.2
  
10 Stone County
F Arrieta
D G Heath
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
45.6
 Longshot
13 Feed Me the Rock
L Machado
R Brisset
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
45.6
  
1 Maximum Honor
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
43.3
  
4 Telecaster
W Antongeorgi III
H Holsapple
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
43.3
  
5 Jem's Hershey Kiss
E Morales
G D Foley
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.4
  
12 Major Mack
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.4
  
7 Apostles Creed
G Corrales
J Jazdzewski
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
40.4
  
8 Activity
G Saez
G Esquivel
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
40.4
  
9 Sir Vincent
J Graham
J L Hancock
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
40.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
McKinsense
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
R L Morse
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse Value Play
3
D Bigalow
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
D Fawkes
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse
2
Wingfoot
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
L Rice
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Stone County
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
D G Heath
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.6
Post · Horse
13
Feed Me the Rock
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
R Brisset
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.6
Post · Horse
1
Maximum Honor
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.3
Post · Horse
4
Telecaster
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
H Holsapple
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.3
Post · Horse
5
Jem's Hershey Kiss
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
G D Foley
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.4
Post · Horse
12
Major Mack
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.4
Post · Horse
7
Apostles Creed
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
J Jazdzewski
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.4
Post · Horse
8
Activity
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
G Esquivel
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.4
Post · Horse
9
Sir Vincent
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J L Hancock
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Post Time1:16 PM CT
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Skyro draws post 5 with the field's top rating of 60.75 and 24.9% win probability, yet Time for Truth lurks inside at a 13-point rating deficit. The race hinges on whether Skyro can hold off the inside challenge or if the pace sets up for a late runner.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 20.1%
Price horse: Seize the Night (3/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Skyro
J Graham
C A Hartman
 2/1
25
★★★★☆
60.8
 Top Pick
6 Seize the Night
R Bejarano
C Contreras
 3/1
17
★★★☆☆
55.0
 Value Play
1 Time for Truth
B J Hernandez, Jr.
L Wiggins
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
47.5
  
7 I Don't Get It
E Morales
J Blair
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
45.3
 Longshot
2 Fort Sam
C A Torres
D Fawkes
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
43.9
  
4 Groveland
F Arrieta
E Kenneally
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
43.9
  
8 Real Macho
A Cedillo
M A Shirer
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
43.9
  
9 Osbourne
J A Torres
L Rice
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
43.9
  
3 Dai Vernon
A Concepcion
C A David
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
40.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Skyro
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
C A Hartman
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Seize the Night
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
C Contreras
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.0
Post · Horse
1
Time for Truth
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
L Wiggins
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.5
Post · Horse Longshot
7
I Don't Get It
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J Blair
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.3
Post · Horse
2
Fort Sam
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
D Fawkes
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
4
Groveland
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E Kenneally
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
8
Real Macho
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
M A Shirer
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
9
Osbourne
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
L Rice
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
3
Dai Vernon
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
C A David
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:44 PM CT
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Lucky Bernadine tops the field at 54.63 but the race is dominated by first-time starters with no recorded workouts. The question is whether any runner can establish a reliable form line before the gates open.
PASS
No play — Debut-heavy field without enough workout/race evidence or a clear morning-line clue
Top win chance: 13.7%
Price horse: Peace Mission (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Lucky Bernadine
L Machado
B H Cox
 3/1
16
★★★☆☆
54.6
 Top Pick
5 Peace Mission
A Concepcion
M E Casse
 7/2
14
★★★☆☆
52.8
 Value Play
2 Up Before the Dawn
Y Hazlewood
K Danner
 5/1
12
★★★☆☆
51.2
  
8 Bit Tipsy
V R Carrasco
E Caramori
 9/2
12
★★★☆☆
50.2
  
3 Just You and Me
D Sheehy
V H Oliver
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
47.6
 Longshot
1 Marigold Run
C A Torres
N Vaccarezza
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
46.3
  
6 Cyber Gal
J A Torres
R Mott
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.3
  
9 Silverwing
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
43.4
  
10 Shiftyindependence
M Garcia
P Matejka
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
42.5
  
4 Lady Maximum
G Corrales
S Donjuan
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
40.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Lucky Bernadine
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B H Cox
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.6
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Peace Mission
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
M E Casse
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
2
Up Before the Dawn
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
K Danner
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.2
Post · Horse
8
Bit Tipsy
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
E Caramori
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Just You and Me
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
V H Oliver
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
Post · Horse
1
Marigold Run
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
N Vaccarezza
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.3
Post · Horse
6
Cyber Gal
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Mott
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.3
Post · Horse
9
Silverwing
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.4
Post · Horse
10
Shiftyindependence
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
P Matejka
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.5
Post · Horse
4
Lady Maximum
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
S Donjuan
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Post Time2:12 PM CT
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Blacksmith draws post 10 with the highest rating at 54.76 but the field is filled with first-time starters. The race turns on whether any runner can produce credible evidence of ability before post time.
PASS
No play — Debut-heavy field without enough workout/race evidence or a clear morning-line clue
Top win chance: 17.7%
Price horse: Demetrius (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Blacksmith
F Geroux
B Baffert
 3/1
20
★★★☆☆
54.8
 Top Pick
5 Penalty Box
D Sheehy
M W McCarthy
 4/1
16
★★★☆☆
51.4
  
1 High Ceiling
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 5/1
14
★★★☆☆
49.2
  
2 Zat's the One
F Arrieta
P D'Amato
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
45.5
 Longshot
11 Very Connected
B J Hernandez, Jr.
K G McPeek
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
45.5
  
6 Timing Difference
L Machado
C A Hartman
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
44.1
  
9 House United
R Bejarano
D Jacobson
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
44.1
  
7 Demetrius
C E Franca
M Frazier
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
40.2
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
Blacksmith
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B Baffert
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.8
Post · Horse
5
Penalty Box
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M W McCarthy
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse
1
High Ceiling
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Zat's the One
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
P D'Amato
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.5
Post · Horse
11
Very Connected
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
K G McPeek
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.5
Post · Horse
6
Timing Difference
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
C A Hartman
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.1
Post · Horse
9
House United
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D Jacobson
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.1
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Demetrius
Jockey
C E Franca
Trainer
M Frazier
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:42 PM CT
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Rojo Rita tops the field at 50.21 but the race is loaded with first-time starters. The question is whether any runner can establish a reliable form line before the gates open.
PASS
No play — Debut-heavy field without enough workout/race evidence or a clear morning-line clue
Top win chance: 18.8%
Price horse: Taqdeer (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Rojo Rita
A Mendoza
D Stewart
 9/2
20
★★★☆☆
50.2
 Top Pick
4 I'm Mo Joke
B J Hernandez, Jr.
J Sharp
 5/1
19
★★★☆☆
49.2
  
2 Don't Say It
D Sheehy
C A Hartman
 6/1
17
★★★☆☆
47.7
  
5 High Fashion Kate
E Morales
J Blair
 6/1
17
★★★☆☆
47.7
  
6 Insightful Miss
F Arrieta
J G Cook
 10/1
14
★★★☆☆
44.4
 Longshot
1 Taqdeer
R Bejarano
D Jacobson
 12/1
13
★★★☆☆
43.5
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Rojo Rita
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
D Stewart
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse
4
I'm Mo Joke
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
J Sharp
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
Post · Horse
2
Don't Say It
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
C A Hartman
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse
5
High Fashion Kate
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J Blair
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Insightful Miss
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
J G Cook
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.4
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Taqdeer
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D Jacobson
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
Typestakes winners (in order I-II-III) then those horses having accumulated the high
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
Post Time3:12 PM CT
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Banishing draws post 4 with the field's top rating of 58.09 and 21.9% win probability. The race turns on whether Banishing can hold off Here Mi Song at 4/1 morning line or if the pace sets up for a late runner like Zero Sugar.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.2%
Price horse: Here Mi Song (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Banishing
F Arrieta
D Jacobson
 5/2
22
★★★☆☆
58.1
 Top Pick
2 Here Mi Song
E Morales
W Stinson, Jr.
 4/1
14
★★★☆☆
51.6
 Value Play
3 Dreaminblue
R Bejarano
R L Morse
 5/1
12
★★★☆☆
49.1
  
5 Track Mate
A Concepcion
G R Arnold II
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
47.3
  
7 Zero Sugar
C A Torres
C Contreras
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
44.9
 Longshot
8 Speed King
Y Hazlewood
R Moquett
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
44.9
  
10 Bourbon Bash
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
44.9
  
1 Echo Again
J A Torres
J Blair
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
41.2
  
9 Dr. Saikali
S Pauly
E Moger, Jr.
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
40.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Banishing
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
D Jacobson
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Here Mi Song
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
W Stinson, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.6
Post · Horse
3
Dreaminblue
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
R L Morse
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
Post · Horse
5
Track Mate
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
G R Arnold II
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.3
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Zero Sugar
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
C Contreras
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.9
Post · Horse
8
Speed King
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
R Moquett
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.9
Post · Horse
10
Bourbon Bash
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.9
Post · Horse
1
Echo Again
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J Blair
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.2
Post · Horse
9
Dr. Saikali
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E Moger, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:42 PM CT
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Spin a Tune draws post 6 with the field's highest rating of 59.88 yet Coco G lurks at an 8.5-point rating deficit and offers a hedge angle. The race turns on whether Spin a Tune can translate the rating edge into a front-running score or if Coco G closes the gap late.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 15.6%
Price horse: Zero Absolute (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Spin a Tune
J A Torres
E G Harty
 2/1
19
★★★☆☆
59.9
 Top Pick
5 Zero Absolute
A Concepcion
P A Bauer
 3/1
13
★★★☆☆
54.6
 Value Play
12 Redhawk Riddler
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 7/2
12
★★★☆☆
52.8
  
9 Coco G
D Sheehy
B P Walsh
 4/1
11
★★★☆☆
51.4
  
3 Toast the Star
E Morales
J A Hancock
 5/1
9
★★★☆☆
49.2
  
7 Liz Knows Best
F Geroux
C Davis
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.7
 Longshot
13 Heitzgirl
R Bejarano
G D Foley
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.5
  
2 Merry An
R Bejarano
W N Howard
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.6
  
11 Conqueress
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
41.6
  
1 Givemethebeat
L Machado
J A Hancock
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
40.7
  
4 Stacking Tens
S Pauly
L Guida
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
40.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Spin a Tune
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
E G Harty
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Zero Absolute
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
P A Bauer
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.6
Post · Horse
12
Redhawk Riddler
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
9
Coco G
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
B P Walsh
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse
3
Toast the Star
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J A Hancock
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Liz Knows Best
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
C Davis
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
13
Heitzgirl
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
G D Foley
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.5
Post · Horse
2
Merry An
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
W N Howard
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.6
Post · Horse
11
Conqueress
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.6
Post · Horse
1
Givemethebeat
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
J A Hancock
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.7
Post · Horse
4
Stacking Tens
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
L Guida
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro