Curated Betting Card

Ellis Park

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2026-07-19 Morning Card
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Ellis Park · full board
Strongest play
R5
Sneakily #1
Top conf.
Best value
R7
Camping Siete
30/1 ML
Best longshot
R1
Dispersion #2
12/1 ML
Deepest field
R9
10 runners
10
Pace race
R2
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Ellis Park opens with a sequence of claiming and maiden events that favor small-stake selective plays over chalk. Races 5 and 8 stand out for usable edges on the top-rated runners, while most others present chaos fields where longshots like Dispersion and Overstatement carry price appeal. Practical angles center on recent speed figures above 80, sharp four-furlong workouts under 49 seconds, and trainer win rates above 20 percent at the meet.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
Post Time11:50 AM CT
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Cant Stop Munnings carries the highest rating at 74.4 off a recent speed figure of 75 at Churchill, yet Dispersion sits at 12/1 with a figure of 80 two back and a 50.40 workout, creating tension over whether the top pair can withstand the late runs from Another Monarch and Impavido.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 16.2%
Price horse: Dispersion (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (6 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Dispersion
F Arrieta
E N Foster
 12/1
18
★★★★☆
74.8
 Value Play
7 Cant Stop Munnings
M Gutierrez
D Leitch
 5/2
18
★★★★☆
74.2
 Top Pick
8 Another Monarch
G Corrales
R B Hess, Jr.
 10/1
16
★★★★☆
72.4
  
1 Good Mojo
B Curtis
A Shorter
 10/1
13
★★★★☆
69.7
  
3 White Whale
J Graham
S A Kurtz
 3/1
13
★★★★☆
69.5
  
5 Impavido
G Saez
D G Heath
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
68.5
  
4 Big Tech
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
66.8
  
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Dispersion
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E N Foster
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.8
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Cant Stop Munnings
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
D Leitch
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.2
Post · Horse
8
Another Monarch
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
R B Hess, Jr.
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.4
Post · Horse
1
Good Mojo
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
A Shorter
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse
3
White Whale
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
S A Kurtz
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
5
Impavido
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
D G Heath
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse
4
Big Tech
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Post Time12:19 PM CT
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Joe Joe Dude leads the ratings at 58.9 after a runner-up effort with figure 66, but Lookism at 12/1 and Heart of a Hero present the main questions in a wide-open maiden claiming field where early speed and workouts will decide the outcome.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.8%
Price horse: Lookism (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Joe Joe Dude
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 5/2
15
★★★☆☆
59.6
 Top Pick
4 Mr. Fete
D Sheehy
J Ennis
 4/1
14
★★★☆☆
58.8
  
1 Heart of a Hero
M Meeks
C D Pomier
 8/1
14
★★★☆☆
58.5
 Longshot
6 Charlatan West
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 6/1
14
★★★☆☆
58.0
  
9 Jack's Back
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 7/2
12
★★★☆☆
55.6
  
3 Lookism
O Bocachica
C Caramori
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.7
 Value Play
2 Thunder Town
M Nicholls
R Hernandez
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.7
  
7 Fortunistic
S Pauly
E Moger, Jr.
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
52.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Joe Joe Dude
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse
4
Mr. Fete
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Ennis
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.8
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Heart of a Hero
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
C D Pomier
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
6
Charlatan West
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.0
Post · Horse
9
Jack's Back
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Lookism
Jockey
O Bocachica
Trainer
C Caramori
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.7
Post · Horse
2
Thunder Town
Jockey
M Nicholls
Trainer
R Hernandez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.7
Post · Horse
7
Fortunistic
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E Moger, Jr.
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:48 PM CT
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Kihei Kiana tops the ratings at 65.9 with a recent figure of 67 and sharp workouts, yet Prevail at 12/1 with a 55 figure last out raises the question of whether turf debutants or the top pair prevail on the Ellis Park lawn.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.1%
Price horse: Prevail (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (5 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Kihei Kiana
B J Hernandez, Jr.
W B Calhoun
 3/1
19
★★★★☆
66.5
 Top Pick
10 Callie's Dance
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 5/1
16
★★★★☆
63.8
  
12 Prevail
W Antongeorgi III
H Holsapple
 12/1
14
★★★★☆
62.1
 Value Play
6 Holiday Weekend
J A Torres
R Mott
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
58.5
  
4 Donie Maronie
C A Torres
M E Casse
 9/2
11
★★★☆☆
58.2
  
1 Chiqueada
A Achard
J Ennis
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
55.8
  
2 Opalite Dust
R Bejarano
E Moger, Jr.
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
51.2
  
3 Southern Kiss
F Arrieta
M E Casse
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
49.8
  
7 She Knows Better
L Machado
B Colebrook
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
48.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Kihei Kiana
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
W B Calhoun
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.5
Post · Horse
10
Callie's Dance
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse Value Play
12
Prevail
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
H Holsapple
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
6
Holiday Weekend
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Mott
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.5
Post · Horse
4
Donie Maronie
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
M E Casse
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.2
Post · Horse
1
Chiqueada
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse
2
Opalite Dust
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
E Moger, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.2
Post · Horse
3
Southern Kiss
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M E Casse
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.8
Post · Horse
7
She Knows Better
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
Post Time1:16 PM CT
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
I'm Hungover leads at 68.6 with a recent win and 36.80 workout, but Honey's On Fire at 12/1 and Dot Your Eyes create tension over whether the top-rated runner can hold off the long-priced closers in this claiming sprint.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.2%
Price horse: Honey's On Fire (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (5 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 I'm Hungover
J Graham
J Campbell
 8/1
18
★★★★☆
70.4
 Top Pick
4 Silent Strike
G Saez
C Santamaria
 3/1
17
★★★★☆
70.0
  
1 Caroom's Croupier
M Meeks
C D Pomier
 5/1
15
★★★★☆
68.2
  
2 Artella
R A Prescott
S McGovern
 7/2
13
★★★★☆
66.0
  
8 Mo Indian Lady
F Arrieta
E N Foster
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
65.0
  
5 Honey's On Fire
A Achard
B Pittman
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
64.2
 Value Play
7 Dot Your Eyes
Y Hazlewood
J A Hancock
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.8
  
6 Pauline's Angel
D Sheehy
B L King
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
I'm Hungover
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J Campbell
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
Post · Horse
4
Silent Strike
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
C Santamaria
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.0
Post · Horse
1
Caroom's Croupier
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
C D Pomier
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.2
Post · Horse
2
Artella
Jockey
R A Prescott
Trainer
S McGovern
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse
8
Mo Indian Lady
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E N Foster
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Honey's On Fire
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
B Pittman
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
7
Dot Your Eyes
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
J A Hancock
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse
6
Pauline's Angel
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
B L King
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Eighth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:44 PM CT
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Sneakily tops the field at 78.6 with a recent win and figure 85, yet Classic Glide at 12/1 with an 80 figure two back poses the central question of whether the favorite can withstand the longshot challenge on the turf route.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 21.2%
Price horse: Classic Glide (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (6 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Sneakily
F Geroux
B H Cox
 8/5
28
★★★★★
80.2
 Top Pick
5 Totally Justified
J C Bealmear
A M Meah
 5/2
16
★★★★☆
71.5
  
3 Noshametohergame
B Curtis
E Kenneally
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
68.0
  
6 Classic Glide
F Arrieta
R Medina
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
68.0
 Value Play
2 Pookie
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
65.8
  
7 Wine Party
W Antongeorgi III
E G Harty
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
65.8
  
4 Heart Spin
A Crispin
A Navarrete
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
64.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Sneakily
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B H Cox
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★★ 80.2
Post · Horse
5
Totally Justified
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
A M Meah
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.5
Post · Horse
3
Noshametohergame
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
E Kenneally
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.0
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Classic Glide
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
R Medina
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.0
Post · Horse
2
Pookie
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
7
Wine Party
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
E G Harty
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
4
Heart Spin
Jockey
A Crispin
Trainer
A Navarrete
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Post Time2:12 PM CT
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Lunar Module leads at 76.6 with a recent win and 47.00 workout, but Overstatement at 20/1 and Urban Planner create tension over whether the top-rated runner can hold off the long-priced challengers in this mile maiden event.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.4%
Price horse: Overstatement (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Lunar Module
B Curtis
J Sharp
 8/1
17
★★★★☆
78.1
 Top Pick
7 Urban Planner
R Bejarano
D Jacobson
 12/1
17
★★★★☆
78.1
  
9 Zambezi
Y Hazlewood
M J Maker
 6/1
13
★★★★☆
74.6
  
2 Overstatement
D Sheehy
K G Miller
 20/1
12
★★★★☆
73.0
 Value Play
3 So Sandy
A Concepcion
C DeVaux
 2/1
12
★★★★☆
72.5
  
4 Classic Car Wash
B J Hernandez, Jr.
C A Hartman
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
72.5
  
6 Vamos Carlitos
E Morales
G D Foley
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
70.6
  
1 Special Session
F Arrieta
M E Casse
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
65.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Lunar Module
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
J Sharp
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.1
Post · Horse
7
Urban Planner
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D Jacobson
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.1
Post · Horse
9
Zambezi
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
M J Maker
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.6
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Overstatement
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
K G Miller
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.0
Post · Horse
3
So Sandy
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
C DeVaux
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse
4
Classic Car Wash
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
C A Hartman
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse
6
Vamos Carlitos
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
G D Foley
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse
1
Special Session
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M E Casse
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:42 PM CT
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Smoke Trail leads at 68.6 with a recent figure of 75, yet Camping Siete at 30/1 with a 51.30 workout raises the question of whether the top-rated turf runner can withstand the massive longshot in this maiden special weight.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.3%
Price horse: Camping Siete (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Smoke Trail
A Achard
J Ennis
 6/1
20
★★★★☆
69.0
 Top Pick
1 Camping Siete
G Saez
I Bahena
 30/1
17
★★★★☆
66.8
 Value Play
6 Best Screenplay
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 7/2
17
★★★★☆
66.7
  
5 Good to Be King
B J Hernandez, Jr.
G R Arnold II
 5/1
13
★★★★☆
63.0
  
10 Ferrous
J A Torres
R Brisset
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
57.7
  
8 Warfork
C A Torres
M E Casse
 9/2
8
★★★☆☆
55.9
  
4 Sir Hansen
Y Hazlewood
M J Maker
 6/1
7
★★★☆☆
53.4
  
9 Baytown Da Vinci
M Nicholls
P McEntee
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
47.6
  
7 Lost in the Fight
D Sheehy
P McEntee
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
43.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Smoke Trail
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Camping Siete
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
I Bahena
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.8
Post · Horse
6
Best Screenplay
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
5
Good to Be King
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
G R Arnold II
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse
10
Ferrous
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
8
Warfork
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
M E Casse
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse
4
Sir Hansen
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
M J Maker
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.4
Post · Horse
9
Baytown Da Vinci
Jockey
M Nicholls
Trainer
P McEntee
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
Post · Horse
7
Lost in the Fight
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
P McEntee
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
Typestakes winners (in order I-II-III) then those horses having accumulated the high
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
Post Time3:12 PM CT
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Jersey Pearl tops the ratings at 85.7 with a recent figure of 98, yet Benedetta at 20/1 with a 52.00 workout creates tension over whether the top-rated sprinter can hold off the longshot in this stakes sprint.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 20.2%
Price horse: Benedetta (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (9 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Cash Call
F Geroux
B Baffert
 3/1
24
★★★★★
86.5
  
7 Jersey Pearl
F Arrieta
D Miller
 10/1
22
★★★★★
85.3
 Top Pick
3 Evanescence
L Machado
E Kenneally
 7/2
15
★★★★☆
79.4
  
1 Asternia
Y Hazlewood
R L Morse
 12/1
14
★★★★☆
78.2
  
4 Kilwin
E Morales
G R Arnold II
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
77.7
  
2 Benedetta
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 20/1
11
★★★★☆
74.0
 Value Play
Post · Horse
6
Cash Call
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B Baffert
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★★ 86.5
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Jersey Pearl
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
D Miller
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★★ 85.3
Post · Horse
3
Evanescence
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
E Kenneally
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.4
Post · Horse
1
Asternia
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
R L Morse
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.2
Post · Horse
4
Kilwin
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
G R Arnold II
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.7
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Benedetta
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Eighth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:42 PM CT
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Banksy's leads at 76.2 with a recent figure of 88, yet Massachusetts at 20/1 and Diamond Eyed Jack at 12/1 create tension over whether the top-rated turf runner can withstand the long-priced challengers in this maiden special weight route.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.7%
Price horse: Massachusetts (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Banksy's
F Arrieta
D Fawkes
 4/1
18
★★★★☆
76.5
 Top Pick
12 Diamond Eyed Jack
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 12/1
15
★★★★☆
73.9
 Longshot
9 Terre Haute
A Achard
J Ennis
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
70.6
  
10 Ravenous
L Machado
B P Walsh
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
70.1
  
2 Limelight
D Sheehy
W L Mackey
 8/1
11
★★★★☆
69.1
  
4 Let's Be Frank
G Corrales
M W McCarthy
 3/1
10
★★★★☆
67.4
  
8 Tend to You
J A Torres
E G Harty
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
66.2
  
3 Massachusetts
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
62.5
 Value Play
6 El Tio
Y Hazlewood
R Medina
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
1 Slide Away
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 20/1
1
★★☆☆☆
30.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Banksy's
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
D Fawkes
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.5
Post · Horse Longshot
12
Diamond Eyed Jack
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.9
Post · Horse
9
Terre Haute
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse
10
Ravenous
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B P Walsh
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse
2
Limelight
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
W L Mackey
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
4
Let's Be Frank
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
M W McCarthy
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.4
Post · Horse
8
Tend to You
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
E G Harty
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Massachusetts
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse
6
El Tio
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
R Medina
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
1
Slide Away
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 30.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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