Curated Betting Card

Ellis Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 2.

2026-07-24 Race 2 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Ellis Park · full board
Strongest play
R7
Consequent #5
Top conf.
Best value
R7
Bilyana
12/1 ML
Best longshot
R3
Woodall Pass #5
15/1 ML
Deepest field
R9
12 runners
12
Pace race
R3
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Ellis Park presents a solid midsummer card featuring competitive claiming events and turf stakes action. Tighter groupings in several dashes require cautious multi-race ticket construction and an eye toward value runners underneath. Sharp local connections and favorable tactical spots will dictate the afternoon's successful wagers.
Races 9 Status Live View Morning
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Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
Post Time11:50 AM CT
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Midnight Vengeance holds the clear edge in composite rating at 63.66 and a 25.9% win probability, but #6 Gray Is Okay comes in off a sharp third-place finish here at Ellis Park with an 84 recent speed figure. The race turns on whether Midnight Vengeance can translate his Fair Grounds and Indiana form to this seven-furlong strip against a tightly bunched group.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.9%
Price horse: Bird the Legend (3/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Midnight Vengeance
B Curtis
G Londono
 4/1
26
★★★★☆
63.7
 Top Pick
3 Fast Joker
R Bejarano
G Esquivel
 5/1
18
★★★☆☆
58.3
 Longshot
6 Gray Is Okay
E Morales
D J Habeeb
 9/2
16
★★★☆☆
56.8
  
1 Bird the Legend
L Machado
R Brisset
 3/1
16
★★★☆☆
56.2
 Value Play
4 Just Asap
C A Torres
M E Casse
 5/2
12
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
5 Frosted Bull
J A Torres
H Pitts
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
51.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Midnight Vengeance
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
G Londono
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Fast Joker
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
G Esquivel
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
6
Gray Is Okay
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
D J Habeeb
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Bird the Legend
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
R Brisset
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse
4
Just Asap
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
M E Casse
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse
5
Frosted Bull
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
H Pitts
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:19 PM CT
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#11 Battlefield Hero towers over this turf sprint maiden optional claimer with a 67.35 composite rating and a 38.8% win probability for top connections, leaving the rest to battle for minor spoils. The primary intrigue centers on whether #4 King Crusher can improve off his runner-up debut turf try on July 11 to give the heavy favorite a race.
PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 29.6%
Price horse: King Crusher (3/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
11 Battlefield Hero
Y Hazlewood
W A Ward
 5/2
39
★★★★☆
67.3
 Top Pick
4 King Crusher
G Saez
G Weaver
 3/1
19
★★★☆☆
56.4
 Value Play
8 Bravo Tango
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
47.9
  
9 No Mo Sun
D Sheehy
D F O'Neill
 9/2
8
★★★☆☆
44.3
 Longshot
2 Patriots Point
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
42.9
  
1 Mega Blue
A Achard
J Wojczynski
 15/1
6
★★☆☆☆
39.6
  
10 Kilbarry
W Antongeorgi III
T S Wismer
 15/1
5
★★☆☆☆
36.7
  
3 Et Al
B Curtis
D F O'Neill
 12/1
5
★★☆☆☆
36.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
11
Battlefield Hero
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
W A Ward
39
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse Value Play
4
King Crusher
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
G Weaver
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.4
Post · Horse
8
Bravo Tango
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
Post · Horse Longshot
9
No Mo Sun
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
D F O'Neill
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.3
Post · Horse
2
Patriots Point
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.9
Post · Horse
1
Mega Blue
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Wojczynski
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.6
Post · Horse
10
Kilbarry
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
T S Wismer
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 36.7
Post · Horse
3
Et Al
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
D F O'Neill
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 36.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Post Time12:48 PM CT
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This wide-open mile maiden claimer features a fragile top choice in #4 Relevate, opening the door for long-priced value contenders like #5 Woodall Pass and #8 Motown Sound. The race hinges on whether Woodall Pass can build upon his encouraging third-place effort at Indiana Grand on July 6.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.9%
Price horse: Woodall Pass (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Relevate
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 8/5
22
★★★☆☆
54.3
 Top Pick
2 Total Fabrication
R Bejarano
R Moquett
 3/1
18
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
5 Woodall Pass
M Meeks
C D Pomier
 15/1
16
★★★☆☆
48.9
 Value Play
3 Bullet Baby
E Morales
R W Radcliffe
 4/1
14
★★★☆☆
47.5
  
8 Motown Sound
W Antongeorgi III
H Holsapple
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
41.1
  
6 Preach Tewmey Now
J Padron-Barcenas
I Bahena
 6/1
8
★★☆☆☆
39.8
  
7 Moonlight Martini
Y Hazlewood
E N Foster
 15/1
7
★★☆☆☆
36.2
  
1 Serralunga
H L Hoskins
N Vaccarezza
 8/1
5
★★☆☆☆
32.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Relevate
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.3
Post · Horse
2
Total Fabrication
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
R Moquett
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Woodall Pass
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
C D Pomier
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.9
Post · Horse
3
Bullet Baby
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
R W Radcliffe
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.5
Post · Horse
8
Motown Sound
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
H Holsapple
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.1
Post · Horse
6
Preach Tewmey Now
Jockey
J Padron-Barcenas
Trainer
I Bahena
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.8
Post · Horse
7
Moonlight Martini
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
E N Foster
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 36.2
Post · Horse
1
Serralunga
Jockey
H L Hoskins
Trainer
N Vaccarezza
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 32.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:16 PM CT
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#10 Etna looms large in this turf dash after a sharp runner-up effort at Churchill Downs on June 20, but she must overcome the outside post #10. The race will be decided by whether Etna can secure position early or if a stalker like #1 Viaggio can pounce turning for home.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 19.5%
Price horse: Viaggio (9/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
10 Etna
A Concepcion
W B Calhoun
 3/1
25
★★★☆☆
59.9
 Top Pick
1 Viaggio
F Arrieta
M E Casse
 9/2
15
★★★☆☆
52.2
 Value Play
8 R Last Laugh
L Machado
B P Walsh
 7/2
13
★★★☆☆
50.1
  
4 Ever Forward
B J Hernandez, Jr.
B P Walsh
 5/1
11
★★★☆☆
47.4
  
3 Worth the Mischief
C A Torres
D Stewart
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
42.0
 Longshot
9 Diva
A Achard
J Ennis
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
41.1
  
7 Shepherd's Grace
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
40.1
  
5 Songadeewin
D Sheehy
M Lovell
 20/1
6
★★☆☆☆
37.4
  
2 Nebbiolo Star
E Morales
J Ennis
 15/1
5
★★☆☆☆
37.1
  
6 Speight Her Size
A Beschizza
T D Vance
 20/1
5
★★☆☆☆
35.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
10
Etna
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W B Calhoun
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Viaggio
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M E Casse
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.2
Post · Horse
8
R Last Laugh
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B P Walsh
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
4
Ever Forward
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
B P Walsh
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.4
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Worth the Mischief
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
D Stewart
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.0
Post · Horse
9
Diva
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.1
Post · Horse
7
Shepherd's Grace
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.1
Post · Horse
5
Songadeewin
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M Lovell
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.4
Post · Horse
2
Nebbiolo Star
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J Ennis
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.1
Post · Horse
6
Speight Her Size
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
T D Vance
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 35.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Post Time1:44 PM CT
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This competitive mile claiming test features #2 Country Club dropping in off a sharp Keeneland win, but #1 Ranch Life enters in stellar current form for trainer Nick Vaccarezza at 12/1 morning-line odds. The outcome hinges on whether Country Club can justify his favoritism against sharp local types or if Ranch Life dictates terms from the jump.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.3%
Price horse: Ranch Life (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Country Club
L Machado
R Brisset
 2/1
22
★★★★☆
68.8
 Top Pick
3 Hearts United
A Burgos
J Orantes
 5/1
18
★★★★☆
66.0
  
1 Ranch Life
F Arrieta
N Vaccarezza
 12/1
17
★★★★☆
65.3
 Value Play
6 Cora's Legacy
A Mendoza
F Nickel
 3/1
15
★★★★☆
63.3
  
5 Animal Fries
R Bejarano
G Esquivel
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
59.9
  
8 Gal Capone
A Achard
G Gorostieta
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
57.8
  
7 Lil Town Sis
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
47.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Country Club
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
R Brisset
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
Post · Horse
3
Hearts United
Jockey
A Burgos
Trainer
J Orantes
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Ranch Life
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
N Vaccarezza
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
6
Cora's Legacy
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
F Nickel
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse
5
Animal Fries
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
G Esquivel
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
8
Gal Capone
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
G Gorostieta
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
7
Lil Town Sis
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:12 PM CT
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Class meets speed in this turf stakes mile where #6 My Stubborn Lassie returns off a series of strong Churchill and Kentucky Downs efforts against #3 Dagmara. The race turns on whether My Stubborn Lassie's class prevails off the lengthy freshening or if Dagmara's tactical speed steals it.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.9%
Price horse: Nonstop Vino (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (7 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 My Stubborn Lassie
B Curtis
P Eurton
 5/2
28
★★★★☆
71.9
 Top Pick
3 Dagmara
L Machado
B H Cox
 3/1
21
★★★★☆
67.8
  
4 Maverick Queen
J A Torres
E G Harty
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
61.6
  
1 Stunning Sapphire
M Garcia
N G Goodwin
 20/1
12
★★★☆☆
59.2
 Longshot
9 Nonstop Vino
K J Jimenez
S Guerrero
 30/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.9
 Value Play
5 Nut Bush City
A Concepcion
W B Calhoun
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.7
  
7 Temple Goddess
D Sheehy
J Corrigan
 4/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
My Stubborn Lassie
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
P Eurton
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.9
Post · Horse
3
Dagmara
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B H Cox
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse
4
Maverick Queen
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
E G Harty
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Stunning Sapphire
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
N G Goodwin
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Nonstop Vino
Jockey
K J Jimenez
Trainer
S Guerrero
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse
5
Nut Bush City
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W B Calhoun
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
7
Temple Goddess
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Corrigan
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
Post Time2:42 PM CT
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Bob Baffert ships #5 Consequent east off a pair of sharp Los Alamitos and Del Mar victories, giving him a 34.5% win probability in this one-mile route. The central question is whether the heavy favorite can handle the flight and local surface against sharp locals like #1 Bilyana and #2 Union Mist.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 30.3%
Price horse: Bilyana (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Consequent
F Geroux
B Baffert
 2/1
35
★★★★☆
74.8
 Top Pick
2 Union Mist
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 7/2
21
★★★★☆
66.8
  
4 Sudden Switch
J A Torres
R Mott
 9/2
16
★★★★☆
62.5
  
1 Bilyana
Y Hazlewood
E N Foster
 12/1
14
★★★★☆
61.5
 Value Play
6 Liam in the Dust
L Machado
R Brisset
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
61.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Consequent
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B Baffert
35
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.8
Post · Horse
2
Union Mist
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.8
Post · Horse
4
Sudden Switch
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Mott
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Bilyana
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
E N Foster
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse
6
Liam in the Dust
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
R Brisset
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStakes
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:12 PM CT
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityStakes
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A wide-open turf stakes test at one and one-sixteenth miles features #8 Whatchadoin holding a narrow edge off a strong third at Churchill, but bombs away with longshots like #9 Dewy's Denali at 50/1. The race pivots on whether the pace melts down to favor deep closers or if speed holds on the sod.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.9%
Price horse: Dewy's Denali (50/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Swift Blade
J A Torres
B H Cox
 5/2
16
★★★★☆
70.7
  
1 Patrol Squad Six
M Garcia
D L Romans
 7/2
15
★★★★☆
69.5
  
5 Sharons Pharoah
B Curtis
J Thomas
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
68.7
  
8 Whatchadoin
A Concepcion
K Danner
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
68.5
 Top Pick
3 Go for Rocket
F Arrieta
A Hernandez
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
66.1
 Longshot
7 White Tiger
F Geroux
B H Cox
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
65.2
  
6 Highly Connected
C A Torres
M Williams
 20/1
10
★★★★☆
64.0
  
9 Dewy's Denali
A Espinoza
R E Gonzalez
 50/1
7
★★★☆☆
57.6
 Value Play
Post · Horse
2
Swift Blade
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
B H Cox
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.7
Post · Horse
1
Patrol Squad Six
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
D L Romans
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
5
Sharons Pharoah
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
J Thomas
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Whatchadoin
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
K Danner
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Go for Rocket
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
A Hernandez
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse
7
White Tiger
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B H Cox
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
6
Highly Connected
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
M Williams
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Dewy's Denali
Jockey
A Espinoza
Trainer
R E Gonzalez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
Post Time3:42 PM CT
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A massive 13-horse maiden special weight sprint closes the card where #12 Yo Fancy holds a slight edge off a runner-up Churchill effort, but outside draws and heavy depth make this a true puzzle. The race hinges on whether Yo Fancy can clear the field from post 12 or if a rail speed horse like #1 Kaykay steals it.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 11.1%
Price horse: R Kendl (30/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Kaykay
F Geroux
B Baffert
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
62.7
  
12 Yo Fancy
C A Torres
I R Wilkes
 7/2
12
★★★★☆
60.7
 Top Pick
5 By La Rina
A Concepcion
M A Tomlinson
 3/1
11
★★★☆☆
58.4
  
2 That's a Benjamin
F Arrieta
N W Casse
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
3 Winning Matters
B J Hernandez, Jr.
D Stewart
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
56.1
  
9 R Kendl
A Bendezu
J C Wainwright
 30/1
9
★★★☆☆
55.8
 Value Play
8 Zengraya
M Garcia
G D Foley
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
55.1
  
4 Lexi V.
E Morales
G R Arnold II
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
10 Cosmopolitan Lady
L Machado
W B Calhoun
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.0
  
13 Anna of Austria
W Antongeorgi III
C Torres
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
49.3
  
6 Gerber Daisy
G Corrales
G D Foley
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
47.4
  
11 Twas the Law
D Sheehy
M R Thompson
 30/1
2
★★☆☆☆
33.3
  
Post · Horse
1
Kaykay
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B Baffert
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse Top Pick
12
Yo Fancy
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
I R Wilkes
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse
5
By La Rina
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
M A Tomlinson
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
Post · Horse
2
That's a Benjamin
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
N W Casse
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
3
Winning Matters
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
D Stewart
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse Value Play
9
R Kendl
Jockey
A Bendezu
Trainer
J C Wainwright
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse
8
Zengraya
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
G D Foley
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.1
Post · Horse
4
Lexi V.
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
G R Arnold II
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse
10
Cosmopolitan Lady
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
W B Calhoun
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse
13
Anna of Austria
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
C Torres
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.3
Post · Horse
6
Gerber Daisy
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
G D Foley
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.4
Post · Horse
11
Twas the Law
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M R Thompson
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 33.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro