Curated Betting Card

Ellis Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 1.

2026-08-01 Race 1 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Ellis Park · full board
Strongest play
R3
Two Seven O #6
Top conf.
Best value
R3
Twilight Delight
20/1 ML
Best longshot
R1
Equator #9
15/1 ML
Deepest field
R5
16 runners
16
Pace race
R1
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Ellis Park presents an action-packed ten-race card on August 1, 2026, featuring a mix of competitive maiden special weights, turf sprints, and wide-open claiming events. Bettors will find numerous chaos fields where early pace clashes and class movements create sharp value opportunities. Keep an eye on turf events where tactical speed and late-kicking closers dictate the outcome.
Races 10 Status Live View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Eighth Miles
SurfaceDirt
Post Time11:50 AM CT
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This wide-open nine-horse route features #7 Stellenbosch looking to stretch out and break through for Bob Baffert, but #9 Equator returns with proven route experience and offers major morning-line value if the pace collapses.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.2%
Price horse: Equator (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Stellenbosch
F Arrieta
B Baffert
 5/2
17
★★★★☆
63.1
 Top Pick
3 One More Time
R Bejarano
B Baffert
 9/2
16
★★★★☆
61.6
  
5 Top Drawer
A Concepcion
B H Cox
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
60.5
  
6 Don's Winner
B Curtis
J Sharp
 5/1
11
★★★☆☆
56.4
  
9 Equator
A Achard
E G Harty
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.7
 Value Play
8 Sequoia Stars
E Morales
J K Sweezey
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
54.5
  
1 Ingleborough
M Garcia
D L Romans
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.2
  
2 Get Them Roses
D Sheehy
B P Walsh
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.0
  
4 Max Is Him
G Corrales
D L Romans
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
48.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Stellenbosch
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
B Baffert
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
3
One More Time
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
B Baffert
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
Post · Horse
5
Top Drawer
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
B H Cox
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
6
Don's Winner
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
J Sharp
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.4
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Equator
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
E G Harty
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.7
Post · Horse
8
Sequoia Stars
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J K Sweezey
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.5
Post · Horse
1
Ingleborough
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
D L Romans
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.2
Post · Horse
2
Get Them Roses
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
B P Walsh
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse
4
Max Is Him
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
D L Romans
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING
Purse$53,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:19 PM CT
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
In this mile maiden optional claimer, #8 Dizzy Miss Lizzy enters off consecutive runner-up efforts at Hawthorne and looms large as the horse to catch under Luis Machado.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.1%
Price horse: Dizzy Miss Lizzy (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Dizzy Miss Lizzy
L Machado
C Davis
 8/1
18
★★★☆☆
59.2
 Top Pick
6 Quality View
A Beschizza
C Davis
 3/1
17
★★★☆☆
58.2
  
7 Passionfruit
D Sheehy
P Eurton
 5/2
16
★★★☆☆
57.6
  
2 Lunar Loop
B Curtis
R Hiles
 5/1
13
★★★☆☆
54.7
  
4 Halfway to Omaha
A Concepcion
T Newton
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
53.1
  
5 Spill the Sugar
E Morales
K LaRose
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
50.2
  
3 Red Rainbow
W Antongeorgi III
T S Wismer
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
47.1
  
1 Maxies Bubble Gum
F Arrieta
E N Foster
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Dizzy Miss Lizzy
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
C Davis
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
6
Quality View
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
C Davis
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.2
Post · Horse
7
Passionfruit
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
P Eurton
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.6
Post · Horse
2
Lunar Loop
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
R Hiles
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
4
Halfway to Omaha
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
T Newton
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse
5
Spill the Sugar
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
K LaRose
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse
3
Red Rainbow
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
T S Wismer
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.1
Post · Horse
1
Maxies Bubble Gum
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E N Foster
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance
Purse$108,000
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:48 PM CT
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Unbeaten form meets turf sprint speed as #6 Two Seven O returns following a scintillating 104-figure victory over this course, while #4 Trouble Calling looks to bounce back after finishing right behind him.
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 27.4%
Price horse: Twilight Delight (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Two Seven O
F Arrieta
D Fawkes
 1/1
33
★★★★★
81.2
 Top Pick
4 Trouble Calling
A Concepcion
G D Foley
 7/5
16
★★★★☆
69.9
  
2 Bluegrass Town
D Sheehy
B P Walsh
 12/1
13
★★★★☆
66.7
 Longshot
1 Twilight Delight
Y Hazlewood
D Leitch
 20/1
12
★★★★☆
66.6
 Value Play
5 Ketchum
B Curtis
C M Block
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
62.9
  
3 Ganaas
E Morales
A McKeever
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
61.4
  
7 Tiz Mary's Comet
J A Torres
J Sharp
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Two Seven O
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
D Fawkes
33
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.2
Post · Horse
4
Trouble Calling
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
G D Foley
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.9
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Bluegrass Town
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
B P Walsh
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Twilight Delight
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
D Leitch
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
Post · Horse
5
Ketchum
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
C M Block
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
3
Ganaas
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
A McKeever
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.4
Post · Horse
7
Tiz Mary's Comet
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J Sharp
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Purse$40,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSix And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:16 PM CT
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
In this six-and-a-half-furlong maiden claiming test, #7 Silver Sniper seeks to go one better after a sharp runner-up effort here on July 4, but #5 Stoic Sage enters with dangerous speed figures.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.1%
Price horse: Stoic Sage (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Silver Sniper
F Arrieta
E N Foster
 9/2
18
★★★★☆
60.7
 Top Pick
5 Stoic Sage
J A Torres
C Richard
 10/1
14
★★★☆☆
57.7
 Value Play
10 City of Life
W Antongeorgi III
T S Wismer
 6/1
14
★★★☆☆
56.9
  
6 Himothy
Y Hazlewood
R Moquett
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
55.8
  
3 Hitchcock
D Sheehy
P Eurton
 3/1
12
★★★☆☆
55.2
  
8 Hyperlink
B Curtis
S M Asmussen
 10/1
11
★★★☆☆
53.9
  
9 Interrogator
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 4/1
7
★★★☆☆
47.6
  
1 Symbol
C A Torres
T Drury, Jr.
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.6
  
2 Flume's Vino
E Morales
J Ennis
 20/1
3
★★☆☆☆
35.1
  
4 Centerline
A Achard
J Ennis
 20/1
3
★★☆☆☆
33.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Silver Sniper
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E N Foster
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Stoic Sage
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
C Richard
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
10
City of Life
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
T S Wismer
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.9
Post · Horse
6
Himothy
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
R Moquett
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse
3
Hitchcock
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
P Eurton
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.2
Post · Horse
8
Hyperlink
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
S M Asmussen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.9
Post · Horse
9
Interrogator
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
Post · Horse
1
Symbol
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
T Drury, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.6
Post · Horse
2
Flume's Vino
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J Ennis
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 35.1
Post · Horse
4
Centerline
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 33.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:44 PM CT
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A large field of maidens assembles for this route over the turf, where #3 Mahogany Dream stands out on figures after a strong runner-up finish over this course on July 11.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 13.5%
Price horse: Kurita's Folly (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Mahogany Dream
M Garcia
N G Goodwin
 7/2
18
★★★★☆
64.4
 Top Pick
13 Kurita's Folly
Y Hazlewood
K Danner
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.3
 Value Play
7 Play It Again
A Concepcion
M E Casse
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.2
  
6 Rivelli
G Corrales
L Rivelli
 4/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.2
  
9 Jas
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 5/1
7
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
12 Big Mike Fink
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 9/2
7
★★★☆☆
50.6
  
1 Gamerboy
A Achard
G L Laureano
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
47.8
  
10 Sky Warrior
C A Torres
M E Casse
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
47.5
  
16 Caribbean Life
J A Torres
W Walden
 6/1
5
★★★☆☆
46.7
  
2 Silver Jewel
M Gutierrez
P Matejka
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
46.6
  
15 Bazooka
C A Torres
J Delgado
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
43.7
  
11 Conroy
E Morales
G R Arnold II
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.0
  
4 Very Classy
G Saez
J L Aranha
 30/1
3
★★☆☆☆
39.6
  
5 Neville
D Sheehy
M Lovell
 15/1
3
★★☆☆☆
38.9
  
14 Baytown Da Vinci
E Morales
P McEntee
 30/1
3
★★☆☆☆
36.5
  
8 Authentic Gold
A Burgos
P H Lobo
 20/1
2
★★☆☆☆
27.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Mahogany Dream
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
N G Goodwin
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.4
Post · Horse Value Play
13
Kurita's Folly
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
K Danner
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.3
Post · Horse
7
Play It Again
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
M E Casse
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.2
Post · Horse
6
Rivelli
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
L Rivelli
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
Post · Horse
9
Jas
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
12
Big Mike Fink
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.6
Post · Horse
1
Gamerboy
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
G L Laureano
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.8
Post · Horse
10
Sky Warrior
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
M E Casse
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.5
Post · Horse
16
Caribbean Life
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
W Walden
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.7
Post · Horse
2
Silver Jewel
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
P Matejka
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.6
Post · Horse
15
Bazooka
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
J Delgado
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.7
Post · Horse
11
Conroy
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
G R Arnold II
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.0
Post · Horse
4
Very Classy
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
J L Aranha
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.6
Post · Horse
5
Neville
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M Lovell
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.9
Post · Horse
14
Baytown Da Vinci
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
P McEntee
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 36.5
Post · Horse
8
Authentic Gold
Jockey
A Burgos
Trainer
P H Lobo
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 27.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING
Purse$53,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:12 PM CT
Field Size14
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This seven-furlong maiden optional claimer features #11 Ditlihi dropping down in search of a breakthrough, while longshot #8 When I Go catches the eye at 20/1 odds.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.1%
Price horse: When I Go (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
11 Ditlihi
D Sheehy
J Ennis
 6/1
15
★★★☆☆
54.4
 Top Pick
13 Wilkin County
W Ho
L Rarick
 15/1
12
★★★☆☆
51.8
 Longshot
1 Lagos
B Curtis
M J Maker
 4/1
12
★★★☆☆
51.4
  
8 When I Go
Y Hazlewood
E N Foster
 20/1
10
★★★☆☆
48.9
 Value Play
9 Innocent No More
A Concepcion
G R Arnold II
 5/1
7
★★★☆☆
44.2
  
2 Windsock
C A Torres
R Brisset
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.0
  
10 Lords Prayer
A Achard
J Ennis
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
40.6
  
7 Title Worthy
G Corrales
D Stewart
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
40.0
  
5 Romo
R Bejarano
R Moquett
 15/1
6
★★☆☆☆
39.9
  
6 Get Your Steps In
J Elliott
A M Stall, Jr.
 12/1
5
★★☆☆☆
38.8
  
3 In the Hunt
A Cedillo
R C Bryner
 15/1
4
★★☆☆☆
36.1
  
4 Celtic Mo
F Arrieta
E Kenneally
 7/2
4
★★☆☆☆
36.0
  
12 Honor and Courage
A Beschizza
T D Vance
 20/1
4
★★☆☆☆
35.1
  
14 That's Fire
A Espinoza
R C Bryner
 20/1
2
★★☆☆☆
24.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
11
Ditlihi
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Ennis
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse Longshot
13
Wilkin County
Jockey
W Ho
Trainer
L Rarick
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.8
Post · Horse
1
Lagos
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
M J Maker
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse Value Play
8
When I Go
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
E N Foster
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.9
Post · Horse
9
Innocent No More
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
G R Arnold II
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.2
Post · Horse
2
Windsock
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.0
Post · Horse
10
Lords Prayer
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.6
Post · Horse
7
Title Worthy
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
D Stewart
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.0
Post · Horse
5
Romo
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
R Moquett
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.9
Post · Horse
6
Get Your Steps In
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
A M Stall, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.8
Post · Horse
3
In the Hunt
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
R C Bryner
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 36.1
Post · Horse
4
Celtic Mo
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E Kenneally
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 36.0
Post · Horse
12
Honor and Courage
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
T D Vance
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 35.1
Post · Horse
14
That's Fire
Jockey
A Espinoza
Trainer
R C Bryner
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 24.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won
Purse$102,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:42 PM CT
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A competitive turf mile gathers a full gate where #5 Non Conforming seeks to add to a resume featuring sharp recent figures at Churchill and Keeneland.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 8.7%
Price horse: Lucky Mischief (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Non Conforming
V R Carrasco
B A Lynch
 12/1
10
★★★★☆
69.8
 Top Pick
1 Lucky Mischief
R Bejarano
R Hiles
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
68.7
 Value Play
8 Fuzzbuster
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
67.0
  
6 Clear the Beach
A Concepcion
K Danner
 9/2
8
★★★★☆
66.9
  
3 Coalmoon
A Burgos
P H Lobo
 10/1
7
★★★★☆
65.4
  
14 Todo Men
D Machado
P Matejka
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
65.3
  
4 Unitas
D Sheehy
P Eurton
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
64.6
  
9 Show of Force
E Morales
G Garcia
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
64.5
  
2 Awesome Connection
L Machado
C Davis
 20/1
6
★★★★☆
61.9
  
10 Rocky Joy
G Saez
J L Aranha
 12/1
5
★★★★☆
60.7
  
12 Makutu
A Cedillo
L Schultz
 15/1
5
★★★★☆
60.1
  
15 Equilibrium
V R Carrasco
I R Wilkes
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
13 Sketch
M Garcia
C Murphy
 8/1
4
★★★☆☆
57.8
  
11 Ring Curl
W Antongeorgi III
T S Wismer
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
56.3
  
7 Sheriff Bart
J A Torres
W I Mott
 4/1
4
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
16 Malevaje
J Meza
P H Brown, Jr.
 50/1
2
★★★☆☆
45.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Non Conforming
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
B A Lynch
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.8
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Lucky Mischief
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
R Hiles
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse
8
Fuzzbuster
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
6
Clear the Beach
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
K Danner
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse
3
Coalmoon
Jockey
A Burgos
Trainer
P H Lobo
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse
14
Todo Men
Jockey
D Machado
Trainer
P Matejka
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
4
Unitas
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
P Eurton
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
9
Show of Force
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
G Garcia
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
2
Awesome Connection
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
C Davis
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
10
Rocky Joy
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
J L Aranha
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse
12
Makutu
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
L Schultz
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse
15
Equilibrium
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
I R Wilkes
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
13
Sketch
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
C Murphy
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
11
Ring Curl
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
T S Wismer
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse
7
Sheriff Bart
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
W I Mott
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
16
Malevaje
Jockey
J Meza
Trainer
P H Brown, Jr.
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won
Purse$104,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:12 PM CT
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A sharp six-furlong sprint brings together #3 Big Boat returning from a freshening against #6 Barksdale, who enters in excellent current form.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.2%
Price horse: Barksdale (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Big Boat
F Arrieta
J P DiVito
 6/1
16
★★★★☆
69.1
 Top Pick
6 Barksdale
A Beschizza
M A Shirer
 10/1
14
★★★★☆
67.9
 Value Play
2 Keep It Easy
M Garcia
D L Romans
 2/1
12
★★★★☆
65.6
  
1 Risk It
B Curtis
S M Asmussen
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
65.2
  
4 Market Street
C A Torres
A Shorter
 9/2
12
★★★★☆
64.5
  
5 Can't Hush This
G Corrales
G D Foley
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
62.6
  
7 Kalahari Dreams
G Saez
P A Bauer
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
60.9
  
9 Pinfire
A Concepcion
M A Tomlinson
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
58.6
  
8 Change of Command
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
56.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Big Boat
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
J P DiVito
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Barksdale
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
M A Shirer
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse
2
Keep It Easy
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
D L Romans
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.6
Post · Horse
1
Risk It
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse
4
Market Street
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
A Shorter
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
5
Can't Hush This
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
G D Foley
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
7
Kalahari Dreams
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
P A Bauer
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
Post · Horse
9
Pinfire
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
M A Tomlinson
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
Post · Horse
8
Change of Command
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance
Purse$200,000
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:42 PM CT
Field Size15
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Wesley Ward saddles #12 Fanshell Beach in this wide-open turf sprint, but outer posts and a deep field mean #4 Admiral's Order and #10 Hey Tuff Guy will have a major say.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 10.3%
Price horse: Admiral's Order (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
12 Fanshell Beach
Y Hazlewood
W A Ward
 9/5
12
★★★★☆
69.2
 Top Pick
4 Admiral's Order
L Machado
B Colebrook
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
65.1
 Value Play
10 Hey Tuff Guy
M Gutierrez
B A Lynch
 9/2
9
★★★★☆
64.4
  
6 Arctic Wolf
M Garcia
J Sisterson
 5/1
9
★★★★☆
64.0
  
9 Sargent Bilko
F Arrieta
E Kenneally
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
63.5
  
5 Colucci
Y Yaranga
G Viands
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
61.8
  
15 Issachar
W Antongeorgi III
T D Vance
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
60.6
  
3 Crack On
D Sheehy
J Corrigan
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
60.1
  
8 Good to Be King
A Concepcion
G R Arnold II
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.9
  
11 American Pope
G Corrales
P McEntee
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.5
  
1 Tolstoy
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
55.1
  
14 Red Sun
W Antongeorgi III
H Holsapple
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
54.7
  
2 Fortune King
S Gonzalez
S Donjuan
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
53.7
  
13 Super Saiyajin
S Gonzalez
S Donjuan
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
53.4
  
7 Mr Gerson
R Bejarano
D Jacobson
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
46.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
12
Fanshell Beach
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
W A Ward
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.2
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Admiral's Order
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse
10
Hey Tuff Guy
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
B A Lynch
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.4
Post · Horse
6
Arctic Wolf
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
J Sisterson
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
9
Sargent Bilko
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E Kenneally
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.5
Post · Horse
5
Colucci
Jockey
Y Yaranga
Trainer
G Viands
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse
15
Issachar
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
T D Vance
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.6
Post · Horse
3
Crack On
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Corrigan
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse
8
Good to Be King
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
G R Arnold II
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.9
Post · Horse
11
American Pope
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
P McEntee
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.5
Post · Horse
1
Tolstoy
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.1
Post · Horse
14
Red Sun
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
H Holsapple
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
2
Fortune King
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
S Donjuan
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.7
Post · Horse
13
Super Saiyajin
Jockey
S Gonzalez
Trainer
S Donjuan
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.4
Post · Horse
7
Mr Gerson
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D Jacobson
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 15-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance
Purse$250,000
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:12 PM CT
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The turf sprint nightcap features a stellar field led by Wesley Ward's #4 Saturday Flirt, who returns from Maryland seeking to recapture her 107-figure Kentucky Downs winning form.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 11.7%
Price horse: Big Trouble (9/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Saturday Flirt
Y Hazlewood
W A Ward
 3/1
13
★★★★☆
75.2
 Top Pick
1 Big Trouble
F Arrieta
G D Foley
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
72.0
 Value Play
8 Cloe
B Curtis
M J Maker
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
71.6
 Longshot
11 Itzel
E Morales
J Ennis
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
70.6
  
5 Lovely Emma
D Sheehy
P Eurton
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
70.0
  
10 Buttercream Babe
C A Torres
G R Arnold II
 4/1
9
★★★★☆
68.7
  
12 Lucy McGee
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
 30/1
7
★★★★☆
65.9
  
6 Shirley Ann
A Mendoza
C Vesty
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
65.1
  
3 Rojo Rita
G Corrales
D Stewart
 30/1
6
★★★★☆
64.0
  
2 Me Governor
A Beschizza
J Sharp
 15/1
6
★★★★☆
63.6
  
9 Dala
J A Torres
E G Harty
 12/1
6
★★★★☆
62.7
  
7 Satin Blue
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 15/1
5
★★★★☆
61.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Saturday Flirt
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
W A Ward
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.2
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Big Trouble
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
G D Foley
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.0
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Cloe
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
M J Maker
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.6
Post · Horse
11
Itzel
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J Ennis
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse
5
Lovely Emma
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
P Eurton
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.0
Post · Horse
10
Buttercream Babe
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
G R Arnold II
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse
12
Lucy McGee
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse
6
Shirley Ann
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
C Vesty
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.1
Post · Horse
3
Rojo Rita
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
D Stewart
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
2
Me Governor
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J Sharp
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse
9
Dala
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
E G Harty
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
7
Satin Blue
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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