Curated Betting Card

Ellis Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 10.

2026-08-09 Race 10 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Ellis Park · full board
Strongest play
R7
Plutarch #5
Top conf.
Best value
R7
Seventies Music
15/1 ML
Best longshot
R4
Chasing the Son #3
12/1 ML
Deepest field
R2
15 runners
15
Pace race
R2
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Ellis Park presents a solid 10-race card featuring competitive maiden special weights, turf sprints, and high-level route stakes. Handicappers should approach the card with selective value plays, as several races feature tightly grouped contenders where morning-line favorites offer vulnerable short prices. Keep stakes controlled early while targeting specific overlays in multi-runner turf and route events.
Races 10 Status Live View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time11:50 AM CT
Field Size14
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#11 Groundswell brings turf experience from a 4th-place effort here last month with an 81 speed figure, but #6 April Fools and #2 Hollywood Starlet debut with sharp morning preparations in a bulky maiden turf sprint.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 11.5%
Price horse: Hollywood Starlet (12/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
11 Groundswell
C A Torres
M E Casse
 7/2
14
★★★☆☆
57.1
 Top Pick
2 Hollywood Starlet
F Arrieta
P D'Amato
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
50.1
 Value Play
7 Mr. Knick
Y Hazlewood
R B Hess, Jr.
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
49.0
  
8 Just Got Paid
G Saez
J Wojczynski
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
48.8
  
9 Pretty Good
F Geroux
B Baffert
 4/1
8
★★★☆☆
48.6
  
4 Joe Joe Dude
B J Hernandez, Jr.
S R Radosevich
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
47.0
  
6 April Fools
A Concepcion
M E Casse
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
46.8
 Longshot
5 Making It Rain
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.6
  
10 Hard Rocker
W A Rodriguez
E G Harty
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.7
  
1 Mid American
J A Torres
J P DiVito
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.7
  
3 Phantom Flash
D Sheehy
M J Maker
 5/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.6
  
12 No Autographs
R Bejarano
C A Hartman
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.1
  
14 Chasing Em
R Bejarano
C A Hartman
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.0
  
13 Flaming Fast
G Saez
J M Medina
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
11
Groundswell
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
M E Casse
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Hollywood Starlet
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
P D'Amato
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
7
Mr. Knick
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
R B Hess, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.0
Post · Horse
8
Just Got Paid
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
J Wojczynski
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
Post · Horse
9
Pretty Good
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B Baffert
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
4
Joe Joe Dude
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
S R Radosevich
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.0
Post · Horse Longshot
6
April Fools
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
M E Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.8
Post · Horse
5
Making It Rain
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.6
Post · Horse
10
Hard Rocker
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
E G Harty
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.7
Post · Horse
1
Mid American
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J P DiVito
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.7
Post · Horse
3
Phantom Flash
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M J Maker
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.6
Post · Horse
12
No Autographs
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
C A Hartman
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.1
Post · Horse
14
Chasing Em
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
C A Hartman
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.0
Post · Horse
13
Flaming Fast
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
J M Medina
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:19 PM CT
Field Size15
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#7 Miss Anna returns off a sharp runner-up finish over this track with an 81 speed figure, but #10 Rye Warrior looms a major danger after chasing home second with a 76 speed figure last out.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.3%
Price horse: Rye Warrior (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Miss Anna
C A Torres
B P Walsh
 6/1
17
★★★★☆
63.4
 Top Pick
10 Rye Warrior
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
 6/1
13
★★★☆☆
59.6
 Value Play
14 Dolly Partime
Y Hazlewood
K Danner
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
53.6
 Longshot
6 Speak for Yourself
J A Torres
J C Servis
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
48.6
  
4 Mood Spin
M Garcia
N W Casse
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
48.6
  
8 Upstart Empress
Y Hazlewood
C Davis
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.9
  
5 I'mgunningforyou
M Gutierrez
B H Cox
 9/2
5
★★★☆☆
46.0
  
12 Codified
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 7/2
5
★★★☆☆
46.0
  
1 High Speed Reed
F Arrieta
M E Casse
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
45.9
  
11 Peony Park
L Saez
D Beckman
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
45.8
  
2 Lead by Example
F Geroux
S M Asmussen
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
15 Getaway Girl
A Concepcion
C DeVaux
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.4
  
3 The Final Secret
L Machado
B Colebrook
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
43.2
  
9 Revereign
W Antongeorgi III
H Holsapple
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.3
  
13 Lexi's Epic Ride
A Cedillo
D K Von Hemel
 20/1
3
★★☆☆☆
38.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Miss Anna
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
B P Walsh
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Rye Warrior
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse Longshot
14
Dolly Partime
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
K Danner
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.6
Post · Horse
6
Speak for Yourself
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J C Servis
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
4
Mood Spin
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
N W Casse
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
8
Upstart Empress
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
C Davis
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.9
Post · Horse
5
I'mgunningforyou
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
B H Cox
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
Post · Horse
12
Codified
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
Post · Horse
1
High Speed Reed
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M E Casse
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.9
Post · Horse
11
Peony Park
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
D Beckman
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.8
Post · Horse
2
Lead by Example
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
S M Asmussen
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
15
Getaway Girl
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
C DeVaux
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.4
Post · Horse
3
The Final Secret
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.2
Post · Horse
9
Revereign
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
H Holsapple
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.3
Post · Horse
13
Lexi's Epic Ride
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
D K Von Hemel
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 15-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won
Purse$104,000
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:48 PM CT
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#7 Mischievous Rogue broke through locally with a 101 speed figure last out, but faces heavy pace pressure from sharp turf specialists like #3 Rose Ruler and #11 Star's Image.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 10.3%
Price horse: Rose Ruler (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Mischievous Rogue
C A Emigh
B A Vanden Berg
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
64.8
 Top Pick
3 Rose Ruler
D Sheehy
M J Maker
 4/1
11
★★★★☆
64.4
 Value Play
11 Star's Image
B Curtis
J Sharp
 20/1
11
★★★★☆
63.8
  
10 Step Forward
A Concepcion
M E Casse
 3/1
10
★★★★☆
63.6
  
9 Tap Me a Song
G Saez
C Santamaria
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
63.1
  
8 The Minkster
J A Torres
C Caramori
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
61.5
  
4 Our Starry Night
L Saez
P A Bauer
 5/1
8
★★★★☆
60.5
  
6 Master of Light
M Garcia
E Vaughan
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.6
 Longshot
1 Boltage
R Bejarano
D Jacobson
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.5
  
5 I C Light
F Arrieta
M E Casse
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
57.0
  
2 Jet Sweep Joe
Y Hazlewood
P McEntee
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
55.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Mischievous Rogue
Jockey
C A Emigh
Trainer
B A Vanden Berg
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Rose Ruler
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M J Maker
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.4
Post · Horse
11
Star's Image
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
J Sharp
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse
10
Step Forward
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
M E Casse
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse
9
Tap Me a Song
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
C Santamaria
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
8
The Minkster
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
C Caramori
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
Post · Horse
4
Our Starry Night
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
P A Bauer
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Master of Light
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
E Vaughan
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse
1
Boltage
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D Jacobson
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
5
I C Light
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M E Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse
2
Jet Sweep Joe
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
P McEntee
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
Typemaiden or claiming, allowed
Purse$250,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:16 PM CT
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#6 Salahudin comes in off a sharp local maiden score with an 83 speed figure for Bob Baffert, but faces persistent early challenges from #7 Never a Doubt and #2 Sargent Bilko.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.9%
Price horse: Chasing the Son (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Salahudin
F Geroux
B Baffert
 2/1
25
★★★★☆
69.6
 Top Pick
2 Sargent Bilko
B Curtis
E Kenneally
 9/2
17
★★★★☆
63.7
  
7 Never a Doubt
J A Torres
C A David
 4/1
17
★★★★☆
63.7
  
5 Bearamour
J Graham
J K Desormeaux
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
58.3
  
4 Grand Yaupon
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 5/2
12
★★★☆☆
57.9
  
3 Chasing the Son
S Sanjur
R Hernandez
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.4
 Value Play
1 Tigrado
O Bocachica
M Douaihy
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Salahudin
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B Baffert
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.6
Post · Horse
2
Sargent Bilko
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
E Kenneally
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse
7
Never a Doubt
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
C A David
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse
5
Bearamour
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.3
Post · Horse
4
Grand Yaupon
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.9
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Chasing the Son
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
R Hernandez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse
1
Tigrado
Jockey
O Bocachica
Trainer
M Douaihy
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
Typestakes at a mile or over in
Purse$200,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:44 PM CT
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#2 Cash Call brings back-to-back triple-digit speed figures to this route stakes, but #6 Union Mist and #5 Five a Side offer formidable late-running opposition at a mile.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.0%
Price horse: Union Mist (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (6 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Cash Call
F Geroux
B Baffert
 9/5
22
★★★★☆
76.8
 Top Pick
5 Five a Side
J A Torres
J C Servis
 3/1
17
★★★★☆
72.9
  
3 In Just My Heels
Y Hazlewood
R Moquett
 5/1
15
★★★★☆
70.7
  
6 Union Mist
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 10/1
13
★★★★☆
68.9
 Value Play
4 Floating Beauty
E Morales
L Briley
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
68.8
 Longshot
1 Queen Azteca
C A Torres
R Brisset
 7/2
13
★★★★☆
68.2
  
7 Chilled
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Cash Call
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B Baffert
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.8
Post · Horse
5
Five a Side
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J C Servis
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.9
Post · Horse
3
In Just My Heels
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
R Moquett
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.7
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Union Mist
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.9
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Floating Beauty
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
L Briley
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
Post · Horse
1
Queen Azteca
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.2
Post · Horse
7
Chilled
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
Typemaiden or claiming, allowed
Purse$250,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:12 PM CT
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#6 Manuka Honey towers on figures off a 90 speed figure win at Churchill, but #2 Velvet Beretta enters off a sharp local maiden score and offers appealing 12/1 value.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 19.3%
Price horse: Velvet Beretta (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Manuka Honey
L Saez
B A Lynch
 9/5
23
★★★★☆
71.0
 Top Pick
2 Velvet Beretta
F Arrieta
M Douaihy
 12/1
15
★★★★☆
64.6
 Value Play
1 Cardio Cat
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 7/2
14
★★★★☆
63.8
  
8 Glory Run
A Achard
J Ennis
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
61.9
  
7 Caffeine Fix
C A Torres
R Brisset
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
60.4
  
3 For the Win
A Concepcion
G Weaver
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
57.0
  
5 Greatest Joy
A Beschizza
K Rice
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
56.6
  
4 Sweet Mary
J A Torres
C Santamaria
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Manuka Honey
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
B A Lynch
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Velvet Beretta
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M Douaihy
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
1
Cardio Cat
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse
8
Glory Run
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Ennis
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
7
Caffeine Fix
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.4
Post · Horse
3
For the Win
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
G Weaver
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse
5
Greatest Joy
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
K Rice
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.6
Post · Horse
4
Sweet Mary
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
C Santamaria
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
Typestakes winners (in order I-II-III) then horses having accumulated the highest li
Purse$400,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:42 PM CT
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#5 Plutarch brings top-tier California form and a 29.1% win probability, but #4 Igniter and #6 Spun D M C offer stiff class tests in this competitive mile stakes.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 25.5%
Price horse: Seventies Music (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Plutarch
F Geroux
B Baffert
 2/1
29
★★★★☆
77.3
 Top Pick
4 Igniter
L Saez
R E Dutrow, Jr.
 3/1
21
★★★★☆
72.5
  
6 Spun D M C
F Arrieta
R L Morse
 8/1
16
★★★★☆
68.2
 Longshot
2 Seventies Music
R Bejarano
R L Morse
 15/1
13
★★★★☆
64.9
 Value Play
3 Stop the Car
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 5/2
11
★★★★☆
62.9
  
1 Corona de Oro
B J Hernandez, Jr.
D Stewart
 7/2
10
★★★★☆
61.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Plutarch
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B Baffert
29
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.3
Post · Horse
4
Igniter
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
R E Dutrow, Jr.
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Spun D M C
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
R L Morse
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.2
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Seventies Music
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
R L Morse
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.9
Post · Horse
3
Stop the Car
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse
1
Corona de Oro
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
D Stewart
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
Typestakes winners (in order I-II-III) then those horses having accumulated the high
Purse$200,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:12 PM CT
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#2 Betty's Pearl boasts a 99 speed figure win at Churchill, but #9 Twirling Aces comes in fresh off a sharp local score and #1 Altadena lurks as a dangerous longshot.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.2%
Price horse: Twirling Aces (9/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Betty's Pearl
M Gutierrez
B A Lynch
 7/2
16
★★★★☆
73.9
 Top Pick
9 Twirling Aces
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 9/2
15
★★★★☆
72.9
 Value Play
3 Conceit
F Geroux
B H Cox
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
70.5
  
1 Altadena
W Antongeorgi III
D F O'Neill
 30/1
11
★★★★☆
69.1
 Longshot
4 Bet the Gray
F Arrieta
M Williams
 30/1
11
★★★★☆
68.6
  
5 Percy's Bar
L Machado
B Colebrook
 5/2
9
★★★★☆
66.2
  
6 Carmel Coast
L Saez
D Beckman
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
65.8
  
8 A Fine Chardonnay
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
 4/1
9
★★★★☆
65.7
  
7 Kingsolver
C A Torres
R Brisset
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
61.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Betty's Pearl
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
B A Lynch
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.9
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Twirling Aces
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.9
Post · Horse
3
Conceit
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B H Cox
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Altadena
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
D F O'Neill
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse
4
Bet the Gray
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
M Williams
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse
5
Percy's Bar
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
6
Carmel Coast
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
D Beckman
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
8
A Fine Chardonnay
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.7
Post · Horse
7
Kingsolver
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
Typestakes winners (in order I-II-III) then those horses having accumulated the high
Purse$200,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:42 PM CT
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#1 Heroic Move exits a 116 speed figure effort at Lone Star and handles the rail draw, but #2 Owen Almighty and #7 Bracket Buster pose significant pace threats.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.8%
Price horse: Owen Almighty (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Heroic Move
B J Hernandez, Jr.
R Diodoro
 9/2
17
★★★★☆
73.0
 Top Pick
2 Owen Almighty
L Saez
B A Lynch
 3/1
16
★★★★☆
71.4
 Value Play
7 Bracket Buster
A Concepcion
V H Oliver
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
69.7
  
6 This Is Uscar
E Morales
J Blair
 5/1
13
★★★★☆
68.5
  
8 Coal Battle
C A Torres
L Briley
 7/2
13
★★★★☆
68.2
  
4 Extra Anejo
F Geroux
S M Asmussen
 4/1
10
★★★★☆
65.0
  
3 Money Supply
B Curtis
J Sharp
 20/1
10
★★★★☆
64.4
 Longshot
5 Tennessee Lamb
J A Torres
G R Arnold II
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
61.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Heroic Move
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
R Diodoro
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.0
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Owen Almighty
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
B A Lynch
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse
7
Bracket Buster
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
V H Oliver
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.7
Post · Horse
6
This Is Uscar
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J Blair
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse
8
Coal Battle
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
L Briley
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.2
Post · Horse
4
Extra Anejo
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
S M Asmussen
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Money Supply
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
J Sharp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.4
Post · Horse
5
Tennessee Lamb
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
G R Arnold II
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:12 PM CT
Field Size13
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
#1 Paseo finished a close 2nd over the local turf course with an 81 speed figure, but #13 Eat Hay Run and #2 Zero Absolute loom large in this turf route finale.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.8%
Price horse: Eat Hay Run (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Paseo
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
 3/1
15
★★★★☆
63.2
 Top Pick
13 Eat Hay Run
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 7/2
14
★★★★☆
62.2
 Value Play
2 Zero Absolute
L Saez
P A Bauer
 9/2
12
★★★★☆
60.1
  
11 Episist
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
59.4
  
6 Roiling
L Machado
D Miller
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
55.6
  
7 Marcheline
A Concepcion
V H Oliver
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.7
  
8 Butterfly Jasmine
V R Carrasco
W M Catalano
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
48.8
  
4 Ageeba Beach
Y Hazlewood
B A Lynch
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
48.4
 Longshot
3 Promptly
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 8/1
4
★★★☆☆
43.7
  
12 Kastria
C A Torres
E Lopez
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
43.2
  
9 Funny Twist
J A Torres
R Mott
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.3
  
10 Pinpointed
J Elliott
E G Harty
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.0
  
5 Sails Up
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 8/1
2
★★☆☆☆
29.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Paseo
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse Value Play
13
Eat Hay Run
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.2
Post · Horse
2
Zero Absolute
Jockey
L Saez
Trainer
P A Bauer
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.1
Post · Horse
11
Episist
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
Post · Horse
6
Roiling
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
D Miller
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse
7
Marcheline
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
V H Oliver
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse
8
Butterfly Jasmine
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
W M Catalano
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Ageeba Beach
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
B A Lynch
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.4
Post · Horse
3
Promptly
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.7
Post · Horse
12
Kastria
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
E Lopez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.2
Post · Horse
9
Funny Twist
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Mott
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.3
Post · Horse
10
Pinpointed
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
E G Harty
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.0
Post · Horse
5
Sails Up
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 29.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 13-horse field.
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