Curated Betting Card

Ellis Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 7.

2026-08-16 Race 7 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Ellis Park · full board
Strongest play
R7
Wrong Shoes #2
Top conf.
Best value
R6
Lincoln Highway
12/1 ML
Best longshot
R1
First of His Name #2
12/1 ML
Deepest field
R3
11 runners
11
Pace race
R1
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Ellis Park presents a nine-race card on August 16, 2026, featuring a mix of competitive claiming events and maiden tests across dirt and turf. Bettors will encounter wide-open wagering landscapes early before sorting through more defined contenders in the later stages of the program. Handicappers should keep stakes measured and focus on keying progressive form while leveraging longshot value where early pace projects to stretch the main players.
Races 9 Status Live View Morning
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Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $16,000
Purse$35,000
Claiming$16,000
Trip & Field
Distance122 M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time10:00 AM CT
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Guardian enters this $16,000 claiming test off a solid fifth-place effort with a recent speed figure of 79 at Ellis Park, but the presence of live longshots like First of His Name leaves the race wide open. Can Guardian dictate terms against a chaotic pace group, or will a fresh price horse like First of His Name swoop past late?
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.6%
Price horse: First of His Name (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Guardian
S Pauly
D Jacobson
 3/1
16
★★★★☆
64.8
 Top Pick
2 First of His Name
V R Carrasco
A McKeever
 12/1
14
★★★★☆
62.5
 Value Play
9 Mitty's Griddy
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 2/1
14
★★★★☆
62.5
  
4 Halfway Joking
J A Torres
T Newton
 6/1
13
★★★★☆
60.9
  
6 Solevo
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
60.3
  
5 Tiger's Legacy
D Sheehy
M Lovell
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
59.0
  
7 War Munny
R A Vazquez
D W Roberson
 12/1
11
★★★☆☆
58.9
  
3 Waco
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
55.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Guardian
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
D Jacobson
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse Value Play
2
First of His Name
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
A McKeever
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse
9
Mitty's Griddy
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse
4
Halfway Joking
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
T Newton
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
Post · Horse
6
Solevo
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
Post · Horse
5
Tiger's Legacy
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M Lovell
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.0
Post · Horse
7
War Munny
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
D W Roberson
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.9
Post · Horse
3
Waco
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance118 M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time10:25 AM CT
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaidens, fillies and mares three years old and upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Lady Law and Fast Gun loom large in this maiden contest for fillies and mares after both turned in sharp runner-up efforts at Ellis Park last month. Will Lady Law convert her 21.6% win probability into a gate-to-wire score, or can Fast Gun run her down in the stretch?
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 19.6%
Price horse: Fast Gun (7/5 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Lady Law
L Machado
W B Calhoun
 4/1
22
★★★☆☆
59.9
 Top Pick
7 Fast Gun
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 7/5
21
★★★☆☆
59.4
 Value Play
4 She's Our Girl
D Sheehy
P Eurton
 7/2
16
★★★☆☆
55.4
  
6 Skyforge
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
51.0
  
2 Parisinthespring
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
 5/1
12
★★★☆☆
50.6
  
1 Twas the Law
A Beschizza
M R Thompson
 20/1
10
★★★☆☆
48.6
  
3 Alesiamae
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.8
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Lady Law
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
W B Calhoun
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Fast Gun
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
Post · Horse
4
She's Our Girl
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
P Eurton
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse
6
Skyforge
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse
2
Parisinthespring
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.6
Post · Horse
1
Twas the Law
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
M R Thompson
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Alesiamae
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $12,500
Purse$35,000
Claiming$12,500
Trip & Field
Distance122 M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time10:50 AM CT
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A massive field of twelve lines up for this $12,500 claimer, headed by #8 McIlroy who drops in class after a steady third-place run at Churchill Downs. Can McIlroy navigate the outside-ish post and clear the traffic, or will a price horse like #12 Tip Toe Joe navigate a clean trip from the parking lot?
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.6%
Price horse: Tip Toe Joe (12/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 McIlroy
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
62.3
 Top Pick
12 Tip Toe Joe
A Castillo
M Williams
 12/1
13
★★★★☆
61.1
 Value Play
2 Mister Positivity
S Pauly
E N Foster
 10/1
11
★★★☆☆
57.8
  
7 Frosted Bull
J A Torres
H Pitts
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
56.9
  
6 Romantic Lead
D Grisales Rave
G Esquivel
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
1 Compressed
A Beschizza
D G Heath
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.9
  
3 Coal Fired
W A Rodriguez
E N Foster
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.8
  
9 Charlie Tolu
J Graham
J L Hancock
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.0
  
4 Big Tech
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.8
  
11 Knick the Quick
L Machado
C Davis
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
48.2
  
10 Bekhamboy
A Burgos
J L Hancock
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
46.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
McIlroy
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
Post · Horse Value Play
12
Tip Toe Joe
Jockey
A Castillo
Trainer
M Williams
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse
2
Mister Positivity
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E N Foster
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
7
Frosted Bull
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
H Pitts
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.9
Post · Horse
6
Romantic Lead
Jockey
D Grisales Rave
Trainer
G Esquivel
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
1
Compressed
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
D G Heath
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.9
Post · Horse
3
Coal Fired
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
E N Foster
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.8
Post · Horse
9
Charlie Tolu
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J L Hancock
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse
4
Big Tech
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
11
Knick the Quick
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
C Davis
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.2
Post · Horse
10
Bekhamboy
Jockey
A Burgos
Trainer
J L Hancock
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance119 M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time11:15 AM CT
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaiden fillies two years old
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Juvenile fillies take to the turf in a contentious sprint where #2 Homeawayfromhome brings solid local experience off a third-place debut. Will experience prevail for the top pick, or can turf-bred newcomers like #7 Peace Mission take a step forward on the lawn?
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.8%
Price horse: Peace Mission (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Homeawayfromhome
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 3/1
14
★★★☆☆
52.7
 Top Pick
4 Cold Justice
M Gutierrez
R Brisset
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
50.6
  
7 Peace Mission
R A Vazquez
M E Casse
 10/1
12
★★★☆☆
50.5
 Value Play
8 Candy Pancakes
F Geroux
B H Cox
 9/2
12
★★★☆☆
49.7
  
6 Cyber Gal
J A Torres
R Mott
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
48.3
  
11 Shiftyindependence
M Garcia
P Matejka
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
47.1
  
1 Real as It Gets
R Bejarano
D F O'Neill
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
10 Camphor
A Concepcion
C DeVaux
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
45.4
  
5 Molly McIver
E Morales
K LaRose
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
41.5
  
3 Amuse Bouche
A Beschizza
M E Casse
 12/1
5
★★☆☆☆
36.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Homeawayfromhome
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse
4
Cold Justice
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
R Brisset
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.6
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Peace Mission
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
M E Casse
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
Post · Horse
8
Candy Pancakes
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B H Cox
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.7
Post · Horse
6
Cyber Gal
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Mott
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.3
Post · Horse
11
Shiftyindependence
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
P Matejka
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.1
Post · Horse
1
Real as It Gets
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D F O'Neill
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
10
Camphor
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
C DeVaux
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.4
Post · Horse
5
Molly McIver
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
K LaRose
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.5
Post · Horse
3
Amuse Bouche
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
M E Casse
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 36.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$31,250
Trip & Field
Distance000 M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time11:40 AM CT
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaidens, fillies and mares three years old and upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Gorrono Ranch leads a wide-open maiden special weight where #11 Command the Stars looks to improve off a sharp runner-up finish. Can Gorrono Ranch translate his consistent form into a graduation, or will Command the Stars go one better today?
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.4%
Price horse: Command the Stars (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Gorrono Ranch
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 7/2
15
★★★☆☆
56.1
 Top Pick
11 Command the Stars
F De La Cruz
T Newton
 5/1
13
★★★☆☆
54.1
 Value Play
8 Nanzig
G Saez
J F Hill, Jr.
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
53.3
  
6 Sudden Squall
L Machado
E W West
 10/1
12
★★★☆☆
53.2
 Longshot
1 Army Medic
A O Stanley
H Irion
 12/1
11
★★★☆☆
50.8
  
3 Rumbar
D Machado
B Colebrook
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
48.2
  
5 Spotted
B J Hernandez, Jr.
J S Radosevich
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.8
  
2 Diamond Tiara
M Meeks
B Williamson
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
10 Laughing Kathy
A Concepcion
G D Foley
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.5
  
12 Vinointhemoonlight
D Sheehy
M A Tomlinson
 12/1
4
★★☆☆☆
37.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Gorrono Ranch
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse Value Play
11
Command the Stars
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
T Newton
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.1
Post · Horse
8
Nanzig
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
J F Hill, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.3
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Sudden Squall
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
E W West
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
Post · Horse
1
Army Medic
Jockey
A O Stanley
Trainer
H Irion
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.8
Post · Horse
3
Rumbar
Jockey
D Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.2
Post · Horse
5
Spotted
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
J S Radosevich
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.8
Post · Horse
2
Diamond Tiara
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
B Williamson
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
10
Laughing Kathy
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
G D Foley
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.5
Post · Horse
12
Vinointhemoonlight
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M A Tomlinson
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or
Purse$104,000
Trip & Field
Distance122 M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:05 PM CT
Field Size6
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityNon-winners of three races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Class-relief seeker #3 Andthewinneris stands out on speed figures with a towering 102 two back, but heavy public support makes him vulnerable to an upset. Can #5 Lincoln Highway spring the surprise at 12/1, or will the class of the favorite prevail on the turf?
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.0%
Price horse: Lincoln Highway (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (6 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Andthewinneris
F Geroux
W M Catalano
 1/1
24
★★★★☆
68.4
 Top Pick
2 Winston
J Rosado
H De Paz
 6/1
17
★★★★☆
63.4
  
1 Demolition Duke
D Sheehy
M J Maker
 9/2
16
★★★★☆
62.5
  
4 Royal Majesty
J A Torres
W I Mott
 3/1
15
★★★★☆
60.8
  
5 Lincoln Highway
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
 12/1
14
★★★☆☆
59.8
 Value Play
6 Overstatement
A Beschizza
K G Miller
 8/1
14
★★★☆☆
59.5
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Andthewinneris
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
W M Catalano
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.4
Post · Horse
2
Winston
Jockey
J Rosado
Trainer
H De Paz
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse
1
Demolition Duke
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M J Maker
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse
4
Royal Majesty
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
W I Mott
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Lincoln Highway
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Overstatement
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
K G Miller
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $30,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won Three Races
Purse$42,500
Claiming$30,000
Trip & Field
Distance118 M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:30 PM CT
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityWhich have never won three races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Wrong Shoes towers over this claiming field with a 28.6% win probability and stellar speed figures, but #4 Cold Case looms as an intriguing upset threat off a recent local start. Will Wrong Shoes justify heavy support, or can Cold Case upset the favorite?
PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 24.4%
Price horse: Cold Case (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Wrong Shoes
A Concepcion
J A Ortiz
 3/5
29
★★★★☆
71.0
 Top Pick
7 Lockdownyourtown
R A Vazquez
R Diodoro
 4/1
19
★★★★☆
64.8
  
4 Cold Case
J A Torres
M Williams
 12/1
13
★★★☆☆
58.8
 Value Play
5 Ducat
A Beschizza
S A Kurtz
 20/1
12
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
3 Belle Ofthe Dance
G Saez
C Santamaria
 9/2
11
★★★☆☆
57.1
  
6 Lady Pippa
A Cedillo
R Medina
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
53.2
  
1 Nightmare Fuel
B Curtis
D Fawkes
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Wrong Shoes
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J A Ortiz
29
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse
7
Lockdownyourtown
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
R Diodoro
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Cold Case
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
M Williams
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.8
Post · Horse
5
Ducat
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
S A Kurtz
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
3
Belle Ofthe Dance
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
C Santamaria
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse
6
Lady Pippa
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
R Medina
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
Post · Horse
1
Nightmare Fuel
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
D Fawkes
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$102,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:55 PM CT
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityNon-winners of two races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A competitive dash at six furlongs brings together sharp recent winners including #7 Air of Defiance and #12 Show Time. Can Air of Defiance handle the outside draw and repeat his 99-figure local form, or will a price horse like #4 Bob's Carrot upset them?
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.6%
Price horse: Bob's Carrot (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Air of Defiance
G Saez
S J Cunningham
 6/1
16
★★★★☆
70.4
 Top Pick
12 Show Time
R Bejarano
D Jacobson
 5/1
16
★★★★☆
69.9
  
4 Bob's Carrot
J A Torres
C Santamaria
 12/1
14
★★★★☆
67.9
 Value Play
5 Trouble Time
R A Vazquez
N Vaccarezza
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
64.1
  
1 Map to the Stars
B J Hernandez, Jr.
A Hernandez
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
63.8
  
10 McCann
A Concepcion
G Weaver
 15/1
10
★★★★☆
63.2
  
6 Attersee
M Garcia
N W Casse
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
63.2
  
3 Run Benji Run
A Gomez
L A Jurado
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
57.3
  
11 Way Beyond
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Air of Defiance
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
S J Cunningham
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
Post · Horse
12
Show Time
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D Jacobson
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.9
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Bob's Carrot
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
C Santamaria
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.9
Post · Horse
5
Trouble Time
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
N Vaccarezza
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.1
Post · Horse
1
Map to the Stars
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
A Hernandez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse
10
McCann
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
G Weaver
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse
6
Attersee
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
N W Casse
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.2
Post · Horse
3
Run Benji Run
Jockey
A Gomez
Trainer
L A Jurado
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
Post · Horse
11
Way Beyond
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$40,000
Trip & Field
Distance000 M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:20 PM CT
Field Size11
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityMaidens, fillies and mares three years old and upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The card concludes with a turf maiden test where #11 Birch Run seeks to break through after finishing a close second locally on July 11. Will Birch Run secure a clean trip from post 11, or can #5 Eve capitalize on her class drop?
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.0%
Price horse: Eve (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
11 Birch Run
B J Hernandez, Jr.
P J McGee
 9/2
15
★★★☆☆
57.3
 Top Pick
5 Eve
V R Carrasco
G R Arnold II
 4/1
11
★★★☆☆
53.1
 Value Play
3 Risky Wave
G Saez
G R Arnold II
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
51.5
 Longshot
9 Marble Arch
R A Vazquez
R Medina
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
51.3
  
7 Depencier
A Concepcion
W B Calhoun
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
50.9
  
4 Great Kerry Lee
M Gutierrez
V H Oliver
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
49.8
  
12 Cosmopolitan Lady
L Machado
W B Calhoun
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
49.3
  
2 Astronova
E Morales
G D Foley
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
49.1
  
8 Main Mischief
J Graham
M W McCarthy
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.5
  
1 Modern Escape
G Corrales
T Moreno
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.3
  
10 Double Bypass
A Beschizza
W M Bindner, Jr.
 20/1
4
★★☆☆☆
38.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
11
Birch Run
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
P J McGee
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Eve
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
G R Arnold II
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Risky Wave
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
G R Arnold II
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse
9
Marble Arch
Jockey
R A Vazquez
Trainer
R Medina
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
Post · Horse
7
Depencier
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W B Calhoun
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse
4
Great Kerry Lee
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V H Oliver
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.8
Post · Horse
12
Cosmopolitan Lady
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
W B Calhoun
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.3
Post · Horse
2
Astronova
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
G D Foley
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
Post · Horse
8
Main Mischief
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
M W McCarthy
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.5
Post · Horse
1
Modern Escape
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
T Moreno
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.3
Post · Horse
10
Double Bypass
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
W M Bindner, Jr.
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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