Curated Betting Card

Ellis Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 5.

2026-08-17 Race 5 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Ellis Park · full board
Strongest play
R1
Midnight Vengeance #6
Top conf.
Best value
R1
Fast Joker
12/1 ML
Best longshot
R1
Refined Design #3
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R6
16 runners
16
Pace race
R1
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Ellis Park presents a full nine-race program featuring competitive claiming events and wide-open maiden special weight dashes over both dirt and turf. Bettors will need to lean on recent speed figures and sharp local workouts to navigate large fields, particularly in the turf sprints and two-year-old maiden races. Look to spread in multi-race wagers while targeting value runners who exhibit strong early-pace figures against vulnerable morning-line favorites.
Races 9 Status Live View Morning
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $16,000
Purse$35,000
Claiming$16,000
Trip & Field
Distance000 M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time11:50 AM CT
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Midnight Vengeance drops into a wide-open $16,000 claiming sprint off a sharp runner-up finish on July 24, but #5 Fast Joker and #2 Fitzgerald loom large if the top pick regresses from his recent 74 speed figure.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.8%
Price horse: Fast Joker (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Midnight Vengeance
B Curtis
G Londono
7/2
17
★★★☆☆
59.9
Top Pick
2 Fitzgerald
K J Asmussen
R Moquett
6/1
15
★★★☆☆
57.9
 
5 Fast Joker
R Bejarano
G Esquivel
12/1
15
★★★☆☆
57.9
Value Play
8 Surfin' M
C A Torres
A Shorter
4/1
11
★★★☆☆
53.9
 
4 Hutchinson
J A Torres
J K Sweezey
5/1
11
★★★☆☆
53.5
 
3 Refined Design
G Saez
F Nickel
8/1
11
★★★☆☆
53.1
Longshot
1 Politics
M Meeks
S A Kurtz
3/1
10
★★★☆☆
52.9
 
7 Duke of Suggins
M Nicholls
S A Kurtz
10/1
10
★★★☆☆
52.6
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Midnight Vengeance
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
G Londono
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
2
Fitzgerald
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
R Moquett
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.9
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Fast Joker
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
G Esquivel
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.9
Post · Horse
8
Surfin' M
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
A Shorter
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.9
Post · Horse
4
Hutchinson
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J K Sweezey
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Refined Design
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
F Nickel
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse
1
Politics
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
S A Kurtz
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse
7
Duke of Suggins
Jockey
M Nicholls
Trainer
S A Kurtz
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$37,500
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:19 PM CT
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maidens
Storyline
A competitive field of two-year-old maiden fillies lines up at six furlongs, where #4 Valentine Eve brings the most reliable foundation against a host of well-bred first-time starters and sharp-working newcomers like #2 Phantom Fire.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.9%
Price horse: Phantom Fire (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Valentine Eve
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
2/1
14
★★★☆☆
48.0
Top Pick
8 Slighted
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
8/1
14
★★★☆☆
47.7
Longshot
2 Phantom Fire
S Pauly
E Moger, Jr.
15/1
14
★★★☆☆
47.3
Value Play
3 Southern Way
C A Torres
R Brisset
4/1
12
★★★☆☆
45.9
 
9 Aloha Kim
W Antongeorgi III
T S Wismer
20/1
11
★★★☆☆
44.0
 
10 Bride
A Beschizza
T D Vance
12/1
10
★★★☆☆
42.5
 
7 Going Shopping
E Morales
C A Hartman
6/1
8
★★★☆☆
40.1
 
1 Isabella Gleam
D Sheehy
J Ennis
12/1
6
★★☆☆☆
35.4
 
5 First Glance
G Saez
L Briley
30/1
6
★★☆☆☆
34.6
 
6 Grace Marie
L Machado
B H Cox
9/2
5
★★☆☆☆
32.5
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Valentine Eve
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.0
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Slighted
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Phantom Fire
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E Moger, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.3
Post · Horse
3
Southern Way
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.9
Post · Horse
9
Aloha Kim
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
T S Wismer
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.0
Post · Horse
10
Bride
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
T D Vance
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.5
Post · Horse
7
Going Shopping
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
C A Hartman
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.1
Post · Horse
1
Isabella Gleam
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
J Ennis
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 35.4
Post · Horse
5
First Glance
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
L Briley
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 34.6
Post · Horse
6
Grace Marie
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B H Cox
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 32.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old Claiming Price $50,000
Purse$53,000
Claiming$50,000
Trip & Field
Distance119 M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:48 PM CT
Field Size13
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A bulky turf route for juvenile maiden fillies features an ocean of first-time starters, forcing handicappers to weigh turf pedigrees and morning drills against seasoned locals like #7 Donie Maronie.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 10.2%
Price horse: Ucanthandlthetruth (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Ucanthandlthetruth
Y Hazlewood
J C Servis
10/1
12
★★★☆☆
51.2
Top Pick
7 Donie Maronie
C A Torres
M E Casse
3/1
11
★★★☆☆
50.1
 
8 Doctor Approved
A Concepcion
W B Calhoun
5/1
9
★★★☆☆
47.1
 
2 Que Sera
B Curtis
E Kenneally
4/1
9
★★★☆☆
47.0
 
11 Practical Patsy
A Concepcion
J Sharp
8/1
9
★★★☆☆
47.0
 
4 Dovetail
F Geroux
R Brisset
12/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.4
 
10 Fifth Peg
L Machado
B Colebrook
12/1
8
★★★☆☆
45.3
 
5 Boss Lady Kar
A Beschizza
S J Cunningham
15/1
7
★★★☆☆
43.9
 
1 Zarzuela
O Bocachica
C Caramori
8/1
7
★★★☆☆
43.5
 
9 New Madrid
E Morales
T Drury, Jr.
8/1
7
★★★☆☆
43.2
 
12 Just Liberty
R Bejarano
D F O'Neill
8/1
6
★★★☆☆
40.2
 
3 Seismic Girl
J A Torres
M E Casse
8/1
5
★★☆☆☆
38.0
 
13 Hips of a Lady
C A Torres
R Brisset
12/1
5
★★☆☆☆
37.9
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Ucanthandlthetruth
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
J C Servis
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.2
Post · Horse
7
Donie Maronie
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
M E Casse
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
8
Doctor Approved
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W B Calhoun
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.1
Post · Horse
2
Que Sera
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
E Kenneally
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.0
Post · Horse
11
Practical Patsy
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.0
Post · Horse
4
Dovetail
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
R Brisset
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.4
Post · Horse
10
Fifth Peg
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Colebrook
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.3
Post · Horse
5
Boss Lady Kar
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
S J Cunningham
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.9
Post · Horse
1
Zarzuela
Jockey
O Bocachica
Trainer
C Caramori
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.5
Post · Horse
9
New Madrid
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
T Drury, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.2
Post · Horse
12
Just Liberty
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D F O'Neill
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.2
Post · Horse
3
Seismic Girl
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
M E Casse
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.0
Post · Horse
13
Hips of a Lady
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 13-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$37,500
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:16 PM CT
Field Size13
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maidens, Three
Storyline
A full gate of maiden sprinters gathers at six furlongs, where #7 Bienville stands out on figures but must fend off the class-droppers and improving sort #5 Mandy's Man Can.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 9.8%
Price horse: Mandy's Man Can (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Bienville
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
7/2
11
★★★☆☆
56.2
Top Pick
5 Mandy's Man Can
W A Rodriguez
P H Lobo
8/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.0
Value Play
12 Tapcon
S Pauly
G Garcia
10/1
9
★★★☆☆
53.0
 
4 Telecaster
W Antongeorgi III
H Holsapple
6/1
9
★★★☆☆
53.0
 
2 Hellacious
G Saez
N Troiani
8/1
9
★★★☆☆
52.8
 
13 Hill Country
J Graham
J K Desormeaux
8/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.9
 
10 Boonesboro
Y Hazlewood
B A Lynch
10/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.6
 
1 Pelican Hill
D Sheehy
P Eurton
6/1
7
★★★☆☆
50.5
 
9 Rocky Raccoon
J A Torres
J P DiVito
10/1
7
★★★☆☆
49.1
 
3 Ridge of Fire
B J Hernandez, Jr.
C Murphy
9/2
7
★★★☆☆
48.7
 
8 Sir Vincent
J Graham
J L Hancock
30/1
7
★★★☆☆
48.6
 
11 Slip Strike
L Machado
D Miller
20/1
5
★★★☆☆
45.2
 
6 Saudade
B Troxtell
R A Barrett
30/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.2
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Bienville
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Mandy's Man Can
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
P H Lobo
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.0
Post · Horse
12
Tapcon
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
G Garcia
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse
4
Telecaster
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
H Holsapple
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse
2
Hellacious
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
N Troiani
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
13
Hill Country
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J K Desormeaux
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.9
Post · Horse
10
Boonesboro
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
B A Lynch
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.6
Post · Horse
1
Pelican Hill
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
P Eurton
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
Post · Horse
9
Rocky Raccoon
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J P DiVito
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
Post · Horse
3
Ridge of Fire
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
C Murphy
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.7
Post · Horse
8
Sir Vincent
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J L Hancock
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
11
Slip Strike
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
D Miller
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.2
Post · Horse
6
Saudade
Jockey
B Troxtell
Trainer
R A Barrett
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 13-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $30,000
Purse$40,000
Claiming$30,000
Trip & Field
Distance123 M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:44 PM CT
Field Size11
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies And Mares
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Claiming Price $30,000, Fillies And Mares Three
Storyline
A competitive $30,000 turf claimer features #9 Galatina dropping slightly in class off an 83 figure effort here on July 6, with #10 West Coast Dream looming as a dangerous pace threat.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 11.4%
Price horse: West Coast Dream (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Galatina
G Saez
J Sharp
3/1
12
★★★★☆
61.6
Top Pick
10 West Coast Dream
Y Hazlewood
M W McCarthy
9/2
12
★★★★☆
61.0
Value Play
2 Never Really Know
C A Torres
N W Casse
6/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.1
 
7 Transatlantic
E Morales
B A Lynch
7/2
10
★★★☆☆
58.9
 
4 Diablo Shiraz
S Pauly
D W Roberson
20/1
10
★★★☆☆
57.9
 
3 Sussudio
A Beschizza
J A Hiles
5/1
9
★★★☆☆
57.3
 
5 Wine Party
J Elliott
E G Harty
8/1
9
★★★☆☆
57.2
Longshot
6 Royally Sassy
B Curtis
C Davis
12/1
8
★★★☆☆
55.9
 
11 Unlimited Gold
A Beschizza
J O'Dwyer
30/1
8
★★★☆☆
55.3
 
8 Pink Moon
W A Rodriguez
A Navarrete
30/1
6
★★★☆☆
49.3
 
1 Princess Buttercup
A Castillo
S E Shaffer
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
46.1
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Galatina
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
J Sharp
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
Post · Horse Value Play
10
West Coast Dream
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
M W McCarthy
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
Post · Horse
2
Never Really Know
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
N W Casse
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse
7
Transatlantic
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
B A Lynch
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.9
Post · Horse
4
Diablo Shiraz
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
D W Roberson
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.9
Post · Horse
3
Sussudio
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J A Hiles
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Wine Party
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
E G Harty
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.2
Post · Horse
6
Royally Sassy
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
C Davis
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse
11
Unlimited Gold
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J O'Dwyer
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.3
Post · Horse
8
Pink Moon
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
A Navarrete
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.3
Post · Horse
1
Princess Buttercup
Jockey
A Castillo
Trainer
S E Shaffer
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance119 M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:12 PM CT
Field Size16
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies And Mares
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maidens, Fillies And Mares Three
Storyline
Bob Baffert ships #12 Moona Lisa eastward for a route maiden event, where she must overcome the far outside post against local stalwart #6 Altadena.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 9.6%
Price horse: Altadena (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
12 Moona Lisa
F Geroux
B Baffert
7/2
11
★★★☆☆
59.7
Top Pick
6 Altadena
W Antongeorgi III
D F O'Neill
5/1
11
★★★☆☆
59.4
Value Play
7 Teatonic
Y Hazlewood
M W McCarthy
6/1
9
★★★☆☆
55.7
 
11 R Kendl
A Bendezu
J C Wainwright
30/1
8
★★★☆☆
54.3
 
1 Sweet Reward
A Concepcion
W I Mott
6/1
7
★★★☆☆
53.5
 
9 Somnambulist
A Beschizza
K Danner
10/1
7
★★★☆☆
53.1
Longshot
5 Love Divine
K J Asmussen
S M Asmussen
9/2
7
★★★☆☆
52.5
 
3 Pretty in a Dress
B Curtis
B P Walsh
10/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.0
 
16 Rhapsody in Blue
J C Bealmear
E K Roggenkamp III
15/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.6
 
2 Ready for a Title
B J Hernandez, Jr.
D Stewart
12/1
6
★★★☆☆
50.3
 
8 Wild Impulse
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
15/1
5
★★★☆☆
48.4
 
4 Lincoln Court
C A Torres
P D'Amato
15/1
5
★★★☆☆
47.5
 
10 Lola's Fine
R Bejarano
W N Howard
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
45.3
 
13 Maxfield's Dream
R Arrieta
R Pompell
30/1
3
★★★☆☆
40.6
 
14 Silver Curlin
A Ortiz
T Anderson
30/1
2
★★☆☆☆
36.9
 
15 Mistressofmischief
A Ortiz
T Anderson
30/1
2
★★☆☆☆
29.1
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
12
Moona Lisa
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B Baffert
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Altadena
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
D F O'Neill
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
Post · Horse
7
Teatonic
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
M W McCarthy
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.7
Post · Horse
11
R Kendl
Jockey
A Bendezu
Trainer
J C Wainwright
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.3
Post · Horse
1
Sweet Reward
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W I Mott
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Somnambulist
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
K Danner
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.1
Post · Horse
5
Love Divine
Jockey
K J Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.5
Post · Horse
3
Pretty in a Dress
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.0
Post · Horse
16
Rhapsody in Blue
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
E K Roggenkamp III
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.6
Post · Horse
2
Ready for a Title
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
D Stewart
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.3
Post · Horse
8
Wild Impulse
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.4
Post · Horse
4
Lincoln Court
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
P D'Amato
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.5
Post · Horse
10
Lola's Fine
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
W N Howard
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.3
Post · Horse
13
Maxfield's Dream
Jockey
R Arrieta
Trainer
R Pompell
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.6
Post · Horse
14
Silver Curlin
Jockey
A Ortiz
Trainer
T Anderson
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 36.9
Post · Horse
15
Mistressofmischief
Jockey
A Ortiz
Trainer
T Anderson
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 29.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $30,000
Purse$40,000
Claiming$30,000
Trip & Field
Distance000 F
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:42 PM CT
Field Size14
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A turf claiming dash features #2 Gallic Charm looking to translate a sharp 94 speed figure into a victory, though he faces a deep group including recent winner #10 Courageous Clay.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 10.2%
Price horse: Kick a Buck (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Gallic Charm
G Corrales
I Bahena
6/1
12
★★★★☆
62.5
Top Pick
9 Kick a Buck
A Concepcion
J Sharp
6/1
8
★★★☆☆
57.5
Value Play
14 Mister Positivity
S Pauly
E N Foster
30/1
8
★★★☆☆
57.4
 
5 Da Prince Is Right
F Geroux
M J Maker
9/2
8
★★★☆☆
56.7
 
4 Rulookinforrayray
E Morales
T Drury, Jr.
5/1
8
★★★☆☆
56.0
 
12 Taunting
A Beschizza
J E Baker
5/2
8
★★★☆☆
56.0
 
3 Dispersion
W A Rodriguez
E N Foster
30/1
7
★★★☆☆
55.3
 
10 Courageous Clay
D Sheehy
M Lovell
8/1
7
★★★☆☆
54.9
Longshot
6 Mi Compadre
J A Torres
B Williamson
15/1
6
★★★☆☆
53.6
 
7 Valiant Award
S Pauly
R J Short
30/1
6
★★★☆☆
53.5
 
8 Aguila Negra
M Meeks
D Salvador
15/1
6
★★★☆☆
52.5
 
1 Cash App Mike
G Saez
J M Medina
30/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.4
 
13 Jack Rabbit
J A Torres
B Williamson
30/1
5
★★★☆☆
50.1
 
11 Timberline
A Castillo
M Williams
30/1
5
★★★☆☆
48.6
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Gallic Charm
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
I Bahena
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Kick a Buck
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
14
Mister Positivity
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
E N Foster
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
Post · Horse
5
Da Prince Is Right
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
M J Maker
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
Post · Horse
4
Rulookinforrayray
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
T Drury, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
12
Taunting
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J E Baker
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
3
Dispersion
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
E N Foster
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.3
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Courageous Clay
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M Lovell
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.9
Post · Horse
6
Mi Compadre
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
B Williamson
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.6
Post · Horse
7
Valiant Award
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
R J Short
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
Post · Horse
8
Aguila Negra
Jockey
M Meeks
Trainer
D Salvador
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.5
Post · Horse
1
Cash App Mike
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
J M Medina
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
Post · Horse
13
Jack Rabbit
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
B Williamson
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
11
Timberline
Jockey
A Castillo
Trainer
M Williams
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Four Races Or W
Purse$106,000
Trip & Field
Distance0 F
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:12 PM CT
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityWhich Have Never Won Four Races Or Which Have Never Won Four Races Or W
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Four Races Or Which Have Never Won Four Races Or W
Storyline
A top-tier sprint clash features multiple graded stakes caliber performers, with #9 Nakatomi holding class superiority over local threats like #6 Autodrive and #8 Dreaminblue.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.9%
Price horse: Autodrive (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Nakatomi
Y Hazlewood
W A Ward
5/2
16
★★★★☆
72.9
Top Pick
6 Autodrive
B J Hernandez, Jr.
W B Calhoun
8/1
12
★★★★☆
68.6
Value Play
3 Lofty Adjudicator
W A Rodriguez
A Navarrete
30/1
11
★★★★☆
67.3
 
8 Dreaminblue
R Bejarano
R L Morse
3/1
10
★★★★☆
66.0
 
10 Here Mi Song
E Morales
W Stinson, Jr.
5/1
9
★★★★☆
65.4
 
7 Taylor's Version
M Garcia
D L Romans
6/1
9
★★★★☆
65.0
 
2 Billal
F Geroux
W I Mott
10/1
9
★★★★☆
64.7
 
5 Echo Again
J A Torres
J Blair
8/1
9
★★★★☆
64.3
 
4 Pinfire
A Concepcion
M A Tomlinson
15/1
8
★★★★☆
64.0
 
1 Prince of Power
L Machado
D Jacobson
30/1
8
★★★★☆
62.8
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Nakatomi
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
W A Ward
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.9
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Autodrive
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
W B Calhoun
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse
3
Lofty Adjudicator
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
A Navarrete
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse
8
Dreaminblue
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
R L Morse
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse
10
Here Mi Song
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
W Stinson, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse
7
Taylor's Version
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
D L Romans
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
2
Billal
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
W I Mott
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse
5
Echo Again
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
J Blair
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse
4
Pinfire
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
M A Tomlinson
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
1
Prince of Power
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
D Jacobson
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$40,000
Trip & Field
Distance000 F
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:42 PM CT
Field Size14
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Maidens, Three
Storyline
A competitive turf route for maiden three-year-olds and upward features #9 Breakaway dropping back down in class, while #1 Road Trippin looks to bounce back from a troubled Churchill trip.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 10.4%
Price horse: Road Trippin (10/1 ML) · Longshot value
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Breakaway
F Geroux
B H Cox
5/1
12
★★★☆☆
59.5
Top Pick
1 Road Trippin
B J Hernandez, Jr.
W B Calhoun
10/1
12
★★★☆☆
59.1
Value Play
11 Rockfest
W A Rodriguez
J P DiVito
10/1
10
★★★☆☆
56.3
 
2 Pursuit of Freedom
R Bejarano
P Eurton
7/2
9
★★★☆☆
55.8
 
3 Mr. All In
J A Torres
W B Calhoun
6/1
9
★★★☆☆
55.3
 
13 Waittilnextyear
L Machado
C Murphy
15/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.8
 
14 T V Channel
J A Torres
D Jacobson
8/1
6
★★★☆☆
49.6
 
8 Feeling Grand
A Concepcion
K Danner
9/2
6
★★★☆☆
49.2
 
6 Bigtimetimmyjim
G Corrales
L Briley
15/1
6
★★★☆☆
47.7
 
7 Hard Row
B Curtis
B P Walsh
6/1
5
★★★☆☆
47.1
 
12 No Politics
D Sheehy
M Lovell
30/1
5
★★★☆☆
45.7
 
4 Conquering Force
C A Torres
R Brisset
10/1
5
★★★☆☆
45.3
 
10 Titan King
Y Hazlewood
R Moquett
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
44.3
 
5 Buckley Gold Water
G Saez
R Medina
30/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.0
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Breakaway
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
B H Cox
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Road Trippin
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
W B Calhoun
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse
11
Rockfest
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
J P DiVito
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.3
Post · Horse
2
Pursuit of Freedom
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
P Eurton
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse
3
Mr. All In
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
W B Calhoun
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.3
Post · Horse
13
Waittilnextyear
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
C Murphy
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.8
Post · Horse
14
T V Channel
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
D Jacobson
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.6
Post · Horse
8
Feeling Grand
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
K Danner
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
Post · Horse
6
Bigtimetimmyjim
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
L Briley
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse
7
Hard Row
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.1
Post · Horse
12
No Politics
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
M Lovell
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
4
Conquering Force
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.3
Post · Horse
10
Titan King
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
R Moquett
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.3
Post · Horse
5
Buckley Gold Water
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
R Medina
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
  Go Pro