Curated Betting Card

Ellis Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 8.

2026-08-22 Race 8 Morning Card
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Card signals
Ellis Park · full board
Strongest play
R4
Margin of Air #5
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Lasting Quality #4
12/1 ML
Deepest field
R5
16 runners
16
Pace race
R1
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
A competitive nine-race program at Ellis Park features a strong mix of allowance turf routes, two-year-old maiden events, and claiming sprints. The middle portion of the card offers solid wagering structure in Races 3, 4, and 7, where established form lines give clear focal points in the win and exacta pools. Juvenile races bookend the sequences, where tracking sharp workout patterns and debut pedigrees provides key price leverage against vulnerable favorites.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$40,000
Trip & Field
Distance000 F
SurfaceDirt
Post Time11:50 AM CT
Field Size13
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Three
Storyline
A wide maiden field turns on whether #1 Silver Sniper can break through from the rail after consecutive runner-up efforts over this strip, or if #9 Boss' Deed turns around his form to recapture the 88 speed figure he posted at Churchill Downs three starts back.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 13.7%
Price horse: Boss' Deed (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Silver Sniper
F Arrieta
E N Foster
 5/2
15
★★★★☆
62.0
 Top Pick
9 Boss' Deed
A Concepcion
T Newton
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
59.2
 Value Play
11 Stoic Sage
J A Torres
C Richard
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
57.7
  
6 Mizzou
B J Hernandez, Jr.
J S Radosevich
 9/2
11
★★★☆☆
56.8
  
4 Lasting Quality
V R Carrasco
T Moreno
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
53.2
 Longshot
13 Hyperlink
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
8 Wicked Gun
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 5/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.1
  
2 Harbor Prince
E Morales
T Drury, Jr.
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.8
  
3 Maximum Honor
C A Torres
A Shorter
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.6
  
5 Adhemar
Y Hazlewood
J A Hancock
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.7
  
7 Red Rage
R Bejarano
B C Barnett
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.4
  
12 Slip Strike
L Machado
D Miller
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.0
  
10 Nonno
A Castillo
N Vaccarezza
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Silver Sniper
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E N Foster
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.0
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Boss' Deed
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
T Newton
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
11
Stoic Sage
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
C Richard
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
6
Mizzou
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
J S Radosevich
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Lasting Quality
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
T Moreno
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
Post · Horse
13
Hyperlink
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse
8
Wicked Gun
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
Post · Horse
2
Harbor Prince
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
T Drury, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.8
Post · Horse
3
Maximum Honor
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
A Shorter
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.6
Post · Horse
5
Adhemar
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
J A Hancock
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.7
Post · Horse
7
Red Rage
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
B C Barnett
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.4
Post · Horse
12
Slip Strike
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
D Miller
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.0
Post · Horse
10
Nonno
Jockey
A Castillo
Trainer
N Vaccarezza
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 13-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeAllowance
Purse$42,500
Trip & Field
Distance000 F
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:19 PM CT
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Veteran turf sprinter #2 Bad Beat Brian brings strong class credentials from Lone Star, but he must hold off in-form challenger #3 Joe the Tailor and California shipper #7 Golden Ale cutting back to a sprint.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.5%
Price horse: Joe the Tailor (12/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Bad Beat Brian
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 9/2
16
★★★★☆
70.4
 Top Pick
3 Joe the Tailor
F Arrieta
A Hernandez
 12/1
14
★★★★☆
68.3
 Value Play
7 Golden Ale
W Antongeorgi III
F Lucarelli
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
67.4
 Longshot
9 Shadow Coast
E Morales
K G Miller
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
65.5
  
8 Doctor Jeff
A Concepcion
K Magee
 7/2
11
★★★★☆
65.3
  
4 B D Valeski
A Beschizza
G D Foley
 4/1
10
★★★★☆
63.7
  
6 Catamount
D Sheehy
A M Meah
 12/1
9
★★★★☆
61.7
  
1 Chiseler
C A Emigh
B A Vanden Berg
 5/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.5
  
5 Curly Larry and Mo
O Bocachica
C Caramori
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
57.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Bad Beat Brian
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Joe the Tailor
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
A Hernandez
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Golden Ale
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
F Lucarelli
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.4
Post · Horse
9
Shadow Coast
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
K G Miller
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
8
Doctor Jeff
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
K Magee
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
4
B D Valeski
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
G D Foley
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse
6
Catamount
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
A M Meah
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
Post · Horse
1
Chiseler
Jockey
C A Emigh
Trainer
B A Vanden Berg
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
5
Curly Larry and Mo
Jockey
O Bocachica
Trainer
C Caramori
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $7,500 Or Less In 2025 - 2026 Or Claiming Price $16,000
Purse$38,750
Claiming$16,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSeven Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:48 PM CT
Field Size10
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward which have started for a claiming price of $7,500 or less in 2025 - 2026 or claiming price $16,000
Storyline
A compact claiming duel centers on whether #5 Derby Date can turn the tables on morning-line favorite #1 Lord Majesty, who defeated him with a 97 speed figure over this track on July 31.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.8%
Price horse: Lord Majesty (6/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Derby Date
F Arrieta
A Hernandez
 4/1
16
★★★★☆
72.5
 Top Pick
1 Lord Majesty
G Saez
C Milligan
 6/5
15
★★★★☆
72.0
 Value Play
3 Swiss Guard
J A Torres
S Manley
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
71.1
  
4 American Cause
W A Rodriguez
P Clay
 15/1
11
★★★★☆
66.6
 Longshot
10 Bourbon's Fault
M Murrill
C A Hartman
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
65.9
  
2 Nip N Tuck
D Sheehy
K G Miller
 15/1
8
★★★★☆
62.6
  
7 Couperin
R Bejarano
J G Cook
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
60.3
  
9 Imperial Ruler
A Beschizza
J F Hill, Jr.
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
6 Bloodline
E Morales
J E Orantes
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.9
  
8 Penrod
Y Hazlewood
D Hancock
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Derby Date
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
A Hernandez
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Lord Majesty
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
C Milligan
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.0
Post · Horse
3
Swiss Guard
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
S Manley
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.1
Post · Horse Longshot
4
American Cause
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
P Clay
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
Post · Horse
10
Bourbon's Fault
Jockey
M Murrill
Trainer
C A Hartman
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse
2
Nip N Tuck
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
K G Miller
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
Post · Horse
7
Couperin
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
J G Cook
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
Post · Horse
9
Imperial Ruler
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J F Hill, Jr.
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
6
Bloodline
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
J E Orantes
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.9
Post · Horse
8
Penrod
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
D Hancock
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter, Or State Bred Or Which Have Never Won Three Races Or
Purse$104,000
Trip & Field
Distance0 M
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:16 PM CT
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Eligibilitywhich have never won three races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward which have started for a claiming price, starter, or which have never won three races
Storyline
Ship-in runner #5 Margin of Air brings back-to-back 93 speed figures from Parx, challenging layoff returnee #7 Vital Mind and recent Ellis Park winner #3 Zat's the One in a contentious one-mile route.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 15.7%
Price horse: Vital Mind (7/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Margin of Air
R Bejarano
D Jacobson
 10/1
17
★★★★☆
69.3
 Top Pick
7 Vital Mind
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 7/2
15
★★★★☆
68.0
 Value Play
3 Zat's the One
F Arrieta
P D'Amato
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
67.8
 Longshot
6 Camp Hale
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
 4/1
14
★★★★☆
66.3
  
2 Jefferson Street
J A Torres
W I Mott
 5/2
13
★★★★☆
65.8
  
1 C K Wonder
M Garcia
D L Romans
 5/1
13
★★★★☆
65.6
  
4 Steeze
A Concepcion
R Mott
 6/1
13
★★★★☆
65.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Margin of Air
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D Jacobson
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Vital Mind
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.0
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Zat's the One
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
P D'Amato
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse
6
Camp Hale
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
2
Jefferson Street
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
W I Mott
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
1
C K Wonder
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
D L Romans
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.6
Post · Horse
4
Steeze
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
R Mott
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance119 M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:44 PM CT
Field Size16
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens
Storyline
A full field of juvenile debut fillies squares off on the turf, where #4 Don't Tell Mom leads on pedigree and training pattern, while #6 Hex Appeal and Brad Cox firster #7 Jump Seat vie for early market support.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 7.8%
Price horse: Hex Appeal (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Don't Tell Mom
Y Hazlewood
B A Lynch
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
49.6
 Top Pick
6 Hex Appeal
F Arrieta
E Kenneally
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.8
 Value Play
2 Special Liberty
C A Torres
B P Walsh
 7/2
8
★★★☆☆
46.7
  
7 Jump Seat
L Machado
B H Cox
 4/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
8 Devious Lady
J A Torres
W B Calhoun
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.1
  
1 Make It Skate
D Sheehy
B P Walsh
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.2
  
10 Harmoniously
A Concepcion
C DeVaux
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.1
  
16 Ubiquitous Annie
A Beschizza
M A Shirer
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.0
  
5 Missy
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.8
  
15 Won'tcatchmecryan
J A Torres
C A David
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.5
  
12 Jackie and Ginger
G Saez
J Sharp
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.5
  
11 Tajin Time
M Garcia
D L Romans
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.5
  
3 Frost Brite
A Beschizza
J Sharp
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.3
  
9 Girl On a Tear
E Morales
M W McCarthy
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.1
  
13 Mayflower Girl
G Corrales
R B Hess, Jr.
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.8
 Longshot
14 Miss Moneyball
A Cedillo
M A Shirer
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Don't Tell Mom
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
B A Lynch
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.6
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Hex Appeal
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E Kenneally
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.8
Post · Horse
2
Special Liberty
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
B P Walsh
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.7
Post · Horse
7
Jump Seat
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B H Cox
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
8
Devious Lady
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
W B Calhoun
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.1
Post · Horse
1
Make It Skate
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
B P Walsh
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.2
Post · Horse
10
Harmoniously
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
C DeVaux
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.1
Post · Horse
16
Ubiquitous Annie
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
M A Shirer
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.0
Post · Horse
5
Missy
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.8
Post · Horse
15
Won'tcatchmecryan
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
C A David
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.5
Post · Horse
12
Jackie and Ginger
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
J Sharp
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.5
Post · Horse
11
Tajin Time
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
D L Romans
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.5
Post · Horse
3
Frost Brite
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
J Sharp
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.3
Post · Horse
9
Girl On a Tear
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
M W McCarthy
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.1
Post · Horse Longshot
13
Mayflower Girl
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
R B Hess, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.8
Post · Horse
14
Miss Moneyball
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
M A Shirer
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$53,000
Trip & Field
Distance0 F
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:12 PM CT
Field Size15
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens
Storyline
Morning-line favorite #6 Elewene enters off an 87 speed figure debut at Ellis Park, but #5 Sweet Venture and first-time starter #3 Belladore from the Asmussen stable create a serious upset threat.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 11.7%
Price horse: Sweet Venture (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Elewene
M Garcia
D L Romans
 2/1
12
★★★☆☆
53.7
 Top Pick
5 Sweet Venture
F Arrieta
E Kenneally
 7/2
11
★★★☆☆
52.9
 Value Play
7 Callie's Dance
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
15 Sharply
S Pauly
G Garcia
 30/1
7
★★★☆☆
46.5
  
3 Belladore
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.2
 Longshot
12 Katie Jane
J A Torres
R Mott
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.9
  
13 A Sip of Vino
A Mendoza
G Garcia
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.7
  
8 Placing Blame
L Machado
C Davis
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.4
  
14 Tough Act
A Concepcion
V H Oliver
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.9
  
4 Puzzled
G Saez
W B Calhoun
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.1
  
9 Revereign
W Antongeorgi III
H Holsapple
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.2
  
1 Hips of a Lady
C A Torres
R Brisset
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
40.6
  
10 Absolute Lea W
A Espinoza
D K Von Hemel
 20/1
5
★★☆☆☆
40.0
  
11 Speight Her Size
A Beschizza
T D Vance
 15/1
4
★★☆☆☆
39.3
  
2 Insta Lane
B Troxtell
G F House
 30/1
4
★★☆☆☆
38.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Elewene
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
D L Romans
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.7
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Sweet Venture
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E Kenneally
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse
7
Callie's Dance
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse
15
Sharply
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
G Garcia
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Belladore
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.2
Post · Horse
12
Katie Jane
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Mott
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.9
Post · Horse
13
A Sip of Vino
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.7
Post · Horse
8
Placing Blame
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
C Davis
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.4
Post · Horse
14
Tough Act
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
V H Oliver
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.9
Post · Horse
4
Puzzled
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
W B Calhoun
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.1
Post · Horse
9
Revereign
Jockey
W Antongeorgi III
Trainer
H Holsapple
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.2
Post · Horse
1
Hips of a Lady
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Brisset
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.6
Post · Horse
10
Absolute Lea W
Jockey
A Espinoza
Trainer
D K Von Hemel
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 40.0
Post · Horse
11
Speight Her Size
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
T D Vance
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.3
Post · Horse
2
Insta Lane
Jockey
B Troxtell
Trainer
G F House
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 15-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $30,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won Three Races
Purse$42,500
Claiming$30,000
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:42 PM CT
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexthree year olds
Eligibilitywhich have never won three races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For three year olds and upward which have never won three races. Claiming Price $30,000 or less
Storyline
Speedster #8 Capital Connection looks to clear the field from the outside post, but must withstand late pressure from #3 Storm the Streets and #2 Trouble Ahead cutting back to six furlongs.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.3%
Price horse: Storm the Streets (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Capital Connection
G Saez
C Santamaria
 4/1
15
★★★★☆
69.4
 Top Pick
3 Storm the Streets
S Pauly
G Garcia
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
67.7
 Value Play
2 Trouble Ahead
D Sheehy
C Milligan
 7/2
13
★★★★☆
67.6
  
1 Nyquist Frequency
W A Rodriguez
P Clay
 10/1
13
★★★★☆
67.5
 Longshot
7 Editor
F Arrieta
C A David
 8/1
12
★★★★☆
65.8
  
9 Cant Stop Munnings
B J Hernandez, Jr.
S M Asmussen
 5/1
11
★★★★☆
64.5
  
4 Just Asap
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 8/1
9
★★★★☆
62.4
  
5 Skynet
M Gutierrez
R A Barrett
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.7
  
6 Join
J A Torres
S A Kurtz
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Capital Connection
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
C Santamaria
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Storm the Streets
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
G Garcia
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.7
Post · Horse
2
Trouble Ahead
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
C Milligan
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Nyquist Frequency
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
P Clay
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse
7
Editor
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
C A David
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
9
Cant Stop Munnings
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
S M Asmussen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
4
Just Asap
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
Post · Horse
5
Skynet
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
R A Barrett
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
Post · Horse
6
Join
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
S A Kurtz
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$102,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:12 PM CT
Field Size12
Eligibility & Weights
Age/Sexfillies and mares
Eligibilitywhich have never won two races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For fillies and mares three years old and upward which have never won two races
Storyline
Outside-drawn #12 La Cantera drops in class with high turf speed figures, but she must navigate a wide trip against reliable rail-runner #1 Sy B and George Arnold trainee #11 High South.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 13.6%
Price horse: Sy B (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
12 La Cantera
F Arrieta
C A David
 5/1
14
★★★★☆
67.1
 Top Pick
1 Sy B
A Concepcion
C DeVaux
 3/1
13
★★★★☆
65.5
 Value Play
11 High South
C A Torres
G R Arnold II
 9/2
11
★★★★☆
63.4
  
2 Miss Complicated
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
60.6
  
9 Jalila
A Beschizza
G Weaver
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
58.9
  
4 Spin a Tune
J A Torres
E G Harty
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
58.1
  
10 Stunning Sapphire
M Garcia
N G Goodwin
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
57.8
  
6 Shared Vision
V R Carrasco
G R Arnold II
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
57.3
 Longshot
3 French Mistress
J Graham
J A Hiles
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
54.4
  
5 Ring Rights
D Sheehy
B Knippenberg
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
53.4
  
7 Easter Promise
R Bejarano
B D Michael
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.5
  
8 Smell the Lilies
L Machado
S M Asmussen
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
52.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
12
La Cantera
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
C A David
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Sy B
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
C DeVaux
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
Post · Horse
11
High South
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
G R Arnold II
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse
2
Miss Complicated
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.6
Post · Horse
9
Jalila
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
G Weaver
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.9
Post · Horse
4
Spin a Tune
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
E G Harty
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
Post · Horse
10
Stunning Sapphire
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
N G Goodwin
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Shared Vision
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
G R Arnold II
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
Post · Horse
3
French Mistress
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
J A Hiles
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse
5
Ring Rights
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
B Knippenberg
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.4
Post · Horse
7
Easter Promise
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
B D Michael
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.5
Post · Horse
8
Smell the Lilies
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
S M Asmussen
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
Distance118 M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:42 PM CT
Field Size14
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies And Mares
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Fillies And Mares Three
Storyline
Turf maiden router #5 Paradise Street returns from a freshening with a 92 speed figure top for Brian Lynch, facing #3 Hey Miss Olivia and front-running threat #1 Fregata in the card finale.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 13.9%
Price horse: Hey Miss Olivia (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Paradise Street
M Gutierrez
B A Lynch
 7/2
15
★★★★☆
65.4
 Top Pick
3 Hey Miss Olivia
F Arrieta
E Kenneally
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
61.2
 Value Play
10 Sugar Doll
Y Hazlewood
B A Lynch
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.5
 Longshot
1 Fregata
V R Carrasco
W M Catalano
 5/1
9
★★★☆☆
57.9
  
7 By La Rina
G Saez
M A Tomlinson
 9/2
9
★★★☆☆
57.7
  
2 Lexi V.
C A Torres
G R Arnold II
 10/1
8
★★★☆☆
54.8
  
8 Toast the Star
W A Rodriguez
J A Hancock
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
54.4
  
14 Wind Sand Stars
S Pauly
K M Kaufeld
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
53.0
  
11 Mundy Sweep
G Corrales
D L Romans
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.1
  
4 Conqueress
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
46.5
  
12 Secret Meet
D Sheehy
B D Michael
 30/1
4
★★★☆☆
44.1
  
6 Balright
R Bejarano
J Dixon, Jr.
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
42.6
  
13 Wangshu
E Morales
A McKeever
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
41.8
  
9 Lolly Poppin
A Beschizza
F Salas
 30/1
3
★★★☆☆
40.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Paradise Street
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
B A Lynch
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Hey Miss Olivia
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E Kenneally
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.2
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Sugar Doll
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
B A Lynch
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.5
Post · Horse
1
Fregata
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
W M Catalano
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.9
Post · Horse
7
By La Rina
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
M A Tomlinson
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
2
Lexi V.
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
G R Arnold II
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.8
Post · Horse
8
Toast the Star
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
J A Hancock
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse
14
Wind Sand Stars
Jockey
S Pauly
Trainer
K M Kaufeld
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse
11
Mundy Sweep
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
D L Romans
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
Post · Horse
4
Conqueress
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
Post · Horse
12
Secret Meet
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
B D Michael
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.1
Post · Horse
6
Balright
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
J Dixon, Jr.
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.6
Post · Horse
13
Wangshu
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
A McKeever
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.8
Post · Horse
9
Lolly Poppin
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
F Salas
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 14-horse field.
  Go Pro