Curated Betting Card

Ellis Park

Data-driven full-card analysis with compact access to every race on the board.

2026-08-23 Morning Card
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Ellis Park · full board
Strongest play
R1
Executor #3
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Ramblin #8
6/1 ML
Deepest field
R7
16 runners
16
Pace race
R2
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
The nine-race program at Ellis Park features competitive turf action headlined by an open stakes test in Race 8 alongside several wide-open maiden contests. Form-based edges appear early in Race 1 with turf claimers and in Race 3 with maiden turf routes, while juvenile divisions in Races 5, 7, and 9 present large fields where disciplined bankroll management is recommended. Value seekers will find playable pricing angles in the turf sprint allowance of Race 6 and underneath in the Race 8 stakes feature.
Races 9 Status Live View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $30,000
Purse$30,000
Claiming$30,000
Trip & Field
Distance000 F
SurfaceTurf
Post Time11:50 AM CT
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The opener pits #3 Executor, who ran a sharp 94 speed figure at Horseshoe Indianapolis last month, against #4 Tiz Freedom, who owns back-to-back local figures of 96 and 93 over the Pea Patch turf.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 22.8%
Price horse: Tiz Freedom (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Executor
F Geroux
C M Block
 2/1
22
★★★★☆
66.9
 Top Pick
4 Tiz Freedom
G Saez
E N Foster
 5/2
15
★★★★☆
61.8
 Value Play
7 This Beau Knows
T Gaffalione
C M Block
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
60.6
  
8 Ramblin
W A Rodriguez
P H Lobo
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
58.0
 Longshot
6 Restore
B Curtis
D Stewart
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
57.7
  
1 Culture War
C A Torres
R Medina
 5/1
12
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
2 Fight the Power
F Reyes
E Lopez
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
52.6
  
5 Malevaje
J Meza
P H Brown, Jr.
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
47.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Executor
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
C M Block
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Tiz Freedom
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
E N Foster
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse
7
This Beau Knows
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
C M Block
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.6
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Ramblin
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
P H Lobo
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.0
Post · Horse
6
Restore
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
D Stewart
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
1
Culture War
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
R Medina
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
2
Fight the Power
Jockey
F Reyes
Trainer
E Lopez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
Post · Horse
5
Malevaje
Jockey
J Meza
Trainer
P H Brown, Jr.
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$31,250
Trip & Field
Distance000 F
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:19 PM CT
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A competitive maiden field turns on whether #6 Prince of Light can improve on his recent 73 and 75 speed figures while cutting back, or if #10 Problem Solved can overcome an outside post after earning a 77 figure locally.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.8%
Price horse: Problem Solved (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Prince of Light
F Geroux
M J Maker
 5/1
16
★★★☆☆
57.3
 Top Pick
10 Problem Solved
F Arrieta
C Milligan
 3/1
15
★★★☆☆
56.6
 Value Play
8 Whatever
B Martinez
R Martinez
 8/1
14
★★★☆☆
55.4
  
3 McKinsense
G Saez
R L Morse
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
52.9
  
5 Props
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 12/1
11
★★★☆☆
51.7
 Longshot
7 Pelican Hill
D Sheehy
P Eurton
 9/2
10
★★★☆☆
50.2
  
2 Honor Bound
V R Carrasco
T Moreno
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.2
  
9 Hartzus
Y Hazlewood
R Moquett
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.1
  
4 Four Dimes
G Corrales
D L Romans
 6/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.1
  
1 Pick a Switch
L Machado
D Miller
 20/1
5
★★☆☆☆
39.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Prince of Light
Jockey
F Geroux
Trainer
M J Maker
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Problem Solved
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
C Milligan
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.6
Post · Horse
8
Whatever
Jockey
B Martinez
Trainer
R Martinez
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse
3
McKinsense
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
R L Morse
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Props
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
7
Pelican Hill
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
P Eurton
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse
2
Honor Bound
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
T Moreno
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.2
Post · Horse
9
Hartzus
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
R Moquett
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.1
Post · Horse
4
Four Dimes
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
D L Romans
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.1
Post · Horse
1
Pick a Switch
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
D Miller
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$31,250
Trip & Field
Distance000 F
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:48 PM CT
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
First-time starter #3 Can't Stop Willis enters with solid connections, but must tackle experienced turf runners like #6 Turnbuckle, who has hit the board in three of his last four starts.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 20.8%
Price horse: Turnbuckle (12/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Can't Stop Willis
F Arrieta
C Milligan
 4/1
20
★★★☆☆
59.2
 Top Pick
6 Turnbuckle
G Saez
D Hancock
 12/1
12
★★★☆☆
52.0
 Value Play
2 Positive Equity
A Concepcion
G Weaver
 7/2
12
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
8 T V Channel
Y Hazlewood
D Jacobson
 5/2
11
★★★☆☆
50.4
  
5 Nyttime Story
J C Bealmear
B D Michael
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
48.9
 Longshot
7 Al Amjaad
A Beschizza
D G Heath
 5/1
9
★★★☆☆
47.2
  
9 Crude Intentions
D Sheehy
C Murphy
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
46.6
  
4 Hamlet
B J Hernandez, Jr.
P J McGee
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
46.6
  
1 Blakely's Boy
A Ortiz
A Nesbitt
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
44.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Can't Stop Willis
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
C Milligan
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Turnbuckle
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
D Hancock
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.0
Post · Horse
2
Positive Equity
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
G Weaver
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse
8
T V Channel
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
D Jacobson
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.4
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Nyttime Story
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
B D Michael
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.9
Post · Horse
7
Al Amjaad
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
D G Heath
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.2
Post · Horse
9
Crude Intentions
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
C Murphy
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.6
Post · Horse
4
Hamlet
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
P J McGee
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.6
Post · Horse
1
Blakely's Boy
Jockey
A Ortiz
Trainer
A Nesbitt
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$37,500
Trip & Field
Distance000 F
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:16 PM CT
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The fourth race centers on whether #4 She's Gotta Go can turn recent runner-up finishes into a breakthrough win, or if #9 Watershed Moment can overcome a layoff following three straight runner-up efforts in the spring.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.8%
Price horse: Lexico (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 She's Gotta Go
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 6/1
14
★★★☆☆
55.6
 Top Pick
6 Lexico
R Bejarano
D J Habeeb
 4/1
13
★★★☆☆
55.2
 Value Play
9 Watershed Moment
T Gaffalione
R Medina
 2/1
13
★★★☆☆
54.6
  
3 Crystal Frost
E Morales
R A Barrett
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
52.0
  
2 Raging Current
L Hoskins
C A David
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
51.6
 Longshot
1 Added Touch
J Graham
S M Asmussen
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
8 Mo Biscuit
V R Carrasco
T Humphries
 12/1
10
★★★☆☆
51.1
  
7 Legit Chick
D Sheehy
S D Dunn
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
49.7
  
5 Maxies Bubble Gum
F Arrieta
E N Foster
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.1
  
10 Skylar's Mate
A Concepcion
G T Forster
 20/1
4
★★☆☆☆
37.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
She's Gotta Go
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.6
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Lexico
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
D J Habeeb
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.2
Post · Horse
9
Watershed Moment
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
R Medina
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.6
Post · Horse
3
Crystal Frost
Jockey
E Morales
Trainer
R A Barrett
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.0
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Raging Current
Jockey
L Hoskins
Trainer
C A David
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.6
Post · Horse
1
Added Touch
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
S M Asmussen
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse
8
Mo Biscuit
Jockey
V R Carrasco
Trainer
T Humphries
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
Post · Horse
7
Legit Chick
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
S D Dunn
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.7
Post · Horse
5
Maxies Bubble Gum
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E N Foster
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.1
Post · Horse
10
Skylar's Mate
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
G T Forster
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:44 PM CT
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A full field of juvenile fillies stretch out to a mile where #1 Ever Forward seeks to build on a runner-up debut against #10 Violent Gal, who finished third at Churchill Downs with a 74 speed figure.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 10.8%
Price horse: Violent Gal (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Ever Forward
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 3/1
12
★★★☆☆
53.6
 Top Pick
10 Violent Gal
B J Hernandez, Jr.
I R Wilkes
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
52.3
 Value Play
8 Etna
G Saez
W B Calhoun
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
51.7
  
7 That's the Girl
A Achard
R Medina
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
49.4
  
4 Lily's Revenge
D Sheehy
G Weaver
 20/1
9
★★★☆☆
49.1
 Longshot
3 Devilish Delight
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
48.8
  
5 Prompt Response
Y Hazlewood
J C Servis
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
47.4
  
11 Miss McCloud
J Graham
T E Hamm
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
47.4
  
12 Jerri Jo
J A Torres
R Mott
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.8
  
2 Dixieland
A Concepcion
W Walden
 9/2
7
★★★☆☆
45.3
  
9 Madam Joker
L Machado
C Davis
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.1
  
6 Seismic Shift
A Cedillo
I R Wilkes
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Ever Forward
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.6
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Violent Gal
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
I R Wilkes
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.3
Post · Horse
8
Etna
Jockey
G Saez
Trainer
W B Calhoun
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
Post · Horse
7
That's the Girl
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
R Medina
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.4
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Lily's Revenge
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
G Weaver
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
Post · Horse
3
Devilish Delight
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
Post · Horse
5
Prompt Response
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
J C Servis
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.4
Post · Horse
11
Miss McCloud
Jockey
J Graham
Trainer
T E Hamm
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.4
Post · Horse
12
Jerri Jo
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Mott
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.8
Post · Horse
2
Dixieland
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
W Walden
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.3
Post · Horse
9
Madam Joker
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
C Davis
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.1
Post · Horse
6
Seismic Shift
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
I R Wilkes
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$102,000
Trip & Field
DistanceFive And One Half Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:12 PM CT
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Speed is the story at 5 1/2 furlongs on the grass as Wesley Ward's #9 Double Talker looks to break through after three straight 89 speed figures, while #3 Military Cruiser enters off a sharp 93 figure locally.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.2%
Price horse: Twilight Delight (5/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Double Talker
W A Rodriguez
W A Ward
 2/1
16
★★★★☆
66.4
 Top Pick
2 Twilight Delight
Y Hazlewood
D Leitch
 5/1
14
★★★★☆
64.8
 Value Play
3 Military Cruiser
C A Torres
N Vaccarezza
 7/2
13
★★★★☆
63.6
 Longshot
10 Valiant Humor
A Concepcion
S R Radosevich
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.4
  
4 Zap d'Etat
F De La Cruz
G F House
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
1 Mom's Spaghetti
L Machado
A Navarrete
 20/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.1
  
8 Magic Brew
T Gaffalione
G D Foley
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
58.1
  
7 Livehappy
G Corrales
T Moreno
 30/1
8
★★★☆☆
56.4
  
6 Frontier Justice
A Beschizza
D G Heath
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
53.7
  
5 Blue Coast
B Troxtell
G F House
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
48.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Double Talker
Jockey
W A Rodriguez
Trainer
W A Ward
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.4
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Twilight Delight
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
D Leitch
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Military Cruiser
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
N Vaccarezza
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse
10
Valiant Humor
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
S R Radosevich
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
Post · Horse
4
Zap d'Etat
Jockey
F De La Cruz
Trainer
G F House
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
1
Mom's Spaghetti
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
A Navarrete
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse
8
Magic Brew
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
G D Foley
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
Post · Horse
7
Livehappy
Jockey
G Corrales
Trainer
T Moreno
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.4
Post · Horse
6
Frontier Justice
Jockey
A Beschizza
Trainer
D G Heath
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.7
Post · Horse
5
Blue Coast
Jockey
B Troxtell
Trainer
G F House
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$100,000
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:42 PM CT
Field Size16
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A crowded field of sixteen two-year-old maidens makes the break crucial, where #5 Mahogany Dream seeks to replicate his 81 speed figure from two back against #3 See You Soon.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 8.0%
Price horse: See You Soon (20/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Mahogany Dream
B Curtis
N G Goodwin
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
54.3
 Top Pick
3 See You Soon
A Concepcion
J Sharp
 20/1
9
★★★☆☆
53.6
 Value Play
6 Hickory
J A Torres
C DeVaux
 5/1
8
★★★☆☆
50.8
  
9 Henriques
F Arrieta
P D'Amato
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
50.6
  
1 Ali's Glory
R Bejarano
J Dixon, Jr.
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
50.0
  
4 Take Charge Beach
A Mendoza
G Garcia
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
49.7
 Longshot
8 Social Deception
E Asmussen
S M Asmussen
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
47.7
  
14 My Birthday Gift
R Bejarano
R A Barrett
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.7
  
13 In the Hunt
A Cedillo
R C Bryner
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.2
  
15 Signature
T Gaffalione
B A Lynch
 9/2
6
★★★☆☆
46.0
  
7 Major Awe
C A Torres
D Stewart
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
45.7
  
12 Apexion
T Gaffalione
S M Asmussen
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
45.2
  
2 Fonzarelli
L Machado
B H Cox
 7/2
5
★★★☆☆
44.8
  
16 Jokes Reserve
O Bocachica
C Caramori
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
44.1
  
11 Chrome
A Cedillo
I R Wilkes
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.5
  
10 Heise
M Garcia
D L Romans
 8/1
4
★★★☆☆
43.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Mahogany Dream
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
N G Goodwin
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.3
Post · Horse Value Play
3
See You Soon
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
J Sharp
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.6
Post · Horse
6
Hickory
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
C DeVaux
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.8
Post · Horse
9
Henriques
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
P D'Amato
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.6
Post · Horse
1
Ali's Glory
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
J Dixon, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Take Charge Beach
Jockey
A Mendoza
Trainer
G Garcia
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.7
Post · Horse
8
Social Deception
Jockey
E Asmussen
Trainer
S M Asmussen
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse
14
My Birthday Gift
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
R A Barrett
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.7
Post · Horse
13
In the Hunt
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
R C Bryner
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.2
Post · Horse
15
Signature
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B A Lynch
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.0
Post · Horse
7
Major Awe
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
D Stewart
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.7
Post · Horse
12
Apexion
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
S M Asmussen
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.2
Post · Horse
2
Fonzarelli
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B H Cox
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
Post · Horse
16
Jokes Reserve
Jockey
O Bocachica
Trainer
C Caramori
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.1
Post · Horse
11
Chrome
Jockey
A Cedillo
Trainer
I R Wilkes
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.5
Post · Horse
10
Heise
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
D L Romans
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 16-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeSTAKES
Purse$175,000
Trip & Field
Distance122 M
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:12 PM CT
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The day's stakes feature revolves around #6 Lush Lips, who brings premier class ratings, against stablemate #10 Icona, who won locally with a 94 speed figure on July 9.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 21.6%
Price horse: Icona (10/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Lush Lips
T Gaffalione
B P Walsh
 2/5
20
★★★★☆
78.3
 Top Pick
10 Icona
B Curtis
B P Walsh
 10/1
12
★★★★☆
70.0
 Value Play
11 Devassa
E A Roman
P H Lobo
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
66.2
 Longshot
4 Next Up
M Gutierrez
M P Sims
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
65.9
  
5 Streetwhereyoulive
R Bejarano
M P Sims
 30/1
8
★★★★☆
64.5
  
3 Totally Justified
J C Bealmear
A M Meah
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
64.2
  
1 Sanctify
F Arrieta
H Holsapple
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
63.1
  
8 Daisy Flyer
A Concepcion
G R Arnold II
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
62.2
  
9 Asteria
S Sanjur
A Navarrete
 50/1
7
★★★★☆
62.1
  
7 Just Ruthless
J A Torres
R Mott
 12/1
7
★★★★☆
61.8
  
2 She's On a Roll
C A Torres
S E Shaffer
 50/1
6
★★★★☆
60.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Lush Lips
Jockey
T Gaffalione
Trainer
B P Walsh
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.3
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Icona
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
B P Walsh
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.0
Post · Horse Longshot
11
Devassa
Jockey
E A Roman
Trainer
P H Lobo
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
4
Next Up
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
M P Sims
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse
5
Streetwhereyoulive
Jockey
R Bejarano
Trainer
M P Sims
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
3
Totally Justified
Jockey
J C Bealmear
Trainer
A M Meah
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
1
Sanctify
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
H Holsapple
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
8
Daisy Flyer
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
G R Arnold II
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.2
Post · Horse
9
Asteria
Jockey
S Sanjur
Trainer
A Navarrete
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
7
Just Ruthless
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
R Mott
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse
2
She's On a Roll
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
S E Shaffer
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$53,000
Trip & Field
Distance000 F
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:42 PM CT
Field Size15
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The finale is a turf maiden sprint where #15 Line Astern leads the composite ratings on debut, while #12 No Mo Sun brings race experience after earning a 65 speed figure here last month.
PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 10.2%
Price horse: No Mo Sun (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
15 Line Astern
Y Hazlewood
K Danner
 10/1
10
★★★☆☆
50.2
 Top Pick
12 No Mo Sun
D Sheehy
D F O'Neill
 6/1
9
★★★☆☆
48.6
 Value Play
1 Coldspring
F Arrieta
E Kenneally
 6/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.1
  
8 Quigley
M Gutierrez
B A Lynch
 5/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.9
  
7 Shays Gray
Y Hazlewood
C Davis
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
45.0
  
2 Salty Viking
B Curtis
J Sharp
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
44.5
  
5 Sip It
A Concepcion
D F O'Neill
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
44.2
  
10 Mega Blue
A Achard
J Wojczynski
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
43.5
  
14 Gut Reaction
B J Hernandez, Jr.
K LaRose
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.9
  
13 Smart N Centsible
M Garcia
J K Sweezey
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.8
  
9 El Enamorado
L Machado
B Knippenberg
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.6
  
11 Platinum Power
C A Torres
S E Shaffer
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
42.3
  
3 Ciarlatano
C A Emigh
B A Vanden Berg
 9/2
6
★★★☆☆
41.6
  
4 Tiny Tapper
J Elliott
J Corrigan
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.1
  
6 Mandalay
J A Torres
L Briley
 20/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.1
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
15
Line Astern
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
K Danner
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.2
Post · Horse Value Play
12
No Mo Sun
Jockey
D Sheehy
Trainer
D F O'Neill
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.6
Post · Horse
1
Coldspring
Jockey
F Arrieta
Trainer
E Kenneally
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.1
Post · Horse
8
Quigley
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
B A Lynch
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.9
Post · Horse
7
Shays Gray
Jockey
Y Hazlewood
Trainer
C Davis
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.0
Post · Horse
2
Salty Viking
Jockey
B Curtis
Trainer
J Sharp
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.5
Post · Horse
5
Sip It
Jockey
A Concepcion
Trainer
D F O'Neill
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.2
Post · Horse
10
Mega Blue
Jockey
A Achard
Trainer
J Wojczynski
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.5
Post · Horse
14
Gut Reaction
Jockey
B J Hernandez, Jr.
Trainer
K LaRose
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.9
Post · Horse
13
Smart N Centsible
Jockey
M Garcia
Trainer
J K Sweezey
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.8
Post · Horse
9
El Enamorado
Jockey
L Machado
Trainer
B Knippenberg
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.6
Post · Horse
11
Platinum Power
Jockey
C A Torres
Trainer
S E Shaffer
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.3
Post · Horse
3
Ciarlatano
Jockey
C A Emigh
Trainer
B A Vanden Berg
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.6
Post · Horse
4
Tiny Tapper
Jockey
J Elliott
Trainer
J Corrigan
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.1
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Mandalay
Jockey
J A Torres
Trainer
L Briley
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 15-horse field.
  Go Pro