Curated Betting Card

Gulfstream Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 11.

2026-07-11 Race 11 Morning Card
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Card signals
Gulfstream Park · full board
Strongest play
R2
Stick Talk #3
Top conf.
Best value
R7
Brigade Commander
12/1 ML
Best longshot
R1
Great Actress #8
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R1
9 runners
9
Pace race
R4
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Tony Russo: The card opens with a couple of usable turf and all-weather spots where price matters more than chalk. Maggie Rowan: Stick Talk and Chloe's Toy look like the strongest single-race figures, but the later maiden fields are wide enough that small exacta wheels pay better than straight bets. Tony Russo: Layoff angles and workout bullets will decide the day more than class drops. Maggie Rowan: Dutch-bag plays in races 3, 4 and 11 give the best coverage without chasing big scores.
Races 11 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:20 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Geaux Amy exits a sharp second and a bullet work, but Tony Russo wonders if the 5 will be overbet after two quick wins at the meet. Forever Again sits at 12-1 with a recent speed figure of 78.8 yet has not won in a year, raising the question of whether the layoff horse fires first back on turf.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 19.0%
Price horse: Forever Again (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Geaux Amy
E Gonzalez
D Zanelli
 7/2
23
★★★★☆
76.4
 Top Pick
8 Great Actress
L Reyes
M J Vitali
 8/1
14
★★★★☆
68.5
 Longshot
10 Shes Blue N Orange
D A Herrera
P L Biancone
 5/1
12
★★★★☆
67.0
  
9 Halfin
A Thomas
H Smullen
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
66.8
  
7 Forever Again
J Torrealba
F Alanis
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
65.3
 Value Play
11 Role Play
P Pena
B J Chapman
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.7
  
1 Duchess Eleanor
E Perez
G S Bennett
 12/1
7
★★★☆☆
59.4
  
4 Flatter Fanatic
J E Morelos
J M Antonucci
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.1
  
3 Mucho Macho Lady
Y Torres
F Alanis
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Geaux Amy
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
D Zanelli
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.4
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Great Actress
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
M J Vitali
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.5
Post · Horse
10
Shes Blue N Orange
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
P L Biancone
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse
9
Halfin
Jockey
A Thomas
Trainer
H Smullen
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.8
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Forever Again
Jockey
J Torrealba
Trainer
F Alanis
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
11
Role Play
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
B J Chapman
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse
1
Duchess Eleanor
Jockey
E Perez
Trainer
G S Bennett
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
Post · Horse
4
Flatter Fanatic
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
J M Antonucci
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse
3
Mucho Macho Lady
Jockey
Y Torres
Trainer
F Alanis
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:55 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Stick Talk ran a 64 figure last out and returns with a 47.90 workout; the question is whether Never a Doubt or Marengo can press enough early to set up the closer. Tony Russo notes the 3 is the only horse with a prior race and that makes the price fair.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 25.0%
Price horse: Stick Talk (4/1 ML) · Preferred value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Stick Talk
E Gonzalez
C A David
 4/1
29
★★★★☆
73.6
 Top Pick
2 Never a Doubt
M A Vasquez
C A David
 5/1
22
★★★★☆
69.5
  
4 Marengo
J M Rios
A Sano
 9/2
16
★★★★☆
64.1
  
7 More Power to You
D A Herrera
M E Casse
 3/1
12
★★★★☆
60.8
  
1 Firefinch
J E Morelos
D Damen
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
56.6
 Longshot
5 The Seventh King
J Torrealba
V Barboza, Jr.
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
52.2
  
6 Fast Destination
R Rojas
T Moubarak
 12/1
4
★★★☆☆
45.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Stick Talk
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
C A David
29
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.6
Post · Horse
2
Never a Doubt
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
C A David
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
4
Marengo
Jockey
J M Rios
Trainer
A Sano
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.1
Post · Horse
7
More Power to You
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
M E Casse
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Firefinch
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
D Damen
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.6
Post · Horse
5
The Seventh King
Jockey
J Torrealba
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.2
Post · Horse
6
Fast Destination
Jockey
R Rojas
Trainer
T Moubarak
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceFive Furlongs
SurfaceAll Weather
Post Time1:30 PM ET
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Chloe's Toy exits a 86 figure win but Tony Russo flags the 2-1 morning line as too short. Misprint ran a 75 figure last out and drops a notch in class, creating the exact upset-hedge exacta the signal recommends.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.3%
Price horse: Misprint (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Drum Roll
E Gonzalez
R Yanez
 5/1
24
★★★★★
80.3
  
5 Chloe's Toy
M A Vasquez
D C Hurtak
 2/1
24
★★★★★
80.1
 Top Pick
6 Misprint
J E Morelos
A De La Cerda
 8/1
19
★★★★☆
76.9
 Value Play
4 Blond Jak
L Reyes
D C Hurtak
 6/1
18
★★★★☆
75.6
  
2 Any Moment
D A Herrera
C A David
 5/2
16
★★★★☆
73.9
  
Post · Horse
3
Drum Roll
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
R Yanez
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★★ 80.3
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Chloe's Toy
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
D C Hurtak
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★★ 80.1
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Misprint
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
A De La Cerda
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.9
Post · Horse
4
Blond Jak
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
D C Hurtak
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.6
Post · Horse
2
Any Moment
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
C A David
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceAll Weather
Post Time2:05 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Hippy Hippy Shake and List sit within a tenth of a rating point; the question is whether the 1 can hold off the late-running 8 or if Loyalist and Megowan Street at 12-1 and 15-1 provide the longshot value the EV flags highlight.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.9%
Price horse: Tranquila Ruby (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Hippy Hippy Shake
D A Herrera
K O'Connell
 7/2
16
★★★★☆
62.3
 Top Pick
8 List
R Rojas
T Moubarak
 2/1
16
★★★★☆
62.3
  
3 Megowan Street
J E Morelos
H Dominguez
 8/1
16
★★★★☆
62.0
 Longshot
6 Loyalist
J Ocasio
J Negrete
 12/1
15
★★★★☆
61.1
  
4 Tranquila Ruby
P Pena
F Alanis
 15/1
11
★★★☆☆
56.5
 Value Play
2 Restock
L Reyes
J F D'Angelo
 9/5
11
★★★☆☆
56.0
  
7 Lioness Lillian
R Torres
M Ubide
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
55.2
  
5 Memory of My Life
J M Rios
J E Morzan
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
46.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Hippy Hippy Shake
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
K O'Connell
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
Post · Horse
8
List
Jockey
R Rojas
Trainer
T Moubarak
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Megowan Street
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
H Dominguez
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.0
Post · Horse
6
Loyalist
Jockey
J Ocasio
Trainer
J Negrete
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Tranquila Ruby
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
F Alanis
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.5
Post · Horse
2
Restock
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
7
Lioness Lillian
Jockey
R Torres
Trainer
M Ubide
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.2
Post · Horse
5
Memory of My Life
Jockey
J M Rios
Trainer
J E Morzan
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time2:40 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Adios Mate tops the ratings at 71.05 but Tony Russo notes the 8 has not won in over a year. Lobo Go at 20-1 and Friolento at 15-1 carry the strongest longshot EV signals and figure to benefit if the pace collapses.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 14.7%
Price horse: Lobo Go (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Adios Mate
P Pena
J Garoffalo
 5/1
17
★★★★☆
71.0
 Top Pick
1 Valdero
L Reyes
M J Vitali
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
68.3
  
3 Willing One
M A Vasquez
K O'Connell
 7/2
13
★★★★☆
67.0
  
5 Friolento
S Camacho, Jr.
S Pulgarin
 15/1
12
★★★★☆
66.1
 Longshot
7 Love Hate
D A Herrera
K O'Connell
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
66.1
  
4 Kazooza
A Thomas
G W Arscott
 9/2
12
★★★★☆
65.9
  
6 Western Shaft
J Ocasio
D C Hurtak
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
65.8
  
2 Lobo Go
E Perez
B N Croft
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
62.6
 Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Adios Mate
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
J Garoffalo
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse
1
Valdero
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
M J Vitali
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
3
Willing One
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
K O'Connell
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Friolento
Jockey
S Camacho, Jr.
Trainer
S Pulgarin
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse
7
Love Hate
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
K O'Connell
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.1
Post · Horse
4
Kazooza
Jockey
A Thomas
Trainer
G W Arscott
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse
6
Western Shaft
Jockey
J Ocasio
Trainer
D C Hurtak
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Lobo Go
Jockey
E Perez
Trainer
B N Croft
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeStarter , by Medaglia d'Oro ;
Trip & Field
DistanceFive Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:12 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Touch of Honor and Pardon My Dolly sit within a point of each other; the question is whether the 5 can hold off the 8 or if Authentic Star at a price can upset the top two in the short turf dash.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.1%
Price horse: Pardon My Dolly (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Touch of Honor
J M Rios
C A David
 3/1
24
★★★★☆
72.6
 Top Pick
8 Pardon My Dolly
J E Morelos
L Cazares
 8/1
22
★★★★☆
71.6
 Value Play
9 Life's Mystery
R Hughes
S A Joseph, Jr.
 7/2
21
★★★★☆
71.2
  
7 Army Salute
L Reyes
J F D'Angelo
 4/1
11
★★★★☆
61.6
  
6 Authentic Star
M A Vasquez
K O'Connell
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
57.8
  
2 Cyber Belle
E Gonzalez
M E Casse
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
53.6
  
3 Early Spark
D A Herrera
A De La Cerda
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
53.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Touch of Honor
Jockey
J M Rios
Trainer
C A David
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.6
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Pardon My Dolly
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
L Cazares
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.6
Post · Horse
9
Life's Mystery
Jockey
R Hughes
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.2
Post · Horse
7
Army Salute
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.6
Post · Horse
6
Authentic Star
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
K O'Connell
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
2
Cyber Belle
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
M E Casse
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.6
Post · Horse
3
Early Spark
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
A De La Cerda
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden Or Claiming Since April
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceAll Weather
Post Time3:44 PM ET
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Junction Road and Brigade Commander sit within a tenth of a rating point; the question is whether the 6 can hold off the 8 at 12-1 or if Spy Novel can press enough to set up the longshot exacta the signal flags.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.1%
Price horse: Brigade Commander (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Junction Road
D A Herrera
R G Crichton
 7/2
27
★★★★★
83.8
 Top Pick
8 Brigade Commander
R Hughes
N J Tomlinson
 12/1
27
★★★★★
83.7
 Value Play
5 Spy Novel
J E Morelos
N Ramsey
 4/1
18
★★★★☆
78.1
  
2 Private Thoughts
L Reyes
R B Spatz
 5/2
14
★★★★☆
74.3
  
4 Caller
M A Vasquez
J S Jones
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
73.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Junction Road
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
R G Crichton
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★★ 83.8
Post · Horse Value Play
8
Brigade Commander
Jockey
R Hughes
Trainer
N J Tomlinson
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★★ 83.7
Post · Horse
5
Spy Novel
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
N Ramsey
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.1
Post · Horse
2
Private Thoughts
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
R B Spatz
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.3
Post · Horse
4
Caller
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
J S Jones
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceAll Weather
Post Time4:15 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Mischievous Scout tops the ratings but Tony Russo notes the 8 has not won since June. Dream Diamond and D Dolly's Girl at 12-1 and 15-1 carry the strongest longshot EV signals and figure to benefit if the pace melts down.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.2%
Price horse: D Dolly's Girl (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Mischievous Scout
J E Morelos
H Smullen
 3/1
21
★★★★☆
72.9
 Top Pick
5 Melody Factor
J M Rios
C Narvaez
 6/1
17
★★★★☆
69.9
  
6 It's Just a Game
J Torrealba
V Barboza, Jr.
 9/2
16
★★★★☆
69.0
  
7 Dream Diamond
P Pena
K P Mongeon
 12/1
16
★★★★☆
68.6
 Longshot
3 Del Rosario
W Rengifo
R Sierra
 7/2
12
★★★★☆
64.3
  
9 D Dolly's Girl
L Reyes
D Jones
 15/1
9
★★★★☆
61.1
 Value Play
4 Shedoo Kitten
D Boraco
L Duco
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
53.0
  
1 Triple Threat
R Rojas
M S Morrison
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
50.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Mischievous Scout
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
H Smullen
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.9
Post · Horse
5
Melody Factor
Jockey
J M Rios
Trainer
C Narvaez
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.9
Post · Horse
6
It's Just a Game
Jockey
J Torrealba
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Dream Diamond
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
K P Mongeon
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.6
Post · Horse
3
Del Rosario
Jockey
W Rengifo
Trainer
R Sierra
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.3
Post · Horse Value Play
9
D Dolly's Girl
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
D Jones
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.1
Post · Horse
4
Shedoo Kitten
Jockey
D Boraco
Trainer
L Duco
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse
1
Triple Threat
Jockey
R Rojas
Trainer
M S Morrison
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
Typemaiden, claiming, starter or state-bred allowance,
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:47 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Turino and Miss Mary Nell sit within a point of each other; the question is whether the 8 can hold off the 3 or if City Minute at 12-1 can upset the top two on the turf route.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 16.8%
Price horse: City Minute (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Turino
R Hughes
S A Joseph, Jr.
 5/2
20
★★★★★
86.1
 Top Pick
3 Miss Mary Nell
L Reyes
C A David
 3/1
18
★★★★★
84.5
  
1 Little Jamie
N Juarez
S A Joseph, Jr.
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
79.3
  
2 City Minute
M J Husbands
S A Joseph, Jr.
 12/1
12
★★★★☆
78.5
 Value Play
6 Laigina
D A Herrera
P L Biancone
 5/1
11
★★★★☆
77.5
  
9 Vincey Girl
E Gonzalez
J F D'Angelo
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
71.8
  
5 Make the Boys Wink
R Maragh
S A Joseph, Jr.
 10/1
7
★★★★☆
71.5
  
4 Hello Hello Hello
S Spanabel
S A Joseph, Jr.
 20/1
7
★★★★☆
71.2
  
10 Fantasy Performer
M A Vasquez
C M Gambolati
 12/1
5
★★★★☆
65.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Turino
Jockey
R Hughes
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★★ 86.1
Post · Horse
3
Miss Mary Nell
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
C A David
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★★ 84.5
Post · Horse
1
Little Jamie
Jockey
N Juarez
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 79.3
Post · Horse Value Play
2
City Minute
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.5
Post · Horse
6
Laigina
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
P L Biancone
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.5
Post · Horse
9
Vincey Girl
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.8
Post · Horse
5
Make the Boys Wink
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.5
Post · Horse
4
Hello Hello Hello
Jockey
S Spanabel
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.2
Post · Horse
10
Fantasy Performer
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
C M Gambolati
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden Or Claiming Since April
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:16 PM ET
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Lou the Body tops the ratings at 79.1 but Tony Russo notes the 6 has not won since April. Dime Papi at 8-1 carries the strongest mid-price value signal and figures to benefit if the early pace collapses.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 23.0%
Price horse: Dime Papi (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (7 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
6 Lou the Body
D A Herrera
V Barboza, Jr.
 4/1
28
★★★★★
81.4
 Top Pick
4 Dime Papi
P Pena
P Garcia, Jr.
 8/1
23
★★★★☆
78.3
 Value Play
3 Final Payment
M A Vasquez
B J Chapman
 8/1
19
★★★★☆
75.4
  
1 Sneak Preview
E Perez
M Passley
 5/1
18
★★★★☆
74.5
  
2 Accelerate Me
J E Morelos
R Coy
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
68.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
6
Lou the Body
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
28
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★★ 81.4
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Dime Papi
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
P Garcia, Jr.
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 78.3
Post · Horse
3
Final Payment
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
B J Chapman
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 75.4
Post · Horse
1
Sneak Preview
Jockey
E Perez
Trainer
M Passley
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.5
Post · Horse
2
Accelerate Me
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
R Coy
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 11
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Or State Bred Allowance Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:46 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Plagne Champagne tops the ratings but Tony Russo notes the 3 has not won since June. Oxar at 20-1 and Starship Elation at 15-1 carry the strongest longshot EV signals and figure to benefit if the turf route melts down.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.9%
Price horse: Oxar (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Plagne Champagne
D A Herrera
V Barboza, Jr.
 7/2
17
★★★★☆
77.5
 Top Pick
1 Tape Runner
E Gonzalez
V Barboza, Jr.
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
71.9
  
7 Logistics
J Z Santana
A L Puckett
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
71.4
  
11 Del Mar Sunrise
R Hughes
N J Tomlinson
 12/1
11
★★★★☆
71.2
  
4 Iliana
E Perez
F Abreu
 6/1
11
★★★★☆
71.2
  
8 Starship Elation
P Pena
K P Mongeon
 15/1
11
★★★★☆
70.4
 Longshot
9 Nina's Last Gift
L Reyes
M Ubide
 9/2
10
★★★★☆
69.6
  
6 Oxar
J E Morelos
H Pinnock
 20/1
9
★★★★☆
68.3
 Value Play
2 Brat Girl
H Figueroa
H Smullen
 8/1
6
★★★★☆
62.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Plagne Champagne
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 77.5
Post · Horse
1
Tape Runner
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.9
Post · Horse
7
Logistics
Jockey
J Z Santana
Trainer
A L Puckett
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse
11
Del Mar Sunrise
Jockey
R Hughes
Trainer
N J Tomlinson
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.2
Post · Horse
4
Iliana
Jockey
E Perez
Trainer
F Abreu
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.2
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Starship Elation
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
K P Mongeon
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
Post · Horse
9
Nina's Last Gift
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
M Ubide
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.6
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Oxar
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
H Pinnock
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
2
Brat Girl
Jockey
H Figueroa
Trainer
H Smullen
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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