Curated Betting Card

Gulfstream Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 5.

2026-07-13 Race 5 Morning Card
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Card signals
Gulfstream Park · full board
Strongest play
R3
Baronia #8
Top conf.
Best value
R3
Baronia
12/1 ML
Best longshot
R1
Whiskey Whim #3
12/1 ML
Deepest field
R5
11 runners
11
Pace race
R1
Wide open
Chaos
Card Overview
Race day summary
Tony Russo: This Gulfstream card looks like a grind with several wide-open fields where the favorite is vulnerable. Maggie Rowan: The numbers point to small stakes on exotics in races 1, 2, and 7 where the top three are tightly bunched. Tony Russo: Chalk players will get burned if they hammer the morning-line favorites in the maiden races; value lives underneath.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:20 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Come On Poppi has three straight runner-up finishes at Gulfstream but faces a field where Whiskey Whim and Victorious Secret both show strong recent works; the question is whether the speed figures hold up on the turf mile or if a fresh longshot steals it.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 13.0%
Price horse: Victorious Secret (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (6 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Come On Poppi
D A Herrera
V Barboza, Jr.
5/2
14
★★★★☆
64.2
Top Pick
3 Whiskey Whim
J M Rios
C L Perez
12/1
14
★★★★☆
64.1
Longshot
8 Too Much Fun
E Gonzalez
W E Deaton
12/1
12
★★★★☆
61.3
 
9 Khozy Me Up
J Ocasio
A Jehaludi
10/1
11
★★★★☆
60.5
 
10 Terrimendous
P Pena
R Coy
5/1
11
★★★☆☆
60.0
 
4 She's Trippin
J E Morelos
J Engler
6/1
10
★★★☆☆
58.1
 
11 Gallega
M J Husbands
S A Joseph, Jr.
3/1
8
★★★☆☆
56.2
 
7 Copper Creole
M A Vasquez
M Yates
15/1
8
★★★☆☆
55.8
 
1 Victorious Secret
L Reyes
R B Spatz
20/1
8
★★★☆☆
54.5
Value Play
6 Love of J
B C Boulanger
J E Morzan
50/1
3
★★★☆☆
42.6
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Come On Poppi
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Whiskey Whim
Jockey
J M Rios
Trainer
C L Perez
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.1
Post · Horse
8
Too Much Fun
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
W E Deaton
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse
9
Khozy Me Up
Jockey
J Ocasio
Trainer
A Jehaludi
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
10
Terrimendous
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
R Coy
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
Post · Horse
4
She's Trippin
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
J Engler
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
Post · Horse
11
Gallega
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse
7
Copper Creole
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
M Yates
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.8
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Victorious Secret
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
R B Spatz
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.5
Post · Horse
6
Love of J
Jockey
B C Boulanger
Trainer
J E Morzan
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:51 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Mary Marguerite is the top-rated horse at 68.81 but Tony Russo flags the 2-1 morning line as too short; the race turns on whether Mario's Sweet Girl can upset off the 15-1 price.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 19.4%
Price horse: Mario's Sweet Girl (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Mary Marguerite
J M Rios
D Fawkes
2/1
21
★★★★☆
68.8
Top Pick
1 Mamuka
L Reyes
R Brathwaite
6/1
20
★★★★☆
68.2
 
4 Terrie T
E Gonzalez
B R Lusk
10/1
17
★★★★☆
65.3
Longshot
6 Cuddle the Kitten
M A Vasquez
J S Jones
5/2
16
★★★★☆
64.0
 
2 Gullfaxi
J Torrealba
J M Castro
8/5
15
★★★★☆
63.3
 
5 Mario's Sweet Girl
P Pena
S Budhoo
15/1
11
★★★☆☆
59.3
Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Mary Marguerite
Jockey
J M Rios
Trainer
D Fawkes
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
Post · Horse
1
Mamuka
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
R Brathwaite
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.2
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Terrie T
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
B R Lusk
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.3
Post · Horse
6
Cuddle the Kitten
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
J S Jones
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
2
Gullfaxi
Jockey
J Torrealba
Trainer
J M Castro
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.3
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Mario's Sweet Girl
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
S Budhoo
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN CLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceFive Furlongs
SurfaceAll Weather
Post Time1:22 PM ET
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Baronia towers on the 64.59 rating and 32.3 percent win probability but the 12-1 morning line creates an overlay that the desk wants to press.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 28.8%
Price horse: Baronia (12/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Baronia
A Thomas
D Zanelli
12/1
32
★★★★☆
64.6
Top Pick
7 Starship Spectacle
J E Morelos
S Dwoskin
4/1
20
★★★☆☆
57.5
 
6 Nenas Star
E Perez
J D Arias
8/1
20
★★★☆☆
57.1
 
2 Let Loose Lucy
W Rengifo
R Sierra
15/1
15
★★★☆☆
52.7
 
5 Facet
H Figueroa
H Smullen
9/5
14
★★★☆☆
51.5
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Baronia
Jockey
A Thomas
Trainer
D Zanelli
32
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
7
Starship Spectacle
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
S Dwoskin
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
6
Nenas Star
Jockey
E Perez
Trainer
J D Arias
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
Post · Horse
2
Let Loose Lucy
Jockey
W Rengifo
Trainer
R Sierra
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
Post · Horse
5
Facet
Jockey
H Figueroa
Trainer
H Smullen
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or Restricted Or Which Have Never Won
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:53 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Show Off leads the ratings at 74.09 but the tight group of contenders means the desk wants a small dutch on the top two rather than a single win bet.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 18.4%
Price horse: Olivia Valentina (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Show Off
M A Vasquez
F Gutierrez
5/1
20
★★★★☆
74.1
Top Pick
6 Calathea
E Perez
M Sancal
3/1
17
★★★★☆
72.3
 
1 Bayou Brigid
L Reyes
H Smullen
9/2
16
★★★★☆
71.4
 
2 Spicy Princess
D A Herrera
P L Biancone
9/5
16
★★★★☆
71.4
 
4 Lindsay Smiles
E Gonzalez
J F Orseno
6/1
16
★★★★☆
71.0
 
5 Olivia Valentina
M J Husbands
C L Perez
8/1
14
★★★★☆
69.3
Value Play
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Show Off
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
F Gutierrez
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.1
Post · Horse
6
Calathea
Jockey
E Perez
Trainer
M Sancal
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.3
Post · Horse
1
Bayou Brigid
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
H Smullen
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse
2
Spicy Princess
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
P L Biancone
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse
4
Lindsay Smiles
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
J F Orseno
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Olivia Valentina
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
C L Perez
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne And One Sixteenth Miles
SurfaceAll Weather
Post Time2:27 PM ET
Field Size11
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Dimanche Gras tops the ratings at 74.07 but the wide-open field forces the desk to keep the win bet small and lean on the exacta part-wheel.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 12.4%
Price horse: Alinao Forever (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (5 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Alinao Forever
D A Herrera
D Zanelli
6/1
14
★★★★☆
74.2
Value Play
3 Dimanche Gras
M J Husbands
R B Spatz
9/2
14
★★★★☆
74.1
Top Pick
6 Operation Torch
L Reyes
J J Toner
8/1
13
★★★★☆
72.7
Longshot
10 Complexed
E Gonzalez
M E Casse
3/1
12
★★★★☆
71.7
 
8 Santal
A Thomas
R Coy
12/1
9
★★★★☆
67.3
 
1 Titan
P Pena
D Gonzalez
10/1
8
★★★★☆
65.6
 
7 Outta Money
J E Morelos
J Garoffalo
6/1
8
★★★★☆
65.0
 
4 Centerfold Guy
S Camacho, Jr.
A W Dobber
30/1
6
★★★★☆
62.1
 
5 Fredericksburg
W Rengifo
B Campos
30/1
6
★★★★☆
61.0
 
2 Tall Story
J M Rios
G Delgado
15/1
6
★★★★☆
60.7
 
12 Refined Honor
M A Vasquez
J F Orseno
15/1
5
★★★☆☆
59.4
 
Post · Horse Value Play
9
Alinao Forever
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
D Zanelli
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.2
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Dimanche Gras
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
R B Spatz
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 74.1
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Operation Torch
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
J J Toner
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.7
Post · Horse
10
Complexed
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
M E Casse
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.7
Post · Horse
8
Santal
Jockey
A Thomas
Trainer
R Coy
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.3
Post · Horse
1
Titan
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
D Gonzalez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.6
Post · Horse
7
Outta Money
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
J Garoffalo
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.0
Post · Horse
4
Centerfold Guy
Jockey
S Camacho, Jr.
Trainer
A W Dobber
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse
5
Fredericksburg
Jockey
W Rengifo
Trainer
B Campos
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
Post · Horse
2
Tall Story
Jockey
J M Rios
Trainer
G Delgado
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse
12
Refined Honor
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
J F Orseno
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 11-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceFive Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:57 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Vermont is the top-rated horse at 64.6 but Tony Russo flags the 8-5 morning line as vulnerable; the race turns on whether Slew de Oro can upset at 15-1.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 17.8%
Price horse: Slew de Oro (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Slew de Oro
P Pena
P Garcia, Jr.
15/1
20
★★★★☆
65.6
Value Play
5 Vermont
M J Husbands
M E Casse
8/5
18
★★★★☆
64.2
Top Pick
6 High Ambition
L Reyes
J F D'Angelo
3/1
18
★★★★☆
64.2
 
2 Epic Impact
M A Vasquez
C A David
7/2
17
★★★★☆
63.1
 
3 Win Jet Win
J E Morelos
H Collazo
15/1
12
★★★☆☆
57.6
 
7 Road to Midnight
D A Herrera
J D Braddy
9/2
9
★★★☆☆
54.4
 
4 Lord Henry
E Gonzalez
J F Orseno
8/1
8
★★★☆☆
51.3
 
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Slew de Oro
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
P Garcia, Jr.
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.6
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Vermont
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
M E Casse
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
6
High Ambition
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
2
Epic Impact
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
C A David
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
3
Win Jet Win
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
H Collazo
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.6
Post · Horse
7
Road to Midnight
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
J D Braddy
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.4
Post · Horse
4
Lord Henry
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
J F Orseno
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceAll Weather
Post Time3:27 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Corta Fuego leads the ratings at 73.92 but the wide-open field means the desk wants a small dutch bag including the 15-1 Navy Cross.
PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 11.9%
Price horse: Navy Cross (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (5 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Corta Fuego
E Gonzalez
D Fawkes
7/2
14
★★★★☆
73.9
Top Pick
11 Saratoga Flash
D A Herrera
N J Tomlinson
2/1
13
★★★★☆
73.3
 
1 Navy Cross
E Perez
P Garcia, Jr.
15/1
13
★★★★☆
73.0
Value Play
8 Eton
M A Vasquez
S Budhoo
6/1
11
★★★★☆
70.4
 
10 Bettera
R Maragh
J K Sweezey
9/2
11
★★★★☆
70.3
 
7 Rock the Stars
L Reyes
E L Dobles
15/1
10
★★★★☆
69.0
 
9 Space Launch
J E Morelos
C A David
10/1
9
★★★★☆
68.1
 
5 Will of a Warrior
Y Torres
G Baxter
15/1
8
★★★★☆
66.0
 
4 Souper Legacy
J Ocasio
J Negrete
30/1
6
★★★★☆
62.7
 
6 Bold N Breezy
A Thomas
M Passley
15/1
6
★★★★☆
62.6
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Corta Fuego
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
D Fawkes
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.9
Post · Horse
11
Saratoga Flash
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
N J Tomlinson
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.3
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Navy Cross
Jockey
E Perez
Trainer
P Garcia, Jr.
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.0
Post · Horse
8
Eton
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
S Budhoo
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
Post · Horse
10
Bettera
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
J K Sweezey
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.3
Post · Horse
7
Rock the Stars
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
E L Dobles
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.0
Post · Horse
9
Space Launch
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
C A David
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.1
Post · Horse
5
Will of a Warrior
Jockey
Y Torres
Trainer
G Baxter
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.0
Post · Horse
4
Souper Legacy
Jockey
J Ocasio
Trainer
J Negrete
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse
6
Bold N Breezy
Jockey
A Thomas
Trainer
M Passley
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeCLAIMING
Trip & Field
DistanceSix Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:57 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Brushfire tops the ratings at 73.67 but the tight group of contenders forces the desk to keep the stake small and use an ordered trifecta.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 19.3%
Price horse: He Be Hoppin (15/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (8 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Brushfire
L Reyes
V Barboza, Jr.
9/2
21
★★★★☆
73.7
Top Pick
2 R Winchester
E Gonzalez
V Barboza, Jr.
4/1
17
★★★★☆
70.2
 
3 Wine Candy
M A Vasquez
M Yates
7/2
17
★★★★☆
70.1
 
5 Supreme Honor
J M Rios
R Sierra
8/1
13
★★★★☆
66.6
Longshot
1 He Be Hoppin
P Pena
E Nunez
15/1
12
★★★★☆
65.7
Value Play
8 Best Minet Yet
E Perez
G S Bennett
12/1
12
★★★★☆
64.5
 
6 Nadir Han
Y Torres
G A Rangel
20/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.1
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Brushfire
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.7
Post · Horse
2
R Winchester
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.2
Post · Horse
3
Wine Candy
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
M Yates
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.1
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Supreme Honor
Jockey
J M Rios
Trainer
R Sierra
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.6
Post · Horse Value Play
1
He Be Hoppin
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
E Nunez
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.7
Post · Horse
8
Best Minet Yet
Jockey
E Perez
Trainer
G S Bennett
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
6
Nadir Han
Jockey
Y Torres
Trainer
G A Rangel
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
Trip & Field
DistanceOne Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:27 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Elenique leads the ratings at 70.89 but Tony Russo flags the 2-1 morning line as vulnerable; the race turns on whether Brown Diamond can upset at 20-1.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 17.6%
Price horse: Brown Diamond (20/1 ML) · Longshot value
Exotic Ticket Pack (6 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Elenique
D A Herrera
P L Biancone
2/1
21
★★★★☆
70.9
Top Pick
2 Brown Diamond
M J Husbands
A De La Cerda
20/1
13
★★★★☆
64.2
Value Play
3 Curly Sue
L Reyes
J F D'Angelo
6/1
13
★★★★☆
63.9
 
6 Warrior Sophie
E Gonzalez
D Fawkes
7/2
13
★★★★☆
63.4
 
4 Keepsake Box
R Hughes
S A Joseph, Jr.
3/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.9
 
7 Knows Everything
E Perez
D L Romans
8/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.3
 
5 Just Brilliant
J E Morelos
K O'Connell
12/1
8
★★★☆☆
57.2
 
1 First Class T L C
M A Vasquez
N Palmer
15/1
6
★★★☆☆
52.1
 
8 Lady Sharma
Y Torres
F Alanis
20/1
6
★★★☆☆
51.3
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Elenique
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
P L Biancone
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.9
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Brown Diamond
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
A De La Cerda
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse
3
Curly Sue
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.9
Post · Horse
6
Warrior Sophie
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
D Fawkes
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.4
Post · Horse
4
Keepsake Box
Jockey
R Hughes
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
7
Knows Everything
Jockey
E Perez
Trainer
D L Romans
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
Post · Horse
5
Just Brilliant
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
K O'Connell
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.2
Post · Horse
1
First Class T L C
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
N Palmer
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.1
Post · Horse
8
Lady Sharma
Jockey
Y Torres
Trainer
F Alanis
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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