Curated Betting Card

Gulfstream Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 3.

2026-09-18 Race 3 Morning Card
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Gulfstream Park · full board
Strongest play
R4
Show Boat #1
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Loyalist #8
15/1 ML
Deepest field
R1
8 runners
8
Pace shape
R6
Duel
2 E / 0 EP
Card Overview
Race day summary
Gulfstream Park presents a balanced nine-race program featuring competitive turf routes, synthetic sprints on the Tapeta, and dirt sprints. Speed looks particularly dangerous on the Tapeta in Race 6 with Greenfield Cougar, while maiden turf routes in Race 1 and Race 9 present competitive, wide-open betting affairs where tactical trips will decide the outcome. Value seekers will find attractive spots in Race 3 and Race 8, where short-priced morning line choices face viable pace and stamina questions.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
Full
Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$28,500
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:20 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies and Mares
EligibilityMaidens, Fillies and Mares Three Years Old and Upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Fillies and Mares Three Years Old and
Storyline
This one-mile turf maiden features a head-to-head clash between rail-bound #1 Come On Poppi, who exits a solid third-place effort with a recent speed figure of 51, and #7 Serrania, who brings the field's highest recent speed figures (73 and 67) but must negotiate a wider trip.
Today's shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
2
S
3

Favors Front · E: 1 EP: 1 P: 2 S: 3

Light early pressure; the front end should get its way.

From comments · 7/8 styled · display only

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.6%
Price horse: Serrania (7/5 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Come On Poppi S Neutral
S Camacho
V Barboza, Jr.
 2/1
22
★★★☆☆
58.2
 Top Pick
7 Serrania E Fits
L Reyes
F Gutierrez
 7/5
21
★★★☆☆
58.0
 Value Play
3 List S Neutral
H Figueroa
T Moubarak
 9/2
15
★★★☆☆
52.9
  
8 Loyalist EP Fits
J Ocasio
J Negrete
 15/1
11
★★★☆☆
48.1
 Longshot
4 Kissed by Karma P Neutral
P Pena
J F Orseno
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
46.3
  
6 Sweet Taste S Neutral
Y Torres
F Gutierrez
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
45.5
  
2 Hit Music P Neutral
W Henry
H Simms
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
40.1
  
5 Let Loose Lucy —
P Monterrey, Jr.
R Sierra
 20/1
6
★★☆☆☆
37.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Come On Poppi
S Neutral
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.2
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Serrania
E Fits
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
F Gutierrez
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.0
Post · Horse
3
List
S Neutral
Jockey
H Figueroa
Trainer
T Moubarak
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse Longshot
8
Loyalist
EP Fits
Jockey
J Ocasio
Trainer
J Negrete
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.1
Post · Horse
4
Kissed by Karma
P Neutral
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
J F Orseno
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.3
Post · Horse
6
Sweet Taste
S Neutral
Jockey
Y Torres
Trainer
F Gutierrez
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.5
Post · Horse
2
Hit Music
P Neutral
Jockey
W Henry
Trainer
H Simms
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.1
Post · Horse
5
Let Loose Lucy
—
Jockey
P Monterrey, Jr.
Trainer
R Sierra
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$28,500
Trip & Field
Distance5 Furlongs
SurfaceAll Weather
Post Time12:52 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexTwo Years Old Fillies
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens
Storyline
A field of seven juvenile fillies dashes five furlongs on the Tapeta, where first-time starter #5 Delta Queen from the C. A. David barn squares off against #7 Jost a Chance Yadi, who holds the experience edge after posting a competitive 49 speed figure last out.
PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.5%
Price horse: Jost a Chance Yadi (5/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Delta Queen
S Camacho
C A David
 7/2
22
★★★☆☆
51.4
 Top Pick
7 Jost a Chance Yadi S —
L Reyes
F J Regalbuto
 5/2
19
★★★☆☆
49.2
 Value Play
6 Baby Princess P —
P Pena
R B Spatz
 3/1
15
★★★☆☆
46.2
  
2 Reconquista —
M A Vasquez
C A David
 5/1
14
★★★☆☆
45.1
  
1 My Sweet Belle —
J E Morelos
H Collazo
 10/1
11
★★★☆☆
41.5
 Longshot
3 Roses for Molly —
D A Herrera
D VanWinkle
 9/2
10
★★☆☆☆
40.0
  
4 One More Round —
H Figueroa
S Pulgarin
 12/1
9
★★☆☆☆
38.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Delta Queen
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
C A David
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.4
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Jost a Chance Yadi
S —
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
F J Regalbuto
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.2
Post · Horse
6
Baby Princess
P —
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
R B Spatz
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.2
Post · Horse
2
Reconquista
—
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
C A David
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.1
Post · Horse Longshot
1
My Sweet Belle
—
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
H Collazo
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.5
Post · Horse
3
Roses for Molly
—
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
D VanWinkle
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 40.0
Post · Horse
4
One More Round
—
Jockey
H Figueroa
Trainer
S Pulgarin
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $10,000, if for $8,000, allowed 2 Lbs
Purse$25,000
Claiming$10,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 Furlongs
SurfaceAll Weather
Post Time1:21 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Allowanceif for $8,000, allowed 2 Lbs
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Claiming Price $10,000, if for $8,000, allowed 2
Storyline
This $10,000 claiming dash features sharp form clash between #2 Sofocles, who arrives fresh off back-to-back speed figures of 80 and 82, and #4 Santal, who displays bullet morning drills including a 35.68 three-furlong move on September 7.
Today's shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
3
P
1
S
1

Fast Pace · E: 3 EP: 3 P: 1 S: 1 · #2 Sofocles, #3 Valiant Winter, #7 Iron the Money

Three or more early runners; expect a meltdown. Early: #2 Sofocles, #3 Valiant Winter, #7 Iron the Money.

From comments+notes · 8/8 styled · display only

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 15.1%
Price horse: Sofocles (4/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Santal EP Neutral
L Reyes
R Coy
 8/1
15
★★★★☆
62.1
 Top Pick
2 Sofocles E Misfit
J E Morelos
S Pulgarin
 4/1
15
★★★★☆
61.9
 Value Play
3 Valiant Winter E Misfit
P Pena
J F Orseno
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
60.8
  
1 Carcone EP Neutral
E Perez
V Barboza, Jr.
 5/2
13
★★★☆☆
59.8
  
6 Araucano S Fits
S Camacho
J Engler
 9/2
12
★★★☆☆
59.2
  
8 Rusty Pistol P Fits
Y Torres
D Jones
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
57.9
  
5 Love Hate EP Neutral
C Martinez
K O'Connell
 20/1
10
★★★☆☆
56.4
 Longshot
7 Iron the Money E Misfit
H Figueroa
H Smullen
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Santal
EP Neutral
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
R Coy
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.1
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Sofocles
E Misfit
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
S Pulgarin
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
3
Valiant Winter
E Misfit
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
J F Orseno
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse
1
Carcone
EP Neutral
Jockey
E Perez
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse
6
Araucano
S Fits
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
J Engler
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.2
Post · Horse
8
Rusty Pistol
P Fits
Jockey
Y Torres
Trainer
D Jones
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.9
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Love Hate
EP Neutral
Jockey
C Martinez
Trainer
K O'Connell
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.4
Post · Horse
7
Iron the Money
E Misfit
Jockey
H Figueroa
Trainer
H Smullen
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$27,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:52 PM ET
Field Size6
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old And Upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Three
Storyline
Six maiden routers contest one mile, where #1 Show Boat returns from a layoff armed with a bullet 46.82 four-furlong gate work to challenge #4 Henry's Buddy, who ships in from Colonial Downs after a solid second-place finish with a 60 speed figure.
Today's shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
2
S
1

Favors Front · E: 1 EP: 1 P: 2 S: 1

Light early pressure; the front end should get its way.

From comments · 5/6 styled · display only

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 26.3%
Price horse: Henry's Buddy (8/5 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Show Boat S Neutral
R Hughes
R Sierra
 7/2
26
★★★☆☆
57.4
 Top Pick
4 Henry's Buddy P Neutral
D A Herrera
M E Casse
 8/5
22
★★★☆☆
54.5
 Value Play
6 Expert Witness EP Fits
M J Husbands
M Lerman
 9/2
19
★★★☆☆
52.5
  
5 Ching Ching E Fits
C Martinez
M S Morrison
 2/1
14
★★★☆☆
47.9
  
3 Reproche P Neutral
J Santos
B C Cadahia
 15/1
11
★★★☆☆
44.3
  
2 Rockin Empire —
S Camacho, Jr.
B R Lusk
 8/1
8
★★☆☆☆
40.0
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Show Boat
S Neutral
Jockey
R Hughes
Trainer
R Sierra
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.4
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Henry's Buddy
P Neutral
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
M E Casse
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.5
Post · Horse
6
Expert Witness
EP Fits
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
M Lerman
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.5
Post · Horse
5
Ching Ching
E Fits
Jockey
C Martinez
Trainer
M S Morrison
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
Post · Horse
3
Reproche
P Neutral
Jockey
J Santos
Trainer
B C Cadahia
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.3
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Rockin Empire
—
Jockey
S Camacho, Jr.
Trainer
B R Lusk
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 40.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $17,500, if for $16,000, allowed 2 Lbs
Purse$30,000
Claiming$17,500
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceAll Weather
Post Time2:22 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Allowanceif for $16,000, allowed 2 Lbs
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Claiming Price $17,500, if for $16,000, allowed 2
Storyline
An eight-horse sprint at five and one-half furlongs pits #7 Musical Design, who owns consistent speed figures of 77 and 79, against #1 Winrooski, an inside stalker who paired victories earlier this summer with a top speed figure of 88.
Today's shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
3
S
3

Favors Front · E: 1 EP: 1 P: 3 S: 3

Light early pressure; the front end should get its way.

From comments+notes · 8/8 styled · display only

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.9%
Price horse: Winrooski (5/2 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Musical Design P Neutral
L Reyes
G G Jackson
 9/2
19
★★★★☆
67.0
 Top Pick
1 Winrooski E Fits
M A Vasquez
S Pulgarin
 5/2
15
★★★★☆
63.8
 Value Play
5 Any Moment EP Fits
P Pena
F J Regalbuto
 5/1
14
★★★★☆
62.9
  
4 Moretastic S Misfit
S Camacho
M J Vitali
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
59.7
 Longshot
6 Free to Roam S Misfit
M Meneses
A M Sanchez
 7/2
12
★★★☆☆
59.6
  
2 Wudhooh P Neutral
J E Morelos
E L Dobles
 8/1
10
★★★☆☆
57.8
  
3 Windrush S Misfit
S Camacho, Jr.
L M Ramirez
 6/1
10
★★★☆☆
56.7
  
8 Judge Judith P Neutral
C Martinez
A Jehaludi
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
55.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Musical Design
P Neutral
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
G G Jackson
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Winrooski
E Fits
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
S Pulgarin
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.8
Post · Horse
5
Any Moment
EP Fits
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
F J Regalbuto
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.9
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Moretastic
S Misfit
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
M J Vitali
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse
6
Free to Roam
S Misfit
Jockey
M Meneses
Trainer
A M Sanchez
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse
2
Wudhooh
P Neutral
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
E L Dobles
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse
3
Windrush
S Misfit
Jockey
S Camacho, Jr.
Trainer
L M Ramirez
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
Post · Horse
8
Judge Judith
P Neutral
Jockey
C Martinez
Trainer
A Jehaludi
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $35,000 Or Less Since September 17, 2024 Or Claiming Price $50
Purse$39,000
Claiming$50,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 Furlongs
SurfaceAll Weather
Post Time2:52 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For horses which have started for a claiming price of $35,000 or less since September 17, 2024 or claiming price $50,000
Storyline
The standout runner on the card, #5 Greenfield Cougar, brings blazing speed figures of 95 and 86 to this five-furlong Tapeta dash, but #2 Su Win brings a rapid 34.47 three-furlong workout that could make the early pace contentious.
Today's shape Duel
E
2
EP
0
P
1
S
3

Duel · E: 2 EP: 0 P: 1 S: 3 · #4 Demar's Legacy, #2 Su Win

Two early runners likely to hook up; pressers and closers benefit. Early: #4 Demar's Legacy, #2 Su Win.

From comments+notes · 6/6 styled · display only

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 25.7%
Price horse: Demar's Legacy (5/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Greenfield Cougar S Fits
D A Herrera
D Fawkes
 2/1
26
★★★★☆
72.5
 Top Pick
4 Demar's Legacy E Misfit
J E Morelos
J M Castro
 5/1
16
★★★★☆
65.6
 Value Play
2 Su Win E Misfit
R Rojas
J P Rizo
 9/5
15
★★★★☆
64.6
  
6 Tree C's Kai P Fits
S Camacho
A L Puckett
 6/1
15
★★★★☆
64.5
  
3 Viking Quest S Fits
M J Husbands
L Robson
 9/2
15
★★★★☆
64.0
 Longshot
1 Softly Dreaming S Fits
J M Rios
K McKathan
 8/1
13
★★★★☆
62.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Greenfield Cougar
S Fits
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
D Fawkes
26
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.5
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Demar's Legacy
E Misfit
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
J M Castro
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.6
Post · Horse
2
Su Win
E Misfit
Jockey
R Rojas
Trainer
J P Rizo
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.6
Post · Horse
6
Tree C's Kai
P Fits
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
A L Puckett
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Viking Quest
S Fits
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
L Robson
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.0
Post · Horse
1
Softly Dreaming
S Fits
Jockey
J M Rios
Trainer
K McKathan
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$33,500
Trip & Field
Distance5 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:25 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old And Upward Fillies And Mares
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Maidens, Fillies And Mares Three
Storyline
Seven turf sprinters go five furlongs where #4 The Coromoto seeks to convert two runner-up finishes and a best recent speed figure of 72 into a graduation, but she faces a solid late challenge from #7 Victorious Secret.
Today's shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
0
S
1

Duel · E: 2 EP: 1 P: 0 S: 1 · #7 Victorious Secret, #1 Basilica Light

Two early runners likely to hook up; pressers and closers benefit. Early: #7 Victorious Secret, #1 Basilica Light.

From comments+notes · 4/7 styled · display only

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 22.8%
Price horse: Victorious Secret (3/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 The Coromoto EP Neutral
E Perez
V Barboza, Jr.
 8/5
23
★★★☆☆
55.7
 Top Pick
7 Victorious Secret E Misfit
D A Herrera
R B Spatz
 3/1
20
★★★☆☆
53.5
 Value Play
1 Basilica Light E Misfit
P Pena
C DeSouza
 5/1
19
★★★☆☆
53.3
  
5 Cajun Empress S Fits
L Reyes
F Alanis
 4/1
14
★★★☆☆
48.8
  
2 My Honey Mother —
J Torrealba
V Barboza, Jr.
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
41.0
 Longshot
3 Kim Win Win —
J Ocasio
A P Williams
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
40.8
  
6 Lady Helene —
C Martinez
A M Rodriguez
 15/1
7
★★☆☆☆
37.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
The Coromoto
EP Neutral
Jockey
E Perez
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.7
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Victorious Secret
E Misfit
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
R B Spatz
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
Post · Horse
1
Basilica Light
E Misfit
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
C DeSouza
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.3
Post · Horse
5
Cajun Empress
S Fits
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
F Alanis
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.8
Post · Horse Longshot
2
My Honey Mother
—
Jockey
J Torrealba
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.0
Post · Horse
3
Kim Win Win
—
Jockey
J Ocasio
Trainer
A P Williams
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.8
Post · Horse
6
Lady Helene
—
Jockey
C Martinez
Trainer
A M Rodriguez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming Or Starter Or Which Have Never Won Two Races
Purse$52,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:55 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexFillies And Mares
Eligibilitywhich have never won two races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions For Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward Which Have Started For A Claiming Price Of $16,000 Or Less, Starter, Or Which Have
Storyline
Heavy morning-line favorite #7 Love Like Lucy brings a lofty 87 speed figure from July for trainer S. A. Joseph, Jr., but she faces a stern stamina test cutting back to six furlongs against #8 Dakota's Lil Auror and longshot #3 Major Pryce.
Today's shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
1
P
1
S
2

Fast Pace · E: 4 EP: 1 P: 1 S: 2 · #7 Love Like Lucy, #8 Dakota's Lil Auror, #2 Fly Life

Three or more early runners; expect a meltdown. Early: #7 Love Like Lucy, #8 Dakota's Lil Auror, #2 Fly Life.

From comments+notes · 8/8 styled · display only

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 22.3%
Price horse: Vita Mia (4/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Love Like Lucy E Misfit
M J Husbands
S A Joseph, Jr.
 4/5
22
★★★★☆
67.0
 Top Pick
1 Vita Mia EP Neutral
D A Herrera
N J Tomlinson
 4/1
14
★★★☆☆
59.9
 Value Play
3 Major Pryce P Fits
J Ocasio
J Santiago
 20/1
14
★★★☆☆
59.8
 Longshot
8 Dakota's Lil Auror E Misfit
P Pena
H Miller
 6/1
13
★★★☆☆
58.9
  
4 Evanora S Fits
J E Morelos
G W Arscott
 8/1
12
★★★☆☆
58.0
  
2 Fly Life E Misfit
S Camacho
G S Bennett
 15/1
11
★★★☆☆
56.1
  
5 Vivi Get Your Guns S Fits
A Thomas
W Simpson
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
50.6
  
6 Culture E Misfit
C Martinez
F De La Cruz
 8/1
7
★★★☆☆
49.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Love Like Lucy
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.0
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Vita Mia
EP Neutral
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
N J Tomlinson
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Major Pryce
P Fits
Jockey
J Ocasio
Trainer
J Santiago
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.8
Post · Horse
8
Dakota's Lil Auror
E Misfit
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
H Miller
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.9
Post · Horse
4
Evanora
S Fits
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
G W Arscott
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.0
Post · Horse
2
Fly Life
E Misfit
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
G S Bennett
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse
5
Vivi Get Your Guns
S Fits
Jockey
A Thomas
Trainer
W Simpson
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.6
Post · Horse
6
Culture
E Misfit
Jockey
C Martinez
Trainer
F De La Cruz
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $20,000, if for $16,000, allowed 2 Lbs
Purse$34,500
Claiming$20,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:28 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Allowanceif for $16,000, allowed 2 Lbs
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Conditions Claiming Price $20,000, if for $16,000, allowed 2
Storyline
The turf mile finale brings an eight-horse clash where #2 No More War rides sharp current form including three wins and a 92 speed figure in his last four starts, taking on front-running threat #5 Full Nelson who enters off a wire-to-wire win with an 88 figure.
Today's shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
3
P
1
S
1

Honest Pace · E: 1 EP: 3 P: 1 S: 1

Enough pressure for a fair pace; no style is handed the race.

From comments · 6/8 styled · display only

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 17.4%
Price horse: Full Nelson (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 No More War S Neutral
L Reyes
B S Dibona
 3/1
17
★★★★☆
72.2
 Top Pick
5 Full Nelson EP Fits
S Camacho
V Barboza, Jr.
 8/1
16
★★★★☆
70.6
 Value Play
3 Saratoga Flash —
M Meneses
B J Chapman
 7/2
14
★★★★☆
69.5
  
8 Mister Abarrio —
M J Husbands
S A Joseph, Jr.
 9/5
14
★★★★☆
69.4
  
4 Steelin Bases E Neutral
P Pena
F J Regalbuto
 9/2
12
★★★★☆
67.1
  
7 Battle of Dover EP Fits
D A Herrera
E L Dobles
 10/1
12
★★★★☆
66.7
 Longshot
6 Noble Tiger P Neutral
R Maragh
J C Catanese III
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
58.8
  
1 Giftedbydesign EP Fits
M A Vasquez
D C Hurtak
 30/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
No More War
S Neutral
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
B S Dibona
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.2
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Full Nelson
EP Fits
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.6
Post · Horse
3
Saratoga Flash
—
Jockey
M Meneses
Trainer
B J Chapman
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.5
Post · Horse
8
Mister Abarrio
—
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.4
Post · Horse
4
Steelin Bases
E Neutral
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
F J Regalbuto
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.1
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Battle of Dover
EP Fits
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
E L Dobles
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.7
Post · Horse
6
Noble Tiger
P Neutral
Jockey
R Maragh
Trainer
J C Catanese III
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.8
Post · Horse
1
Giftedbydesign
EP Fits
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
D C Hurtak
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro