Curated Betting Card

Gulfstream Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 4.

2026-10-02 Race 4 Morning Card
You're viewing the Morning Card
This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Gulfstream Park · full board
Strongest play
R8
Mish #7
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Gunn On the Run #2
12/1 ML
Deepest field
R5
8 runners
8
Pace shape
R3
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
The nine-race program at Gulfstream Park features competitive turf routes and short dirt sprints, anchored by standout favorites in the middle and late stages of the card. Senta Says (Race 3) and Mish (Race 8) stand out on raw speed figures and class, offering rock-solid focal points for horizontal sequences. Value hunters should look to the turf maiden events in Race 1 and Race 9, where tightly grouped ratings and live longshots offer major exacta upside.
Races 9 Status Live View Morning
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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$50,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:20 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
This two-year-old turf maiden route features a field of seven juveniles where #7 Mitzman steps out following a sharp 47.90 four-furlong drill, but must prove his stamina stretched out to a mile against #4 Colonel Duke, who exits a promising third-place run over the local lawn.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
2
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 It's On My Honor and #5 Fight and Pray go for the lead together. 1524786
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 1524786
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 It's On My Honor is still in front. Moving forward: #6 Etruscan Warrior. 1562478

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 17.0%
Price horse: Colonel Duke (5/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Mitzman —
L Reyes
J F D'Angelo
5/2
17
★★★☆☆
50.9
Top Pick
4 Colonel Duke —
M A Vasquez
M Yates
5/1
17
★★★☆☆
50.7
Value Play
1 It's On My Honor EP Fits
J Santos
J E Morzan
8/1
16
★★★☆☆
50.5
 
6 Etruscan Warrior S Neutral
M Meneses
N Palmer
6/1
14
★★★☆☆
49.3
 
2 Gunn On the Run —
P Pena
C A David
12/1
13
★★★☆☆
48.7
Longshot
8 Cid Campeador —
S Camacho
A Sano
3/1
12
★★★☆☆
48.1
 
5 Fight and Pray EP Fits
D A Herrera
A Sano
9/2
11
★★★☆☆
47.2
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Mitzman
—
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.9
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Colonel Duke
—
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
M Yates
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.7
Post · Horse
1
It's On My Honor
EP Fits
Jockey
J Santos
Trainer
J E Morzan
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
Post · Horse
6
Etruscan Warrior
S Neutral
Jockey
M Meneses
Trainer
N Palmer
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.3
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Gunn On the Run
—
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
C A David
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.7
Post · Horse
8
Cid Campeador
—
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
A Sano
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 48.1
Post · Horse
5
Fight and Pray
EP Fits
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
A Sano
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #4 Role Play, #5 With Kindness, #6 R Firebird.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $17,500, if for $16,000, allowed 2 Lbs
Purse$28,000
Trip & Field
Distance6 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:50 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Six fillies and mares contest this 6 1/2-furlong sprint where #1 Miss Magical brings consistent local class, but faces immediate pressure from #4 Role Play, who earned a sharp speed figure of 79 when finishing second at this track last month.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
1
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Role Play, #2 Daddy's Love and #5 With Kindness all go for the lead. #1 Miss Magical drops to the back. 425631
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Role Play, #2 Daddy's Love and #5 With Kindness keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 425631
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Miss Magical has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Frida. Tiring: #4 Role Play, #2 Daddy's Love and #5 With Kindness. 134256

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.2%
Price horse: Role Play (3/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Miss Magical S Fits
J Ocasio
B S Dibona
5/2
24
★★★★☆
60.9
Top Pick
4 Role Play E Misfit
P Pena
B J Chapman
3/1
24
★★★★☆
60.7
Value Play
5 With Kindness E Misfit
S Camacho
S R Hernandez, Jr.
7/2
22
★★★☆☆
59.9
 
3 Frida EP Neutral
Y Torres
J M Castro
9/5
15
★★★☆☆
57.0
 
6 R Firebird E Misfit
H Figueroa
S Budhoo
8/1
10
★★★☆☆
53.5
Longshot
2 Daddy's Love E Misfit
J Santos
J E Morzan
15/1
5
★★★☆☆
47.6
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Miss Magical
S Fits
Jockey
J Ocasio
Trainer
B S Dibona
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.9
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Role Play
E Misfit
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
B J Chapman
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse
5
With Kindness
E Misfit
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
S R Hernandez, Jr.
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.9
Post · Horse
3
Frida
EP Neutral
Jockey
Y Torres
Trainer
J M Castro
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse Longshot
6
R Firebird
E Misfit
Jockey
H Figueroa
Trainer
S Budhoo
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.5
Post · Horse
2
Daddy's Love
E Misfit
Jockey
J Santos
Trainer
J E Morzan
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #4 Diamond's Honor, #7 Starship Daytona.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$25,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:22 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Short-priced favorite #2 Senta Says dominates this 5 1/2-furlong dash on paper with consecutive speed figures of 66, leaving the rest of the field to determine whether #4 Diamond's Honor or returning runner #7 Starship Daytona can mount an upset.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
1
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 Diamond's Honor and #7 Starship Daytona go for the lead together. #1 Memory of My Life and #3 Cousin Pammie drop to the back. 4726831
  2. Middle around the turn #4 Diamond's Honor and #7 Starship Daytona keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 4728631
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Senta Says has taken over in front. Moving forward: #8 Camm's Girl, #3 Cousin Pammie and #1 Memory of My Life. Tiring: #4 Diamond's Honor and #7 Starship Daytona. 2831647

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 44.8%
Price horse: Diamond's Honor (4/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Senta Says EP Neutral
M J Husbands
S A Joseph, Jr.
9/5
45
★★★★☆
62.7
Top Pick
4 Diamond's Honor E Misfit
P Pena
J D Braddy
4/1
18
★★★☆☆
55.1
Value Play
7 Starship Daytona E Misfit
S Camacho
S R Hernandez, Jr.
5/2
11
★★★☆☆
51.1
Longshot
3 Cousin Pammie S Fits
M A Vasquez
K Davey
15/1
10
★★★☆☆
50.1
 
8 Camm's Girl P Fits
L Reyes
M Vargas
7/2
7
★★★☆☆
47.3
 
6 Shamrock Queen —
D A Herrera
H Collazo
12/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.8
 
1 Memory of My Life S Fits
J Santos
J E Morzan
30/1
2
★★☆☆☆
38.2
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Senta Says
EP Neutral
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
45
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.7
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Diamond's Honor
E Misfit
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
J D Braddy
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.1
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Starship Daytona
E Misfit
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
S R Hernandez, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
Post · Horse
3
Cousin Pammie
S Fits
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
K Davey
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
8
Camm's Girl
P Fits
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
M Vargas
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.3
Post · Horse
6
Shamrock Queen
—
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
H Collazo
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.8
Post · Horse
1
Memory of My Life
S Fits
Jockey
J Santos
Trainer
J E Morzan
2
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 38.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #6 Kiona, #3 Papas Cookie, #1 Just Majestic.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$25,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:54 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Six maiden fillies and mares stretch out around one mile where #4 Not One Less looks to break through against #6 Kiona, who sports superior back speed figures of 63 and 55 from summer competition.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Papas Cookie and #6 Kiona go for the lead together. #4 Not One Less and #2 D Orbie's Girl drop to the back. 361524
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Papas Cookie, #6 Kiona and #1 Just Majestic keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 361524
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 D Orbie's Girl has taken over in front. Moving forward: #4 Not One Less. Tiring: #3 Papas Cookie, #6 Kiona and #1 Just Majestic. 245361

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 31.3%
Price horse: Kiona (3/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 Not One Less S Fits
S Camacho
A Sano
4/1
31
★★★☆☆
54.0
Top Pick
6 Kiona E Misfit
C Gil
C Narvaez
3/1
20
★★★☆☆
50.1
Value Play
5 I'm Chill EP Neutral
P Pena
C A David
5/2
14
★★★☆☆
47.0
 
3 Papas Cookie E Misfit
D A Herrera
R G Crichton
7/2
12
★★★☆☆
45.9
Longshot
2 D Orbie's Girl P Fits
S Camacho, Jr.
D Jones
9/2
12
★★★☆☆
45.6
 
1 Just Majestic E Misfit
J Ocasio
J Santiago
6/1
11
★★★☆☆
45.4
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
Not One Less
S Fits
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
A Sano
31
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.0
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Kiona
E Misfit
Jockey
C Gil
Trainer
C Narvaez
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.1
Post · Horse
5
I'm Chill
EP Neutral
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
C A David
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.0
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Papas Cookie
E Misfit
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
R G Crichton
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.9
Post · Horse
2
D Orbie's Girl
P Fits
Jockey
S Camacho, Jr.
Trainer
D Jones
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.6
Post · Horse
1
Just Majestic
E Misfit
Jockey
J Ocasio
Trainer
J Santiago
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Mai
Purse$33,500
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time2:26 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
An eight-horse turf route matches the red-hot #9 New Life against seasoned turf performers, where the key question is whether #4 Tell Me Some Lies can transfer his solid Virginia turf figures to Gulfstream and reel in the favorite.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
3
P
3
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Claimed should break on top. #9 New Life and #8 Starship Elation drop to the back. 12534789
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 12534789
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Claimed is still in front. Moving forward: #4 Tell Me Some Lies, #7 Fluffy and #8 Starship Elation. Tiring: #3 Miami Style. 12547389

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 34.9%
Price horse: Claimed (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 New Life S Neutral
S Camacho
V Barboza, Jr.
2/1
35
★★★★☆
72.3
Top Pick
1 Claimed E Neutral
M Meneses
D Damen
6/1
17
★★★★☆
66.3
Value Play
4 Tell Me Some Lies P Neutral
S Leon
J F Orseno
5/2
16
★★★★☆
65.8
 
2 Eileen's a Warrior EP Fits
L Reyes
C A David
9/2
9
★★★★☆
60.6
 
3 Miami Style EP Fits
D A Herrera
J F Orseno
15/1
8
★★★☆☆
59.3
 
8 Starship Elation P Neutral
P Pena
K P Mongeon
12/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.0
 
5 Nashville Slew EP Fits
J Ocasio
R Laurin
10/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.9
Longshot
7 Fluffy P Neutral
J Z Santana
A M Rodriguez
30/1
3
★★★☆☆
51.7
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
New Life
S Neutral
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
35
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 72.3
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Claimed
E Neutral
Jockey
M Meneses
Trainer
D Damen
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse
4
Tell Me Some Lies
P Neutral
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
J F Orseno
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.8
Post · Horse
2
Eileen's a Warrior
EP Fits
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
C A David
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.6
Post · Horse
3
Miami Style
EP Fits
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
J F Orseno
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
Post · Horse
8
Starship Elation
P Neutral
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
K P Mongeon
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.0
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Nashville Slew
EP Fits
Jockey
J Ocasio
Trainer
R Laurin
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.9
Post · Horse
7
Fluffy
P Neutral
Jockey
J Z Santana
Trainer
A M Rodriguez
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #3 Veronika Z, #2 Dream Diamond.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $10,000, if for $8,000, allowed 2 Lbs
Purse$23,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceAll Weather
Post Time2:58 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Clear morning-line favorite #3 Veronika Z steps onto the Tapeta surface seeking her second straight victory, but must hold off #7 Hippy Hippy Shake and #1 Giddy Up Baby who have proven two-turn synthetic form.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
2
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Dream Diamond and #3 Veronika Z go for the lead together. #1 Giddy Up Baby and #6 Calling the Shots drop to the back. 2374561
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Dream Diamond and #3 Veronika Z keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 2374561
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #4 Shedoo Kitten has taken over in front. Moving forward: #5 Boombox Betty, #1 Giddy Up Baby and #6 Calling the Shots. Tiring: #7 Hippy Hippy Shake, #2 Dream Diamond and #3 Veronika Z. 4516723

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 45.0%
Price horse: Hippy Hippy Shake (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Veronika Z E Misfit
L Reyes
J F D'Angelo
7/5
45
★★★★☆
67.8
Top Pick
7 Hippy Hippy Shake EP Neutral
D A Herrera
K O'Connell
6/1
17
★★★☆☆
59.6
Value Play
1 Giddy Up Baby S Fits
E Perez
A L Puckett
4/1
17
★★★☆☆
59.3
 
6 Calling the Shots S Fits
J Santos
H Smullen
2/1
9
★★★☆☆
54.2
Longshot
5 Boombox Betty P Fits
J Torrealba
R B Spatz
12/1
5
★★★☆☆
49.5
 
2 Dream Diamond E Misfit
P Pena
K P Mongeon
15/1
4
★★★☆☆
46.5
 
4 Shedoo Kitten P Fits
D Boraco
L Duco
20/1
3
★★★☆☆
45.0
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Veronika Z
E Misfit
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
45
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Hippy Hippy Shake
EP Neutral
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
K O'Connell
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse
1
Giddy Up Baby
S Fits
Jockey
E Perez
Trainer
A L Puckett
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Calling the Shots
S Fits
Jockey
J Santos
Trainer
H Smullen
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.2
Post · Horse
5
Boombox Betty
P Fits
Jockey
J Torrealba
Trainer
R B Spatz
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.5
Post · Horse
2
Dream Diamond
E Misfit
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
K P Mongeon
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
Post · Horse
4
Shedoo Kitten
P Fits
Jockey
D Boraco
Trainer
L Duco
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge. No true front-runner here; the lone presser is likely to inherit the lead.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $50,000 Or Less Or Claiming Price $50,000
Purse$37,500
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:30 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Six turf route runners assemble for this $50,000 claimer where #5 Rogue Runner seeks to translate consecutive speed figures of 87 and 84 into a victory against #7 Softly Dreaming, who exits a strong runner-up finish with an 85 figure.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
0
EP
1
P
2
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Rogue Runner should break on top. 547361
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Rogue Runner sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 547316
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Rogue Runner is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 543716

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 29.8%
Price horse: Softly Dreaming (4/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Rogue Runner EP Fits
M A Vasquez
G G Jackson
3/1
30
★★★★☆
67.5
Top Pick
7 Softly Dreaming P Neutral
E Perez
K McKathan
4/1
20
★★★★☆
63.9
Value Play
3 Scarlett's Law S Neutral
D A Herrera
K O'Connell
8/1
16
★★★★☆
61.9
 
1 Del Mar Sunrise S Neutral
R Hughes
N J Tomlinson
9/2
14
★★★★☆
61.0
 
6 Great Actress —
M Meneses
M J Vitali
12/1
11
★★★☆☆
59.1
Longshot
4 Bert's Knoty Girl P Neutral
P Pena
J Engler
5/2
10
★★★☆☆
58.1
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Rogue Runner
EP Fits
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
G G Jackson
30
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.5
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Softly Dreaming
P Neutral
Jockey
E Perez
Trainer
K McKathan
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.9
Post · Horse
3
Scarlett's Law
S Neutral
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
K O'Connell
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
1
Del Mar Sunrise
S Neutral
Jockey
R Hughes
Trainer
N J Tomlinson
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Great Actress
—
Jockey
M Meneses
Trainer
M J Vitali
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.1
Post · Horse
4
Bert's Knoty Girl
P Neutral
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
J Engler
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #7 Mish, #1 King Cab, #4 Celtic Pride.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $12,500 Or Less Since October 2, 2024 Or Claiming Price $20,00
Purse$28,500
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:04 PM ET
Field Size5
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Heavy favorite #7 Mish towers over this five-horse sprint with back-to-back speed figures of 89 and 92, posing the question of whether returning back-class runner #1 King Cab or recent winner #2 Proud American can deliver an upset.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
0
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 King Cab, #4 Celtic Pride and #7 Mish all go for the lead. #2 Proud American drops to the back. 14732
  2. Middle around the turn #1 King Cab, #4 Celtic Pride and #7 Mish keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 14732
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Proud American has taken over in front. Tiring: #1 King Cab, #4 Celtic Pride and #7 Mish. 21473

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 57.9%
Price horse: King Cab (5/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (3 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Mish E Misfit
S Camacho
S A Joseph, Jr.
7/5
58
★★★★★
81.7
Top Pick
1 King Cab E Misfit
D A Herrera
V Barboza, Jr.
5/1
18
★★★★☆
71.6
Value Play
2 Proud American S Fits
E Perez
M E Eppler
3/1
9
★★★★☆
66.2
Longshot
4 Celtic Pride E Misfit
C Martinez
A M Rodriguez
20/1
8
★★★★☆
64.8
 
3 Carambaso E Misfit
M A Vasquez
R Yanez
8/1
7
★★★★☆
64.1
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Mish
E Misfit
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
58
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★★★ 81.7
Post · Horse Value Play
1
King Cab
E Misfit
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.6
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Proud American
S Fits
Jockey
E Perez
Trainer
M E Eppler
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
4
Celtic Pride
E Misfit
Jockey
C Martinez
Trainer
A M Rodriguez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.8
Post · Horse
3
Carambaso
E Misfit
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
R Yanez
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 5-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$50,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:36 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The Friday finale is a wide-open eight-horse maiden turf mile where lightly raced #3 Happy Memories steps up after a solid runner-up finish against #10 Parnassus and #7 Valen Time, who both bring multiple 70-plus speed figures over the course.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
1
EP
1
P
1
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Mary's Memphis should break on top. #9 Flamefire and #7 Valen Time drop to the back. 123810479
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Mary's Memphis sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 123810479
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Mary's Memphis is still in front. Moving forward: #10 Parnassus. 121038794

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.4%
Price horse: Parnassus (4/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (2 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Happy Memories —
M A Vasquez
D Fawkes
7/2
18
★★★☆☆
55.4
Top Pick
10 Parnassus P Neutral
Y Torres
J F D'Angelo
4/1
18
★★★☆☆
55.3
Value Play
7 Valen Time S Neutral
P Pena
J C Catanese III
15/1
15
★★★☆☆
53.8
Longshot
8 Lex Go Honey —
M J Husbands
S A Joseph, Jr.
6/1
14
★★★☆☆
52.9
 
9 Flamefire S Neutral
J Santos
J E Morzan
30/1
13
★★★☆☆
52.3
 
1 Mary's Memphis E Fits
L Reyes
M Yates
12/1
11
★★★☆☆
51.2
 
2 Captain Karter EP Fits
A Thomas
R G Crichton
12/1
7
★★★☆☆
47.0
 
4 Yastrzemski —
D A Herrera
J F Orseno
6/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.1
 
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Happy Memories
—
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
D Fawkes
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
Post · Horse Value Play
10
Parnassus
P Neutral
Jockey
Y Torres
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.3
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Valen Time
S Neutral
Jockey
P Pena
Trainer
J C Catanese III
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.8
Post · Horse
8
Lex Go Honey
—
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.9
Post · Horse
9
Flamefire
S Neutral
Jockey
J Santos
Trainer
J E Morzan
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.3
Post · Horse
1
Mary's Memphis
E Fits
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
M Yates
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.2
Post · Horse
2
Captain Karter
EP Fits
Jockey
A Thomas
Trainer
R G Crichton
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.0
Post · Horse
4
Yastrzemski
—
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
J F Orseno
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro