Curated Betting Card

Gulfstream Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 5.

2026-10-09 Race 5 Morning Card
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Gulfstream Park · full board
Strongest play
R3
Tilou #3
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Turkish Surprise #5
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R7
9 runners
9
Pace shape
R9
Duel
2 want the lead
Card Overview
Race day summary
Gulfstream Park presents a balanced nine-race program featuring turf routes and competitive Tapeta sprints. The juvenile turf maiden in Race 3 offers the day's firmest foundation with Tilou, while wide-open synthetic sprints in Races 5 and 6 demand tactical exacta coverage among closely rated class-droppers. Pace battles appear sharpest in Races 4 and 8, where stalkers with proven synthetic and dirt form hold an edge over embattled frontrunners.
Races 9 Status Completed View Morning
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Card 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Nobody wants the lead, so the early running order is hard to predict.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$33,500
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:20 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexTwo Years Old Fillies
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Eight two-year-old fillies stretch out to a mile on the grass where Antonio Sano trainee #8 All Light Long makes her debut from the far outside post against #5 Turkish Surprise, who already has route foundation and a recent 48.50 four-furlong drill. The outcome hinges on whether the unraced runner can translate morning potential to grass routes immediately or succumb to the experienced filly's tactical edge.
Pace shape No Speed
E
0
EP
0
P
2
S
2

Early running order is unreliable.

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up No Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate Nobody wants the lead, so #3 Distinctly Red may end up there by default. 32516874
  2. Middle around the turn A slow pace keeps the field bunched together. 32516874
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Distinctly Red is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 32516874

Nobody wants the lead, so the early order here is a rough guess.

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.7%
Price horse: Turkish Surprise (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 All Light Long
S Camacho
A Sano
 3/1
22
★★★☆☆
50.5
 Top Pick
5 Turkish Surprise S Neutral
J Ocasio
C A David
 8/1
20
★★★☆☆
49.9
 Value Play
6 Swell —
L Reyes
B G Lopez
 9/2
15
★★★☆☆
47.6
  
1 Mumbet S Neutral
H Figueroa
H Smullen
 5/2
14
★★★☆☆
47.0
  
2 Causeshzprecocious P Fits
S Leon
D Nunn
 7/2
14
★★★☆☆
46.5
  
4 Magic Mini —
M Meneses
A Sano
 15/1
6
★★☆☆☆
39.2
  
3 Distinctly Red P Fits
J Santos
A W Dobber
 20/1
5
★★☆☆☆
37.4
  
7 Mona Lisa —
J E Morelos
D Nunn
 8/1
4
★★☆☆☆
37.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
All Light Long
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
A Sano
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.5
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Turkish Surprise
S Neutral
Jockey
J Ocasio
Trainer
C A David
20
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.9
Post · Horse
6
Swell
—
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
B G Lopez
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.6
Post · Horse
1
Mumbet
S Neutral
Jockey
H Figueroa
Trainer
H Smullen
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.0
Post · Horse
2
Causeshzprecocious
P Fits
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
D Nunn
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.5
Post · Horse
4
Magic Mini
—
Jockey
M Meneses
Trainer
A Sano
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.2
Post · Horse
3
Distinctly Red
P Fits
Jockey
J Santos
Trainer
A W Dobber
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.4
Post · Horse
7
Mona Lisa
—
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
D Nunn
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$25,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:50 PM ET
Field Size6
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old And Upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Short-priced morning-line favorite #3 Malbec brings a recent speed figure of 65 into this mile maiden, but #5 Henry's Buddy arrives off back-to-back runner-up efforts with figures of 60 and 55 for Mark Casse. The race pivots on whether Malbec can overcome a flat September return or if Henry's Buddy can capitalize on superior recent race fitness.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
4
P
0
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Ching Ching should break on top. 624351
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 624351
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #2 Expert Witness has taken over in front. Tiring: #6 Ching Ching. 243651

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 26.8%
Price horse: Expert Witness (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Malbec EP Fits
M A Vasquez
J F D'Angelo
 7/5
27
★★★☆☆
57.0
 Top Pick
2 Expert Witness EP Fits
S Camacho
M Lerman
 4/1
23
★★★☆☆
55.7
 Value Play
5 Henry's Buddy EP Fits
S Leon
M E Casse
 5/2
21
★★★☆☆
54.8
 Longshot
1 Smell of Money —
L Reyes
J F D'Angelo
 8/1
13
★★★☆☆
51.1
  
6 Ching Ching E Neutral
C Martinez
M S Morrison
 7/2
12
★★★☆☆
49.9
  
4 Flying Ash EP Fits
J Santos
M Passley
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
41.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Malbec
EP Fits
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse Value Play
2
Expert Witness
EP Fits
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
M Lerman
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.7
Post · Horse Longshot
5
Henry's Buddy
EP Fits
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
M E Casse
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.8
Post · Horse
1
Smell of Money
—
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.1
Post · Horse
6
Ching Ching
E Neutral
Jockey
C Martinez
Trainer
M S Morrison
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.9
Post · Horse
4
Flying Ash
EP Fits
Jockey
J Santos
Trainer
M Passley
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3
Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old Florida-Bred, Or Maiden Claiming Price $50,000
Purse$45,000
Claiming$50,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 Furlongs
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:22 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexTwo Years Old
EligibilityFlorida-Bred, Or Maiden Claiming Price $50,000
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A seven-horse juvenile turf dash features #3 Tilou, who has posted speed figures of 71 and 66 against open maiden company, clashing directly with Juan Carlos Avila trainee #4 Little Prince off a debut speed figure of 74. The race hinges on whether Little Prince can duplicate that dirt speed on the lawn against Tilou's proven turf credentials.
PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 30.6%
Price horse: Little Prince (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Tilou E —
D A Herrera
H Smullen
 5/2
31
★★★☆☆
57.8
 Top Pick
4 Little Prince —
J E Morelos
J C Avila
 2/1
25
★★★☆☆
56.1
 Value Play
6 High Ambition EP —
L Reyes
J F D'Angelo
 3/1
15
★★★☆☆
51.9
  
7 Mi Corazoncito —
S Camacho
S R Hernandez, Jr.
 5/1
11
★★★☆☆
49.3
  
5 Chic and Lucky —
E Gonzalez
E M Vazquez
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.6
  
1 Mischief Meister —
M A Vasquez
H Smullen
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
44.1
  
2 Tweed —
M Meneses
F Gutierrez
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
42.6
 Longshot
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Tilou
E —
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
H Smullen
31
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.8
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Little Prince
—
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
J C Avila
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse
6
High Ambition
EP —
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.9
Post · Horse
7
Mi Corazoncito
—
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
S R Hernandez, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.3
Post · Horse
5
Chic and Lucky
—
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
E M Vazquez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.6
Post · Horse
1
Mischief Meister
—
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
H Smullen
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.1
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Tweed
—
Jockey
M Meneses
Trainer
F Gutierrez
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #1 Garuda, #5 Travel Happy, #2 My Perfect Lady.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Fillies & Mares
Purse$24,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 Furlongs
SurfaceAll Weather
Post Time1:54 PM ET
Field Size6
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Six experienced synthetic sprinters meet over five furlongs where #1 Garuda returns from a short rest holding three consecutive speed figures of 76 against #5 Travel Happy, who owns a field-best 83 figure over this track. The strategic duel comes down to whether Garuda protects the rail trip or if Travel Happy sweeps past from the outside.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
0
P
0
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Garuda, #2 My Perfect Lady and #5 Travel Happy all go for the lead. #4 Evanora and #3 Drum Roll drop to the back. 125634
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Garuda, #2 My Perfect Lady and #5 Travel Happy keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 125634
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Drum Roll has taken over in front. Moving forward: #4 Evanora. Tiring: #1 Garuda, #2 My Perfect Lady and #5 Travel Happy. 364125

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.1%
Price horse: Travel Happy (9/5 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Garuda E Misfit
E Gonzalez
L M Ramirez
 9/2
24
★★★★☆
69.1
 Top Pick
5 Travel Happy E Misfit
L Reyes
G G Jackson
 9/5
21
★★★★☆
68.0
 Value Play
6 Misprint —
W Vasquez
N J Tomlinson
 2/1
21
★★★★☆
67.8
  
2 My Perfect Lady E Misfit
M Meneses
A M Sanchez
 4/1
15
★★★★☆
65.2
  
3 Drum Roll S Fits
M A Vasquez
V Barboza, Jr.
 6/1
13
★★★★☆
63.7
 Longshot
4 Evanora S Fits
C Martinez
G W Arscott
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.2
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Garuda
E Misfit
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
L M Ramirez
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.1
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Travel Happy
E Misfit
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
G G Jackson
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.0
Post · Horse
6
Misprint
—
Jockey
W Vasquez
Trainer
N J Tomlinson
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.8
Post · Horse
2
My Perfect Lady
E Misfit
Jockey
M Meneses
Trainer
A M Sanchez
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.2
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Drum Roll
S Fits
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse
4
Evanora
S Fits
Jockey
C Martinez
Trainer
G W Arscott
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.2
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 6-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #1 Sofocles, #7 Complexed, #8 Love Hate.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $10,000, if for $8,000, allowed 2 Lbs
Purse$23,000
Claiming$10,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 1/2 Furlongs
SurfaceAll Weather
Post Time2:26 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Allowanceif for $8,000, allowed 2 Lbs
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
An eight-horse $10,000 claiming sprint features #1 Sofocles seeking a third consecutive victory after earning speed figures of 80 and 80, but #5 Santal and #3 Carcone have traded blows in matching company. The central test is whether Sofocles can handle the step up in claiming tag while defending inside position against proven mid-pack closers.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
3
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Complexed, #8 Love Hate and #1 Sofocles all go for the lead. #2 Araucano drops to the back. 78143562
  2. Middle around the turn #7 Complexed, #8 Love Hate and #1 Sofocles keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 78146352
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Rusty Pistol has taken over in front. Moving forward: #2 Araucano. Tiring: #7 Complexed, #8 Love Hate and #1 Sofocles. 62435781

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 20.8%
Price horse: Santal (6/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Sofocles E Misfit
J E Morelos
S Pulgarin
 5/2
21
★★★★☆
64.1
 Top Pick
5 Santal EP Neutral
L Reyes
R Coy
 6/1
18
★★★★☆
62.8
 Value Play
3 Carcone EP Neutral
E Perez
V Barboza, Jr.
 3/1
14
★★★★☆
60.8
  
7 Complexed E Misfit
E Gonzalez
M E Casse
 6/1
12
★★★☆☆
59.6
  
2 Araucano S Fits
S Camacho
J Engler
 6/1
11
★★★☆☆
58.8
  
6 Rusty Pistol P Fits
Y Torres
D Jones
 12/1
9
★★★☆☆
56.8
 Longshot
4 Iron the Money EP Neutral
H Figueroa
H Smullen
 9/2
8
★★★☆☆
56.2
  
8 Love Hate E Misfit
C Martinez
K O'Connell
 15/1
7
★★★☆☆
54.6
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Sofocles
E Misfit
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
S Pulgarin
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.1
Post · Horse Value Play
5
Santal
EP Neutral
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
R Coy
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.8
Post · Horse
3
Carcone
EP Neutral
Jockey
E Perez
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.8
Post · Horse
7
Complexed
E Misfit
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
M E Casse
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.6
Post · Horse
2
Araucano
S Fits
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
J Engler
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.8
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Rusty Pistol
P Fits
Jockey
Y Torres
Trainer
D Jones
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse
4
Iron the Money
EP Neutral
Jockey
H Figueroa
Trainer
H Smullen
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.2
Post · Horse
8
Love Hate
E Misfit
Jockey
C Martinez
Trainer
K O'Connell
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.6
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #2 Mahovlich, #3 Inhonorofsonny, #1 Classy Prince.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$30,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 Furlongs
SurfaceAll Weather
Post Time2:58 PM ET
Field Size8
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old And Upward
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Eight maiden sprinters dash five furlongs where layoff runner #2 Mahovlich returns for trainer Jena Antonucci with sharp morning works against #3 Inhonorofsonny, who holds recent runner-up finishes with speed figures of 78 and 67. The question is whether Mahovlich's fresh speed can overcome a long layoff to outfinish race-fit rivals.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
0
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 Classy Prince should break on top. #8 King Morpheus drops to the back. 12374568
  2. Middle around the turn #1 Classy Prince, #2 Mahovlich and #3 Inhonorofsonny keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 12374568
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #8 King Morpheus has taken over in front. Moving forward: #7 Mosai. Tiring: #1 Classy Prince, #3 Inhonorofsonny and #2 Mahovlich. 87456132

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 19.2%
Price horse: Inhonorofsonny (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Mahovlich E Misfit
S Camacho
J M Antonucci
 8/1
19
★★★☆☆
57.3
 Top Pick
3 Inhonorofsonny E Misfit
J E Morelos
H Collazo
 3/1
19
★★★☆☆
57.0
 Value Play
1 Classy Prince E Misfit
L Reyes
R Coy
 9/2
16
★★★☆☆
55.9
  
8 King Morpheus S Fits
A Thomas
C Maragh
 5/2
14
★★★☆☆
54.7
  
7 Mosai EP Neutral
J Torrealba
V Barboza, Jr.
 10/1
13
★★★☆☆
54.2
 Longshot
5 Stem Cell —
D A Herrera
V Barboza, Jr.
 7/2
11
★★★☆☆
52.6
  
4 Forged Valor —
E Gonzalez
M Sancal
 10/1
4
★★★☆☆
44.5
  
6 Principito Dos —
J Santos
R Coy
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
41.5
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Mahovlich
E Misfit
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
J M Antonucci
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.3
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Inhonorofsonny
E Misfit
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
H Collazo
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse
1
Classy Prince
E Misfit
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
R Coy
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse
8
King Morpheus
S Fits
Jockey
A Thomas
Trainer
C Maragh
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.7
Post · Horse Longshot
7
Mosai
EP Neutral
Jockey
J Torrealba
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.2
Post · Horse
5
Stem Cell
—
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.6
Post · Horse
4
Forged Valor
—
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
M Sancal
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.5
Post · Horse
6
Principito Dos
—
Jockey
J Santos
Trainer
R Coy
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.5
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #7 Jack Kerouac, #2 Enchanting Tale, #6 Lawler.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Mai
Purse$33,500
Claiming$25,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:30 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityWhich Have Never Won A Race Other Than Maiden, Claiming, Starter Or State Bred
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A full field of nine turf route claimers features #3 Malcolm X, who commands respect with top speed ratings for trainer Daniel Zanelli, taking on recent wire-to-wire winner #7 Jack Kerouac off a career-best speed figure of 89. The tactical crux is whether Jack Kerouac can clear comfortably from post 7 or if Malcolm X pounces off a contested pace.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
2
P
0
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Jack Kerouac, #6 Lawler and #2 Enchanting Tale all go for the lead. #4 Venezuelan Hope and #1 Apache One Six drop to the back. 762839514
  2. Middle around the turn #7 Jack Kerouac, #6 Lawler and #2 Enchanting Tale keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 762389154
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Apache One Six has taken over in front. Moving forward: #4 Venezuelan Hope. Tiring: #7 Jack Kerouac, #6 Lawler and #2 Enchanting Tale. 134895762

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.9%
Price horse: Jack Kerouac (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Malcolm X —
E Gonzalez
D Zanelli
 7/2
23
★★★★☆
73.2
 Top Pick
7 Jack Kerouac E Misfit
D A Herrera
R B Spatz
 3/1
16
★★★★☆
69.9
 Value Play
2 Enchanting Tale E Misfit
L Reyes
V Barboza, Jr.
 6/1
13
★★★★☆
68.3
  
8 Shinyhappygroovy EP Neutral
S Camacho
N J Tomlinson
 4/1
12
★★★★☆
67.6
  
4 Venezuelan Hope S Fits
J E Morelos
S Klesaris
 6/1
10
★★★★☆
66.2
  
6 Lawler E Misfit
R Hughes
R Sierra
 8/1
8
★★★★☆
64.5
 Longshot
1 Apache One Six S Fits
J Santos
R Coy
 8/1
7
★★★★☆
63.6
  
5 Science Rockets —
J Torrealba
P L Biancone
 15/1
7
★★★★☆
63.1
  
9 Techno Music EP Neutral
C Gil
V Barboza, Jr.
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
58.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Malcolm X
—
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
D Zanelli
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 73.2
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Jack Kerouac
E Misfit
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
R B Spatz
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.9
Post · Horse
2
Enchanting Tale
E Misfit
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.3
Post · Horse
8
Shinyhappygroovy
EP Neutral
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
N J Tomlinson
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.6
Post · Horse
4
Venezuelan Hope
S Fits
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
S Klesaris
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Lawler
E Misfit
Jockey
R Hughes
Trainer
R Sierra
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.5
Post · Horse
1
Apache One Six
S Fits
Jockey
J Santos
Trainer
R Coy
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.6
Post · Horse
5
Science Rockets
—
Jockey
J Torrealba
Trainer
P L Biancone
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
9
Techno Music
EP Neutral
Jockey
C Gil
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #5 Azam, #7 Irish Adieu, #2 Arabia Wild.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or Restricted Or Which Have Never Won Two Races Or Cla
Purse$54,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time4:04 PM ET
Field Size7
Eligibility & Weights
EligibilityWhich Have Never Won Two Races
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Seven one-mile conditional runners clash where #5 Azam brings an 83 speed figure and a sharp 48.50 workout against #7 Irish Adieu, who captured his maiden two back with an 84 figure and tested Kentucky Downs last month. The race turns on whether Azam can shake loose in the middle stages before Irish Adieu launches his rally.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
3
EP
1
P
0
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Azam and #2 Arabia Wild go for the lead together. #3 Ez Orb Not and #1 Prost drop to the back. 5274613
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Azam, #2 Arabia Wild and #7 Irish Adieu keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 5274163
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Prost has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Ez Orb Not. Tiring: #5 Azam, #2 Arabia Wild and #7 Irish Adieu. 1346527

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 22.0%
Price horse: Irish Adieu (3/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
5 Azam E Misfit
L Reyes
J F D'Angelo
 5/2
22
★★★★☆
66.8
 Top Pick
7 Irish Adieu E Misfit
M A Vasquez
B S Dibona
 3/1
21
★★★★☆
66.3
 Value Play
2 Arabia Wild E Misfit
D A Herrera
P Garcia, Jr.
 8/1
15
★★★★☆
63.7
 Longshot
3 Ez Orb Not S Fits
E Gonzalez
J F Orseno
 9/2
14
★★★★☆
63.0
  
1 Prost S Fits
Y Torres
J F D'Angelo
 6/1
12
★★★★☆
61.7
  
4 Move Jesse Move EP Neutral
S Camacho
L Barbazon III
 5/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.7
  
6 Gregarious —
J E Morelos
J M Castro
 6/1
6
★★★☆☆
56.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
5
Azam
E Misfit
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
22
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.8
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Irish Adieu
E Misfit
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
B S Dibona
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.3
Post · Horse Longshot
2
Arabia Wild
E Misfit
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
P Garcia, Jr.
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse
3
Ez Orb Not
S Fits
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
J F Orseno
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse
1
Prost
S Fits
Jockey
Y Torres
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.7
Post · Horse
4
Move Jesse Move
EP Neutral
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
L Barbazon III
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse
6
Gregarious
—
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
J M Castro
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #8 Serrania, #5 Victorious Secret.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies And Mares Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$30,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:36 PM ET
Field Size9
Eligibility & Weights
Age/SexThree Years Old And Upward Fillies And Mares
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The finale sends nine maiden fillies and mares two turns on the turf where #8 Serrania drops back in trip following consecutive runner-up finishes with speed figures of 67 and 73, facing #6 Basilica Light who boasts a 49.70 breeze and multiple placings. The outcome rests on whether Serrania can convert her consistent turf form into a maiden-breaking score from an outside post.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
3
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Victorious Secret should break on top. #7 Ghosts Lil Secret and #4 Sweet Taste drop to the back. 581296347
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Victorious Secret and #8 Serrania keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 581296347
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Basilica Light has taken over in front. Moving forward: #3 Hit Music, #4 Sweet Taste and #7 Ghosts Lil Secret. Tiring: #5 Victorious Secret and #8 Serrania. 613429758

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.4%
Price horse: Basilica Light (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Serrania E Misfit
L Reyes
F Gutierrez
 5/2
21
★★★☆☆
56.1
 Top Pick
6 Basilica Light P Fits
J Santos
C DeSouza
 8/1
17
★★★☆☆
53.9
 Value Play
7 Ghosts Lil Secret S Fits
D A Herrera
D Donaldson
 7/2
15
★★★☆☆
53.0
  
2 Foster Lane —
S Camacho
L L Lewis
 2/1
14
★★★☆☆
52.5
  
5 Victorious Secret E Misfit
J Torrealba
R B Spatz
 8/1
11
★★★☆☆
50.6
  
1 Nifty's Spirit EP Neutral
S Leon
A W Dobber
 20/1
8
★★★☆☆
47.7
 Longshot
4 Sweet Taste P Fits
Y Torres
F Gutierrez
 12/1
6
★★★☆☆
45.4
  
9 Dependence —
H Figueroa
H Smullen
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
43.7
  
3 Hit Music P Fits
W Henry
H Simms
 30/1
3
★★☆☆☆
39.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Serrania
E Misfit
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
F Gutierrez
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse Value Play
6
Basilica Light
P Fits
Jockey
J Santos
Trainer
C DeSouza
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.9
Post · Horse
7
Ghosts Lil Secret
S Fits
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
D Donaldson
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.0
Post · Horse
2
Foster Lane
—
Jockey
S Camacho
Trainer
L L Lewis
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.5
Post · Horse
5
Victorious Secret
E Misfit
Jockey
J Torrealba
Trainer
R B Spatz
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.6
Post · Horse Longshot
1
Nifty's Spirit
EP Neutral
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
A W Dobber
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.7
Post · Horse
4
Sweet Taste
P Fits
Jockey
Y Torres
Trainer
F Gutierrez
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.4
Post · Horse
9
Dependence
—
Jockey
H Figueroa
Trainer
H Smullen
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 43.7
Post · Horse
3
Hit Music
P Fits
Jockey
W Henry
Trainer
H Simms
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
  Go Pro