Curated Betting Card

Gulfstream Park

Focused strategy and instant race-level routing for Race 4.

2026-10-30 Race 4 Morning Card
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This card is frozen as it was curated this morning. Pro members see the live card — late scratches, cancellations, odds moves, and revised betting strategy — right up to post time.
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Card signals
Gulfstream Park · full board
Strongest play
R7
Mish #7
Top conf.
Best longshot
R1
Causeshzprecocious #9
8/1 ML
Deepest field
R6
12 runners
12
Pace shape
R5
Lone Speed
#5 Love Hate
Card Overview
Race day summary
Gulfstream Park presents an appealing 10-race program headlined by high-percentage barn maneuvers, competitive turf routes, and keyed sprint favorites. Towering form figures make #7 Mish in Race 7 and #3 Sofocles in Race 5 clear focal points for horizontal tickets and straight exacta keys. Value seekers should look toward the middle turf routes and juvenile maiden dashes, where vulnerable low-priced morning-line runners open the door for well-worked mid-price contenders.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 1

Little early pressure. Horses near the lead have the edge. No true front-runner here; the lone presser is likely to inherit the lead.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Fillies Two Years Old
Purse$33,500
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time12:05 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A field of 10 two-year-old fillies routes on the turf where #1 Grant Me Peace brings the best foundation and post position, but she must prove she can finish after settling for minor awards in four previous local starts.
Pace shape Favors Front
E
0
EP
1
P
2
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Favors Front
  1. Early leaving the gate #6 Hattie G should break on top. 62914537810
  2. Middle around the turn #6 Hattie G sets a comfortable pace and the field stays in line behind. 62914537810
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Hattie G is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 62915437810

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 33.1%
Price horse: Jenlovestoshop (4/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Grant Me Peace S Neutral
M A Vasquez
N Palmer
 5/2
33
★★★☆☆
57.9
 Top Pick
4 Jenlovestoshop —
M Meneses
J K Sweezey
 4/1
14
★★★☆☆
50.7
 Value Play
5 Irish Tale S Neutral
J Torrealba
R B Spatz
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
47.1
  
3 Vino —
L Reyes
C A David
 10/1
9
★★★☆☆
46.8
  
9 Causeshzprecocious P Neutral
S Leon
D Nunn
 8/1
9
★★★☆☆
46.6
 Longshot
2 Gustavia P Neutral
D A Herrera
A Sano
 8/1
8
★★★☆☆
46.4
  
7 Magic Mini —
J M Rios
A Sano
 15/1
5
★★★☆☆
41.6
  
10 Starship Excelsior —
Y Torres
J F D'Angelo
 9/2
4
★★★☆☆
41.0
  
8 Olympic Kitty —
J E Morelos
H Dominguez
 20/1
4
★★★☆☆
40.3
  
6 Hattie G EP Fits
H Figueroa
H Smullen
 8/1
4
★★☆☆☆
39.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Grant Me Peace
S Neutral
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
N Palmer
33
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.9
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Jenlovestoshop
—
Jockey
M Meneses
Trainer
J K Sweezey
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.7
Post · Horse
5
Irish Tale
S Neutral
Jockey
J Torrealba
Trainer
R B Spatz
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.1
Post · Horse
3
Vino
—
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
C A David
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.8
Post · Horse Longshot
9
Causeshzprecocious
P Neutral
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
D Nunn
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.6
Post · Horse
2
Gustavia
P Neutral
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
A Sano
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 46.4
Post · Horse
7
Magic Mini
—
Jockey
J M Rios
Trainer
A Sano
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.6
Post · Horse
10
Starship Excelsior
—
Jockey
Y Torres
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.0
Post · Horse
8
Olympic Kitty
—
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
H Dominguez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.3
Post · Horse
6
Hattie G
EP Fits
Jockey
H Figueroa
Trainer
H Smullen
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 39.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 2

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $10,000, if for $8,000, allowed 2 Lbs
Purse$23,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time12:40 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Dropping class from Delaware Park, #4 King of Hollywood brings superior baseline back-class, but local specialist #3 Seaver arrives off consecutive runner-up efforts with recent speed figures of 85 and 82.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
2
P
3
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #4 King of Hollywood and #2 Swashbuckle go for the lead together. #3 Seaver drops to the back. 42578613
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 42578613
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Zozan has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 Never Say Never, #1 Eton and #3 Seaver. 54278613

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 26.7%
Price horse: Seaver (9/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
4 King of Hollywood EP Fits
L Reyes
S R Hernandez, Jr.
 5/2
27
★★★★☆
68.4
 Top Pick
3 Seaver S Neutral
S Leon
A M Sanchez
 9/2
24
★★★★☆
67.4
 Value Play
5 Zozan P Neutral
J Santos
R Yanez
 9/5
17
★★★★☆
64.7
  
6 Never Say Never S Neutral
R Rojas
F Santillana
 15/1
10
★★★☆☆
59.7
 Longshot
2 Swashbuckle EP Fits
J Ocasio
J Negrete
 5/1
9
★★★☆☆
59.3
  
7 Noble Prince P Neutral
J E Morelos
R Coy
 10/1
6
★★★☆☆
55.9
  
1 Eton S Neutral
J M Rios
S Budhoo
 10/1
5
★★★☆☆
53.6
  
8 Fredericksburg P Neutral
C Gil
B Campos
 20/1
3
★★★☆☆
49.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
4
King of Hollywood
EP Fits
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
S R Hernandez, Jr.
27
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.4
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Seaver
S Neutral
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
A M Sanchez
24
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 67.4
Post · Horse
5
Zozan
P Neutral
Jockey
J Santos
Trainer
R Yanez
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Never Say Never
S Neutral
Jockey
R Rojas
Trainer
F Santillana
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.7
Post · Horse
2
Swashbuckle
EP Fits
Jockey
J Ocasio
Trainer
J Negrete
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 59.3
Post · Horse
7
Noble Prince
P Neutral
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
R Coy
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.9
Post · Horse
1
Eton
S Neutral
Jockey
J M Rios
Trainer
S Budhoo
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 53.6
Post · Horse
8
Fredericksburg
P Neutral
Jockey
C Gil
Trainer
B Campos
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 3

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Three Years Old And Upward
Purse$31,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time1:15 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Trainer Saffie Joseph Jr. saddles #1 Barjouj from the rail seeking breakthrough victory, but #7 Star of the Gun boasts sharper recent form figures with consecutive runner-up finishes on this turf course.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
2
P
1
S
0

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Star of the Gun should break on top. 7136425
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 7163425
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #6 Daunting is in front, running an even pace. Tiring: #7 Star of the Gun. 6173425

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 24.6%
Price horse: Star of the Gun (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (4 tickets identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
1 Barjouj EP Fits
M J Husbands
S A Joseph, Jr.
 2/1
25
★★★☆☆
56.7
 Top Pick
7 Star of the Gun E Neutral
L Reyes
J Negrete
 8/1
23
★★★☆☆
56.0
 Value Play
4 On the Rox P Neutral
J C Ferrer
L N Hardesty
 8/1
15
★★★☆☆
52.5
  
6 Daunting —
D A Herrera
T A Pletcher
 9/5
13
★★★☆☆
51.5
  
3 Captain Karter EP Fits
R Hughes
R G Crichton
 9/2
11
★★★☆☆
50.0
  
2 E Z Shopping —
C Martinez
F De La Cruz
 15/1
9
★★★☆☆
47.8
 Longshot
5 Charcoal Blue —
A Thomas
R G Crichton
 6/1
4
★★★☆☆
42.1
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
1
Barjouj
EP Fits
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.7
Post · Horse Value Play
7
Star of the Gun
E Neutral
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
J Negrete
23
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.0
Post · Horse
4
On the Rox
P Neutral
Jockey
J C Ferrer
Trainer
L N Hardesty
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.5
Post · Horse
6
Daunting
—
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
T A Pletcher
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★☆☆ 51.5
Post · Horse
3
Captain Karter
EP Fits
Jockey
R Hughes
Trainer
R G Crichton
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 50.0
Post · Horse Longshot
2
E Z Shopping
—
Jockey
C Martinez
Trainer
F De La Cruz
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.8
Post · Horse
5
Charcoal Blue
—
Jockey
A Thomas
Trainer
R G Crichton
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 42.1
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 4

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaidens, Two Years Old
Purse$30,000
Trip & Field
Distance7 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time1:50 PM ET
Field Size8
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
An evenly matched group of eight juvenile maidens tackles seven furlongs where #7 Tulio brings the top last-out speed figure of 59, but must ward off well-drilled first-timer #6 Mischief Holiday and improving rival #3 Subtle Sir.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
0
EP
2
P
1
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #7 Tulio and #1 Power Royal go for the lead together. 71346852
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 71346852
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Tulio is still in front. Moving forward: #2 Astrogem. 71346825

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Wide OpenOrdered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Wide-open field; keep the stake small and lean on ordered exotics
Top win chance: 18.2%
Price horse: Subtle Sir (7/2 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Tulio EP Fits
L Reyes
F Gutierrez
 2/1
18
★★★☆☆
47.9
 Top Pick
3 Subtle Sir —
J Santos
N Palmer
 7/2
17
★★★☆☆
47.3
 Value Play
2 Astrogem S Neutral
Y Torres
J F D'Angelo
 5/2
17
★★★☆☆
47.1
  
5 Our Willow —
D A Herrera
K O'Connell
 4/1
14
★★★☆☆
45.9
  
6 Mischief Holiday —
S Leon
K O'Connell
 15/1
12
★★★☆☆
44.6
 Longshot
4 Slew de Oro P Neutral
E Perez
P R Garcia
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
41.0
  
8 Don't Tell Bert —
J E Morelos
J Engler
 12/1
8
★★★☆☆
40.5
  
1 Power Royal EP Fits
R Rojas
F Santillana
 20/1
6
★★☆☆☆
37.9
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Tulio
EP Fits
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
F Gutierrez
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.9
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Subtle Sir
—
Jockey
J Santos
Trainer
N Palmer
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
7/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.3
Post · Horse
2
Astrogem
S Neutral
Jockey
Y Torres
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 47.1
Post · Horse
5
Our Willow
—
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
K O'Connell
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 45.9
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Mischief Holiday
—
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
K O'Connell
12
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 44.6
Post · Horse
4
Slew de Oro
P Neutral
Jockey
E Perez
Trainer
P R Garcia
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 41.0
Post · Horse
8
Don't Tell Bert
—
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
J Engler
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 40.5
Post · Horse
1
Power Royal
EP Fits
Jockey
R Rojas
Trainer
F Santillana
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★☆☆☆ 37.9
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 8-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 5

Only one horse wants the lead. It should get an easy trip up front. Wants the lead: #5 Love Hate.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price $10,000, if for $8,000, allowed 2 Lbs
Purse$23,000
Trip & Field
Distance5 Furlongs
SurfaceAll Weather
Post Time2:25 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Speedball #3 Sofocles rides a three-race win streak into this five-furlong synthetic dash, but fresh challenger #2 El Muheet enters off sharp morning drills looking to disrupt the favorite's front-running dominance.
Pace shape Lone Speed
E
1
EP
0
P
2
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Lone Speed
  1. Early leaving the gate #5 Love Hate is the only one who wants the lead and should get it easily. #7 Carcone and #1 Araucano drop to the back. 5246317
  2. Middle around the turn #5 Love Hate is loose on the lead with nobody pressing. 5246317
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #5 Love Hate is still in front. Not much changes from the early order. 5246317

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 32.0%
Price horse: El Muheet (4/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
3 Sofocles S Misfit
M A Vasquez
N Ramsey
 9/5
32
★★★★☆
71.4
 Top Pick
2 El Muheet —
D A Herrera
J F Orseno
 4/1
17
★★★★☆
66.2
 Value Play
7 Carcone S Misfit
E Perez
V Barboza, Jr.
 2/1
16
★★★★☆
65.4
  
6 Santal P Neutral
L Reyes
R Coy
 10/1
10
★★★★☆
61.9
 Longshot
4 Valiant Winter P Neutral
J Santos
J F Orseno
 10/1
9
★★★★☆
61.0
  
1 Araucano S Misfit
J E Morelos
J Engler
 6/1
9
★★★★☆
60.5
  
5 Love Hate E Fits
S Leon
K O'Connell
 15/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
3
Sofocles
S Misfit
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
N Ramsey
32
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/5
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.4
Post · Horse Value Play
2
El Muheet
—
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
J F Orseno
17
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
7
Carcone
S Misfit
Jockey
E Perez
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.4
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Santal
P Neutral
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
R Coy
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.9
Post · Horse
4
Valiant Winter
P Neutral
Jockey
J Santos
Trainer
J F Orseno
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.0
Post · Horse
1
Araucano
S Misfit
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
J Engler
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.5
Post · Horse
5
Love Hate
E Fits
Jockey
S Leon
Trainer
K O'Connell
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 6

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #9 Touch of Honor, #8 Boots.

Race Details
Class & Money
Typemaiden or claiming allowed 2 lbs; a race other than claiming, 4 Lbs
Purse$75,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time3:05 PM ET
Field Size12
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
A sprawling 12-horse turf allowance draws numerous contenders with competitive profiles, leaving #9 Touch of Honor to rely on back-to-back speed figures of 68 and 77 to overcome an unsettled pace dynamic.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
3
P
0
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #8 Boots and #9 Touch of Honor go for the lead together. #7 Philipina A and #1 Chica Feliz drop to the back. 891241135102617
  2. Middle around the turn #8 Boots and #9 Touch of Honor keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 891241135102617
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #12 Casablanca Queen has taken over in front. Moving forward: #4 Liberty Rings, #11 Smoke and #1 Chica Feliz. Tiring: #8 Boots and #9 Touch of Honor. 124111735106289

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PASS Wide OpenSkip Wide FieldSmall Trifecta
No play — Wide field with no standout — skip the auto book
Top win chance: 16.5%
Price horse: Kissed by a Rose (20/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
9 Touch of Honor E Misfit
J M Rios
C A David
 5/1
16
★★★★☆
63.7
 Top Pick
3 Kissed by a Rose —
M A Vasquez
R B Spatz
 20/1
14
★★★★☆
62.3
 Value Play
11 Smoke EP Neutral
M Gutierrez
C A David
 6/1
14
★★★★☆
62.2
  
8 Boots E Misfit
M J Husbands
N J Tomlinson
 15/1
8
★★★☆☆
57.6
  
5 Sucker for Looks —
D A Herrera
L Robson
 5/2
8
★★★☆☆
57.0
  
10 Life's Mystery —
R Hughes
S A Joseph, Jr.
 9/2
7
★★★☆☆
56.8
  
2 Hammy —
M Meneses
J K Sweezey
 20/1
7
★★★☆☆
56.1
  
6 Karolina Pharoah —
J Ocasio
V Barboza, Jr.
 10/1
7
★★★☆☆
56.1
  
4 Liberty Rings EP Neutral
N Juarez
N Palmer
 8/1
6
★★★☆☆
54.3
 Longshot
12 Casablanca Queen EP Neutral
L Reyes
J F D'Angelo
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
54.1
  
7 Philipina A S Fits
Y Torres
J F D'Angelo
 30/1
5
★★★☆☆
54.1
  
1 Chica Feliz S Fits
J E Morelos
F Alanis
 50/1
3
★★★☆☆
49.3
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
9
Touch of Honor
E Misfit
Jockey
J M Rios
Trainer
C A David
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Kissed by a Rose
—
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
R B Spatz
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.3
Post · Horse
11
Smoke
EP Neutral
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
C A David
14
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.2
Post · Horse
8
Boots
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
N J Tomlinson
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.6
Post · Horse
5
Sucker for Looks
—
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
L Robson
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.0
Post · Horse
10
Life's Mystery
—
Jockey
R Hughes
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse
2
Hammy
—
Jockey
M Meneses
Trainer
J K Sweezey
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse
6
Karolina Pharoah
—
Jockey
J Ocasio
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.1
Post · Horse Longshot
4
Liberty Rings
EP Neutral
Jockey
N Juarez
Trainer
N Palmer
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.3
Post · Horse
12
Casablanca Queen
EP Neutral
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.1
Post · Horse
7
Philipina A
S Fits
Jockey
Y Torres
Trainer
J F D'Angelo
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 54.1
Post · Horse
1
Chica Feliz
S Fits
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
F Alanis
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
50/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 49.3
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 12-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 7

Three or more horses want the lead. Expect the front-runners to tire and closers to pick them up. Wants the lead: #7 Mish, #3 Captain Eddie, #4 Ajaayb.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $12,500 Or Less Since October 30, 2024 Or Claiming Price $20,0
Purse$28,500
Trip & Field
Distance6 Furlongs
SurfaceDirt
Post Time3:45 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The day's most imposing favorite, #7 Mish, puts his local dominance on the line boasting a recent speed figure of 96, forcing #1 Final Payment and #5 Proud American to run career-best races to keep up.
Pace shape Fast Pace
E
4
EP
0
P
2
S
1

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Fast Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #3 Captain Eddie, #4 Ajaayb and #2 He Be Hoppin all go for the lead. #5 Proud American and #6 I'm Tuff Enough drop to the back. 3427165
  2. Middle around the turn #3 Captain Eddie, #4 Ajaayb and #2 He Be Hoppin keep battling up front. That pace is too fast to last. 3427165
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 Final Payment has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 I'm Tuff Enough and #5 Proud American. Tiring: #3 Captain Eddie, #4 Ajaayb and #2 He Be Hoppin. 1653427

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeyTrifecta Play
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 55.8%
Price horse: Final Payment (6/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
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Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 Mish E Misfit
E Gonzalez
S A Joseph, Jr.
 1/1
56
★★★★★
85.2
 Top Pick
1 Final Payment P Fits
M A Vasquez
B J Chapman
 6/1
19
★★★★☆
76.0
 Value Play
5 Proud American S Fits
L Reyes
M E Eppler
 4/1
10
★★★★☆
70.5
  
3 Captain Eddie E Misfit
D A Herrera
A M Sanchez
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
68.7
 Longshot
4 Ajaayb E Misfit
J E Morelos
J D Arias
 3/1
3
★★★★☆
61.3
  
2 He Be Hoppin E Misfit
C Martinez
E Nunez
 20/1
3
★★★★☆
60.3
  
6 I'm Tuff Enough P Fits
J Z Santana
A P Williams
 20/1
1
★★★☆☆
52.7
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
Mish
E Misfit
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
56
Win Prob
ML Odds
1/1
Rating
★★★★★ 85.2
Post · Horse Value Play
1
Final Payment
P Fits
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
B J Chapman
19
Win Prob
ML Odds
6/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 76.0
Post · Horse
5
Proud American
S Fits
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
M E Eppler
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
4/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.5
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Captain Eddie
E Misfit
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
A M Sanchez
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.7
Post · Horse
4
Ajaayb
E Misfit
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
J D Arias
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse
2
He Be Hoppin
E Misfit
Jockey
C Martinez
Trainer
E Nunez
3
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.3
Post · Horse
6
I'm Tuff Enough
P Fits
Jockey
J Z Santana
Trainer
A P Williams
1
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 52.7
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 8

A fair, even pace. No running style has a built-in edge.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeClaiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less And Which Have Never Won A Race Other Than Mai
Purse$33,500
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceTurf
Post Time4:25 PM ET
Field Size9
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
In this nine-horse non-winners-of-two turf claimer, #7 New Life seeks to convert two consecutive runner-up efforts with speed figures of 73 and 87, but must turn back #3 Tell Me Some Lies who possesses an 85 speed figure.
Pace shape Honest Pace
E
1
EP
3
P
2
S
3

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Honest Pace
  1. Early leaving the gate #1 More Applause should break on top. #9 Del Mar Sunrise and #2 Tape Runner drop to the back. 154638729
  2. Middle around the turn A fair pace. The order mostly holds and the field tightens up. 154638729
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #1 More Applause is still in front. Moving forward: #3 Tell Me Some Lies, #8 Starship Elation and #7 New Life. 154368729

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Exacta KeySmall Trifecta
Strong play — Clear top selection by calibrated probability or rating gap
Top win chance: 30.4%
Price horse: Tell Me Some Lies (2/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
7 New Life S Neutral
L Reyes
V Barboza, Jr.
 3/1
30
★★★★☆
71.9
 Top Pick
3 Tell Me Some Lies P Neutral
D A Herrera
J F Orseno
 2/1
15
★★★★☆
65.9
 Value Play
6 Elenique EP Fits
J Torrealba
P L Biancone
 8/1
15
★★★★☆
65.9
 Longshot
2 Tape Runner S Neutral
J Ocasio
V Barboza, Jr.
 8/1
10
★★★★☆
62.5
  
1 More Applause E Neutral
M A Vasquez
J C Catanese III
 10/1
8
★★★★☆
60.7
  
4 Nashville Slew EP Fits
E Gonzalez
R Laurin
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
58.2
  
8 Starship Elation P Neutral
J E Morelos
K P Mongeon
 20/1
6
★★★☆☆
57.7
  
9 Del Mar Sunrise S Neutral
M Meneses
N J Tomlinson
 8/1
5
★★★☆☆
56.8
  
5 Lady River Lily EP Fits
W Henry
A M Rodriguez
 9/2
4
★★★☆☆
55.4
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
7
New Life
S Neutral
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
30
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.9
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Tell Me Some Lies
P Neutral
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
J F Orseno
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse Longshot
6
Elenique
EP Fits
Jockey
J Torrealba
Trainer
P L Biancone
15
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 65.9
Post · Horse
2
Tape Runner
S Neutral
Jockey
J Ocasio
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 62.5
Post · Horse
1
More Applause
E Neutral
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
J C Catanese III
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 60.7
Post · Horse
4
Nashville Slew
EP Fits
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
R Laurin
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 58.2
Post · Horse
8
Starship Elation
P Neutral
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
K P Mongeon
6
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.7
Post · Horse
9
Del Mar Sunrise
S Neutral
Jockey
M Meneses
Trainer
N J Tomlinson
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
Post · Horse
5
Lady River Lily
EP Fits
Jockey
W Henry
Trainer
A M Rodriguez
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
9/2
Rating
★★★☆☆ 55.4
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 9-horse field.
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RACE PREVIEW

RACE 9

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #2 Zeus's Echo, #5 Irish Adieu.

Race Details
Class & Money
TypeMaiden, Claiming, Starter Or Restricted Or Which Have Never Won Two Races Or Cla
Purse$54,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 Mile
SurfaceDirt
Post Time5:05 PM ET
Field Size7
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
Del Mar shipper #2 Zeus's Echo drops into a manageable one-mile dirt spot after running speed figures of 97 and 100 in Southern California, but local grinder #4 Junction Road is primed off an 88 speed figure.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
1
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments and analyst notes. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Zeus's Echo should break on top. #4 Junction Road and #6 Khon Han drop to the back. 2513764
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Zeus's Echo and #5 Irish Adieu keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 2517364
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #7 Al Loud has taken over in front. Moving forward: #6 Khon Han, #1 All to Win and #4 Junction Road. Tiring: #2 Zeus's Echo and #5 Irish Adieu. 7614325

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Standard play (small stake) — Usable edge; prefer exacta coverage over narrow straight bets
Top win chance: 25.2%
Price horse: Junction Road (8/1 ML)
Exotic Ticket Pack (1 ticket identified). Pro members see sized exacta & trifecta tickets with hit probabilities for this race.
  Go Pro
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
2 Zeus's Echo E Misfit
E Gonzalez
S A Joseph, Jr.
 5/1
25
★★★★☆
71.0
 Top Pick
4 Junction Road S Fits
R Hughes
R G Crichton
 8/1
21
★★★★☆
69.3
 Value Play
5 Irish Adieu E Misfit
M A Vasquez
B S Dibona
 3/1
16
★★★★☆
66.9
  
6 Khon Han S Fits
L Reyes
B G Lopez
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
64.2
  
3 Radical Rhetoric —
D A Herrera
M Lerman
 20/1
11
★★★★☆
63.7
 Longshot
1 All to Win EP Neutral
A Thomas
R G Crichton
 5/2
10
★★★★☆
63.0
  
7 Al Loud P Fits
M J Husbands
S A Joseph, Jr.
 2/1
7
★★★☆☆
60.0
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
2
Zeus's Echo
E Misfit
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
25
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 71.0
Post · Horse Value Play
4
Junction Road
S Fits
Jockey
R Hughes
Trainer
R G Crichton
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 69.3
Post · Horse
5
Irish Adieu
E Misfit
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
B S Dibona
16
Win Prob
ML Odds
3/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.9
Post · Horse
6
Khon Han
S Fits
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
B G Lopez
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.2
Post · Horse Longshot
3
Radical Rhetoric
—
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
M Lerman
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.7
Post · Horse
1
All to Win
EP Neutral
Jockey
A Thomas
Trainer
R G Crichton
10
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.0
Post · Horse
7
Al Loud
P Fits
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 60.0
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 7-horse field.
  Go Pro

RACE PREVIEW

RACE 10

Two horses want the lead and may wear each other out. Horses that sit back and close benefit. Wants the lead: #2 Pure Eloquence, #5 Little Georgie.

Race Details
Class & Money
Typestakes race or two races other than maiden, claiming, starter or state-bred allo
Purse$75,000
Trip & Field
Distance1 1/16 Miles
SurfaceTurf
Post Time5:48 PM ET
Field Size10
Track conditions to be confirmed at race time.
Storyline
The finale matches 10 turf routers at a mile and a sixteenth where Santa Anita shipper #8 Day to Day looks to capitalize on a recent 99 speed figure, but local standout #3 Striking Finale enters riding back-to-back turf victories.
Pace shape Duel
E
2
EP
1
P
3
S
2

E early speed · EP presser · P mid-pack · S closer

Running styles come from each horse's recent race comments. For reading the race only — win % and plays are unchanged.

Pace projection How the field should line up Duel
  1. Early leaving the gate #2 Pure Eloquence and #5 Little Georgie go for the lead together. #1 Bayou Brigid and #9 Cryingintherain drop to the back. 25107364891
  2. Middle around the turn #2 Pure Eloquence and #5 Little Georgie keep pressing each other. That fast pace starts to cost them. 25103487691
  3. Late top of the stretch Turning for home, #3 Striking Finale has taken over in front. Moving forward: #4 Bert's Knoty Girl, #8 Day to Day and #9 Cryingintherain. Tiring: #10 Rogue Runner, #2 Pure Eloquence and #5 Little Georgie. 34891017625

Projected from each horse's running style and today's pace shape. Horses without a style run an even pace from their speed against that field. It sketches running position, not a finish — win % and plays are unchanged.

PLAY Ordered ExoticsSmall Trifecta
Small play (small stake) — Contenders are tightly grouped; play small and demand a fair price
Top win chance: 21.2%
Price horse: Striking Finale (8/1 ML)
Entries & Odds
Post · Horse Jockey / Trainer ML Odds Win Prob Rating Role
8 Day to Day P Fits
E Gonzalez
S A Joseph, Jr.
 2/1
21
★★★★☆
70.4
 Top Pick
3 Striking Finale P Fits
D A Herrera
N Ramsey
 8/1
18
★★★★☆
68.8
 Value Play
2 Pure Eloquence E Misfit
M J Husbands
S A Joseph, Jr.
 5/2
13
★★★★☆
66.2
  
1 Bayou Brigid S Fits
L Reyes
H Smullen
 10/1
11
★★★★☆
64.7
  
10 Rogue Runner EP Neutral
M A Vasquez
G G Jackson
 30/1
9
★★★★☆
63.1
 Longshot
5 Little Georgie E Misfit
R Hughes
S A Joseph, Jr.
 20/1
8
★★★★☆
61.8
  
9 Cryingintherain S Fits
J Torrealba
P L Biancone
 10/1
7
★★★★☆
61.3
  
6 Super Sienna —
M Gutierrez
V Barboza, Jr.
 12/1
5
★★★☆☆
57.6
  
7 Come On Teesha —
J Ocasio
M S Morrison
 5/1
5
★★★☆☆
57.5
  
4 Bert's Knoty Girl P Fits
J E Morelos
J Engler
 15/1
4
★★★☆☆
56.8
  
Post · Horse Top Pick
8
Day to Day
P Fits
Jockey
E Gonzalez
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
21
Win Prob
ML Odds
2/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 70.4
Post · Horse Value Play
3
Striking Finale
P Fits
Jockey
D A Herrera
Trainer
N Ramsey
18
Win Prob
ML Odds
8/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 68.8
Post · Horse
2
Pure Eloquence
E Misfit
Jockey
M J Husbands
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
13
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/2
Rating
★★★★☆ 66.2
Post · Horse
1
Bayou Brigid
S Fits
Jockey
L Reyes
Trainer
H Smullen
11
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 64.7
Post · Horse Longshot
10
Rogue Runner
EP Neutral
Jockey
M A Vasquez
Trainer
G G Jackson
9
Win Prob
ML Odds
30/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 63.1
Post · Horse
5
Little Georgie
E Misfit
Jockey
R Hughes
Trainer
S A Joseph, Jr.
8
Win Prob
ML Odds
20/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.8
Post · Horse
9
Cryingintherain
S Fits
Jockey
J Torrealba
Trainer
P L Biancone
7
Win Prob
ML Odds
10/1
Rating
★★★★☆ 61.3
Post · Horse
6
Super Sienna
—
Jockey
M Gutierrez
Trainer
V Barboza, Jr.
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
12/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.6
Post · Horse
7
Come On Teesha
—
Jockey
J Ocasio
Trainer
M S Morrison
5
Win Prob
ML Odds
5/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 57.5
Post · Horse
4
Bert's Knoty Girl
P Fits
Jockey
J E Morelos
Trainer
J Engler
4
Win Prob
ML Odds
15/1
Rating
★★★☆☆ 56.8
The Breakdown Lab Pro Component scores that feed the composite rating What the words mean
The Breakdown Lab is a Pro feature. Unlock per-horse factor bars (speed, form, class, workout, jockey, trainer), connection records, and recent figures that feed our composite rating for this 10-horse field.
  Go Pro